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Stasiun Hujan yang digunakan

Luas DTA Bobot Thiesen


No Stasiun Hujan Bobot Thiesen
(m2) (%)
1 Jatisrono 619431735.9 35.24 0.35239
2 Wd.Krisak 362686810.2 20.63 0.20633
3 Wuryantoro 174393533.8 9.92 0.09921
4 Eromoko 257667487.9 14.66 0.14658
5 Kd.Uling 50889152.1 2.90 0.02895
6 Songputri 292748778.5 16.65 0.16654
Jumlah 1757817498.36 100.00 1.000

Stasiun Pencatat Curah Hujan

No Tahun Tanggal
Jatisrono Wd.Krisak Wuryantoro

1 2002 4-Feb 76 58 2
10-Feb 12 61 18
3-Feb 0 0 79
10-Apr 12 0 27
4-Feb 76 58 2
27-Jan 0 0 0
2 2003 4-Jan 63 18 0
3-Mar 0 75 46
17-Feb 0 74 95
9-Dec 18 0 66
26-Feb 0 2 63
23-Dec 25 10 10
3 2004 30-Jan 85 31 0
24-Jan 67 68 35
17-Jan 61 24 107
22-Mar 3 0 13
23-Dec 0 0 0
18-Nov 0 0 0
4 2005 14-Mar 71 60 73
6-Mar 11 70 0
14-Mar 71 60 73
4-Mar 6 0 23
28 Okt 0 0 0
24-Jun 37 0 0
5 2006 17-Feb 92 0 0
6-Nov 0 80 0
29-Dec 51 7 131
22-Feb 7 0 10
29-Dec 51 7 131
30-Dec 32 16 30
6 2007 26-Dec 117 132 138
26-Dec 117 132 138
26-Dec 117 132 138
26-Dec 117 132 138
26-Dec 117 132 138
16-Apr 27 11 2
7 2008 24-Mar 70 0 13
6-Nov 0 80 0
5-Nov 0 0 103
25-Nov 0 35 0
21-Feb 12 0 63
9-Nov 0 0 3
8 2009 28-Dec 87 2 0
26-Mar 16 70 47
24-Jan 0 0 142
28-Jan 2 5 7
12-Feb 16 20 29
1-Dec 0 0 0
9 2010 31-Mar 143 30 0
15-May 40 84 51
18-Jan 17 11 125
16-May 34 0 0
15-Feb 41 35 61
19-Feb 0 0 39
10 2011 31-Mar 143 0 2
24-Nov 0 80 0
3-Jun 0 0 100
1-May 15 0 10
15-Feb 14 0 19
15-Feb 14 0 19
11 2012 18-Dec 50 15 18
25-Nov 0 95 45
15-Jan 0 12 175
17-Dec 43 0 0
16-Dec 27 17 64
4-Feb 0 0 67
12 2013 6-Jan 60 115 10
8-Apr 0 140 26
14-Jan 0 21 138
10-Dec 10 0 8
14-Jan 0 21 138
15-Nov 0 0 36
13 2014 12-Dec 95 0 79
14-Nov 0 89 19
25-Mar 0 0 95
17-Dec 35 0 29
25-Jan 0 0 30
18-Dec 0 0 0
14 2015 10-Feb 76 25 18
7-Feb 0 178 11
29-Mar 0 6 135
14-Feb 15 22 84
16-Dec 60 9 54
14-Feb 15 22 84
15 2016 1 Okt 66 20 0
19-Jun 21 188 91
19-Jan 10 40 98
9 Okt 20 60 75
9 Okt 20 60 75
18-Nov 0 0 0
siun Pencatat Curah Hujan Bobot Luas Wilayah Pengaruh

Jatisrono Wd.Krisak Wuryantoro


Eromoko Kd.Uling Songputri
0.35239 0.20633 0.09921
60 58 70 26.781399 11.967019 0.198421
20 12 13 4.228642 12.586002 1.785785
0 0 0 0.000000 0.000000 7.837611
67 0 0 4.228642 0.000000 2.678677
60 58 70 26.781399 11.967019 0.198421
0 0 83 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000
13 0 31 22.200 3.714 0.000
0 16 8 0.000 15.475 4.564
0 0 12 0.000 15.268 9.425
125 100 22 6.343 0.000 6.548
0 113 12 0.000 0.413 6.250
13 5 84 8.810 2.063 0.992
8 0 0 29.953 6.396 0.000
28 15 135 23.610 14.030 3.472
11 0 0 21.496 4.952 10.615
89 12 65 1.057 0.000 1.290
0 97 55 0.000 0.000 0.000
0 0 147 0.000 0.000 0.000
16 25 0 25.019 12.380 7.242
10 16 0 3.876 14.443 0.000
16 25 0 25.019 12.380 7.242
55 0 0 2.114 0.000 2.282
0 95 0 0.000 0.000 0.000
0 0 132 13.038 0.000 0.000
0 0 0 32.420 0.000 0.000
0 0 0 0.000 16.506 0.000
65 123 19 17.972 1.444 12.997
87 0 18 2.467 0.000 0.992
65 123 19 17.972 1.444 12.997
15 8 168 11.276 3.301 2.976
95 121 0 41.229 27.235 13.691
95 121 0 41.229 27.235 13.691
95 121 0 41.229 27.235 13.691
95 121 0 41.229 27.235 13.691
95 121 0 41.229 27.235 13.691
0 2 65 9.514 2.270 0.198
53 0 0 24.667 0.000 1.290
41 0 25 0.000 16.506 0.000
0 0 0 0.000 0.000 10.219
127 0 83 0.000 7.221 0.000
93 69 47 4.229 0.000 6.250
23 0 96 0.000 0.000 0.298
30 17 0 30.658 0.413 0.000
0 26 4 5.638 14.443 4.663
15 47 38 0.000 0.000 14.088
95 10 28 0.705 1.032 0.694
41 58 53 5.638 4.127 2.877
0 0 104 0.000 0.000 0.000
26 0 4 50.391 6.190 0.000
18 34 25 14.095 17.332 5.060
0 0 0 5.991 2.270 12.401
84 0 10 11.981 0.000 0.000
40 81 73 14.448 7.221 6.052
48 20 171 0.000 0.000 3.869
7 0 20 50.391 0.000 0.198
8 0 7 0.000 16.506 0.000
0 0 0 0.000 0.000 9.921
135 5 2 5.286 0.000 0.992
0 65 103 4.933 0.000 1.885
0 65 103 4.933 0.000 1.885
15 15 2 17.619 3.095 1.786
30 44 17 0.000 19.601 4.464
3 4 0 0.000 2.476 17.362
97 37 25 15.153 0.000 0.000
0 81 15 9.514 3.508 6.349
68 0 91 0.000 0.000 6.647
0 14 11 21.143 23.728 0.992
32 49 17 0.000 28.886 2.579
20 104 8 0.000 4.333 13.691
70 9 3 3.524 0.000 0.794
20 104 8 0.000 4.333 13.691
35 0 33 0.000 0.000 3.572
50 75 3 33.477 0.000 7.838
0 0 0 0.000 18.363 1.885
77 86 8 0.000 0.000 9.425
105 35 1 12.334 0.000 2.877
40 107 14 0.000 0.000 2.976
0 0 48 0.000 0.000 0.000
11 16 4 26.781 5.158 1.786
0 0 0 0.000 36.726 1.091
20 38 10 0.000 1.238 13.393
135 79 47 5.286 4.539 8.334
50 101 10 21.143 1.857 5.357
135 79 47 5.286 4.539 8.334
0 0 0 23.258 4.127 0.000
35 81 0 7.400 38.790 9.028
8 45 9 3.524 8.253 9.723
127 145 3 7.048 12.380 7.441
127 145 3 7.048 12.380 7.441
10 10 67 0.000 0.000 0.000
Luas Wilayah Pengaruh
Hujan Hujan Max
Eromoko Kd.Uling Songputri Harian Harian Rata -
Rata - Rata Rata
0.14658 0.02895 0.16654
8.795025 1.679111 11.657874 61.079
2.931675 0.347402 2.165034 24.045
0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 7.838 61.079
9.821112 0.000000 0.000000 16.728
8.795025 1.679111 11.657874 61.079
0.000000 0.000000 13.822907 13.823
1.906 0.000 5.163 32.983
0.000 0.463 1.332 21.834
0.000 0.000 1.998 26.692 37.773
18.323 2.895 3.664 37.773
0.000 3.271 1.998 11.933
1.906 0.145 13.989 27.905
1.173 0.000 0.000 37.522
4.104 0.434 22.483 68.134
1.612 0.000 0.000 38.675 68.134
13.046 0.347 10.825 26.565
0.000 2.808 9.160 11.968
0.000 0.000 24.482 24.482
2.345 0.724 0.000 47.711
1.466 0.463 0.000 20.248
2.345 0.724 0.000 47.711 47.711
8.062 0.000 0.000 12.458
0.000 2.750 0.000 2.750
0.000 0.000 21.983 35.022
0.000 0.000 0.000 32.420
0.000 0.000 0.000 16.506
9.528 3.561 3.164 48.666 48.666
12.753 0.000 2.998 19.209
9.528 3.561 3.164 48.666
2.199 0.232 27.979 47.963
13.925 3.503 0.000 99.584
13.925 3.503 0.000 99.584
13.925 3.503 0.000 99.584 99.584
13.925 3.503 0.000 99.584
13.925 3.503 0.000 99.584
0.000 0.058 10.825 22.866
7.769 0.000 0.000 33.726
6.010 0.000 4.164 26.680
0.000 0.000 0.000 10.219 39.661
18.616 0.000 13.823 39.661
13.632 1.998 7.827 33.936
3.371 0.000 15.988 19.657
4.398 0.492 0.000 35.960
0.000 0.753 0.666 26.163
2.199 1.361 6.329 23.976 35.960
13.925 0.290 4.663 21.309
6.010 1.679 8.827 29.158
0.000 0.000 17.320 17.320
3.811 0.000 0.666 61.058
2.639 0.984 4.164 44.273
0.000 0.000 0.000 20.661 61.058
12.313 0.000 1.665 25.960
5.863 2.345 12.157 48.087
7.036 0.579 28.479 39.963
1.026 0.000 3.331 54.947
1.173 0.000 1.166 18.845
0.000 0.000 0.000 9.921 54.947
19.789 0.145 0.333 26.545
0.000 1.882 17.154 25.854
0.000 1.882 17.154 25.854
2.199 0.434 0.333 25.466
4.398 1.274 2.831 32.568
0.440 0.116 0.000 20.393 34.606
14.219 1.071 4.164 34.606
0.000 2.345 2.498 24.215
9.968 0.000 15.155 31.770
0.000 0.405 1.832 48.100
4.691 1.419 2.831 40.406
2.932 3.011 1.332 25.299 48.100
10.261 0.261 0.500 15.339
2.932 3.011 1.332 25.299
5.130 0.000 5.496 14.198
7.329 2.171 0.500 51.314
0.000 0.000 0.000 20.248
11.287 2.490 1.332 24.534 51.314
15.391 1.013 0.167 31.782
5.863 3.098 2.332 14.269
0.000 0.000 7.994 7.994
1.612 0.463 0.666 36.467
0.000 0.000 0.000 37.818
2.932 1.100 1.665 20.329 48.062
19.789 2.287 7.827 48.062
7.329 2.924 1.665 40.276
19.789 2.287 7.827 48.062
0.000 0.000 0.000 27.384
5.130 2.345 0.000 62.693
1.173 1.303 1.499 25.474 62.693
18.616 4.198 0.500 50.182
18.616 4.198 0.500 50.182
1.466 0.290 11.158 12.914
Curah Hujan Max Parameter Statistik
No Tahun Hujan Max Tahun Xi (Xi-Xr) (Xi-Xr)2
1 2002 61.079 2002 61.079 7.789 60.669
2 2003 37.773 2003 37.773 -15.517 240.781
3 2004 68.134 2004 68.134 14.844 220.355
4 2005 47.711 2005 47.711 -5.579 31.128
5 2006 48.666 2006 48.666 -4.624 21.383
6 2007 99.584 2007 99.584 46.294 2143.148
7 2008 39.661 2008 39.661 -13.629 185.758
8 2009 35.960 2009 35.960 -17.330 300.324
9 2010 61.058 2010 61.058 7.769 60.352
10 2011 54.947 2011 54.947 1.657 2.745
11 2012 34.606 2012 34.606 -18.684 349.088
12 2013 48.100 2013 48.100 -5.190 26.932
13 2014 51.314 2014 51.314 -1.975 3.902
14 2015 48.062 2015 48.062 -5.228 27.331
15 2016 62.693 2016 62.693 9.403 88.425
Jumlah 799.348 0.0000 3762.321

Parameter Nilai
Xr 53.290
S 16.393
Cv 0.308
Cs 1.603
CK 3.784
Parameter Logaritmik
(Xi-Xr)3 (Xi-Xr)4 Tahun Xi Log Xi Log Xi-Log Xr
472.549 3680.685 2002 61.079 1.786 0.076
-3736.220 57975.324 2003 37.773 1.577 -0.133
3271.039 48556.528 2004 68.134 1.833 0.123
-173.672 968.959 2005 47.711 1.679 -0.031
-98.879 457.232 2006 48.666 1.687 -0.023
99215.222 4593084.259 2007 99.584 1.998 0.288
-2531.760 34506.161 2008 39.661 1.598 -0.112
-5204.578 90194.624 2009 35.960 1.556 -0.154
468.854 3642.365 2010 61.058 1.786 0.076
4.548 7.535 2011 54.947 1.740 0.030
-6522.326 121862.489 2012 34.606 1.539 -0.171
-139.763 725.310 2013 48.100 1.682 -0.028
-7.708 15.227 2014 51.314 1.710 0.000
-142.880 746.958 2015 48.062 1.682 -0.028
831.502 7818.994 2016 62.693 1.797 0.087
85705.928 4964242.651 Jumlah 799.348 25.651 0.000

Parameter Nilai
Xr 1.710
S 0.121
Cv 0.071
Cs 0.694
CK 3.784
Syarat Kriteria
(Log Xi-Log Xr)2 (Log Xi-Log Xr)3 (Log Xi-Log Xr)4 Jenis Distribusi
0.006 0.000 0.000
Normal
0.018 -0.002 0.000
0.015 0.002 0.000
Log Normal
0.001 0.000 0.000
0.001 0.000 0.000
Gumbel
0.083 0.024 0.007
0.012 -0.001 0.000
Log Person III
0.024 -0.004 0.001
0.006 0.000 0.000
0.001 0.000 0.000
0.029 -0.005 0.001 Tahun
0.001 0.000 0.000 2002
0.000 0.000 0.000 2003
0.001 0.000 0.000 2004
0.008 0.001 0.000 2005
0.204 0.015 0.009 2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Max
Min
Syarat Perhitungan Kesimpulan
Cs ≈ 0 1.603 Tidak Memenuhi
Ck ≈ 3 3.784 Tidak Memenuhi
Cv = 0 0.694 Tidak Memenuhi
Cs ≈ 3Cv + Cv3 = 0.212 3.784 Mendekati 0.212336
Cs ≈ 1.1396 1.603 Mendekati
Ck ≈ 5.4022 3.784 Mendekati
Cs ' 0 0.694 Memenuhi
Ck ≈ 1.5Cs (ln X)2 + 3 = 3.559 3.784 Tidak Memenuhi 3.558839

Xi LogXi G= 4.907
61.079 1.786 G= 5
37.773 1.577 dk = 3
68.134 1.833 α= 5%
47.711 1.679 Log Xi max 1.998
48.666 1.687 Log Xi min 1.539
99.584 1.998 ΔX 0.153
39.661 1.598 1/2 ΔX 0.077
35.960 1.556 x awal 1.463
61.058 1.786 x akhir 2.075
54.947 1.740
34.606 1.539
48.100 1.682
51.314 1.710
48.062 1.682
62.693 1.797
99.584 1.998
34.606 1.539
1+(3.322*(log(jumlah data))

G= 4.907
G= 5
dk = 3
α= 5%
Xi max 99.584
Xi min 34.606
ΔX 21.659
1/2 ΔX 10.830
x awal 23.776
x akhir 110.414
Uji Chi Kuadrat untuk Log Pearson III
Tahun Xi LogXi G= 4.907 Hujan Max
2002 61.079 1.786 G= 5 1.786
2003 37.773 1.577 dk = 3 1.577
2004 68.134 1.833 α= 5% 1.833
2005 47.711 1.679 Log Xi max 1.998 1.679
2006 48.666 1.687 Log Xi min 1.539 1.687
2007 99.584 1.998 ΔX 0.153 1.998
2008 39.661 1.598 1/2 ΔX 0.077 1.598
2009 35.960 1.556 x awal 1.463 1.556
2010 61.058 1.786 x akhir 2.075 1.786
2011 54.947 1.740 Jumlah data 15 1.740
2012 34.606 1.539 1.539
2013 48.100 1.682 1.682
2014 51.314 1.710 1.710
2015 48.062 1.682 1.682
2016 62.693 1.797 1.797

Dk Derajat Kepercayaan ( α )
0.995 0.99 0.975 0.95 0.05 0.025
1 0.000039 0.000157 0.000982 0.00393 3.841 5.024
2 0.01 0.0201 0.0506 0.103 5.991 7.378
3 0.0717 0.115 0.216 0.352 7.815 9.248
4 0.207 0.297 0.484 0.711 9.488 11.143
5 0.412 0.54 0.831 1.145 11.01 12.832
6 0.676 0.872 1.237 1.635 12.592 14.449
7 0.989 1.239 1.69 2.167 14.067 16.013
8 1.344 1.646 2.18 2.733 15.507 17.535
9 1.735 2.088 2.7 3.325 16.919 19.023
10 2.156 2.558 3.247 3.94 18.307 20.483
11 2.603 3.053 3.816 4.575 19.675 21.92
12 3.074 3.571 4.404 5.226 21.026 23.337
13 3.565 4.107 5.009 5.892 22.362 24.736
14 4.075 4.66 5.629 6.571 23.685 26.119
15 4.601 5.229 6.262 7.261 24.996 27.488
16 5.124 5.812 6.908 7.962 26.296 28.845
17 5.697 6.408 7.564 8.672 27.587 30.191
18 6.265 7.015 8.231 9.36 28.869 31.526
19 6.844 7.633 8.907 10.117 30.144 32.852
20 7.434 8.26 9.591 10.851 31.41 34.17
21 8.034 8.897 10.283 11.591 32.671 35.479
22 8.643 9.542 10.982 12.338 33.924 36.781
23 9.26 10.196 11.689 13.091 36.172 38.076
24 9.886 18.856 12.401 13.949 36.415 39.364
25 10.52 11.524 13.12 14.611 37.652 40.646
26 11.16 12.198 13.844 15.379 38.885 41.923
27 11.808 12.879 14.573 16.151 40.113 43.194
28 12.461 13.565 15.308 16.928 41.337 44.461
29 13.121 14.256 16.047 17.708 42.557 45.722
30 13.787 14.953 16.791 18.493 43.773 46.979
Sort Hujan Max No bb ba Ei Oi Oi-Ei
1.539 1 1.463 1.616 3 4 1
1.556 2 1.616 1.769 3 6 3
1.577 3 1.769 1.922 3 4 1
1.598 4 1.922 2.075 3 1 -2
1.679 Jumlah 12 15 3
1.682
1.682
1.687
1.710
1.740
1.786
1.786
1.797
1.833
1.998

)
0.01 0.005
6.635 7.879
9.21 10.597 derajat kepercayaan diambil 0.05, dan Dk=3.
11.345 12.838 maka diambil nilai f2cr = 7.815 (tabel III-7 Soewarno, hal 223)
13.277 14.86 f2 < f2cr, sehingga metode Log Pearson III memenuhi syarat
15.086 16.75
16.812 18.548
18.475 20.278
20.09 21.955
21.666 23.589
23.209 25.188
24.725 26.757
26.217 28.3
27.688 29.819
29.141 31.319
30.758 32.801
32 34.267
33.409 35.718
34.805 37.756
36.191 38.582
37.566 39.997
38.932 40.401
40.289 42.796
41.683 44.181
42.98 45.558
44.314 46.928
45.642 48.29
46.963 49.645
48.278 50.993
49.588 52.336
50.892 53.672
Uji Smirnov untuk Log Pearson III
F2= (Oi-Ei)2 / Ei Tahun Rmx m P=(m/(n+1))
0.3333 2012 1.539 1 0.063
3.0000 2009 1.556 2 0.125
0.3333 2003 1.577 3 0.188
1.3333 2008 1.598 4 0.250
5 2005 1.679 5 0.313
2015 1.682 6 0.375
2013 1.682 7 0.438
2006 1.687 8 0.500
2014 1.710 9 0.563
2011 1.740 10 0.625
2010 1.786 11 0.688
2002 1.786 12 0.750
2016 1.797 13 0.813
2004 1.833 14 0.875
2007 1.998 15 0.938
Jumlah 25.651
Rata - Rata 1.710
StDev 0.120835

α
N
0.2 0.1 0.05
5 0.45 0.51 0.56
10 0.32 0.37 0.41
15 0.27 0.3 0.34
20 0.23 0.26 0.29
25 0.21 0.24 0.27
30 0.19 0.22 0.24
35 0.18 0.2 0.23
40 0.17 0.19 0.21
45 0.16 0.18 0.2
50 0.15 0.17 0.19
N>50 1.07/n^0.51.22/n^0.5 1.36/n^0.5
P(x<)=1-P k=(x-xrt)/s P' = m/(n-1) P'(x) D=P'(x)-P(x<)
0.938 -12.613 0.071 0.929 -0.009
0.875 -12.596 0.143 0.857 -0.018
0.813 -12.575 0.214 0.786 -0.027
0.750 -12.554 0.286 0.714 -0.036
0.688 -12.473 0.357 0.643 -0.045
0.625 -12.470 0.429 0.571 -0.054
0.563 -12.470 0.500 0.500 -0.063
0.500 -12.465 0.571 0.429 -0.071
0.438 -12.442 0.643 0.357 -0.080
0.375 -12.412 0.714 0.286 -0.089
0.313 -12.366 0.786 0.214 -0.098
0.250 -12.366 0.857 0.143 -0.107
0.188 -12.355 0.929 0.071 -0.116
0.125 -12.319 1.000 0.000 -0.125
0.063 -12.154 1.071 -0.071 -0.134
Dmax -1.071

α
0.01
0.67 Dmax < D , Sehingga metode Log Pearson III dan Normal dapat diterima
0.49
0.4
0.36
0.32
0.29
0.27
0.25
0.24
0.23
1.63/n^0.5
Uji Chi Kuadrat untuk Normal & Gumbel
Tahun Xi LogXi G= 4.907 Hujan Max Sort Hujan Max
2002 61.079 1.786 G= 5 61.079 34.606
2003 37.773 1.577 dk = 3 37.773 35.960
2004 68.134 1.833 α= 5% 68.134 37.773
2005 47.711 1.679 Log Xi max 99.584 47.711 39.661
2006 48.666 1.687 Log Xi min 34.606 48.666 47.711
2007 99.584 1.998 ΔX 21.659 99.584 48.062
2008 39.661 1.598 1/2 ΔX 10.830 39.661 48.100
2009 35.960 1.556 x awal 23.776 35.960 48.666
2010 61.058 1.786 x akhir 110.414 61.058 51.314
2011 54.947 1.740 Jumlah data 15 54.947 54.947
2012 34.606 1.539 34.606 61.058
2013 48.100 1.682 48.100 61.079
2014 51.314 1.710 51.314 62.693
2015 48.062 1.682 48.062 68.134
2016 62.693 1.797 62.693 99.584

Derajat Kepercayaan ( α )
Dk
0.995 0.99 0.975 0.95 0.05 0.025 0.01
1 3.93E-05 0.000157 0.000982 0.00393 3.841 5.024 6.635
2 0.01 0.0201 0.0506 0.103 5.991 7.378 9.21
3 0.0717 0.115 0.216 0.352 7.815 9.248 11.345
4 0.207 0.297 0.484 0.711 9.488 11.143 13.277
5 0.412 0.54 0.831 1.145 11.01 12.832 15.086
6 0.676 0.872 1.237 1.635 12.592 14.449 16.812
7 0.989 1.239 1.69 2.167 14.067 16.013 18.475
8 1.344 1.646 2.18 2.733 15.507 17.535 20.09
9 1.735 2.088 2.7 3.325 16.919 19.023 21.666
10 2.156 2.558 3.247 3.94 18.307 20.483 23.209
11 2.603 3.053 3.816 4.575 19.675 21.92 24.725
12 3.074 3.571 4.404 5.226 21.026 23.337 26.217
13 3.565 4.107 5.009 5.892 22.362 24.736 27.688
14 4.075 4.66 5.629 6.571 23.685 26.119 29.141
15 4.601 5.229 6.262 7.261 24.996 27.488 30.758
16 5.124 5.812 6.908 7.962 26.296 28.845 32
17 5.697 6.408 7.564 8.672 27.587 30.191 33.409
18 6.265 7.015 8.231 9.36 28.869 31.526 34.805
19 6.844 7.633 8.907 10.117 30.144 32.852 36.191
20 7.434 8.26 9.591 10.851 31.41 34.17 37.566
21 8.034 8.897 10.283 11.591 32.671 35.479 38.932
22 8.643 9.542 10.982 12.338 33.924 36.781 40.289
23 9.26 10.196 11.689 13.091 36.172 38.076 41.683
24 9.886 18.856 12.401 13.949 36.415 39.364 42.98
25 10.52 11.524 13.12 14.611 37.652 40.646 44.314
26 11.16 12.198 13.844 15.379 38.885 41.923 45.642
27 11.808 12.879 14.573 16.151 40.113 43.194 46.963
28 12.461 13.565 15.308 16.928 41.337 44.461 48.278
29 13.121 14.256 16.047 17.708 42.557 45.722 49.588
30 13.787 14.953 16.791 18.493 43.773 46.979 50.892
No bb ba Ei Oi Oi-Ei F2= (Oi-Ei)2 / Ei
1 23.776 45.436 3 4 1 0.333
2 45.436 67.095 3 9 6 12.000
3 67.095 88.754 3 1 -2 1.333
4 88.754 110.414 3 1 -2 1.333
Jumlah 12 15 3 15

0.005
7.879
10.597 derajat kepercayaan diambil 0.05, dan Dk=3.
12.838 maka diambil nilai f2cr = 7.815 (tabel III-7 Soewarno, hal 223)
14.86 f2> f2cr, sehingga metode Normal tidak memenuhi syarat
16.75
18.548
20.278
21.955
23.589
25.188
26.757
28.3
29.819
31.319
32.801
34.267
35.718
37.756
38.582
39.997
40.401
42.796
44.181
45.558
46.928
48.29
49.645
50.993
52.336
53.672
Uji Smirnov untuk Normal & Gumbel
Tahun Rmax m P = (m/(n+1)) P(x<)=1-P k=(x-xrt)/s P' = m/(n-1) P'(x)
2012 34.606 1.000 0.063 0.938 -1.140 0.071 0.929
2009 35.960 2.000 0.125 0.875 -1.057 0.143 0.857
2003 37.773 3.000 0.188 0.813 -0.947 0.214 0.786
2008 39.661 4.000 0.250 0.750 -0.831 0.286 0.714
2005 47.711 5.000 0.313 0.688 -0.340 0.357 0.643
2015 48.062 6.000 0.375 0.625 -0.319 0.429 0.571
2013 48.100 7.000 0.438 0.563 -0.317 0.500 0.500
2006 48.666 8.000 0.500 0.500 -0.282 0.571 0.429
2014 51.314 9.000 0.563 0.438 -0.121 0.643 0.357
2011 54.947 10.000 0.625 0.375 0.101 0.714 0.286
2010 61.058 11.000 0.688 0.313 0.474 0.786 0.214
2002 61.079 12.000 0.750 0.250 0.475 0.857 0.143
2016 62.693 13.000 0.813 0.188 0.574 0.929 0.071
2004 68.134 14.000 0.875 0.125 0.906 1.000 0.000
2007 99.584 15.000 0.938 0.063 2.824 1.071 -0.071
Jumlah 799.348 Dmax
Rata-rata 53.290
Stdev 16.393

α
N
0.2 0.1 0.05 0.01
5 0.45 0.51 0.56 0.67
10 0.32 0.37 0.41 0.49
15 0.27 0.3 0.34 0.4 Dmax < D OKE
20 0.23 0.26 0.29 0.36
25 0.21 0.24 0.27 0.32
30 0.19 0.22 0.24 0.29
35 0.18 0.2 0.23 0.27
40 0.17 0.19 0.21 0.25
45 0.16 0.18 0.2 0.24
50 0.15 0.17 0.19 0.23
N>50 1.07/n^0.51.22/n^0.5 1.36/n^0.5 1.63/n^0.5
D=P'(x)-P(x<)
-0.009
-0.018
-0.027
-0.036
-0.045
-0.054
-0.063
-0.071
-0.080
-0.089
-0.098
-0.107
-0.116
-0.125
-0.134
-1.071
Distribusi Normal

Nilai Variabel Reduksi Gauss

Periode ulang.T Peluang


No. KT T X KT S
(tahun)

1 1 0.999 -3.05 1 -3.05


2 2 0.5 0 2 0
3 2.5 0.4 0.25 3 0.25
4 4 0.25 0.67 4 0.67
5 5 0.2 0.84 5 0.84
6 10 0.1 1.28 6 1.28
53.28984 16.39321
7 20 0.05 1.64 7 1.64
8 50 0.02 2.05 8 2.05
9 100 0.01 2.33 9 2.33
10 200 0.005 2.58 10 2.58
11 500 0.002 2.88 11 2.88
12 1000 0.001 3.09 12 3.09

Distribusi Gumbel

Reduced Variate (Yt) Reduced Mean (Yn)


Periode
Ulang Reduced Variate n 0 1 2 3 4
(Tahun)
2 0.3665 10 0.4952 0.4996 0.5035 0.507 0.51
5 1.4999 20 0.5236 0.5252 0.5268 0.5283 0.5296
10 2.2502 30 0.5363 0.5371 0.538 0.5388 0.5396
20 2.9606 40 0.5463 0.5442 0.5448 0.5453 0.5458
25 3.1985 50 0.5485 0.5489 0.5493 0.5497 0.5501
50 3.9019 60 0.5521 0.5524 0.5527 0.553 0.5533
100 4.6001 70 0.5548 0.555 0.5552 0.5555 0.5557
200 5.296 80 0.5569 0.557 0.5572 0.5574 0.5576
500 6.214 90 0.5586 0.5587 0.5589 0.5591 0.5592
1000 6.919 100 0.56
5000 8.539
10000 9.921

Reduced Standart Deviation (Sn)


n 0 1 2 3 4
10 0.9496 0.9676 0.9833 0.9971 1.0095
20 1.0628 1.0696 1.0754 1.0811 1.0864
30 1.1124 1.1159 1.1193 1.1226 1.1255
40 1.1413 1.1436 1.1458 1.148 1.1499
50 1.1607 1.1923 1.1638 1.1658 1.1667
60 1.1747 1.1759 1.177 1.1782 1.1793
70 1.1854 1.1863 1.1873 1.1881 1.189
80 1.1938 1.1945 1.1953 1.1959 1.1967
90 1.2007 1.2013 1.2026 1.2032 1.2038
100 1.2065

Distribusi Log Normal

Peluang Kumulatif (%)


Koefisien 50 80 90 95 98 99
Kemencengan
(Cs) Periode Ulang (tahun)
2 5 10 20 50 100
-2 0.2366 -0.6144 -1.2437 -1.8916 -2.7943 -3.5196
-1.8 0.224 -0.6395 -1.2621 -1.8928 -2.7578 -3.4433
-1.6 0.2092 -0.6654 -1.2792 -1.8901 -2.7138 -3.357
-1.4 0.192 -0.692 -1.2943 -1.8827 -2.6615 -3.2601
-1.2 0.1722 -0.7186 -1.3067 -1.8696 -2.6002 -3.1521
-1 0.1495 -0.7449 -1.3156 -1.8501 -2.5294 -3.0333
-0.8 0.1241 -0.77 -1.3201 -1.8235 -2.4492 -2.9043
-0.6 0.0959 -0.793 -0.3194 -1.7894 -2.36 -2.7665
-0.4 0.0654 -0.8131 -0.3128 -1.7478 -2.2631 -2.6223
-0.2 0.0332 -0.8296 -0.3002 -1.6993 -2.1602 -2.4745
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0.2 -0.0332 0.8996 0.3002 1.5993 2.1602 2.4745
0.4 -0.0654 0.8131 0.3128 1.7478 2.2631 2.6223
0.6 -0.0959 0.793 0.3194 1.7894 2.36 2.7665
0.8 -0.1241 0.77 1.3201 1.8235 2.4492 2.9043
1 -0.1495 0.7449 1.3156 1.8501 2.5294 3.0333
1.2 -0.1722 0.7186 1.30567 1.8696 2.6002 3.1521
1.4 -0.192 0.692 1.2943 1.8827 2.6615 3.2601
1.6 -0.2092 0.6654 1.2792 1.8901 2.7138 3.357
1.8 -0.224 0.6395 1.2621 1.8928 2.7578 3.4433
2 -0.2366 0.6144 1.2437 1.8916 2.7943 3.5196

Distribusi Log Person III

Peluang Kumulatif (%)


Koefisien 2 5 10 25 50 100 200
Kemencengan
(Cs)
Koefisien
Kemencengan
(Cs) Periode Ulang (tahun)
50 20 10 4 2 1 0.5
3 -0.396 0.42 1.18 2.278 3.152 4.051 4.97
2.5 -0.36 0.518 1.25 2.262 3.048 3.845 4.652
2.2 -0.33 0.574 1.284 2.24 2.97 3.705 4.444
2 -0.307 0.609 1.302 2.219 2.912 3.605 4.298
1.8 -0.282 0.643 1.318 2.193 2.848 3.499 4.147
1.6 -0.254 0.675 1.329 2.163 2.78 3.388 3.99
1.4 -0.225 0.705 1.337 2.128 2.706 3.271 3.828
1.2 -0.195 0.732 1.34 2.087 2.626 3.149 3.661
1 -0.164 0.758 1.34 2.043 2.542 3.022 3.489
0.9 -0.148 0.769 1.339 2.018 2.498 2.957 3.401
0.8 -0.132 0.78 1.336 1.998 2.453 2.891 3.312
0.7 -0.116 0.79 1.333 1.967 2.407 2.824 3.223
0.6 0.099 0.8 1.328 1.939 2.359 2.755 3.132
0.5 -0.083 0.808 1.323 1.91 2.311 2.686 3.041
0.4 -0.066 0.816 1.317 1.88 2.261 2.615 2.949
0.3 -0.05 0.824 1.309 1.849 2.211 2.544 2.856
0.2 -0.033 0.83 1.301 1.818 2.159 2.472 2.763
0.1 -0.017 0.836 1.292 1.785 2.107 2.4 2.67
0 0 0.842 1.282 1.751 2.054 2.326 2.576
-0.1 0.017 0.836 1.27 1.761 2 2.252 2.482
-0.2 0.033 0.85 1.258 1.68 1.945 2.178 2.388
-0.3 0.05 0.853 1.245 1.643 1.89 2.104 2.294
-0.4 0.066 0.855 1.231 1.606 1.834 2.029 2.201
-0.5 0.083 0.856 1.216 1.567 1.777 1.955 2.108
-0.6 0.099 0.857 1.2 1.528 1.72 1.88 2.016
-0.7 0.116 0.857 1.183 1.488 1.663 1.806 1.926
-0.8 0.132 0.856 1.166 1.488 1.606 1.733 1.837
XT

3.29056
53.28984
57.38814
64.27329
67.06013
74.27314
80.1747
86.89591
91.48601
95.58431
100.5023
103.9448

5 6 7 8 9 T X KT S

0.5128 0.5157 0.5181 0.5202 0.522 2 -0.14966


0.53 0.582 0.5882 0.5343 0.5353 5 0.898714
0.54 0.541 0.5418 0.5424 0.543 10 1.59273
0.5468 0.5468 0.5473 0.5477 0.5481 20 2.249838
0.5504 0.5508 0.5511 0.5515 0.5518 25 2.469892
0.5535 0.5538 0.554 0.5543 0.5545 50 3.120525
53.28984 16.393206577
0.5559 0.5561 0.5563 0.5565 0.5567 100 3.766349
0.5578 0.558 0.5581 0.5583 0.5585 200 4.410045
0.5593 0.5595 0.5596 0.5598 0.5599 500 5.25918
1000 5.911294
5000 7.409768
10000 8.688095

5 6 7 8 9
1.0206 1.0316 1.0411 1.0493 1.0565
1.0915 1.0961 1.1004 1.1047 1.108
1.1285 1.1313 1.1339 1.1363 1.1388
1.1519 1.1538 1.1557 1.1574 1.159
1.1681 1.1696 1.1708 1.1721 1.1734
1.1803 1.1814 1.1824 1.1834 1.1844
1.1898 1.1906 1.1915 1.1923 1.193
1.1973 1.198 1.1987 1.1994 1.2001
1.2044 1.2046 1.2049 1.2055 1.206

T X k S Log XT XT Interpolasi
2 0.2125 1.735737 54.41724 0.6
5 -44.5506 -3.6732 0.000212 0.8
10 5.736878 2.403273 253.089 b1
1.710059 0.120835
20 -0.47105 1.653139 44.99243 b2
50 -156.936 -17.2533 5.58E-18 Hasil
100 -108.819 -11.439 3.64E-12

T X k S Log XT XT
1000 2 -0.13004 1.694346 49.47044

1.710059 0.120835
5 -6.06492 0.977206 9.488682
0.1 10 -36.4488 -2.69422 0.002022
1.710059 0.120835
7.25 20 486.1432 60.45304 2.84E+60
6.6 50 198.1769 25.65671 4.54E+25
6.2 100 186.0487 24.1912 1.55E+24
5.91
5.66
5.39
5.11
4.82
4.54
4.395
4.25 Interpolasi
4.105 0.6
3.96 0.5
3.815 b1
3.67 b2
3.525 Hasil
3.38
3.235
3.09
3.95
2.81
2.675
2.54
2.4
2.275
2.15
2.035
XT

871.1379
888.3242
899.7013
910.4734
914.0808
924.7468
935.3339
945.8861
959.8062
970.4964
995.0612
1016.017
0.694
-0.0959 0.793 0.3194 1.7894 2.36 2.7665
-0.1241 0.77 1.3201 1.8235 2.4492 2.9043
0.106 -0.8181 0.076 0.6261 1.1295 1.7552
0.2 -0.0282 -0.023 1.0007 0.0341 0.0892
0.2125 -44.5506 5.736878 -0.47105 -156.936 -108.819
0.2125 -44.5506 5.736878 -0.47105 -156.936 -108.819
0.694
0.099 0.8 1.328 1.939 2.359 2.755 3.132 3.96
-0.083 0.808 1.323 1.91 2.311 2.686 3.041 3.815
-0.194 -0.777 0.114 0.629 1.216 1.617
-0.1 -0.182 0.008 -0.005 -0.029 -0.048
-0.13004 -6.06492 -36.4488 486.1432 198.1769 186.0487
-0.13004 -6.06492 -36.4488 486.1432 198.1769 186.0487
Nilai Curah Hujan
Kala Ulang 2 5 10 25 50 100
Curah Hujan 49.47044 9.488682 0.002022 2.84E+60 4.54E+25 1.55E+24

Durasi Periode Ulang (Tahun)


(menit) 2 5 10 25 50 100
5 0.438085 0.084027 1.791E-05 2.51E+58 4.02E+23 1.38E+22
10 0.275976 0.052934 1.128E-05 1.58E+58 2.53E+23 8.66E+21
15 0.210609 0.040396 8.608E-06 1.21E+58 1.93E+23 6.61E+21
20 0.173854 0.033346 7.106E-06 9.97E+57 1.59E+23 5.46E+21
25 0.149823 0.028737 6.124E-06 8.6E+57 1.37E+23 4.7E+21
30 0.132676 0.025448 5.423E-06 7.61E+57 1.22E+23 4.17E+21
35 0.119718 0.022963 4.893E-06 6.87E+57 1.1E+23 3.76E+21
40 0.109521 0.021007 4.476E-06 6.28E+57 1E+23 3.44E+21
45 0.10125 0.01942 4.138E-06 5.81E+57 9.28E+22 3.18E+21
50 0.094383 0.018103 3.858E-06 5.41E+57 8.65E+22 2.96E+21
55 0.088572 0.016989 3.62E-06 5.08E+57 8.12E+22 2.78E+21
60 0.08358 0.016031 3.416E-06 4.8E+57 7.66E+22 2.62E+21
65 0.079237 0.015198 3.239E-06 4.55E+57 7.27E+22 2.49E+21
70 0.075418 0.014465 3.083E-06 4.33E+57 6.92E+22 2.37E+21
75 0.072027 0.013815 2.944E-06 4.13E+57 6.6E+22 2.26E+21
80 0.068994 0.013233 2.82E-06 3.96E+57 6.33E+22 2.17E+21
85 0.066261 0.012709 2.708E-06 3.8E+57 6.08E+22 2.08E+21
90 0.063784 0.012234 2.607E-06 3.66E+57 5.85E+22 2E+21
95 0.061526 0.011801 2.515E-06 3.53E+57 5.64E+22 1.93E+21
100 0.059457 0.011404 2.43E-06 3.41E+57 5.45E+22 1.87E+21
105 0.057554 0.011039 2.352E-06 3.3E+57 5.28E+22 1.81E+21
110 0.055797 0.010702 2.281E-06 3.2E+57 5.12E+22 1.75E+21
115 0.054168 0.01039 2.214E-06 3.11E+57 4.97E+22 1.7E+21
120 0.052652 0.010099 2.152E-06 3.02E+57 4.83E+22 1.65E+21
125 0.051239 0.009828 2.094E-06 2.94E+57 4.7E+22 1.61E+21
130 0.049916 0.009574 2.04E-06 2.86E+57 4.58E+22 1.57E+21
135 0.048676 0.009336 1.99E-06 2.79E+57 4.46E+22 1.53E+21
140 0.04751 0.009113 1.942E-06 2.73E+57 4.36E+22 1.49E+21
145 0.046412 0.008902 1.897E-06 2.66E+57 4.26E+22 1.46E+21
150 0.045374 0.008703 1.855E-06 2.6E+57 4.16E+22 1.42E+21
155 0.044393 0.008515 1.814E-06 2.55E+57 4.07E+22 1.39E+21
160 0.043464 0.008337 1.776E-06 2.49E+57 3.99E+22 1.36E+21
165 0.042581 0.008167 1.74E-06 2.44E+57 3.9E+22 1.34E+21
170 0.041742 0.008006 1.706E-06 2.39E+57 3.83E+22 1.31E+21
175 0.040943 0.007853 1.673E-06 2.35E+57 3.75E+22 1.29E+21
180 0.040181 0.007707 1.642E-06 2.31E+57 3.68E+22 1.26E+21
185 0.039454 0.007567 1.613E-06 2.26E+57 3.62E+22 1.24E+21
190 0.038759 0.007434 1.584E-06 2.22E+57 3.55E+22 1.22E+21
195 0.038093 0.007306 1.557E-06 2.19E+57 3.49E+22 1.2E+21
200 0.037456 0.007184 1.531E-06 2.15E+57 3.43E+22 1.18E+21
205 0.036844 0.007067 1.506E-06 2.11E+57 3.38E+22 1.16E+21
210 0.036257 0.006954 1.482E-06 2.08E+57 3.32E+22 1.14E+21
215 0.035693 0.006846 1.459E-06 2.05E+57 3.27E+22 1.12E+21
220 0.03515 0.006742 1.437E-06 2.02E+57 3.22E+22 1.1E+21
225 0.034627 0.006642 1.415E-06 1.99E+57 3.18E+22 1.09E+21
230 0.034123 0.006545 1.395E-06 1.96E+57 3.13E+22 1.07E+21
235 0.033638 0.006452 1.375E-06 1.93E+57 3.08E+22 1.06E+21
240 0.033169 0.006362 1.356E-06 1.9E+57 3.04E+22 1.04E+21
245 0.032716 0.006275 1.337E-06 1.88E+57 3E+22 1.03E+21
250 0.032278 0.006191 1.319E-06 1.85E+57 2.96E+22 1.01E+21
255 0.031855 0.00611 1.302E-06 1.83E+57 2.92E+22 1E+21
260 0.031445 0.006031 1.285E-06 1.8E+57 2.88E+22 9.87E+20
265 0.031049 0.005955 1.269E-06 1.78E+57 2.85E+22 9.75E+20
270 0.030664 0.005882 1.253E-06 1.76E+57 2.81E+22 9.63E+20
275 0.030291 0.00581 1.238E-06 1.74E+57 2.78E+22 9.51E+20
280 0.02993 0.005741 1.223E-06 1.72E+57 2.74E+22 9.4E+20
285 0.029578 0.005673 1.209E-06 1.7E+57 2.71E+22 9.29E+20
290 0.029237 0.005608 1.195E-06 1.68E+57 2.68E+22 9.18E+20
295 0.028906 0.005544 1.181E-06 1.66E+57 2.65E+22 9.07E+20
300 0.028584 0.005483 1.168E-06 1.64E+57 2.62E+22 8.97E+20
305 0.028271 0.005422 1.156E-06 1.62E+57 2.59E+22 8.88E+20
310 0.027966 0.005364 1.143E-06 1.6E+57 2.56E+22 8.78E+20
315 0.027669 0.005307 1.131E-06 1.59E+57 2.54E+22 8.69E+20
320 0.02738 0.005252 1.119E-06 1.57E+57 2.51E+22 8.6E+20
325 0.027099 0.005198 1.108E-06 1.55E+57 2.48E+22 8.51E+20
330 0.026824 0.005145 1.096E-06 1.54E+57 2.46E+22 8.42E+20
335 0.026557 0.005094 1.085E-06 1.52E+57 2.44E+22 8.34E+20
340 0.026296 0.005044 1.075E-06 1.51E+57 2.41E+22 8.26E+20
345 0.026041 0.004995 1.064E-06 1.49E+57 2.39E+22 8.18E+20
350 0.025792 0.004947 1.054E-06 1.48E+57 2.37E+22 8.1E+20
355 0.02555 0.004901 1.044E-06 1.47E+57 2.34E+22 8.02E+20
360 0.025313 0.004855 1.035E-06 1.45E+57 2.32E+22 7.95E+20

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