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Based on 2433 interviews, conducted 12/5-7
online. Change Research 2017
Do you plan to vote in the election for Senate on
I will definitely vote.
December 12?
I will probably vote.
I might vote.
I will definitely not vote.

Who do you plan to vote for in the election on


Roy Moore, the Republican
December 12?
Doug Jones, the Democrat
Write-In
I do not plan to vote
Undecided

Who are you leaning towards? A write-in vote


Roy Moore, the Republican
Doug Jones, the Democrat
I don't plan to vote

I currently live in Alabama, am registered


Which of the following best describes you?
to vote, and am a Republican.

I currently live in Alabama, am registered


to vote, and am an independent.

I currently live in Alabama, am registered


to vote, and am a Democrat.

Yes, I voted for Roy Moore in the


Did you vote in the Senate primary in August?
Republican primary.
Yes, I voted in the Democratic primary.
No, I did not vote.
Yes, I voted for Luther Strange in the
Republican primary.
Yes, I voted for a different candidate in the
Republican primary.
How would you rate President Donald Trumps
performance so far, from 1-10? 1 means very 1
poor, 10 means excellent
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

How favorable do you feel about Doug Jones? Very unfavorable

Very favorable
Favorable
Unfavorable
Somewhat favorable
Don't know / no opinion

How favorable do you feel about Roy Moore? Very unfavorable

Very favorable
Favorable
Somewhat favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know / no opinion

What are your feelings on the Republican tax I think the plan will help rich people more
plan currently being considered in Washington? than the middle class.

I think the plan will help both the middle


class and the rich equally.
Don't know / no opinion
I think the plan will help the middle class
more than rich people.

Who did you vote for in the 2016 presidential


Donald Trump, the Republican
election?
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
Gary Johnson, the Libertarian
Did not vote
Jill Stein, the Green Party
When it comes to news, which of the following
Fox News
do you read, watch, or listen to the most?

TV Network News (ABC, NBC, CBS, PBS)

Local newspapers and TV stations


CNN
MSNBC
NPR
Breitbart
New York Times
Huffington Post
Infowars

How do the allegations against Roy


I was definitely going to vote for him
Moore impact your plans for the election in
before, and I will still vote for him.
December?
I was never going to vote for him.
I was undecided before, but now I will
definitely not vote for him.
I was definitely going to vote for him
before, but now I will definitely not vote for
him.
I was undecided before, and I am still
undecided.
I was definitely going to vote for him
before, but now I am undecided.

Recently, a number of individuals have alleged


that Roy Moore initiated sexual contact with
Yes
them when they were minors. Do you believe
that any of these allegations are true?

No
Unsure

Would any of the following make you believe the The accusations are garbage and nothing
accusations? would make me believe them.
I would believe the accusations if more
women came out.

I would believe the accusations if


President Trump says he believes them.
Which best describes how you would feel if Roy
Embarrassed
Moore were your Senator?
Proud
Neither proud nor embarrassed

President Trump has endorsed Roy Moore. Did


No effect.
this have an effect on your vote?
I was planning to vote for Moore, but this
made me <strong>not</strong> want to
vote for him.
I was undecided, but this made me decide
to vote for Moore.
I was <strong>not</strong> planning to
vote for Moore, but this made me decide to
vote for him.
I was <strong>not</strong> planning to
vote for Moore, but this made me lean
toward voting for him.

When did you make up your mind about who to


More than a month ago
vote for in the election on December 12?
More than a week ago, but less than a
month ago
Still making up my mind
In the last week

At any point in the past month, have you


changed your mind about who to vote for on I have not changed my mind at all.
December 12?
I changed my mind once and stuck with
the new decision.

I have gone back and forth multiple times.

At any point in the past month, have you


changed your mind about whether to vote on I have not changed my mind at all.
December 12?

I have gone back and forth multiple times.

I changed my mind once and stuck with


the new decision.
Do you think there's still a chance you'll change
your mind before December 12, either No chance
about who to vote for or whether to vote at all?

A small chance
A good chance

How enthusiastic are you about voting on


Very enthusiastic
December 12?
Enthusiastic
Not enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic

Which is more important to you: public officials'


character and integrity, or public officials' Both are equally important
stances on important issues?
Character and integrity are far more
important
Stances on important issues are far more
important
Stances on important issues are slightly
more important
Character and integrity are slightly more
important

If Roy Moore announced that the accusations


Probably
were true, would you vote for him?

Probably not
Definitely not
Definitely

Putting aside Roy Moore, do you generally


believe it is acceptable for men in their 30s to No, it is unacceptable.
date teenage girls?
It is sometimes acceptable.
Yes, it is acceptable.

Which party do you think is more forgiving of


Democrats
ethical violations by its own officials?
Republicans
Have you heard more or less in the last week
about the allegations against Roy Moore than About the same
you had heard in the previous few weeks?

Much more
A little bit more
A little bit less
Much less

Do you approve or disapprove of the tax plan


Strongly disapprove
that the Senate passed last week?
Approve
Don't know / no opinion
Strongly approve
Disapprove

How would you rate Doug Jones's character and


Very strong
integrity?
Very weak
Neutral
Somewhat weak
Somewhat strong

How would you rate Roy Moore's character and


Very weak
integrity?
Very strong
Somewhat strong
Neutral
Somewhat weak

How would you rate Donald Trump's character


Very weak
and integrity?
Very strong
Somewhat strong
Neutral
Somewhat weak

What is your age? 18 to 24


25 to 34
35 to 44
45 to 54
55 to 64
65 to 74
75 or older
Are you male or female? Female
Male

Which race/ethnicity best describes you?


White / Caucasian
(Please choose only one)
Black or African American
American Indian or Alaska Native
Hispanic
Asian / Pacific Islander

Which of the following best describes your


Protestant, non-Evangelical
religious affiliation?
Evangelical
Non-religious
Catholic
Jewish
Muslim

What is the highest level of education you have


College degree
completed?
Some college but no degree
Graduate degree
High school degree
Less than high school degree
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94.4 94.3 94.5 80.8

4 3.9 4 13.6
1.4 1.5 1.2 5.1
0.3 0.2 0.2 0.6

49.5 43.7 55.8 25.5

43.1 48.8 36.9 62.7


2.6 1.7 3.7 4.3
0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4
4.6 5.5 3.5 7

43.9 39.7 51.3 17


27.5 31.7 19.9 34.4
22.8 26.6 15.8 31.4
5.8 2.1 13 17.2

42.5 40.9 44.6 34.7

31.2 28.4 34.1 34.7

26.4 30.7 21.3 30.6

31.9 28.6 35.6 8.2

24.7 28.5 20.6 17.6


23.6 25.2 21.7 58.8

12.2 11.5 13.1 3.5

7.5 6.2 9.1 11.9


33.4 39.8 26 35.7

4.6 4.3 5.1 5.3


3.2 2 4.6 10.4
1.7 1.7 1.6 6.2
2.7 3.1 2.3 6.9
2 1.5 2.6 8
4.2 4.3 4.2 8
11.5 10.4 12.6 4.5
10.1 7.8 12.6 1.1
26.6 25.1 28.4 13.9

43.5 37.3 50.3 20

32.9 40 25.2 36.7


9 8.9 9 16.6
7.6 7 8.2 7.9
4.8 4.3 5.2 14.3
2.2 2.4 2.1 4.5

42.3 46.9 37.3 62.2

27.3 25.2 29.7 7.4


12.9 10.4 15.4 11.7
8.4 8 8.9 11.1
7.8 7.5 8 5.1
1.3 1.9 0.7 2.4

43.7 48.3 38.4 51.9

31 25.2 37.4 20.4

13.7 15.6 11.5 19

11.7 10.9 12.7 8.7

58 52.7 63.9 41.7

33.3 39.3 26.6 34.2


4.6 3.9 5.4 12.6
2.8 2.8 2.8 9.6
1.3 1.4 1.3 1.9
28.7 24.8 33.3 22.4

22.1 23.5 20.7 20.3

17.8 18.8 16.7 14.6


9.1 7.9 10.4 18.5
7.5 9.2 5.5 4.2
6.6 7.4 5.8 8.6
4.5 4.7 4.2 0
1.8 2.2 1.2 7.2
1.3 1.5 1 0.9
0.6 0.1 1.1 3.3

45.5 40.3 51.3 26.9

43.4 48.3 37.8 49.4

4 4.5 3.6 11.8

3.3 2.3 4.6 5.9

2.6 3 2.2 2.2

1.1 1.6 0.5 3.9

41.3 47.8 33.9 48

41.1 35.5 47.2 30.1


17.6 16.7 18.8 21.9

96 97.9 94.4 82.3

2.6 0.5 4.4 14.8

1.4 1.6 1.2 3


44.3 49.9 38.1 57.7

31.5 27.6 35.7 15.3


24.2 22.5 26.1 27

94.8 95.3 94.2 88.9

3.3 3 3.7 8.7

1.1 0.7 1.5 2.4

0.5 0.5 0.5 0

0.3 0.5 0.2 0

82.9 83.6 82.1 73.8

8.8 8.9 8.6 14.5

4.6 4.8 4.3 6.2


3.7 2.6 5 5.5

89.3 89.4 89.4 89.8

5.4 4.8 6.2 7

5.2 5.8 4.4 3.3

93.3 92.9 93.7 88.4

3.8 4.2 3.3 3.2

2.9 2.9 3 8.4


92.8 93.6 91.7 84.3

6.2 5.1 7.7 14.5


1 1.3 0.6 1.2

66.2 68.7 63.2 40.9

13.3 11.6 15.2 26


11.8 11.5 12 10.2
8.8 8.2 9.6 22.9

59.1 60.3 57.5 53.4

18.5 19 18.2 18

10.9 9.4 12.6 6.2

7.3 7.1 7.5 12.9

4.2 4.1 4.3 9.5

36.9 40.3 33.7 27.5

25.1 25.1 24.8 24.9


20.7 15.5 25.7 38.2
17.3 19.2 15.8 9.5

77.9 80.5 74.6 85.3

18.6 16.4 21.2 14.7


3.5 3.1 4.1 0

57.7 50.4 65.9 44.2

42.3 49.6 34.1 55.8


38.9 39.2 38.5 24.9

26.8 25.5 28.3 36.8


13.1 13.6 12.6 20.4
12.3 12.8 11.3 11.9
9 8.8 9.2 6

30.1 34.5 25.2 30.1

28.2 23.9 33.1 15.7


16.5 19.7 13 28
13.6 11.3 16.3 11.5
11.5 10.6 12.4 14.8

32.1 37.7 25.9 44.9

28.8 24.1 33.9 8.5


16.2 17.1 15.4 25.4
11.9 10.2 13.7 1.4
11 10.9 11.1 19.8

42 46.7 37 58.3

25.1 21.9 29 13.6


14.2 12.9 15.1 8.7
10.1 9.4 11 12
8.5 9 7.8 7.4

40 44.8 34.8 51.7

32.9 29.7 36.3 16.2


14.9 13.5 16.4 3.3
7.2 6.9 7.5 15.6
5.1 5.1 5.1 13.3

8.3 7 9.8 100


10.4 7.6 13.4 0
14.3 12.5 16.6 0
20.2 21.3 18.5 0
24 27.2 20.6 0
14.9 14.8 14.8 0
8 9.6 6.3 0
53.5 100 0 44.9
46.5 0 100 55.1

69.5 72.5 65.9 69.1

25.8 23 29.3 27.7


2.3 1.8 2.8 1.4
1.7 1.7 1.8 0.8
0.6 0.9 0.3 1.1

36.9 39.3 34.2 23.3

33.5 33.1 33.8 29.7


20.9 19.6 22.5 40.1
7.1 7 7.2 6.9
0.9 0.7 1.1 0
0.7 0.2 1.2 0

32.9 32.8 33 30.2

30 32.3 27.3 39.1


19.1 20.7 17.3 0.5
15.3 12.5 18.6 28.6
2.7 1.7 3.8 1.6
34

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89 93.4 96.6 97.5

8.6 4.3 2.1 2


1.9 2 1 0.4
0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

39.9 44.7 50 50.4

55.2 44.8 43.3 42.2


1.3 2.6 2.7 2.3
0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1
3.2 7.5 3.6 5

48.1 53 52.8 40.5


21.7 20.4 34.5 23
22.4 14.1 12.6 36.2
7.8 12.5 0 0.3

39.4 36.5 41.4 40.9

31.4 38.7 32.6 31.3

29.2 24.8 26 27.8

21.3 27.4 29.2 36.6

30.2 26.2 27.8 25.6


32.8 25.9 20.2 18.9

6.9 11.6 14.4 12.5

8.8 8.9 8.5 6.4


41.6 38.9 33.9 33

6 6.2 2.4 6.3


4.7 2.5 2.5 2.4
2.5 1.3 2 0.8
1.2 2.7 2.1 3
3.2 2.2 2 0.2
2.4 7.5 5.3 3.3
15.9 9.2 15.1 9.2
11.7 8.6 11.3 13.4
10.8 20.9 23.5 28.3

33.4 36.6 44.9 45.2

42.2 33.7 32.6 33.3


7.9 11 9.9 7.8
5.2 11.5 7.1 7.7
9.8 5.9 3.6 2.3
1.5 1.4 2 3.6

49.9 46.8 41.5 40.1

17.8 21.6 22.4 31.4


14.1 12.3 14 12.6
4.9 8.7 11.6 6.6
11.7 9.6 9.6 7.1
1.5 0.9 1 2.2

53.6 49.6 43.8 44

28.1 31.3 30.7 28.6

9.8 9.2 12.5 14.6

8.5 9.9 13 12.8

44.2 52.6 59.4 58.3

39.5 31.1 34.4 37.9


8 8.9 3.9 1.6
5 5.8 0.9 1.3
3.2 1.6 1.3 0.9
13.7 18.7 22.7 31.1

28 23.3 22.4 20.3

18 18.1 21.4 18.1


12.9 8.4 10.5 7.6
2.7 5.9 8.4 11.4
13.3 13 7.2 4.1
1.6 6.6 5.2 6
4.5 1.4 1.2 0.7
5.3 2.8 1 0.1
0 1.7 0 0.6

35.4 42.3 40.6 46.9

54.6 47.4 46.5 42.4

3.9 5.4 5.3 1.6

3.2 2 4.1 3.5

1.9 1.7 2.9 4.6

0.9 1 0.7 1

49 40.6 42.5 42.7

31.4 39.2 37.5 42.7


19.6 20.3 20 14.5

93.1 96.1 96.4 97.2

6 2.1 1.7 2.2

1 1.8 1.9 0.6


57 49.3 45.2 40.7

27 26 28.4 34.3
16 24.7 26.3 25

91.7 94.5 95.8 95

7.6 3.2 0.6 3.8

0.7 1.6 1 1.3

0 0.2 1.3 0

0 0.5 1.2 0

79.3 78.9 81.9 86.6

7.7 12.8 11.7 5.7

5.1 6.1 3.8 4.9


7.9 2.2 2.5 2.8

82.5 89.5 88.9 90.1

13.1 5 4.9 3.6

4.4 5.5 6.3 6.3

86.8 90.5 93.8 95.8

6.8 5.4 3.7 3

6.4 4.1 2.5 1.2


92.4 90.9 94.5 93.9

6.6 8 4.5 5
1 1.1 1 1.1

64.9 66.1 68.9 68.8

12.1 8.4 11.7 14.3


13.4 14.4 12.1 11.4
9.6 11.1 7.3 5.6

64.3 61 59.6 58.9

17.4 15.5 15.9 21.1

5.4 12 9.7 12.2

6.5 6.8 9.6 5.2

6.3 4.8 5.2 2.7

27.5 21.2 41.6 42.3

28 37.6 18.6 23.2


41.9 31.9 24.4 15.9
2.6 9.3 15.4 18.5

77.2 83.5 82.6 80.3

19 14.2 15.4 16.3


3.8 2.3 2 3.4

45.6 53.8 62.2 58.6

54.4 46.2 37.8 41.4


38.8 36 40.4 38.7

28.9 24.9 20.2 32.6


10 13 17.5 9.9
13.6 15.6 12.1 11.2
8.7 10.4 9.8 7.5

31.4 32.7 34.7 30.2

24.3 24.8 31.6 27


14.4 12.6 14.4 18
9.9 14.2 11.6 13.7
20 15.7 7.8 11.2

35.6 34.4 31 32.9

25.8 25 26.9 32.9


14.9 17.1 17.7 13.8
6.4 12.1 13.8 11.7
17.3 11.4 10.6 8.7

53.6 43.6 43.7 37.9

13.1 21.1 20.4 30


15.2 12.4 18.4 11.8
8.2 10.1 11.9 10.4
10 12.9 5.6 9.9

53.9 46.5 37.9 40.8

21 27.4 28.5 36.1


11.2 13.7 19.6 15.3
8.5 8.1 8.3 4.2
5.4 4.2 5.7 3.6

0 0 0 0
100 0 0 0
0 100 0 0
0 0 100 0
0 0 0 100
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
39.6 46.4 57 60.3
60.4 53.6 43 39.7

61.5 67.7 68.7 65.8

30.4 26.9 25.6 29.9


5.4 2.5 2 2.8
2.4 1 3.7 0.7
0.4 1.8 0 0.7

31.2 30.7 34.8 37.6

23.6 34.5 33.8 37.6


36.8 26.6 20.3 16.1
6.3 6.6 7.3 8.7
2 1.6 1.1 0
0.2 0 2.7 0

32.2 39.9 38.8 34.9

26.1 22.9 24.5 33.3


20.9 18.2 23.3 20.4
12.8 17 11.9 10.4
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96.6 75 98.2 84.8 97.1

2.2 1 8.2 2.3


1.1 0.6 7 0.4
0.2 0.2 0 0.2

58.6 73.5 37.1 22.1

35.1 21.7 37.4 70


3.7 1.3 0 2.6
0.1 0.2 0 0.1
2.6 3.3 25.5 5.2

60.7 28.1 0 58
26.7 44.1 21.8 9.6
11.5 27.7 72.5 22.5
1 0 5.7 9.9

46.9 63 52.9 13.2

26.5 19.3 44 24.4

26.6 17.7 3.1 62.4

39.9 56.2 23.5 15.5

23.9 13.9 12.6 50.6


14.2 11 26.3 24.2

17 14 29.4 4.2

4.9 5 8.2 5.5


30.1 16.9 38.9 61.8

3.2 3.4 3.1 7.4


1.4 2.8 13.9 5.8
0.6 1 0 0.9
2.7 1.2 0 1.4
1 1.3 1.4 1.2
2.7 0.3 0 0.7
14.6 8.9 0 3.6
9.3 7.2 0 4.1
34.5 57 42.6 13

55.4 65.5 37.1 20.4

29.9 19 23.5 56.3


6 5.3 13.9 11.8
5.7 7.5 0 4
1.9 1.4 18.5 3.5
1 1.2 7 4.1

36.8 23 55.9 58.7

36.2 54.4 28.9 12.4


13.9 8.8 0 5.8
6.7 10.6 0 5.8
5.7 3 8.2 14.1
0.8 0.1 7 3.3

37.4 23.9 37.4 72.3

34.1 44.5 8.2 15.7

17.6 15.3 25.5 7.5

10.9 16.3 28.9 4.5

66 81.8 61.1 22.4

31 17.6 29.7 71.1


1.3 0.3 9.2 3
0.8 0.1 0 3.5
1 0.2 0 0
39.9 50.2 14.5 8.9

25.3 15.2 17 31.4

10.9 22.3 15.1 15.7


8 1.8 10.3 20.7
8.8 3 0 16
3.2 0.6 24.6 1.8
2.8 5.2 0 3.1
0.9 0.8 18.5 0
0.2 0.9 0 2.3
0 0 0 0

56.4 68 19.1 15.7

37.6 22.4 73.9 73

2.7 1.6 0 4.8

0.9 5.7 0 3.5

1.6 0.8 7 2.9

0.7 1.5 0 0

38.3 25.9 37.4 62.5

43.3 65.6 18 20.4


18.4 8.4 44.6 17

99 97.5 100 94.2

0.5 0 0 5.8

0.5 2.5 0 0
38.8 26 64.1 62.8

36.3 52.5 28.9 13


24.9 21.5 7 24.2

97.4 96.7 100 91.1

1.7 1.4 0 8.4

0.1 0.6 0 0

0.6 1.2 0 0

0.1 0 0 0.6

84.7 91.7 84.8 81.5

7.4 1.5 0 10.8

2.9 4.2 15.2 3.9


5 2.6 0 3.8

90.2 94.4 66.7 88.1

5.4 1.8 0 9.6

4.3 3.8 33.3 2.2

96.1 97.7 85.8 95.4

2.5 2.3 14.2 2.1

1.5 0 0 2.6
95.3 92.3 59.3 94.9

3.7 7.5 34.9 4.6


1 0.2 5.7 0.6

73.9 64.1 66.3 70.5

9.4 18.7 0 10.6


10.8 9.2 9.7 8.5
5.9 8 24 10.4

57.5 56.6 40 59.4

18.8 24.8 35.2 27.1

13.4 15.5 0 7.1

8.4 1.8 24.8 2.2

2 1.4 0 4.1

42.9 39 0 23.9

24.1 23.8 0 24
7.7 6.1 100 36.2
25.2 31.2 0 15.9

71.1 55 82.1 85.4

24.8 32.8 12.3 10.4


4.1 12.2 5.5 4.2

61 70.5 62.6 39.9

39 29.5 37.4 60.1


44.4 43.6 23.2 37.2

25.3 18.7 49.1 38.5


12 12.1 19.5 11.9
10.9 10.5 8.2 6.1
7.3 15.1 0 6.2

27.9 17 23.9 49.9

31.4 39.4 19.1 8.2


16.5 18 25.5 10.8
15 20.5 18 9.3
9.2 5.2 13.5 21.8

29.2 16.4 15.7 51.5

36.3 36.8 28.9 12.5


11.9 19.4 33.7 13.4
16 18 0 7.2
6.6 9.4 21.7 15.4

37.9 23.2 29.7 59.2

31.3 46.3 28.9 12.6


13.7 19.6 0 3.8
9.2 7 25.5 10.2
8 3.9 16 14.3

31.4 18.5 48.1 73.8

41.8 57.8 34.4 12.4


17.2 16.2 8.2 4.9
5.3 4.9 1.4 4
4.2 2.6 7.8 4.9

0 0 13.9 8.9
0 0 6.9 12.2
0 0 41.5 14.9
0 0 0 19.9
0 0 26.8 27.6
100 0 10.9 13.5
0 100 0 3
53.4 63.8 80.3 47.6
46.6 36.2 19.7 52.4

73.6 88.4 0 0

23.6 9.7 0 100


1.1 0 0 0
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