Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Environmental Governance
in Global Perspective
New Approaches to Ecological
Modernisation
with a preface by Jrgen Trittin
Editors:
Published 2006 by
Freie Universitt Berlin
Department of Political and Social Sciences
ISBN: 3-929532-64-6
Preface
JRGEN TRITTIN
III
gies. Hence, this book plays a valuable role in informing us about what is pos-
sible and where we need to go from here.
The research on ecological and political modernisation provided by the Envi-
ronmental Policy Research Centre of the Freie Universitt Berlin has often
proved valuable for the German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature
Conservation and Nuclear Safety. Indeed, twenty years of its research activities
have contributed to a profound learning process for all political actors. Not
least for this reason I would like to wish the FFU continued success in the
future.
IV
Contents
Preface III
Jrgen Trittin
Contents V
Contributers VIII
Introduction 1
Part I
Ecological Modernisation and the Role of Pioneer Countries
V
Part II
Diffusion of Environmental Policy Innovations
Part III
The Rio Model of Environmental Governance
VI
Part IV
Greening Energy Policies
Part V
International Environmental Governance
VII
Contributers
Steffen Bauer is a research fellow with the international Global Governance
Project (glogov.org) and an associate fellow at the Environmental Policy Re-
search Centre, Freie Universitt Berlin.
Manfred Binder, political scientist, has been working with the Environmental
Policy Research Centre since 1989, mostly about structural change, statistics,
methodology, and the political economy of environmental, energy and indus-
trial policies.
Francois Bregha is director of Stratos Strategies to Sustainability Inc., Ot-
tawa, Canada.
Per-Olof Busch is a research fellow at the Environmental Policy Research Cen-
tre, Freie Universitt Berlin. In his research he is specialising on comparative
politics and international relations. Research projects covered policy diffusion,
policy convergence and the effectiveness of international organisations.
Dr. Klaus Jacob, political scientist and research director at the Environmental
Policy Research Centre, has been analysing and developing instruments and
strategies for environmental policy integration, in particular Impact Assess-
ments. Furthermore, he studied innovation and market effects of environ-
mental policies and analysed and evaluated National Strategies for Sustainable
Development.
Prof. Dr. Martin Jnicke, 1971-2002 professor for comparative politics at the
Freie Universitt Berlin. Director of the Environmental Policy Research Cen-
tre and member of the German Advisory Council on the Environment (SRU).
Member of several advisory boards of research institutes, e.g. the Wuppertal
Institute.
Helge Jrgens is research fellow at the German Advisory Council on the Envi-
ronment (SRU) and research associate at the Environmental Policy Research
Centre. He is member of the steering committee of the European Union fi-
nanced research project "Environmental Governance in Europe. The Impact of
International Institutions and Trade on Policy Convergence".
Dr. Kirsten Jrgensen is assistant professor at the Freie Universitt Berlin,
Department of Political and Social Sciences and member of the executive
committee of the Environmental Policy Research Centre. Her primary field of
VIII
interest includes German and European environmental policy, sustainable
development in the federal systems of Germany and the USA and waste man-
agement policy.
Stefan Lindemann is a research fellow at the Environmental Policy Research
Centre and currently works for the German Advisory Council on the Envi-
ronment (SRU). He has specialised in the fields of environmental and devel-
opment policy, with a particular emphasis on water-related issues.
Dr. Lutz Mez is senior associate professor at the Department of Political and
Social Sciences, Freie Universitt Berlin, and managing director of the Envi-
ronmental Policy Research Centre. In 1993/94 he was visiting professor at the
Department of Environment, Technology and Social Studies, Roskilde Univer-
sity, Denmark. His mayor research area is environmental and energy policy
with particular reference to nuclear and electricity policy.
Philipp Pattberg is a project leader at the Institute for Environmental Studies
(IVM) of the Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam. His current research includes a
project on public policy partnerships as well as a study on the policy options
for a post-2012 climate regime. In addition, he is a senior fellow of the inter-
national Global Governance Project (glogov.org), where he coordinates the
research group MecGlo on new mechanisms of global governance.
Annette Piening, M.A., lives and works as free author and researcher special-
ised in energy and environmental policy in Hamburg. From 1998 - 2004 she
worked as a researcher at the Environmental Policy Research Centre.
Dr. Lszl Pintr is Director of Measurement and Indicators Strategic Objec-
tive at the Canadian based International Institute for Sustainable Develop-
ment (IISD)
Darren Swanson is project officer at the Canadian based International Insti-
tute for Sustainable Development (IISD)
Dr. Kerstin Tews, sociologist, has been working with the Environmental Policy
Research Centre since 2000. Her research concentrates on the analysis of pol-
icy transfer processes in general and in the context of the EU-enlargement in
particular, on policy-diffusion as driving force for global change and on com-
plementary governance activities of non-state actors, state-actors and interna-
tional organisations.
Axel Volkery is project manager for scenario and policy analysis at the Euro-
pean Environment Agency in Copenhagen, Denmark. He has been previously
IX
affiliated with the Environmental Policy Research Centre. The opinions ex-
pressed here do not reflect any official opinion of the European Environment
Agency. They reflect personal opinions of the author and have been developed
when the author was affiliated with the Environmental Policy Research Centre
Berlin.
X
Introduction
Environmental policy making, despite being a rather young branch of state
activities, has evolved in all industrialised countries into a special policy field
with a comprehensive set of actors and institutions at all levels of policy mak-
ing. It has gained importance within the governmental system despite set
backs and defeats in major issues during the past 30 years.
The genesis of environmental policies have been subject of numerous studies
in political science. The field is characterised by a number of special features
which have attracted academic attention, for example, the comprehensive
international framework with hundreds of international agreements, the need
to deal with complexity and uncertainty, the according great importance of
knowledge for decision making, the emergence and growing importance of
non governmental actors, etc. Many political scientists are studying these and
other related phenomena. New conceptual, theoretical and methodological
approaches have been developed to analyse environmental policy.
Research has been performed on questions like: How are governments coping
with the challenges from environmental degradation? Which actors are in-
volved, what strategies are they pursuing? Which institutions have been devel-
oped and what kind of instruments are being applied? How and why are the
patterns of environmental governance changing over time and which ap-
proaches have been successful? What are the effects of environmental policies
in the different domains of society: the economy and the civil society, but also
within government itself? Which approaches have proven to be the most suc-
cessful?
The Environmental Policy Research Centre is an active contributor in this
field. As a research institute primarily based on third party funding it covers a
broad spectrum of methodological approaches and thematic areas. However,
some key areas of research have evolved:
A comparative perspective on pioneer countries: In a world of dynamic
complexity and hundreds of potential intervening factors, policy analysis
relies mainly on case studies and the comparison between countries. Re-
search at FFU has made extensive use of comparative methods and a sys-
tematic profiling of cases against a large N. What began with the analysis of
success conditions for environmental policy in the 1980s, later focused on
1
Martin Jnicke Klaus Jacob
2
Introduction
phases of the policy process - i.e. the definition of problems and the devel-
opment of objectives - already have a considerable influence on the innova-
tion behaviour of firms.
Another stream of research has been the environmental impacts of dirty
industries in cross country comparison: Only few sectors are responsible
for a major share of emissions and resource use. In some countries, the
shrinking of some of these sectors has been a major source of improve-
ments in environmental quality.
Interdependency between political and technological modernisation: The
ecological modernisation of the economy is to a large degree driven by en-
vironmental policies. The pioneers in environmental policy set the pace of
technological development in many different issue areas. They serve as an
example in other countries thereby triggering processes of diffusion of
both technologies and policies. These phenomena have been analysed as
lead markets for environmental innovations.
These issues and the methodological approaches have been at the core of the
research at the Environmental Policy Research Centre since its establishment.
Refinements, further developments and new issue areas have been fuelled by
the rapid development in the real world of environmental policy making.
Since 1986, the German Environmental Ministry was founded, the Brundtland
report was published, many international agreements were agreed on, the Rio
World Summit took place, Green Parties entered national governments, etc.
The institutional landscape for environmental policies changed fundamen-
tally, with new actors entering the scene, the internationalisation and region-
alisation of the policy field, and the broadening variety of policy instruments
including economic, information based cooperative and not least smart
regulatory approaches.
From its foundation, FFU was involved in environmental policy advice, some-
times very near to the decision making process. The combination of basic
academic research and consultancy primarily for political actors proved fruit-
ful for both spheres. A thorough understanding of the informational needs of
political actors and their opportunities for action has shown to be a valuable
source for the framing of new research questions. On the other hand, high
academic standards and reputation are a prerequisite for successful consul-
tancy.
3
Martin Jnicke Klaus Jacob
This volume aims to take stock of this work and at the same time outline a
future research program. It aims to give both academics and practitioners
insights into the state of the art of environmental policy analysis and of the
performance of the Environmental Policy Research Centre at its 20th anniver-
sary, about its achievements and the way ahead.
This volume comprises a selection of relevant and recently published contri-
butions from the FFU. Nearly all of the chapters have been published else-
where, mostly in peer reviewed academic journals. The 16 chapters are
grouped in five sections:
The first section (Ecological Modernisation and the Role of Pioneer Countries)
gives an overview on recent research on the potentials for and barriers to an
ecological modernisation of the economy and the special role of pioneering
countries. In his overview article Ecological Modernisation: New Perspec-
tives Martin Jnicke analyses recent processes of political modernisation
asking how these innovations work within the logic of ecological modernisa-
tion. In the following chapter by Martin Jnicke and Klaus Jacob, the emer-
gence of lead markets for environmental innovations are examined as an in-
terplay between innovation and diffusion of policies and technologies. Innova-
tions are often stimulated by pioneers of environmental policy. Frequently,
they are setting the trends and the pace for the international processes of
modernisation. In the subsequent chapter, Martin Jnicke analyses such trend
setters, their potentials for action and the impacts of pioneering countries.
The chapter by Jacob and Volkery explores methods of statistical modelling to
represent and analyse the capacities of pioneer countries in a comparative
perspective.
Section 2 is dedicated to the diffusion of environmental policy innovations.
Kerstin Tews takes stock of several major research projects in this field and
develops a new research agenda for fruitful future activities in this area. The
chapter by Per-Olof Busch et al. provides an empirical overview- for a large
number of policy innovations -of the diffusion processes between countries .
Manfred Binder critically assesses the notion of diffusion in a cross-country
comparison. Kirsten Jrgensen focuses on processes of diffusion on the sub-
national level, comparing the Lnder in Germany and the Federal States in the
USA.
Section 3 is dedicated to the Greening of Energy Policies. The comparative
analysis of energy policies and the potentials for Environmental Policy Inte-
4
Introduction
gration in this field have been a longstanding subject of research at the FFU.
The contribution by Tews and Binder, gives overview of CO2 reduction targets
within the ANNEX 1 countries and assess whether these objectives have so far
led to effective activities. Mez describes the concept of ecological tax reforms
from a comparative perspective. Lutz Mez and Annette Piening analysing the
negotiation of the nuclear power phase out in Germany, which can be per-
ceived as a rare example of an organised transition of an economic sector.
Section 4 is devoted to the analysis of innovations in governance. Martin
Jnicke and Helge Jrgens develop an overview and a systematisation of envi-
ronmental policy since the Rio Summit in 1992. Axel Volkery et al. present a
study on strategies for sustainable development in a 19-countries comparison.
The chapter by Klaus Jacob and Axel Volkery provides reviews instruments
and strategies to integrate environmental concerns in the various fields of
policy making and analyses their application in the OECD.
The final section focuses on the international level of environmental policy
making: The chapter by Steffen Bauer explores the bureaucratic authority of
international treaty secretariats in global environmental politics. Philipp
Pattberg analyses the growing importance of NGOs in international environ-
mental policy. Finally, Stefan Lindemann compares a large number of water
regimes in terms of their design, their scope and their effectiveness.
We wish to thank all contributors to this volume. All of the authors have been
immensely patient even on requests on short notice for editing and format-
ting their respective chapters. A large vote of thanks is owed to Julia Werner
who organised the editing, the design and finally the print of this book and to
Harald Mnch who took over the responsibility for formatting the manu-
script. Without Julia and Harald this book wouldnt have been possible.
5
Part I
Ecological Modernisation
and the Role of
Pioneer Countries
Ecological Modernisation: New Perspectives
MARTIN JNICKE
Abstract
Ecological modernisation understood as systematic eco-innovation and
diffusion has by far the largest potential to achieve environmental improve-
ments. In general, the market logic of modernisation and competition for
innovation combined with the market potential of global environmental needs
serve as important driving forces behind ecological modernisation. In recent
times, however, two additional factors have favoured the rise of ecological
modernisation. First of all, there is growing evidence for the importance of
smart environmental regulation. Secondly, the increasingly complex actor
constellation of global environmental governance leads to mounting business
risks for polluters and thereby exerts pressure for eco-innovation.
Despite these favourable framework conditions, the strategy of ecological
modernisation nonetheless faces a number of inherent limitations. These
include the unavailability of marketable technological solutions for all envi-
ronmental problems, the neutralisation of incremental environmental im-
provements through economic growth (the dilemma of the N-curve) as well
as power-based resistance by modernisation losers. Against this background,
structural solutions seem indispensable. Here, eco-innovations should be
supported by transition management or ecological structural policy. The latter
should be creative and far-reaching but seek to avoid creative destruction.
9
Martin Jnicke
10
Ecological Modernisation: New Perspectives
11
Martin Jnicke
12
Ecological Modernisation: New Perspectives
13
Martin Jnicke
3 Smart Regulation
(Smart) regulation plays a very important role in the political competition for
environmental innovation and can be identified as a key driving force behind
ecological modernisation. This important role ascribed to regulation may
come at a surprise since deregulation was the leading economic philosophy
during the Reagan and Thatcher era. Ever since, the argument that regulation
imposes high costs on firms and stifles innovation and competitiveness has
remained popular. From the early 1990s, however, a revisionist, pro-
regulation view has successfully challenged the traditional neo-classical argu-
mentation by highlighting a positive relationship between environmental
regulation and a countrys competitiveness (e.g. Porter 1990, Wallace 1995).
The reasons for the revival of a pro-regulation approach are manifold. To
begin with, neo-classical proposals (that tend to ignore or underestimate the
14
Ecological Modernisation: New Perspectives
inherent logic of the policy process) have often proved simplistic and had to
be compensated by intensive re-regulation. Also, many of the soft or volun-
tary policy instruments have been rather ineffective, involve high transaction
costs and need the organisational capacity of the state and the final guarantee
of elected governments (Jordan et al. 2003, OECD 2003, Jnicke and Joergens
2004, De Bruijn and Norberg-Bohm 2005). Most importantly, it has become a
strong argument that the role of government in the context of multi-level
governance is a functional necessity and has to be reinvented and strength-
ened, especially if competition for innovation and environmental protection
are at stake.
Environmental regulation generally presents a number of distinct advantages
for companies and industries:
Regulation can create or support markets for domestic industries. Here,
the most interesting cases are the Japanese Top-Runner approach for 18
energy-consuming product groups (see table 3) and the rapidly diffusing
German feed-in tariffs for renewable energy.
Regulation, often initiated by regulatory trendsetters and leading to global
harmonisation, increases the predictability of markets. Anticipation of
regulatory trends is therefore a typical behaviour of innovative companies
under global conditions of growing complexity and insecurity.
Regulation (real or threatened) can make things easier for business: In
contrast to voluntary approaches, affected companies do not have to worry
whether their competitors will enact the same measures.
Regulation also reduces internal impediments in companies to implement
technological change (even energy saving potentials are often being ig-
nored for organisational reasons). Moreover, companies do not have to
look for support within the value chain, as their customers simply have to
accept the change.
The recent comeback of regulation has even led to the emergence of a theory
of Regulatory Capitalism (Levi-Four 2005, Jordana and Levi-Faur 2004): The
notion of regulatory capitalism () rests on a new division of labour between
state and society, on the proliferation of new regulatory agencies, on new
technologies and instruments of regulation, and on the legalization of human
interactions. Regulatory capitalism is a technical as much as a political order
(). These regulations are shaping a new global order that reflects the set of
15
Martin Jnicke
problems and solutions that were socially and politically constructed in some
dominant countries (Levi-Faur 2005, 13, 21-22).
While regulation generally celebrates a comeback, the modes of regulation are
changing as the focus is now on smart or good environmental regulation
(Gunningham and Grabowsky 1998, Network of Heads of European Environ-
ment Protection Agencies 2005). Highly sophisticated regulatory instru-
ments are described as knowledge-embedded instruments (that) are one of
the defining characteristics of the new order (Levi-Faur 2005, 22). This is es-
pecially plausible if we turn to ecological modernisation and innovation. As
a result of several projects on Innovation oriented environmental regulation
(see Weber and Hemmelskamp 2005), we propose the following model of in-
novation-friendly environmental governance (see table 2):
16
Ecological Modernisation: New Perspectives
17
Martin Jnicke
18
Ecological Modernisation: New Perspectives
Global level
European level
National
National level
government
Regional level
Tourism
Local level Construction
Agriculture
Transport
Individual level Energy
Industry
Civil society Government Business
19
Martin Jnicke
20
Ecological Modernisation: New Perspectives
Economic Factors:
Political Factors:
Societal Factors:
21
Martin Jnicke
22
Ecological Modernisation: New Perspectives
widely communicated, they can even exert pressure for change within other
countries. Even the US has been forced to adopt a defensive position in the
field of climate policy and cannot easily ignore political and technological
innovations.
This apparent success of the knowledge-based Rio model is however only
one side of the story. On the downside, the enduring power-based resistance
of polluters points to the inherent limits of the knowledge-based approach to
environmental governance: Powerful polluters (often supported by their
ministries or governments) can resist knowledge-induced change, especially
in cases where vested sectoral interests are affected. Power always has the
privilege to ignore and not to learn (Deutsch 1963). Powerful actors can be
highly innovative and ready to learn. But the pressure to do so is lower com-
pared with actors that do not have much power at their disposal.
The limits of the knowledge-based approach become especially visible if we
turn from agenda setting and policy output to policy implementation and
outcome. Here, the remarkable success of the Rio process in the areas of
agenda setting and policy diffusion stands in sharp contrast to persistent defi-
cits in policy implementation and actual policy outcomes. This discrepancy
can be illustrated at the example of National Strategies for Sustainable Devel-
opment (NSSDs): Even though most countries now have a NSSD in place, only
12% have actually moved to the stage of implementation (OECD 2005). This is
hardly surprising since implementation is the phase of the policy cycle where
vested interests - the potential losers of ecological modernisation tend to
mobilise powerful resistance. As innovative knowledge often clashes with the
vested interests of traditional polluters, there is a need to reinvent government
regulation and find ways to ensure improved implementation. In this context,
soft positive modes of sectoral transitions management (Kemp and Loor-
bach 2005) do not seem to be sufficient. In addition, the various forms of
negative pressure for environmental innovation (see table 4) seem to be a
promising option. As demonstrated above, the complex actor constellation of
global environmental governance offers a huge array of opportunities to exert
pressure for environmental innovation - a potential that may be exploited by
improved environmental governance and should therefore be subject of future
research.
23
Martin Jnicke
24
Ecological Modernisation: New Perspectives
hardly surprising that there is so far no empirical evidence for carefully tar-
geted industrial restructuring away from the environmentally intensive indus-
tries. Existing examples such as the shutdown of Dutch coal mines, the clo-
sure of steel mills in Luxembourg or the nuclear power phase-out in Italy were
not environmentally motivated (Binder et al. 2000).
In sum, ecological modernisation is - despite its impressive potential - not
sufficient to ensure a long-term stabilisation of the environment. This is not
only due to its inability to offer solutions for every type of environmental
problem but also to a double hare and hedgehog-dilemma: On the one
hand, ecological modernisation suffers from the aforementioned race be-
tween incremental environmental relief and economic growth. On the other
hand, ecological modernisation meets the resistance of modernisation
losers: If industries and private households save energy, cut their consump-
tion of valuable raw materials, and use environmentally less intensive substi-
tutes, all this will reduce the profits of the respective industrial sectors (min-
ing, raw materials industry, power generation, etc.). Nevertheless, these old
industries - with established structures of power and influence - often succeed
in opening up new sales opportunities. The energy sector, for instance, finds
new uses for electricity, which in turn neutralizes the above-mentioned efforts
to save energy. Similarly, the successful environmental protection campaigns
against the use of chlorine have been overcompensated by the expansion of
chlorine use in other areas. As long as environmentally intensive sectors try to
counteract ecologically desirable decreases in their production, an N-curve
can be expected. Ecological modernisation is thus severely hampered by the
absence of genuine restructuring and by evasive behaviour on the part of the
modernisation losers. As long as no alternative economic perspectives are
available, their counterproductive reaction is all too understandable and policy
changes appear economically and socially unacceptable.
Strategically speaking, this is precisely where ecological industrial policy
becomes relevant. Since industrial restructuring is inextricably connected with
ecological modernisation, ecological industrial policy should make the re-
structuring process socially and economically acceptable. It can promote di-
versification in product types or provide social cushioning, retraining, and
conversion of the work force. Environmental innovations should be creative
but not lead to creative destruction in the sense of Schumpeter. Otherwise
the losers of ecological modernisation will remain an obstacle.
25
Martin Jnicke
7 Conclusion
In the light of the above discussion of the strategy of ecological modernisa-
tion, I come to the following conclusions:
1. The potential of ecological modernisation to radically reduce the envi-
ronmental burden of industrial growth is without any alternative. The
technological potential of green electricity, for instance, is estimated to
be almost equivalent to the present global power supply (WBGU 2003). No
strategy of sufficiency or of changing life-styles could ever have a similar
potential.
2. Driving forces behind ecological modernisation" are:
The capitalist logic of technological modernisation and the competition
for innovation in combination with the market potential of global envi-
ronmental needs: Marketable technological solutions for environmental
problems offer a broad spectrum of win-win-solutions.
Smart environmental regulation by pioneer countries, characterised
by the interplay of high environmental pressure and high innovation
capacity, often motivated by potential competitive advantages. Envi-
ronmental regulation is often an important prerequisite for both inno-
vation and diffusion processes.
Growing economic insecurity and risks for polluting industries in the
context of the increasing complexity of global environmental govern-
ance. This increase in business risks makes ecological modernisation
a more secure strategy for environmentally intensive companies.
3. There are however important limits to the process of ecological moderni-
sation:
Economic growth tends to neutralise environmental improvements if
increases in eco-efficiency remain incremental (below the growth rate),
if environmental innovations are restricted to niche markets and/or if
the solution addresses the symptoms, not the causes.
Ecological modernisation typically meets the resistance of moderni-
sation losers that are often powerful enough to limit the scope and ef-
fects of environmental policy. Modernisation losers may not be
strong enough to prevent environmental innovations and knowledge-
based policies. But when it comes to policy implementation, power-
based resistance remains an important obstacle.
26
Ecological Modernisation: New Perspectives
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29
Lead Markets for Environmental Innovations:
A New Role for the Nation State 1
MARTIN JNICKE
KLAUS JACOB
Abstract 2
The paper discusses the role of the nation state in stimulating lead markets
for green innovations. Often, fears are expressed that the potential for action
for nation states diminishes because of economic and political globalisation.
But empirical research on the development of environmental policy reveals
that it is most often pioneering nation states that push for advances in envi-
ronmental policy. As far as these policy innovations are technology based,
these countries often serve as a regional starting points for new green tech-
nologies. The innovation and diffusion of environmental technologies and
their supporting policy measures do bear the potential of a far reaching eco-
logical modernization.
1
First published in: Global Environmental Politics, Vol. 4, No. 1, 2004, pp. 29-46.
Copyright MIT Press. Reprinted with kind permission..
2
The paper is partially based on the findings of an ongoing research project Policy
framework for the development of international markets for innovations of a sus-
tainable economy from pilot markets to lead markets (LEAD) funded by the Ger-
man Ministry of Education and Research, grant number 07RIW1A. In the project ca.
20 cases of lead markets for environmental technologies are analysed. The tech-
nologies include among others energy technologies such as photovoltaic, wind en-
ergy, fuel cells for stationary energy generation, etc., chemicals such as substitutes
for CFCs, cadmium, phosphate in detergents, technologies that are applied in cars
e.g. energy efficient motors, catalytic converters for exhaust gas, fuel cells for mobile
applications. The studied technologies are both historical cases of innovation and
diffusion as well as ongoing processes
30
Lead Markets for Environmental Innovations: A New Role for the Nation State
31
Martin Jnicke Klaus Jacob
sion standards from the 1960s on. U.S. congress took over these far reaching
standards in 1970, that were not to be met with existing technologies. That was
for the first time a purposeful technology forcing. However, the short period
of time to meet the standards did not allow the development of a new engine
design. Therefore, the catalytic converter became the dominant technical
strategy to reduce emissions. The U.S. regulations had been adopted by several
countries with automobile industry. In particular Japan adopted early the US
regulations, in order to adapt its own car industry to global markets and to
enhance its competitiveness.
While the U.S. standards were postponed and lowered due to successful inter-
vention of the U.S. car industry, the Japanese government hold on the earlier
objectives. In Europe, the regulations favouring a catalytic converter had been
adopted in 1985, and among the European countries Germany took over the
leading role, mainly due to its export oriented automobile industry.
32
Lead Markets for Environmental Innovations: A New Role for the Nation State
What are the determinants that cause the differences in the introduction of
innovations? What are the characteristics of the leading countries? Is there a
room for manoeuvre for a purposeful establishment of lead markets for envi-
ronmental innovations?
From our case studies as well as previous studies we can infer, that technical
environmental innovations have to be largely ascribed to governmental (or
NGO) activities. Environmental innovations are not only stimulated by the
higher environmental standards of consumers in a country as compared with
those in other countries, but also by special promotional measures, or by po-
litical intervention in the market (Klemmer, Lehr et al. 1999; Jnicke,
Blazejczak et al. 2000). If the technologies cause additional costs without im-
proving the benefits for the users, regulatory interventions are even indispen-
sable for innovation and diffusion. But also in cases of integrated technolo-
gies, with additional advantages in efficiency, policy measures are often neces-
sary to stimulate innovations and to support the diffusion. The under invest-
ment in environmental innovation can be explained by the double externality
of R&D efforts spend in environmental technologies: Alongside the spill over
effects that can be observed for any R&D activities, efforts in environmental
technologies do result in improvements of the environment which again is a
public good. Therefore an under investment in environmental innovations
can be expected (Rennings 2000).
Environmental innovations do have another characteristic that is in favour of
their international diffusion: They provide marketable solutions to environ-
mental problems that are usually encountered world-wide, or at least in many
countries. Thus, technological solutions to environmental problems inher-
ently lend themselves to adoption in international or global markets.
The specifics of environmental innovations are not able to explain the re-
gional differences in adoption and diffusion of innovations. For this, the
framework conditions and political strategies in the leading countries have to
be analysed. The dependency of environmental technologies on regulatory
measures leads to the question in how far national environmental policies to
stimulate lead markets remain possible and effective in the context of global-
isation.
It is widely believed by many scholars and also politicians, that unilateral ac-
tion in the context of economic globalisation becomes less likely not only in
case of transboundary problems, but also for all environmental problems if
33
Martin Jnicke Klaus Jacob
they bear additional costs. By this, there is the danger of a regulatory chill
(Hoberg 2001: 213) independent from the real existence of adverse impacts on
competitiveness of more far reaching unilateral environmental regulations: if
politicians and voters are convinced that regulatory measures affect the com-
petitiveness adversely, this argument can be utilised from the target group of a
policy to make credible threats (Hay and Rosamond 2002; Hoberg 2001; World
Trade Organisation 1999: 5). In this case, innovative environmental policy
measures are not adopted.
From this point of view, promising problem solutions are mainly dependent
on whether the international community of nations is able to agree on bind-
ing law and to create the institutional structure for a new governance structure
on the international level, that is able to enforce this agreements (Young 2002;
Esty 1999; Keohane and Martin 1995). A more optimistic view perceives the
appearance of new actors such as nongovernmental organisations or scientific
networks, the rapid growth of the body of international law and organisations,
and the emergence of new forms of regulation such as public-private partner-
ships, as the rise of a first outline of a governance beyond the nation states
(Park 2002; Knill and Lehmkuhl 2002; Auer 2000; Zrn 1998).
A more sceptical position argues that in general, international bargaining
processes do generate insufficient results because of the disparate structure of
interests and an unclear hierarchy for decision making (Suranovic 2002). Both
lines of argument postulate a declining importance of the role of nation states.
Empirical research, however, reveals that there remains considerable room for
manoeuvre for the nation state and that pioneering policy is still possible.
34
Lead Markets for Environmental Innovations: A New Role for the Nation State
vide additional financial burden, such as social policy or taxes. To become the
most attractive location for firms, regulators are expected to compete for the
lowest standards, lowest rates of taxes etc. According to this line of arguing,
economic globalization leads to a race to the bottom or to de-regulation to
attract foreign investments. This phenomenon of deregulation became known
as the Delaware effect of globalization (Vogel 1995). It was in Delaware where
a US-wide competition on deregulation of corporate chartering began. In the
United States, charters are granted by individual states, but all states are re-
quired to recognize each others charter. In the course of this competition, the
race to the bottom was won by Delaware by lowering the level of protection for
employees, shareholders and customers.
But for environmental standards the antagonism between economic integra-
tion and strict standard setting is not that antagonistic as it can be expected.
Often, high standards in important markets force foreign producers to adapt
to these standards that in turn motivates foreign governments to raise their
own standards. Furthermore, due to scale effects in production, but also to
obtain the image of an innovative firm, it is sensible for firms to adapt to the
higher standards for other markets as well on a voluntary basis. The above
mentioned example of exhaust gas standards for cars set by California which
lead to a worldwide adaptation by car manufactures is most prominent and
became known as the California effect. It has been argued that this mecha-
nism may apply to product regulation only (Vogel 1997; Scharpf 1999), but
there is empirical evidence for a spread of industrial pollution control stan-
dards as well (Hettige, Huq et al. 1996).
The expectations of a generally diminishing role of the nation state in setting
demanding environmental standards in the context of globalization has not
been supported by empirical research. Why is this so? Why does the nation
state not wither away in environmental policy?
Apparently, the open (globalized) national economy needs, and is indeed
characterized by, strong governments, both in size and scope. According to
several cross-national studies, public expenditures per capita in open
economies of the OECD are higher than in countries that are less inte-
grated in world markets (Cameron 1978, Garrett 1998, Bernauer 2000). This
contradicts the argument that economic globalisation weakens the nation
state. But both a larger size and a larger scope of government activities in
highly integrated countries can be plausibly explained by three reasons: a
well developed infrastructure is needed for successful international com-
35
Martin Jnicke Klaus Jacob
3
We find no race to the bottom ... countries with more open trade regimes have
more stringent regulations (Eliste and Fredriksson 1998). National environmental
pioneer policy can create first-mover advantages (Ashford and others 1979, Porter
and van der Linde 1995, Wallace 1995). Bangladesh, India, Indonesia, and Thailand
are fast adopting industrial pollution control standards similar to those in devel-
oped countries (Hettige, Huq et al. 1996).
36
Lead Markets for Environmental Innovations: A New Role for the Nation State
policy has partly changed the framework conditions of the world market
(Jnicke and Weidner 1997; Weidner and Jnicke 2002, Vogel 2001).
Regulatory competition in environmental policy often creates first-mover
advantages for national economies. Environmental technologies becoming
increasingly part of the global competition (Porter 1990, Wallace 1995,
Faucheux 2000). The so called Porter hypothesis argues that a strict envi-
ronmental policy can improve competitiveness of firms and sectors (Porter
1990; Porter and van der Linde 1995; also Ashford and others 1979). There
are two explanations for this (see Taistra 2001): First, a competitive advan-
tage might be achieved in case of a strict environmental policy which, at a
later stage, diffuses internationally. If there has been a development of
technologies in response to strict environmental standards, industries (not
necessarily the polluting industry itself), might be able to export their tech-
nologies. Their competitive advantage may be based on learning effects or
patent protection for their innovation. Secondly, strict environmental pol-
icy might lead to innovation in the polluting industry itself that compen-
sates or even overcompensate for the costs of adaptation. This part of the
Porter hypotheses has been labeled the free-lunch or even paid lunch
hypothesis. Although the existence of considerable inefficiencies can not
be explained by conventional economic theory, that assumes well informed
economic actors, there is a broad empirical evidence that supports this hy-
potheses (see e.g. Taistra 2001; Taistra 2000 ; Jaffe, Peterson et al. 1995;
Hbner and Nill 2001). The Porter hypothesis has been supported also by
policy science research on pioneer countries showing evidence for eco-
nomic advantages of ambitious environmental policies (Wallace 1995;
Jnicke and Weidner 1997; Weidner and Jnicke 2002; Andersen and Lief-
ferink 1997).
Pioneer countries in environmental policy are highly competitive. The
Global Competitive Report shows a remarkably high correlation (R2 = 0.89)
between ambitious environmental policy and the competitiveness of a
country (Esty and Porter 2000). Other studies have revealed a similar rela-
tionship between eco efficiency and competitiveness (Sturm, Wackernagel
et al. 2000). The causal relation can go in both directions. Also, third fac-
tors (e.g. the GNP per capita) may explain the interrelation. However, the
hypothesis of a contradiction between competitiveness and a demanding
environmental policy can be rejected. The explanatory importance of GNP
for strict environmental policy and high competitiveness may be explained
37
Martin Jnicke Klaus Jacob
38
Lead Markets for Environmental Innovations: A New Role for the Nation State
ronmental policy innovations. The role of the pioneers seems to be more im-
portant than the creation of policy innovations by the international institu-
tions themselves. Figure 2 shows some examples of the diffusion of environ-
mental policy innovations such as environmental ministries or green plans
from pioneer countries to the rest of the world.
110
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1967 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000
39
Martin Jnicke Klaus Jacob
tions and their diffusion (Hritier, Mingers et al. 1994). The EU must firstly, at
least in principle, accept a high level of protection in member states; it must
secondly seek to harmonize innovations in environmental policy imple-
mented at national state level. The mechanism of international diffusion of
policy innovations is favourable to the creation of lead markets for environ-
mental innovations. On the one hand, the convergence of standards and regu-
lations implies in case of technology-based policies a widening of the mar-
ket for technologies. On the other hand, the availability of technical solutions
makes the diffusion of the corresponding policy innovation more likely. How-
ever the implementation of European policies remains poor and environ-
mental measures are restricted in so far that Environmental regulations shall
not violate the institutions of the internal market (Knill 2003).
Globalization has created a policy arena for pioneer countries, at least in envi-
ronmental policy. Pioneering environmental policy of highly developed coun-
tries can be observed since the 1970s. The influence of small innovative coun-
tries in global policy has been growing since (Andersen and Liefferink 1997,
Jnicke and Weidner 1997). There is a political competition between countries
that requires an arena. Since the end of the cold war and its dichotomic policy
arena, the situation has improved. International institutions like OECD or the
UNEP and global networks of all kind provide a basis for benchmarking and
competition in global environmental policy. The competition is motivated by
the willingness to support domestic innovative industries or to protect the
national regulatory culture against pressures to adapt to policy innovation
from abroad.
The nation state remains the most competent and best-organized actor
(alongside multinational enterprises) in the global arena. While there has been
a transfer of sovereignty to international institutions, nation states gained
additional opportunities by concerting globally their actions. Examples can be
found in fields like nature conservation, toxic waste control (Basel conven-
tion), or the general environmental strategy (Agenda 21). But also the concerted
consolidation of national budgets is an important example. Therefore, the
decline of national sovereignty should not be confused with a decline of ca-
pacity to solve national problems. The role of pioneer governments is espe-
cially interesting if we turn to the question of greening of the global markets
and the establishment of lead markets for environmental innovations.
40
Lead Markets for Environmental Innovations: A New Role for the Nation State
41
Martin Jnicke Klaus Jacob
42
Lead Markets for Environmental Innovations: A New Role for the Nation State
43
Martin Jnicke Klaus Jacob
following Figure depicts a stage model of policy and technology invention and
policy and technology diffusion. Theoretically, it is possible to distinguish
between the following diffusion scenarios, depending on the factors leading to
the political and technological innovations:
A: Policy C: Policy
Innovation Diffusion
B: Technology D: Technology
Innovation Diffusion
Policy induced Diffusion Technology induced Diffusion
Technology Forcing Technological Initiative
(ABCD): e.g. US-Car Emission (BACD): e.g. wind energy
Standards (1970) Technological Dominance
Political Initiative (ABDC): (BADC): e.g. CHP Technologies
e.g. Cadmium substitutes
Autonomous Diffusion (BD): e.g.
Political Dominance Incremental improvements of energy
(ACBD): no example yet? efficiency
4
The use of cadmium was regulated in Sweden in the early 1980s with their standards
for substitutes being adopted by European industry. Not until the early 1990s, how-
ever, were these standards made binding by the European Commission (Btcher,
Bhm et al. 1992).
44
Lead Markets for Environmental Innovations: A New Role for the Nation State
5
Combined heat and power (CHP) in industry spread largely autonomously, even
though regulatory measures were intended to encourage its use in public power sta-
tions.
45
Martin Jnicke Klaus Jacob
Conclusions
The limits of ecological modernization (in the technocratic sense 6) are thus
defined by the limits of technology. However, these limits are dynamic. They
can be extended by research (and by research and development policies). For
example, research into the development of procedures for reducing carbon
dioxide emissions, if successful, could substantially widen our room for ma-
neuver in climate policy. The rapid diffusion of suitable policy innovations
will then be predictable as the difficulty and slowness of a climate policy aim-
ing at structural change of the energy sector which de facto places restrictions
on established energy markets (coal, oil). The variants of this interplay be-
tween policy and technology in any case are a central theme in research on the
diffusion of environmental innovations, especially when it comes to selectively
optimizing such innovations.
Ecological modernization driven by pioneering countries can be conceived
and has its merits as a market compatible strategy of technical environmental
innovations and their corresponding policies supporting their diffusion. It is
the (highly developed) nation state, which plays a crucial role in this context.
In this perspective, the function of international organizations can be seen
more as policy arenas for pioneer countries and as agents of diffusion than as
original policy innovators.
Furthermore, there is no race to the bottom in times of economic globaliza-
tion: The present pioneers in environmental policy are primarily open
economies. There is no general contradiction between competitiveness and
demanding environmental policy, on the contrary, highly developed countries
tend to integrate the environmental issue into the competition on quality. The
highly regulated markets and their environmental standards e.g. of the EU
countries have strong influence on other exporting nations. Global diffusion
of best practice in environmental policy has become an important driving
6
See Jnicke (2000) for a more detailed discussion on the different concepts of eco-
logical modernization.
46
Lead Markets for Environmental Innovations: A New Role for the Nation State
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den, Westdeutscher Verlag: 121-144.
Scharpf, F. W. (1999). Regieren in Europa. Effektiv und demokratisch? Frankfurt / New
York, Campus.
Sturm, A., M. Wackernagel, et al. (2000). The Winners and Losers in Global Competi-
tion. Why Eco-Efficiency Reinforces Competitiveness: A Study of 44 Nations.
Chur/Zrich, Verlag Regger.
49
Martin Jnicke Klaus Jacob
50
Trend Setters in Environmental Policy: The
Character and Role of Pioneer Countries1
MARTIN JNICKE
Abstract
Environmental policy convergence resulting from policy diffusion seems to be
influenced not only by functional imperatives of the world market but also by
a collective behaviour of national governments, where pioneer countries func-
tion as (intellectual) leaders under conditions of uncertainty. Their solutions
for general environmental problems are adopted by other countries. As a rule,
it is one single solution that is preferred by a large group or the majority of
countries. This regulatory conformism makes pioneer roles of countries
highly relevant. The article analyses the character and role of such trend set-
ters in environmental policy. A necessary condition for becoming a pioneer
country in environmental policy is a high political capacity. This encompasses
the institutional, economic and informational framework conditions and the
relative strengths of the green advocacy coalition of a country. While these
factors refer to relative stable conditions of policy making, this does not ex-
plain why pioneer countries come and go. In order to explain this, an analyti-
cal framework is proposed that encompasses situative factors, strategic factors
and actor constellations, especially the coalition between organised propo-
nents of environmental objectives and economic modernisers. This coalition
of ecological modernisers may break down e. g. in times of economic crisis.
The political and economic framework conditions of globalisation may some-
times bear impediments for pioneers, but at the same time they also do pro-
vide incentives for highly advanced countries to take over national pioneer
roles - at least in the field of environmental protection, which has become an
important issue in the competition for innovation.
1
First published in: European Environment, Vol. 15, No. 2, 2005, pp. 129-142.
Copyright John Wiley & Sons Limited. Reprinted with kind permission
51
Martin Jnicke
1 Introduction
Since the early days of environmental policy in the 1970s, there have been
pioneer countries setting regulatory trends in the new policy field. National
pioneers have been initiating environmental policy innovations such as new
institutions, instruments or modes of operation. Their solution for a special
environmental problem has been adopted by a relevant group or the majority
of other countries, thereby creating a certain policy convergence. Early on, this
mechanism has been identified as a condition for success in international
environmental policy. And it is no new insight, that horizontal diffusion of
environmental policy innovations is not less important than vertical regula-
tion by international organisations (Jnicke, 1990; Busch and Jrgens 2005;
Tews 2005). The development of global environmental policy and its preferred
policy patterns may have been influenced more than most other policies by
horizontal lesson drawing (Rose, 1993, Jnicke and Weidner, 1997). Environ-
mental policy convergence basically results from a kind of collective - but not
simultaneous - choice of a large group of countries for one special policy in-
novation which is perceived to be the best (or at least the most frequently
adopted) solution for a general environmental problem.
Pioneer countries are more than first movers. To initiate a regulatory trend
(see also Levi-Faur and Jordana, 2005), they need a certain visibility and it is
important whether or not their policy innovation contributes to the interna-
tional policy agenda. Here the international institutions play an important
role. Pioneer countries are actors within the international policy arena. But
policy innovations as well as their early adoption by other countries primarily
depend on domestic factors. They need (1) a certain capacity. The concept of
political capacity is rather complex. The OECD defines environmental policy
capacity very broadly as a societys ability to identify and solve environmental
problems (OECD, 1994: 8). A precise operationalisation may be difficult. But it
can be defined at least negatively by the relative stable limits beyond which
successful action is impossible. These limits depend on (1a) the existing
strength of the green advocacy coalition (Sabatier, 1999) together with (1b)
the existing institutional, economic or informational opportunity structure
which the proponents of a special policy cannot transcend (e. g. lack of institu-
tions, economic/fiscal resources, or knowledge). Capacities can be enlarged by
policies again within given limits (capacity of capacity building). An increas-
ingly relevant option of capacity-building is the institutionalised international
52
Trend Setters in Environmental Policy: The Character and Role of Pioneer Countries
cooperation. Pioneer activities are also (2) issue specific. Countries may be
generally strong in the field of environmental policy, but particular issue-
areas may have their own stories of success or failure. A pioneer country can
be lagging in certain fields (Germany e. g. is a forerunner regarding energy
efficient cars but it has no general speed limit on highways). There are also (3)
situative factors (policy windows) that support or restrict the full use or a
certain enlargement - of a given capacity. These are necessary to explain why
pioneers in environmental policy come and go. There seems to be a large
range of options for highly developed countrys either to be a policy innovator
or to be more hesitant. The sufficient explanation of a given effective pioneer
role is (4) a question of strategic factors: the will and skill (Shonfield) of using
a given capacity and situative context.
Pioneer countries in environmental policy, then, are countries, where a strong
green advocacy coalition is skilful enough to use an advanced opportunity
structure together with situative chances in order to introduce more than
one environmental policy innovation contributing to international regulatory
trends. The factors that determine a countries role as a pioneer in environ-
mental policy can be depicted as in the following graph:
3. Situative factors
4. Strategic factors
53
Martin Jnicke
54
Trend Setters in Environmental Policy: The Character and Role of Pioneer Countries
So far, the fear of a general weakening of the nation-state has not been con-
firmed by empirical research. Meanwhile this is no new finding (see also
Jnicke/Jacobs in this volume). Regarding the role of national governments in
global environmental governance the main arguments could be summarised
by following theses which are based on different empirical studies.
Globalisation has created a policy arena for pioneer countries, at least in
environmental policy (Andersen and Liefferink, 1997; Jnicke and
Weidner,1997; Andersson and Mol, 2002).
In the context of multi-level environmental governance (developed) nation
states remain key players, not least in the process of policy innovation and
its diffusion. The national government is both, the subject and object of
global environmental policy learning and lesson-drawing (Rose, 1993; Ben-
nett, 1991; Kern et al., 2001; French, 2002, Tews et al., 2003).
Environmental policy innovation as well as regression are caused primarily
at the national level (Jnicke and Weidner,1997).
Policies are differently affected by globalisation (Scharpf, 1999).
Studies denying a generally restrictive role of the global economy are also
well-known but highly relevant in our context (see also Jnicke, Jnicke and
Jacob in this volume):
There is no general race to the bottom in environmental policy (Porter
and v. d. Linde, 1995; Wallace, 1995, Eliste and Fredricksson, 1998, Vogel,
2001; Wheeler, 2001; Drezner, 2001, Weidner and Jnicke, 2002).
Pioneer countries in environmental policy have open and highly competi-
tive economies (World Economic Forum, 2000, Sturm et al., 2000, Kok,
2004).
The open (globalised) national economy needs and is characterised by
strong government (Cameron, 1978; Garrett, 1998; Bernauer, 2000, Levi-
Faur and Jordana, 2005).
New environmental technologies, as a rule, start from national lead mar-
kets, based on supporting pioneer policies (Meyer-Krahmer, 1999, Beise,
2001, Jacob et a., 2005).
To summarise the presented theses: Both the political and the economic glob-
alisation has not only created restrictions to national pioneer behaviour in
environmental protection. It has at the same time created strong incentives
for national policy innovations in this field. The most important fact seems to
be that the environmental issue more and more has come to play a role in the
55
Martin Jnicke
2
Introduction of 21 new environmental policy institutions, laws or instruments:
innovation or first 3 early adoptions.
56
Trend Setters in Environmental Policy: The Character and Role of Pioneer Countries
This at least underlines the argument of the active role of small European
countries in the last ten to 15 years. What I would like to show is the existence
of countries that several times have taken the risk of being environmental
pioneers, but also the change of pioneer roles over time. The US and Japan
which in the 1970s together with Sweden have been so important as trend-
setters of environmental regulation throughout the industrialised world have
taken a quite different position in the 1980s and 1990s.
Therefore, in explaining pioneer roles of countries we must differentiate be-
tween relatively stable and relatively unstable factors (Andersen and Liefferink,
1997; Sabatier, 1999), or between stable structures or capacities and other more
variable situative conditions, that cause changes within a given capacity
(Jnicke and Weidner, 1997).
57
Martin Jnicke
58
Trend Setters in Environmental Policy: The Character and Role of Pioneer Countries
59
Martin Jnicke
But the knowledge base of policy innovation must not only be produced, it has
to be transferred and it has to be adopted by an educated public. All three
conditions are necessary. A highly developed research capacity together with
an effective system of education may be insufficient, if the transfer by the me-
dia is restricted, e.g. by a dominant commercial structure.
The immediate transfer of innovative knowledge to the political elite may be
especially important. The pioneer role of Germany in the field of climate pro-
tection cannot be explained without the role of a parliamentary Enquete-
commission in the late 1980s which created the respective knowledge base for
the Parliament and an educated community (the same could be said for the
German policy of a phase-out of nuclear energy).
We now turn from the relatively stable factors of environmental pioneer coun-
tries to the more unstable (Andersen and Liefferink, 1997: 18; Jnicke and
Weidner, 1997: 7). The role of situative opportunities and of policy windows
has for long been regarded as important for policy innovation (Kingdon, 1995;
Sabatier, 1999). Situative restrictive or supporting factors can be sudden
changes of economic conditions such as recessions, high oil prices, or new
technologies. Political events or changes like government-turnover, or policy
innovations in other countries can play a similar role. The role of new, some-
times shocking informations (from publications like The Limits to Growth to
events like the Chernobyl accident) has often been mentioned in this context.
The situative factors explain not only the full use of a given capacity to play a
pioneer role in environmental policy. Today they are especially important if it
comes to explain a political roll-back, or the under-exploitation of a given
capacity. Examples are the US under Reagan and Bush (jun.), Japan during the
bubble crises after the mid 1980s (Dryzek et al., 2002, Desai, 2002), United
Kingdom under Margret Thatcher, or more recently Denmark and The Neth-
erlands after a government-turnover. Sweden, on the other hand, experienced
a comeback as environmental pioneer in the late 1990s under Gran Persson.
We need more comparative research about such policy changes leading to an
abandonment of pioneer roles. Again the state of the economy is the most
important explanation. But it seems also plausible that pioneer roles of ad-
vanced countries can finally lead to frustration and overextension. Perceived
60
Trend Setters in Environmental Policy: The Character and Role of Pioneer Countries
61
Martin Jnicke
Whether and how a given environmental capacity and a situative policy win-
dow are used depends on strategic factors, on will and skill. There are several
options for pioneers: They may be only forerunners, reacting to domestic
problems or certain market opportunities; in this case it is the adoption of the
policy innovation by other countries or the EU that determines the pioneer
role. Or they may act as active pushers (Andersen and Liefferink, 1997, Adre-
sen and Agrawala, 2002), transferring their policy innovation to the higher
level, e.g. the EU. Sweden, the Netherlands, Denmark, Germany and the UK
have combined both strategies several times. Germany e. g. pushed the policy
for renewable energies by a special international conference (2004).
62
Trend Setters in Environmental Policy: The Character and Role of Pioneer Countries
able. This demonstration effect again depends to a certain degree on the visi-
bility of the country. The regulatory trend also depends on its anticipation by
adopting countries. Not only proactive enterprises anticipate regulations
(Jacob, 1999). Countries too and especially export-oriented economies tend
to orient themselves towards future regulatory developments. If there are
competing policy designs for a certain environmental problem, the adopters
tend to be cautious as long as the prognosis about the finally converging pol-
icy design is insecure (Busch and Jrgens, 2005). Its should also be underlined
that each policy adoption has its own national history of success if there is no
international agreement. The adoption depending not only on policy capaci-
ties and on general environmental conditions of a country but also on
situative factors such as catastrophic events, government changes, technical
developments or sudden changes of energy prices. The main message from
the lead market research is, that the transfer activity of the pioneer country
plays a minor role compared with this internal logic of adoption.
5 Conclusions
Environmental policy convergence resulting from policy diffusion seems to be
influenced not only by functional imperatives of the world market but also by
a certain collective behaviour of national governments, where a limited num-
ber of pioneer countries at some point in time serve as an example for others
in furthering environmental policies. They demonstrate the political and eco-
nomic feasibility of certain solution, thereby legitimating subsequent adop-
tions of the same policy innovation in other countries. Policy convergence
results from the fact, that, as rule, it is one single solution that is preferred by
a large group or the majority of countries. Often by merely existing, pioneers
further the spread or uptake of advanced environmental policy concepts. The
process of adoption - having its own logic (which is beyond this article)
seems to be characterised by a certain regulatory conformism. Seen in this
perspective policy convergence seems to result not least from a group behav-
ior of national governments, where pioneer countries play the (intellectual)
leadership role under conditions of uncertainty.
A necessary condition for becoming a pioneer is a high capacity for environ-
mental policy making. This encompasses the institutional, economic and
informational opportunities and the relative strengths of the green advocacy
coalition of a country. While these factors refer to relatively stable factors of
63
Martin Jnicke
policy making, this explains not why sometimes pioneer roles are given up.
Additional determinants have to be taken into consideration to explain the
ups and downs in environmental policy. To explain this, an analytical frame-
work has been proposed that encompasses also situative factors, strategic fac-
tors and actor constellations, especially the coalition between organised pro-
ponents of environmental objectives and economic modernisers. This coali-
tion of ecological modernisers may break down in times of economic crisis, or
as an effect of overstraining the existing consensus or even as a paradox effect
of visible improvements of the environment. But the existing capacity of a
country together with certain incentives of the international system will
prevent an excessive roll-back and provide chances for a comeback (as in the
cases of Sweden and Britain).
The political and economic framework conditions of globalisation may some-
times bear impediments for pioneers, but at the same time they also provide
incentives for certain advanced countries to take over national pioneer roles
at least in the field of environmental policy. The existing opportunities, how-
ever, seem to be restricted to technology-based solutions. And so far they are
restricted to highly developed OECD countries often EU member states
with a strong position in the competition for innovation. Whether pioneering
strategies become viable for developing countries as well should be, however,
subject of further investigation.
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66
Modelling Capacities for Environmental Policy-
Making in Global Environmental Politics1
KLAUS JACOB
AXEL VOLKERY
Abstract
Since the early days of environmental policy in the 1970s, international policy
development has been driven by pioneer countries that set regulatory trends.
The ongoing diffusion of regulatory innovations indicate that national envi-
ronmental policy-making still is an important driving force of international
policy development.
Despite an array of case studies, comparative environmental policy analysis
still lacks theoretical and empirical scrutiny in understanding the factors that
influence the innovation behaviour of nation-states, although the relevance for
international policy development is often acknowledged. Based on conceptual
models on the capacities of countries to introduce environmental policy inno-
vations, we decompose central parts into quantified variables. This allows for
an empirical verification by using formal methods including statistical model-
ling. We use regulatory innovations in climate change policies in OECD coun-
tries as the dependent variable and aim at seeking to find key variables that
might explain why countries take over or abandon pioneering roles. Unlike
previous large N studies that focus on outcome or impact variables, we find a
great importance of political factors while the economic performance of a
country has only little explanatory power.
1
Paper presented at the 46th Annual International Studies Association Convention,
March 1-5, 2005, Hilton Hawaiian Village
67
Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
1 Introduction
There is a controversial debate on the discretion and influence of national
policy-making in global environmental politics. Some scholars argue that state
autonomy and capacity is constrained by the processes of economic integra-
tion and internationalization of politics. Other scholars point to processes of
diffusion of regulatory instruments and conclude that national policy-making
continues to be a central driving force of policy development (see for an over-
all assessment Pierre and Peters, 2000, Bernauer, 2000). Environmental policy
in particular is characterised by broad processes of diffusion of regulatory
innovations (Busch et al., 2005, Jordan et al., 2003). The observation that inno-
vative regulation spreads around the globe (Levi-Faur and Jordana, 2005)
raises, however, another question: What factors affect the decision to go ahead
with new regulation in an international context?
Despite an array of studies, comparative environmental policy analysis still
lacks theoretical and empirical scrutiny in understanding the factors that in-
fluence the innovation behaviour of nation-states, although the relevance for
international policy development is often acknowledged. Whereas quantitative
studies have become more common in International Environmental Studies
recently (see Sprinz and Wolinsky-Nahmias, 2004), quantitative studies in
comparative environmental policy analysis have focused mainly on environ-
mental outcomes and impacts (Scruggs, 1999, Scruggs, 2003, Jahn, 1999, Jahn,
1998, Crepaz, 1995, Jnicke et al., 1992) or on compliance with international
regimes (Miles et al., 2002, Helm and Sprinz, 2000). Explaining policy outputs
on the national level is up to now largely a matter of case studies or qualitative
small-n studies that seldom focus on a stringent verification of variables (see
for an exception: Ringquist, 1993).
With this contribution, we aim to explore in how far large-N studies are suit-
able for an analysis of the determinants of pioneering environmental policy.
Taking innovative regulation from climate protection policies as an example
and drawing on the concept of environmental capacity (see Jnicke, 1996,
Jnicke and Weidner, 1997, Weidner and Jnicke, 2002) we seek to find key
variables that explain the political innovation behaviour of OECD-countries by
using formal methods inclusive the testing of statistical modelling on the
basis of regression analysis. We define innovation behaviour as the rate of first
introduction or early adaption of environmental innovations in OECD-
countries. What kind of similarities can be found for the countries that are
68
Modelling Capacities for Environmental Policy-Making in Global Environmental Politics
69
Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
70
Modelling Capacities for Environmental Policy-Making in Global Environmental Politics
less seeks a constructive compromise at the international level. The third type
is (c) the defensive-forerunner that deliberatively adopts its policies but pushes
only indirectly, whereas the fourth type is (d) the opt-outer that maintains or
adopts a stricter regulation if more lax standards are about to be institutional-
ised at the international level.
Coming from another corner of the playing field, Gupta and Grubb (2000)
distinguish structural, directional and instrumental leadership in interna-
tional negotiations as possible forms of engagement strategies. Structural
leaders are states with large material resources and a strong position in the
global order which gives them the possibility to lead bargaining processes and
prompt other actors to accept measures by constructive use of their power.
Directional leaders are states that try to change the perceptions and beliefs of
others through demonstrating by good domestic action that goals are achiev-
able and solutions available. Instrumental leaders are states that use their ne-
gotiation skills to lead international negotiations to mutually beneficial re-
sults, especially by issue-linkage and building of issue-based coalitions.
71
Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
Structural Context
Informational Context
Situative Context
Institutional Context
Actors
Strategies
Environmental interests
Polluters interests
Economic Context
Structure of
Problems
Economic Performance
72
Modelling Capacities for Environmental Policy-Making in Global Environmental Politics
73
Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
74
Modelling Capacities for Environmental Policy-Making in Global Environmental Politics
2
These countries were Denmark, Germany, France, Japan, Canada, Austria, Switzer-
land, Australia, Luxemburg, New Zealand. Poland and the United Kingdom.
75
Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
Out of the 30 countries that have been analysed, 14 have introduced feed in
tariffs beginning in 1989, 10 deployed an energy tax (from 1990 on), 10 adopted
quota models (from 1998), and 24 countries disposed CO2-related objectives
(firstly introduced in 1989). 3 out of the 30 countries did not use any of these
instruments (see table 1 for the ranking of the countries).
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Modelling Capacities for Environmental Policy-Making in Global Environmental Politics
77
Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
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Modelling Capacities for Environmental Policy-Making in Global Environmental Politics
The empirical analysis reveals highly significant correlations for this group of
variables. Countries that early introduce environmental policy measures are
characterised by a lower electoral threshold, a lower degree of disproportional-
79
Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
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Modelling Capacities for Environmental Policy-Making in Global Environmental Politics
chemicals, pulp and paper, non-ferrous metals (see: Binder, 2001). Coal con-
sumption is described as coal consumption per populated land area and the
carbon emissions per GDP. The Dow Jones Sustainability Group Index en-
compasses a group of companies that have been rated as the top 10% in terms
of sustainability. Firms that are already in the Dow Jones Global Index are
eligible to enter the Sustainability Group Index. Countries in which a higher
percentage of eligible firms meet the requirements have a private sector that is
contributing more strongly to environmental sustainability. (Esty et al., 2005,
p. 317)
We also find significant correlations for the Dow Jones Sustainability Index,
for the share of ISO 14001 certified enterprises and for the carbon intensity of
the GDP. The rate of coal consumption shows no significant correlation. Cor-
relations for the green business variables are, however, rather weak.
Supportive economic framework conditions: In the conceptual model of envi-
ronmental capacities, economic variables are treated both as determinants of
pollution and problem-solving resources. We refer to the enabling effects of
economic growth and high GDP per Capita and add a low rate of unemploy-
ment as another structural factor.
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Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
What is astonishing in our analysis is, however, the result that the correlation
is not significant for economic performance. Only if we transform the values
on an ordinal scale (low, medium, high) and thus reduce the effects of outliers
a significant chi square can be calculated (10,608, Sign.: ,031). Our findings
indicate that growth rates and unemployment rates are not significantly corre-
lated with national innovation behaviour in environmental policy. This is
contradictory to former studies on the interrelationship between data on envi-
ronmental quality and economic performance (Scruggs, 2003, Binder, 1997,
Jahn, 1999).
Greening the Innovation System: Whereas the support for renewable energies
is a specific indicator for transitions in the energy sector, the indices for
knowledge creation and innovation capacity are indicators from the 2005 ESI
report that portray broadly capacity developments in environmental science,
technology and policy.
We calculated public spending for renewable energy technologies per capita
and this variables shows a relatively high correlation with our scale of pioneer
behaviour (-,640, Sign: ,001). The other variables do not reveal any significant
correlation.
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Modelling Capacities for Environmental Policy-Making in Global Environmental Politics
The analysis for international factors reveals significant correlations for the
participation in environmental agreements (-,542, sign.: ,002) and for member-
ships in environmental IGO (-,429, sign. ,020) but no significant correlation
regarding contributions for international funding of environmental and de-
velopment projects.
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Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
4 Multivariate analysis
The small number of cases and the large number of variables requires a focus
on those factors that revealed a particularly high relationship in the first step
of analysis. Despite the constraints our data allow for a discriminate analysis.
We transformed the dependent variable (pioneer) on a scale of three values
(early adaptor, late adaptor, laggard) with each group encompassing the same
percentile. For the independent variables (integration, elec_threshold, gov_eff,
env_group, dow_jones_sd, ren_energy_cap, env_agree, dirties_gdp, gdp_cap),
the missing variables were replaced by the mean value of each variable. This is
necessary in order to prevent that cases will be excluded from analysis because
the computation of the discriminate function requires values for each variable.
The variables with the added values reveal, of course, strong correlation with
the variables they are derived from. Furthermore, the correlations with the
dependent variable remain significant although they become a little weaker.
The results of the discriminate analysis are presented as follows:
84
Modelling Capacities for Environmental Policy-Making in Global Environmental Politics
Tab. 10: Results of the discriminate analysis for selected independent variables
Standard Valid values (listwise)
Pioneer Mean
Deviation Unweighted Weighted
early adopters
Integration 4,03750 ,565348 10 10,000
Elec_Threshold 5,18941 3,956042 10 10,000
Gov_Effectivness 1,69900 ,524605 10 10,000
Env_Group 9,11556 6,489931 10 10,000
Dow_Jones_SD ,46130 ,271618 10 10,000
Ren_Energy_Capita 1,71253 1,053540 10 10,000
GDP_capita 27590,12306 6303,135163 10 10,000
Dirties_GDP 7,40000 ,916919 10 10,000
Env_agree ,93600 ,072142 10 10,000
late adopters
Integration 2,80000 ,831665 10 10,000
Elec_Threshold 19,37706 11,132674 10 10,000
Gov_Effectivness 1,44400 ,617957 10 10,000
Env_Group 5,54778 2,119322 10 10,000
Dow_Jones_SD ,39495 ,292611 10 10,000
Ren_Energy_Capita ,69725 ,410558 10 10,000
GDP_capita 24250,93243 6464,507730 10 10,000
Dirties_GDP 7,96667 ,760929 10 10,000
Env_agree ,86100 ,099605 10 10,000
Laggards
Integration 2,91250 ,645632 10 10,000
Elec_Threshold 15,61588 7,009033 10 10,000
Gov_Effectivness 1,07562 ,707305 10 10,000
Env_Group 5,30333 2,562010 10 10,000
Dow_Jones_SD ,30325 ,210319 10 10,000
Ren_Energy_Capita ,63202 ,425712 10 10,000
GDP_capita 24554,66399 13407,088709 10 10,000
Dirties_GDP 8,13333 2,747389 10 10,000
Env_agree ,80266 ,091748 10 10,000
Total
Integration 3,25000 ,875308 30 30,000
Elec_Threshold 13,39412 9,788997 30 30,000
Gov_Effectivness 1,40621 ,653391 30 30,000
Env_Group 6,65556 4,432032 30 30,000
Dow_Jones_SD ,38650 ,259884 30 30,000
Ren_Energy_Capita 1,01393 ,840349 30 30,000
GDP_capita 25465,23983 9134,271958 30 30,000
Dirties_GDP 7,83333 1,698546 30 30,000
Env_agree ,86655 ,101922 30 30,000
85
Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
The calculation of the Wilks-Lambda values that the groups can be distin-
guished significantly by the Indicators integration, electoral threshold,
ren_energy_cap and env_agreements.
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Modelling Capacities for Environmental Policy-Making in Global Environmental Politics
Applying the discriminate function on each case, we calculate for each case the
probability of belonging to a specific group. The model is not very stable since
the centres of the groups are closely together. Nevertheless the chosen vari-
ables are able to predict the group belonging of specific countries in 80 % of
the cases.
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Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
88
Modelling Capacities for Environmental Policy-Making in Global Environmental Politics
differences between the groups are rather small. Furthermore, the small num-
ber of cases does not allow a judgement if assumptions on the quality of data
might be violated in particular regarding the normal distribution. For an im-
provement of data, two strategies will be exploited in future research. Firstly,
data will be generated in expert surveys, that captures key concepts of envi-
ronmental policy capacities on simple ordinal scales.
Furthermore, time series of variables in the countries will be generated. By
this, the number of observations can be increased for many variables. But
more important, the change of capacities over time and dependent on the
development of specific variables can be described and analysed. This allows
an estimation in how far e.g. economic crises or a swing in elections opens up
opportunities for becoming a front runner in environmental policy or is hin-
dering the role. We are interested in finding the conditions under which the
role as a pioneer is abandoned and what this means for the development of
other factors explaining environmental capacities. For this, additional re-
quirements are needed regarding the dependent variable. The rank in the
introduction of a policy innovation does not reveal the abandoning of the role
as a pioneer. Other indicators are needed that supplement the measurement
of policy outputs, e.g. data on spending for renewable energies, etc. By this, the
change in the dependent variable can be measured over time as well.
A longitudinal analysis allows furthermore a consideration of situative factors.
Based on time series on growth rates (rather than the average growth for a
decade as it is used in our calculation), data on unemployment, changes in
public opinion and in electoral turnouts should reveal the importance of
situative factors.
We expect the capacities for environmental policy innovations to be issue
specific. This implies that a country may be a front runner in e.g. climate pro-
tection policies, but it is a laggard in e.g. chemical or waste policies. This may
be due to differences in administrative competencies due to trajectories, to a
specific problem structure that is different for a given country, to variances in
the configuration of actors among the different policy arenas. To explore the
importance of such factors, the refined model will be tested for policy in other
issues of environmental protection, e.g. nature protection, chemical policy,
waste policy, etc. To sum up, extensions are planned regarding the data (inclu-
sion of survey data generated in expert interviews), generation of time series,
consideration of situative factors, analysis of abandoning a pioneering role
and application on other areas of environmental policy.
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Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
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Modelling Capacities for Environmental Policy-Making in Global Environmental Politics
ISO14001 Number of ISO 14001 certified companies per Esty et al., 2005
billion dollars GDP (PPP)
Ren_Energy_Capita Average Public Spending for R&D in Renewable IEA/OECD
Energy per Capita
Ren_Energy_Share Share of Average Public Spending in R&D for IEA
Renewable Energy of total R&D in Energy Tech-
nologies
GDP Gross Domestic Product, 2003, At current market OECD, 2004
prices Using current PPPs bn US$
GDP_capita GDP per capita OECD, 2004
91
Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
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Part II
Diffusion of Environmental
Policy Innovations
The Diffusion of Environmental Policy Innovations:
Cornerstones of an Analytical Framework 1
KERSTIN TEWS
Abstract
Comparative policy analysis increasingly faces the challenge of incorporating external
forces on national policy developments into its analytical framework. Scholars
of international relations have recognized that the behaviour of states in terms of
policy outputs converges even in the absence of binding international
agreements. These two branches of research can be bridged by the concept of policy
diffusion. Diffusion analysis asks for those conditions that favour or hinder the
spread of policy innovations within the international system. However, the scien-
tific community struggles with different meanings and notions of the term pol-
icy diffusion. Thus, the aim of this paper is to offer a general conceptual frame-
work for the study of diffusion processes within the international system. Under-
standing the process of policy diffusion requires an analysis of the complex interplay
between transnational and international forces, national factors and the character-
istics of policy innovations. By providing a conceptual framework this paper
hopes not only to contribute to the theoretical debate but also to give guidance
for empirical research.
1
First published in: European Environment, Vol. 15, No. 2, 2005, pp. 63-79.
Copyright John Wiley & Sons Limited. Reprinted with kind permission.
97
Kerstin Tews
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The Diffusion of Environmental Policy Innovations
99
Kerstin Tews
From this, one might conclude that diffusion is communication. This would
be true if we intended to investigate how knowledge, rumours or news spread
among the members of a social system. However, if we intend to explain how
policy innovations spread, this would be too simple a conclusion. In contrast
to the objectives of communication research, policy innovations have to pass
through a complex innovationdecision process in order to be adopted.
It becomes clear that policy diffusion is not an empirical process easy to iden-
tify. The spreading of policy innovations may be caused by the whole variety of
mechanisms mentioned above, which might overlap or mingle with each
other. Yet, it would not make much sense analytically to conceptualize diffu-
sion as the generic term comprising all these mechanisms. The term policy
diffusion should be used in the notion of a spreading process of policy inno-
vations among countries in the international system which is driven by a vari-
ety of sub-mechanisms comprising all voluntary types of policy adoptions
ranging from policy-learning to copying or mimetic emulation. The borders
between diffusion and other processes leading to convergence are fluent. Dif-
fusion is the spreading of innovations due to communication instead of hier-
archy or collective decision making within international institutions. Thus,
the domestic implementation of binding international law as well as imposi-
tion should be excluded from diffusion research. Although this exclusion is
predominantly an analytical one, it is nevertheless important. A broad concept
of policy diffusion including all possible mechanisms of policy convergence
(voluntary, legally binding and coercive) would have little analytical surplus
value. It would either remain descriptive or risk considerable overlap with
existing concepts such as the analysis of international regimes, which has been
the focus of IR research for many years. Much more important for narrowing
the focus of diffusion research are the following considerations. As all hori-
zontal policy diffusion may result in policy convergence even in the absence of
strong international regimes for a long time assumed to be the only means
of global governance that narrow notion of diffusion may sharpen our re-
search focus and add new questions and perspectives for prospective research
on mechanisms of global governance.
100
The Diffusion of Environmental Policy Innovations
101
Kerstin Tews
stimuli, and the characteristics of the policy innovation, which may indicate
its diffusablity (Tews et al., 2003).
102
The Diffusion of Environmental Policy Innovations
2
In fact there are two explanations of these comparative advantages of going ahead
(see Taistra, 2001): the first one labelled the free lunch hypothesis states that
strict environmental policy might lead to innovation in the polluting industry itself
that compensates or even over-compensate for the costs of adaptation. However,
this explanation is not as challenging as the second one, described in the text.
103
Kerstin Tews
3
These findings are based on an large-n empirical project on the diffusion of envi-
ronmental policy innovations as an aspect of globalization conducted at the Envi-
ronmental Policy Research Centre at Freie Universitt Berlin and financed by the
Volkswagen Foundation. Research findings of the various researchers of the team
can be downloaded from our website http://www.fu-berlin.de/ffu (see also Binder,
2002; Busch and Jrgens, 2005b).
104
The Diffusion of Environmental Policy Innovations
seven 'soft' instruments (report, expert council, free access to information, ecolabel,
energy efficiency label, plan/strategy, council on sustainable development)
three economic instruments (environmental energy tax, quota and feed-in tariffs for
renewable energy)
five general institutions for decision-making (ministry, authority, basic law,
20 constitutional clause, environmental impact assessment)
six problem-specific laws (air, water and soil protection, nature conservation, waste
and packaging)
10
0
1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
105
Kerstin Tews
4
Known as the principal agent problem.
5
J. G. Ruggie describes quasi-regimes as negotiated international agreements on
aspirations rather than commitments with few or weak compliance mechanisms
(quotated by Botcheva and Martin, 2001, p. 15).
106
The Diffusion of Environmental Policy Innovations
of this argument, see Busch and Jrgens, 2005a). This assumption is based on
the finding that vertical communication or communication mediated through
third parties accelerates the process of spread (Mahajan and Peterson, 1985;
Kern, 2000). A special catalysing effect is expected when these transfer institu-
tions produce models or meta-standards compatible with heterogeneous na-
tional institutional settings (Tews et al., 2003). Models diminish uncertainty
and provide legitimacy. This, in turn, supports national decisions to adopt
policies already practised in other countries and/or promoted by recognized
international organizations.
In contrast, diffusion may be hampered when competing organizations offer
competing models (Kern, 2001, p. 344). Likewise, policy recommendations of
transfer institutions that ignore ongoing diffusion processes hinder the fur-
ther spread of the policy innovation. The latter is especially relevant for the
EU context, where the European Commission as central transfer institution
not only offers models but also is able to transform them into blueprints for
obliged transfers. There are empirical cases that indicate that this special fea-
ture of the EU setting tends to hamper horizontal diffusion processes as the
regulatory competition between member states induces a wait-and-see behav-
iour by member states and discourages them from unilaterally moving ahead
with their preferred policy solution. This happened, for example, in the cases
of energy-efficiency standards for certain household devices (see Busch and
Jrgens 2005b), feed-in tariffs versus quota regulations for electricity from
renewables (see Busch, 2003) and to a certain degree also during the 11-year
struggle over a European energy/carbon tax (Tews, 2002b; for an overview see
Tews, 2004).
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Kerstin Tews
108
The Diffusion of Environmental Policy Innovations
Objects of Innovativeness
Policy innovations pose distinct adaptation challenges to countries in terms of
their technical and/or political feasibility. Hence, in turn, we can assume that
countries exhibit different propensities to innovate dependent on issues and
instruments. Countries differ with respect to the problems they face. Already
the (oversimplified) assumption of a relationship between problem pressure
and innovativeness reveals that certain features of the economic infrastruc-
ture, the availability of natural resources etc. may predispose the areas where a
political need to act is articulated. Furthermore, path dependencies and ad-
ministrative styles and traditions, equally set the course for whether a country
innovates more or less radically and by which means. Historically grown alli-
ances between (governing) political parties and addressees (e.g. certain
branches of domestic industry and the respective trade unions), for example,
may hamper policy change in areas where the interests of the latter are con-
cerned, unattached by the macro-economic importance of these branches
(Pedersen, 2001; Kasa, 1999).
109
Kerstin Tews
6
Mechanisms of diffusion and/or strategic choices of how to diffuse policies fur-
thermore strongly depend on the characteristics of the policy innovation (see above).
110
The Diffusion of Environmental Policy Innovations
Degree of Convergence
Among national factors, attention has been directed especially to administra-
tive traditions, regulatory structures, policy styles and the legacy of past poli-
cies. The perceived administrative implications of adopting new policies or
instruments are often seen as essential factors influencing the decision to
adopt or reject policy innovations from other countries. This emphasis on
administrative fit is based on the general assumption that institutionally
grown structures and routines prevent easy adaptation to exogenous pressure
(Knill and Lenschow, 1998, p. 2). Some argue that these differences cause di-
vergence. This, in fact, depends on the notion of convergence. Others argue
more cautiously that national institutional arrangements serve as filters to the
adoption of innovations (Kern et al., 2001). I would suggest tackling these in-
stitutional arrangements and traditions in the following manner: they might
be responsible for delays or non-adoptions of path-deviant policies, but
mainly they will be responsible for variations in the degree of convergence,
affecting policy similarities with respect to policy ideas and approaches, the
utilization of particular policy instruments or the qualitative level of regula-
tion. Thus, global convergence of policies will never exclude divergent na-
tional adaptations as we would never expect a programme to transfer from
one government to another without history, culture and institutions being
taken into account (Rose, 1991, p. 21).
111
Kerstin Tews
112
The Diffusion of Environmental Policy Innovations
and capable actors, who are willing to work with the policy instrument [...]
towards the intended goal (Knill and Lenschow, 2000, p. 26; see also Brzel,
2000; Caddy, 2000; Kimber, 2000). Thus, the potential weakness of these soft
instruments may foster their widespread adoption as national political agen-
das may be strongly influenced by external international drivers. The spread
of free access to environmental information provisions seems to be a suitable
example for such international norm cascades (Finnemore and Sikkink, 1998)
as the global spread of this innovation accelerated immediately after having
captured global policy arenas and the agenda of influential international or-
ganizations. It is interesting to note that access to environmental information
provisions was adopted even by countries7 with little public capacity to gather,
organize or provide these types of information, and where NGOs were very
weak. This leads to the conclusion that policy adoption may not always be
motivated by the expected impact of policy instruments (in this case more
efficient participatory environmental management). Instead, the relative im-
portance of a policy norm on the global environmental agenda and the per-
ceived appropriateness of FAI provisions to respond instrumentally to this
norm has proved sufficient to motivate the adoption of these regulations in
nation states intending to be legitimate members within the international
society (Tews et al., 2003; Finnemore and Sikkink, 1998). However, such adop-
tion cascades are only likely with respect to policy innovations that can be
easily added and require certain preconditions to be fulfilled in order to be
effective.
An innovations political feasibility is assumed to depend on its potential to
provoke conflicts with powerful actor groups (Kern et al., 2001, p. 24). In par-
ticular, an instruments fiscal effects affect the level of conflict potentially in-
duced by the innovation. Re-distributive policies that affect powerful interests,
especially those that are internationally mobile, are less likely to diffuse rap-
idly. Therefore, the policy innovations exposure to regulatory competition
can be characterized as a raw criterion for the prospect of its rate of adoption.
Advancing this assumption even further, Scharpf (1999) suggests that the polit-
ical feasibility of an innovation encountering regulatory competition depends
on whether the underlying economic competition concerns either the quality
of products or costs of production. The former are assumed to spread more
quickly than the latter. These assumptions have been verified in empirical
7
For example Albania in 1998 and Macedonia in 1996.
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Kerstin Tews
114
The Diffusion of Environmental Policy Innovations
8
Additionally, it differs with respect to its inclusion of obliged and coerced policy
transfers into analysis at least in the framework developed by Dolowitz and Marsh
(1996, 2000). The main questions of the concept e.g. who transfers, what is trans-
ferred and why and with what success can be answered satisfactorily only with re-
spect to single cases.
115
Kerstin Tews
116
The Diffusion of Environmental Policy Innovations
Yes No
Reactive Emulation
pioneering pioneering
adjustment Norm cascades
downwards upwards
9
Adapted and modified from Botcheva and Martin (2001, p. 14) who developed a
model of the effects of international institutions on state behaviour and defined the
mentioned issue property as one of the central variables that have to be considered
in order to account for these effects.
117
Kerstin Tews
tions for policy diffusion success. Among other things, this might require
the identification of those actors who make governments accountable for
their policy adoptions.
Different actors do engage in policy transfers. These actors can be interna-
tional organizations, state actors or non-state actors. They differ with re-
spect to their resources for transferring policies. They differ with respect to
the object they can transfer as a result of their modes of communication.
They differ with respect to their relevance in distinct stages of the policy
cycle or diffusion process (Finnemore and Sikkink, 1998; Stone, 2000;
Tews, 2002c).
Thus, drawing some clues from these observations, one can argue that innova-
tion characteristics predefine to a great extent which diffusion mechanism is
at work, which actors are the most relevant and which actors capacities have
to be complementarily deployed by agents of diffusion in order to develop a
strategic approach to diffuse innovate policy measures and make them work
in distinct national jurisdictions.
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122
The Global Diffusion of Regulatory Instruments:
The Making of a New International Environmental
Regime 1
PER-OLOF BUSCH
HELGE JRGENS
KERSTIN TEWS
Abstract 2
During the 1990s a new regulatory pattern in domestic environmental policy
making has been emerging. This paper argues that the emergence is to a con-
siderable extent a result of policy diffusion. In the absence of formal obliga-
tions regulatory instruments which have been communicated internationally
and were already being practiced elsewhere were voluntarily emulated and
adopted by policymakers. While the international promotion of regulatory
instruments often facilitated their diffusion, the instrument characteristics
determined the extent and speed to which regulatory instruments actually
spread across countries. The voluntary adoptions of regulatory instruments
cannot be exclusively explained by rational motivations of policymakers to
improve effectiveness. In addition, concerns of legitimacy and the perceived
pressure to have to conform with international norms motivated policymak-
ers.
1
First published in: The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social
Science. Volume 598, 2005, pp. 146-167
Copyright Sage Publications. Reprinted with kind permission.
2
This article is based on findings from an research project on The Diffusion of
environmental policy innovations as an aspect of the globalisation of environmental
policy which has been financed by the German Volkswagen Foundation. We would
like to thank the editors Jacint Jordana and David Levi-Faur as well as Michael
Biggs, Fabrizio Gilardi, Kenneth Hanf, Ulrika Mrth and David Vogel for their help-
ful comments on earlier versions of this paper.
123
Per-Olof Busch Helge Jrgens Kerstin Tews
1 Introduction
Since the beginning of the 1990s regulatory patterns in environmental poli-
cymaking have changed significantly. We observe a shift from a sectorally
fragmented and largely legally based regulatory approach towards a greater
use of voluntary, collaborative or market-based regulatory instruments (Fig. 1).
This shift is not restricted to a small set of pioneering countries, but has rap-
idly spread from some forerunner countries to almost every industrialized
country.
seven 'soft' instruments (report, expert council, free access to information, ecolabel,
energy efficiency label, plan/strategy, council on sustainable development)
40
three economic instruments (environmental energy tax, quota and feed-in tariffs for
renewable energy)
30 six problem-specific laws (air, water and soil protection, nature conservation, waste
and packaging)
20
10
0
1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
3
Source: Binder 2002
3
The set of 43 countries in this figure and all subsequent figures comprises industri-
alized countries and countries in transition, namely Albania, Australia, Austria, Bel-
arus, Belgium, Bosnia Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Canada, Croatia, Czech Republic, Den-
mark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Iceland, Italy,
Japan, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxemburg, Macedonia, Moldova, Netherlands, New Zea-
land, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Sweden,
Switzerland, South Korea, Spain, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom and United
States of America
124
The Global Diffusion of Regulatory Instruments
125
Per-Olof Busch Helge Jrgens Kerstin Tews
126
The Global Diffusion of Regulatory Instruments
policies and instruments are communicated as well as the actors who actually
transport these messages from one political setting to another (see in more
detail Lazer, this volume, who refers to and describes the international system
as informational network).
Domestic factors: While the former is a necessary precondition for policy dif-
fusion, it cannot explain individual cases of policy change. Domestic actors,
interests, institutions, capacities and policy styles, all have an influence on the
actual decision of any one country to adopt a policy or instrument that is be-
ing communicated internationally.
Policy Characteristics: Finally, diffusion studies need to answer the question
why some policies or instruments diffuse more quickly than others. Why, for
example, have approximately 140 countries in the world adopted an environ-
mental strategy since the late 1980s while only eleven countries introduced an
energy tax in the same period of time (Busch and Jrgens 2004)? Taking into
account specific policy characteristics which have so far been neglected in
empirical diffusion studies (Dolowitz and Marsh 2000:3; Bennett 1997:227) can
help to answer this question.
Within this rather general framework lies a wide range of individual motiva-
tions for policymakers to voluntarily emulate other countries' regulatory ap-
proaches (see Lazer, this volume). First of all, policymakers may act in a ra-
tional manner by looking across borders for effective solutions to pressing
domestic problems. Rose (1991) has labelled this lesson-drawing. In situa-
tions where domestic actors face great uncertainties about the likelihood of
present policy alternatives to bring about their preferred future outcomes
rational lesson-drawing becomes less feasible. In these cases, domestic poli-
cymakers may prefer to model their own policy choices on those of countries
which are generally perceived as being successful. In early stages of a diffusion
process, policymakers may also be actively persuaded by other national, inter-
national and transnational actors (Finnemore 1993; Haas 1992; Keck and Sik-
kink 1998, see also Lazer, this volume, who discusses a range of actors). During
the later stages of diffusion processes, when a regulatory approach has already
been adopted by a fair amount of countries4, other motivations, such as inter-
national pressures for conformity, the attempt of political elites to increase
4
Finnemore and Sikkink speak of a critical mass of countries (Finnemore and Sik-
kink 1998; see also Kern 2001:10-11).
127
Per-Olof Busch Helge Jrgens Kerstin Tews
the legitimacy of their actions, and their desire to enhance their self-esteem
within an international society structured by emerging normative standards of
appropriate behaviour, may become increasingly important (Finnemore and
Sikkink 1998:895, 902-904).
Besides these motivations which are related either to a "rational" and effective
or to a "socially appropriate" and legitimate way of dealing with environmental
problems, other, more complex motivational structures exist which can be
subsumed under the label "regulatory competition". In the literature the term
regulatory competition is used in two different ways. The more common no-
tion of regulatory competition assumes that an increasing international com-
petition for goods and services and an increasing mobility of capital and
highly skilled labour, pressurizes governments to lower regulations in areas
such as social and environmental policy (Scharpf 1997). A second notion that
has become influential in recent Europeanization literature assumes that by
taking up a frontrunner role in environmental protection, individual member
countries of the European Union (EU) attempt to actively shape EU policies in
accordance with their own domestic policy styles and regulatory traditions in
the hope of minimizing the cost of subsequent political and administrative
adjustment (Hritier, Knill, and Mingers 1996). The basic rationale underlying
both concepts of regulatory competition is that policymakers do not necessar-
ily choose those policy-options that promise the highest level of effectiveness
or legitimacy in the light of a given problem, but take into account as well the
expected economic and administrative side costs which result from an in-
creasingly complex political and economic interdependence of countries. In
order to underline the difference between the two concepts, in the following
we will speak of economic and political competition, respectively.
In the context of this article the notion of political competition is of particular
interest as it implicitly takes into account the potential effects of diffusion
processes and applies them to an international multi-level setting. Policymak-
ers are basically aware that policies and instruments may diffuse both hori-
zontally to other countries and vertically to the international level. Once these
regulatory approaches are taken up by a critical mass of countries or are trans-
formed into international law, it becomes increasingly difficult for previously
reluctant countries to ignore them. At worst, latecomers may be obliged to
implement regulatory schemes which were strongly influenced by forerunner
countries and which do not match their own administrative structures and
policy styles. One possible way for countries to actively influence the design
128
The Global Diffusion of Regulatory Instruments
129
Per-Olof Busch Helge Jrgens Kerstin Tews
tional diffusion in order to secure first-mover advantages and not lag behind
other countries (Porter and van der Linde 1995). In addition policymakers may
be encouraged by their domestic industries to raise regulatory standards to
the level of the more strictly regulated markets. The reason behind this is that
international firms will in any case have to meet the standards of the most
highly regulated markets if they want to sell their products there (see Lazer,
this volume). Instead of manufacturing products with different environmental
properties for different markets, they may be interested in harmonizing prod-
uct standards at the level of the most highly regulated market in order to be
able to produce similar products for all markets at overall lower costs (Vogel
1997:561-563).
In the following four case studies, we show how new regulatory approaches
spread internationally, identify the causes and mechanisms underlying this
global process of policy change and explore the role of diffusion within this
process.
130
The Global Diffusion of Regulatory Instruments
0
1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003
Within the group of industrialized countries, the main driving force behind
the spread of environmental strategies was diffusion. From the first introduc-
tion in 1988 up to the year 1997, when a formal resolution of the United Na-
tions (UN) was adopted, environmental strategies were introduced in 16 indus-
trialized countries. Initially, direct policy transfer from one country to another
played an important role. For example, the Dutch National Environmental
Policy Plan of 1989 was rapidly elevated into a widely recognized model. It was
imitated by several industrialized countries and served as important source of
inspiration to others (Jrgens 2004).
During the 1990s, the diffusion became increasingly institutionalized at the
international level. In 1992 the UN Conference for Environment and Devel-
131
Per-Olof Busch Helge Jrgens Kerstin Tews
132
The Global Diffusion of Regulatory Instruments
5
The reason why these adoptions are not all reflected in the proliferation curve in
Figure 2 is that many of these countries had already adopted an environmental
133
Per-Olof Busch Helge Jrgens Kerstin Tews
strategy at an earlier point in time (e.g. Denmark, France, Austria, Portugal and the
Netherlands) and only this first national adoption of a national environmental strat-
egy is shown in the graph.
134
The Global Diffusion of Regulatory Instruments
Cumulative
35
30
Number of introductions
20
15
0
1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000
135
Per-Olof Busch Helge Jrgens Kerstin Tews
6
Although Sweden was not an EU-member at that time, it would have been affected
by an EU-wide energy tax and thus had an interest in influencing EU policy devel-
opments.
136
The Global Diffusion of Regulatory Instruments
Cumulative
35
30
Number of introductions
25
10
0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
This time lag between demand and reality as well as the slow spread of energy
taxes is largely attributable to this instruments characteristics and related
137
Per-Olof Busch Helge Jrgens Kerstin Tews
7
In 2003 a European minimum energy tax was adopted (Directive 2003/96/EC). How-
ever, its level remained far below initial ambitions of the European Commission and
existing tax rates in the more progressive EU member states.
138
The Global Diffusion of Regulatory Instruments
10
0
1949 1952 1955 1958 1961 1964 1967 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000
Between 1945 and 2000 about 80 percent of all industrialized and transition
countries adopted FAI-provisions (figure 5). This spread can be divided into
two phases. The first phase is characterized by a relatively slow spread of gen-
139
Per-Olof Busch Helge Jrgens Kerstin Tews
8
1992: United Kingdom, Luxembourg; 1993: Ireland, Portugal; 1994: Belgium, Ger-
many; 1995: Spain; 1997: Italy.
140
The Global Diffusion of Regulatory Instruments
Public Participation and Justice. By the end of the 20th century, the issue of
free access to environmental information had developed into a widely recog-
nized international norm of good governance and captured the political
agenda of almost all international organizations.
An additional factor contributing to the spread of FAI-provisions was the col-
lapse of the communist regimes in Eastern Europe in 1989/90. As a response,
the new governments started to realign predominantly with the Western
model of democracy and adapted to the norm of transparency and account-
ability of public actions. This was also a response to requests by societal actors.
In several countries, environmental groups even constituted a bearing part of
the regime opposition. In 1992, four out of six adoptions took place in CEE. It
is interesting to note that FAI-provisions were adopted even by countries with
little capacity to provide such information and with weak NGOs (such as Ma-
cedonia in 1996 and Albania in 1998). Thus FAI-adoptions were not only moti-
vated by their expected impact, but also by their symbolic value or norm status
derived from their relative importance on the global environmental agenda.
Free access to information was increasingly seen as an essential prerequisite of
an environmentally responsible international society within which the respec-
tive adopters intended to be a legitimate member.
Finally, some of the CEE countries were motivated to adopt FAI-provisions by
the prospect of EU membership. The adoption of the whole acquis commun-
autaireincluding the EU-directive on free access to environmental informa-
tionwas a necessary prerequisite for integration (Tews 2001).
Summarizing, it can be observed that the spread of FAI-provisions started to
accelerate when the issue entered the agendas of supranational bodies and
international organizations. It was driven by both, harmonization and diffu-
sion. Many of the diffusion driven adoptions can be attributed to the norma-
tive idea of transparency and accountability in public (environmental) policy-
making.
4 Conclusion
Diffusion has become an alternative or supplementary mode of global govern-
ance across a broad range of cases. It has been influential in the international
spread of all four regulatory instruments studied here and its effects, together
with other mechanisms of change, add up to a new regulatory order. Diffusion
141
Per-Olof Busch Helge Jrgens Kerstin Tews
processes may well be the first step in the emergence of international envi-
ronmental regimes. While horizontal diffusioni.e. the accumulation of indi-
vidual cases of imitation or learning regarding one and the same policy item
may eventually lead to a "de facto" regime where a majority of countries im-
plements similar policies without any formal multilateral agreement, vertical
diffusioni.e. the direct transfer of ideas or programmes from the national to
the supranational levelinspires or leads directly to the adoption of interna-
tional environmental laws. Both types of diffusion have been present in our
case studies. In the case of environmental strategies, horizontal diffusion,
accompanied by information and recommendations from international or-
ganizations, has eventually created a "critical mass" of adopters that made it
difficult for any single government to openly refuse adopting this instrument.
In the case of eco-labels and FAI-provisions, basic regulatory ideas have dif-
fused from the national to the EU-level and led to the adoption of EU-wide
regulations which subsequently had to be transposed by all member countries.
Across all cases, promotion at the international level has proven a decisive
driver of policy diffusion. Often international actors crucially accelerated the
diffusion processes. However, as the example of energy taxes reveals, the spe-
cific instrument characteristics determine the extent to which international
promotion actually leads to domestic policy change. The spread of energy
taxes was relatively slow and did not reach a critical mass. At the same time,
vertical diffusion failed for a long time to set off an EU-wide harmonization of
energy taxes. The case illustrates that policies with a high conflict potential are
less likely to diffuse rapidly. In contrast, environmental strategies or eco-labels
which do not necessarily induce any fundamental policy change, spread sig-
nificantly faster.
Finally, the empirical analysis reveals that normative considerations played an
important role in the decisions of policymakers to adopt regulatory instru-
ments which have been implemented elsewhere or have been communicated
within the international system. In a number of countries, the adoptions, in
particular of environmental strategies and FAI-provisions, were not exclu-
sively driven by rational motivations to improve the effectiveness of environ-
mental policies. Rather, many adoptions could be interpreted as a response to
an international norm whichpromoted by international policy processes
increasingly became recognized and internalized by policymakers.
142
The Global Diffusion of Regulatory Instruments
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Per-Olof Busch Helge Jrgens Kerstin Tews
144
Sub-national trans-Atlantic lesson-drawing related
to governance for sustainable development
KIRSTEN JRGENSEN
Abstract
Deviant from current trends of divergence in the trans-Atlantic environmental
dialogue, surprisingly a few sub-national U.S.-German interactions head for
mutual lesson-drawing in the environmental field and in related topics. These
forms of lesson-drawing at a policy level below the federal governments are
interesting in different respects. What are the driving forces and possible bar-
riers of mutual cooperation in environmental policies? What differences can
be observed, and what effects are achieved? The article begins with a brief
description of two bilateral partnerships between U.S. states and German
Bundeslnder which have been set-up for the exchange of experiences regard-
ing the greening of policies and economic sectors.
Interestingly U.S.-German sub-national lesson-drawing relates to the broader
context of global governance for sustainable development. It concerns the
international climate protection process and is thus related to the governance
model of the 21st century, the Agenda 21, adopted at the 1992 UN World
Summit on Environment and Development (UNCED) in Rio de Janeiro.
Noteworthy, also, these innovative governance approaches seem to be specific
to the political scope of the sub-national state level in the federal systems of
Germany and the US, which are comparable in terms of their central role in
the implementation, relative power and scope for taking action in the envi-
ronmental field. This de-central innovation potential is a perspective which
until now has largely been neglected. Frequently the focus is on areas where
the sub-national level clearly blocks environmental policy innovations and
compliance (for Germany see e.g. SRU 2004: 546). Competition for the location
of industry and capture of regional interests are the main explanations for this
behaviour as they are explicated in the race-to-the-bottom argument (for
details see for example Engel 1997).
145
Kirsten Jrgensen
146
Sub-national trans-Atlantic lesson-drawing
1
For a detailed examination of Marylands Smart Growth Initiative enacted in April
1997, see: Haeuber, Richard (1999), Sprawl Tales, Marylands Smart Growth Initiative
and the evolution of growth management, in: Urban Ecosystems, 3, 131147 and:
Daniels, Tom (2001), Smart Growth, a new American Approach to Regional Plan-
ning, in: Planning Practice & Research, Vol. 16, No. 3/4, 271279
2
Interview Jane Nishida, Head of the Department for Environment, 21.12.2001.
3
See: Tregoning, Harriet / Ageyman, Julian / Shenot, Christine (2002), Sprawl, Smart
Growth and Sustainability, in: Local Environment, Vol. 7, No. 4, 341347.
4
Governor Glendenings Executive Order, 01.01.1998: Smart Growth and Neighbour-
hood Conservation Policy
147
Kirsten Jrgensen
5
See: Energie-Bericht Schleswig-Holstein, 1999: http://landesregierung.schleswig-
holstein.de/coremedia/generator/Archiv/48050,property=pdf.pdf
6
For the full text version of the sustainability strategy, see:
http://landesregierung.schleswig-holstein.de/coremedia/generator/-
148
Sub-national trans-Atlantic lesson-drawing
took the form of workshops and policy study visits it can be expected that a
couple of network relationships related with the topics mentioned above will
be continued.
Aktueller_20Bestand/StK/Hintergrund/PDF/-
Nachhaltigkeitsstrategie__Langfassung,property=pdf.pdf
7
http://www.dnr.state.wi.us/org/caer/cea/bavaria/index.htm last accessed 29.11.2004
149
Kirsten Jrgensen
8
Persistent environmental problems have been picked up as a central theme in the
end of the 1990s by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development
(OECD), the Netherlands Environmental Policy Plan and the European Environ-
mental Agency. In a traffic lights system the OECD identified persistent problems
as red light major problem areas that need to be addressed urgently (OECD 2001).
150
Sub-national trans-Atlantic lesson-drawing
The United States and Germany both represent high level consuming socie-
ties with a relatively high problem-solving capacity. In the past both developed
environmental pioneering behaviour and effective global environmental coop-
eration and leadership. In an international comparative study, however the
federal governments of Germany and the USA were not found to be pioneers
in terms of leadership in the coordination of the national sustainability proc-
esses. Only a few state governments were categorized as enthusiasts with
respect to governance for sustainable development: The Netherlands, Sweden
and Norway (Lafferty and Meadowcroft 2000: 413 f.). Together with Australia,
Canada, Japan, and the United Kingdom (Lafferty and Meadowcroft 2000: 356
151
Kirsten Jrgensen
ff.), these states developed more or less effective types of horizontal coordina-
tion, they devised national sustainable development strategies or comprehen-
sive national environmental policy plans framing the implementation of sus-
tainable development from a long term perspective.
In contrast Germany, followed the approach of symbolic policy typically lack-
ing concrete measures for sustainable development; it was described as cau-
tiously supportive. (Meadowcroft and Lafferty 2000: 415). Until 1998 in Ger-
many the implementation of sustainable development on the federal level and
the institution building for horizontal coordination lagged behind in com-
parison with other OECD countries (Jnicke et.al. 2001). Federal leadership
improved after 2000 in the context of the red-green coalition and finally, a
sustainability strategy was released in April 2002. The central US government,
qualified disinterested (Meadowcroft and Lafferty 2000), received the worst
assessment, where UNCED treaties continue to face acute problems in the
American context, and Agenda 21 is virtually non-existent at the federal level
(ibid.: 415). Also, in the 2005 global Environmental Sustainability Index, out of
146 nations, the US only ranked 45th.9 Not only did the Bush administration
not sign the Kyoto-Protocol, it also resisted binding targets to increase the use
of renewable energy sources. Dominant US view is with strong emphasis on
the state level: Federal regulators never have been and never will be able to
acquire and assimilate the enormous amount of information necessary to
make optimal regulatory judgements that reflect technical requirements of
particular locations and pollution sources.10 In 2001 sub-national representa-
tives of environmental departments from U.S. states and the German Lnder
judged their central governments contributions to the sustainability process
as being rather weak in general (Jrgensen 2002a).
Besides the slow pace in federal leadership and partly even gridlock in govern-
ance in the USA and temporarily in Germany, interestingly the sub-national
state level in both federal states moved forward and developed a variety of
policy responses connected with the concept of ecological sustainability
(Feldman and Wilt 1994; Carver et al 1998; Brown 2001; Rabe 2002, 2004; Jr-
gensen 2002 a/b).
9
www.yale.edu/esi/ESI2005.pdf
10
Henry N. Butler/ Jonathan R. Macey: Using Federalism to Improve Environmental
Policy, Washington DC: American Enterprise Institute, 1996, p.27
152
Sub-national trans-Atlantic lesson-drawing
Since the mid 1990s all German Lnder initiated policy measures related to
sustainable development. A few of them started much earlier than the federal
government, among them Lower Saxony, Hesse and Bavaria. Northrhine-
Westfalia, Hesse und Saarland have set up central agencies and financial pro-
grams for Local Agenda 21-processes. As a result between 60 and 70 % of the
cities in these Lnder dispose of Local Agenda 21-resolutions. The majority of
the Lnder initiated green planning processes related to the Agenda 21 (Jr-
gensen 2002a). They take the form of Agenda 21-programs and environmental
plans. Meanwhile Baden-Wrttemberg, Bavaria, Berlin, Hamburg, Lower-
Saxony, Rhineland-Palatine, Saarland und Schleswig-Holstein dispose of a
Lnder-level environmental plan or an Agenda 21 program.
Interestingly also a number of U.S. states are trying to fill the gap created by
the lack of national leadership. A few pioneers have been identified in regard
to overall green planning strategies, such as Oregon, New Jersey and Minne-
sota (RWI 2001). Surprisingly, New Jersey which in comparison to other states
is usually ranked quite low in terms of environmental quality11 has been
ranked very high regarding the institutional framework for sustainability (RRI
2001). Several states such as Minnesota (1993), New Jersey (1997), Maryland
(1998), Oregon (1999) and New York (2001) have most often by executive order
fixed sustainability as a goal of state policy and distributed administrative
responsibilities (Jrgensen 2002b).
Also in both U.S. states and Lnder a variety of innovative policy approaches
relate to the solving of persistent environmental problems and the greening of
policies and sectors. Climate protection planning has diffused on both sides of
the Atlantic. In the absence of a federal obligation 29 states and 13 German
Lnder are providing for climate protection plans and, relevant to this, for
energy plans and programs (Jrgensen 2002b, Rabe 2004). They developed
11
Ranking performed by: Gold and Green 2000, Institute for Southern Studies, Dur-
ham, NC, 2000 (first published in 1994) http://www.southernstudies.org/
gg2000sources.html#Green1, last accessed in March 2002. Environmental indicators
concern environmental quality, emission form industrial and agricultural activities
and transportation including hazardous waste; energy and resource efficiency, aver-
age individual's added cancer risk, total miles travelled by car, truck, or bus per gal-
lon of gas consumed in a year, waste generation and recycling.
153
Kirsten Jrgensen
12
BMU 2000: Nationales Klimaschutzprogramm. Beschluss der Bundesregierung vom
18.10.2000 (5. Bericht der Interministeriellen Arbeitsgruppe "CO2-Reduktion"). Ber-
lin. Klimaschutz-Monitor: Bericht des HLUG zum Erlass I 16 101 d. 08.25-14053/00
des HMULF vom 10. April 2000, Stand: Mrz 2001. Own data collection.
13
Ministerium fr Wirtschaft, Verkehr, Landwirtschaft und Weinbau 2001: Vierter
Energiebericht der Landesregierung. http://www.mwvlw.rpl.de/index3.asp?page=/
Inhalt/Service/Infomaterial.asp. Last accessed in September 2001.
14
EXECUTIVE ORDER 04-08 -- August 6, 2004 last accessed 14.09.2004.
154
Sub-national trans-Atlantic lesson-drawing
155
Kirsten Jrgensen
Regarding the environmental policy field it is interesting to see that the U.S.
states and the Bundeslnder have a couple of frame conditions in common.
Environmental regulation, the right to decide has been centralized not only
in Germany but also in the USA, where the central government became power-
ful in many areas of environmental policy (Rabe 2000) during the 1970s. Sur-
prisingly in both systems success and failure in the implementation and
achievement of national environmental policy objectives highly depend on the
sub-national level. In Germany the administrative function, also denoted as
the right to act, is attributed by constitution to the constituent states. They
have full oversight of the implementation of German and European environ-
mental regulations. Contradictory to the jurisdictional distribution of power
and typical of the U.S. system, the U.S. states also possess a remarkable scope
of decision-making in the implementation of environmental policy. During
the 1970s the federal level dominated both, environmental decision making,
and with the Environmental Protection Agency at hand, the control of imple-
mentation (Rabe 2000, Rosenbaum2000, Kelemen 2004). Intergovernmental
relations changed during the 1990s leaving more flexibility to the states and
delegating most implementation and enforcement to the states. The tradi-
tional principal agent relationship between the EPA and the states was
changed, as it did no longer reflect the role of the states in environmental
policy making, their grown implementation capacities and share in financial
spending to the national environmental enforcement (Lffler, Parker 1999;
Rosenbaum 2000).
156
Sub-national trans-Atlantic lesson-drawing
can well stimulate vertical integration down to the local level. Beyond this,
examples from the states and Bundeslnder mentioned above illustrate, that
the sub-national level is a testing ground for new forms of governance related
to sectoral greening, which are not embedded in federal policies but related to
international policy and law. Examples are forms of cooperative green plan-
ning related to the Agenda 21, negotiated state-industry agreements related to
the European Management and Auditing Scheme or private environmental
management norms derived from the International Organization for Stan-
dardization. Other examples are across the board inter-agency arrangements
which have been set up for climate protection and other cross-sectional tasks.
Summing up, the sub-national policy level is clearly able to innovate, as is
evident from the examples given. Yet it should be kept in mind, that innova-
tive policies stand for pioneer behaviour and best practice but not for the
mainstream of sub-national policy-making. Looking at innovative policies, it
cannot be concluded, that the sub-national level is a strong forerunner in
general. In a bigger picture the capacities of the US states to achieve sustain-
ability have even been assessed quite low: Most states are working to improve
their environmental performance on specific frontssmart growth, water
quality, brownfields clean-up, land acquisition, etc. but few have worked to
integrate these efforts as pieces of the larger sustainability puzzle that needs to
be assembled. (RWI 2001: 12). As for the Bundeslnder their institution build-
ing and substantial policy making for ecological sustainability should also be
assessed cautiously (Jrgensen 2002a). In certain areas relevant to ecologically
sustainable development, e.g. the European Nature Protection Law, especially
the Flora-Habitat- and the Bird Protection-Directive, the implementation of
sustainable development is lagging behind.
Stating this, governance by diffusion through lesson-drawing and the transfer
of successful policies to other places might be regarded as an important
mechanism to stimulate the implementation of sustainable development.
Such diffusion mechanisms exist already across different policy levels and
inter- and intranationally. Sub-national policy responses to sustainable devel-
opment have in a variety of cases been observed as referring in one or another
way to a process of lesson-drawing. In the three cases of green planning in the
U.S states cited above basically the Netherlands Environmental Policy Plan-
ning method served as a model, as well as approaches from New Zealand (RWI
2001).
157
Kirsten Jrgensen
4 Diffusion mechanisms
Lesson-drawing and policy diffusion in the cases described above have been
embedded in intra- and international contexts. They involved interactions
15
Greenberg, Michael et al. (2001), Brownfield redevelopment as a smart growth op-
tion in the United States, in: The Environmentalist, 21, 129-143.
16
Different innovative initiatives such as Project XL and the Common Sense Initiative
have been launched by EPA during 1990s. They are partly linked with sustainable
development, since they provided for cooperative problem-solving approaches in-
stead of hierarchical approaches. They were part of the EPA reform Reinventing
Regulation (Rosenbaum 2000) aimed at an organizational modernization of the
EPA and providing for a new environmental policy style as well.
158
Sub-national trans-Atlantic lesson-drawing
17
These insights date back to interviews with representatives from German environ-
mental Ministries performed in 2001 and 2002 (Jrgensen 2002a).
18
http://www.epa.gov/international/regions/Europe/westeur.html last accessed
30.11.2004-11-30
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Kirsten Jrgensen
5 Conclusions
The main intention of the paper is to direct attention to the question, what
the sub-national laboratories for experimentation in federal systems can con-
tribute to governance for sustainable development.19 Surprisingly, till now
very little attention has been paid to public policy making on the sub-national
state level in federal systems, as far as ecological sustainability is concerned.
Up to now the focus of both political debate and scientific research is still
concentrating on national and local governance mainly. During the last two
years a change can be observed. Increasingly the U.S. states emerge as relevant
actors in climate protection, filling the gap of the missing federal government
leadership. It is most likely that there role is getting more and more impor-
tant. Examples taken from the U.S. states and the German Bundeslnder have
well illustrated that even in times of lagging national leadership the sub-
national level moved forward as to institution building and to substantial
policies targeted at relevant policy issues such as climate change, land-use and
industrial pollution.
The central notion of the study presented here is that the sub-national gov-
ernments in the federal systems of the USA and Germany could be innovative
policy makers, also beyond the climate protection task, with regard to the
solving of persistent environmental problems. They may especially function as
laboratories for experimentation in respect to the greening of sectors and
policies, an issue highly relevant for progress in the implementation of sus-
tainable development. Environmental policy integration requires institutional
innovations in political-administrative arrangements bridging fragmented
and specialized policy-making.
It is specific for the sub-national level that it is strongly tied to implementa-
tion and practice and moreover disposes of room for manovering with
autonomous policy initiatives. In both systems the sub-national level enjoys
scope for taking actions the right to decide with respect to several ecol-
ogically relevant issues such as regulating land use or strategic planning.
19
For sub-national laboratories, see: Adler, Jonathan H. (1998), A New Environmental
Federalism, in: Forum of Applied Research and Public Policy, Vol. 13. Karch, Andrew
(2004), Democratic Laboratories. The Politics of Innovation in the American States.
Paper prepared for presentation at the Annual Meeting of the American Political
Science Association, September 2-5, 2004, Chicago, Illinois.
160
Sub-national trans-Atlantic lesson-drawing
References
Adler, Jonathan H. (1998), A New Environmental Federalism, in: Forum of Applied
Research and Public Policy, Vol. 13. Karch, Andrew (2004), Democratic Laborato-
ries. The Politics of Innovation in the American States. Paper prepared for presen-
tation at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science.
Alexander, Don and Tomalty, Ray 2002: Smart Growth and Sustainable Development:
challenges, solutions and policy directions. In: Local Environment, Vol. 7, No. 4
397-409. Carfax Publishing.
Benz, Arthur 1987: Anpassungsprozesse in der fderativen Staatsorganisation der Bun-
desrepublik Deutschland : Teilstudie im Rahmen des Projektes "Wohlfahrtsstaatli-
che Entwicklung und fderalstaatliche Reaktion". - Speyer : Forschungsinstitut fr
ffentliche Verwaltung bei der Hochschule fr Verwaltungswissenschaften. - X,
179 S. . - (Speyerer Forschungsberichte ; 63)
Braun, Dietmar (ed.) 2000: The Territorial Division of Power in Comparative Public
Policy Research: An Assessment, in: Braun, Dietmar (ed.): Public Policy and Feder-
alism, Aldershot, Burlington USA, Singapore, Sydney: Ashgate: 1-56, 234-248.
Brown, Matthew. 2001. Innovative State Programs: New Jersey & Oregon Take the
Lead, in Climate Change: Science, Strategies, & Solutions, ed. Eileen Claussen. Ar-
lington: Pew Center on Global Climate Change: 292-307.
Bundesministerium fr Umwelt (BMU) 2000: Nationales Klimaschutzprogramm. Be-
schluss der Bundesregierung vom 18. Oktober 2000 (Fnfter Bericht der Intermi-
nisteriellen Arbeitsgruppe "CO2-Reduktion"). Berlin. Anhang: Charakterisierung
der Klimaschutzprogramme der Lnder.
Butler, Henry N. / Macey, Jonathan R.: Using Federalism to Improve Environmental
Policy, Washington DC: American Enterprise Institute, 1996, p.27.
Carver, Philip H., Sam Sadler, Mark C. Trexler, and Laura H. Kosloff. 1998. The
Changing World of Climate Change: Oregon Leads the States, The Electricity
Journal, vol. 10, no. 4: 53-63.
Daniels, Tom (2001), Smart Growth, a new American Approach to Regional Planning,
in: Planning Practice & Research, Vol. 16, No. 3/4, 271279
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163
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164
Part III
MARTIN JNICKE
HELGE JRGENS
Abstract 2
Environmental Policymaking has been confronted with a fundamental change
of the structure and nature of the key environmental problems it has to deal
with. Many of todays most pressing environmental problems can be charac-
terized as persistent, meaning that over a longer period of time political at-
tempts to solve them have failed or have not shown the intended effect. At the
same time, the political framework conditions for environmental policymak-
ing are also experiencing a major transformation. This change is characterised
by a broadening of the spectrum of actors involved in political decision-
making, an increasing importance of levels of government other than the na-
tion-state and a broadening of steering modes from a strong focus of direct
regulation towards a greater consideration of economic, informational, coop-
erative or self-regulatory approaches. Against this background, the article ana-
lyses the role that new modes of governance can play in solving new and per-
sistent environmental problems. It argues that while, in principle, the use of
new forms of governance may help overcome some of the prevailing imple-
mentation deficits in environmental protection, their effectiveness and effi-
ciency depends strongly on additional measures being taken. In order to avoid
a decline of the overall level of environmental protection, new modes of gov-
1
First published in: Neue Steuerungskonzepte in der Umweltpolitik. Zeitschrift fr
Umweltpolitik & Umweltrecht. Jg. 27, H.3, 2004, S. 297-348.
2
This paper has arisen out of work on the Environmental Report 2004 published by
the German Advisory Council on the Environment (SRU 2004) and has profited
enormously from wide-ranging discussions within the Council. We would like to
extend our special thanks to Christian Hey, who was involved from the papers con-
ception and has applied the thoughts presented here to the environmental policy of
the European Union (Hey 2003; Hey et al. 2005), and to Stefan Lindemann for his
editorial assistance.
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New Approaches to Environmental Governance
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Martin Jnicke Helge Jrgens
170
New Approaches to Environmental Governance
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Martin Jnicke Helge Jrgens
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New Approaches to Environmental Governance
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Martin Jnicke Helge Jrgens
the context of environmental policy (see for example Golub 1998, Knill and
Lenschow 2000, and De Bruijn and Norberg-Bohm 2005). Information-
oriented instruments like ecolabels have long supplemented the regulatory
toolkit (Kern et al. 2002; Jordan et al. 2001; Winter and May 2002). Conversely,
market-oriented governance approaches, which took a central place in the
academic debate from the early 1970s, have been very slow to be adopted in
practice (Holzinger 1987; Opschoor and Vos 1989; Zittel 1996). Since the late
1980s, an increasingly important part has also been played, both in policymak-
ing practice and in political scientists analysis, by cooperative instruments
such as voluntary agreements between environmentally relevant sectors and
the state (Glasbergen 1998; De Clercq 2002; Jordan et al. 2003a). Finally, the
1990s saw at least some degree of environmental policy deregulation. The
term deregulation here is taken on the one hand to mean the trend towards
liberalising sectors close to the state and privatising state-owned industries as
seen in telecommunications, energy, water supply and waste disposal (SRU
2002: 295-304 and 448-461) and on the other to a partial withdrawal from di-
rect, usually command-and-control intervention by the state and increased
reliance on market forces and self-regulation (Collier 1998). Only the latter
variety can properly be termed deregulation, however, as liberalisation and
privatisation of state activities and services are almost invariably accompanied
by a significant degree of new regulation for example in competition law or
the creation of new regulatory agencies (Collier 1998: 4; for a fundamental
discussion, Levi-Faur and Jordana 2005; Majone 1990).
At international level, too, elements of informational guidance or cooperative
governance have gained importance alongside conventional treaties. One ex-
ample of international environmental policy involving relatively little treaty
law comprises United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and OECD
activities to promote sustainable patterns of consumption. Both of these or-
ganisations rely first and foremost on informational guidance by gathering
and disseminating best-practice knowledge. Their activities are based on the
fourth chapter of Agenda 21, which outlines general aims and principles for
changing consumption patterns (UNDESA 1992: Ch. 4). Even less formal
governance mechanisms are described and analysed under the heading of
governance by diffusion (Jrgens 2004; Busch et al. 2005; Kern 2000; Kern et
al. 2000). This research centres on the observation that, in developing meas-
ures and programmes, national governments increasingly look to policies
already practised in other countries, and many policy innovations rapidly
propagate through the international system without any need for binding
174
New Approaches to Environmental Governance
international accords (Busch and Jrgens 2005a; Dolowitz and Marsh 1996 and
2000). Such diffusion processes are borne by a range of different actors in-
ternational organisations or networks. An environmental policy corollary of
the governance-by-diffusion idea might be conscious reliance on the exemplar
effect of policy trailblazers nations that exert political and technological
innovative and competitive pressure on other countries and so become an
important element of international environmental governance (SRU 2002;
Jacob and Volkery 2003; Jnicke et al. 2003).
As with environmental policy actor groups, so with policy instruments: the
empirically observable emergence of cooperative, market-based or informa-
tional governance strategies is often taken to imply a decline in direct state
intervention, mostly of the command-and-control variety. However, there is as
yet no empirical evidence to support such a decline in the importance of tra-
ditional state activity (as regards the European Union see Holzinger et al.
2003). The more likely consequence is a broadening of the governance reper-
toire, aiming to achieve results not so much through specific instruments as
through a judiciously chosen policy mix (SRU 2002: 74-86; Jnicke 1996).
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Martin Jnicke Helge Jrgens
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New Approaches to Environmental Governance
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Martin Jnicke Helge Jrgens
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New Approaches to Environmental Governance
2.1.3 Obstacles
This effect was mostly restricted, however, to agenda-setting and strategy for-
mulation phases at the various policy levels. A far more mixed picture emerges
179
Martin Jnicke Helge Jrgens
when we look at the quality of the strategies themselves, and even more so
regarding their implementation. Overall, the strategy model pursued in the
Rio Process came up against visible limitations on the way to implementation.
It cannot yet be regarded as a far superior model of governance when it comes
to persistent environmental problems.
Limitations to the Rio Process manifested themselves in many ways: An ap-
praisal specifically targeting national sustainability strategies was slated for
the UN Johannesburg Summit in 2002 but failed to materialise beyond aca-
demic strategy recommendations submitted at the time (UNDP and OECD
2002; World Bank 2003). This body of experience, which was also documented
in country reports, thus went unexploited in terms of drawing formal conclu-
sions. Success stories were not used as a basis for benchmarking. There was no
enquiry into why many national sustainability strategies resembled routine
publications kept at a general level. The Johannesburg Summit failed to make
available any extra institutional capacity either to the CSD or to UNEP (UNU
and IAS 2002). The Plan of Implementation that the international community
adopted at the summit contained some important and specific targets but is
generally considered vague and non-binding.
This tendency of the Rio Process to become bogged down which we shall not
further investigate here had parallels at European level. Based on Agenda 21
and the Dutch National Environmental Policy Plan (NEPP) of 1989, the explicit
target orientation of the Fifth EC Environmental Action Plan (1993) was not
carried through to the Sixth Environmental Action Plan of 2001. The Com-
mission itself concluded in 1999 that despite the ambitious vision set out in
the Fifth Environmental Action Plan its main response to the 1992 Rio
Earth Summit practical progress towards sustainable development has
been rather limited (European Commission 1999: 2, 6). Likewise, only the
main outlines of a proposal for a sustainability strategy submitted by the
Commission were finally adopted (in a fourteen-point resolution headed A
Strategy for Sustainable Development) by the Gothenburg European Council
of June 2001. Key specific targets lacked consensus. The Cardiff process of
systematically integrating environmental concerns into specific EU sectoral
policies lent important impetus to agricultural and transport policy but in the
majority of policy areas met with considerable resistance. Overall, the EUs
strategic excursions in environmental matters show obvious signs of institu-
tional overload (SRU 2002: 151-152).
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New Approaches to Environmental Governance
Further appraisal outside of the Rio Process is needed for a subset of govern-
ance approaches that were incorporated into a unifying system under Agenda
21 but separately adopted and evolved thereafter. This relates to key govern-
ance approaches that gained importance during the 1990s, especially in the
EU:
Target and results-oriented governance
Integration of environmental policy into sectoral policy
Cooperative governance in the narrow sense of the term (including coregu-
lation)
Participation of civil actors
These overlap and combine to form hybrid approaches, and it is partly for this
reason that they are discussed here as part of an overall model of environ-
mental governance. Since Agenda 21, this model also includes multi-level gov-
ernance, which will be explored to greater depth in relation to the EU. Gov-
ernance techniques such as success monitoring through reporting are likewise
universal.
A shared feature of recent governance approaches that have become significant
to EU environmental policy in various forms (see SRU 2004) is that they differ
throughout from classical, hierarchical regulation. This means governance
through democratically legitimated action, usually on the part of the legisla-
ture, using taxes and other levies or generally applicable rules and standards,
and typically directed at abstract groups. New governance approaches, on the
other hand, typically represent target-oriented, flexible administrative action
in the conceptual framework of New Public Management (Naschold and
Bogumil 1998; von Bandemer et al. 1998) directed at specific groups and
taking them on board in various ways. Whereas conventional regulation is
legitimated by democratic majority votes, the new cooperative policy instru-
ments have other sources of legitimacy: negotiated consensus, involvement of
affected parties, and documentary proof of effectiveness.
Whether and how far new target-oriented and cooperative policy instruments
can help in better tackling the long-term environmental policy problems de-
scribed cannot be fully evaluated in the present paper. In any case, they cannot
be properly evaluated in isolation from their specific objectives; the abstract
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Martin Jnicke Helge Jrgens
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New Approaches to Environmental Governance
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Martin Jnicke Helge Jrgens
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New Approaches to Environmental Governance
addressing causes rather than symptoms must aim to bring about change in
those sectors. This includes change in the responsible sectoral policy areas,
which are substantially shaped by the logic of the sectors concerned and usu-
ally serve to safeguard their interests. If environmentally risky sectors do not
internalise environmental accountability, environmental policy tends to be
additive, limited to relieving symptoms and to peripheral intervention; this
insight is by no means new (see Jnicke 1979; Doran et al. 1974). Conversely,
environmental policy integration means leveraging sectoral expertise and
innovating capacity to attain more sustainable development paths.
Environmental policy integration is now pursued with a broad spectrum of
measures. One ambitious approach consists of prompting environmentally
relevant sectors such as transport or energy to adopt environmentally oriented
sectoral strategies themselves; this approach has been taken up in the EU,
most notably under the Cardiff Process initiated in 1998. The apportionment
of sectoral obligations under Germanys Environmental Protection Pro-
gramme in 2000 is another noteworthy example of environmental account-
ability being assigned to specific sectors (see SRU 2002: 219-220). Concepts
relating to sectoral environmental impact assessment are also gaining impor-
tance. The European Environment Agency, for example, is developing a sys-
tem of sectoral indicators along these lines (see EEA 2003). These endeavours
focusing on appraisal of past developments and trends contrast with examples
of pre-emptive policy action such as environment mainstreaming approaches
and assessments targeting planned policies and measures strategic envi-
ronmental impact assessments and the like. In some European countries,
environmental concerns are incorporated into the budgeting process. A fur-
ther approach also pursued by the EU is the greening of government opera-
tions, for example in the form of environment-friendly procurement (OECD
2002).
The aim here, however, is not to further distinguish the possible forms of
environmental policy integration or to explore in greater depth the experience
gleaned so far with individual manifestations of this approach. Instead, an
evaluation of the problems inherent to the approach as a whole is needed,
since it has proved highly demanding in its own right. The notion of envi-
ronmental policy integration itself is by no means new. Its repeated appear-
ance on the agenda hints at implementation problems due to conflicting ob-
jectives. Under the flag of cross-sectoral policy, the approach was accorded
official recognition in German environmental policy as early as the 1970s. It
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Martin Jnicke Helge Jrgens
was ultimately a logical follow-on from the polluter pays principle that ac-
companied environmental policy in the industrialised world from the begin-
ning of that decade. Similarly, the concept of environmental policy integration
already featured in the Third EC Environmental Action Programme, i.e. as
early as 1982 (Knill 2003: 49).
There are reasons why little of this early insight fed through to environmental
policy: The integration principle runs, prima facie, contrary to the internal
logic of ultra-specialised policy sectors and their economic constituencies.
The bias towards negative coordination (Scharpf 1991) that impinges as little
as possible on the vested interests of affected sectors can only be overcome
with considerable institutional effort. This is certainly true when it comes to
integrating environmental concerns into policy areas close to the interests of
environmentally relevant industries. There are therefore also reasons why
specific sectors such as mining, transport and farming can exert severe pres-
sure on the environment, reasons that involve considerable lobbying power
and path dependencies.
Sectors such as heavy industry and energy were thus first compelled after
some delay to adopt end-of-pipe technologies. There followed more efficient
technologies which prevented some of the environmental impacts from the
outset. So far, sectoral environmental strategies have been primarily limited to
effecting technological change. As soon as there is a need for structural
change, a need to intervene not only in the technological structure but in the
actual substance of sectors, their markets and even their role in society, there
is a tendency for marked obstacles to emerge. Examples include traffic avoid-
ance and power saving as environmental strategies.
Achieving structural change to reduce the environmental impact of such sec-
tors thus entails more sweeping policy instruments than the technology-
based environmental policies used to date. Environmental policy integration
is therefore not only a potential solution: it is a process with major initial po-
litical and communication challenges that demand significant upgrading in
its management and capacity. The importance of institutional groundwork to
this end can be seen from how Canada found it necessary to back up the (advi-
sory) Canadian Environmental Assessment Agency with a special policy inte-
gration post, the Commissioner of the Environment and Sustainable Devel-
opment, who reports to parliament and appraises on an annual basis the de-
velopment and implementation of sectoral sustainability strategies (for a de-
tailed discussion, see OECD 2002: 49; SRU 2000: 97).
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New Approaches to Environmental Governance
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Martin Jnicke Helge Jrgens
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New Approaches to Environmental Governance
Definition of problems
Determination of reporting
env. objectives monitoring
Ministry of responsibilities sectoral plans
Environment rules of the game strategies / instruments
time table integration of stakeholder
indicators
....
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Martin Jnicke Helge Jrgens
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New Approaches to Environmental Governance
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Martin Jnicke Helge Jrgens
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New Approaches to Environmental Governance
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Martin Jnicke Helge Jrgens
The key environmental governance concepts outlined here are potentially able
to deliver improved problem-solving capabilities. As has been seen, however,
they are highly demanding in their own right, to the extent of being counter-
productive unless certain preconditions are in place.
In the following, we shall explore three important success criteria:
Capacity building
Clearer definition of the role of state influence, in particular regarding
guarantee mechanisms for soft forms of governance
Improving the role of the nation state in the global and European multi-
level system
194
New Approaches to Environmental Governance
allows targets to be lowered instead (see Bouille and McDade 2002; Weidner
and Jnicke 2002; OECD 1995). Environmental policy capacity and the capacity
to effect sustainable development operate along three dimensions (UNDP and
OECD 2002: 92):
A human dimension, comprising the capabilities of the actors involved
An institutional dimension, for example the ability to coordinate conflict-
ing interests or to perform monitoring
A systemic dimension (associated with the enabling environment), for
example the legal framework, widespread access to information, and net-
working capabilities
Solving intractable long-term problems requires a long-term institutional
focus and sufficient human and material resources. Systemically speaking, it is
also a matter of social awareness. To the extent it relates to public approval for
and readiness to accept demanding solutions, the capacity issue ultimately
also includes the role of the media. Regarding the fickle and scarce resource
known as public environmental awareness, one suitable approach might be a
strategy of dialogue with major media groups, similar to dialogue conducted
in Germany on depictions of violence in the media.
The ability of environmental NGOs to play a capable part in an increasing
range of policy formation and decisionmaking processes also represents a
capacity improvement. This is not least a matter of networking and coalition
building. Strategic alliances can boost capacity. This point was well illustrated
in the run-up to adoption of Germanys Renewable Energy Act in 2000 (Be-
chberger 2000), which involved collaboration not only among parliamentari-
ans with a wide range of party allegiances, but organisations like the mechani-
cal engineering industry association (VDMA), the national metalworkers un-
ion (IG-Metall), the national association of municipal corporations (VKU), and
even support groups from the farming sector. Subject to the preconditions
outlined earlier, environmental policy integration sectoral learning about
environmental concerns can likewise help build capacity. Advocates of green
solutions in environmentally risky sectors know best their industrys capacity
to innovate. Their influence can be bolstered institutionally. However, this
also depends on the role of the environment ministry being strengthened
overall, both institutionally and in terms of human resources.
As in this case, most capacity building is needed in the state sector. But there
is obvious tension here between the need for capacity building and increas-
195
Martin Jnicke Helge Jrgens
ingly vociferous calls for less state. Modern forms of environmental govern-
ance can result in savings when it comes to detailed regulation and monitor-
ing. The same applies for political rationalisation effects resulting, say, from
the fact that negotiated solutions can bypass the lengthy institutional policy-
making route altogether. However, the state as facilitator or supervisor, part-
ner in negotiation systems and manager of target formulation processes and
sectoral strategies needs extra skills as well as extra personnel. Indiscriminate
layoffs and cutbacks and pruning state activities merely because it is the
done thing can be severely counterproductive in this context.
Last but not least, the capacity to address persistent environmental problems
involves the strategic capacity of actors. Strategic capacity can be understood
as the capacity to enforce long-term general interests over short-term sub-
interests (Jnicke et al. 2003). Its condition is precarious because unlike long-
term general interests, short-term sub-interests are almost always highly or-
ganised (see Olson 1965) and are aligned to the shorter time horizon of market
and electoral cycles. Above all, there is tension between calls for broad interest
group participation and cooperation on the one hand and the preconditions
for strategic capacity on the other. Collective strategic capacity negatively cor-
relates with the number of organisations to be coordinated and the intensity
of competition between them (Jansen 1997: 224). However broad the participa-
tion in decisionmaking (or for that matter in enforcement), limitation of the
number of decisionmakers is inescapable. Broad participatory consultation
and restricted participation in actual decisionmaking process are by no means
mutually exclusive. The latter can also be promoted by clear assignment of
decisionmaking powers something that is particularly important in the in-
tricacies of a federal system like Germanys (Benz and Lehmbruch 2001). Cre-
ating manageable decisionmaking structures along with restricting the
number of veto points in decisionmaking processes (Tsebelis 2002) is a key
capacity-related precondition for solving persistent environmental problems,
but it is also one that can become compromised in a system of cooperative
multi-level and multi-sector governance. The intensity of competition not
only relates to cooperation with industry associations. The adversarial political
style observed in the German party system especially from the 1990s consti-
tutes another obstacle to overcome: Strategic capacity in the parliamentary
system requires a minimum of consensus on basic issues (consensus that is
usually further developed in smaller EU member states), otherwise long-term
targets will not survive changes of government.
196
New Approaches to Environmental Governance
Any solution addressing the causes of a problem rather than the symptoms
naturally releases capacity. Above all, the governance approaches focused upon
here not only environmental policy integration, but also target orientation,
cooperation and participation can potentially help release state capacity.
This was one of the reasons why they were introduced in the first place. From
experience gained with them so far, however, it must be stressed that these
approaches have their own capacity needs, neglect of which is a recipe for
failure.
197
Martin Jnicke Helge Jrgens
198
New Approaches to Environmental Governance
199
Martin Jnicke Helge Jrgens
200
New Approaches to Environmental Governance
3 Conclusions
New approaches classified under the heading of environmental governance
contrast with the traditional, hierarchical rule-based governance that still ac-
counts for nearly 80 percent of environmental policy in the EU. The motives
201
Martin Jnicke Helge Jrgens
for seeking new approaches to governance are ambivalent. On the one hand,
there is the objective of raising the effectiveness of environmental policies,
which despite partial successes had failed to stabilise the state of the environ-
ment for the long term. On the other, there are the objectives, both appropri-
ate and problematic, of relieving the state and of deregulation. There are ma-
jor overlaps between these two positions: The search for more effective policy
instruments is essential considering the special nature of persistent, intracta-
ble environmental problems. In principal, it is the right direction to take.
However, it requires more rational management of state capacity a topic
already covered in Agenda 21 (1992) but so far blatantly neglected.
An overall conclusion emerges that it is not only the ambitious targets of a
sustainability strategy or governance approaches based on environmental
policy integration that stand to fail at a shortfall in state and administrative
capacity. Other governance approaches mostly of a cooperative nature
whose primary aim of reducing the burden on the state likewise imposes sub-
stantial requirements in terms of administrative capacity. This raises the ques-
tion of what relief for the state new policy instruments have delivered so far
and how their performance may be improved, particularly as regards persis-
tent environmental problems.
The proliferation of international environmental policy arrangements has not
so far reduced the influence of the nation state. On the contrary, nation states
now play a multiple role: in solving national environmental problems and in
negotiating and implementing international agreements, and in aligning na-
tional policies to increasing quantities of international law. Within the multi-
level global system, nation states possess a number of important properties
that have no functional equivalent at other policy levels.
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Coordinating sustainable development
an evaluation of the state of play 1
AXEL VOLKERY
DARREN SWANSON
KLAUS JACOB
FRANCOIS BREGHA
LSZL PINTR
Abstract
In this article we evaluate the state-of play in sustainability strategies on the
basis of case studies for 19 developing and developed countries. We are inter-
ested in how the institutional fabric of implementing sustainable develop-
ment has developed over the last ten years. What are governments actually
doing to organize the processes required for this? What are the institutional
innovations in this regard and what kind of typologies can be identified? We
offer a simple framework of strategic action that structures our analysis into
leadership, planning, implementation, monitoring, coordination and partici-
pation.
Despite some true progress made, our findings indicate that nations are still
at the early stages of learning toward effective action for sustainable develop-
ment. Interestingly, we dont find many differences for developing and devel-
oped countries. Instead, all countries struggle to turn talk into action. Key
unsolved challenges include a) coordination with the national budget, b) coor-
dination with sub-national level sustainable development strategies and c)
coordination with other national-level strategy processes.
1
Preprint of a manuscript accepted for publication in World Development.
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Coordinating sustainable development an evaluation of the state of play
1 Introduction
For over a decade now the United Nations has been asking countries to pursue
strategic and coordinated action for sustainable development through the
creation of national sustainable development strategies (NSDS, see for an
overview UN DSD 2004). Whereas the concept of sustainable development has
established itself successfully as a central guiding principle for many different
political institutions at all levels of public and corporate decision making, its
translation into concrete action proves to be a much more difficult challenge
(Lafferty, 2004; Lafferty and Meadowcraft, 2000; OECD, 2002). Five years after
the Earth Summit in 1992 a Special Session of the United Nations came to a
disappointing progress review: single success stories were outweighed by the
overall failure of countries to give appropriate political weight to meaningful
implementation (Brown, 1997).
This review led government to agree on the target of having a NSDS intro-
duced by 2002, the year of the World Summit on Sustainable Development
(WSSD) in Johannesburg. Being pushed by the OECD (OECD-DAC, 2001) and
the UN (UN International Forum on National Strategies for Sustainable De-
velopment, 2001) nearly all countries intensified efforts and subsequently
adopted new or revised NSDS shortly before or after the WSSD (Jrgens, 2004).
A meaningful translation of the rather broad paradigm of sustainable devel-
opment into concrete action encounters many problems. International agen-
cies (OECD 2002; OECD-DAC, 2001; UN 2001) as well as academic scholars
(Dalal-Clayton and Bass, 2002; Jnicke and Jrgens, 2000; Martinuzzi and
Steurer, 2003) have developed a number of criteria of good practice for NSDS.
They have been broadly reflected and repeatedly discussed in recent years. The
list of criteria comprises the development of long-term visions and their link-
age to short term action, institutions for horizontal and vertical coordination,
broad participation by societal stakeholders and a constant monitoring of
action.
It is, however, also a well-known fact that these approaches clash with core
functioning principles of modern government, like the division of sectoral
responsibilities, path-dependencies of policy development or the mode of
negative co-ordination. Governmental discretion for long-term action is fur-
ther constrained by the shortness of election and budget cycles. In response to
these clashes, strategies for sustainable development were often introduced as
211
Axel Volkery Darren Swanson Klaus Jacob Fancois Bregha Lszl Pintr
2
This article focuses on process rather than content. To what extent the SDS resulted
in tangible progress toward SD is another question altogether albeit a critical one.
We do not assume that a good process will always lead to good results, but an as-
sessment of process provides a necessary proxy for effectiveness and can provide
practical information (see for a similar conclusion in the analysis of the effectiveness
of global environmental assessment: Eckley et al., 2001; Pintr, 2002). Our research
was not intended to produce a step-by-step how to manual for SD strategy process.
Rather, this article outlines a synthesis of some of the key challenges, approaches
and tools, and innovations at various stages throughout the strategy process.
212
Coordinating sustainable development an evaluation of the state of play
3
The article is based mostly on the 19 case studies conducted and the subsequent
synthesis report (Swanson et al., 2004). For the purpose of readability, we abstain
from citing each case study when speaking about single innovations discovered.
213
Axel Volkery Darren Swanson Klaus Jacob Fancois Bregha Lszl Pintr
Bass (2002), namely co-ordination (e.g., with other strategy process, other lev-
els of government, financing mechanisms) and comprehensive multi-
stakeholder participation. Put together with the information gathered in our
case studies we get a roadmap of the challenges ahead (see figure 1). We do not
assume that practical processes follow such a linear model and are also aware
that aspects overlap. But developing such a roadmap is useful as a heuristic
tool for the comparison of 19 countries.
Our case studies are mainly based on interviews with government officials,
governmental reports and evaluation reports by international agencies. The
data is based primarily on self reporting and therefore, we abstain from evalu-
ating the implementation of the strategies. Given the broad spectrum of issues
covered in the national strategies, a comprehensive evaluation would have
required a much broader study with much more data than we were able to
collect.
Fig. 1: Roadmap to the challenges for strategic and coordinated action for
sustainable development, put into relation with the key tenets of
strategic management
1. Leadership
Type of strategy approach
Demonstrating commitment and focus
Incorporating the inter-generational SD principle
Incorporating the interdependency SD principle
4. Monitoring Coordination
With budget processes 2. Planning
Tracking progress With other strategies
toward strategies legal basis
With other levels of government
Understanding SD trends Institutional basis
Learning & Adaptation Participation Policy assessment
Institutionalizing participation
Building Trust
3. Implementation
Accountability
Financing
Mix of policy initiatives
Source: Swanson et al., 2004 (on the basis of Dalal-Clayton and Bass, 2002).
214
Coordinating sustainable development an evaluation of the state of play
3.1 Leadership
215
Axel Volkery Darren Swanson Klaus Jacob Fancois Bregha Lszl Pintr
216
Coordinating sustainable development an evaluation of the state of play
217
Axel Volkery Darren Swanson Klaus Jacob Fancois Bregha Lszl Pintr
3.2 Planning
218
Coordinating sustainable development an evaluation of the state of play
Establishing a clear legal mandate: Only five countries (Canada, EU, Republic
of Korea, Mexico, Switzerland) had a clear legal mandate for the strategy proc-
ess. One example to learn from is Canadas amendment to the Auditor Gen-
eral Act in 1995 that established a clear mandate whereby 25 federal depart-
ments are required to submit sustainable development strategies to Parlia-
ment every three years. This approach has functioned quite well in the past
regarding the delivery of strategies, at least. Also, the already discussed provi-
sions in the treaty on the European Union underpin many activities such as
the development of the European NSDS, the Cardiff-Process for Environ-
mental Policy Integration or the integration of sustainability concerns into the
better-regulation strategy of the Lisbon Process. In Mexico the integration of
sustainability concerns into overall development planning is required by con-
stitution. The integration of sustainability concerns has not been achieved
consistently across all sectors, but it has lead to some success in a couple of
sectors like energy or transport, at least.
Increasing the effectiveness of institutional arrangements: In ten countries
strategy processes had institutional grounding in the environment depart-
ment which limited the extent of influence across government. In nine coun-
tries responsibility laid with the office of the Prime Minister or President or
other central steering institutions (namely Cameroon, China, EU, Germany,
Philippines, Poland, UK, Republic of Korea, Switzerland, with some ramifica-
219
Axel Volkery Darren Swanson Klaus Jacob Fancois Bregha Lszl Pintr
tions also Madagascar) and in a few more countries there is a sharing of com-
petences but no strong central coordination (Canada, Costa Rica, Morocco).4
The shift of responsibility for coordination to the central institutions within
governments has to be regarded as crucial major innovation since sustainabil-
ity issues gain more importance on the political agenda. However, it has to be
acknowledged that insufficient personal capacities in these institutions often
constrain an effective coordination of the strategy process. But it must also be
acknowledged that central coordination by the Prime Ministers office allows
other proponents to take a more active role behind the scenes. Environmental
ministries, for example, are then no longer obliged to moderate between con-
tradictory positions of other departments, but can actively push. This experi-
ence has been reported for at least for Germany, the UK, the EU or Switzer-
land. Another innovation in this line are so called Green Cabinets that are
composed of several ministers or junior ministers and are supported by
committees composed of higher civil servants. In Germany, for example, a
Green Cabinet manages the process. The Cabinet is co-ordinated by the Chan-
cellors Office and seems to be a new venue for argumentation and interest
moderation at a high-level of political decision-making. Similar experiences
can be reported for the UK, Switzerland and the Philippines, although these
countries feature a slightly different institutional design. At the Cabinet level
in the UK, sustainable development policy is co-ordinated by the Cabinet
Committee on the Environment. In addition, each department designates a
Green Minister to sit on the Cabinet Sub-Committee of Green Ministers. Each
Green Minister is responsible for ensuring that environmental and sustain-
able development considerations are integrated into their departmental
strategies and policies. Switzerland has chosen a similar approach, but on a
lower level: here, a directorate-level interdepartmental established by the Fed-
eral Council coordinates the process of NSDS implementation. In the Philip-
pines the responsible Philippine Council for Sustainable Development is
chaired by the vice-chairman of the National Economic Development Author-
ity. In China, responsibilities are divided among Ministries and governmental
4
Counting this way is difficult and not without problems. Grounding the process in
the environmental department does not have to mean that there are automatically
no central steering effects. For example, the organization of the process in Sweden
or Denmark has been quite successful. In the opposite, in countries such as Mo-
rocco or Costa Rica responsibilities are distributed among a number of departments
but there is no coordination so that there is little coordinated action in the end.
220
Coordinating sustainable development an evaluation of the state of play
committees, such as the State Planning Commission and the State Science and
Technology Commission in cooperation with the Administrative Centre for
Chinas Agenda 21. The national Agenda 21 is highly integrated into the Five-
Year Planning process of Chinas economy, less into sectoral plans and within
the overall national environmental planning.
These innovations in planning and implementation illustrate the tendency to
move sustainability issues into the center of governmental decision makings.
Again, it is open to investigation if this remain to be lip service only or if deci-
sion making is influenced effectively.
Assessing specific policy initiatives in an integrated manner. Despite long
discussion and much practical experience, Strategic Environmental Assess-
ment (SEA) has not become a standard instrument of government. Only eight
out of the 19 countries used SEAs, and even fewer countries have developed
the tool further into instruments for strategic Sustainability Assessment (Swit-
zerland, EU) or Integrated Policy Assessment (UK). However, since the Euro-
pean Union has adopted a Directive requiring the Member States to imple-
ment SEA, this tool is likely to become more frequent. It has been made
obligatory also for plans and programmes for which transnational impacts can
be expected by means of the SEA Protocol (2003) within the UNECE Espoo
Convention.
3.3 Implementation
Implementation was a major issue at the WSSD in 2002 and will continue to
draw attention. The UN DESA and OECD-DAC guidelines provide recom-
mendations related to this aspect of the strategic management cycle (UN DESA
2005 and OECD DAC 2002). Key challenges include 1) establishing responsibil-
ity and accountability for implementation of objectives, 2) using an instru-
mental mix to implement strategy objectives and 3) using a mix of financial
arrangements. Findings can be summarized as follows:
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Coordinating sustainable development an evaluation of the state of play
duction of Emission Trading within the EU will also spur further efforts for
climate protection among its member states. Germany, Sweden and UK are
currently all pursuing an ambitious climate protection policy.
Mixing specific initiatives and instruments: all countries have adopted some
mix of instruments. However, while a mix of policy initiatives has been pur-
sued, economic instruments appear to be under-utilized. Some of the other
studied countries which are active in environmental fiscal reform and eco-
nomic instruments are Germany, UK, Costa Rica, Brazil and Poland. Poland
initiates and promotes private and municipal investments which has attracted
attention as a model for financing important parts of sustainable develop-
ment. In Costa Rica, the Capacity 21-programme provided support for the
creation of a system for payments of environmental services by farmers and
peasants. In Madagascar the Donor Secretariat that managed donor assistance
on the environment was gradually extended to other questions like food secu-
rity or rural development. The secretariat now functions as a Multi-Donor
Secretariat and provides effective donor coordination and integrated program
development.
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Coordinating sustainable development an evaluation of the state of play
Spending review is also executed for the PRSP process in Cameroon and
Madagascar.
Outcome Monitoring: Even more elusive to detect from the research were
formal and informal approaches to outcome-monitoring. Some countries
operate batteries of indicators, such as the 65 indicators of the National Com-
mittee for SD Indicators in Morocco. Others have transitioned to aggregated
headline-indicators, such as the UK, Canada, Germany and the EU. Aggregated
indicators facilitate understanding and communication of overall progress
and performance, but there is a risk of information loss if aggregated indica-
tors are not supplemented by more detailed lists of component indicators.
Sweden and South Korea are interesting examples insofar as they have estab-
lished first sets of indicator systems to measure the progress towards sustain-
able development with a reduced set of integrated indicators. The UK and
Canada have made the most elaborate use of auditing committees or inde-
pendent advisory bodies. Creating separate bodies that hold an ownership
promises on the one hand, that the process is taken seriously. It bears the risk,
on the other hand, that departments resist relevant recommendation since
they see them as being superimposed.
Learning and adaptation: Most rarely to detect were functioning mechanisms
to learn from integrated monitoring and to make subsequently critical and
necessary adaptations. One tool for learning is strategy progress reports that
can be seen in countries like Sweden or Germany. The SD Spring Review in
the EU gives a broad basis for a long-term learning process: Progress reports
will be submitted by the European Commission to the European Council each
spring and the NSDS shall be assessed at the start of each Commissions term
of office. Heads of Governments take notice and decide further priorities. The
evaluation of the sectoral strategies for sustainable development by the Com-
missioner for SD in Canada is a powerful institution since the Commissioner
is part of the General Auditor and has considerable independence form Gov-
ernment. In the UK, the review by a dedicated parliamentary committee is
worth mentioning. However, independent comprehensive evaluations of the
strategies and their implementation were not found as a systemic process
feature.
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NSDS and are not subject to a sustainability impact assessment. More elusive
to find from the research is a country, where the overall budget plan contains
transparent information about the impact of overall spending on sustainabil-
ity and charts a way for improving performance.
A number of interesting approaches and innovations however, were observed
in our research. For example, the requirement for implementation of key pri-
ority areas in poverty reduction strategy papers (PRSPs) to reach the Heavily
Indebted Pour Countries debt relief completion points, results in attention
from the national budgetary process (e.g., Cameroon and Madagascar). The
trade off that has been acknowledged, however, is that the PRSP feels less
country owned (GTZ 2000, p. 12). The irony is that the NSDS, which are typi-
cally more country-owned, have less pressure on them to be implemented
(GTZ, 2000).
The UK emerged as an innovator in their approach of spending reviews. All
departments are required to produce a sustainable development report that
outlines the potential SD impacts related to public spending related to pro-
posed policies, plans and programs. While departments appear to be strug-
gling with this requirement, the Government has been developing tools and
guidance to assist with the process. In Canada, the 25 government depart-
ments are required to prepare a departmental SD strategy every three years.
However, it is still the situation that annual departmental plans submitted to
Parliament remain a document distinct from departmental SD strategies.
While some departments have recognized inherent similarities and have inte-
grated the two documents, most departments have not.
Another notable approach is through the introduction of a tax shift. For in-
stance, in countries where environmental taxes represent a large portion of
government revenues, such countries could be said to have integrated SD bet-
ter into the budgeting process. The most prominent example for this ap-
proach is Sweden (as described above). Integrating SD principles into existing
development planning processes is another approach. This is Mexicos SD
strategy approach. The 2001-2006 National Development Plan is translated
into a set of programs which serve as long-term policy guides and are the basis
for much of the public spending. While this approach does create more direct
linkages with the national budgeting processes, it comes with the disadvantage
that the SD strategy and its included objectives are not developed in as com-
prehensive a manner as occurs with separate SD strategies.
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Axel Volkery Darren Swanson Klaus Jacob Fancois Bregha Lszl Pintr
tries such as Cameroon and Madagascar, the PRSP process contained minimal
discussion of the environment or the national environmental management
strategy process that was in place in both countries. In Canada there was little
visible coordination. Canada has recognized the difficulty and has developed a
number of coordinating mechanisms including a Deputy-Minister level Co-
ordinating Committee on SD and the Interdepartmental Network on SD
Strategies. However, it would appear that these coordinating mechanisms have
not yet matched the level of complexity inherent in the inter-dependencies of
economic, social and environmental sustainability.
The Philippines case highlights an innovative approach for coordinating
among different strategy processes. The National Economic and Development
Authority (NEDA) was designated the lead government agency for the Philip-
pine Council for Sustainable Development (PCSD). The fact that PCSD Secre-
tariat is located in the NEDA premises and that national planning in the Phil-
ippines has a high component of multi-sectoral integration has facilitated the
work of the PCSD. In Morocco, through a national integration workshop, key
recommendations from each of the sectoral workshops were brought together
to produce a cohesive, integrated Environmental Action Plan (PANE). In turn,
this plan was then linked through cross-sectoral action areas with Moroccos
three other national development plans: the Economic and Social Develop-
ment Plan (19992003) (PDES); the Plan to Combat Desertification (PAN/LCD);
and the Land Management Plan (SNAT).
As previously mentioned, Germanys national SD strategy established cross-
cutting themes to guide measures. Other examples are PRSPs and national
environmental strategies which help mitigate the silo approach (e.g., Camer-
oon, Madagascar, South Korea). Many countries have articulated cross-cutting
issues and action plans such as climate change action plans, organic farming
action plans or land-use reduction plans. Denmark has a rich tradition in this
regard. Action plans are also a common tool at the European level, especially
under the framework of the 6th Environmental Action Programme, where
thematic strategies are developed.
Finally, Green Cabinets are a tool for helping to co-ordinate with other na-
tional strategy processes (see described above). Germany and the U.K. are ex-
amples of this, where Cabinet Committees have been set up to coordinate the
overall process of strategy development.
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Coordinating sustainable development an evaluation of the state of play
Activities for strategic and co-ordinated action are underway at all levels of
government ranging from the local/community, to state/provincial, to the
international level. Co-ordination among these different levels will be critical
for leveraging important changes. Such co-ordination is inherently more dif-
ficult in federal states where powers are divided between levels of government,
i.e. Germany or Canada. On the other hand, the division of powers and the
multiple layers of government in federal states might also provide more pos-
sibilities for the invention and diffusion of innovations.
Some countries have co-ordinated national and local level SD action through
local Agenda 21 processes. Our analysis in this regard implies only that SD
action occurred, and did not study the degree to which specific SD objectives
and actions were co-ordinated at the two levels. Among these countries are
Denmark, South Korea, China and Costa Rica.
For example, in Denmark there is a plan that most municipalities in Denmark
will develop a local strategy and a local set of indicators within one yearand
70 per cent of municipalities are succeeding. In South Korea, 213 out of 249
regional government units have adopted a Local Agenda 21. One important
reason for this was the reform of regional government in 1995 that gave local
government greater regulatory power, for example, in the area of air quality
standards. South Koreas National Action Plan of Agenda 21 fostered local
Agenda 21s through financial and capacity support. The government also
helped establish the Korean Council for Local Agenda 21 in June 2000 to bet-
ter co-ordinate the implementation process.
Many of the countries studied also made links between national SD and inter-
national SD priorities. National objectives dealing with climate change mitiga-
tion and adaptation are an example of this. However, the Swedish case study
introduced an innovative way of linking Government operations with the aim
of contributing to fair and sustainable global development. Trade, agriculture,
security, migration, environmental and economic policies are to promote
global development. A poverty and human rights perspective shall permeate
the entire policy. With this bill, the Government has reformulated its policy in
order to contribute more forcefully to the fulfillment of the UN objectives.
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6 Conclusions
Research for the 19 countries illustrated that many innovative approaches and
tools have been developed and applied over the past decade, both pre- and
post-WSSD. The diversity of institutions and tools for the implementation of
sustainable development has been constantly increasing. Compared with the
starting point more than a decade ago, the institutional landscape for sustain-
able development has grown richer in its diversity. There are two interesting
trends: the issue is moving gradually into the centre of government - nearly
half of our countries studied have institutionalized central coordination bod-
ies, mostly located at the Prime Ministers or Presidents Office. And broad
participation and stakeholder consultation have become governmental stan-
dard procedures..
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Axel Volkery Darren Swanson Klaus Jacob Fancois Bregha Lszl Pintr
process right is critically important over the medium to long term. Prerequi-
sites are, however, stronger political commitment and better coordination.
Strategic action for SD will remain at the periphery of government as long as
it is not connected to visible incentives and sanctions that reward action or
punish non-action. Strategy processes need better ownership, commitment
and a better common understanding among all levels of government.
The core question is where is this supposed to come from? One approach to
catalyze better ownership within government is through strengthening central
coordination, probably best through allocating relevant competencies at the
Prime Ministers or Presidents Office. This has to go hand in hand with a
more systematic use of integrated assessments and indicators. Strategies need,
however, also to be manageable. Efforts should be directed at the most urgent
problems, and public participation processes should be directly tailored to
identify them. Increasing transparency and accountability through reporting
obligations, external auditing and tailored consultation can win new allies.
Strong leverage can be reached through strengthening of coordination with
the budget, i.e. through spending reviews and annual green budgeting reports,
and a strengthening of coordination among all levels of government.
The institutional fabric - despite all individual progress remains rather thin
from an overall perspective. This confirms the premises from the public pol-
icy literature that learning leads in most cases only to changes in minor as-
pects of policies. A comparison with the rich institutional landscape that we
find for economic development and cooperation, i.e. that is much richer in
terms of actors, rules, sanctions, inventories set of activities and political lev-
erage, demonstrates best the magnitude of the challenge that countries
worldwide are still facing in establishing a sound institutional landscape for
Sustainable Development.
References
Brown, K. (1997) The Road from Rio, Journal of International Development 9 (3): 383-
389.
Dalal-Clayton, B. and S. Bass (2002). Sustainable Development Strategies A Resource
Book, International Institute for Environment and Development. London:
Earthscan Publications Ltd.
Eckley, N. et al. (2001) Desgining Effective Assessment: The role of Participation, Sci-
ence and Governance, and Focus, Cambridge, MA: Research and Assessment Sys-
tems for Sustainability, Environment and Natural Resource Program, Harvard
University.
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Axel Volkery Darren Swanson Klaus Jacob Fancois Bregha Lszl Pintr
Acknowledgements
The paper has been developed as part of the project National Strategies for Sustainable
Development. Challenges, Approaches and Innovations in Strategic and Coordinated
Action that has been funded by Deutsche Gesellschaft fr Technische Zusammenar-
beit (GTZ), the Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA), Foreign Affairs
Canada, and Environment Canada. The final project report and all country case studies
can be downloaded at: http://www.iisd.org/measure/capacity/sdsip.asp. An earlier ver-
sion of this paper has been presented at the 2004 Berlin Conference on the Human
Dimension of Global Environmental Change, 3-4 December 2004 in Berlin. We would
like to thank all discussants for their comments. We are grateful for valuable com-
ments provided by three anonymous reviewers of World Development. We acknowl-
edge the support and information provided by Jan-Peter Schemmel and Harald Los-
sack of GTZ; from the Government of Canada, Lynn Berthiaume, Lyn Ponniah, John
Eby, Gary Pringle, Nancy Hamzawi, Sandra Scott, Cynthia MacRae, Jennifer Moore and
Catherine Coleman; from IUCN, Andrew Deutz and Tabeth Chiuta; and Kirsten Rohr-
mann from the UN Division for Sustainable Development and by all government offi-
cials who provided input and feedback toward the development of the case studies.
Furthermore, we would like to thank all case study authors: Mary Jane Middelkoop,
Barbara Sweazey, Julie Pezzack from Stratos Inc., Canada and Simone Klawitter, Doris
Tharan, Stefan Lindemann, Mireia Tarradell, Roland Zieschank and Aleksandra Zlo-
binska from the Environmental Policy Research Centre, Freie Universitt of Berlin,
Germany.
238
Institutions and Instruments for Government Self-
Regulation: Environmental Policy Integration in a
Cross-Country-Perspective1
KLAUS JACOB
AXEL VOLKERY
Abstract
The integration of environmental concerns into non-environmental areas of
public policy-making has been a long present challenge in many OECD-
countries. As for the greening of sectoral policies, two approaches can be
distinguished: The approach of horizontal integration delegates the responsi-
bility mainly to the environmental departments. Since this approach has gen-
erated relatively poor performance results so far, a stronger concentration on
the approach of vertical integration with departmental self-responsibility for
the greening of policies has been advocated in the literature. We classify this
approach as governmental self-regulation. It is different in so far, as it tries
to overcome structural rigidities to policy-change by means of policy-learning.
This article provides a preliminary framework for assessing the conditions of
tool usage and develops a tool box. We then present findings from a review of
tool use in 29 OECD-countries by highlighting forerunner countries and dis-
cussing shortcomings of tool usage. Our findings indicate that tools for verti-
cal EPI are not widely applied in OECD-countries so far. Instead, there is still
a strong reliance on tools for horizontal EPI. The most obvious explanation
for these findings is that governmental self-regulation is rarely a strategic
approach that runs by itself, since it contradicts the inherent logic of govern-
mental bureaucratic organisation: specialisation, incrementalism and nega-
tive-co-ordination. Therefore, the speed of diffusion of related tools is quite
1
First published in: Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis. Vol. 6, No.3, 2004, pp.
291-309. Reprinted with kind permission.
239
Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
slow. However, since tools for vertical EPI have been discussed more inten-
sively recently than in the middle 1990s, the process of diffusion might also
speed up due to increasing knowledge and policy-learning. Furthermore,
comparative research is needed for clarifying these first observations.
1 Introduction 2
The establishment of modern environmental policies in OECD-Countries in
the last thirty years can be considered a remarkable success, regarding both
the speed and range of policy developments. However, the environmental
situation is still deteriorating in many areas (EEA, 2003; OECD, 2001). On the
one hand, this record is caused by implementation deficits of existing envi-
ronmental law. On the other hand, it is due to the relatively unchanged conti-
nuity of environmentally harmful energy, transport or agricultural policies
(Lenschow, 2002a).
The need to incorporate environmental concerns into the decision-making
procedures of non-environmental policies has been a long present challenge
for better government. In the 1990s, renewed impetus has been given to the
concept of Environmental Policy Integration (EPI) in many OECD-Countries
(OECD 2002a). Whereas in the beginning a horizontal approach was domi-
nant, with a central institution responsible for interfering in the policy do-
mains of other departments, attention in the 1990s was directed towards more
decentralised approaches which set objectives, but leave discretion for their
deployment.3 We classify this vertical approach as governmental self-
regulation, as it shifts the responsibility for merging objectives and measures
to the single departments. Many scholars have emphasised the potentials for
2
We would like to thank Kai Behrens for setting-up the data base and Dagmar
Heinrich for editing the text as well as two anonymous reviewers for their helpful
comments on a previous version. Previous versions of this paper also have been pre-
sented at the 2nd General Conference of the European Consortium for Political Re-
search in Marburg, July 2003, and at the 2nd Berlin Conference on the Human Di-
mension on Global Change in Berlin, December 2002. We would like to thank all
discussants for their comments. The paper has been developed as part of the re-
search project POINT3D that is funded by the German Ministry for Education and
Research (Grant No. 07RIW15).
3
In order to have a unique wording and avoid misunderstandings, we will use the
term department throughout this article instead of always switching to the correct
term of the respective country descriptions.
240
Institutions and Instruments for Government Self-Regulation
241
Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
Definition of problems
Determination of reporting
env. objectives monitoring
Ministry of responsibilities sectoral plans
Environment rules of the game strategies / instruments
time table integration of stakeholder
indicators
....
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Institutions and Instruments for Government Self-Regulation
4
There is no unique understanding of the terms horizontal and vertical integra-
tion. The term horizontal is also used to describe integration efforts between sec-
tors, and the term vertical is in this context used to describe integration across all
levels of government (national, regional, local). We, however, stick to the more nar-
rower focus regarding the modus of steering.
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Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
responsible departments know their sectors best, they are also best suited to
select the most efficient measures, both in terms of manageability and politi-
cal saleability, if there is a political mandate to do so and this triggers proc-
esses of policy-learning.
In literature on public policy making, several scholars have stressed the im-
portance of learning for the occurrence of policy change over time (see: Dud-
ley and Richardson, 2001; Bennet and Howlett, 1992 for an overview). Most
notably, the Advocacy-Coalition-Framework developed by Sabatier and Jen-
kins-Smith conceives learning to be an important source of policy-change
(Sabatier and Jenkins-Smith, 1999). Learning is understood to be a necessity to
adapt to changing circumstances, as for example in the upswing of new scien-
tific findings, ideas or even paradigms contesting established ideas and para-
digms, or changing socio-economic circumstances. But there are limitations
to policy-learning and change: As policy actors have a set of enduring causal
beliefs in regard to policy objectives and the best way of achieving them, they
consequentially will stick to these framesets and will only change minor as-
pects of the policy. Major policy-change will thus only occur against the back-
ground of an external shock, such as a change of government, or widespread
public concerns due to obvious policy failure (Sabatier and Jenkins-Smith
1999). Coming from another corner of the playing field, scholars of historic
institutionalism present a similar conclusion: The path-dependency of insti-
tutions allows only incremental change, and major change is dependent on
exceptional sources of external influence (Pierson and Skocpol 2002, Thelen
1999, Hall and Taylor 1996).
Although major policy-change might be the exception and incremental
change the rule, the latter can sum up to further-reaching change over a
longer period of time (Hayes 2003). In this regard, two different conceptions of
EPI can be identified: Firstly, it can be understood as an internalisation of the
environmental effects of a sector (e.g. Hey, 1998, 2002). Here, the main focus is
on policy outcomes and impacts. A second perspective however, focuses on
strategies and instruments (policy outputs) which are meant to change gov-
ernmental practices and procedures. We decided on the use of the latter per-
spective in order to reveal a toolbox of strategies and instruments being
used for EPI in OECD-countries.
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Institutions and Instruments for Government Self-Regulation
245
Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
b) Ideas: If the tools fit into the overall philosophy of the department, their
introduction will be simplified. If they do, however, challenge the valid
framework of policy norms, values and core objectives, their introduction
will be contested.
c) Institutions: If the tools fit into the given structures and practices of the
policy field and do not change routines, they will easily be applied. If they,
however, require substantial institutional change, their enforcement will
be very difficult. Usually, an external crisis becomes necessary then, in or-
der to open a window of opportunity for institutional change.
The manifold implications of these dimensions can be operationalised in
terms of the political manageability and political saleability of the tools (see
Peters 2002): Manageability describes the degree of complexity of policy re-
steering, i.e. the number of different interests involved, that need to be negoti-
ated, and the difficulty and complexity of the issue itself. Political saleability
delineates the possibilities to build advocacy-coalitions and to minimize po-
tentially negative impacts as to raise the potentially positive impacts among
target groups. In the following, we focus on tools for vertical policy integration
that have been introduced more recently, considering the above developed
framework for assessment.
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Institutions and Instruments for Government Self-Regulation
guiding policy objectives. Instead, the strategy can be formulated with respect
to the premise of not affecting interests of major stakeholders. If, however, a
strict monitoring and evaluation scheme is applied and if the strategy process
is backed by a strong political mandate, the manageability is getting very com-
plex due to the high number of affected interests. Identifying and mobilising
the support from actors which possibly may benefit from the policy, is helpful
for overcoming barriers, for example. Also, the saleability appears to become
very difficult, as the number of sectoral losers rises.
Strategic Environmental Assessment
SEIA is a procedural instrument for the evaluation of all stages of the deci-
sion-making cycle, starting with the formulation of policies (definition of
strategic guidelines and objectives) via planning (assignment of resources) and
ending with the development of programmes (set of projects). The practical
execution ranges from simple checklists to an elaborated modelling of the
impacts. SEIA could be classified as a centralised tool as the results of the as-
sessment may be evaluated by other departments. However, as it implies a
sectoral focus and as its implementation often lies within one department, but
not always the DoE, we can consider it also a decentralised tool. SEIA is ex-
pected to lead to an inclusion of new Environmental Actors in sectoral deci-
sion-making, as the needed knowledge is seldom owned by the sectoral policy
actors. Therefore, it also contributes to the utilization of knowledge. It is a key
tool for the implementation of the EPI-principle, as it focuses on the very
beginning of the decision-making process. The respective policy style and the
network character of the policy field influence the difficulty of introduction: If
the policy field is characterised by a top-down approach with a strong neglect
of procedural stakeholder consultation and rather closed networks, the degree
of difficulty increases. Generally, manageability is difficult given the complex-
ity of ex-ante policy assessments and the relative scarce experiences of gov-
ernmental officials which furthermore seldom have sufficient time to learn to
cope with this tool.
Appraisal of Policy Initiatives
Tools for the appraisal of policy initiatives (also named impact assessment)
aim at the assessment of possible impacts of legislative proposals by the com-
petent authorities themselves. These mechanisms are closely related to Strate-
gic Environmental Assessments, as described above, and there is a continuum
between appraisal methodology and the more formal SEIA procedures. The
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Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
main difference is that the general public or other departments are not in-
volved in the execution of the tool. Policy Appraisals improve the utilisation of
knowledge in the respective department and lead to a better consideration of
EPI in processes of policy implementation. The political difficulty of the in-
troduction of such tools is not very high concerning the use of simple tools
within the domain of one department. It might increase enormously, if tools
for integrated assessments shall be introduced, which not only impose great
conceptual difficulties regarding the adequate consideration of economic,
social and ecologic impacts, but also offer the possibility of devaluating envi-
ronmental concerns.
Green Budgeting
An in-depth budget evaluation can reveal spending which is contradictory to
environmental objectives. Departments can also be obliged to verify the re-
spective environment impacts as part of the overall spending procedures.
Green Budgeting is expected to re-shape departmental Agenda Setting and to
lead to a better consideration of the EPI principle in policy implementation.
By highlighting environmental harmful spending and offering alternatives as
for example a shifting of resources to more environmental-friendly policies
and programs, it supports the dissemination of new visions. We consider the
degree of political difficulty to be high, as shifting of governmental spending
mobilises intra-governmental and societal protests.
Departmental Units for the Environment / Environmental Correspondents
The establishment of departmental units for the Environment, which are con-
cerned with environmental policy issues (called mirror units, as they are insti-
tutionalised in response to the organisation of the DoE), or of special Envi-
ronmental Correspondents in the departments is a standard procedure of
government. On the basis of an evaluation of EU-policies, Wilkinson (1998)
gives a range of possible functions of these units. They inform about planned
policy initiatives in the DoE (spy) , pass information on environmental legisla-
tion (postman), try to veto policy proposal in intra-governmental negotiations
(police-men), give guidance for e.g. appraisal methods (technician), negotiate
between the departmental units and the DoE (facilitator) and try to modify
DoE policies to fit with own policy preferences (ambassador). Thus, this in-
strument allows a shaping of new actors in the respective policy field, but also
fosters implementation of EPI-principles. It might also enhance the utiliza-
tion of knowledge in the respective departments. We expect the introduction
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Institutions and Instruments for Government Self-Regulation
Tab. 1:
Actors / Opening of Networks
Inclusion of Environmental
Expected impacts of
Changes relative strengths
Improves utilisation
of existing Actors
mplementation
Agenda Setting
Dissemination
EPI in policy I
Improvement
of Leadership
of knowledge
of Vision
Possi-
Sectoral Strategies 3 3 3
ble
Green Budgeting 3 3 3
Interdepartmental working
3
groups
Strategic Environmental
3 3 3
Assessment
Environmental departments in
Possi-
the different sectors / Environ- 3 3
ble
mental Correspondents
Appraisal of policy initiatives 3 3
249
Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
Table 1 summarizes the expected impacts of the different tools for EPI with
regard to the developed framework for assessment.
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Institutions and Instruments for Government Self-Regulation
promote sectoral strategies at the European Union level (Jordan, 2002) in more
detail. As a result of the relatively poor performance of integration measures
taken in the middle of the 1990s (see Wilkinson, 1998), a reforming of the in-
tegration project was agreed on at the 1997 Luxemburg summit. The reform
implementation leadership was shifted from the Commission to the European
Council, the highest political decision-making body which consists of the
presidents and prime ministers. At the Cardiff Summit in June 1998, the so-
called Cardiff-Process of Environmental Policy Integration was started. All
relevant Councils were asked not only to develop sectoral strategies containing
objectives, timetables and task assignments, but also to constantly monitor
improvements and address shortcomings. The Councils for Agriculture, En-
ergy and Transport started the process in June 1998. They were joined in a
second round by the Councils for Development, Internal Market and Industry
in December 1998. The setting was completed in a third round by the Coun-
cils for General Affairs, Economical and Fiscal Affairs and Fisheries (Fergusson
et al., 2001, Kraemer et al. 2000). The European Council of Helsinki in June
1999 however, came to a rather disappointing assessment concerning the
overall progress. Most strategies did not contain concrete objectives, timeta-
bles and measures, but were rather superficial and did not assign task respon-
sibilities. Two years later, the European Council in Gothenburg again revealed
similar shortcomings. Up to now, indications of sufficient reform progress
can not be ascertained. Instead, the future course of the Cardiff Process is
nebulous and the political significance of the strategies remains unclear (SRU
2004). Obviously, the ambitious and far-reaching design of governmental self-
regulation produced a capacity overload and strong institutional resistance in
the respective Council formations.
Strategic Environmental Assessment
10 out of 29 OECD-Countries have introduced tools for SEIA so far. This
number will, however, increase considerably in the next two years, as a respec-
tive European Directive has entered into force, obliging all member states to
introduce SEIA. Although the directive was weakened in its scope, the now-to-
be-established SEIA is likely to promote EPI, because of its binding character
(Niestroy, 2003). The Environmental Assessment of legislative proposals has
been a tool of the first hour of environmental policy in the USA. It was intro-
duced in 1970, but according to literature, was seldom applied according to its
intended use. Moreover, the enabling legislation lacks even substantial and
operational goals (Andrews, 1997). Canada introduced a similar Environ-
251
Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
mental Assessment Review Process as well already back in 1973. But this
guideline also has been applied only to a few policies. In 1990 the procedure
was reformed, including a formal provision of EA for the first time. This was
laid down in the so called Blue Book from 1993, which is the official guide to
the assessment process (Marsden, 1998, p. 246). Denmark, the Netherlands,
Finland, Norway and the European Union itself have enacted requirements for
SEIA. The current state of institutionalisation varies considerably: Provisions
for SEA are partially given by legislation (e.g. USA), by administrative orders
(e.g. Canada, Denmark) or advisory guidelines (e.g. UK). Countries differ re-
garding the form and scope of public participation in SEA: involvement of the
public is foreseen in Denmark and the Netherlands, while in the UK and Can-
ada the availability of the assessment results is restricted to the cabinet.
Appraisal of policy initiatives
Only four of 29 OECD-Countries report the regular use of tools for the ap-
praisal of policy initiatives. These are the UK, the Netherlands, France and
South Korea. The UK developed a system for policy appraisal already back in
1991 as a guide for civil servants, called Policy Appraisal and the Environment
(Jordan and Lenschow, 2000). Being rarely conducted in the beginning, it is
frequently used at the present. In the Netherlands, the need for an impact
assessment regarding the environment for new legislation was recognised in
the National Environmental Policy Plan already in 1989. A respective tool was
developed by a ministerial Commission chaired by the prime minister. This
so-called E-test was finally introduced in 1995. 5 At the same time, another tool
for economic evaluation was introduced, the so-called Business Effects Test
(BET). A Joint Support Centre for Draft Regulations was established by the
Environmental and the Economic ministries to give guidance for the execu-
tion of the tools (Marsden, 1999).
5
It is applied to all types of legislative proposals including drafts and amendments.
The E-Test procedure encompasses four phases: 1) Screening/Scoping Phase: An in-
terdepartmental working group selects proposals for which an E-Test should be car-
ried out and lists environmental aspects that should be evaluated. 2) Adoption
Phase: The list of proposal is adopted by the Council of Ministers. 3) Documenta-
tion/Assessment Phase: The selected aspects are addressed by the responsible min-
istry, supported by the helpdesk; results are documented and added to the draft leg-
islation. 4) Reviewing Phase: Joint Support Centre and the Ministry of Justice review
the quality of information and check if the draft can be send to the Council of Min-
isters.
252
Institutions and Instruments for Government Self-Regulation
6
An interesting software that has been developed for an qualitative integrated as-
sessment is IAPlus (see http://www.jrc.es/ projects/iaplus/). Currently, tools are un-
der development, that allow for an integrated qualitative and quantitative assess-
ment of policy initiatives (e.g. I.Q. Tools) (Tamborra 2003).
253
Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
254
Institutions and Instruments for Government Self-Regulation
ndependent Institutions
Constitutional Provision
Strategies for
Strategic environmental
Sustainability strategy
Environmental
Reporting obligation
Environmental Plan
Appraisal of policy
nterdepartmental
Policy Integration
Sectoral strategies
Amalgamation of
Green budgeting
Green cabinet
departments
countries
assessment
initiatives
National
for EPI
Australia 3 3
Austria 3 3 3 3 3 3
Belgium 3 3 3 3 3 3 P
Canada 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Czech Rep 3 3 3 3 P
Denmark 3 3 3 3 3
Finland 3 3 3 3 3 3
France 3 3 3 3 3
Germany 3 3 P 3 3 3 P
Greece 3 3 3 3 P
Hungary 3 3 3 3 3
Iceland 3 3
Ireland 3 3 3 P
Italy 3 3 3 P
Japan 3 3 3 3 3 3
Korea 3 3 3 3 3 3
Luxembourg 3 P
Mexico 3 3 3
Netherlands 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
New Zealand 3 3
Norway 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Poland 3 3 3 3 3 P
Portugal 3 3 3 3 3 3 P
Slovak Republic 3 3 3 3 3
Spain 3 3 P
Sweden 3 3 3 3 3 P
Switzerland 3 3 3
Turkey 3 3 3
United Kingdom 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
United States 3 3 3 3
P: Pending
Sources: various OECD Environmental Performance Reviews and country profiles
that were prepared for the United Nations World Summit on Sustainable Develop-
ment (http://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/natlinfo/cp2002.htm)
255
Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
The table also shows that OECD-countries frequently make more use of tools
for horizontal EPI. This approach seems to still be predominant in the major-
ity of OECD-Countries. For example, 27 out of 29 OECD-countries have intro-
duced Sustainability Strategies.Moreover, 22 of 29 OECD-Countries imple-
ment a National Environmental Policy Plan. This frequency can be ascribed to
the provision of the Agenda 21 to establish national Plans and Strategies for
Sustainable Development. The first plans were introduced in the Netherlands,
Canada, UK, Denmark, Sweden and Norway towards the end of the 1980s. In
the 1990s, a fast diffusion of these instruments could be observed (Tews et al.,
2003). However, they vary considerably regarding scope and content (SRU,
2000; Jnicke and Jrgens, 2000). 7
18 out of 29 OECD-Countries have adopted constitutional provisions, e.g.
South Korean Basic Law, which guarantees the right to live in a clean and
healthy environment. One of the most clearly formulated provisions can be
found in the treaties of the European Union. Article 6 of the Amsterdam
Treaty makes EPI a core principle of the Union, making the integration of
environmental concerns into definition and implementation of other policies
a binding requirement for EU policy-making. No evidence could be found
that the far-reaching tool of a formal right for the DoE to veto legislative pro-
posals by other departments has not been institutionalised in any OECD-
country. The weaker possibility is to give the DoE the right to start initiatives
in other departmental areas of responsibility (Mller, 2002; Jnicke et al.,
2002). We again found no evidence, that such a provision has been introduced
in any OECD-country.
The amalgamation of departments is another way of enhancing the relative
power of the MoE. This has been executed in two OECD-countries, namely
7
Most of the adopted strategies and plans are characterised by some serious short-
comings, for example vaguely formulated objectives, without binding implementa-
tion requirements. Also the institutionalisation of the whole planning process is,
with a few exceptions, weak and objectives are not taken sufficiently into account by
decision-makers in other relevant departments. The relationship between the more
sectoral approach environmental planning approach and the over-arching approach
of the Sustainable Development Strategies is, as for now, far from clear: a comple-
mentary or a competitive relationship is possible. How this dualism affects policy-
making in practice, remains a challenge for further research.
256
Institutions and Instruments for Government Self-Regulation
Portugal and the UK. Denmark used to have a joint Department for Energy
and Environment, but this merger was revoked by the newly elected conserva-
tive government in 2002. In the UK, the merging of the departments of trans-
port and of environment,, and the selection of the Deputy Prime Minister,
John Prescott, as its head has been interpreted as an improvement in EPI (Jor-
dan, 2002).8
16 OECD-countries have introduced independent institutions for EPI, such as
advisory bodies or bodies responsible for monitoring and evaluation like the
Canadian Commissioner on Sustainable Development. There have also been
many efforts to institutionalise joint committees of environmental depart-
ments and other policy sectors. The institutionalisation of so called green
cabinets that consist of several state-secretaries or ministers is reported for 4
countries (Austria, Germany, Norway and the UK). Norway introduced a State
Secretary Committee for Environmental Issues already in 1989 (Sverdrup,
1998). In the UK, such a committee was introduced in 1990 (Jordan and Len-
schow, 2000). More often, interdepartmental negotiations take place in work-
ing groups of high ranking civil servants. Currently, 17 OECD-countries have
institutionalised such Inter-departmental Working Groups.
As Table 2 shows, the horizontal approach to EPI is not only still in use, but
more that that, is still predominant. Strategic approaches such as National
Sustainability Strategies or National Environmental Plans are by now a com-
mon procedure. The use of single tools differs, however: An extension of for-
mal decision-making powers of the DoE could be detected nowhere in the
OECD-area, whereas many countries have introduced independent institu-
tions such as advisory bodies, interdepartmental working groups or reporting
obligations. Another obvious fact: Countries which employ tools for vertical
EPI, have introduced them in a rather complementary way and not by means
of substituting tools for horizontal EPI.
8
Merging departments could also imply a dilution if the two departments are of
different size or power (Liberatore, 1997). A diffusion of specially designed minis-
tries to other countries is not very likely, as the design of ministries is likely to be
the result of a political bargaining on the national level rather than driven by func-
tionality and cross-country learning.
257
Klaus Jacob Axel Volkery
5 Conclusions
The survey of OECD-countries delivers clear but yet surprising results: Tools
for vertical EPI are rarely employed. The frequency rate ranges from 5-10
countries respectively. The exception are standard procedures like environ-
mental mirror units in departments. Despite the fact, that the vertical ap-
proach to EPI has been subject to considerable academic debate, it seems to be
quite difficult to introduce respective tools in OECD-countries. We expected
the political difficulty of introduction to be quite low regarding appraisal tools
and reporting obligations. Nevertheless, they have not become a standard
procedure of governmental practice yet. The fact that these tools might raise
transparency and accountability of decision-making could explain the slow
rate of diffusion. As a contrary, it is of no great surprise that tools for Green
Budgeting are not broadly employed, bearing in mind the political difficulty
of shifting priorities in governmental spending. SEIA has not been broadly
introduced so far. However, the number of countries will increase due to the
need to implement SEIA in all European Countries. This highlights the im-
portance of supranational regulation for the diffusion of policy innovations
(see also Tews et al., 2003).
A comparison of the accords of the scrutinized countries shows, that the
United Kingdom, Norway and the Netherlands have been most active in in-
troducing tools for vertical EPI. Especially the UK can be regarded as a pio-
neer, both concerning the restructuring of governmental practice according to
sectoral integration, and the assessment of policy initiatives. However, the
majority of the OECD-countries still stay with the horizontal approach of EPI.
The survey shows, that nearly all countries have introduced general strategic
approaches such as Sustainability Strategies or Environmental Plans and the
majority has introduced constitutional provisions, Green Cabinets and inde-
pendent bodies for advising and evaluation.
The findings back the hypothesis, that the sectoral organisation of modern
government restricts the execution of integrated approaches to policy-making.
The most obvious explanation for these findings is, that governmental self-
regulation is rarely a strategic approach that runs alone, since it contradicts
the inherent logic of governmental bureaucratic organisation: specialisation,
incrementalism and negative-co-ordination. Therefore, the speed of diffusion
of related tools is quite slow. Cross-cutting issues are still picked up and en-
forced by governmental actors which either represent no special sectoral in-
258
Institutions and Instruments for Government Self-Regulation
terests, such as central steering bodies, or are interested in the integration due
to their responsibility, such as the DoE. The targeted departments themselves
struggle hard to follow new devices for policy-making that depart from their
traditional path of policy-making. These findings must, however, be consid-
ered with caution. As the literature on policy change and policy learning right-
fully notes, such processes need their time and can be evaluated only after a
longer period of time. Since tools for vertical EPI have been discussed more
broadly as recently as the middle 1990s, the process of diffusion might also
speed up due to increasing knowledge and policy-learning. We can not make a
closing assessment, whether or not the vertical approach to EPI will gain more
attractiveness in the coming years. Further comparative research is needed for
clarifying these first observations.
The focus on instruments of policy integration that is taken in this paper does
not allow conclusions in how far these are actually contributing to a change in
policy making. The potentials of the instruments may be under-utilised, espe-
cially regarding learning effects. However, for an evaluation of outcomes and
impacts of EPI, additional indicators are necessary which reveal the environ-
mental performance of the sectors.
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261
Part IV
KERSTIN TEWS
MANFRED BINDER
Abstract
In the early 1990ies almost all industrialised countries unilaterally adopted
domestic targets to reduce GHG emissions. Interestingly, these countries were
not obliged to do that by any international agreement.
This paper gives a comprehensive overview on the GHG emission targets and
the actual GHG emission developments in industrial countries since 1990. For
selected countries, the decision-making processes leading to the voluntary
targets and the national discussion about them will be outlined. From the
background of these empirical results, we a) try to identify the driving forces
behind the setting of voluntary national GHG emission targets; b) discuss the
effectiveness of national targets which address a global problem against the
background of convergent national ambitions but divergent national results,
and c) draw some lessons for future goal setting processes.
1 Introduction
In the early 1990ies almost all industrialised countries unilaterally adopted
domestic targets to reduce GHG emissions. This phenomenon is interesting
for two reasons: First, these countries were not obliged to do that by any inter-
national agreement. Second, one might question the effectiveness of unilateral
targets approaching a problem which cannot be solved by unilateral action.
1
An earlier and more detailed version was published as FFU rep 02-2004.
265
Kerstin Tews Manfred Binder
2
See Tews and Jnicke (2005)
266
Converging Objectives, Diverging Results?
At first sight, it is quite obvious that a national target seems to be rather in-
adequate to solve the global problem of climate change. But on the other
hand, solving the problem is too simple at all to judge such policy targets
because global warming, like many other problems, is too complex to be
solved once and for all (Levy et al. 2001: 88). Therefore, in order to evaluate
whether national targets to reduce greenhouse gas emissions do matter as
policy instruments, the perspective has to be broadened. Levy et al. suggest
that [t]he merits of goals and strategies can () be judged fairly only accord-
ing to how well they promote more efficient management the getting on
with the problem at hand. (ibid.).
Surely, environmental effectiveness seems to be the ultimate criterion to as-
sess environmental targets: Environmental effectiveness of emission reduction
targets is fundamentally a question of the magnitude of global GHG emis-
267
Kerstin Tews Manfred Binder
sion reductions. (Philibert & Pershing 2001:2). But as far as we intend to as-
sess national goals, this criterion is too strict and we assess environmental
effectiveness simply as the level of goal achievement, i.e. the difference be-
tween the target announced and the domestic emission level achieved.
Of course, this criterion alone would oversimplify the ways targets may matter
in policy processes. Marc Levy and colleagues developed some broader criteria
for an assessment of the effectiveness of goals in the management of global
risks (Levy et al. 2001: 88-89) which we use in a slightly modified way: Thus,
national GHG emission targets can be perceived as effective, if,
at the international level, they stimulate others to follow i.e. broaden the
range of actors and countries actively involved in risk managements efforts
(policy diffusion and regime formation), eventually resulting in emission
reductions in other countries;
at the domestic level, they prompt and guide the development of policy
responses and instruments (policy evaluation and development of new in-
struments) and stimulate non-state actors to collaborate, eventually result-
ing in domestic emission reductions3.
From this perspective, the German Environmental Advisory Council argued
that even in the case where goals or targets do not result in immediate policy
measures, the process of goal setting itself is an asset, as it may ensure politi-
cal support, induce or sharpen the problem awareness among relevant actors,
and assign environmental policy an own profile among competing policy ar-
eas (SRU 1998: 11). Nevertheless, the effectiveness of a target in these respects is
much more difficult to evaluate than the simple level of goal achievement in
fact, the simplicity of evaluating the level of goal achievement is one of the
major reasons for choosing quantified targets in the first place.
Before the Kyoto protocol was agreed upon in December 1997, many govern-
ments had already set voluntary goals for the development of national GHG
emissions. A streamlining of national goals is a characteristic feature in this
early period of national target settings. Almost all industrial countries had
declared their intention
3
These criteria are - although slightly modified - adapted from Levy et al. 2001.
268
Converging Objectives, Diverging Results?
4
A couple of countries explicitly refer their national target to the Toronto goal. Aus-
tria for example even labelled the national target adopted in 1990 by government in
its Energy Report 2000 as our Toronto Target similar to the Slovak Republic in
its Energy Strategy and Policy up to the year 2005 in 1992 that means already be-
fore it became an independent state (January 1993).
5
Other recommendations of Torontos conference final resolution included the
reduction of CO2 and other GHG emissions by 50% until 2050 and an increase in
energy efficiency by 10% until 2005. Nevertheless, it should be noted, that the actual
Toronto goal of 25% decrease in world emissions would have been impossible to
achieve, if the industrial countries would not have reduced a much greater share of
their emissions, because developing countries were not expected to reduce their
emissions that strongly.
269
Kerstin Tews Manfred Binder
Thus, it is fair to say, that the voluntary goal setting process before Kyoto fo-
cussed almost entirely on the two options mentioned, with very little national
variations except for poor countries. But contrary to these pretty similar goals,
the development of GHG emissions has differed tremendously among indus-
trial countries, and only very few countries achieved their voluntary goals or
are likely to achieve them in the near future (see chapter 2.4).
PHASE 1: Toronto Conference - PHASE 2: UNFCCC - Kyoto- PHASE 3: from signing the Kyoto-Protocol
30 UNFCCC Protocoll (1993-1997) (1998 - 2003)
(1988-1992) 7 additional countries adopted in 16 countries the unilateral commitment
18 countries adopted unilaterally domestic goals; periods phased out in 2000; 2 countries
domestic goals 4 countries abolished their national abolished their national targets (DK; D);
goals (N; A; AUS; NZ) most of them subsituted national targets by the
25 Kyoto comittments (apart from USA and
Australia)
2 countries adopted new domestic target (S; CZ)
20
15
0
1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
270
Converging Objectives, Diverging Results?
First period Toronto (1988) Rio (1992): It is quite interesting to see that a
majority of industrialized countries already in this early stage of the interna-
tional norm building process adopted national targets to reduce greenhouse
gas emissions (example setters and early norm adopters). Most of the early
mover countries explicitly expressed their ambition to be among the front
runners in the process of establishing an international climate change regime.
They demonstratively adopted national targets unilaterally to set standards to
be followed by others. Especially the Netherlands and Norway demonstrated
this type of leadership in international processes which refers to the domestic
policy development. This period is characterized by a shift of the key actors:
Originally, scientific and NGO networks promoted the issue for at least a dec-
ade. But, increasingly, states started to define the rules of the emerging nego-
tiation game. They were influenced by domestic interest groups which awoke
to the issue by the increasing international and domestic attention it had
gained. This phase is framed by a variety of international conferences which
established the climate change challenge on the international political agenda.
The cornerstones were the Toronto conference in June 1988, the Second
World Climate Conference in October/November 1990 in Geneva and the Rio
conference in June 1992 where the UNFCCC was signed by 154 countries. In
1990 alone, an avalanche of 12 national adoptions of unilateral emission tar-
gets increased the number of countries with domestic goals to 14 (plus Norway
and the Netherlands in 1989). By the year 1992, 18 countries had announced
voluntary targets.
Second period Rio (1992) Kyoto (1997): In this phase almost all remaining
industrialized countries adopted national targets, mostly as a response to the
commitment made by signing the albeit in this respect non-binding
UNFCCC (late norm adopters). This period is characterized by international
negotiations to develop an international regime of binding targets and time-
tables for climate protection.
From 1997 up to now: This period is characterised by a process of abolishing
the originally defined national targets and/or their substitution by the negoti-
ated Kyoto commitments. Sporadic unilateral adoption of more ambitious
national targets in selected countries occurred (new pushers and example
setters).
271
Kerstin Tews Manfred Binder
Country Year of
National Reduction Target Subsequent amendments
(Annex 1) adption
Norway 1989 Stabilization CO2 (1989-2000) 1995 abolishment of target
Netherlands 1989 Stabilization CO2 (1989-2000) 1990 Stabilisation (1989-1995);
minus 3-5% (1989/90-2000)
1991 minus 20-25% GHG
(1989/90-2000)
Denmark 1990 minus 20% CO2 (1988-2005) 2002 abolishment of target
Germany 1990 minus 25-30% CO2 (1987-2005) 2003 abolishment of target
France 1990 Stabilization CO2 (1990-2000)
Japan 1990 Stabilization CO2 (1990-2000)
Canada 1990 Stabilization GHG (1990 2000)
Austria 1990 minus 20% CO2 (1988-2005) 1997 abolishment of target
Switzerland 1990 Stabilization CO2 (1990-2000)
Australia 1990 Stabilization GHG (1988-2000), 1995-97 tacit abolishment of target
minus 20% GHG (1988-2005)
Luxembourg 1990 Stabilization CO2 (1990-2000)
and minus 20% CO2 (1990-2005)
New Zealand 1990 minus 20% CO2 (1990-2005) 1993 Stabilization CO2 (1990-2000);
20% cut ultimate goal, subject
to various conditions
1994-97 Tacit abolishment of the
target
Poland 1990 Stabilization CO2 (1988/89-2000)
United 1990 Stabilization CO2 (1990-2005) 1995 minus 4-8% CO2 (1990-2000)
Kingdom 1997 minus 20% CO2 (1990-2010)
Belgium 1991 minus 5% CO2 (1990-2000)
Spain 1992 25% CO2 (later 15% due to new
projections) (1990-2000)
Hungary 1992 Stabilization CO2 (1985/87-2000)
Slovakia 1992 minus 20% CO2 (1988-2005) 2003 Not mentioned anymore
Ireland 1993 20%CO2 (1990-2000)
Sweden 1993 Stabilization CO2 (1990-2000) 2000 minus 2% GHG (1990-2010)
2001 minus 4 % GHG (1990-2010)
USA 1993 Stabilization GHG (1990-2000)
Finland 1993 Stabilization CO2 (-2000)
Iceland 1994 Stabilization GHG (1990-2000)
Greece 1995 15% CO2 (1990-2000)
Portugal 1996 40% CO2 (1990-2000)
Czech Republic 2004 minus 30% CO2 (1990-2000/2020)
272
Converging Objectives, Diverging Results?
6
The emission data used in these figures are from the on-line searchable database of
GHG inventory data of the UN-FCCC (http://ghg.unfccc.int/). Since there are no data
available fr years before 1990 and for 1990 only for those countries which have not
chosen another year for base year, the data for the reported base year (mostly 1990)
were used as a proxy for missing data before 1991 in designing the red arrows repre-
senting the voluntary national targets. These arrows start in the year when they were
first declared (i.e. not necessarily in the respective base year).
273
Kerstin Tews Manfred Binder
Housing, Physical Planning and Environment (IEA 1994: 117). This target has
not been mentioned anymore.
In contrast, the domestic targets set out in the NEPP-plus were re-announced
several times as for example in the second NEPP from 1993. However, already
in 1995 the Netherlands started to water down its ambitions concerning CO2-
emission reductions. In the so called CO2-letter sent by the VROM (Ministry
of Housing, Spatial Planning and Environment) to the parliament, the CO2-
goal for 2000 was lowered to minus 3%. In a follow-up policy document on
climate change issued in the same year, this goal was formulated slightly dif-
ferently as aiming at a post-2000 stabilisation at minus 3% compared to 1990.
In 1999, the domestic goal was finally substituted by the EU-burden-sharing
commitment to reduce greenhouse gases by 6% in 2008/12 compared to the
1990 level (Minnesma 2003: 47pp). Additionally, it was claimed to realise half of
the reduction domestically and the rest of it abroad by using the Kyoto-
mechanisms.
SF6
50000 PFC
HFC
N2O
CH4
CO2
0 0 0 KYOTO-goal
0 0 0 * TOTAL
0 0 base
0 year
0 0
base year 1995 2000 EC commitment * TOTAL
2005 base year
2010
designed by Manfred Binder (FFU) TOTAL
In fact, emissions were not stable in the early 1990s but increased and did also
not decline afterwards when they were supposed to (Fig. 2). GHG emissions
274
Converging Objectives, Diverging Results?
have decreased slightly since 1996, yet hardly so because of CO2 but of CH4 and
N2O emission decreases. In 2002, the VROM openly stated that even the wa-
tered-down domestic targets were not met: CO2-emission had risen by 10%
compared to 1990 levels, reportedly due to the highest economic growth com-
pared to its European neighbour countries, but also to climate policy failure
(ibid.).
Norway
Norway, one of the first two countries to adopt a unilateral CO2 stabilisation
target in 1989, obviously did so in order to increase the credibility of the Nor-
wegian international efforts to push multinational agreements. Norway had a
very high reputation at the international environmental scene since the mid
1980s. Gro Harlem Brundtland, Norways Prime Minister and chair of the
World Commission of Environment and Development, not only firmed as the
label of the so-called Brundlandt Report which singled out climate change
as a major environmental problem but also was the only head of government
attending the Toronto conference apart from the Canadian host. She even
called for new international institutions with non-unanimous decision mak-
ing at the Hague Conference as the only way to manage this global risk. Nor-
way (together with the UNECE) convened the Bergen Conference in 1990.
The Norwegian position changed quite rapidly in autumn 1991. The Norwe-
gian government still maintained that domestic actions are necessary, but it
announced its unwillingness to sign any international agreement without the
option of joint implementation a tension which characterized international
negotiations from the very beginning (Andresen & Butenschn 2001; Andresen
et al. 2002). The changes in the Norwegian position are attributed to the fact
that new domestic actors entered the scene (ibid.). During the initial period
when the ambitions were announced, potential economic costs were not dis-
cussed. Instead, the environment was one of the most important issues in the
elections in 1989: parties overcalled each other in proposing national emission
targets. This visionary stage of the early Norwegian climate policy was charac-
terized by defining the global problem as a serious challenge in political terms
both internationally and domestically. Yet, little emphasis was put on domes-
tic implications.
However, shortly after the national goal had been adopted, industry associa-
tions, research institutions and politicians started to question it. A new under-
standing of the Norwegian situation occurred as a country with few potential
275
Kerstin Tews Manfred Binder
93 95
109 Source: UN-FCCC 2002
91 108 107 109 107
100 108 109 Goals according to Kerstin Tews (FFU)
97 85
106 107
40000
105
100 103
101
30000
276
Converging Objectives, Diverging Results?
decade. Relatively early in 1995 the national stabilization target was openly
abolished as it was not possible to plan a policy that will ensure stabilisation
of our total CO2-emissions by 2000 (Government Report to the Storting
Stortingsmelding No. 41, quoted in Andresen & Butenschn 2001: 340).
Denmark
In Denmark, the Brundtland Report and the Toronto Conference stimulated a
parliamentary discussion on sustainable development. Parliament and Gov-
ernment decided that there should be sector strategies for sustainable devel-
opment. In 1990, the Danish Government adopted national action plans on
transport and on energy with specific targets for the energy industries (-28%
CO2) and the transport sector (stabilisation) whose combined effects and time-
frame correspond to the Toronto target of -20% CO2 (1988-2005). The national
target was approved by parliament. This goal was valid until a new govern-
ment took over in November 2001. By then, major climate policy decisions
had been made by a green majority in the parliament (1987-1993) and by
governments led by the Social Democratic Party (1993-2001).
50000
40000
142
277
Kerstin Tews Manfred Binder
7
Economic benchmark for cost effective national measures set by the Danish Gov-
ernment (3. NC 2003:17).
8
Later, 1990 was defined as base year.
278
Converging Objectives, Diverging Results?
ministerial working group CO2 reduction) as the core of the German climate
change strategy.
Thus, Germany adopted the most ambitious national target. On the one hand,
the Kohl government wanted internationally to keep pace with other leader
countries in the climate change process. Domestically, the climate issue and
the German front runner role was perceived as a promising issue in the elec-
tion campaign as the climate change threat gained a lot of public attention.
Behind the doors the 25% goal wasnt unanimously shared. Whereas the min-
istry for the Environment pushed for this political target and the measures to
achieve it, the Ministry of Economics was more reluctant to a binding quota
for emission reductions and stressed the costs and prospective losses in na-
tional competitiveness and growth. These conflicts over goals are perceived to
be responsible for the weakness of the first CO2-reduction program presented
by the inter-ministerial working group in November 1990. It was criticised for
failing with respect to concrete measures compared with e.g. the action pro-
gram recommended by the Enquete Commission (Wille 1990). Consequently,
the Government reduced its level of national ambitions due to these conflicts.
In a Cabinets Resolution from December 1991, the target was confirmed but
now related to the whole area, the older and the new Bundeslnder, i.e. the
former GDR (Loske 1996:285). Herewith, the case of Germany already indicates
that the level of domestic policy ambition not necessarily corresponds to an
equally high level of national implementation due to conflicting goals and
ambitions. Obviously, those who advocate more ambitious policies have ad-
vantages to push them domestically through when internationally the issue
ranks very prominently. Yet, the facilitating function of those international
stimuli seems to be restricted to the formulation of goals, the decision on
concrete policies is framed more by the domestic constellation of interests.
However, the very clear signal to set this ambitious target given by Chancellor
Kohl and its Cabinet in June 1990 has been characterized apart from the
Dutch and Danish front runner ambitions and efforts as one central driver for
the EU council decision at the end of October 1990 to formulate the common
stabilisation target of CO2 by 2000 at the level of 1990 (Loske 1996).
At first glance, the German goal looked feasible given the decline in emissions
by 15% in 2000 compared to 1990, i.e. after two thirds time until 2005 (Fig. 5).
But the reduction rates have slowed down remarkably after the first three
years following re-unification. Germanys CO2 balance benefited enormously
from the decline of the socialist system resulting in economic structural
279
Kerstin Tews Manfred Binder
change in the new Bundeslnder, which had not even been analysed by the
Enquete Commission in calculating a reasonable national target.
800000
In October 2003, the German Government took leave of the national CO2-
reduction goal. The red-green government was forced by opposition parlia-
mentarians by the means of a kleine Anfrage (Drs. 15/1542) to officially an-
nounce the abolishment of the 25% reduction goal. Already in June 2003, par-
liamentarians from CDU/CSU complained that the red-green government had
tacitly taken leave of the national CO2-reduction target and oriented itself at
the much less ambitious obligation under the European burden-sharing. Yet,
the goal defined by the Kohl-government in 1990 had been frequently con-
firmed by the red-green government not only in the coalition agreement of
1998 and 2002 but also in the national climate change programme of 2000.
The abolishment of the target did not gain a lot attention in the public.
Hardly a handful of newspapers most from the more leftist spectrum men-
tioned it with some critical comments (e.g. Frankfurter Rundschau, TAZ,
Neues Deutschland). In contrast, scientists had warned that the measures un-
dertaken so far, will not suffice to meet the goal (Ziesing 2002).
280
Converging Objectives, Diverging Results?
United Kingdom
In contrast to most other countries the United Kingdom successively sharp-
ened its national reduction target. Already in Mai 1990, Premier Thatcher
announced the target to stabilise CO2-emissions at the 1990 level by the year
2005 (Michaelowa 2000). Before the Rio-conference in April 1992, the govern-
ment brought forward its previous target and, provided other countries took
similar action, set itself the target of returning CO2 emissions to 1990 levels by
2000 (IEA 1992: 112).
500000
In 1995 new emission projections allowed for a more stringent target to reduce
CO2-emissions of about 4-8% by 2000, which was essentially again a stabilisa-
tion target, now for the second half of the decade. In 1997 the new Prime Min-
ister Tony Blair announced a new national target to reduce CO2-emissions by
20% in 2010 compared to 1990 levels, reflecting the decreasing trend which
had started five years before (Fig. 6). Nevertheless, the targets accepted in
Kyoto (92%) and in the following year with the EU burden sharing scheme
(87,5%) were much more cautious than the voluntary goal and were already
met two years later. The government claims, that the unilateral domestic tar-
281
Kerstin Tews Manfred Binder
get is far from being only a reflection of the expected reductions by the busi-
ness as usual development, but instead an ambitious target as it corresponds
to a higher than expected reduction, which is estimated at 15.3% in 2010 (UK
Draft National Allocation Plan).9
Yet, the main reason for the decline so far has been the dash for gas, i.e. the
switch from coal to less carbon-intensive natural gas as fuel in the production
of electricity: This was not a result of unexceptionally ambitious climate
change policies, but of the privatisation and de-regulation of the energy in-
dustries, which were done for other reasons, and the easy availability of natu-
ral gas from the North Sea.
Sweden
In its Government Bill on the Swedish Climate Strategy, adopted in 2001, the
government claims Sweden is a pioneer in the field of climate policy. A Cli-
mate Strategy was already formulated in the energy and climate policy resolu-
tion in 1991. Also in that year, Sweden introduced the worlds first really effec-
tive carbon dioxide tax (Summary Gov. Bill 2001/02:55: 16)10. However, it was
not until the Swedish Riksdag ratified the Climate Convention in 1993 that a
Government Bill on Actions to limit Climate Change set a national CO2-
stabilisation target (1990-2000) (First NC 1994). In contrast to most of the other
countries, policy measures as for example the CO2-tax had been adopted be-
fore national emission reduction targets were proclaimed.
The first National Communication to the UNFCCC strongly focussed on in-
ternational measures to cope with goal achievement: In Sweden marginal cost
for further reduction of carbon dioxide emissions is high, compared to most
OECD countries. As part of our national programme we have taken initiatives
in the Baltic countries and Eastern Europe in order to finance measures in the
field of renewable energy, energy management and certain supportive meas-
ures. The possibilities for joint implementation or similar policy measures are
9
The latest provisional projections of UK CO2 emissions suggest that, taking into
account the impact of the measures set out in the UK Climate Change Programme
which have already been implemented or for which firm plans are already in place
(referred to as the with CCP projections), total UK emissions of CO2 in 2010 will be
around 512.4 Mt CO2 (139.75 MtC) (a reduction of 15.3% from 1990 levels). (UK
DRAFT NATIONAL ALLOCATION PLAN FOR 2005-2007, January 2004, page 4).
10
Finland was the first country to introduce a carbon tax in 1989. Norway and Sweden
both adopted energy/carbon taxes in 1991.
282
Converging Objectives, Diverging Results?
of great importance for Sweden (1. NC 1994: 11). Within the EU-burden-
sharing to implement the Kyoto-commitment Sweden committed to prevent
greenhouse gas emissions from exceeding 1990 levels by more than 4%. A
parliamentary commission for measures against climate change, appointed by
the government in May 1998, proposed a draft Swedish Climate Strategy in
2000 aiming at a reduction of greenhouse gas emission by the year 2010 by
2%. This target should be realised domestically for example by additional
energy taxation measures. Another parliamentary commission established at
the same time was charged with examining the potential application of the
Kyoto mechanisms in Sweden. This commission came to quite contrary con-
clusions culminating in the recommendation to replace the current carbon
taxation system entirely with an emission trading scheme integrated with
those of other countries. (for more details see: Hodes & Johnson Francis X
2002).
Among the rather late adopters of a stabilisation goal, Sweden (Fig. 7) showed
even 6% lower CO2 emission levels in 2000 than in 1990. In November 2001,
the Swedish government presented the Government Bill of The Swedish Cli-
mate Strategy based on recommendations of the Climate Change Commis-
283
Kerstin Tews Manfred Binder
11
This argumentation reflects the classical argument that unilateral action to address
a problem of common goods would reduce marginal benefits of actions of the oth-
ers or in other words induce free rider behaviour (see for example Hoel 1991;
Hill & Kristrm 2002a).
284
Converging Objectives, Diverging Results?
Canada
Canada was an early pusher for a multilateral management of the climate
change issue. While Canadian scientific research in atmospheric issues in-
cluding global warming had developed rapidly since the 1950s, their warnings
and recommendations gained only little public and political interest at the
domestic level until the late 1970s. In contrast, Canadian scientists or scientifi-
cally trained officials were active in pushing WMO activities to advance the
climate change agenda internationally e.g. as organizers of the First World
Climate Conference in Geneva 1979 convened by the WMO and as chair of the
subsequent Villach Conference in 1980. Governmental bodies were also in-
volved in these initial efforts as for example the Atmospheric Environment
Service (AES) as a part of the environment ministry headed by an assistant
deputy minister responsible for all research concerning atmospheric issues.
Following a suggestion of the AES, in the mid-1980s the Canadian Environ-
ment Minister announced to host a major conference on global atmospheric
change. The Toronto Conference which took place in June 1988 originally
intended to consider several forms of atmospheric change but became domi-
nated by the climate change issue, mainly due to the situational factor of an
extreme drought and heat wave at the North American continent in this
summer. Though not an official international conference, additionally to sci-
entists and NGOs also representatives of about a dozen governments attended.
The signal effect of the target recommended in the final conference statement
have been already mentioned. In Canada, it marked a starting point of increas-
ing political attention. In late 1988, the energy minister formed a task force to
review the Toronto target and commissioned a study to assess the cost of
meeting it. While a preliminary draft of this study suggested that the Toronto
target would be achievable even with net savings, the revised official study
later found substantial costs (Parson et al. 2001:242). By pointing to the costs
estimated in the revised study, Canada at that time deferred to adopt a na-
tional reduction target. Only a couple of months later the Canadian environ-
ment minister announced at the Bergen conference in May 1990 that Canada
would stabilize CO2 emissions by 2000 at current levels.
According to observers, this announcement was made in order to destroy ru-
mours that Canada would support the US position in opposing the European
fixed target and timetable approach (Parson et al. 2001: 246). The subsequent
environment minister had to develop a more sophisticated position during
intense and conflictual consultations and a draft of the National Action Strat-
285
Kerstin Tews Manfred Binder
286
Converging Objectives, Diverging Results?
Japan
Japan was a latecomer in addressing global environmental risk. This seems to
be quite surprising as Japan was one of the most successful countries imple-
menting air pollution control measures and improving energy efficiency
(Schreurs 2001). It was not until the late 1980s that the global risk of climate
change gained more attention among Japanese scientists, the NGO commu-
nity and politicians. In most of the other countries non-state actors as scien-
tists and NGOs were the main actors in pushing for political responses to the
growing threat of climate change. Not so in Japan. In part this is explained by
the overwhelming improvements in the quality of the environment pressured
by citizen organisations, and local governments which were achieved by the
national government in the 1970s and 1980s. Yet, the globalization of these
transboundary environmental issues reanimated Japanese environment
movement and stimulated politicians to respond not only for environmental
reasons. The greening of politicians was mainly forced by political considera-
tions that global environmental issues might become the suitable area to play
a more active role in international relations (Schreurs 2001: 201).
Consequently, a domestic system was gradually established: in May 1989, the
Council of Ministers for Global Environment Conservation was established. In
July 1989, the Director General of the Environment Agency was appointed by
the Prime Minister as minister in charge of global environmental issues
against strong opposition of the Ministry for International Trade and Industry
and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
The Noordwijk ministerial conference in 1989, where Japan still resisted an
international CO2 stabilization target together with the USA, the Soviet Union
and China, introduced the plan for a second World Climate Conference to be
held on October 1990 in Geneva. It was quite clear that Japan had to present a
kind of plan how to deal with climate change. The domestic debate on re-
sponse options was mainly shaped by the Ministry of International Trade and
Industry (MITI) and the Environment Agency. Whereas the latter backed the
idea of a stabilisation target, as it was demanded by the EU, the former re-
jected such a fixed short term target for economic considerations and for con-
cerns related to the divergent positions regarding the stabilisation target be-
tween the EU and the USA. Yet, the compromise between the divergent posi-
tions within Japanese government became possible only because the Envi-
ronment Agency was supported by other important ministries as for example
the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the governing party. The Liberal Democ-
287
Kerstin Tews Manfred Binder
94
1000000
800000
400000 SF6
PFC
HFC
200000 N2O
CH4
CO2
0 0 0 KYOTO-goal
0 0 0 * TOTAL
0 0 base
0 year
0 0
base year 1995 2000 EC commitment * TOTAL
2005 base year
2010
designed by Manfred Binder (FFU) TOTAL
In following the successful course of action of the 1970 air pollution policies
which made Japan the worlds most energy efficient country and leading pro-
ducer of pollution control technology, the government defined the climate
change challenge mainly as one of technology development. It began to dem-
onstrate internationally the desire to become a leader in technology efforts to
288
Converging Objectives, Diverging Results?
address global warming. Yet, it became clear that even with its strong techno-
logical capabilities emissions would rise and it would be difficult to meet the
domestic stabilisation target. Thus, in its first Communication to the
UNFCCC the Environment Agency stated that the second part of the domestic
target the stabilisation of total amount of CO2 would require additional
measures. The in-depth-review of the first communication even stated that
Japan would have problems to even meet the per capita stabilisation target.
Nevertheless, Japan did not officially abolish its target, although the problems
to meet it were repeatedly mentioned and emissions proceeded to grow (Fig. 9).
Australia
Australia adopted a national interim planning target on 11 October in 1990,
just before the second World Climate Conference (29.10.-07.11.1990). This tar-
get committed the government to stabilise Greenhouse gas emission to 1988
levels by 2000 and to reduce these emissions by 20% until 2005. Yet, the target
was added by the caveat that no measures will be adopted which have negative
impacts on national competitiveness (IEA 1992: 37). This policy caveat reflects
contradictory policy goals already obvious at that time. In the early 1980s
shortly before Australian scientists gained more public and political attention
for their warnings concerning climate change and issue related institutions
were set up at state and federal government level large state government
investments in coal power plants contributed e.g. to a more than four-fold
increase in aluminium production (Hoerner & Muller 1996).
Australia with its very energy intensive economy and being the worlds largest
exporter of coal and third largest of aluminium seemed to be a very unlikely
early adopter of ambitious national reduction targets. However, it did due to
the international momentum combined with increased credibility of concerns
expressed by the domestic scientific and NGO-community (Bulkeley 2000: 38).
Nevertheless, government failed to implement measures foreseen in the Na-
tional Greenhouse Response strategy (1992). In 1994 it became clear that Aus-
tralia would not achieve any national or international commitments publicly
made12. Thus, the Federal Government adopted a more hesitant and cautious
attitude in the international negotiation process and aligned itself with the
JUSCAANZ group, opposing further domestic commitments (Taplin & Yu X.
2000). At the domestic level in 1996 a new government took power, which
12
Critical discussion on reasons for failure see Hamilton 2000a; Diesendorf 2000.
289
Kerstin Tews Manfred Binder
300000
Goals set in 1990:
GHG 2000 = GHG 1988
GHG 2005 = GHG 1988 minus 20%
200000
124 126 127 129
120
112 115
101 102 103 105 108 SF6
100
PFC
100000 HFC
N2O
CH4
CO2
0 0 0 KYOTO-goal
0 0 0 * TOTAL
0 0 base
0 year
0 0
base year 1995 2000 EC commitment * TOTAL
2005 base year
2010
designed by Manfred Binder (FFU) TOTAL
New Zealand
New Zealands climate policy formation process started in 1988 with the estab-
lishment of New Zealands Climate Change Program a framework compris-
ing four expert working groups (facts on climate change, impacts, policy re-
sponse and Maori matters) coordinated by the visionary and entrepreneurial
Environmental Minister, Geoffrey Palmer. Climate awareness was mainly
pushed by New Zealands scientific community which was strongly cooperat-
ing with Australian scientists (Basher 2000; Hamilton 2000b). On the other
290
Converging Objectives, Diverging Results?
13
Not at least influenced by the indigenous Maori having close linkages to the South
Pacific neighbours making New Zealand sensitive against the concerns of the
Small Island States (Basher 2000:136) .
291
Kerstin Tews Manfred Binder
50000
108
Goal set in 1990:
108
106 CO2 2005 = CO2 1990 minus 20%
102 104
103 103 Goal set in 1993 (tacitly abolished 1994-97):
40000 98 100 101 102
100 100 CO2 2000 = CO2 1990 (maybe minus 20%)
30000
20000
131 134
119 120 122 SF6
109 107 107 107 111 114
100 102
PFC
10000 HFC
N2O
CH4
0 0 0
CO2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
KYOTO-goal * TOTAL base year
base year 1995 2000 2005
EC commitment * TOTAL2010
base year
designed by Manfred Binder (FFU) TOTAL
Among the countries which have tried to meet the Toronto goal of a 20% de-
crease in CO2 emissions by 2005, New Zealand (Fig. 11) fared worst with a 22%
increase by 2000 and no change in trend in sight. A target restricted on CO2
emissions does not make much sense in New Zealand anyhow, because it is
the only country where CO2 is responsible for less than half of total GHG
emissions.
One of the core problem as stated by scientists, that the response options of
increased energy efficiencies and renewable technology remain fundamen-
tally restrained by an overall pricing system which makes nearly all forms of
292
Converging Objectives, Diverging Results?
293
Kerstin Tews Manfred Binder
mate policy it should advocate. In 1991 the DOJ presented the Comprehensive
Approach to Addressing Potential Climate Change. Specific features of this
approach were that no specific policy actions were recommended, instead a
bottom-up approach of no regret measures was proposed, what was in conflict
with the approach chosen by most of the other countries (top-down in favour
of targets and timetables); all greenhouse gases and all sources and sinks had
to be considered when deciding policies; and the idea of establishing a trad-
able permit market to achieve lower cost emission reductions was promoted
(Fisher-Vanden 1997). This approach to refuse any commitment to specific
targets and timetables became the official American position at negotiations
for the Climate Convention.
2000000 SF6
PFC
HFC
1000000 N2O
CH4
CO2
0 0 0 KYOTO-goal
0 0 0 * TOTAL
0 0 base
0 year
0 0
base year 1995 2000 EC commitment * TOTAL
2005 base year
2010
designed by Manfred Binder (FFU) TOTAL
Although concerned as well about the political and economic cost, the Clinton
administration was more ambitious with reducing emissions domestically.
Yet, it was concerned about the political willingness to commit to actions.
Shortly after taking office, Clinton proposed an energy tax (BTU-tax) to find
synergies between his own policy goal to reduce federal deficit and Vice presi-
dent Gores environment agenda. It was perceived as a kind of testing the pub-
lics willingness to bear climate actions (Fisher-Vanden 1997). According to
294
Converging Objectives, Diverging Results?
some observers they failed, mainly due to the concessions they made too early
to the opposing business, which did not soften the political restrictions to
adopt the tax, but instead made business lobbying even more demanding and
aggressive. Political mismanagement to mobilize a supportive actor coalition
both among pro-environmental senators and the environmental NGOs may
have caused the failure of this proposal (Hoerner & Muller 1996). Further-
more, a political climate characterised by the publics animosity against state
intervention and taxes in general has hampered fiscal measures like that
(Fisher-Vanden 1997).
In 1993, the Clinton Administration adopted its Climate Change Action Plan
and submitted it as required under the UNFCCC (article 4) to the secretariat. It
mainly contained the extension of existing programs and voluntary measures
undertaken by US business. The plan aimed at stabilizing GHG emissions at
1990 levels by 2000 and the US claim to achieve its target for the year 2000
with domestic measures alone, but has not excluded the possibility that some
joint implementation projects could be considered in meeting the domestic
commitments if it later appears that the target will not be met. (IEA 2004: 175).
The climate change issue disappeared quite quickly from the political agenda.
It began to peak again as the climate regime approached the negotiations for a
binding protocol. Due to concessions mainly made by the EU concerning
the incorporation of six (instead of three) greenhouse gases, the inclusion of
sinks, the use of multi-year instead of single-year targets, the incorporation of
the flexible mechanisms and the EUs renunciation to cap the use of them
enabled the US previously strongly opposing to binding targets and timeta-
bles to sign the protocol and commit to cut emissions by 7%. The US are
perceived to be the most decisive player in shaping the protocol (Agrawala &
Andresen 2001; Hovi et al. 2003). Yet, in 2001 President Bush Jr., who in the
election campaign in September 2000 still tried to outgun his environmental
opponent Gore with the announcement that he would regulate carbon dioxide
instead of only proposing voluntary measures, rejected a ratification of the
Kyoto Protocol with the statement that he would not accept any plan that will
harm the national economy and workers welfare.14 During all these debates in
the 1990s, emissions have risen continually (Fig. 12), GHG by 13% and CO2 by
16% until 2002. If the USA would ratify the Kyoto protocol now and would try
14
For some comprehensive analyses on US climate policy evolution see Agrawala &
Andresen 2001, Fisher-Vanden 1997, Clark & Dickson 2001.
295
Kerstin Tews Manfred Binder
3 Conclusion
The first round of medium-term targets in climate change policy was perfectly
voluntary but still comprehensive: Almost all industrial countries set one or
more targets for national CO2 or GHG emission levels in 2000-2005 during
the first half of the 1990s. But this first round ended with many misses15, often
by a wide margin, and only a few hits, which were probably all by chance:
Hardly a country showed a change in its emission trend which seems to be
due to successful climate change policies. In many countries, trends were
worse than expected in business-as-usual scenarios before, since the decreases
in emission intensities (emissions per unit of GDP) as results of (among oth-
ers) the oil crises and the growth of nuclear power in some countries during
the 1980s slowed down substantially in the 1990s (IEA 2004).
How is this total failure to achieve the self-imposed goals to be understood in
terms of their effectiveness and what lessons can be drawn for the target-
setting process in the future?
The use of goals in public discourses may serve quite distinct purposes. First
and foremost goals set signals. Yet these signals can be instrumental or sym-
bolic. On the one hand, goals are instruments to induce awareness, learning
and guide policy development to manage the problem at hand. On the other
hand, goals are symbols for the adopting actors to gain very distinct resources
soft resources which might be decisive especially in competitive situations.
The announcement of goals often aims at gaining both political legitimacy
within ones own society and reputation within the international community
of states.
Concerning their function as instruments in environmental governance we
defined three effectiveness criteria or functions of goals: Environmental effec-
15
The targets of the second round of medium-term goals were negotiated in Kyoto
and subsequently in the EU. They do not seem to fare better: The USA and Australia
have already officially abandoned their goals and will not ratify the Kyoto protocol, a
lot of other countries plan to fulfil their Kyoto commitments by the so-called flexi-
ble mechanisms, i.e. by helping or recompensing other countries for over-
achievements instead of achieving the national target on their own territory.
296
Converging Objectives, Diverging Results?
297
Kerstin Tews Manfred Binder
16
Young made a distinction between structural, entrepreneurial and intellectual lead-
ership all refer to the international regime formation process but base on distinct
sources: power for structural leadership, diplomatic skills as a broker for entrepre-
neurial leadership and the production and use of innovative ideas for intellectual
leadership.
17
Both of the other terms come quite close to our notion of national pioneer policy.
From a common understanding, a pioneer is someone who paves the way and pre-
pares others to follow. Therefore, we build the pioneer concept on two pillars: a)
The capacity to produce innovative policies how to deal with a problem, and b) the
capability to stimulate others to follow.
298
Converging Objectives, Diverging Results?
reached its domestic target. However, this is not the point which raises the
most concerns. Instead, the respectability of targets as policy instruments
might become questionable due to the fact that only very few countries did
actively reflect that their targets set at the beginning of the 1990s were far from
being realistic in later stages of the issue evolution. Issues like cost effective-
ness entered the public debate on climate change policies and dominated the
discussion on feasibility assessments, but the targets stayed untouched and
partly unconsidered in these debates. Most of the countries tacitly substituted
their national target by the sometimes less ambitious Kyoto commitments.
Only few governments openly reflected over prospective or factual non-
achievement of their own ambitions, as for example Japan or the Netherlands.
The stickiness of goals is a well-known empirical phenomenon reflected in
theories of learning (Levy et al. 2001) but, a stickiness of policy goals might
seriously threat the image of these instruments and the image of those adopt-
ing these instruments. When goals are not adjusted in the light of new knowl-
edge which will probably occur when new actors start to shape the problem
definition (one of the effectiveness criteria) they will not contribute any
longer to a better risk management. As Martin Jnicke puts it: The approach
of a target-oriented policy allows for target deviation, yet it requires the disclo-
sure of reasons for deviation. (Jnicke 2003, authors translation into English).
Yet, forgetting about the own ambitions sets new signals which do threat the
overall credibility of environmental targets as policy instruments.
In sum, domestic emission targets did play a role in an issue area with global
dimensions. Their effects in stimulating countries to keep pace are obvious, at
least in stimulating countries to set national emission targets themselves.
However, in the current phase of the evolvement of the climate change issue,
domestic targets might stimulate others both within and beyond national
jurisdiction to follow only when a certain degree of environmental effective-
ness proves the credibility of the ambitions of nation states.
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302
Ecological Tax Reform An environmental
policy innovation in an international comparison
LUTZ MEZ
Abstract
The term ecological tax reform (ETR) has been applied to various concepts
which range from individual green taxes or levies to revenue-neutral tax re-
form, where green tax revenues are reducing other taxes. The article analyses
and evaluates the implementation process of the German ETR in a compara-
tive perspective.
After the EU commission's proposal for the introduction of a Union-wide
CO2/energy tax failed at the beginning of the 1990s, Denmark and the Nether-
lands implemented its own national ETR, as Sweden had done before them.
Germany followed in 1999.
This article outlines the progress of the debate on the internalisation of exter-
nal costs by means of ecology taxes and levies. It also traces the emergence of
the first concepts of ETR and describes different forms of ETR, with reference
to the respective concepts and development patterns of the Swedish, Danish
and Dutch ETRs. It concludes with an overview of institutional and instru-
mental innovations that go into, as well as the constitutive elements of ETR.
1 Introduction
Since the late 1970s, the term ecological tax reform (ETR) has been applied to
various concepts of significantly differing content. These range from the in-
troduction of individual green taxes or levies to revenue-neutral tax reform, in
which green tax revenues are used to reduce other taxes.
On 1 April, 1999, the first stage of Germany's ecological tax reform came into
force. This marked the end of a two-decade-long theoretical debate over green
303
Lutz Mez
taxes and the beginning of the practical phase. The further stages of the ETR
have meanwhile taken shape, placing Germany among a group of several
European countries which have undertaken tax reforms of this kind.
After EU member states failed to reach consensus on the EU commission's
proposal for the introduction of a Union-wide CO2/energy tax at the begin-
ning of the 1990s, Denmark and the Netherlands each independently passed
and put into effect its own national ETR, as Sweden had done before them.
Germany's ETR is thus not a novelty, but rather fits within an international
context. This affords the opportunity to analyse and evaluate the implementa-
tion process of the German ETR.
In this comparison there are a number of aspects of ETR that are of interest
from a political science perspective. One is the suitability of ETR as an alterna-
tive for financing public expenditures and easing employment problems in
industrial societies. Another is the potential of ETR to enhance the future
viability of modern industrial societies by markedly reducing environmental
consumption and the use of scarce resources. Further, an international com-
parison sheds light on the constitutive elements of ETR, the extent and role of
institutional and instrumental innovations, and the degree to which regula-
tory complexes and the implementation process themselves can be under-
stood as institutional arrangements.
This paper outlines the progress of the debate, driven primarily by environ-
mental economists, on the internalisation of external costs by means of ecol-
ogy taxes and levies. It also traces the emergence of the first concepts of ETR.
A description follows of different forms of ETR, with reference to the respec-
tive concepts and development patterns of the Swedish, Danish and Dutch
ETRs. Ecological tax reform in Germany was almost twenty years in the mak-
ing. This process and its phases are analysed and assessed here with a view to
the roles of the various parties involved. The paper concludes with an overview
of the institutional and instrumental innovations that go into, as well as the
constitutive elements of ETR.
304
Ecological Tax Reform
ment, above all in industrial nations. Up to now, public goods have been used
largely free of charge. Counter to the principle that the party responsible be
liable for the damage, the costs of environmental destruction are generally not
borne by the party causing it. Since Arthur Pigou explored this problem in
"The Economics of Welfare" (1920), various economists have pursued the idea
of the internalisation of external costs that is, accounting for environmental
consumption in prices by means of taxes or levies, so that prices are ecologi-
cally "honest".
The Swiss economists Binswanger, Geissberger and Ginsburg (1979) in the
1970s were the first to develop the concept of ETR, proposing on the one hand
that environmental consumption be made more expensive through levies and
taxes and, on the other, that the increased revenues go to job creation.
Since the 1960s, all of the world's industrial nations have experienced a con-
tinual rise in labour costs, including employment-related taxes, while the cost
of materials and resources has fallen. This has led to companies rationalising
in the area of labour and looking to technical advances to realise savings in the
areas of materials and resources. The new paradigm of protecting the envi-
ronment through energy and green taxes and charting and financing a
course of sustainable development gained momentum internationally in the
mid-1980s. This came about even though oil prices, which began to fall in
1985, and the monopoly-like structures of the energy sector hardly offered
incentive to conserve energy.
The concept of ETR attacks the dilemma at its root. Taxes and levies on re-
source and energy use, as well as on other ecologically damaging patterns of
production and consumption, are introduced in stages. The additional reve-
nue goes first to reducing social security contributions or income taxes. Link-
ing environmental protection and employment incentives in this way, so that
both benefit simultaneously from the change in the tax regime, is referred to
as a double dividend. The pioneering ETR countries have translated this into
practice.
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Lutz Mez
ployment was reduced so dramatically that the labour policies of these coun-
tries have come to be regarded as a "job miracle". For this reason, in the fol-
lowing the most important basic conditions for and experience with the in-
troduction and execution of ETR in these three countries will be outlined.
Sweden was the first country to implement an ETR designed to transfer taxes
on labour to energy and environmental consumption. In the general tax re-
form of 1991, new energy taxes were introduced and income taxes simultane-
ously lowered by 30%-50%. Since then all energy sources have been subject to
the normal value added tax rate, a CO2/energy tax and an SO2 tax. Since 1992,
an NOx tax has additionally been levied against large emitters. This first stage
of the tax reform brought about a shift in taxation from labour to ecology
amounting to 4% of the gross domestic product.
Initially, the CO2/energy tax applied equally to households and industry. The
tax rate was set at 250 SEK (28.12 ) per metric ton of CO2 for the first year.
Fuel burned for energy generation as well as biofuels were exempt from the
tax. Combined heat and power (CHP) was given favourable tax conditions and
a kilowatt-hour of electricity was taxed according to the general energy tax
rate. Special regulations were put in effect for a total of 112 energy-intensive
companies.
Prompted by a national economic recession and the failure of the EU to intro-
duce its planned CO2/energy tax, in 1993 Sweden significantly reduced energy
taxes for industry as a whole. The rates for households, however, were raised
to 320 SEK (35.79 ) per metric ton of CO2. In 1995 the rate of the CO2 tax was
tied to the inflation rate. Revenues increased from 8.1 billion SEK in 1991 to 11
billion SEK ( 1.23 billion) in 1995. The government and the Green Tax Com-
mission intend to significantly raise the industry tax rate again, which would
increase tax revenues by 500 million SEK ( 56.24 million) annually. Agree-
ment was reached in 1998 to raise the CO2/energy tax in future faster than the
rate of inflation.
In 1996 revenues from the green tax totalled 52.8 billion SEK ( 5.93 billion).
Energy taxes represent 46 billion SEK ( 5.16 billion), or over 87%, of this
amount.
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Ecological Tax Reform
A total of 260 companies in the mineral oil sector are subject to the SO2 tax,
which brings in annual revenues of 200 million SEK ( 22.5 million). Within
just two years, the sulphur content in fuels sank by approx. 40% and emissions
declined by almost 30% from 1989 to 1995.
The operators of fossil fuels-burning power plants pay a nitric oxide tax, the
revenues of which are returned to these companies according to their share of
total electricity generation. This brought about a reduction of specific NOx
emissions from 159 to 103 milligrams per megajoule in the first two years. By
1997 NOx emissions had fallen by 50%.
Sweden has been a pioneer of ETR in regard to other environmental levies as
well. These include a scrapping fee on automobiles, an ecologically friendly
motor vehicle tax, green taxes for domestic flights, a water pollution tax, a tax
on gravel and differentiated waste collection fees, as well as deposits and taxes
on beverage and other product packaging and tires. The implementation of
the ETR met with relatively little resistance, as the new CO2/energy tax was
integrated in a comprehensive tax reform. This "package solution" prevented
opponents of the reform from attacking specific aspects of the CO2/energy tax.
The SO2 tax and NOx tax have had a considerable steering effect. With the new
integrated environmental law passed by the cabinet in 1998 and in force since
1 January, 1999, the regulatory framework for environmental protection in
Sweden has been significantly expanded through over twenty new ordinances.
For example, as a complement to the fiscal instruments, air quality standards
with regard to NOx and SO2 have been established by ordinance.
The package solution of the Swedish ETR can be viewed as an instrumental
innovation. The clear reduction of traditional emissions such as SO2 and NOx
through taxes and levies, as well as the subsequent fixing of this success in
regulation are further noteworthy.
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Lutz Mez
308
Ecological Tax Reform
subsidies. The subsidy programmes expired in 2000, from which time the CO2
tax revenues have been used exclusively to reduce additional wage costs. Reve-
nues from the CO2 tax grew from 1.5 billion DKK ( 200 million) in 1992 to 4.7
billion DKK ( 620 million) in 2000.
Further subsidy regulations are in place for district heat, decentralised CHP
plants, biofuels and energy conservation. Conservation and information cam-
paigns complement the taxation of energy. In the period from 1994 to 1997, for
example, the market share of energy-saving refrigerators was raised from 42%
to 90% as a result of labelling, continuing training of sales personnel, regional
energy conservation campaigns and a scrapping fee on used appliances
(Jnicke et al. 1998).
Not only is the proactive approach of the political administrative system, but
also the intelligent steering of industrial interests in the direction of energy
management and conservation responsible for the successful execution of the
Danish ETR.
The ecological benefits are visible in the decreased end energy consumption
and even the electricity use in private households, in the development of CHP
and the substitution of coal by natural gas. Additionally, the proportion of
renewable energy sources in primary energy consumption and electricity gen-
eration increased. In industry the CO2 tax has had a significant influence on
decision-making processes and investments in energy conservation (Clasen
1998). The relatively high taxes on energy for space-heating needs have
spurred considerable investment in the reduction of energy use in this area.
Significantly reduced amortisation periods for energy-intensive processes
have played an important role in agreements leading to a tax rate reduction
and financial incentives for investments in conservation. The co-operative
relationship between companies and government authorities has proved an
important condition for success in this regard. State capacities have been ex-
panded considerably through the establishment of corresponding depart-
ments in the national energy ministry and the Danish energy authority.
Denmark serves as an example of how, in addition to the kind of instrumental
innovations carried out in Sweden, institutional innovations in the implemen-
tation process of the ETR play a significant role, and of how negotiations with
industry can spur innovation there, too.
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Lutz Mez
In the Netherlands, a total of 27 tax and fiscal policy measures in the environ-
mental area were introduced or modified in the period from 1994 to 1998.
Accordingly, green tax revenues increased from 16 billion NLG ( 7.21 billion)
to 24 billion NLG ( 10.84 billion), or 14% of total tax revenues. Energy and
CO2 are taxed in the form of
an ecology tax on fuels and
a regulatory energy tax on electricity, gas and heating oil.
The Dutch ecology tax was introduced in 1988 and replaced various fuel taxes on
emissions, lubricating grease and chemical waste. The new green tax was ap-
plied in equal part to the CO2 and energy content of fuels and was continually
raised. In 1992 the green tax was reformed, rates were raised considerably and
the tax was extended to cover solid waste, ground water and uranium. Revenues
rose from 200 million NLG in 1988 to 2.1 billion NLG ( 0.95 billion) in 1994.
In lieu of the anticipated EU-wide CO2/energy tax, the regulatory energy tax
was introduced in 1996. The tax on gas, electricity and heating oil was in-
creased step by step, whereas small private users and large industrial users
were exempted in the beginning. Annual electricity use of between 800 and
50,000 kWh, as well as annual natural gas consumption between 800 and
170,000 m was taxed. The large consumers were charged a symbolic tax since
1999 and the small consumers are fully included since 2001. In 2000 the rate
per metric ton of CO2 was 66 NLG (approx. 30.68 ). Owners of renewable
power plants are refunded the tax. District heat and gas used in power genera-
tion are also exempt from the energy tax. Due to these special conditions, just
40% of stationary energy use is taxed. Additionally, voluntary agreements on
energy conservation are reached in the industrial sector.
The express aim of the energy tax is a change in consumer behaviour. The
energy tax revenues are returned to households by means of an income tax
reduction and to companies via lower national insurance contributions.
Alongside the energy taxes, the Dutch government levies taxes on uranium,
ground water removal and solid waste. Ecological investments have been eli-
gible for shortened depreciation since 1991. In 1997, for example, over 1 billion
NLG was immediately written off. Further ecology taxes and levies were pro-
posed by the Dutch Green Tax Commission, including a land-use tax (Dutch
Green Tax Commission 1998: 15f).
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Ecological Tax Reform
Further steps toward a more ecologically sound tax system are outlined in the
Dutch "3rd National Environmental Policy Plan (NEPP3)", which incorporates
the recommendations of the Green Tax Commission:
As of 1 January, 1999, all ecology taxes are tied to the inflation rate.
The regulatory energy tax is to be raised by 3.4 billion NLG ( 1.53 billion).
Of this amount, 500 million NLG ( 225.48 million) is to go to incentive
programmes for renewable energy sources and energy conservation pro-
grammes, and the remainder to the reduction of other taxes.
The Dutch ETR is noteworthy for the requirements it places on the key play-
ers in climate policy, whereby government regulation relies on mechanisms of
consensus. It is also remarkable for its extensive special conditions, which are
motivated on the one hand by social, and on the other hand by industrial pol-
icy. Nonetheless, considerable ecological benefits are apparent. There is, for
example, in addition to the national environmental plans, a CO2-reduction
plan (presented by the economic minister and parliament in April, 1997), as
well as so-called environmental action plans in industry. The environmental
policy goals of industry are additionally fixed in agreements (covenants)
among business associations. While these require government agreement,
they have led to considerable innovation in, for example, the energy sector.
The competition-neutral form of the tax, its revenue-neutrality and the link-
ing of the ETR to a broader social policy agenda all have contributed to in-
creased public acceptance and decreased industrial resistance in the Nether-
lands. Professional process assistance and a long tradition of agreements with
industry facilitate the implementation of the ETR in this area. Given the coun-
try's size, the amount of support for renewable energy sources and energy
conservation programmes is remarkable.
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313
Lutz Mez
to increase the value added tax on energy. The CDU/CSU faction, however,
agreed on the goal of an internationally co-ordinated, harmonised, competi-
tion- and revenue-neutral energy tax. For the Greens, the main election cam-
paign issue, apart from the phasing-out of nuclear power generation, was the
implementation of an ecologically and socially motivated tax reform. Although
the SPD acknowledged the aims of an ETR in its campaign programme, its
statements on the issue were very reserved.
In their coalition pact of 20 October, 1998, the SPD and the Green Party agreed
on an ecological tax reform that was to be implemented in three steps. The
mineral oil tax on heating oil and natural gas was to be increased in a series of
steps and a tax on electricity introduced. The total revenues were to be used to
reduce additional wage costs. Renewable energy sources were to be exempt
from the tax on electricity and energy-intensive branches of industry were not
to be affected until a Europe-wide harmonisation came into effect.
After the election, the opponents of ETR changed their strategy. Once the
inevitability of an ETR was recognised, their focus shifted to delaying the
process and influencing the form and implementation of the ETR. The first
stage was passed by parliament and the Bundesrat after two hearings of the
parliamentary finance committee and came into force on 1 April, 1999. It
stipulated an increase of 6 Pfennig (3.07 c) per litre in the mineral oil tax on
fuels, 4 Pfennig (2.05 c) per litre on light heating oil and 0.32 Pfennig (0.16 c)
per kilowatt-hour on gas, as well as the introduction of an electricity tax of 2
Pfennig (1.02 c) per kilowatt-hour. The 8.3 billion DM ( 4.24 billion) in ex-
pected revenues for 1999 were almost entirely to go to reducing pension con-
tributions (by 0.8 percent). Due to various special provisions, the first stage
received criticism from all sides. In the draft stage even more extensive special
provisions had been foreseen. Environmental benefit was to be achieved by
means of a market incentive programme to encourage renewable energy
sources. The new programme was launched on 1 September, 1999, with annual
funding of 200 million DM ( 102.26 million). The programme provides for
financing of a total of 1 billion DM ( 510 million) through 2003, for subsidies
and loans to support the development of solar collectors, biomass and biogas
plants, small hydroelectric power stations, heat pumps, energy conservation in
old buildings and other projects.
In summer 1999 the details of the next stages of the ETR were made public.
On 1 January of each year from 2000 to 2003, the petrol tax is to rise by 6
Pfennig (3.07 c) per litre and the tax on electricity by 0.5 Pfennig (0.26 c) per
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315
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such reforms is, however, dependent on whether one of the three internation-
ally leading economic powers is a participant. Thus its introduction of an ETR
regardless of all criticisms of its concrete implementation gives Germany a
role in international and global environmental policy that is not to be under-
estimated.
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318
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321
Phasing-Out Nuclear Power Generation in
Germany: Policies, Actors, Issues and Non-Issues1
LUTZ MEZ
ANNETTE PIENING
Abstract
The phase-out of nuclear power in Germany is one of the priorities of the
Red-Green Government which took office in October 1998. Despite continu-
ous and broad-based public criticism, up until 1998 federal nuclear policies
had sided with the pro-nuclear alliance and supported the industry through a
number of tax and regulatory privileges. Thus, the phase-out decision marks a
fundamental revision of past nuclear policy guidelines. After one-and-a-half
years of negotiations between industry and government, in the course of
which a number of controversies had to be solved, agreement was reached on
the gradual phasing-out of nuclear energy use in Germany on June 14, 2000.
The paper presents the actors policies, analyses issues and non-issues in the
negotiations. It shows that different positions within the Federal Government
and the lack of support from the anti-nuclear movement for the Governments
phase-out strategy strengthened the industrys ability to assert their position.
The industrys motivation for taking such an assertive position is illustrated by
an insight into the economic conditions of operating nuclear plant in Ger-
many. The paper concludes that the phase-out strategy sketched in the coali-
tion treaty could not fully be translated into actual policy measures. Instead
industry succeeded in a number of important issues, the most important of
them being the fact that the agreement guarantees the politically undisturbed
operation of nuclear power plants for the years to come.
1
First published in: Energy & Environment, Vol. 13, No 2, 2002, pp. 161-181.
Copyright Multi-Science Publishing Co. Ltd. Reprinted with kind permission.
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Phasing-out Nuclear Power Generation in Germany
1 Introduction
Germanys venture into the use of nuclear energy was initiated in the mid-50s
with federal R&D programmes with a total cost of over DM 30 ( 15.3) billion.
More than ten years after the first commercial reactors in the US had come on
line, German producers had caught up with world market standards, and be-
tween 1968 and 1989, more than 24,000 MW of nuclear capacity were put on
line. This, however, is far less than the 50,000 MW capacity projected in official
expansion plans of 1974. Already one year later, in 1975, the last orders for new
nuclear plants were issued in Germany. This corresponds to the global trend.
Nearly stagnating electricity demand, overcapacity and persistent public con-
troversy over the use of nuclear energy have, among other factors, put a halt to
further expansion soon after the industry had been established.
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Lutz Mez Annette Piening
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Phasing-out Nuclear Power Generation in Germany
325
Lutz Mez Annette Piening
3 Policy Targets
The 1998 government decision to initiate the phase out of the use of nuclear
power marks a fundamental revision of past nuclear policy guidelines. The
decision is primarily based on continuing safety concerns as well as the find-
ings of recent scientific research on the long-term effects of nuclear fallout
from Hiroshima and Chernobyl which have led to a fundamental reassess-
ment of the acceptability of risks in Germany. In addition setbacks in the
search for permanent nuclear waste storage facilities have increased sensitivity
to long-term safety risks and the costs public budgets would be confronted
with in the future.
The approach chosen by the coalition is founded on the tradition of achieving
major (energy) policy decisions in a consensual, corporatist manner, that is,
the attempt to agree on the major issues with stakeholders before enacting
important legal changes. Thus, the first year of the legislative period was de-
voted to negotiations - so-called consensus talks - between Chancellor, the
Ministers of Economic Affairs and of the Environment and representatives of
public utilities operating nuclear power plants. It was intended that the results
of these talks would then be confirmed and enacted in amendments to the
Nuclear Power Act. However, should the negotiating parties fail to come to an
agreement, the government would have acted unilaterally without industrys
consent. Most importantly, the law was to allow for the imposition of time
limits to nuclear power plant licenses. The decisive legal precedent for this
provision was set by a recall of the unlimited licenses for fossil-fuel-fired
plants in the 1980s. This was approved by the Federal Constitutional Court
and is generally held to be transferable to licenses for nuclear power stations
as well.
In addition, the bill should comprise the following aspects:
Ending the promotion of nuclear energy
Introduction of obligatory safety reviews
Abandonment of reprocessing and restriction of waste management to
direct final storage
Raising the level of insurance cover for nuclear liability for accidents (cur-
rently at DM 500 ( 255.7) million) to DM 5 ( 2.56) billion.
According to the coalition agreement a number of the above issues were in-
tended to be the subject of legislation as early as January 1999. However, in-
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Phasing-out Nuclear Power Generation in Germany
327
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328
Phasing-out Nuclear Power Generation in Germany
5 The Agreement
On June 14, 2000 the utility companies RWE, EnBW, VEBA and VIAG (now
E.ON) initialled an agreement with the federal government on the future op-
eration of their nuclear power plants.
The purpose of the agreement is to determine the lifetime of nuclear power
plants and to ensure their operation, undisturbed by regulatory activities, as
well as the disposal of nuclear waste. The operating life of power plants is
limited by fixing the quantities of electricity that may still be produced in
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Lutz Mez Annette Piening
6 Actors
As mentioned, the actors involved in the consensus process were officially re-
stricted to the operating companies and representatives of government. Even
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Phasing-out Nuclear Power Generation in Germany
the industry delegation for most talks included the representatives of the four
largest companies owning NPPs. A closer look at the actors may help to explain
the strong position of industry.
In principle, the industrial side accepted the target to phase out nuclear power
for political reasons. Due to the official basis for negotiations to avoid industry
compensation claims and the governments goal to reach presentable results
quickly, industry could enter the talks in a comparatively comfortable starting
position. Their main goals for entering into discussion were to ensure that
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Lutz Mez Annette Piening
they will be allowed to run their nuclear reactors as long as possible and with a
minimum of regulatory interference. This will guarantee that additional ac-
cruals can be set aside and that the point at which decommissioning costs fall
due is postponed into the distant future. By some sources, the accrued liabili-
ties were estimated to be DM 72 ( 36.8) billion in 1998 (Hennicke et al. 2000)
(cf. also table 3). Particularly with a view to the changing economic parameters
of liberalisation, cost reductions of this kind and availability of extra funds
pose a clear advantage.
The chancellor from the social democratic party (SPD), the Minister of the
Environment from the Green Party, and the Minister of Economic Affairs, an
independent member of government for the SPD, were formally involved in
the negotiations with industry. For members of an administration which came
to power during a period of economic recession in autumn 1998 after 16 years
of conservative leadership, overall political success will obviously only in a small
part be measured by the results of these consensus talks. In contrast, success in
negotiating the phase out is of paramount importance to the Green Partys
political survival. This party grew out of the anti-nuclear protests of the 70s
and 80s and will have to prove to its electorate that participation in govern-
ment does have a positive impact on nuclear decisions.
This difficulty became obvious during the debate over operating periods when
a number of founding members left the party. This difference between the
parties explains to a certain degree the fragmentation inside government, with
the minister of economic affairs and the chancellor on one side and the min-
ister of environmental affairs on the other side. But there were other contrib-
uting reasons: the Minister of Economics and Technology, Werner Mller, was
a former VEBA managing director and a such could be suspected of at least
partly supporting the industrys position, as is indeed suggested in the posi-
tions presented in the draft understanding (Mller, W. 1999). Furthermore, the
SPD as a representative of union interests and former supporter of nuclear
energy had traditionally taken a difficult and at times contradictory position
on energy policy. Highly sensitive to employment impacts of energy policy
decisions and to developments in the coal sector, the corporate decisions and
strategies of large utilities remain a factor the SPD must at least in part defer
to. Only sections of the SPD wholeheartedly support the proclaimed new en-
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Phasing-out Nuclear Power Generation in Germany
ergy policy moving away from fossil fuels and nuclear to renewable energy,
while a majority of the leadership wants to avoid controversy. This, and the fear
of the unknown financial burdens on tax payers as a result of possible lawsuits
by industry is also mirrored in the governments intent to come to an agree-
ment that avoids the paying of compensation to industry. This also explains
why a number of industry demands have been conceded to.
The opposition parties, CDU/CSU and FDP, were not directly involved in the
talks, but as members of Lnder governments, sought to influence them. As
predecessors of the current federal government they themselves had begun a
slow redefinition of nuclear policies, now however, they adopted the role of
ardent nuclear power proponents. The Hessian and the Bavarian governments
in particular sought a court decisions over the nuclear phase-out law. How-
ever, the Federal Constitutional Court dismissed both actions in February
2002.
Tab. 3: Accruals set aside by operators for nuclear waste disposal and
decommissioning (in mill. DM)
7 The Agenda
The proposed changes in nuclear policy-making have undoubtedly set an
ambitious goal because federal policy during the last 45 years had pushed into
the opposite direction with strong proponent alliances and regulatory struc-
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Lutz Mez Annette Piening
tures set up that promoted the use of nuclear energy. Nevertheless, these fac-
tors alone do not provide a satisfactory explanation of the fact, that the scope of
the agenda of the consensus talks left a number of issues untouched, especially
those pertaining to the current and future state of the nuclear industry.
Since the early 1970s completing the fuel cycle was an integral part of German
nuclear policy, with reprocessing a mandatory step in waste management.
However, as became clear in the 1980s, this option was the most expensive way
of dealing with spent fuel. And as public protests against the construction of
reprocessing plants - first in Gorleben and later in Wackersdorf - continued
and the high economic and political costs of this project became undeniable,
the electricity supply industry in 1989 withdrew its plan to build a reprocessing
plant in Germany. Instead, they entered into long-term contracts for reprocess-
ing services with Cogema in La Hague, France, and BNFL in Sellafield, Great
Britain.
Politically, this did not resolve the conflict. Protests against reprocessing now
concentrated on nuclear waste and plutonium CASTOR transports back to
Germany. As a consequence, police authorities were confronted with expenses
of up to DM 150 ( 76.7) million for each transport across the country. In May
1998, any further transports were stopped because the CASTOR containers
proved to be contaminated. Because of the arising political costs, and persis-
tent doubts over the safety and general economic prudence of reprocessing
and long-distance nuclear waste transports, the new government decided to
prohibit further nuclear waste reprocessing.
Initially, this prohibition was intended to be an integral part of amendments to
the Nuclear Energy Act, planned for January 1999. As mentioned, this pro-
voked intense protest on the part of operators in the consensus talks who
pointed out that compensation costs would arise because of the terms of the
long-term contracts they had signed. According to legal experts, however, it
may have been possible to terminate the contracts with Sellafield and Le
Hague without compensation. Other companies (for example, Belgian) had
already reduced their obligations without financial consequences. The Minis-
ter of Economics and Technology in his June 1999 draft agreement compro-
mised by proposing a transition period of five years, which has found its way
into the final agreement.
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Phasing-out Nuclear Power Generation in Germany
335
Lutz Mez Annette Piening
With regard to the deposition of nuclear waste, several major technical prob-
lems remain unresolved. In particular, the geological suitability of the pro-
posed site in Gorleben has been in dispute for decades, and was recently re-
jected in yet another official expert opinion. As in other countries, the earlier
permanent storage concepts are disputed and contrary to expectations 30 years
ago, no acceptable solution is in sight. In 1999, a working group final deposi-
tion (AKEnd) was installed to develop an accepted procedure for the selection
of a suitable site.
It is generally accepted that spent fuel requires a 30-year period of intermedi-
ate deposition. Industry therefore wants to commence with final deposal in
2030 and, according to their plans complete this activity 50 years later.
7.3 Deadline for power plants: operating time vs. calendar years
The most controversial issue, left open until the very last day of the consensus
talks, revolved around the permitted operating period for reactors. Industry
feared a phase-out agreement based on calendar years would enable a more
restrictive policy. They therefore preferred an agreement based on operating
time. However, this would minimise the operators incentive to close down
plants earlier than agreed. A possible compromise, as proposed by the Green
Ministers in government in October and December 1999, suggested agree-
ment on the basis of time-limited permits for each plant that could be trans-
ferred to other plants in the case of early shut down. In principle industry
negotiators agreed to this, but achieved a further amendment which transposed
operating time into a defined amount of electricity allowed to be produced. The
principal details of this approach took much time to negotiate; in particular
the factors of annual capacity that were taken as baseline (for example, 70, 80
or 90 per cent), the range of transferability of operating time (to newer or also
older reactors) and a final shut down deadline.
While the starting point of the Green Party Conference had been an immedi-
ate shutdown of all plants, green members of the coalition government did
agree on 25 years as the maximum total operating time for nuclear reactors.
On this they were in accord with large sections of the SPD (whose Nuremberg
party conference had aimed for a ten-year transition period in 1986). During
the consensus talks, this time limit turned out to be a major obstacle and in
November 1999 the Green Party members voted to raise the deadline to 30
years in order not to threaten the phase-out project and save the coalition. In
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Phasing-out Nuclear Power Generation in Germany
contrast, industry, with the support of the Minister of Economics and Tech-
nology, had decided on 35 years as the lower limit in the agreed document of
June 1999, though the initial aim had been 40 years total operating time.
The final agreement of June 14, 2000 permits future nuclear power generation
corresponding to 32-year total operating time. This is transposed into kWh for
each reactor, calculated from the average of the five most productive years
between 1990 and 1999. In the end, a total of 2,623 TWh were allowed to be
produced in German nuclear plants until final shut down.
Another dispute concerned the taxation of reserves that is of funds set aside by
operating companies for the decommissioning of reactors and waste deposi-
tion activities. These funds were currently not taxed or paid into a state fund,
but remain on the operators balance sheets. They were estimated, in 1998, to
amount to as much as DM 72 ( 36.8) billion and to further rise to DM 82 (
41.9) billion in 2018 (Hennicke et al. 2000). While they need to be readily avail-
able when decommissioning and related costs arise, these special-purpose re-
serves were invested in other branches, such as telecommunications, (non nu-
clear) waste processing, or logistics, as well as in the electricity sector.
It is common knowledge that the special-purpose reserves of nuclear power
plants are a lucrative and often the only source of profit from operating such
plants. A detailed study shows that under current market conditions this is the
case for 10 of the 19 nuclear power plants (Hennicke et al. 2000). The longer the
operating life of plants, the greater the reserves that will accumulate; while
decommissioning will result in reserves being run down.
As the overall costs of decommissioning and final waste deposition are esti-
mated to be as much as DM 32 ( 16.36) billion, the Minister of Finance intro-
duced a new tax law that would release about DM 30 ( 15.34) billion of accrued
special-purpose reserves. This will lead to additional state income in the form
of tax revenue amounting to about DM 15 ( 7.67) billion in the next ten years.
According to the coalition treaty, nuclear energy phase-out is but one element
in a switch to a new energy policy. This policy aims at modernising the German
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Lutz Mez Annette Piening
7.6 Non-issues
While the liberalisation of the German electricity regulatory system had been
commenced in April 1998 and resulted in dramatic changes by the end of 1999,
these do not seem to have been addressed in the talks on nuclear phase-out.
This did not happen even in terms of a problem of stranded costs - as might
have been expected from discussions of nuclear power in other liberalised mar-
338
Phasing-out Nuclear Power Generation in Germany
kets, for example in the U.S. According to expert studies, about 40 % of nuclear
power plants in the US are expected to be shut down well before their licenses
expire (that is, after an operating period of 40 years) purely for economic rea-
sons (Higley 1999).
While stranded cost did enter the German liberalisation agenda after some de-
lay in connection with legislation for ailing CHP plants, a discussion of the
extent to which investment in nuclear power plants can be regarded as stranded
costs did not enter the nuclear agenda. A detailed analysis of all German nuclear
power stations and related financial aspects concluded that the operators of
only nine newer nuclear plants can expect to cover costs (Hennicke et al. 2000); in
other words, under conditions of increased competition ten nuclear plants would
have been shut down anyway in the coming years for economic reasons. The
effects of electricity market liberalisation in Germany have led to shrinking pro-
ceeds from electricity sales, and as long as existing surplus capacities are not dis-
posed of, the price for electricity will be pushed down. As mentioned, the only
factor postponing this corporate decision is that profits from accrued reserves
allow losses from operational and capital investment costs to be covered. In es-
sence, therefore, current regulations concerning accrued reserves have to be in-
terpreted as a means of hiding the subsidisation of nuclear power by other sec-
tors of the economy.
While under the current regulatory regime it might have been difficult to
make a case for the non-competitiveness of many of the NPPs, so far the pos-
sibility of re-regulating the financing of decommissioning and limiting the
companies access to reserves has yet to be discussed. All in all, by leaving this
issue off the agenda, government may have unnecessarily relinquished negoti-
ating powers.
Indirectly, however, the agreement did pick up the stranded costs issue. It intro-
duced an instrument which very closely resembles what was proposed for the
CHP market: the additional 2,623 TWh guaranteed electricity production basi-
cally prescribes a quota for nuclear power on the German electricity market. It
will allow the respective companies to keep on profiting from accumulating
accrual reserves and to postpone paying high costs for decommissioning. It also
allows them to exclude other generation technologies and investors from the
market at least for the current decade.
There is a substantial need for technological modernisation of the German
and European electricity sector. This seems important particularly with a view
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Lutz Mez Annette Piening
to the dynamics that have developed in the US market and the weakened posi-
tion of German power plant producers in the global market. Crucial for any
progress in this matter is a decrease in surplus capacity which amounts to 92
GW in Middle and Northern Europe, or 21.6 percent of the maximum output
capacity (Schrppel & Urban 2000: 156). In Germany, the difference between
installed capacity and peak load was 30.2 GW in 1998. An early shutdown of
nuclear power plants could help the market regain momentum and open the
way for new technologies - with positive technological, occupational and envi-
ronmental effects - before 2010, as generally expected.
Nuclear
22% Hydro
8%
Others
2%
Gas Coal
16% 26%
Oil
7%
Lignite
19%
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Phasing-out Nuclear Power Generation in Germany
Historically, i.e. under monopoly conditions, the nuclear energy sector has
financially been highly lucrative for almost all actors involved. Beneficiaries
were particularly the operators, but also the employees gained from above
average wages. For the power plant producing industry business was some-
what less lucrative, as some producers, e.g. AEG, experienced high losses in the
early years. Today, the few firms that are involved in this business section still
profit from nuclear energy business, even though it is far from the growth
sector it was expected to become (Piening 2001).
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Lutz Mez Annette Piening
Key to large gains of nuclear power operating companies have been the accruals
set aside for decommissioning and nuclear waste disposal (cf. tables 3 and 5),
which allowed the companies to diversify into different industrial branches,
particularly waste management and telecommunications. Under the current
trend of consolidation and sales of non-energy business, the telecommunica-
tion companies especially were sold at substantial profit, allowing e.g. E.ON to
provide over a scope for acquisitions of between 30-50 billion (Frankfurter
Rundschau 2001).
The political agreement between the German government and the nuclear
power operating companies restricts the operating life time of the NPPs not
by limiting the operating license to a specified year or total number of years,
but by prescribing total allowed amounts of electricity to be produced by each
individual plant. Calculated in years and at current output, German NPPs were
allowed total operating times (Regellaufzeit) of 32 years each (see table 6).
In addition, should one plant close early, its leftover share of allowed electric-
ity production may be shifted to another plant. Thus from the agreement it is
impossible to exactly predict when plants will be shut down and which com-
pany will provide how much nuclear power capacity at which point in time.
However, an approximate calculation shows when the effects of the agreement
will show and how they may affect the individual operators.
The data in table 6 demonstrate that a first effect of the phase out agreement on
the operational nuclear capacity will become noticeable after 2006 and the
number of shut downs will accelerate in 2010. The leading roles of the three
largest operators, RWE, E.ON, and EnBW will be maintained. However, com-
pared to E.ON and EnBW, who will continue to have greater stakes in nuclear
energy, the share of RWEs nuclear production will reduce substantially so
that, based on the current sales numbers, other electricity sources will become
much more important for RWEs supply. Looking at HEW, the share of nu-
clear production will decrease to less than one tenth of the current share by
2014, significantly reducing the current importance of nuclear energy for the
northern company (the nuclear factor has already been reduced in the course of
the new Vattenfall Europe holding of HEW/Bewag/VEAG being formed).
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Phasing-out Nuclear Power Generation in Germany
Tab. 6: Nuclear power generation and total operating time of the nuclear
power plants according to the phase-out agreement
End of Generation from
Capacity Commercial (age in
Nuclear Power Plant operating 01.01.2000
MW start up years)
time (TWh net)
Obrigheim 357 01.04.1969 (31) 31.12.2002 8.70
Stade 672 19.05.1972 (28) 19.05.2004 23.18
Biblis A 1,225 26.02.1975 (25) 26.02.2007 62.00
Neckarwestheim 1 840 01.12.1976 (24) 01.12.2008 57.35
Biblis B 1,300 31.01.1977 (23) 31.01.2009 81.46
Brunsbttel 806 09.02.1977 (23) 09.02.2009 47.67
Isar 1 907 21.03.1979 (21) 21.03.2011 78.35
Unterweser 1,350 06.09.1979 (21) 06.09.2011 117.98
Philippsburg 1 926 26.03.1980 (20) 26.03.2012 87.14
Grafenrheinfeld 1,345 17.06.1982 (18) 17.06.2014 150.03
Krmmel 1,316 28.03.1984 (16) 28.03.2016 158.22
Gundremmingen B 1,344 19.07.1984 (16) 19.07.2016 160.92
Philippsburg 2 1,424 18.04.1985 (15) 18.04.2017 198.61
Grohnde 1,430 01.02.1985 (15) 01.02.2017 200.90
Gundremmingen C 1,344 18.01.1985 (15) 19.01.2017 168.35
Brokdorf 1,440 22.12.1986 (14) 22.12.2018 217.88
Isar 2 1,455 09.04.1988 (12) 09.04.2020 231.21
Emsland 1,363 20.06.1988 (12) 20.06.2020 230.07
Neckarwestheim 2 1,365 15.04.1989 (11) 15.04.2021 236.04
Mlheim-Krlich * 1,302 107.25
Total 23,511 2 623.31
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Lutz Mez Annette Piening
Production costs are constructed from a number of cost types, the relevance of
each depends on a number of factors. Some of these are specific to NPP, others
are shaped by general market conditions. As some of the respective weight of
these factors is likely to change in the near future, the future costs develop-
ment is estimated to follow a decreasing path.
An important factor is the overall performance of a specific NPP. Some of
the older plants, e.g. Brunsbttel, Krmmel and Unterweser, have proven
highly unreliable due to technical problems, which reduced availability to
values below 60% in some cases. In contrast, particularly the newest NPP
have had high availability of above 90%. Actual utilisation rates, however,
also depend on external factors, such as the network operators request for
reduced delivery due to unexpectedly low electricity demand or the need to
reduce output due to reduced availability of cooling water in hot weather pe-
riods.
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Phasing-out Nuclear Power Generation in Germany
345
Lutz Mez Annette Piening
because of their ability to set aside accruals in the balance sheet, the continued
operation of most of these plants turns out to be a clear advantage after all.
Only for two NPP, Stade and Brunsbttel, the prerequisites from accruals
could not balance the operational losses already in the year 2000, proving them
to be highly uneconomic. Thus, if accumulating funds for decommissioning
were regulated in a way that would prevent operating companies from earning
interest from them for their own purposes, nuclear power might cease to play
the significant role it still does in Germany.
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Phasing-out Nuclear Power Generation in Germany
9 Conclusion
The most recent German nuclear policy is marked by a fundamental revision
of nuclear policies. The basic decision against the future construction of nu-
clear power plants has been enshrined in nuclear energy law and the licenses
of existing plants have been reviewed and limited. The legislative process lead-
ing up to these amendments was characterised by the governments endeavour
to reach a consensus with nuclear power interests and to avoid legal disputes
before the courts. These negotiations have not been without setbacks for nu-
clear opponents given the powerful position of the vested interests, both eco-
nomically and politically.
Most obviously, the consensus negotiated so far will not lead to a substantial
acceleration of shutdown plans. Instead, the agreement guarantees the politi-
cally undisturbed operation of nuclear power plants. Disputes with regulatory
authorities at Federal or Lnder level about permitting procedures or waste
treatment as had been common over the past decades are not to be expected
for the years to come.
Moreover, nuclear power will remain an important factor in German electric-
ity supply market, despite the phase out agreement and despite economic diffi-
culties of a number of individual plants. At least until 2005 nuclear power will
continue to provide about 30% of German electricity and together with lignite-
fired plants will cover base load needs. By 2010, production is likely to fall by
about one third due to the shut down of older plants, at the same time average
costs should decrease by one third. Very possibly, the needed base load capac-
ity will be covered by additional (inexpensive) lignite-fired sources unless cli-
mate change policies reduce their utilisation. All things considered, it may be
expected that the competitiveness of remaining nuclear power plants may
increase over time and at least over the current decade occupy a substantial part
of the German supply market.
Furthermore, operators will be allowed to continue running plants well be-
yond their economic pay-back periods, and are thus permitted to continue
making substantial profits. These profits stem mainly from interest earned on
accrued special-purpose reserves, which, during the year following electricity
deregulation, allowed operating companies to sell below marginal costs on the
electricity market and thereby strengthen their market power vis--vis inde-
pendent power producers and municipal utilities. Thus, in contrast to the
347
Lutz Mez Annette Piening
10 Addendum
Six years after having agreed on the nuclear phase out consensus, the underly-
ing policy seems to be maintained in political practice. The first three nuclear
power stations (Mlheim-Krlich, Obrigheim and Stade) are finally shut down
for decommissioning. At the end of 2005 the resting agreed nuclear electricity
generation totals 1,659.1 billion kWh. And since July 2005 all transport of spent
nuclear fuel to reprocessing facilities is abandoned.
Attempts at reopening the debate on nuclear power have been made by parts
of the conservative opposition. In the course of the 2005 national election,
some politicians sketched plans to extend nuclear power operating permits
and to feed the industrys extra profits into a fund to lower electricity prices
for German industry. These plans were not echoed by the electricity supply
industry, who has publicly restated their support for the phase out agreement.
Consequently, the coalition treaty of the new CDU/CSU and SPD government
mentions the diverging positions in nuclear power, but clearly confirms to
abide to the phase out law. However, industrial policy makers and electricity
industry did try to influence public opinion by associating the rising electric-
ity prices to be expected in the coming years with the nuclear phase out obli-
gation, thus, tuning in the public for yet another round of price increases to
be blamed on the supposedly mistaken nuclear policy.
The new government also announced that a solution for the final storage of
radioactive waste in Germany will be drawn up during this legislature. After a
final Higher Administrative Court decision in March 2006, the former iron
ore mine Konrad will most likely be the site for low-level radioactive waste
disposal. A site for highly radioactive waste has not been selected yet, but in
the past five years no alternatives for the projected Gorleben site have been
introduced nor has any selection procedure been agreed upon. Thus, since the
nuclear phase-out agreement does not regulate nuclear waste disposal, the
missing consensus for this crucial issue is on the agenda again.
348
Phasing-out Nuclear Power Generation in Germany
References
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Hartenstein, V. (2001) Der steinige Weg der Bundesregierung zum harmonischen
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Hennicke, P. et al. (2000) Kernkraftwerksanalyse im Rahmen des Projekts: Bewertung
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Rundschau, June 14, 2000.
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logie 2000, Munich: Beck, pp. 54-61.
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kapazitten vom 17. Juni 1999
Piening, A. (2001) Nuclear Energy in Germany Binder, M., Jnicke, M., Petschow, U.
(eds.) Green Industrial Restructuring. International Case Studies and Theoretical
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Piening, A. and Mez, L. (2000) Die Ausstiegsdebatte - mehr Schein als Sein? Die Mit-
bestimmung, No. 3, pp. 34-37.
Rdig, W. (2000) Phasing Out Nuclear Energy in Germany German Politics, Vol. 9,
No. 3, pp. 43-80.
Schrppel, W. and Urban, M. (2000) IT-Systeme fr den Stromhandel, Power Engi-
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VDEW (2000) Pressemitteilung zum Jahresbericht der Strombranche 1999, Rede von
Gnther Marquis, Prsident der Vereinigung Deutscher Elektrizittswerke
(VDEW), Frankfurt/Main, June 5, 2000.
Wittke, F. and Ziesing, H.-J. (DIW 2002), Khle Witterung treibt Primrenergie-
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2001 DIW Wochenbericht 7/2002, pp. 109-118
Wittmann, K. (2000) Sankt Florian lsst gren, Die Zeit, Nr. 11, March 9, 2000.
349
Part V
International Environmental
Governance
Does Bureaucracy Really Matter? The Authority of
Intergovernmental Treaty Secretariats in Global
Environmental Politics1
STEFFEN BAUER
Abstract
Although the relevance of intergovernmental bureaucracies in world politics
has been acknowledged by a number of scholars, International Relations re-
search still lacks theoretical distinction and empirical scrutiny in understand-
ing their influence in the international arena. In this article I explore the role
of intergovernmental treaty secretariats as authoritative bureaucratic actors in
global environmental politics. I employ organizational theories and sociologi-
cal institutionalism for comparative qualitative case study research that traces
variances at the outcome level of two environmental treaty secretariats, the
secretariats to the Vienna Convention and the Montreal Protocol (Ozone
Secretariat) and the UN Convention to Combat Desertification (Desertifica-
tion Secretariat). While the organizational design of both secretariats is simi-
lar, their institutional histories and outcomes differ markedly. Looking for
possible explanations for these differences I focus on the activities of both
secretariats and how they relate to the authority they enjoy vis--vis the parties
they serve.
1 Introduction
Time and again, politicians and practitioners debate organizational reform in
the international arena. Oddly, reliable answers on how international organi-
zations may contribute to or hinder the worlds governing capacity are not
available. This points to a need for a substantive and systematic research effort
1
First published in: Global Environmental Politics, Vol. 6, No. 1, 2006, pp 23-49
Copyright MIT Press. Reprinted with kind permission.
353
Steffen Bauer
2
Barnett and Finnemore 1999, 2004.
354
Does Bureaucracy really matter?
3
The full titles of the treaties these secretariats serve read as follows: 1. The Vienna
Convention for the Protection of the Ozone Layer and the Montreal Protocol on
Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer (www.unep.org/ozone); 2. United Nations
Convention to Combat Desertification in Those Countries Experiencing Serious
Drought and/or Desertification, Particularly in Africa (www.unccd.int).
4
See also Biermann and Bauer 2005b; and Siebenhner 2003 for a broader analytical
framework on effectiveness and learning of intergovernmental organizations.
355
Steffen Bauer
tion of numerous descriptive studies that are generally based on the accounts
of practitioners, diplomatic history and institutional law.
Broadly speaking there are two major groups of scholars in International Rela-
tions, both of which take intergovernmental organizations as a given in world
politics. Accordingly, neither group has taken a closer look at what intergov-
ernmental organizations actually do, how they do it and why they have certain
kinds of effects. One growing group of researchers, liberal institutionalists,
ambitiously reaches beyond the traditional focus of international relations by
means of integrating the role of nonstate actors and public-private as well as
private-private actor networks into their research agenda. Another group of
scholars, neorealists, keeps their eyes on states and their governments as the
paramount actors of international politics. Consequently, this latter group
views international institutions as instruments that may help to facilitate state
interaction and greets the notion of an active role for nonstate phenomena
with a good portion of skepticism. In contrast to these main views, I see the
wide-spread neglect of intergovernmental organizations as a major flaw in the
academic discourse. Indeed, this particular deficit in International Relations
research has been criticized time and again.5 Before elaborating further, I take
a condensed look at the conventional wisdom on intergovernmental organiza-
tions as far as these two schools of thought are concerned.
Quite clearly, neorealists disapprove of the very idea that intergovernmental
organizations may do anything meaningful that is not explicitly asked for,
indeed demanded, by their member state mastersnever mind acting on
their own behalf. To the neorealist mindset, intergovernmental regimes and
organizations are epiphenomena of the interaction amongst sovereign na-
tional governments. If these would not function as instruments in the hands
of their member states they would be dismembered or would not have
emerged in the first place. Intergovernmental institutions are thus perceived
as structures in the political world system and, like other externalities, can be
treated as givens while analyzing the political processes among nations.
Institutionalist research, on the other hand, has tremendously advanced our
understanding of international environmental cooperation and broadened our
empirical knowledge through numerous case studies. This holds in particular
5
See, among others, Rochester 1986; De Senarclens 1993; Malik 1995; Verbeek 1998;
Pease 2000; and Reinalda and Verbeek 2004.
356
Does Bureaucracy really matter?
6
For a notable exception see Underdals 2002 distinction between organizations as
actors and institutions as arenas. He singles out coherence, autonomy, activity and
resources as criteria that qualify international organizations as actors.
7
For details and further references see Bauer and Biermann 2005. In particular, it can
be assumed that the debate about the pros and cons of upgrading the UNEP to a
specialized agency or a world environment organization could benefit greatly from
a more solid academic grounding. See Biermann and Bauer 2005a.
8
Barnett and Finnemore 1999, 706.
357
Steffen Bauer
9
See in particular, Powell and DiMaggio 1991; and March and Olsen 1989 for concep-
tual foundations of sociological institutionalism; see also Finnemore 1996.
10
March and Olsen 1996, 251.
11
Hall and Taylor 1996, 947.
12
See Hasenclever, Mayer, and Rittberger 1997.
13
See Dingwerth and Pattberg 2006.
358
Does Bureaucracy really matter?
organizations are actors. Namely: what do these actors do, how do they do it
and to what effect? And ultimately, does it matter?
Consequently, in the following exploration of how intergovernmental treaty
secretariats may or may not affect the implementation of the multilateral (en-
vironmental) agreements they were set up to serve, I will draw on the theoreti-
cal basis provided by sociological institutionalism and, in doing so, focus in
particular on the authority that is vested in intergovernmental bureaucracies.
14
Andresen and Skjaerseth 1999, 2.
15
Wettestad 2001.
16
Von Moltke and Young, cited in Andresen and Skjaerseth 1999.
359
Steffen Bauer
Relations literature does not really tell us a great deal theoretically about the
roles secretariats play in world politics.
This is all the more striking as these secretariats have not only grown in num-
ber, but also in diversity of their functions and features. This holds in particu-
lar in the environmental field, where the immense proliferation of intergov-
ernmental treaties that have been adopted to ameliorate transboundary and
global environmental problems also brought about new secretariats to admin-
ister them. Filling a notable gap in the literature, Rosemary Sandford has
traced a three step evolution of environmental treaty secretariats. Starting with
the organizational embodiments of the early treaties that had been spawned
by the United Nations Conference on the Human Environment in 1972, these
organizations evolved into those secretariats that were typically helped into
being by the United Nations Environment Programme during the 1980s. They
then further evolved into the distinct bureaucracies attached to the so-called
Rio Conventions which were established in the aftermath of the 1992 United
Nations Conference on Environment and Development.17
17
Sandford 1994, 19.
18
On general functions and characteristics of the international civil service see also
Weiss 1982; Mango 1988; and Mouritzen 1990.
19
But see Weiss 1982 for a different perspective in a view of a Cold War context.
360
Does Bureaucracy really matter?
this paper plus the UNEP secretariatand a broader empirical study which
covers five treaty secretariats and confirms that professional and personal
commitment to the values espoused by the treaty objectives were significant
factors in job satisfaction and staff retention, uncertain employment condi-
tions notwithstanding.20 The notion of bureaucratic personality does not
question the general consensus that an intergovernmental bureaucracies
freedom to act is constrained by the control of its state principals, that is na-
tional governments. However, international civil servants are willing and able
to both detect and exploit the leeway that their principals grant them.
The question remains what makes these bureaucratic personalities meaning-
ful actors in terms of political influence within their respective regime. I argue
that it is bureaucratic authority that makes environmental treaty secretariats
actors of global environmental politics. Intergovernmental secretariats do not
possess sovereignty or power in a traditionalist sense. However, as constructiv-
ism and sociological institutionalism teach us, power and sovereignty are not
the only dispositions by which political processes are constituted and shaped.
But how does one conceptualize the authority of public nonstate actors vis--
vis the material hard powers of states and governments?
20
Sandford 1994, 25. Note that all these examples draw from the environmental arena.
It is conceivable, but would require of systematic research to ascertain whether this
can be generalized across policy fields.
21
See Raz 1990, 1. Rather than discussing the meaning of authority, I employ it as a
concept that can help us to understand how intergovernmental secretariats interact
with other players in the arena of global governance. .
361
Steffen Bauer
22
Arguably some of the bigger intergovernmental organizations possess means to
exert power, too, e.g. the World Bank can pressure governments by withholding lo-
ans. But from the vantage of political philosophy, such power tools are not genuine
power (see Arendt 1977 [1961]; and 1970, 44-58) and the availability of either genuine
power or indirect power tools can most certainly be excluded for the case of envi-
ronmental treaty secretariats.
23
But see Barnett and Finnemore 2005 for a broader understanding of power.
24
Arendt 1970, 47, note 61, has employed the example of the 1969 Berkeley student
rebellion to illustrate this point.
25
Cutler, Haufler, and Porter 1999, 334; see also Pattbergs discussion of the changing
nature of authority in environmental governance (Pattberg 2005).
26
See Barnett and Finnemore 1999, 707-710; see also Weber 1980 [1921]; Kieser 1999;
and Barnett and Finnemore 2004.
362
Does Bureaucracy really matter?
27
For an illustrative example on the relevance of organizational culture see Weaver
and Leiteritz 2005.
28
Barnett and Finnemore 1999, 708.
29
See Haas 1990; and Barnett and Finnemore 1999, 2004.
363
Steffen Bauer
30
Barnett and Finnemore 1999, 708.
31
Sandford 1992, 1994; Andresen and Skjaerseth 1999.
32
Sandford 1992, 27; and Young 1967.
364
Does Bureaucracy really matter?
tel bars of conference venues, does not mean they are obsolete to regime dy-
namics. Thus, it is preferable to talk of cautious rather than passive secretari-
ats, like Andresen and Skjaerseth have done in their analysis of the Interna-
tional Whaling Commission.33 For secretariats who wish to make a difference
in the ways their treaty is being implemented such cautiousness often is an
appropriate prerequisite to being active as it is directly linked to the authority
they will enjoy vis--vis governments and other actors. Essentially, cautious-
ness and sophisticationstaple skills of successful diplomatsreflect the
delicate balance34 between the activism that is necessary to make a difference
and the risk of being perceived as questioning or even challenging specific
interests of individual parties to the treaty.
As we shall see from the analysis below, both the Ozone Secretariat and the
Desertification Secretariat bear bureaucratic authority and both are active
players in their respective regimes. In tracing their activities and how they
affect the processes of treaty implementation we can see that they differ mark-
edly in keeping the balance between activity and authority. Before I will return
to this aspect in the following paragraphs, I should note in order to reduce
the complexity of the argument in this articlethat I deliberately neglect one
peculiar feature of bureaucratic organizations is bureaucratism, commonly
referred to as red tape. Suffice to say here, that it can be plausibly assumed
that heavy red tape and subsequent inefficiencies in secretariat performance
are not a source of bureaucratic authority and will much rather discredit a
secretariat in the perception of governments. Naturally, the factors that con-
note the maneuverability of an intergovernmental administration will vary
according to its size, i.e. an administration will be clumsier the more employ-
ees it has, the more levels of hierarchy it requires to manage itself, and so on.
However, as far as bureaucratism in small environmental treaty secretariats is
concerned variation is negligible, in particular for those that operate within
the overall administrative system of the United Nations. This is the case with
the vast majority of environmental treaty secretariatsmore than two thirds
according to an estimate of Andresen and Skjaerseth35and includes the two
cases considered in this paper.
33
Andresen and Skjaerseth 1999, 12.
34
Ibid., 7.
35
Andresen and Skjaerseth 1999, 14.
365
Steffen Bauer
In the following section I will trace what generates the specific bureaucratic
authority of two intergovernmental environmental treaty secretariats: the O-
zone Secretariat and the Desertification Secretariat. Drawing on these two
empirical case studies I will show that both secretariats do bear authority, but
also that there are differences in the authority (and the use thereof) with re-
spect to either secretariat.36
The international regime for the protection of the stratospheric ozone layer is
built on a multilateral environmental agreement that is typical of interna-
tional environmental politics in the 1980s. As it is generally considered the
success story in international environmental negotiations the literature on the
emergence, implementation and effectiveness of the regime is abundant. Ho-
wever, few scholars have systematically looked at the role of the intergovern-
mental organization that administers the Vienna Convention and the Mont-
real Protocol, i.e. the Ozone Secretariat in Nairobi. Exceptions include a brief
section in a case study on the effectiveness of the Montreal Protocol by Jorgen
Wettestad and a few references in the book by Penelope Canan and Nancy
Reichman who approach the ozone success story from a sociological perspec-
tive. Also, the Ozone Secretariat is one of five cases in Sandfords study.37
In opposition to many other environmental problems, and despite evident
variation in terms of vulnerability, ozone depletion is a genuine global com-
mons problem that leaves everyone worse off. This insight, of course, does not
necessarily equal consensus and swift cooperation in international politics.
Leaving initial uncertainty with regard to the scope and complexity of the
environmental threat aside, two major factors were responsible for the conten-
tiousness of the ozone issue in the arena of international politics: the eco-
nomic importance of CFCs and other ozone depleting substances and, yet
36
For more details see the elaborate case studies in Bauer forthcoming a, b.
37
Wettestad 2002; Canan and Reichman 2002; and Sandford 1994.
366
Does Bureaucracy really matter?
38
Wettestad 2002, 167.
39
See Haas 1992; Litfin 1994; Canan and Reichman 2002; and Parson 2003 with an
emphasis on epistemic communities and the role of science; and Benedick 1998;
and Andersen and Sarma 2002 for more general accounts.
40
Downie 1995, 179.
367
Steffen Bauer
41
ibid..
42
See UNEP 2003 for figures; and Biermann 1997 for details on the role of the Multi-
lateral Fund.
43
Wettestad 2002, 162; see also Andersen and Sarma 2002.
368
Does Bureaucracy really matter?
44
The following paragraphs are largely based on interviews conducted by the author at
the Ozone Secretariat in Nairobi in September and October 2003 as well as observa-
tion of the First Extraordinary Meeting of the Parties of the Montreal Protocol,
which convened in Montreal in March 2004. Interviewees in the secretariat included
the Executive Secretary, the Deputy Executive Secretary and three programme offi-
cers.
369
Steffen Bauer
45
See also Churchill and Ulfstein 2000 with anecdotal evidence and explicit reference
to the case of the Ozone Secretariat.
46
Karen Litfin 1994, in her in-depth analysis of ozone discourses, has already shown
how crucial the interface of scientific expertise and intergovernmental cooperation
has been in shaping the ozone regime. It would be an interesting if challenging en-
deavor to trace specifically how knowledge and expertise processed in the Ozone Se-
cretariat relate to this.
370
Does Bureaucracy really matter?
47
See, for instance, Haas 1992; Benedick 1998; and Canan and Reichman 2002, in par-
ticular 48-52.
48
See IISD 2004.
371
Steffen Bauer
49
See Bauer 2006 for details and further references.
372
Does Bureaucracy really matter?
50
See Toulmin 1995; see also Corell 1999.
51
UNCCD 1995, 12.
52
See Corell 1999, 53-62 for an overview of shifting definitions of the desertification
phenomenon.
53
Toulmin 1994.
54
See McCormick 1989, 116-122; see also Corell 1999, 69-72; and Corell 2003.
55
Chasek and Corell 2002.
373
Steffen Bauer
56
The following paragraphs are largely based on interviews conducted by the author at
the Desertification Secretariat in Bonn in November and December 2003 as well as
personal communication with national delegates and academic experts. Interview-
ees at the secretariat included the Executive Secretary, the Deputy Executive Secre-
tary and three senior officers.
57
See also Bauer 2006.
58
But see the edited volume by Johnson, Mayrand, and Paquin 2006.
59
See also Bruyninckx 2004 for an analysis of discourses that are furthered by the
UNCCD and how they relate to policy implementation at the local level.
374
Does Bureaucracy really matter?
forward: Desertification has a political appeal that land degradation does not
have.60 Indeed, it is striking how most intergovernmental agencies that coop-
erate under the UNCCD umbrella, in particular the Food and Agricultural
Organization, the UN Development Programme or the Global Environment
Facility (GEF), avoid the term desertification in their own parlance by a clear
preference for land degradation instead. Even the UNEP, which is either
blamed or lauded for having introduced the desertification myth to the in-
ternational political agenda and effectively manifested its usagee.g. by pub-
lishing the acclaimed World Atlas of Desertification61is now seen to shift its
vocabulary more consistently to land degradation.62 This notwithstanding, the
Desertification Secretariat is highly effective in preventing its desertification
trademark from sinking into oblivion. The title of the convention vouchsafes
it and the secretariat ensures that its usage is vividly fluctuated, if not diffused,
by means such as the World Day to Combat Desertification which it annually
commemorates on 17 June since the ratification of the convention in 1994.
In a similar vein, the secretariat has greatly promoted the gradual discursive
transformation of desertification from being a regional problem that can be
observed world-wide into a global commons problem. This shift in meaning
is a striking example of the power of discourse as it has far-reaching mate-
rial implications. With desertification as a global problem, projects that relate
to the implementation of the Convention to Combat Desertification have fi-
nally become eligible for funding through the resourceful GEF as of 2003
albeit under the heading of land degradation. This is a concession of the do-
nor community that especially African countries have pushed for ever since
the establishment of the Facility. While it is hard to determine the specific
impact of the Desertification Secretariat in bringing this concession about, it
has played its part to keep the issue on the GEF agenda and continuously
backed developing countries respective efforts. Indeed, the Desertification
Secretariat is happy to accept credit for having contributed to this end. More-
over, officers have also expressed the view that access to the GEF funds is an
overdue step to make up for the lack of a genuine financing mechanism under
the UNCCD. This perception relates to the controversy regarding the Global
60
Hama A. Diallo, cited in Corell 1999, 65.
61
Middleton and Thomas 1992.
62
As underscored by UNEPs recent Strategy on Land Use Management and Soil
Conservation. UNEP 2004.
375
Steffen Bauer
63
For details pertaining to UNCCD financing see Falloux, Tressler, and Mayrand
2006.
64
See Corell and Betsill 2001.
65
See IISD 2003.
376
Does Bureaucracy really matter?
66
UNCCD 2003, 13-16.
377
Steffen Bauer
tions.67 While executive officers of the secretariat have offered explanations for
the controversies arising in Havana and sharply deny allegations of intrans-
parency, some damage is done. The authority of the Desertification Secretariat
took a blow that has its manifest expressions, among other things, in a formal
demarche of the European Union, a statement by Canada, threatening to with-
draw from the UNCCD process, and a decision of the Conference of Parties to
subject the secretariats activities to a comprehensive review by the United
Nations Joint Inspection Unit.68
Authoritative but confrontational leadership that comes to the fore in secre-
tariat initiatives such as insisting on the High Level Segment appear to gener-
ate from a self-understanding of the secretariat as an internationally sanc-
tioned advocacy organization of the global South. Virtually all interviewed
secretariat officers have emphasized, in slightly varying wordings, that the
secretariat serves the majority of parties. This statement can be found to be
correct in so far as the attitude of the secretariat matches the aspirations of
most developing country parties as well as it may be justified on the basis of
the sustainable development prose of the convention text. It fails to acknowl-
edge, however, that the implementation of agreements under the roof of the
United Nations commonly relies on consensual decision making, at least in
political practice. Thus, alienating a few powerful states is not helpful in pur-
suing whatever objective a secretariat may have, just as it would not be helpful
to disrespect the interests of a less powerful share of developing countries. In
terms of furthering the objectives of the convention, this inconsiderateness on
behalf of the secretariat amounts to a perceived breech of neutrality that de-
creases the authority of its bureaucratic personality and leaves parties suspi-
cious of future secretariat activities. Moreover, this loss of authority is not
restricted to the standing vis--vis developed country parties. It also affects
developing country parties who would rather not have an intergovernmental
treaty secretariat alienate donor countries as they may eventually turn their
back on a progressive convention that was so difficult to bring about.
67
IISD 2003, 14.
68
Ibid.
378
Does Bureaucracy really matter?
4 Conclusion
379
Steffen Bauer
would be short sighted to blame this development solely on the moves of this
experienced and highly skilled diplomat. Rather, I would argue, the behaviour
of the secretariat reflects the evolution of the UN Convention to Combat De-
sertification before the actual creation of the secretariat. The distinct history
of the convention, and the parts many of todays UNCCD senior officers have
individually played in it, significantly shape the bureaucratic personality of the
Desertification Secretariat. In particular, there is a peculiar organizational
culture that might be interpreted as a manifestation of the persistent driving
forces that brought about the anti-desertification convention after two decades
of tough North-South bargaining. In this respect, it is only fair to attribute
part of the responsibility for the current situation to the hypocrisy of devel-
oped countries. Rhetorically, they have accepted desertification as a global
problem, but politically they continue to view this as a concession to Southern
interests rather than prioritizing it on their own agenda. If this is indeed the
case, the endeavours of the Desertification Secretariat would appear as a steep
uphill struggle. It remains plausible, however, that the secretariat might be in
a better position to play an authoritative role in the convention process today,
had it acted more discreetly in its recent past.
In sum, it should be noted again, that international treaty secretariats are but
one factor of effective environmental governance. Naturally, the outcomes of
international politics are first and foremost determined by factors other than
treaty secretariats and the intergovernmental civil servants employed by these
secretariats. It is for this reason precisely that the larger part of the institu-
tionalist literature in International Relations does not conceive of intergov-
ernmental secretariats as actors in their own right and only rarely attributes
attention to the roles they play apart from facilitating government interaction
and providing for a for negotiations among nations. Indeed, the potential
effects of secretariats on the overall effectiveness of a given international envi-
ronmental regime are limited as it is subject to a great number of factors that
are beyond its grasp. In particular, states remain the formal masters of a given
regime. Nonetheless, as this article illustrates, states find themselves reacting
to authoritative intergovernmental bureaucracies. The latter can hardly be
blamed for poor regime effectiveness but will occasionally need to be com-
mended for their contributions to improving the specific outcomes of a re-
gime. Often these will be outcomes that were not anticipated by the parties
when crafting a treaty and providing for its administration. Bureaucratic au-
thority thus can make a meaningful difference to the ways in which an inter-
governmental treaty is furthered or implemented.
380
Does Bureaucracy really matter?
Treaty secretariats will be the more effective in this regard, the more they are
accepted as authoritative players in the overall regime setting. To make a
meaningful difference to global environmental politics they depend on the
bureaucratic authority they muster vis--vis the other actors that operate in
the respective regime. Treaty secretariats can only be expected to affect the
behaviour of other stakeholders if they succeed in generating such bureau-
cratic authority. A secretariat that performs poorly or is perceived as misbe-
having in one way or another will instead undermine its own authority and
limit its means to shape the political processes around it.
In short, the effects even of small treaty secretariats must not be underesti-
mated. The more bureaucratic authority a secretariat acquires the more effec-
tive it will be. Systematically addressing the contributions intergovernmental
treaty secretariats can make to effective environmental governance is thus
essential for a comprehensive analysis of global environmental politics.
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385
The Institutionalization of Private Governance:
How business and non-profit organizations agree
on transnational rules1
PHILIPP PATTBERG
Abstract
This article assesses the recent trend of cooperation among antagonistic pri-
vate actors that results in the creation and implementation of issue-specific
transnational norms and rules and the subsequent shift from public to private
forms of governance. Many political scientists agree that authority also exists
outside of formal political structures. Private actors increasingly begin to
make their own rules and standards that acquire authority beyond the interna-
tional system. This observation is often referred to as private transnational
governance as opposed to public or international governance. Although the
concept of private governance gains prominence in academic debates, it is
neither clear how private governance on the global scale is constructed and
maintained nor what specific or general conditions are necessary for private
governance to emerge. Based on the review of common theoretical proposi-
tions, this article develops an integrated model along which the necessary con-
ditions for the emergence of private governance can be assessed and under-
stood. As most research has hitherto focused on institutionalized cooperation
between business actors (self-regulation) this article takes a closer look at
those transnational systems of rule that result out of the enhanced co-
operation between profit and non-profit actors (co-regulation).
1
First published in: Governance: An International Journal of Policy, Administration
and Institutions. Vol. 18, Issue 4, 2005, pp. 589-610. Copyright Blackwell Publishing.
Reprinted with kind permission
386
The Institutionalization of Private Governance
1 Introduction
The privatization of world politics is a much-debated issue in contemporary
academic discourse (Brhl; Cashore; Clapp; Savas). But whereas the provision
of services by private actors such as military companies or bond-rating agen-
cies, and the implementation and monitoring of international agreements
have already been at the center of debate for a while, the parallel development
of cooperative rule-making by private actors, both from the profit and non-
profit camp, has not received comparable attention.
As far as rules and norms are concerned, studies in International Relations
(IR) in general and global environmental politics in particular have primarily
focused on international regimes and intergovernmental organizations that
have been designed to address trans-boundary problems. Non-state actors
figure prominently on the research agenda of political scientists for more than
three decades and scholars have studied in detail their role and function in
agenda-setting, lobbying governments, and implementing international
agreements (Arts; Keck and Sikkink; Raustiala; Rowlands; Weiss and Gorden-
ker). However, still little is known about the institutionalization of governance
by private, often antagonistic actors. Research has either focused on inter-firm
cooperation as a source of private authority in the global political system (Cut-
ler, Haufler, and Porter 1999a; Hall and Biersteker) or has addressed partner-
ships between different actors from all segments of society in general, in-
cluding business, civil society, and governments (Austin; Hemmati; Willetts).
As a result, the debate about non-state actors and their new roles in gov-
ernance has been limited to public-private partnerships and global public
policy networks (Brzel and Risse; Witte, Reinicke, and Benner). It has, to a
large extent, neglected far reaching institutionalizations among private actors
without the involvement of governments, government agencies or intergov-
ernmental organizations. The underlying assumption of this article is that the
current process of private institutionalization among a wide variety of busi-
ness and non-profit actors signifies more than a greening of industry based on
rationalistic interest calculations. Instead, we witness the emergence of trans-
national organization, resulting from a variety of norm- and rule-systems on
the global level, from reporting schemes to certification and environmental
management standards, that exist primarily outside the international context.
Consequently, the impact of private actors on world politics has changed as
387
Philipp Pattberg
well. They have developed from being an intervening variable of the interna-
tional system to establishing rules that exist mainly outside of it.
But what explains this recent transformation? I argue that the conditions for
private governance to emerge can be assessed along two interconnected lines
of argumentation, focusing on the macro-level of conditions, including global
economic transformations and contextual factors on the international level,
and the micro-level, including the specific structure of the problem as well as
available organizational resources of actors involved. The two condition-levels
are understood to form an integrated model of private institutional emer-
gence. Therefore, it is possible to highlight the actual linkages between the
conditions in a more process-oriented way than single-factor accounts usually
display. The theoretical and analytical significance of this article derives from
the basic questions it sets out to answer: first, how could we conceptualize the
novel phenomenon of private governance in world politics? Second, how
could we explain its existence? And third, given the rich literature on ques-
tions of institutional formation, which analytical model is most appropriate to
do so?
Consequently, the paper proceeds in three analytical steps. First, it analyses
the shift from public to private governance and the corresponding in-
stitutionalization of cooperation between different private transnational ac-
tors. Second, it seeks to establish a common framework of analysis to un-
derstand the conditions of emergence of private institutions based on com-
mon propositions found in the literature on (private) regimes and private
cooperation. Third, it introduces two empirical cases to further substantiate
the theoretical claims made in the preceding part. The Forest Stewardship
Council (FSC) provides an illustrative example of transnational co-regulation
in the forest sector. In contrast to the Sustainable Forest Initiative or the Pan
European Forest Certification Scheme, which both have been influenced by
industry and public actors and only recently are moving towards more organ-
izational independence, the FSC constitutes a genuine cooperative effort of
profit and non-profit actors from its very beginning. The Coalition for Envi-
ronmentally Responsible Economies (CERES), the second case presented in
this article, displays a different organizational form of private regulation. Here
the rules do not govern a specific issue area but are targeted towards the eve-
ryday operations of companies in general. Achieving a better understanding of
private rule-making as one of the emerging phenomena in world politics will
not only broaden our theoretical understanding of global governance but also
388
The Institutionalization of Private Governance
2 Judith Richter has pointed to the fact that the term partnership represents a policy
paradigm based on the assumption of trust, shared benefits, and an underlying win-
win situation, concealing the fundamentally different goals and power resources of
the actors involved (2001). This article uses the concept of partnership as a value
neutral term, equivalent with cooperation.
389
Philipp Pattberg
phasizes the role of private actors, both profit and non-profit, in the establish-
ment and maintenance of issue-specific transnational rule systems in contrast
to either private agenda-setting and lobbying or international rule-making.
Therefore, private governance could be understood as a functional equivalent
to public forms of global governance involving states and intergovernmental
institutions.
Global governance is generally believed to encompass different systems of rule
on different levels of human activity as an organizing social principle beyond
hierarchical steering and the sovereign authority of nation-states. As James
Rosenau (1997, 27) notes, global governance is the sum of myriad literally
millions of control mechanisms driven by different histories, goals, struc-
tures, and processes. The phenomenon therefore includes the activities of
governments, but it also includes the many channels through which com-
mands flow in the form of goals framed, directives issued, and policies pur-
sued (Rosenau 1995, 14).
One of these possible channels is the realm of private governance. A closer
look at this phenomenon reveals that private governance is constituted of at
least three analytical dimensions: first, the procedural dimension of govern-
ance, emphasizing the activities of private transnational actors; second, the
structural dimension of governance, highlighting the distinct architecture of
a governance arrangement, including norms and rules, networks and actor-
constellations as well as formal or informal links to other areas of governance;
and third, the functional dimension of governance, focusing on the material
and ideational outcome of a private governance arrangement as a functional
equivalent to forms of national or international public governance. This three-
dimensional perspective on private governance is reflected in Falkners (2003,
72-73) assumption that private governance emerges at the global level where
the interactions among private actors [] give rise to institutional ar-
rangements that structure and direct actors behaviour in an issue-specific
area.
Consequently, the recent trend of private governance goes beyond the phe-
nomenon of privatization of world politics (Brhl, Debiel, Hamm, Hummel,
and Martens 2001), which, to a large extent, has been analyzed as service-
provision and rule-implementation by private actors. In addition, private gov-
ernance includes new actor-constellations and uncommon alliances between a
wide range of actors that go beyond coordination or cooperation. Following
Robert Keohane, cooperation can be defined as adjustments of behaviour to-
390
The Institutionalization of Private Governance
wards mutual goals that contain some degree of obligation for all participants
and thus extend cooperation into the future (1984). In contrast,
governance .. emerges out of a context of interaction that is in-
stitutionalized and of more permanent nature. In a system of
governance, individual actors do not constantly decide to be
bound by the institutional norms based on a calculation of their
interest, but adjust their behaviour out of recognition of the le-
gitimacy of the governance system (Falkner, 73).
Therefore, cooperation and forms of private governance also differ according
to the authority involved in a specific actor-constellation:
Cooperation that derives primarily from rational calculation of
the direct payoff from adjusting ones behaviour in a particular
strategic situation may not involve authority. Authority requires a
basis in trust rather than calculation of immediate benefit, and
therefore cooperation must involve the development of habits,
norms, rules, and shared expectations cooperation must be in-
stitutionalized (Cutler, Haufler, and Porter 1999b, 334-335).
The emerging private institutions that result out of enhanced cooperation
between antagonistic private actors can be understood as social practices
consisting of easily recognized roles coupled with clusters of rules or conven-
tions governing relations among the occupants of these roles (Young, 32).
From a functional perspective, private institutions govern a distinct issue area
through the development and subsequent implementation of regulations di-
rected at the behaviour of various actors. Therefore, they can be qualified as
private regulative institutions. The resulting regulative rules take different
forms, ranging from management standards to codes of conduct and detailed
global certification schemes.
Next to setting detailed regulative rules, private institutions are generally be-
lieved to fulfil additional functions within the context of private governance
(Pattberg). By providing a forum for deliberation and conflict resolution, by
producing and disseminating valuable knowledge and information, by provid-
ing opportunities for organizational learning, and by securing independent
verification of norm-compliance, private institutions effectively provide an
institutionalized response to intertwined environmental, social, and economic
problems. It is precisely through these distinct functions that private institu-
tions exercise authority within a given issue area and beyond. These observa-
391
Philipp Pattberg
tions are in line with the assumption that private governance is a functional
equivalent of international governance. Similar to regimes established by
states, private institutions might provide collective goods, reduce transaction
costs, and decrease uncertainty (Keohane).
In sum, private regulative institutions play an important role in shaping the
realm of private governance in issue areas ranging from labour rights and fair
trade, to forest politics and biodiversity conservation. Next to private forms of
coordination and rule-implementation, the phenomenon of rule-making by
private actors gains prominence among IR scholars. But research on these pri-
vate regimes (Haufler 1993) has almost exclusively focused on institutionali-
zations among firms and business associations, neglecting far-reaching de-
velopments of institutionalization between former adversaries such as envi-
ronmental and social NGOs, investors, transnational corporations, and a vari-
ety of local or regional business actors. The corresponding question is why,
how, and under what conditions private actors from different segments of
transnational society, following different organizational and functional logics,
engage in close cooperation that produces transnational regulation beyond the
international political system.
392
The Institutionalization of Private Governance
Haufler argues, neither the common definition of regime nor the funda-
mental assumptions made about regimes suggest that there can be no such
thing as a purely private regime (1993, 96). Consequently, the regime litera-
ture is a valuable starting point for theorizing about the possible causes and
conditions of the emergence of private regulatory institutions.
The puzzle of regime formation has been explored basically along three lines
of argumentation (Hasenclever, Mayer, and Rittberger) that are not mutually
exclusive but rather work in tandem. Power-based explanations highlight the
importance of power resources, both in monetary and non-monetary terms, in
bringing about cooperation. The basic premise is that institutions are struc-
tured by and reflect the distribution of power within a given social system, be
it international and public or transnational and private. Interest-based expla-
nations focus on the interactions of self-interested parties coordinating their
behaviour to reap joint gains. The basic premise is that in order to reach co-
operation there must be a zone of agreement or contract, a possible realm of
joint gains for all the participants. The third line of argumentation is labelled
knowledge-based and revolves around the importance of ideas, arguments and
social identities. The basic premise holds that the different interest determin-
ing a specific zone of agreement are not exogenously given, but subject of cog-
nitive processes and developments such as scientific information and conver-
gence or general framing of issues.
Recent case studies on private authority have revealed based on the classic
regime literature three possible explanations for the emergence of private
inter-firm cooperation. Contextual factors and systemic changes are identified
to have a major influence on private institutionalization. Haufler (2000, 122)
for example argues that the globalization of economic activities has resulted in
a mis-match between markets and politics in terms of governance. Conse-
quently, the demand for rules to govern commerce has given rise to a variety
of sources of supply, and one of the most significant [] is the private sector
itself (Haufler 2000, 121). But growing private institutionalization of rule-
making can not only been explained in terms of macro-systemic transforma-
tions, discernible in the recurrent failure of governments worldwide to cope
with trans-boundary problems, but also by applying rationalistic approaches
that focus on utility-maximizing actors as the fundamental heuristic units.
Efficiency gains approaches analyze cooperation and subsequent institution-
alization in terms of a possible reduction of transaction costs (Cutler, Haufler,
and Porter 1999b, 338). In this view, inter-firm regimes may reduce costs asso-
393
Philipp Pattberg
394
The Institutionalization of Private Governance
395
Philipp Pattberg
sponses to the growing demand for corporate social and environmental ac-
countability (Wapner).
The third claim is closely related to the work of Antonio Gramsci. In this view,
novel relations between states, business actors, international organizations, and
civil society institutions signify a shift from more traditional forms of politics to
market-oriented, corporate-sponsored regimes that clearly benefit corporate
interests (Falkner, 75). The applicability of this concept to the realm of private
governance stems from the particular importance of business and civil society as
central categories within the framework of private institutionalization. Neo-
Gramscian theory seems capable of explaining the current transformation of the
economic arena, which is driven by a hegemonic bloc of business and society
elites, resulting in a new approach to regulation such as market-driven self-
regulation. Within this institutional setting, a managerial elite from multina-
tional corporations, transnational NGOs, academia, and governmental agencies
comprises a transnational historical bloc, exercising leadership as a conse-
quence of individual and collective human acts (Cox; Germain and Kenny, 6;
Pijl). In this view, NGOs are not natural adversaries of business interests but
play a dual role as arenas of cultural and ideological struggle, and also as key
allies in securing hegemonic stability (Levy and Newell, 90).
The aforementioned three broad theoretical approaches towards the phe-
nomenon of private institutions in global governance - regime theory, part-
nership politics, and studies in global political economy - contain valuable
propositions with regards to the emergence of private institutions. Four recur-
rent aspects seem to be important, although they receive different degrees of
attention in the respective literatures: (1) macro-systemic transformations such
as globalization or hegemonic reconfiguration as well as contextual factors on
the macro-level; (2) problem-structure, characterized by interdependent inter-
ests as well as different levels of information and knowledge; (3) organizational
resources that enable actors to reduce transaction costs or improve their stra-
tegic position; (4) ideas, knowledge, and information. For analytical purposes,
these aspects can be grouped into two broad categories, one containing the
micro-level conditions, the other those observable on the macro-level. Micro-
level conditions contain the problem-structure and organizational resources
because these are dependent on the specific issue area and the actors involved.
Macro-level conditions relate to large-scale transformations in the structure of
the international system as well as to the emergence and dissemination of
ideas and knowledge.
396
The Institutionalization of Private Governance
397
Philipp Pattberg
Coca-Cola USA, Ford Motor Company, General Motors, and Sunoco, as well as
small and medium-sized firms, including environmental front-runners such
as The Body Shop International or Aveda Corporation. The second pillar CE-
RES rests on is the CERES coalition, a network of around 90 organizations, in-
cluding environmental advocacy groups, public interest and community
groups as well as an array of investors, analysts, and financial advisors repre-
senting more than $300 billion in invested capital. A board of 21 distinguished
individuals governs CERES. The day-to-day operations are supervised by an
executive director and carried out by a staff of currently 16 people located in
Boston, MA. Although endorsing companies are not directly represented on
the CERES board, corporate representatives participate in various committees
set up by the board to develop and implement programs and project and in
this function regularly attend CERES board meetings. A further avenue of
influence for corporations is the annual CERES conference drawing together
almost all coalition members and endorsers to discuss the issue of corporate
environmental commitment in a long-term perspective. As William Clay Ford,
Chairman of the board of Ford Motor Company, noted, [t]he CERES annual
conference is helping to establish not only the agenda of the next century, but
also the relationships we will need to solve some very daunting issues (CERES
2001, 9).
The regulatory dimension of CERES as an institution contains two related
aspects: first, the principles, establishing a normative framework for compa-
nies to operate in; and second, a standardized format for corporate environ-
mental reporting, prescribing the form and contend of public disclosure (CE-
RES 1999a). Both aspects can be considered a major success. Many companies
have published an environmental mission statement drawing on the original
Valdez principles. To date, more than 2000 companies worldwide regularly
publish environmental reports. The CERES report form gained so much
credibility that it provided the basis for the global sustainability reporting
guidelines operated by the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI), a tripartite net-
work of NGOs, corporations, and the United Nations Environment Program.
CERES not only provided substantial knowledge and information, but also
served as the secretariat and organizational driver until the GRI became an
independent organization in 2000.
When institutional investors and representatives of major environmental or-
ganizations convened at Chapel Hill, North Carolina, in April 1989 to discuss
ways to improve the environmental and social impacts of investments, a whole
398
The Institutionalization of Private Governance
range of controversial issues waited to be solved. For social investors and their
clients, the lack of information about the environmental performance of com-
panies was a real risk for their business. Either information came from the
companies themselves, displaying advanced public relations skills rather than
substantial information, or from advocacy groups addressing their specific
constituencies. Neither served the need of a growing social investment com-
munity. Little help came from governmental regulation at that time, because
measures focused on specific substances, like in the case of the Toxic Release
Inventory established in 1987, rather than on environmental performance in
its entirety. NGOs on their part began to realize that conventional lobbying
strategies aimed at governments were becoming less efficient, while at the
same time business actors emerged as major threats to the environment. Es-
pecially the catastrophe of Bhopal in 1984 and the Exxon Valdez oil spill of
1989 have brought corporate misbehaviour to the forefront of public concern.
As a result, companies, although reluctant in the beginning, started to look for
credible ways to secure brand reputation and profits in the midst of a hostile
public environment. In sum, interdependent stakeholders having vested in-
terests in the problem, disproportional levels of expertise and information as
well as different perspectives resulting in an adversarial relationship, charac-
terized the problem-structure.
After a couple more meetings among the original coalition members the ne-
gotiations led to the formulation and public announcement of the Valdez
principles on September 7, 1989, resulting in considerable media-coverage and
public attention. Already this early phase of negotiations showed an interest-
ing feature. Debates were not based on positional negotiation and confronta-
tional strategies, but on a common framework of reference from where future
visions could develop.
Two ideas, one practical, the other more visionary, served as influential insti-
tutional models. First, the system of standardized financial accounting that
emerged in collaboration between public and private actors in the United
States and is controlled and monitored by the Financial Accounting Board.
The second idea that had a considerable impact on the coalition members
ability to identify a common platform for action was to use shareholder peti-
tions to challenge corporate behaviour, as in the case of the Sullivan principles
applied to US companies operating in South Africa under the Apartheid re-
gime. The Sullivan principles originated in 1977, when Reverend Leon Sulli-
van, a Baptist minister, issued his code of conduct in an attempt to end dis-
399
Philipp Pattberg
400
The Institutionalization of Private Governance
401
Philipp Pattberg
community did reject the approach in the very beginning, the idea of envi-
ronmental principles coupled with standardized reporting provided a com-
mon point of reference that was used as a strong long-term vision to bridge
existing differences. The macro-level of conditions plays a twofold role in the
case. First, contextual factors such as the Exxon Valdez catastrophe provided
an additional impulse for successful private regulation; second, macro-shifts
in the economic realm drove corporate actors to the forefront of public atten-
tion. What could not be confirmed was a simple power or interest-based ex-
planation. What rather seem to be influential are available organizational re-
sources that can be exchanged to create a zone of joint gains. Although com-
panies did achieve gains such as positive brand reputation, the initial coopera-
tion process was marked by uncertainty with regard to the possible outcome.
What seems to be of further importance is the existence of an institutional
entrepreneur, a committed individual generating momentum for the respec-
tive idea, similar to the concept of a norm entrepreneur as discussed by Fin-
nemore and Sikkink. These findings indicate that an integrated model, com-
bining micro- and macro-structures, is better equipped to understand the
emergence of private regulatory institutions than a single-factor account.
402
The Institutionalization of Private Governance
ronmental interests within three chambers, governs the FSC. The GA elects a
board of directors that mirrors the principal governance structure. Each
chamber sends three members to the board for a three-year term. The board
decides on all issues of major importance, from approving national represen-
tatives and initiatives of the FSC, to allocating the annual budget, to approving
new standards. The operational work of the FSC is handled by the FSC inter-
national secretariat located in Bonn, Germany, and supervised by an Executive
Director who is appointed by the board. Whereas the day to day operations of
the FSC are in the responsibility of the international secretariat and its execu-
tive director, and questions of major importance are decided by the board of
directors, only the general assembly is authorized to change the fundamental
standards and principles as well as the statutes of the FSC. Currently, the
FSC incorporates about 600 individual and organizational members, 36 na-
tional initiatives, and 13 independent certification organizations within its
network. Member organizations include large economic actors such as IKEA,
The Home Depot, and B&Q, national and international environmental advo-
cacy groups, for example Greenpeace, the World Wide Fund for Nature
(WWF), and Friends of the Earth, and a wide range of social advocacy groups,
including the German trade union IG Bau and indigenous campaigns within
their scope.
As a private regulatory institution, the FSC produces three different basic
types of standards. First, global forest management standards that form the
basis for national and regional standards development; second, chain of cus-
tody standards prescribing detailed rules along the production chain; and
third, standards for accreditation. The standards are developed and drafted by
the standards and policies unit within the international secretariat and later
approved by the board of directors. To date, more than 47 million hectares of
forests worldwide are certified according to FSC standards, amounting to 5%
of trade in forests products. From 1996 until 2004 the FSC has issued 4000
certificates, both for forest management and chain of custody.
In March 1991, a group of timber users, traders, and representatives of social
and environmental organizations convened in California to discuss the need
for a credible system for identifying well-managed forests as an acceptable
resource of forest products (FSC and WWF-Germany, 6). One year later, WWF
had teamed up with major retailers in the UK to form the UK Forest and
Trade Network. In October 1993, the FSC held its first general assembly after a
18 month intense consultation period in ten countries, including the US, Can-
403
Philipp Pattberg
ada, Sweden, and Peru. Several distinct features characterize the problem-
structure that underlay this process of institutionalization. Media-coverage on
tropical deforestation and related social issues such as the Amazonian rubber
tappers protest against illegal logging and the subsequent investment in cattle
quickly turned the word tropical timber into a negative synonym for environ-
mental degradation and human exploitation. Buying mahogany furniture had
become a critical issue among northern consumers by the late 1980s. With
environmental organizations organizing boycotts against tropical timber re-
tailers, and some governments discussing the possibility of banning timber
import, companies were looking for new ways to protect their profits. Major
business players quickly realized that in fact they could not account for the
origin and nature of their raw materials. This created a need for transparent
product labels, which were nonexistent at that time. Some NGOs on their part
were unhappy with the debate focusing only on timber boycott, which espe-
cially WWF saw as contra-productive. Instead, WWF-UK conducted a seminar
on the forest problem, entitled Forests Are Your Business, resulting in the
WWF 95 group. Ten major do-it-yourself and furniture companies agreed to
phase out, by 1995, the purchase and sale of non-sustainable wood and wood-
products (Bendell and Murphy, 70). The competing needs of the major stake-
holders became evident at that point in time. An increasingly competitive
global market for timber products drove large multinational corporations
while at the same time brand reputation became a major topic of concern.
Small forest owners wanted their share of the market but maintain independ-
ence, communities relied on forests to finance community infrastructure,
indigenous people demanded the recognition of fundamental rights while
workers sought to secure employment and fundamental labor standards. Envi-
ronmental organizations on their term focused on protecting and preserving
the integrity of the forest ecosystems.
Around the same time, the ongoing negotiations about an international
agreement on the worlds forest raised expectations among NGOs and corpo-
rations for a credible solution to their problems. Although the first interna-
tional response to the problem of deforestation, the International Tropical
Timber Agreement focusing on trade in tropical timber products, was already
agreed on in 1983, it was not until the late 1980s that the international com-
munity reached a consensus on the necessity to consider a global approach to
the forest problem. In the end, it was the failure of the intergovernmental
process that gave an additional burst to the idea of private forest certification.
For Timothy Synnott, FSCs first Executive Director until January 2001, it is
404
The Institutionalization of Private Governance
evident that [a] clear impulse for the formation of FSC in 1993 came out of the
failure of the Rio conference in 1992 and its failure to produce a legally bind-
ing forestry element (FSC and WWF-Germany 2002, 8). And Francis Sullivan,
member of WWF-UK and involved in the WWF 95 group and FSC, argued that
one can not sit back and wait for governments to agree. Instead, working with
people and companies who might get things done could be the right thing to
do (Bendell and Murphy, 69).
Although UNCED was unable to deliver a binding agreement on the worlds
forests, it nevertheless provided important guidance for the FSC process. The
Rio conference was the place were the concept of sustainability rose to its
greatest appreciation. Based on the 1987 Brundtland Report, UNCED agreed
on the Agenda 21 as the blueprint for sustainability in the 21st century. The
document calls on governments to identify appropriate national strategies for
the sustainable use of forest resources, acknowledging the crucial contribution
of nongovernmental actors and business interests. For Peter Prokosch, CEO of
WWF-Germany, the FSC constitutes the archetype of the participatory proc-
ess envisioned by Agenda 21 (FSC and WWF-Germany, 3). The idea of partici-
pation and equal representation based on the general assumption of the sus-
tainability discourse that environmental, social, and economic interests are of
the same value has been an important prerequisite for cooperation between
the different stakeholders. Especially the unique tripartite governance struc-
ture, ensuring equal representation of all interests, has served as an early point
of reference and a common ground for future negotiations. Although difficult
to measure, individual commitment seems to have played a decisive role in
the emergence of the FSC. As interviews with current staff members of FSC
indicate, special credit for getting the FSC started is given to individuals at
WWF who approached British companies with a view to partnership and not
conflict.
Similar to the CERES case, available organizational resources played a greater
role in the process of institutionalization than strategic reduction of transac-
tion costs. Although companies were able to minimize cost, for example by
eliminating intermediate traders based on information they obtained through
the cooperation with local NGOs, this has been an unintended consequence
rather than a clear strategic vision on parts of the companies. More decisive
was the fact that NGOs were perceived as legitimate social actors by the public
and thus could deliver the much needed credibility to forest certification sys-
tems. Furthermore, NGOs provided expert knowledge on many complex is-
405
Philipp Pattberg
406
The Institutionalization of Private Governance
The two condition sets are supposed to be interconnected and form an inte-
grated model of private regulatory institutions emergence because distinct
variables are systematically interacting with each other and thus jointly pro-
duce a certain result (Efinger, Mayer, and Schwarzer 1993, 273). It is further
assumed that the distinct interplay between the macro- and the micro-level of
conditions creates a window of opportunity for the emergence of private regu-
latory institutions. Institutionalization is thus understood to be a dynamic
process.
The advantage of analyzing private governance along a macro-level/micro-
level distinction is twofold: first, the systematic interactions of factors as well
as the specific mechanisms operating therein become evident. Consider for
example the proposition that public pressure can explain the emergence of co-
regulative systems of rule. The empirical cases analyzed in this article have
shown that pressure is a decisive factor but operates through different path-
ways publicly orchestrated boycott or more clandestine shareholder peti-
tions that are dependent on the problem-structure and organizational re-
sources. Second, the proposed model allows for a systematic treatment of ma-
jor factors by offering a structured approach to the analysis of private govern-
ance. A consecutive treatment of the macro- and microstructures in the ana-
lytical process could assure researchers that no major factor has gone unno-
ticed.
Drawing on the two cases, a common narrative can be presented. In this view,
distinct problem-structures, different levels of information and knowledge as
well as adversarial relationships among stakeholders create demand that is not
met by public regulation. The ability to create private demand for regulation
and to find a common solution rests on the organizational resources of dis-
tinct actors. These resources are a result of rather large-scale transformations.
NGOs and other social actors have emerged as an accepted corrective to public
actors while at the same time corporations acquired both greater environ-
mental impact and public visibility. In this situation, ideas can help to inte-
grate these resources (civil society pressure, public acceptance and envi-
ronmental impact) for a joint solution. In short, when private regulatory de-
mand, being a result of strategy and macro-systemic transformations, is not
met by adequate public supply, a broad inclusive idea can help to integrate re-
sources that can be mutually exchanged to solve the multi-party problem.
In sum, an integrated model, combining the macro- and micro-level of politi-
cal structures, has proved helpful in the analysis of private governance. This
407
Philipp Pattberg
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410
Success and Failure in International River Basin
Management The Case of Southern Africa 1
STEFAN LINDEMANN
Abstract 2
Home to 15 international river basins and affected by growing water scarcity,
the region of Southern Africa is often considered a hydropolitical hot spot
prone to wars over transboundary water resources. Rejecting this widespread
water wars hypothesis, the paper discusses four selected cases of regional
water co-operation and asks if and how these initiatives have provided guid-
ance for the resolution of transboundary problems along Southern African
waterways. To what extent have the existing international river basin man-
agement schemes been successful in resolving the problems that prompted
their creation? And what are the pathways to success and failure in the manag-
ing of international rivers?
Drawing on regime theory, the author develops an analytical framework that
explains the success of international water regimes with the complex interplay
of (1) Problem factors - the incentive structure of the respective problem and
the underlying problem pressure; (2) process factors - the political tools to
balance incentive structure and reduce transaction costs; (3) institutional fac-
tors - the institutional regime design; (4) country-specific factors - the politi-
cal, socioeconomic and cognitive capacities of the member countries; and (5)
factors of international context - the political context between member coun-
tries and third-actor support. The empirical findings offer some valuable in-
1
This article will be published in: Brauch, H.G. / Grin, J. / Mesjasz, C. / Krummen-
acher, H. / Chadha Behera, N. / Chourou, B. / Oswald Spring, U. / Liotta, P. H. /
Kameri-Mbote, P. (eds.): Facing Global Environmental Change: Environmental,
Human, Energy, Food, Health and Water Security Concepts. Springer: Berlin - Hei-
delberg - New York. Copyright Springer. Preprinted with kind permission.
2
This article builds on and summarises the detailed findings in Lindemann (2005).
411
Stefan Lindemann
sight into the conditions for success of international river basin management.
While the hypothesized role of problem, process and institutional factors is
largely confirmed, it is especially the (often neglected) integration of country-
specific and contextual factors that is of particular interest: The high relevance
of national capacity deficits, political instabilities and strained bilateral rela-
tions illustrates that a thorough discussion of success and failure in interna-
tional river basin management requires a more systematic consideration of
these influencing factors.
3
River basins or catchment areas are defined by a common mouth, which is either
the point where the river flows into the sea or into an inland delta.
4
The UN Convention on the Law of the Non-Navigational Uses of International Wa-
tercourses, which took 27 (!) years to develop, establishes a series of principles for in-
ternational water cooperation but has neither entered into force nor does it provide
clear guidance in resolving transboundary water conflicts (Beach/Hammer/ Hewitt/-
412
Success and Failure in International River Basin Management
413
Stefan Lindemann
Southern Africa is certainly among the worlds most interesting regions in the
field of international water since few regions offer as much contrast. Due to
the regions relative water scarcity5, the 15 international basins in the Southern
African Development Community (SADC) are regularly included among the
worlds hydropolitical hot spots, second only to the arid and hostile Middle
East (Wolf 2003: 1). Water scarcity in Southern Africa is firstly a problem of
inadequate supply since levels of water availability are highly volatile due to
climate and weather extremes.6 But water scarcity is also demand-induced
since ceteris paribus the water available per capita tends to diminish due to
both increasing industrial/agricultural development and average annual popu-
lation growth of more than 3 per cent (Mohamed 2003: 213). Lastly, there is also
a structural aspect to the problem of water scarcity in Southern Africa: Due to
colonial and postcolonial settlement policies, the available water resources are
extremely unequally distributed and mostly located far outside the urban areas
(Swatuk 2002). Altogether, water resources are relatively scarce, extremely vola-
tile and mostly located in international river basins a fact that makes the
international river basins crucial for the development of the entire region
(Granit 2000: 2).
On the other hand, Southern Africa now has more experience in negotiating
water treaties and implementing joint management bodies than any other
region on earth, save the European Union (Wolf 2003: 1). While some of the
management schemes in Southern Africas international river basins date back
5
Recent calculations for Southern Africa reveal that water is already scarce in a num-
ber of local basins, reaching availability levels of 1000 m3 or less per capita per an-
num. By 2025, based on renewable supplies and demographic data, it is expected
that Malawi and South Africa will face absolute water scarcity, and Lesotho, Mauri-
tius, Tanzania and Zimbabwe will be water stressed; while Angola, Botswana, DRC,
Mozambique, Swaziland and Zambia are likely to experience water quality and avail-
ability problems in the dry season (Hirji/Mackay/Maro 2002: 7). Despite undeniable
deficits the designation of entire countries as water scarce is methodologically
problematic since water scarcity is a complex and regionally varying phenomenon
(Schiffer 2001: 4) the indicators give an impression of Southern Africas current
and coming water crisis.
6
The climate in the region is characterised by staggering evaporation rates, extreme
variations in precipitation over the year and recurrent floods and droughts
(Chenje/Johnson 1996). These extremes that are expected to worsen in the context
of global climate change make that the North and the East of the region are rela-
tively wet (Democratic Republic of Congo, Angola and Zambia), while the South and
the West receive very little rainfall (Namibia, Botswana, South Africa, Zimbabwe).
414
Success and Failure in International River Basin Management
to colonial times, most of the 24 international water treaties in the region have
been negotiated since the mid 1980s. In the light of the Southern African
water crisis, the existing efforts for international river management are of
great importance. This is why I ask if and how these initiatives have provided
guidance for the resolution of transboundary problems along international
waterways. To what extent have the existing international river basin man-
agement schemes been successful in resolving the problems that prompted
their creation? And what are the pathways to success and failure in the manag-
ing of international rivers?
7
International regimes are sets of implicit or explicit principles, norms, rules and
decision-making procedures around which actors expectations converge in a given
area of international relations (Krasner 1983: 2).
415
Stefan Lindemann
8
Environmental problems typically lead to a multitude of initiatives, which have an
impact on the problem but are not necessarily linked to the existence of a related
environmental regime (Young 1999: 5).
416
Success and Failure in International River Basin Management
good without receiving full compensation for its efforts (e.g. the provision for
flood control upstream). Other problems in international river basins are of a
collective nature (e.g. floods or common development projects). These prob-
lems are collective in that they impose (more or less equal) costs on all affected
riparian countries direct costs in the case of transboundary floods, opportu-
nity costs in the case of under-utilised river development potentials. Problems
related to transboundary externalities and collective problems differ funda-
mentally with respect to the underlying incentive structure of the relevant
actors: In the case of collective problems, incentives tend to be symmetrical,
while transboundary externalities are usually characterised by asymmetric
incentive structures. This is why there is reason to believe that problems re-
lated to transboundary externalities are more difficult to resolve than collec-
tive problems (Marty 2001: 37).
Beyond incentive structures, problems in international river basin manage-
ment vary according to the amount of problem pressure involved that is, the
perceived visibility of a given problem (Jnicke 1999: 77). Recurrent floods, for
example, involve more problem pressure than the threat of water scarcity in
the year 2025 and should therefore lead to more political pressure to tackle the
given problem.
Hypothesis 1: Problem factors the underlying incentive struc-
tures and problem pressure influence the prospects of water
regime formation: While collective problems facilitate the forma-
tion of water regimes, the latter are more difficult to achieve in
the case of tranboundary externalities. The higher the problem
pressure involved, the better the prospects for the creation of ef-
fective water regimes.
2.1.2 Process Factors
Moving beyond the purely functional logic of the early 1980s (e.g. Keohane
1984), regime analysis has come to realise that incentive structures do not en-
tirely determine the prospects of regime formation a turn to process in
regime analysis (Schramm Stokke 1997: 58). This is why there is reason to
focus on political tools that help to transform the given constellation of inter-
ests and thereby promote international water cooperation. These process
factors can be divided into mechanisms to balance incentive structures and
instruments to reduce the transaction costs of regime formation (Marty 2001:
38ff.).
417
Stefan Lindemann
418
Success and Failure in International River Basin Management
Specific regimes are problem oriented and incorporate precise rules and pro-
cedures that structure the relevant actors behaviour with a view to a better
management of the problem at hand. If these precise rules and procedures are
missing, there is scope for interpretation and rule avoidance and the effective-
ness of the regime is bound to suffer. Feasible regimes choose their goals ac-
cording to the available financial and personal resources: If the respective
goals do not take account of the resources at hand, the regime effectiveness
can be expected to decrease. Given the fact that resources to solve problems
related to international river basin management are usually limited, there is
reason to assume that water regimes tend to be more effective if their goals are
of limited scope (Marty 2001: 47). Flexible regimes include institutional
mechanisms that allow adapting to changes in the problem structure. A lack of
flexibility is likely to lead to reduced regime effectiveness since the existing
problem solving strategy may prove inadequate to cope with changing circum-
stances. Furthermore, effective water regimes need a centralised organisation
structure. In such a case, one central actor exercises the regime functions -
usually an international organisation. This should facilitate coordination,
communication and monitoring and lead to more regime effectiveness. Open
regimes allow for a high degree of public participation. If non-state actors are
involved in the decision-making process, this should increase the available
knowledge as well as the legitimacy of the respective regime and foster its
effectiveness.
Hypothesis 3: The effectiveness of a water regime varies with its
institutional design: The more specific, feasible, flexible and
open and the more centralised its organisation structure, the
higher the effectiveness of the water regime.
2.1.4 Country-specific Factors
Determinants of international regime effectiveness are not restricted to insti-
tutional regime design but also include country-specific characteristics
(Mitchell 2001: 13). The latter comprise all those specific features of regime
member countries that influence the implementation and thereby the success
of the respective regime (Brown-Weiss/Jacobson 1998: 7). Despite the obvious
difficulty to integrate country-specific factors into an analytical framework
they range from cognitive-informational capacities, political-institutional
attributes and economic-technological context to aspects of political culture
and individual leadership I make an attempt to consider and systematise
their influence.
419
Stefan Lindemann
420
Success and Failure in International River Basin Management
for the implementation and/or further development of the water regime and
its effectiveness is bound to suffer.
Furthermore, the effectiveness of international regimes varies with the influ-
ence of international organisations (Breitmeier 1997; Brown-Weiss/Jacobson
1998). This influence is exercised through multiple channels: International
organisations provide financial resources, offer their technical and cognitive
expertise and act as independent mediators between conflict parties. Even
though these activities are not per se positive, there is reason to assume that
the support of international organisations promotes water regime effective-
ness, especially in the developing world where financial, technical and cogni-
tive resources are particularly scarce. In analogy, the effectiveness of interna-
tional regimes is influenced by the activities of non-state actors networks that
comprise international NGOs, local interest groups, journalists, policy experts
or academics (Brown-Weiss/Jacobson 1998: 7; Mitchell 2001: 13). These net-
works mobilise and transfer knowledge about the problem at hand, initiate
political campaigns and thereby contribute to a public debate that impacts on
the evolution of the respective regime and should usually enhance its effec-
tiveness.
Hypothesis 5: A water regime depends on its international con-
text. Water regime effectiveness increases (1) the better the state
of bilateral relations between regime members; and the higher
the support by (2) international organisations; and (3) non-state
actors networks. Figure 1 summarises the different components
of the outlined research framework.
421
Stefan Lindemann
Problem factors
Problems related to transboundary externalities vs. collective problems
Amount of problem pressure
Process factors
Mechanisms to balance incentive structures
Instruments to reduce transaction costs
Regime formation
Factors of
Country-specific international context
factors Institutional factors State of bilateral relations
Economic-technological Specificity between regime members
capacities Feasibility Influence of international
Political-institutional Flexibility organisations
capacities Centralised organisation structure Influence of non-state
Openness actors networks
Regime effectiveness
422
Success and Failure in International River Basin Management
3 Empirical Findings
In this section, I first assess the effectiveness of the four water regimes (3.1)
and then go on to identify the political determinants of water regime forma-
tion and effectiveness (3.2).
The first water regime under investigation is the Permanent Water Commis-
sion on the Okavango River Basin (OKACOM). The Okavango River originates
in Angola, crosses Namibia and then discharges into the Okavango Delta in
Botswana. While so far little Okavango water has been used, growing water
needs since the early 1990s have led to plans for an increased water use and
provoked tensions between the three riparian countries (Ashton 2003: 170).
Thus, the riparian countries created OKACOM in 1994 for the conservation,
development and utilisation of common water resources (OKACOM Treaty
1994). Sine then, OKACOM has successfully institutionalised conflict poten-
tial, generated continuous dialogue at the political level and conducted a
transboundary diagnostic analysis. While some behavioural change can be
observed, the three riparian countries remain mainly concerned with national
interests and sovereignty (Swatuk 2003: 129) and a river basin wide political
perspective is far from being achieved (GEF 2002: 12). Despite some achieve-
ments and undeniable potential for improvement, OKACOMs effectiveness
remains therefore rather limited.
423
Stefan Lindemann
The situation along the Zambezi River is even more difficult. Shared by An-
gola, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Namibia, Botswana, Malawi, Tanzania and Mozam-
bique, the Zambezi is the regions largest river basin and a veritable artery of
life and development (Sderbaum 2002: 118) for the eight riparian countries.
While the Zambezi is generally rich in water, both weather extremes and
population growth have put increasing pressure on the available water re-
sources. As early as in 1987, the Zambezi riparian countries agreed on a Zam-
bezi Action Plan (ZACPLAN) aiming at an environmentally sound manage-
ment of the Zambezi River basin (ZACPLAN Treaty 1987). The comprehensive
action plan consists of 19 sub-projects and envisages, among others, the devel-
opment of a regional water law, the creation of a common monitoring system
and the elaboration of an integrated management plan for the entire basin.
However, the ZACPLAN has not functioned as a powerful locomotive to pro-
mote environmentally sound management of the Zambezi river basin with
participation of riparian countries, to the extent it was originally supposed to
do (Nakayama 1999: 398): The implementation of the ambitious water regime
has been considerably delayed and only two of the sub-projects have led to
visible results. Almost 20 years after the creation of the ZACPLAN, an inte-
grated basin wide management is still a distant vision and the basin remains
an arena of different national interest in which the various riparian states are
developing diverging policies and plans that are usually not compatible (Chi-
uta 2000: 153). Since no behavioural change can be observed, the ZACPLAN can
be qualified as ineffective.
While the ZACPLAN has so far been a failure, bilateral attempts for an interna-
tional management of the Zambezi stretch between Zambia and Zimbabwe
have proved more successful. Faced with electricity shortages after World War
II, North and South Rhodesia felt the urgent need for a coordinated develop-
ment of the common water resources a need that led to the construction of
the huge Kariba Dam between 1955 and 1976 (Tumbare 2002: 107). After the
end of the federation in 1963, the two countries established the Central African
Power Corporation (CAPCO) to allow for the continued operation of the
Kariba Dam. In 1987, Zambia and Zimbabwe decided to replace the CAPCPO
with the Zambezi River Authority (ZRA) to obtain for the economic, indus-
trial, and social development of the two countries, the greatest possible benefit
from the natural advantages offered by the waters of the Zambezi River and to
improve and intensify the utilisation of the waters for the production of en-
ergy and for any other purpose beneficial to the two countries (ZRA Treaty
1987). The focus of the ZRA remains on the operation of the Kariba Dam but is
424
Success and Failure in International River Basin Management
425
Stefan Lindemann
How can one explain these different levels of water regime effectiveness? First
of all, the case studies show that the underlying incentive structures do indeed
influence the prospects of water regime formation. In the cases of OKACOM
and ZACPLAN both characterised by the threat of transboundary external-
ities the initial constellation of interests proved an obstacle for cooperation,
while the relatively symmetric incentive structure in the case of the ZRA a
collective problem clearly facilitated the establishment of a water regime
around the Kariba dam. However, one should not exaggerate the importance
of incentive structures, which do not entirely determine the prospects of re-
gime formation but rather serve as an indicator of a given initial situation that
can be transformed during the negotiation process: As seen in the case of the
LHWP, initially asymmetric incentives can be transformed into win-win
situations. Also, taking a closer look at the ZRA case, one realises that the in-
centives of cooperation partners are almost never fully symmetric. Even if two
riparian states are affected by the same problem electricity shortages in the
case of the ZRA the degree of their affectedness or their preferred solutions
may differ and thus hinder water regime formation.
Furthermore, the empirical findings confirm the amount of problem pressure
as a relevant influencing factor. As the case of ZACPLAN clearly illustrates, a
lack of problem pressure may prevent far-reaching water cooperation:
There is not a real issue on the Zambezi. The Zambezi has got so
much water and so little is used, and there is no real threat. You
can manufacture threats if you want, but nobody is interested in
that (Piet Heyns, Interview 17 August 2004).
In the ZRA and LHW cases, on the other hand, high problem pressure linked
to the visible problems of electricity or water shortages facilitated the creation
of more comprehensive problem solving mechanisms. These findings indicate
that purely proactive initiatives for international river basin management that
are not linked to clearly identified problems may lead to half-hearted solu-
tions and implementation deficits.
With respect to the role of process factors, I had expected that asymmetric
incentive structures were to be balanced by direct or indirect cost incentives to
pave the way for water regime formation. This assumption was only confirmed
426
Success and Failure in International River Basin Management
in the case of the LHWP where Lesotho agreed to arrange for a water transfer
when South Africa offered the payment of royalties and the provision of hy-
droelectricity in return. In the cases of OKACOM and ZACPLAN, the riparian
states created rather weak problem solving mechanisms that do not touch
upon incentive structures. This is due to low problem pressure (as for
ZACPLAN) as well as to high transaction costs resulting from a lack of hydro-
logical data (especially for OKACOM). Also, one has to take into account the
time perspective since it took several decades to balance incentive structures
in the case of the LHWP.
Secondly, I had assumed that the establishment of water regimes required the
use of political tools to reduce the transaction costs of the regime formation
process an assumption that was confirmed by all cases under investigation.
Information costs are usually reduced through shared (feasibility) studies that
generate new information and establish a common knowledge basis, while
preferred strategies to reduce negotiation costs include the implication of
independent experts as well as confidence-building meetings at the technical
level. Nevertheless, it is striking to note that the formation of all four water
regimes under investigation was to an important extent facilitated by
situative political events: The post-apartheid democratic moment in the case
of OKACOM, the first African Ministerial Conference on the Environment
(AMCEN) in the case of the ZACPLAN, the establishment of the federation
between Rhodesia and Nyasaland in the case of the ZRA and the regime
change in Lesotho in the case of the LHWP. This indicates that the formation
of international water regimes is not entirely in the hands of the riparian
countries but also requires favourable situative events that can hardly be inte-
grated in explanatory frameworks.
With view to explaining the effectiveness of the four water regimes, I first need
to emphasise that regime formation and effectiveness are closely interrelated
in the sense that problem and process factors do not only determine the pros-
pects of regime formation but also impact on the effectiveness of the problem
solving mechanisms: While the balancing of incentives in the case of the
LHWP leads to a mutual interest in implementation and thereby promotes
regime effectiveness, asymmetric interests and the absence of problem pres-
sure in the ZACPLAN case lay the foundation for the ineffectiveness of the
water regime.
As regards to the hypothesised importance of institutional regime design, the
empirical findings firstly confirm that specificity is advantageous: While the
427
Stefan Lindemann
LHWP and the ZRA are problem-oriented and contain specific rules and pro-
cedures that effectively guide the actors behaviour, the ZACPLAN is little
more than a series of vague projects that do not include any concrete rules and
procedures. Furthermore, especially in light of the regions limited resources
for international river basin management, it is not advisable to burden a water
regime with the multiple and highly complex goals of the integrated man-
agement approach since this may endanger the feasibility of the undertaking
(as seen in the case of the ZACPLAN). This does not affect the desirability of
integrated river basin management but raises questions concerning its feasi-
bility. The case of the LHWP demonstrates that it may be more promising to
start with limited but problem-oriented regimes that can then be extended
over time.
Also, the case studies indicate that water regimes should contain elements of
flexibility. The strictly output-oriented ZACPLAN with its 19 subprojects
proved overly rigid and little conducive to implementation (Granit 2000: 7-8).
The advantages of a flexible approach are further illustrated by the LHWP that
allows for a continuous monitoring and adjustment of regime provisions: In
light of changing circumstances the water needs in South Africa had initially
been overestimated the project phases two to four were put on hold in a
problem-oriented manner. Furthermore, the empirical findings confirm the
hypothesised importance of a centralised organisation structure. As seen in
the OKACOM and ZACPLAN cases, the lack of a centralised institution for
project planning and coordination for example in form of a river basin se-
cretariat has a clearly negative impact on water regime effectiveness. This is
confirmed by the LHWP experience where the initially decentralised organisa-
tion structure proved ineffective and had to be centralised. With respect to
assumed need for regime openness, the case study findings are less clear.
While the ZACPLAN is the only water regime that provides for public partici-
pation, openness has not been a characteristic of the decision making process
of the regime and decisions have been taken in groups of limited representa-
tion (Lamoree/Nilsson 2001: 35). Even though recent attempts to increase pub-
lic participation in OKACOM and the LHWP have proved beneficial, the find-
ings do not allow definite conclusions on the relevance of regime openness.
Assessing the relevance of country-specific factors, I find that water regime
effectiveness indeed varies with economic-technological capacities. The
OKACOM and ZACPLAN case studies unveil striking capacities deficits in the
national water sectors, which lack the financial, technical and administrative
428
Success and Failure in International River Basin Management
429
Stefan Lindemann
4 Conclusions
The findings of the four case studies can be summarised as follows:
The characteristics of a given problem in international river basin man-
agement influence the chances of water regime formation: If the underly-
ing cooperation incentives are largely symmetric and the involved problem
pressure is high, there are good prospects for the creation of effective water
regimes.
To reduce the transaction costs of water regime formation, countries typi-
cally rely on common studies for data generation and project preparation,
the mediation of international experts and trust-building meetings at the
technical level. If in addition asymmetric interests are balanced through
cost incentives, one can expect far-reaching and effective water regimes.
Effective water regimes need adequate institutional design: Water regime
effectiveness is enhanced by problem-oriented and flexible management
approaches that take account of the available resources and are equipped
with a centralised organisation structure.
The effectiveness of international water regimes varies with country-
specific capacities: Sufficient economic-technological capacities in the na-
tional water sectors and political stability lay the foundation of water re-
gime effectiveness.
The successful management of international river basins requires a favour-
able international context: If the bilateral relations between regime mem-
bers are characterised by mutual trust and cooperation and third actors
international organisations and/or non-state actors support capacity
building and civil society participation, there are good prospects for water
regime effectiveness.
430
Success and Failure in International River Basin Management
How can one judge the relevance of these findings? As already mentioned, I
am unable to draw causal conclusions since the developed research framework
does not allow for the identification of single effects. This means that I do not
know to what extent the failure of the ZACPLAN can be attributed to asym-
metric incentives, the lack of problem pressure, inadequate regime design or
national capacity deficits. Also, I face a typical dilemma of multi-case compari-
sons: As the nature, scope and context of the water regimes under investiga-
tion are quite different, one might question the comparability of the four
cases:
Regimes are specific and embedded in history, geography and
culture. There is no one size fits all. They are needs driven. This
is where many commentators make a mistake in my view by
comparing apples to eggs... (Anthony Turton, Email 30 July 2004).
Nevertheless, this is no reason to abandon multi-case comparisons. When
understood as a systemisation of the most important driving forces and not as
an empirical generalisation, the findings do offer some valuable insight into
the conditions for success of international river basin management. Here, it is
especially the integration of country specific and contextual factors so far
largely neglected in the literature on international river basin management
that is of particular interest: The high relevance of national capacity deficits,
political instabilities and strained bilateral relations illustrates that success
and failure in international river basin management need to be discussed
beyond the traditional institutional design matters approach. Of course, one
may object that capacity deficits and instabilities are unusually developed in
the Southern African region. But since large parts of Asia, Latin America and
Eastern Europe face at least similar problems, there are good reasons to pay
greater and more systematic attention to these influencing factors.
With view to giving practical policy advice, it may seem unattractive to rec-
ommend the build-up of national capacities or the creation of a favourable
political context since this is less feasible than the adoption of a certain insti-
tutional design at least in the short term. Nevertheless, there is reason to
believe that national capacity building and the creation of a favourable politi-
cal context both at the national and international level is the key to success in
international river basin management in Southern Africa but also in the
developing world as a whole. This means that neutral third parties (interna-
tional organisations and non-state actors) need to intensify their efforts for
capacity building and mediation between conflict parties (Turton 2003: 98).
431
Stefan Lindemann
Finally, the findings of the Southern African case studies should lead to cau-
tion with respect to the today omnipresent claims for integrated river basin
management especially in the context of developing countries. This does not
mean that one needs to question the general practicability of the integrated
approach as done by Marty (2001: 398). But against the background of the ex-
periences with the ZACPLAN, it seems more promising to first bundle the
scarce resources and capacities in a problem-oriented and functional manner
before considering extending and integrating the management approach over
time.
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