Professional Documents
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"Only a fool learns from his mistakes - I prefer to learn from the
mistakes of others"
Bismarck
ioGlobal 2012 ioGlobal | the evolution of data 2
Outline
∑ (X − x )
i =1, N
i
2
S = 2
N −1
Variance Units of sd – standard normal curve
ioGlobal 2012 ioGlobal | the evolution of data 4
Relative Error - Definition
● Standard Deviation/Mean in %
Also Know As
● Coefficient of Variation
24
90
22
80 20
18
70
16
60
No of obs
14
No of obs
50 12
10
40
8
30
6
20 4
2
10
0
75.9401 90.4440
0
All15 0ppm 100ppm
83.1920 97.6960
Standard Deviation
● 1sd precision
= coefficient of variation
= relative error
= relative standard deviation
QAQC
● If no QC procedures are in place, no one can tell how large
the errors are at the time of measurement, which could
result in spending money on a drilling program where there
is no ore to be found.
Historical Context
From G Fahey (2011) Ozmine 2011 Revised Joint Ore reserves Committee (JORC) Code Public reporting Standard
http://www.austrade.gov.au/ArticleDocuments/1418/OZMINE-2011-Conf-Day-2-JORC-Presentation.pdf.aspx (accessed 2/2/2012)
From G Fahey (2011) Ozmine 2011 Revised Joint Ore reserves Committee (JORC) Code Public reporting Standard
http://www.austrade.gov.au/ArticleDocuments/1418/OZMINE-2011-Conf-Day-2-JORC-Presentation.pdf.aspx (accessed 2/2/2012)
Where it Began
“On October 1, 1969, Poseidon directors issued a historic
report to the Adelaide Stock Exchange before the start of
trading. The statement began: ‘Further to the report of the
recovery of nickel and copper sulphides on September 29,
the directors of Poseidon NL announce that the assays
received to date of the first completed drill hole PH2 at
Windarra, WA, are as follows ……………
Trevor Sykes - The Money Miners.
Ref: P Stoker (2009) The JORC Code and Coal. http://www.jorc.org/pdf./jorc_code_coal_Hunter_AusIMM.pdf accessed
2/12/2012.
The Share price had moved from a few cents to around a dollar and then
rocketed to $280 before crashing.
Ref: P Stoker (2009) The JORC Code and Coal. http://www.jorc.org/pdf./jorc_code_coal_Hunter_AusIMM.pdf accessed 2/12/2012.
Ref: P Stoker (2009) The JORC Code and Coal. http://www.jorc.org/pdf./jorc_code_coal_Hunter_AusIMM.pdf accessed 2/12/2012.
Ref: P Stoker (2009) The JORC Code and Coal. http://www.jorc.org/pdf./jorc_code_coal_Hunter_AusIMM.pdf accessed 2/12/2012.
The Aftermath
● The Melbourne Stock Exchange and Australian Government (Rae Commission)
requested AMIC (now the Minerals Council of Australia) to develop a mechanism
to resolve the reporting issues.
● This resulted in the formation of the Joint Ore Reserves Committee and
publication of the first JORC Code in 1989 upon which most other codes have
been based.
The stock, which was worth more than C$20 at the peak of the frenzy over the
Boka discovery in early 2004, has lost about 70 percent of its value since last
month.
Epilogue: Jim Patterson was jailed in 2010
Without QC Programs
The Globe and Mail, June 27, 1997
28
ioGlobal 2012 ioGlobal | the evolution of data28
"We didn't plan for something in the matrix that we should have and the standards
we used were not matrix matched correctly which is how the error occurred," he
said.
An accredited iron ore assay laboratory, he said this was the first time Spectrolab
had assayed for gold, a move it would not be replicating in the future.
Managing Risk
● Quality requirements of
analytical data become
far more demanding
during resource
estimations and mining,
Predicted Grade
where the
consequences of a bias
or poor precision,
especially at the cut-off
A grade, can jeopardise an
operation.
Cost of
misclassification =
156mill USD / year
Improved sampling
practices reduce this
to 22millUSD/year
SAMPLING
● Each protocol has to be designed to match its geological situation and the
degree of accuracy deemed necessary. This is potentially the greatest
source of errors in the whole process (after geology being read as simple
when it is not).
….(Colin Brooks)
Protocol
crush
3.75kg @ 10mm
crush
3.75kg @ 2mm
split
1kg @ 2mm
pulv.
1kg @ 75u
split
150g @ 75u
split
30g assay
ioGlobal1234
2012
original sample
ioGlobal | the evolution of data72
SAMPLING ERRORS
Gy Error Types
1. Properties of the Sample
From:, Gerlach, R.W., Nocerino, J.M., 2003. Guidance for Obtaining Representative Laboratory Analytical Subsamples from
Particulate Laboratory Samples EPA/600/R-03/027
From:, Gerlach, R.W., Nocerino, J.M., 2003. Guidance for Obtaining Representative Laboratory Analytical Subsamples from Particulate
Laboratory Samples EPA/600/R-03/027
Sample Quality
● Segregation – the clustering of different components of a sample into
spatially distinct regions.
● variety of geometric arrangements of segregation
● (partially random/partially ordered or ordered), can be caused by
geological or sample collection, transport or preparation processes
Courtesy of Cliff Stanley: Acadia University
Slide adapted from: ‘Representative sampling for reliable data analysis: Theory of Sampling’, Lars Petersena, Pentti
Minkkinenb, Kim H. Esbensena. Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems 77 (2005) 261– 277
From:, Gerlach, R.W., Nocerino, J.M., 2003. Guidance for Obtaining Representative Laboratory Analytical Subsamples from Particulate
Laboratory Samples EPA/600/R-03/027
The smaller diameter samples gave smaller means, greater skewness, and higher variances
From:, Gerlach, R.W., Nocerino, J.M., 2003. Guidance for Obtaining Representative Laboratory Analytical Subsamples from Particulate
Laboratory Samples EPA/600/R-03/027
100 % ore
grain sample
0 % ore grain
sample
25 % ore grain
sample
0 % ore grain
sample
11 % ore grain
sample
0 % ore grain
sample
From:, Gerlach, R.W., Nocerino, J.M., 2003. Guidance for Obtaining Representative Laboratory Analytical Subsamples from
Particulate Laboratory Samples EPA/600/R-03/027
Slide adapted from: ‘Representative sampling for reliable data analysis: Theory of Sampling’, Lars Petersena, Pentti Minkkinenb, Kim H.
Esbensena. Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems 77 (2005) 261– 277
● = ‘Grab Sample”
Quote adapted from: ‘Representative sampling for reliable data analysis: Theory of Sampling’, Lars Petersena, Pentti Minkkinenb, Kim H.
Esbensena. Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems 77 (2005) 261– 277
“Grab sampling. Only the top and most easily accessible material has a chance of
ending up in the final sample. This is by all accounts the most often used sampling
procedure of all—and it is at the same time the worst of all sampling procedures.
Slide adapted from: ‘Representative sampling for reliable data analysis: Theory of Sampling’, Lars Petersena, Pentti Minkkinenb, Kim H.
Esbensena. Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems 77 (2005) 261– 277
Better
Incorrect use of a
chute splitter
Picture from:, Gerlach, R.W., Nocerino, J.M., 2003.
Guidance for Obtaining Representative Laboratory
Analytical Subsamples from Particulate Laboratory Samples
EPA/600/R-03/027
Keep splitter
& trays
clean & in
good repair
Work area
can be
cleaner
Install
2nd
Sample
Chute
Here
Figure from: Catto B and Church P, 2003, Obtaining a Representative RC Sample – The Cone Splitter versus the Tiered Riffle Splitter.
5th International Mining Geology Conference, Bendigo, 2003
Adapted from: Catto B and Church P, 2003, Obtaining a Representative RC Sample – The Cone Splitter versus the Tiered Riffle Splitter.
5th International Mining Geology Conference, Bendigo, 2003
Adapted from: Catto B and Church P, 2003, Obtaining a Representative RC Sample – The Cone Splitter versus the Tiered Riffle Splitter.
5th International Mining Geology Conference, Bendigo, 2003
● RSD(%)
10
● 16%
8
● Data <0.1
ppm
6
excluded
Cone_Dup
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Cone_Orig
Data from: Catto B and Church P, 2003, Obtaining a Representative RC Sample – The Cone Splitter versus the Tiered Riffle Splitter.
5th International Mining Geology Conference, Bendigo, 2003
● RSD(%)
10
● 41%
8
● Data <0.1
ppm
6
excluded
Riffle_Dup
0 2 4 6 8 10
Riffle_Orig
Data From: Catto B and Church P, 2003, Obtaining a Representative RC Sample – The Cone Splitter versus the Tiered Riffle Splitter.
5th International Mining Geology Conference, Bendigo, 2003
Measurement Errors
what you do with the sample
Lose it
Errors
● Once you have taken the sample – there is no fixing the
sample after that point.
● A biased sample remains biased.
● Loss of fines or coarse is not repairable.
● A protocol that promotes biased sampling is usually invisible to QC.
● Re-sampling bulks will not fix it.
Be Warned....
● It is not possible to determine if a particular sample is
representative from any kind of inspection or
characterisation of the sample itself.
Why do we Care?
Exploration Don't miss a target, assess
targets properly.