SIMULACION DE PRONOSTICO EN INGLES

HERSON ZAMBRANO CRUZ

PROF. GERMAN CASTRO

TEGNOLOGO EN GESTION LOGISTICA

SENA

2016
Realice una simulacin pronostica de la demanda de los productos o
servicios a ejecutar a travs de los inventarios.

Este anlisis ayuda a establecer un control de los valores de consumo anual de

inventario en un ao.

DEMANDA DEMANDA DEMANDA

PRODUCTO
PRODUCTO ANUAL ANUAL ANUAL
CODIGO
2013 2014 2015
NEVERAS 1 90 106 70
LAVADORAS 2 500 657 100
TELEVISORES 3 30 80 39
ESTUFAS 4 50 90 43
EQUIPOS DE
SONIDO 5 40 35 27
TEATROS EN
CASA 6 20 25 20

700
600
500
400
300 PRODUCTO CODIGO
200 DEMANDA ANUAL 2013
100 DEMANDA ANUAL 2014
0 DEMANDA ANUAL 2015

Traduccin:

1. Determine the type of inventory to implement in your training Project:

Our company is dedicated to the distribution of appliances therefore the type of
inventory that would handle it with the supply chain with the supply and distribution.
Production Planning , through the Master Production Plan ( PMP ) and Material
Requirements Plan (MRP ) are the main activities of this process.

The production planning relates to the distribution with respect to inventories of

finished products. The production uses the inventory to ensure that the operations
are the most likely uniform , and achieve customer satisfaction through compliance
with the requirements of the customer demand .

2. Set inventory policies ( s ) to sort , organize, schedule and transport by

training project.

The inventory system is responsible for ordering and receiving goods; to

coordinate the placement of orders and track the same. In others the control
system must maintain to answer questions like: Does the supplier has received the
order? Does this has been dispatched? Are the dates correct? Are there
procedures to reorder or return unwanted merchandise?

Moreover, the control and management of stocks of certain goods, in which

methods and strategies that can make profitable and productive tenure of these
goods and also the procedures used to evaluate inputs and outputs of these
products are applied.

Finally, to meet our specific deliveries is to take products in a timely manner to

where required. Considering supply and distribution. Also unplanned changes
obviously will cause pressure and waste lags, plus inventory levels high cost,
calling the shuttle as poor and shoddy. Therefore, the transport activity in the
supply chain should be planned and considered in the coordination arrangements
between customers and suppliers.

3. Perform a simulation predicts demand for the products or services to

run through inventories.

annual annual annual

product
product demand demand demand
code
2013 2014 2015
COOLER 1 90 106 70
WASHING
2 500 657 100
MACHINES
TELEVISION 3 30 80 39
STOVES 4 50 90 43
 SOUND
5 40 35 27
EQUIPMENTS
HOME
6 20 25 20
THEATERS

700
600
500
400
300 product code
200 annual demand 2013
100 annual demand 2014
0 annual demand 2015