con Proyecto

Tipo de Ao 2018 Ao 2019 Ao 2020

poblacin
Poblacin Demanda Poblacin Demanda Poblacin
Poblacio n total 89,305 35,855,940.94 93,770 37,648,737.99 98,459
Poblacio n de
referencia ( E ) 15,051 6,043,112.05 15,804 6,345,267.65 16,594

Poblacio n
demandante
potencial (C+D) 24,433 9,809,802.93 25,655 10,300,293.07 26,937

Poblacio n
demandante
efectiva (A+B) 49,821 20,003,025.97 52,312 21,003,177.27 54,927

r= 5.00 0.050
Ratio =
(1.1kg/hab/dia) 401.5
Ao 2020 Ao 2021 Ao 2022 Ao 2023
Demanda Poblacin Demanda Poblacin Demanda Poblacin
39,531,174.89 103,382 41,507,733.63 108,551 43,583,120.32 113,978

6,662,531.03 17,424 6,995,657.58 18,295 7,345,440.46 19,210

10,815,307.73 28,284 11,356,073.11 29,698 11,923,876.77 31,183

22,053,336.13 57,674 23,156,002.94 60,557 24,313,803.09 63,585

Ao 2023 Ao 2024 Ao 2025 Ao 2026
Demanda Poblacin Demanda Poblacin Demanda Poblacin
45,762,276.33 119,677 48,050,390.15 125,661 50,452,909.66 131,944

7,712,712.48 20,170 8,098,348.11 21,179 8,503,265.51 22,238

12,520,070.61 32,742 13,146,074.14 34,380 13,803,377.84 36,098

25,529,493.24 66,765 26,805,967.90 70,103 28,146,266.30 73,608

Ao 2026 Ao 2027 Ao 2028
Demanda Poblacin Demanda Poblacin Demanda
52,975,555.14 138,541 55,624,332.90 145,468 58,405,549.54

8,928,428.79 23,350 9,374,850.23 24,517 9,843,592.74

14,493,546.74 37,903 15,218,224.07 39,799 15,979,135.28

29,553,579.61 77,288 31,031,258.59 81,153 32,582,821.52

 Sin Proyecto
Tipo de poblacin Ao 2018 Ao 2019
Poblacin Demanda Poblacin Demanda
Poblacin total 89,305 29,336,678.95 93,145 30,598,156.15
Poblacin de referencia
(E) 15,051 4,944,364.40 15,699 5,156,972.07

Poblacin demandante
potencial (C+D) 24,433 8,026,202.39 25,483 8,371,329.10

Poblacin demandante
efectiva (A+B) 49,821 16,366,112.16 51,963 17,069,854.98

r = 4.3% 4.30 0.04

ratio= 0,9 (kg/hab/dia) 328.50

POBLACION DE LURIN
% 2,007 2,015 2,017
A 36.41 22,916.00 30,996.56 31,807.71
B 17.21 10,832.00 14,651.22 15,034.62
ZONA C 9.34 5,879.00 7,951.33 8,159.41
ZONAD 19.36 12,185.00 16,481.56 16,912.86
E 17.68 11,128.00 15,051.34 15,445.22
TOTAL 100.00 62,940.00 85,132.00 87,359.82
 Ao 2020 Ao 2021 Ao 2022
Poblacin Demanda Poblacin Demanda Poblacin
97,150 31,913,876.86 101,328 33,286,173.57 105,685

16,374 5,378,721.87 17,078 5,610,006.91 17,812

26,579 8,731,296.25 27,722 9,106,741.99 28,914

54,197 17,803,858.75 56,528 18,569,424.67 58,959

2,018
35,169.52 49,820.74 Pob A+B
14,651.22 24,432.88 Pob C+D
7,951.33
16,481.56
15,051.34
89,304.96
Ao 2022 Ao 2023 Ao 2024
Demanda Poblacin Demanda Poblacin Demanda
34,717,479.03 110,229 36,210,330.63 114,969 37,767,374.85

5,851,237.21 18,578 6,102,840.41 19,377 6,365,262.54

9,498,331.89 30,158 9,906,760.16 31,454 10,332,750.85

19,367,909.93 61,494 20,200,730.06 64,138 21,069,361.45

 Ao 2025 Ao 2026 Ao 2027
Poblacin Demanda Poblacin Demanda Poblacin
119,913 39,391,371.97 125,069 41,085,200.96 130,447

20,210 6,638,968.83 21,079 6,924,444.49 21,985

32,807 10,777,059.14 34,218 11,240,472.68 35,689

66,896 21,975,343.99 69,773 22,920,283.79 72,773

Ao 2027 Ao 2028
Demanda Poblacin Demanda
42,851,864.60 136,056 44,694,494.78

7,222,195.61 22,931 7,532,750.02

11,723,813.01 37,224 12,227,936.96

23,905,855.99 75,902 24,933,807.80

 OFERTA SIN PROYECTO OFERTA S/P (ton/ao)
RECOLECCIN Y TRANSPORTE 21.5
ALAMCENAMIENTO (CILINDRO) 0.12
DENSIDAD (SIN COMPACTAR): 100.289 Kg/m3 100.289
VOLUMEN: 1.2 m3 1.2
TOTAL GENERADO: 7891.43

OF (S/P) - D (S/P) OF (S/P) - D(C/P)

2028 -4,336.51 -8,087.71

OFERTA OPTIMIZADA OFERTA OP (ton/ao)

RECOLECCIN Y TRANSPORTE 23.65
ALAMCENAMIENTO (CILINDRO) 0.132

TOTAL GENERADO: 8680.569

OF (OP) - D (S/P) OF (OP) - D(C/P)

2028 -3,547.37 -7,298.57
 DEMANDA
S/P (Ton/ao) C/P (Ton/ao)
12,227.94 15,979.14

OFERTA
OF (S/P) - D (S/P)
PROYECTO S VA! 2028 -4,336.51

DEMANDA
S/P (ton/ao) C/P (ton/ao)
12,227.94 15,979.14

OFERTA
OF (OP) - D (S/P)
2028 -3,547.37
OFERTA
OF (S/P) - D(C/P)
-8,087.71

OFERTA
OF (OP) - D(C/P)
-7,298.57
PIP: Instalacin de un relleno sanitario en Tocache
Periodo de preinversin + postinversion 3 preinversin 10 postinverin
Horizonte de evaluacin 13 aos
Moneda Nuevos soles

COSTOS DEL PROYECTO POR FASE

RUBROS Cuadrilla Cantidad Unidad Costo Unitario

1. Personal
Ingeniero ambiental 1 36 Meses 7,000
Igeniero civil 1 12 Mes 7,000
Administracin 1 36 Meses 1,600
Contador 1 36 Mes 1,600
Operario 25 36 Mes 1,500
Vigilante 2 36 Mes 1,000
Conductores de Reciclaje y apoyo 12 36 Mes 1,000

2. Equipos
Compactadora a presin 2 Unidad 50,000
Camiones compactadores 4 Camiones 150,000
Mantenimiento de equipos 1 Global 57,000
Fajas transportadoras 2 Unidad 10,000

3. Materiales - Centros de Acopio

Contenedores 1,096 Unidad 1,000

4. Servicios
Pago de servicios (luz, agua, telefono, internet, etc) 1 Mes 2,000

5. Combustibles y lubricantes
Gasolina de 90 oct - galones 800 Mes 14

6. Talleres de capacitacion
Alimentacion en talleres 3 Taller 1,400
Materiales para talleres 3 Taller 470
Ing. Ambiental 1 Unidad 7,000

8. Infraestructura
Construccin de almacen 1 Global 1,000,000
Construccin de oficinas y SSHH 1 Global 200,000
Mantenimiento de almacen 1 Global 100,000
Mantenimiento de oficinas y SSHH 1 Global 30,000
PREINVERSION

FASE DE POST INVERSIN (INCLUYE REPOSICIN Y MANTENIMIENTO)

FASE DE

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

252,000 84,000 84,000 84,000 84,000 84,000 84,000 84,000

84,000
57,600 19,200 19,200 19,200 19,200 19,200 19,200 19,200
57,600 19,200 19,200 19,200 19,200 19,200 19,200 19,200
54,000 18,000 18,000 18,000 18,000 18,000 18,000 18,000
36,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000
36,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000

100,000
600,000
57,000 57,000 57,000 57,000 57,000 57,000 57,000 57,000
20,000

1,096,000

2,000 24,000 24,000 24,000 24,000 24,000 24,000 24,000

11,200 134,400 134,400 134,400 134,400 134,400 134,400 134,400

4,200 1,400 1,400 1,400

1,410 470 470
7,000

1,000,000
200,000
100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000
30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000

COSTO ANUAL
 3,806,010 509,800 381,670 509,800 381,200 509,800 381,670 509,800
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
INVERSION

FASE DE POST INVERSIN

FASE DE
MANTENIMIENTO)

Total
8 9 10

84,000 84,000 84,000 1,092,000

19,200 19,200 19,200 249,600

19,200 19,200 19,200 249,600
18,000 18,000 18,000 234,000
12,000 12,000 12,000 156,000
12,000 12,000 12,000 156,000
TOTAL 2,137,200

100,000
600,000
57,000 57,000 57,000 627,000

TOTAL 1,327,000

1,096,000
TOTAL 1,096,000

24,000 24,000 24,000 242,000

TOTAL 242,000

134,400 134,400 134,400 1,355,200

TOTAL 1,355,200

1,400 1,400 11,200

470 470 3,290

TOTAL 14,490

1,000,000
200,000
100,000 600,000
30,000 180,000
TOTAL 1,980,000

TOTAL
381,670 509,800 381,670 8,262,890
8 9 10
 0 1 2 3

INGRESOS 0 1,389,742 1,459,230 1,532,191

Tarifa Arbitrios 1,389,742 1,459,230 1,532,191

EGRESOS (COSTOS) 3,806,010 509,800 381,670 509,800

FLUJO DE CAJA -3,806,010 879,942 1,077,560 1,022,391

FJ ACTUALIZADO -3,806,010 733,285 748,305 591,661

TD 20%

VAN 1,214,670

TIR 28%

B/C 0

INCREMENTO 30% COSTOS

0 1 2 3

INGRESOS 0 1,532,177 1,459,256 1,608,794

Tarifa Arbitrios 1,532,177 1,459,256 1,608,794

EGRESOS (COSTOS) 4,947,813 662,740 496,171 662,740

FLUJO DE CAJA -4,947,813 869,437 963,085 946,054

FJ ACTUALIZADO -4,947,813 724,530 668,809 547,485

TD 20%

VAN -229,551

TIR 19%

B/C 0

INCREMENTO 35% COSTOS

0 1 2 3

INGRESOS 0 1,532,177 1,459,256 1,608,794

Tarifa Arbitrios 1,532,177 1,459,256 1,608,794
EGRESOS (COSTOS) 5,138,114 688,230 515,255 688,230

FLUJO DE CAJA -5,138,114 843,947 944,002 920,564

FJ ACTUALIZADO -5,138,114 703,289 655,557 532,734

TD 20%

VAN -514,498

TIR 17%

B/C 0

BAJA 40% BENEFICIOS

0 1 2 3

INGRESOS 0 919,306 875,554 965,276

Tarifa Arbitrios 919,306 875,554 965,276

EGRESOS (COSTOS) 3,806,010 509,800 381,670 509,800

FLUJO DE CAJA -3,806,010 409,506 493,884 455,476

FJ ACTUALIZADO -3,806,010 341,255 342,975 263,586

TD 20%

VAN -1,391,496

TIR 10%

B/C 0

BAJA 10% BENEFICIOS

0 1 2 3

INGRESOS 0 1,378,959 1,313,331 1,447,915

Tarifa Arbitrios 1,378,959 1,313,331 1,447,915

EGRESOS (COSTOS) 3,806,010 509,800 381,670 509,800

FLUJO DE CAJA -3,806,010 869,159 931,661 938,115

FJ ACTUALIZADO -3,806,010 724,299 646,987 542,890

TD 20%

VAN 762,222

TIR 25%

B/C 0
 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

1,608,801 1,689,241 1,773,703 1,955,507 2,053,283 2,155,947 2,263,744

1,608,801 1,689,241 1,773,703 1,955,507 2,053,283 2,155,947 2,263,744

381,200 509,800 381,670 509,800 381,670 509,800 381,670

1,227,601 1,179,441 1,392,033 1,445,707 1,671,613 1,646,147 1,882,074

592,014 473,991 466,189 403,470 388,764 319,034 303,965

ENTO 30% COSTOS

4 5 6 7 8 9 10

1,689,222 1,773,689 1,862,365 1,955,534 2,053,254 2,155,923 2,263,767

1,689,222 1,773,689 1,862,365 1,955,534 2,053,254 2,155,923 2,263,767

495,560 662,740 496,171 662,740 496,171 662,740 496,171

1,193,662 1,110,949 1,366,194 1,292,794 1,557,083 1,493,183 1,767,596

575,647 446,466 457,536 360,795 362,128 289,389 285,477

ENTO 35% COSTOS

4 5 6 7 8 9 10

1,689,222 1,773,689 1,862,365 1,955,534 2,053,254 2,155,923 2,263,767

1,689,222 1,773,689 1,862,365 1,955,534 2,053,254 2,155,923 2,263,767
 514,620 688,230 515,255 688,230 515,255 688,230 515,255

1,174,602 1,085,459 1,347,110 1,267,304 1,538,000 1,467,693 1,748,513

566,456 436,222 451,145 353,681 357,690 284,449 282,395

40% BENEFICIOS
4 5 6 7 8 9 10

1,013,533 1,064,213 1,117,419 1,173,321 1,231,953 1,293,554 1,358,260

1,013,533 1,064,213 1,117,419 1,173,321 1,231,953 1,293,554 1,358,260

381,200 509,800 381,670 509,800 381,670 509,800 381,670

632,333 554,413 735,749 663,521 850,283 783,754 976,590

304,945 222,806 246,401 185,176 197,749 151,897 157,725

10% BENEFICIOS
4 5 6 7 8 9 10

1,520,300 1,596,320 1,676,128 1,759,981 1,847,929 1,940,330 2,037,390

1,520,300 1,596,320 1,676,128 1,759,981 1,847,929 1,940,330 2,037,390

381,200 509,800 381,670 509,800 381,670 509,800 381,670

1,139,100 1,086,520 1,294,458 1,250,181 1,466,259 1,430,530 1,655,720

549,334 436,648 433,512 348,903 341,005 277,246 267,408

 pagos por arbitrio 4.74

13,424,507

1,214,670

1.3

-229,551

1.35
 -514,498

0.60

-1,391,496

0.9

762,222
 Cuando los beneficios sociales se pueden expresar en trminos monetarios y son fciles de me
Sirve para estimar la rentabilidad social de un PIP a partir de la comparacin de los beneficios sociales con los costos social
beneficios sociales puedan valorizarse o expresarse en valores monetarios.

Indicadores de beneficios: Tonaledas de basura recogida adecuadamente

Reduccion del gasto en el tratamiento de enfermedades
Numero de personas que ya no se enfermarn
Ahorro en tiempo de viaje
valor neto de la produccion por ha
Beneficio por usuario o por vivienda

=_(=)^( (
) _ )/ (+) ^

COSTOS SOCIALES

Costo
Ao Factor CS CP CS SP CSI
Privado
0 3,806,010 0.84 3,197,048 6,629 3,190,420
1 509,800 0.84 428,232 6,629 421,603
2 381,670 0.84 320,603 6,629 313,974
3 509,800 0.84 428,232 6,629 421,603
4 381,200 0.84 320,208 6,629 313,579
5 509,800 0.84 428,232 6,629 421,603
6 381,670 0.84 320,603 6,629 313,974
7 509,800 0.84 428,232 6,629 421,603
8 381,670 0.84 320,603 6,629 313,974
9 509,800 0.84 428,232 6,629 421,603
10 381,670 0.84 320,603 6,629 313,974

CS Costo Social
CP Con Proyecto
SP Sin Proyecto
Factor Factor de conversin de costo privado a costo social Anexo 10

0 1 2 3
BSI INGRESOS - 1,389,742 1,459,214 1,608,801
CSI EGRESOS 3,190,420 421,603 313,974 421,603

FC A (BSI-CSI) (3,190,420) 968,139 1,145,240 1,187,198

B (1+TSD)^t 1.000 1.090 1.188 1.295

A/B -3,190,420 888,201 963,925 916,734

 VANS 5,727,840

TIRS 37.00%

TSD 9%

INCREMENTO 50% COSTOS

0 1 2 3
BSI INGRESOS - 1,389,742 1,459,214 1,608,801
CSI EGRESOS 4,785,629 632,405 632,405 470,369

FC A (BSI-CSI) (4,785,629) 757,337 826,809 1,138,432

B (1+TSD)^t 1.0000 1.0900 1.1881 1.2950

A/B -4,785,629 694,805 695,909 879,078

VANS 3,108,839

TIRS 19.92%

TSD 9%

INCREMENTO 100% COSTOS

0 1 2 3
BSI INGRESOS - 1,389,742 1,459,214 1,608,801
CSI EGRESOS 6,380,839 843,206 627,948 843,206

FC A (BSI-CSI) (6,380,839) 546,536 831,266 765,594

B (1+TSD)^t 1.0000 1.0900 1.1881 1.2950

A/B -6,380,839 501,409 699,660 591,179

VANS 162,487

TIRS 9.49%
 TSD 9%

BAJA 40% BENEFICIOS

0 1 2 3
BSI INGRESOS - 833,845 875,528 965,280
CSI EGRESOS 3,190,420 421,603 313,974 421,603

FC A (BSI-CSI) (3,190,420) 412,242 561,554 543,677

B (1+TSD)^t 1.0000 1.0900 1.1881 1.2950

A/B -3,190,420 378,204 472,649 419,819

VANS 1,210,563

TIRS 15.87%

TSD 9%

BAJA 50% BENEFICIOS

0 1 2 3
BSI INGRESOS - 694,871 729,607 804,400
CSI EGRESOS 3,190,420 421,603 313,974 421,603

FC A (BSI-CSI) (3,190,420) 273,268 415,633 382,797

B (1+TSD)^t 1.0000 1.0900 1.1881 1.2950

A/B -3,190,420 250,705 349,830 295,590

VANS 81,244

TIRS 9.49%

TSD 9%
s monetarios y son fciles de medir
cios sociales con los costos sociales. Se utiliza siempre que los
en valores monetarios.

Donde:
BSI = Beneficio social incremental
CSI = Costo social incremental
n = Horizonte de evaluacio n del proyecto
TSD = Tasa social de descuento

BENEFICIOS SOCIALES
Beneficiarios Beneficio social
Ao antiguo nuevo Total Antiguos
0 - - - -
1 1,389,742 1,389,742 2,779,485 -
2 1,449,501 1,459,214 2,908,715 -
3 1,511,830 1,608,801 3,120,631 -
4 1,389,742 1,689,240 3,078,983 -
5 1,576,839 1,830,583 3,407,421 -
6 1,644,643 1,865,232 3,509,874 -
7 1,715,362 1,955,507 3,670,869 -
8 1,789,123 2,053,283 3,842,406 -
9 1,866,055 2,155,947 4,022,002 -
10 1,946,296 2,263,744 4,210,039 -

Beneficios por ahorro en enfermedades

Beneficio por servicios en ahorro de RR.SS

4 5 6 7 8 9
1,689,240 1,830,583 1,865,232 1,955,507 2,053,283 2,155,947
313,579 421,603 313,974 421,603 313,974 421,603

1,375,661 1,408,979 1,551,258 1,533,904 1,739,309 1,734,343

1.412 1.539 1.677 1.828 1.993 2.172

974,553 915,740 924,964 839,098 872,900 798,540

REMENTO 50% COSTOS
4 5 6 7 8 9
1,689,240 1,830,583 1,865,232 1,955,507 2,053,283 2,155,947
632,405 470,961 632,405 470,961 632,405 470,961

1,056,836 1,359,622 1,232,827 1,484,546 1,420,878 1,684,986

1.4116 1.5386 1.6771 1.8280 1.9926 2.1719

748,689 883,661 735,094 812,098 713,091 775,814

EMENTO 100% COSTOS

4 5 6 7 8 9
1,689,240 1,830,583 1,865,232 1,955,507 2,053,283 2,155,947
627,158 843,206 627,948 843,206 627,948 843,206

1,062,082 987,376 1,237,284 1,112,301 1,425,335 1,312,740

1.4116 1.5386 1.6771 1.8280 1.9926 2.1719

752,406 641,727 737,752 608,467 715,327 604,422

AJA 40% BENEFICIOS
4 5 6 7 8 9
1,013,544 1,098,350 1,119,139 1,173,304 1,231,970 1,293,568
313,579 421,603 313,974 421,603 313,974 421,603

699,965 676,746 805,165 751,701 917,996 871,965

1.4116 1.5386 1.6771 1.8280 1.9926 2.1719

495,873 439,839 480,094 411,206 460,711 401,477

AJA 50% BENEFICIOS

4 5 6 7 8 9
844,620 915,291 932,616 977,754 1,026,641 1,077,973
313,579 421,603 313,974 421,603 313,974 421,603

531,041 493,688 618,642 556,150 712,667 656,370

1.4116 1.5386 1.6771 1.8280 1.9926 2.1719

376,203 320,863 368,876 304,233 357,664 302,211

 los costos privados se conierten en costos sociales
todo lo que sea impacto ambiental en costos

Beneficio social AO
BS CP BS SP BSI
Nuevos Total
56.9 csp
- - - - 57 ccp
1,389,742 1,389,742 1,389,742 - 1,389,742 - Beneficio s
1,459,214 1,459,214 1,459,214 - 1,459,214
1,608,801 1,608,801 1,608,801 - 1,608,801
1,689,240 1,689,240 1,689,240 - 1,689,240
1,830,583 1,830,583 1,830,583 - 1,830,583
1,865,232 1,865,232 1,865,232 - 1,865,232
1,955,507 1,955,507 1,955,507 - 1,955,507
2,053,283 2,053,283 2,053,283 - 2,053,283
2,155,947 2,155,947 2,155,947 - 2,155,947
2,263,744 2,263,744 2,263,744 - 2,263,744

1
1 soles/ao
- soles/ao

10
2,263,744
313,974

1,949,770

2.367

823,604
 1.5
10
2,263,744
-

2,263,744

2.3674

956,230

2.00
10
2,263,744
627,948

1,635,796

2.3674

690,978
 0.6
10
1,358,246
313,974

1,044,272

2.3674

441,112

0.5
10
1,131,872
313,974

817,898

2.3674

345,489
24,433 25,655 26,937 28,284 29,698 31,183
32,742 34,380 36,098 37,903 39,799
 SENSIBILIDAD ALTERNATIVA 1
COSTOS PRIVADOS COSTOS SOCIALES
EN LOS EN LOS
COSTOS BENEFICIOS VAN TIR VANS TIRS

100% 0% 1,214,669.63 19% 3,108,839 20%

45% 0% (514,498.11) 17% 162,487 9%
0 0 1,214,669.63 28% 5,727,840 37%
0 -40% (1,391,495.99) 10% 1,210,563 16%
0 -50% 762,222.13 25% 81,244 9%
OS SOCIALES