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Renewables in Argentina
Opportunities in a new
business environment
March 2017
Contents
Why renewables in Argentina? 4
Auction of electric energy supply 10
What are the incentives for this industry? 14
Argentina’s new business environment 16
Financing and analysis of Renewable Energy Projects 20
Exhibit 24
2 EnergíasRenewables
renovables en
in Argentina
A new beginning
Argentina issued new laws establishing that facilitated the presentation of proposals and their
renewable energies should account for 20% of the subsequent distribution was also very important.
national electric energy consumption by 2025.
However, this is only the beginning of a
At present, they represent 1,8%; therefore, big
transformation process of the national energy
investments are necessary to achieve this goal in
mix, as Argentina will continue with the bidding
the upcoming years. To accomplish this, the new
processes in 2017 and the years to follow, thus
political and economic environment in Argentina
generating business opportunities for different
since 2015 is the most favorable context, as the
energy companies worldwide. Our country's
government has taken steps towards reinserting
potential to develop renewable energies is
Argentina in the global agenda and has taken
limitless, given the quality of the winds and
measures to free and integrate its economy, such
the sunlight, which offer a significant distinct
as: lifting of foreign-exchange controls, settling
advantage.
holdout debts, readjustment of public utility rates
and elimination of import tariffs, among others. It is estimated that, when this plan is completed,
Argentina will obtain USD 15 billion in
The first bidding process carried out at the end
investments and will have an installed capacity
of last year was a remarkable success, with 58
of solar energy of 1 to 2 GWH and 5 to 6 GWH of
projects awarded for more than 2,400 MW. But the
wind energy; as a result, renewable energies will
great interest in the country was demonstrated not
represent 20% of the electric consumption of the
only by these allocations, but by the total amount
country.
of offers received, which exceeded 6,200 MW.
We have included in this report the key issues for
What were the critical factors of this success? The
the potential investors: why to invest in Argentina,
process was simple, efficient and transparent,
the tax environment, how the Argentina
implemented by a Government who listened to the
Investment and Trade Promotion Agency can help
investors’ needs and offered long-term purchase
investors and what to take into account when
agreements in dollars. The role of the Argentine
developing their business models.
Investment and Trade Promotion Agency which
We hope it will be useful.
Ezequiel Mirazón
Energy, Utilities &
Mining Leader
PwC Argentina
PwC Argentina 3
Why renewable
in Argentina?
Argentina is a country with vital natural
resources for the generation of wind and
solar energy.
25%
19% 20%
20%
17% 18%
16%
14%
15%
12%
10%
8%
5%
0%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Source: www.minem.gob.ar
4 Renewables in Argentina
Marcelo Iezzi
Sustainability
PwC Argentina
es
PwC Argentina 5
The Government decided to implement this strategic project
based on the following pillars:
• Release of Plan RenovAR, which includes regular public
biddings through which the different companies submit their
investment projects and the price at which they are willing to
sell their capacity;
• Signing of long-term power purchase agreements (PPA’s) in
US dollars that allow companies to ensure their sales without
exposing themselves to potential devaluations of the peso;
• CAMMESA, the company that manages the electricity
wholesale market, will administer these agreements.
The first bidding process was carried out at the end of 2016
and the result went beyond the Government’s expectations,
both for the power offered and its prices, which led to a
second call for bidding to improve the prices for the bidders
who weren't initially selected.
Allocated Projects
The second call, Round 1.5 was also successfully accepted by In this process, wind energy prevailed and, in second
the market. place, photovoltaic solar energy: between the two rounds,
22 wind projects were awarded for 1,473 MW of power
Allocated Projects and an expected annual generation of 6,039 GWh, plus
24 solar-photovoltaic projects for 916 MW of power and
Technology Projects MW USD/MWh GWh/Year an expected generation of 2,233 GWh. In the aggregate,
technologies based on biogas, biomass and small hydraulic
Wind 10 765 53 3,037
developments have only 35 MW of power and offer an
Solar 20 516 54 1,274 expected generation of 244 GWh.
Total 30 1.281 53 4.311
It is worth mentioning that 64% of the offers received were
from local investors while the remaining 36% were from
foreign investors.
PwC Argentina 7
The solar and wind resources combined show a development Apart from the wind and solar energies mentioned, Argentina
potential for the immediate future, particularly limited by also has favorable conditions for the development of biogas,
the current capacity of the transmission networks, which biomass, biofuel and small water projects. However, given
will have to be expanded to face the higher demand of the growth of the first two and their better conditions for
energy. As for the proposed projects, the private sector was technological offers and locations for their installation, both
willing to invest based on the results of Round 1, which saw the authorities and the private sector focus their activities and
an oversubscription of more than six times the requested attention on them.
capacity.
The moment also coincides with unprecedented levels of
global investments in renewables. China has become the
largest investor in the field, surpassing the United States
and investing more than USD 36 billion globally for the
8 Renewables in Argentina
development of projects based in renewables; the total amount Analyzing how these investments evolved in Latin America,
invested by all the countries being USD 348 billion (BNEF, compared with the ones made in the rest of the world between
2016). 2004 and 2015 (see Chart 1), Latin America multiplied its
investments by 11 times while the rest of the world multiplied
Latin America has also obtained an important flow of
them by 6 during the same period.
investments in renewables, reaching almost USD 16.4 billion
in 2015, with a very important participation of wind energies A large part of this important increase in renewables is
(slightly over 60%) and in second place, the photovoltaic explained by the cost reduction (see Chart 2) and by the
solar energy (with approximately 20%). Moreover, the region improvement in the design and implementation of appropriate
maintains annual investments in renewables of more than public policies.
USD 10 billion since 2006 (Source: Bloomberg).
Chart 1: Development of the investments in renewable energy in Latin America and the world, 2004-2015
12
10
0 Latin America
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Rest of the World
Land - Based
Wind -41%
Utility Scale
PV -64%
LED -94%
Distributed
PV -54%
Modeled Battery
Costs -73%
PwC Argentina 9
Auction of
electric energy
supply
The auction in numbers
In this context of a gap between the increase in the demand of
electric energy (3% CAGR12-15) and the changes in installed Round 1.0 Round 1.5
capacity (0.4% CAGR12-15), generated by a regulatory
5,246
framework that has been unable to awaken interest of the Other (includes small water
projects, biomass and biogas)
1%
private sector in the development of new generation capacity,
the process of auctioning implied reactivation for Argentine
electricity sector and materialized the development of 2.3 GW
of new capacity for renewables generation, to start operation
x4.7
within a two-year period, resulting in an investment of 46%
The auction was implemented in two rounds: the first one x1.9
37%
(round 1.0) was awarded in October 2016 and the second 1,143 1,281
0%
one (round 1.5) was awarded two months later (end of 36%
40%
During the first round, 117 offers were received, of 5 different Pre-qualified Awarded Pre-qualified Awarded
technologies (though most of the offers were wind and
1. Detail of pre-qualified and awarded capacity
solar photovoltaic generation technologies), which in the for each round – MW. Source: Ministry of Energy and Mining
aggregate represented 5.2 GW, ~5 times more power than
demanded. The technology with the greater number of offers
was solar photovoltaic, even when the demanded power
corresponding to this technology was less than the demand of During the second round, 47 offers were received, related
wind generated energy (0.3 GW solar versus 0.6 GW wind). only to wind and solar photovoltaic generation technologies,
In the end, 17 offers were allocated, which meant awarding which in the aggregate represented 2.5 GW, ~2 times more
1.1 GW of renewable energy, distributed into 707 MW of wind power than demanded. Among the offers for wind generation
generated energy, 400 MW of solar photovoltaic energy and technology (19 offers received) there was no new plant
1.2 MW of biogas. proposal(i.e., one that had not applied at the first round),
while among those for solar generation technology (28 offers
received in total) there were three new plants. Finally, 1.3 GW
of renewable energy were awarded, distributed into 765 MW
of wind generated energy and 516 MW of solar energy.
10 Renewables in Argentina
Carlos
Fernandez
Landa
Deals
PwC España
Coal
4.6% 5%
4.3%
30.3% Hydroelectric
3.8%
3.2%
18% Local
1.5%
26% Bolivia
1.1% Natural
Gas
0.0%
PwC Argentina 11
Security of supply
Economic competitiveness
20%
19%
Auctions in 2016: 17%
18%
12%
Renewables in 2016: 8%
- % of demand: 1.8%
- Installed capacity: 0.8 GW
Price range of photovoltaic solar technology projects awarded at auctions worldwide, USD/MWh 2016.
USD/MWh
120
120
100
80 78
73
66
60 60 58
60 54 55 53
48 46 45
44
40 37
33 29 30 30
27 24
20
Awarded 0
capacity (MW)
185 162 1,1001 620 400 7071 ,853 ,038 n/a n/a 120 1,853 1,038 26 140 1,300 850 800 350 1,000 6,500
Argentina has suitable regions for ...and great attraction for solar
wind development applications
Wind intensity [km/h] Annual Solar Irradiation [kWh/m2- day]
-36.0 -7.0
-6.5
-26.2
-6.0
-5.5
-20.3
-5.0
-4.5
-14.4
-4.0
-3.5
-10.0
-3.0
-4.1 -2.5
PwC Argentina 13
What are the in
for this in
As part of this program, Argentina has recently
adopted a series of laws and regulations to
promote renewable energy sources.
14 Renewables in Argentina
ncentives
Ignacio
Rodriguez
Tax & Legal
PwC Argentina
ndustry?
• A tax credit certificate to be applied against federal taxes will
• Accelerated depreciation: for the purpose of income tax be granted, equal to 20% of the amount of purchases in
(35%), the beneficiaries can opt for applying depreciation by domestic components for the project (certain exclusions
the straight-line method, as allowed by the Income Tax Law, apply) to the extent it can be proven that at least 60% of the
or depreciation by a special method consisting of three (3), total components are of domestic source (a lower percentage
four (4) or five (5) yearly and consecutive equal installments, may be accepted as long as it can be proven that the items
depending on the projects considered to have started (15% at cannot be obtained in the domestic market, but never lower
least) in 2017, between 2018 and 2021, or between 2022 and than 30%).
2025, respectively; in the case of real estate assets, • Relief from import duties and other related taxes (“Statistical
accelerated depreciation would result in reducing useful life charge”) on the import of brand-new assets included in the
to 60% (2017), 70% (2018-2021) or 80% (2022-2025). The project (only for imports completed before December 31,
relevant assets must be held for a minimum period of three 2017).
(3) years. The benefit also applies to replacement items and new
• A 5-year extension period to compute tax losses from projects accessories needed to ensure start and development of the
under promotion regime (i.e. expiration date 10 years after activity; their destination must be verified and coincide with
generation, instead of 5). the project for which those assets were imported.
• Early recovery of VAT (21% general rate or 10.5% for certain • Likewise, this benefit applies to the import of capital goods,
activities) paid on the purchase of new assets or infrastructure parts, components and inputs used in the production of
works that has not been offset against the tax debit by means generation equipment for electricity from renewable energy
of a refund or tax credit for other federal taxes. This benefit sources and intermediate assets along the value chain of such
will be effective after at least one fiscal period –month– as equipment, not only for the purpose of domestic sales but also
from the date of the investments, if the projects were for export, as long as it could be proven that there is no local
considered started before December 31, 2017. If this condition manufacture of those products. These capital goods, parts,
is fulfilled on a later date but prior to December 31, 2021, two components and inputs can be sold, transferred or no longer
fiscal periods must elapse; and three fiscal periods, if it occurs used in the activity for which they were imported, only upon
after this date but prior to December 31, 2025. completion of the activity or the end of its useful life,
whichever comes first.
• Relief from minimum notional income tax (1% on computable
assets) for the relevant assets, during 8 years. However, this To obtain the tax benefits described above, some guarantees
tax will be repealed from 2019 onwards and it grants a must be provided.
regular exemption for the acquisition of brand-new movable
assets and works on real estate property for the year in which Further, from the point of view of provincial taxes, Law No.
the investments were made and in the following one. 26190 invites all Argentine provinces to adhere to a system
of enforcing local regulations with tax benefits to promote
and encourage the production of electricity by means of
renewable energy sources. Most of the provinces that develop
projects of this type and are favored have already adhered to
the promotion system and replicated it by granting temporary
exemptions for provincial turnover tax and stamp tax (tax on
contracts being formally executed).
PwC Argentina 15
Argentina’s
New Business
Environment
Argentina has very strong fundamentals to become a regional economic engine.
It is the third largest Latin American economy in GDP terms (after Brazil and
Mexico), yet the second largest when measured in GDP per capita. In addition,
Argentina’s population nears 43 million, 60% of which is below 35 years of age.
16 Renewables in Argentina
Andrés Tahta
Executive Vice
president
Argentina Investment
and Trade
Promotion Agency
Argentina has highly qualified human capital, with re-launched the National Statistics Bureau (INDEC) and
outstanding technical skills but also notable creativity and promoted laws to foster investment and employment, amongst
versatility. The country is ranked first in Latin America’s which is the Law for Small and Medium Enterprises and
Human Development and Education Index. the Auto Parts Law, the Public-Private Partnership Law and
the Entrepreneur Law. It also established a 4-year plan to
Despite its size, Argentina’s infrastructure is ample and far-
eliminate the primary fiscal deficit and implemented a very
reaching, with more than 35,000 kilometers of roads and
successful tax amnesty scheme. Argentina is also making
railway networks, 43 ports and 54 airports.
headway in the National Productivity Plan to increase
To pave the way for reform and growth, in his first year competitiveness, propel production, accelerate growth and
President Macri implemented several measures to normalize achieve full employment and better quality of life for our
the economy: removal of capital controls and repatriation citizens.
restrictions, floating of the exchange rate and recovery of
Argentina’s macroeconomic indicators are projected to
monetary reserves, resolution of defaulted debt and new
improve markedly beginning in 2017, with higher growth
access to global financial markets, removal of export taxes
rates than those of Latin America’s average and inflation
on many products, among others. The results obtained were
dwindling significantly. This added to low leverage at the
positive, and the high inflation levels inherited from the
household, corporate and government levels, constitutes a
previous administration are now decreasing, with the target of
unique opportunity to invest in our country.Energías
reaching single-digit levels by 2018. Also, the administration
PwC Argentina 17
Argentina Investment and Trade
Promotion Agency
To grow and develop as a country, we need a strong economy
connected to the world. In February 2016, President Macri
created the Argentina Investment and Trade Promotion
Agency, an independent organization that centralizes all
efforts to foster and facilitate investment and international
trade.
To attain this goal, the Agency works across the public sector:
Ministries, Provincial Governments, public organizations and
independent institutions (such as AFIP, IGJ, BICE, INTI, etc.),
along with the domestic and international private sectors
(such as business and investment groups, federal chambers
and associations, etc.).
18 Renewables in Argentina
The Agency professional team is committed
to help companies understand the
opportunities offered by our country and
guide them through the investment and
international trade processes, with clear
rules, transparency and trust.
PwC Argentina 19
Financing and
Analysis of Renew
Energy Projects
Financing
In May 2016, Macri launched Plan RenovAR, a decade-long plan to attract USD 15
billion in renewable energy investments.
The first phase of the bidding process was encouraging; The equity contributions to renewable energy generation project
Argentine government received offers for more than 6,000 companies. FODER is run by Argentina’s Investment and
MW, and granted contracts to build 2,400 MW (1,500 MW in Foreign Trade Bank (BICE).
wind and 900 MW in solar), with estimated investments of
Renewable energy projects can also be financed by Project
USD 1.8 billion. The next bidding process will be in May 2017.
Finance, a financing scheme in which debt and equity are
Financing is now the main challenge most companies face.
used to finance an energy project and are then paid back from
To meet the challenge of financing, Argentina’s government the cash flow generated by the project. Argentina already
implemented a sector-specific trust fund, the “Trust Fund for has experience with this type of financing, which is used
Renewable Energy” or FODER as part of its Renewable Energy commonly by oil companies.
Law. FODER provides payment guarantees for all tendered
Lastly, projects can be financed by the Project for Renewable
power purchase agreements (PPA’s) in addition to project
Energy in Rural Markets (PERMER), which was implemented
financing assistance. The Argentine government allocated
in 1999 to help the rural low-income areas of Argentina meet
ARS 12 billion to FODER. The fund’s project finance account
their energy needs. PERMER receives its funds from a variety
is funded by a mix of treasury funds, public offerings, the
of sources, such as loans from the World Bank, donations
Argentine government-administered pension fund (ANSES)
from the Global Environment Facility, the Argentine Ministry
and multilaterals. The account will be used to offer long-term
of Education, provincial funds and the private sector.
project loans as well as to provide interest rate subsidies and
20 Renewables in Argentina
Ignacio Aquino
Deals
PwC Argentina
wable
PwC Argentina 21
Project analysis
Macroeconomic considerations Expected rate of return
One of the most significant aspects to consider when analyzing When considering local investment, investors should
an investment in Argentina is the economy, with a specific understand certain aspects of Argentina’s expected rate of
focus on inflation and exchange rates. return.
Argentina has had high inflation rates since 2007. From 2010 • Country risk: The country risk that is usually considered
to 2014 the official exchange rate remained relatively stable in the local market is that of the EMBI+ (an index
despite the increase of costs measured in local currency. This developed by JP Morgan). It is common to consider either
situation was partially reverted in January 2014 when the the spot value or the one year average. The credit default
Argentine Peso depreciated by 26% (from 6.50 AR$/US$ in swap methodology is not usual nor completely accepted.
December 2013 to 8.00 AR$/US$ in January 2014). Even In the long run, country risk which is currently in 480
though the devaluation was supposed to improve Argentine basic points (b.p.) is expected to go down to 300 b.p.
competitiveness, the industries passed through, totally or
• Size premium: When estimating the Cost of Equity (the
partially, the devaluation effect to prices, which was translated
return for an equity investor) it is usual to consider a
into the acceleration of monthly inflation rates.
size premium, because the comparable companies used
In December 2015 the new Macri Administration lifted foreign to estimate the Beta are significantly larger than the
exchange controls and placed the Argentine peso under a company that is under analysis. In Argentina the stock
managed-float regime. The peso devalued 30% on the first market is rather small – as a result there are usually no
day of unrestricted trading, from 9.84 to 13.94 ARS per USD, comparable trading companies. Consequently one will
and proceeded to further decline in the subsequent months, usually look in Latin America or the US for comparable
trading currently c. to 16.00 ARS per USD. Economists and companies. Considering the size of all local companies,
investors have hailed the move as one that will ultimately the small cap size premium should be applied for the
stabilize the peso at levels set by the market and boost companies in Argentina (even the ones with the largest
investor's confidence. capitalization levels). In Argentina, a smaller premium is
usually considered (between 1% and 2% depending on
For 2017, the Argentine Government predicts GDP (est. USD
the size of the company or the stage of the project); no
550 billion in 2016) growth of 3.5%, a USD/ARS exchange
higher premiums are observed.
rate of 18, a government deficit of 4.2% and an inflation
rate of 17% (private consultants predict inflation rate to be Restrictions to buy foreign currency and
closer to 22%). In any event, these expectations represent
a significant improvement compared to 2016. From 2018 pay dividends abroad
onwards, specialists project an annual decrease in the inflation Late in 2011, the former National Government tightened
rate, predicting that it will reach 6% by 2022. The exchange controls on currency exchange by requiring an approval from
rate is expected to float freely in order to maintain the current the tax authorities when converting AR$ into any foreign
real exchange rate, thus allowing Argentine to once more be denominated currencies. The stated goal of this measure
considered atractive by international markets. was to clamp down on tax evasion and money laundering.
However, in practical terms and according to public
statements by market experts, the true motive was to prevent
the capital outflows from Argentina.
22 Renewables in Argentina
Jonathan Park
Deals
PwC Argentina
Sources:
• Foder: http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/articles/2016/06/argentina-launches-innovative-renewables-program.html
• Permer: https://permer.se.gob.ar/contenidos/verpagina.php?idpagina=3697
• Project Finance en Argentina: http://www.energiaestrategica.com/project-finance-argentina-condiciones-financiamiento-
desarrollo-proyectos-energia-renovable/
PwC Argentina 23
Exhibit
24 Renewables in Argentina
Bids awarded, by technology, under renewable electric power purchase agreements, according to the
terms established in resolution 136e/2016 of the Ministry of Energy and Mining
EOL-22 3 GAL S.A. P.E. Garayalde CHUBUT Garayalde 59.00 24.15 24.15
CP P.E. La
EOL-35 BUENOS AIRES Villarino 61.50 99 99
RENOVABLES Castellana
Pampa del
EOL-33 ENAT S.A P.E. Kosten CHUBUT 59.41 24 24
Castillo
P.E. Vientos Los
EOL-05 EREN SANTA CRUZ Las Heras 62.88 97.2 97.2
Hércules
P.E. Chubut
EOL-O8 GENNEIA I CHUBUT Puerto Madryn 66.00 49.875 28.35(*)
Norte
ARAUCO P.E. Arauco II
EOL-46 LA RIOJA Arauco 67.19 99.75 99.75
S.A.P.E.M. (Etapa 1 y 2)
(*)
This bid is pre-alloted partially in order to not exceed the limit established
in Exhibit 3 The power to be allotted will be adjusted considering the
aerogenerators module, without exceeding the assigned power.
San Antonio de
SFV-13 FIELDFARE P.S. La Puna SALTA 58.98 100 100
los Cobres
PwC Argentina 25
ROUND 1.5 - Awarded Projects: WInd
SINOHYDROCORTPORATION
EOL-45 BUENOS AIRES P.E. Pampa 100 46,0
LIMITED
BUENOS P.E. Vientos de CENTRALES DE LA COSTA
EOL-48 BUENOS AIRES 38 55,5
AIRES Necochea 1 ATLÁNTICAS. A
P.E. La
EOL-19 LA PAMPA FACUNDO FRAVEGA 37 50,0
Banderita
COMAHUE
EOL-09 RIO NEGRO P.E. Pomona 1 GENNEIAS.A. 100 54,9
WIND
P.E. Del PETROQUIMICA COMODORO
EOL-20 SANTA CRUZ 100 49,5
Bicentenario RIVADAVIAS.A.
PATAGONIA
P.E. Loma
EOL-27 CHUBUT ISOLUX INGENIERIAS.A. 100 53,5
blanca 6
EMPRESA MENDOCINA DE
EOL-32 MENDOZA P.E. El Sosneado 50 55,0
ENERGÍAS.A.P.E.M.
RESTO P.E. Arauco II PARQUE EÓLICO ARAUCO
EOL-47 LA RIOJA 95 56,7
EOLICA (Etapa 3 y 4) S.A.P.E.M.
ENERGÍAS SUSTENTABLES
SFV-21 CATAMARCA P.S. Saujil 23 51,9
S.A.
EMPRESA MENDOCINA DE
SOLAR SFV-34 MENDOZA P.S. Anchoris 21 48,0
ENERGÍAS.A.P.E.M.
P.S. General EMPRESA MENDOCINA DE
SFV-06 MENDOZA 18 55,0
Alvear ENERGÍAS.A.P.E.M.
EMPRESA MENDOCINA DE
SFV-04 MENDOZA P.S. La Paz 14 55,0
RESTO ENERGÍAS.A.P.E.M.
SOLAR EMPRESA MENDOCINA DE
SFV-01 MENDOZA P.S. Lava lie 18 55,0
ENERGÍAS.A.P.E.M.
EMPRESA MENDOCINA DE
SFV-02 MENDOZA P.S. Lujan de Cuyo 22 55,0
ENERGÍAS.A.P.E.M.
EMPRESA MENDOCINA DE
SFV-05 MENDOZA P.S. PASIP 1 52,0
ENERGÍAS.A.P.E.M.
26 Renewables in Argentina
ROUND 1.5 - Alloted Projects: Solar
SOENERGY INTERNATIONAL
SFV-31 SAN JUAN P.S. Sarmiento 35 53,0
INC.
LATINOAMERICANA
SFV-57 SAN JUAN P.S. Las Lomitas 2 59,2
ENERGIA
PwC Argentina 27
Contacts
PwC Argentina
Ezequiel Mirazón Hernán Rogriguez Cancelo Ignacio Rodriguez
Energy Leader Assurance Tax & Legal Services
ezequiel.mirazon@ar.pwc.com hernan.rodriguez.cancelo@ar.pwc.com ignacio.rodriguez@ar.pwc.com
PwC Spain
Carlos Fernandez Landa David Rodriguez Villanueva
Energy Leader Strategy &
carlos.fernandez.landa@es.pwc.com david.rodriguez.villanueva@
strategyand.es.pwc.com
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