AP Statistics

- Term 3 Assignment -

Ms. Han
shan@daltonschool.kr
HS Room 214
INTEREST PACKET

Which of two popular drugs more? Researchers designed an experiment, called PROVE-IT Study, to find out. They
used about 4000 people with heart disease as subjects. These individuals were randomly assigned to one of two
treatment groups: Lipitor or Pravachol. At who died, had a heart attack, or suffered other serious consequences within
two was 0.224. Could such a difference have occurred purely by the chance involved in the random assignment? This
is a question about comparing two proportions.

Topic Overview
Confidence Intervals: The Basics
Estimating a Population Proportion
Estimating a Population Mean
Significance Tests: The Basics
Tests about a Population Proportion
Tests about a Population Mean
Comparing Two Proportions
Comparing Two Means

Essential Questions
Chapter 8: How can we use the information given on a sample to infer about the population? What is a
confidence interval? What is the margin error?
Chapter 9: How do we use the hypothesis to perform the significance test on the Normal Approximated
sampling distribution to make inferences about the and ?
Chapter 10: How can we use confidence intervals and significance test to compare two proportions
and to compare two means?
Reference Materials
The Practice of Statistics (5th edition), by Starnes, Tabor, Yates, and Moore, W. H. Freeman & Co., 2014

Skills List

12.SI. Statistical Inference: Estimating population parameters and testing hypotheses

Statistical inference guides the selection of appropriate models.

Estimation (point estimators and confidence intervals)

12.SI.1. Estimating population parameters and margins of error
12.SI.2. Properties of point estimators, including unbiasedness and variability
12.SI.3. Logic of confidence intervals, meaning of confidence level and confidence intervals, and properties
of confidence intervals
12.SI.4. Large sample confidence interval for a proportion
12.SI.5. Large sample confidence interval for a difference between two proportions
12.SI.6. Confidence interval for a mean
12.SI.7. Confidence interval for a difference between two means (unpaired and paired)
12.SI.8. Confidence interval for the slope of a least-squares regression line
Tests of significance
12.SI.9. Logic of significance testing, null and alternative hypotheses; p-values;one- and two-sided tests;
concepts of Type I and Type II errors; concept of power
12.SI.10. Large sample test for a proportion
12.SI.11. Large sample test for a difference between two proportions
12.SI.12. Test for a mean
12.SI.13. Test for a difference between two means (unpaired and paired)
LESSON OVERVIEW

Learning Objectives
Day Topics Homework
Students will be able to

1 Mock Exam

Chapter 8 Introduction;
8.1 The Idea of a
Confidence Interval,
2 Interpret a confidence interval in context. 1, 3, 5, 7, 9
Interpreting Confidence Interpret a confidence level in context.
Intervals and Confidence
Levels

Determine the point estimate and margin of error

8.1 Constructing a from a confidence interval.
Confidence Interval; Describe how the sample size and confidence 10, 11, 13, 15, 17,
3
Using Confidence level affect the length of a confidence interval. 19
Intervals Wisely Explain how practical issues like nonresponse,
undercoverage, and response bias can affect the
interpretation of a confidence interval.
8.2 Conditions for State and check the Random, 10%, and Large
Estimating p, Counts conditions for constructing a confidence
interval for a population proportion.
Constructing a 2024, 31, 33, 35,
4 Determine critical values for calculating a C%
Confidence Interval for p, confidence interval for a population proportion 37
Putting It All Together: using a table or technology.
The Four-Step Process Construct and interpret a confidence interval for a
population proportion.
8.2 Choosing the Sample Determine the sample size required to obtain a
5 39, 41, 43, 45, 47
Size C% confidence interval for a population
proportion with a specified margin of error.
Explain how the t distributions are different from
the standard Normal distribution and why it is
8.3 The Problem of necessary to use a t distribution when calculating a
unknown , When Is confidence interval for a population mean.
6 Unknown: The t Determine critical values for calculating a C% 4952, 55, 57, 59
Distributions, Conditions confidence interval for a population mean using a
for Estimating table or technology.
State and check the Random, 10%, and
Normal/Large Sample conditions for constructing
a confidence interval for a population mean.
8.3 Constructing a Construct and interpret a confidence interval for a
population mean. 61, 65, 69, 71, 73,
7 Confidence Interval for ,
Determine the sample size required to obtain a 7578
Choosing a Sample Size C% confidence interval for a population mean
with a specified margin of error.
8 Chapter 8 Quiz

9.1 Stating Hypotheses,
The Reasoning of
9 Significance Tests,
Interpreting P-values,
Statistical Significance
9.1 Type I and Type II
10
Errors
State the null and alternative hypotheses for a
significance test about a population parameter.
Interpret a P-value in context. 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 15
Determine if the results of a study are statistically
significant and draw an appropriate conclusion
using a significance level.
Interpret a Type I and a Type II error in context, 13, 17, 19, 21, 23
and give a consequence of each.
 9.2 Carrying Out a
Significance Test, The
11
One-Sample z Test for a
Proportion
9.2 Two-Sided Tests, Why
Confidence Intervals Give
12 More Information, Type II
Error and the Power of a
Test
9.3 Carrying Out a
Significance Test for ,
13 The One Sample t Test,
Two-Sided Tests and
Confidence Intervals
9.3 Inference for Means:
14 Paired Data, Using Tests
Wisely
State and check the Random, 10%, and Large
Counts conditions for performing a significance 2528, 31, 35, 39,
test about a population proportion. 41
Perform a significance test about a population
proportion.
Use a confidence interval to draw a conclusion for
a two-sided test about a population parameter. 43, 45, 47, 51, 53,
Interpret the power of a test and describe what 55, 57
factors affect the power of a test.
Describe the relationship among the probability of
a Type I error (significance level), the probability
of a Type II error, and the power of a test.
State and check the Random, 10%, and
Normal/Large Sample conditions for performing a 5962, 65, 69, 73,
significance test about a population mean. 77, 79
Perform a significance test about a population
mean.
Use a confidence interval to draw a conclusion for
a two-sided test about a population parameter.
83, 85, 87, 8991,
Perform a significance test about a mean
difference using paired data. 93, 95102

15 Chapter 9 Quiz

Is Yawning Contagious?
Activity, 10.1 The
Sampling Distribution of a Describe the shape, center, and spread of the 1, 3
Difference between Two sampling distribution of p
1
p2 .
16 Proportions

Determine whether the conditions are met for

10.1 Confidence Intervals
for p1 p2
10.1 Significance Tests for
17 p1 p2 , Inference for
Experiments
doing inference about p1 p2 . 5, 7, 9, 11
Construct and interpret a confidence interval to
compare two proportions.
Perform a significance test to compare two 13, 15, 17, 21, 23
proportions.

10.2 Does Polyester

Decay? Activity, The Describe the shape, center, and spread of the
Sampling Distribution of a sampling distribution of x1 x2 . 31, 33, 35, 51
Difference between Two Determine whether the conditions are met for
18 Means doing inference about 1 2 .

10.2 The Two-Sample t

Statistic, Confidence Construct and interpret a confidence interval to 2528, 37, 39
Intervals for
1 2
compare two means.

10.2 Significance Tests for

, Using Two- Perform a significance test to compare two means. 41, 43, 45, 47, 53,
19 1 2

Sample t Procedures Determine when it is appropriate to use two- 5760

sample t procedures versus paired t procedures.
Wisely
 20 Chapter 10 Quiz

21 Term 3 Test Review

22 Term 3 Test

*The schedule above is tentative. Please check the classroom board and Google classroom for the updates.

Expansion Pack: Please speak to me if you are interested in additional exercises.

ASSESSMENT

Grading Breakdown

Chapter Quizzes 30%

Term Test (cumulative) 30%
Homework and Homework Quizzes 20%
Mock Exam 10%
Group Work and In-Class Participation 10%

Grading Rubric

Chapter Quizzes: The purpose of chapter quizzes is to keep all students on top of their learning throughout the
term, and also to provide guideline to study for the term test as well as AP exam. Work needs to be shown for
each problem. Incorrect answers but well-written work with simple calculation mistakes will earn partial credit.
We will follow AP exam grading rubric.
Term Tests: At the end of each term, there will be a cumulative term test. Work needs to be shown for each
problem. Incorrect answers but well-written work with simple calculation mistakes will earn partial credit. We
will follow AP exam grading rubric.
Homework and Homework Quizzes: Students will be assigned homework every class and they are to have
completed it by the following class unless specific instructions are given. Homework will be mostly graded by
completion-based. Complete work earned full point, incomplete work earns half point, and no or little work earns
zero point. Late homework will be not accepted. Students who are absent on the due date of an assignment, they
must turn their homework in on the next following day to be accepted for credit. Homework must be done
independently in which no show of work will be considered incorrect. In addition, there will be homework
quizzes on one of the previous night homework.
Group Work and In-Class Participation: A typical class will be combination of whole class instruction led by
the teacher and group work led by students. Students are expected to pay undivided attention to teacher during
whole class instruction, and active involvement with group mates during group work time. Failure to meet these
expectations will result penalty in participation points. Since this is an AP course, students are expected to present
every class. If students are absent, they are expected to make up their work outside of class time to earn back their
participation points.

Important Dates
Mock Exam on Day 1 (Tuesday, January 9th)
Chapter 8 Quiz on Day 8 (Wednesday, January 24th)
Chapter 9 Quiz on Day 15 (Friday, February 9th)
Chapter 10 Quiz on Day 20 (Wednesday, February 28th)
Term 3 Test on Wednesday, March 7th
PROGRESS MONITOR
Use below table to keep track of your progress throughout the school year.

Accomplishment Table
Assessment Title Weight Due Date Points Earned
/ Points Possible
Chapter Quizzes 30%

Term 3 Test 30%

Homework and Homework
20%
Quizzes
Mock Exam 10%
Group Work and In-Class
10%
Participation
Overall

** You are expected to bring your term assignments and utilize them in every class.