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T I M E S
A TIME COMMUNICATIONS PUBLICATION
VOL XXVII No.12 Monday, 22 – 28 January 2018 Pgs.21 Rs.20
BAZAR.COM
Soch Kar, Samajh Kar, Invest kar Now follow us on Instagram, Facebook &
What an apt phrase used by the NSE - soch kar, samajh kar, invest Twitter at moneytimes_1991 on a daily basis to
kar. This rhyming jibe is perfect in the current market conditions. get a view of the stock market and the
The Sensex scaled 35000 while the Nifty scaled 10800 with ease in happenings which many may not be aware of.
the wake of a difficult budget is no mean an achievement. When
stocks remain on a fast track despite the bumps ahead is when one needs to remain alert and cautious.
The excitement and jubilation on scaling new peaks were palpable on Dalal Street. This coming in tune with the
steadiness in Europe, USA and other Asian countries make India an apple of every eye. The reasons for such a rally are
not far-fetched. Scaling down of additional borrowing by 60% from Rs.50000 crore to Rs.20000 crore, rationalization of
GST rates and a mind to ease the return filing process, easing of crude oil prices from the recent highs, appreciation of
the INR, setting new FDI norms especially in the retail and banking segments set the ball rolling.
Such kind of blitzkrieg in the markets was last seen in the middle of 2014 when the BJP won a simple majority and the
Sensex gained a neat 1,000 points (23K to 24K) in just four trading sessions, another 1,000 points (24K to 25K) in 14
sessions and another 1,000 points (25K to 26K) in 22 sessions. No wonder, the rise from 34K to 35K was covered in 16
sessions against all odds and
valuation concerns. The new ratnas at Panchratna!
A super charged liquidity cycle, nd
After the sad demise of Mr. G. S. Roongta on 2 July 2017, we were at a loss to
driven by ~Rs.8500 crore of
replace our crown jewel. But so good is our team of analysts that their first
regular monthly equity inflows, st
Panchratna issue of 1 October has already clocked in results even before the
aids the Sensex and the Nifty to
quarter is over. Given below is their maiden score and we are sure this team will
reach new peaks. Such a rally
improve as we go along.
warrants an exercise of caution,
which was also indicated by the Sr. Date Scrip Name Recom. Highest %
mixed moves on Thursday when No. Rate (Rs.) since (Rs.) Gain
intra-day highs proved to be very 1 October Williamson Magor & Company 74.5 108.3 45
strong resistance levels with a 2017 Goldiam International 77.7 93 20
muted rise of 178 points in the PTC India Financial Services 37.05 44.1 19
Sensex at 35260 and 28 points in Sintex Plastics Technology 90.95 100 10
the Nifty at 10817, which was Firstsource Solutions 41.7 45.6 9
th
much lower that the day’s high. 16 Edition of ‘Panchratna’ released on 1 January 2018
The noteworthy contrast was
So hurry up and book your copy now!
visible in the 418-point fall in the
Subscription Rate: Rs.2500 per quarter; Rs.4000 for two quarters; Rs.7000 per annum.
Nifty Mid-Cap index at 21090 on
You can contact us on 022-22616970, 22654805 or moneytimes.support@gmail.com
the same day.
TRADING ON TECHNICALS
Weekly Up
Scrip Last Level Level Center Level Level Relative
Reversal Trend
Close 1 2 Point 3 4 Strength
Value Date
Weak Demand Demand Supply Supply
below point point point point
RADICO KHAITAN 364.65 310 326.9 347.8 385.5 444.1 71.9 323 22-12-17
NIIT TECHONOLOGIES 728 682.7 695.8 714.8 747 798.2 70.2 686 22-12-17
BIOCON 569.85 525.7 538.6 556.9 588.2 637.9 65.9 547 03-11-17
MINDTREE 701.70 616 643.1 674.6 733.3 823.5 65.9 636.5 10-11-17
POLARIS CONSULTING &
SERVICES 411.40 388 391.3 408.1 428.3 465.3 65.2 396.8 22-12-17
*Note: Up and Down Trend are based of set of moving averages as reference point to define a trend. Close below
averages is defined as down trend. Close above averages is defined as up trend. Volatility (Up/Down) within Down
Trend can happen/ Volatility (Up/Down) within Up Trend can happen. Relative Strength (RS) is statistical
indicator. Weekly Reversal is the value of the average.
Weekly Down
Scrip Last Level Level Center Level Level Relative
Reversal Trend
Close 1 2 Point 3 4 Strength
Value Date
Demand Demand Supply Supply Strong
point point point point above
MCX 837.10 679.7 796.3 872 912.8 947.8 30.01 902.55 19-01-18
BANK OF MAHARASHTRA 21.20 18.7 20.5 21.6 22.3 22.8 33.90 22.54 19-01-18
BHARTI INFRATEL 346.40 292.4 331.2 354.7 369.9 378.2 38.39 367.60 19-01-18
TATA COMMUNICATIONS 634 558 613 647 668 681 38.96 665.75 22-12-17
D B CORP 353.10 289.2 333.9 359.5 378.7 385 39.46 360.34 19-01-18
*Note: Up and Down Trend are based of set of moving averages as reference point to define a trend. Close below
averages is defined as down trend. Close above averages is defined as up trend. Volatility (Up/Down) within Down
Trend can happen/ Volatility (Up/Down) within Up Trend can happen.
BUY LIST
Note: SA-Strong Above, DP-Demand Point, SP- Supply Point, SA- Strong Above
Scrip Last Close Demand point Demand point Demand Point Weak below Supply Point Monthly RS
PUNTER PICKS
Note: Positional trade and exit at stop loss or target whichever is earlier. Not an intra-day trade. A delivery based trade for a possible time frame
of 1-7 trading days. Exit at first target or above.
Note: SA-Strong Above, DP-Demand Point, SP- Supply Point, SA- Strong Above, RS- Strength
Weak RS-
Scrip BSE Code Last Close Demand Point Trigger Supply point Supply point
below Strength
- - - - - - - - -
TOWER TALK
RBI has raised FPI investment limit in Granules India to 49% from 24% earlier. A QIP at high rates is on the cards.
Buy.
Accelya Kale Solutions is reportedly on a financial rampage and is likely to have an excellent year ahead. A good
buy.
The government is mulling to allow 100% FDI in banking. Efficient banks like HDFC Bank, Karnataka Bank,
IndusInd Bank, Lakshmi Vilas Bank and South Indian Bank are good investment bets for the long-term.
Although Hindustan Zinc reported 4% lower PAT in Q3, rising volumes and rising commodity prices suggest better
times ahead. Buy.
Butterfly Gandhimathi Appliances plans to launch several products. Its working is also excellent. Buy.
Tech Mahindra has partnered with Israel-based privacy research and development firm to develop a global
software privacy ecosystem. A positive for the company.
ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company posted decent results for Q3 and is expected to continue its march
forward. Buy.
The recent dip in the share price of Himadri Speciality Chemical provides an opportunity to accumulate. Speciality
based carbon black is fetching higher selling prices. The stock can appreciate by ~40% within a few months.
Aarti Drugs is expected to increase its export to Asian countries, Latin America, Europe and Africa. With anticipated
CAGR of ~16% in the next few years, this stock is a good buy.
FMGC giant Hindustan Unilever reported 28% higher PAT at Rs.1326 crore on account of improving consumption
pattern. Rural demand is also rising. An excellent long-term buy.
Ace investor Rakesh Jhunjhunwala has increased his stake in Lupin. There may be some news in this counter which
other investors do not seem to know. Buy.
State Bank of India plans to raise Rs.20000 crore via long-term bonds from domestic as well as international
markets for financing affordable housing and infrastructure projects. This big step will boost the bank’s
performance. Buy.
BEST BET
STOCK WATCH
By Amit Kumar Gupta
ICICI Bank
(BSE Code: 532174) (CMP: Rs.353.55) (FV: Rs.2) (TGT: Rs.420+)
Incorporated in 1955, ICICI Bank, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial services. It operates
through the following segments - Retail Banking, Wholesale Banking, Treasury, Other Banking, Life Insurance, General
Insurance and Others. It offers savings, salary, pension, current, other accounts and fixed, recurring and security
deposits. It also provides home, car, two-wheeler, personal, gold and commercial business loans as well as loans against
securities and other loans; business loans such as working capital finance, term loans, collateral free loans, loans without
financials, finance for importers and exporters, secured loans for credit card swipes as well as loans for new entities,
schools and colleges; and credit, debit, prepaid, travel and corporate cards. In addition, it offers life, health, travel, car,
two-wheeler, home and student medical insurance products; pockets wallet; fixed income products; investment
products such as mutual funds, gold monetization schemes and initial public offerings (IPOs), other online investment
services; and farmer finance, tractor loans and micro banking services as well as other services to agri traders and
processors and agri corporates. It also provides portfolio management, trade, foreign exchange, locker, private and NRI
banking and cash management services; family wealth and demat accounts; commercial banking, investment banking,
capital markets, custodial, project and technology finance and institutional banking services as well as internet, mobile,
and phone banking services. Additionally, it offers securities investment, broking, trading, and underwriting services;
and merchant banking, private equity/venture capital fund management, trusteeship and pension fund management
services. As at 31 March 2017, it had a network of 4,850 branches and 13,882 ATMs.
Credit demand from corporates remains muted and the management does not see any signs of capex revival. Resolution
of NCLT (National Company Law Tribunal) referred cases will give more clarity on capex pickup and asset quality
outlook. The bank aims for ~15% growth in domestic corporate portfolio (excluding restructured loans and loans to
companies included in the drilldown list) even as the overall corporate loan growth remains muted at 4% YoY. Retail
loan growth, however, is holding up well and the bank maintained its retail loan growth guidance of 18-20% for FY18,
led by continued traction across product lines. Unsecured retail loans have grown to 9.6% of total retail loans and
largely pertain to the bank’s existing customers.
ICICI reported 12 bps YoY expansion in
margins over H1FY18 to 3.27%, aided by
interest on income tax refund, strong CASA FOR WEEKLY GAINS
growth and continued traction in retail loans.
However, the absence of such one-off gains, Fast...Focused…First
accelerated re-pricing of advances portfolio Fresh One Up Trend Weekly
and migration of base rate loans to MCLR
(Marginal Cost of Funds based Lending rate) A product designed for short-term trading singling out one
stock to focus upon.
will weigh heavy on margins in H2FY18. On
Fresh One Up Trend Weekly (formerly Power of RS Weekly) will
CASA, the bank is reaching out to government identify the stop loss, buy price range and profit booking levels
clients to provide customized solutions, along with its relative strength, weekly reversal value and the
dashboard and MIS (management information start date of the trend or the turndown exit signals. This
system), which will provide it a sticky recommendation will be followed up in the subsequent week with
business opportunity. the revised levels for each trading parameter.
ICICI expects credit cost to stay elevated in Subscription: Rs.2000 per month or Rs.18000 per annum
the near term since it needs to provide Rs.20 Available via email
bn by March 2018 towards the second list of For a free trial call us on 022-22616970 or email at
stressed accounts given by the RBI. The bank moneytimes.support@gmail.com
has not given any guidance on haircuts
STOCK ANALYSIS
MARKET REVIEW
MARKET OUTLOOK
PRESS RELEASE
TECHNO FUNDA
By Nayan Patel
REVIEW
Sakthi Finance Ltd Indo Thai Securities recommended at Rs.64.25 on 11 December 2017,
(BSE Code: 511066) (CMP: Rs.46.20) zoomed to Rs.128 last week appreciating 100% in 1.5 months.
(FV: Rs.10) Archidply Industries recommended at Rs.103.5 on 11 December 2017,
Incorporated in 1955, Coimbatore- zoomed to Rs.131 last week appreciating 26% in 1.5 months.
based Sakthi Finance Ltd (SFL), a part PCS Technology recommended at Rs.26.4 on 4 December 2017, zoomed to
of the Sakthi group, is a non-banking Rs.34 last week appreciating 29% in 1.5 months.
finance company (NBFC) that provides Triton Valves recommended at Rs.1797.65 on 27 November 2017, zoomed to
asset financing services. It offers hire Rs.2795 last week appreciating 55% in 1.5 months.
purchase financing for small, medium CMI recommended at Rs.209.9 on 27 November 2017, zoomed to Rs.308 last
and heavy commercial vehicles; and week appreciating 47% in 1.5 months.
financing for purchasing infrastructure
Sadhana Nitrochem recommended at Rs.70 on 4 September 2017, zoomed to
construction equipment, multi-utility Rs.148 last week appreciating 111% in 4.5 months.
vehicles, cars, jeeps and other
machinery. It also generates power Rishabh Digha Steel & Allied Products recommended at Rs.37.25 on 21
August 2017, zoomed to Rs.71 last Week appreciating 91% in 5 months.
through windmills and sells power to
Tamil Nadu Electricity Board and
Gujarat Urja Vikas Nigam Ltd. It operates 17 windmills with 5,150 KW capacity in Tamil Nadu and Gujarat. It operates
through a network of 49 branches across Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Maharashtra, Haryana and the
Union Territory of Puducherry.
BULL’S EYE
Disclaimer: Investment recommendations made in Money Times are for information purposes only and derived from sources that are deemed to
be reliable but their accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Money Times or the analyst/writer does not accept any lia bility for the use of
this column for the buying or selling of securities. Readers of this column who buy or sell securities based on the information in this column are
solely responsible for their actions. The author, his company or his acquaintances may/may not have positions in the above mentioned scrip.
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