Sensitivity Analysis

Sales Volume Sales Volume Discount NPV NPV Change

Unit/Year Change Rate
50,000 -17% 8% $14,754,150 -19%
60,000 0% 8% $18,242,034 0% Baseline
70,000 17% 8% $21,729,917 19%

Sales Volume Discount Rate Discount NPV NPV Change

Unit/Year Rate Change
60,000 8% 0% $18,242,034 0% Baseline
60,000 9% 1% $17,792,258 -2%
60,000 10% 2% $17,355,129 -5%
60,000 11% 3% $16,930,236 -7%
0.166666667
Sales & Production Volume : 60000 unit per year
Unit Production Cost :$ 100
Unit Price :$ 240
Interest Rate : 9% per year 2.00% per quarter

Project Schedule YEAR 1 YEAR 2

KIDDY DOZER Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
Development
Pilot Testing
Ramp - Up
Marketing and Support
Production & Sales

Project Schedule YEAR 1 YEAR 2

KIDDY DOZER Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
t 0 1 2 3 4
Development $ (533,333) $ (533,333) $ (533,333)
Pilot Testing $ (100,000) $ (100,000)
Ramp - Up $ (200,000) $ (200,000)
Marketing and Support $ (50,000) $ (50,000)
Production Volume 15,000
Unit Production Cost $ (100)
Production Cost $ (1,500,000)
Sales Volume 15,000
Unit Price $ 240
Sales Revenue $ 3,600,000

Cash Flow $ (533,333) $ (533,333) $ (833,333) $ (350,000) $ 2,050,000

PV $ (533,333) $ (522,876) $ (800,974) $ (329,813) $ 1,893,883
CumPV $ (533,333) $ (1,056,209) $ (1,857,183) $ (2,186,996) $ (293,113)

NPV $ 18,242,034
 YEAR 2 YEAR 3
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

YEAR 2 YEAR 3
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
5 6 7 8 9 10 11

$ (50,000) $ (50,000) $ (50,000) $ (50,000) $ (50,000) $ (50,000) $ (50,000)

15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000
$ (100) $ (100) $ (100) $ (100) $ (100) $ (100) $ (100)
$ (1,500,000) $ (1,500,000) $ (1,500,000) $ (1,500,000) $ (1,500,000) $ (1,500,000) $ (1,500,000)
15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000
$ 240 $ 240 $ 240 $ 240 $ 240 $ 240 $ 240
$ 3,600,000 $ 3,600,000 $ 3,600,000 $ 3,600,000 $ 3,600,000 $ 3,600,000 $ 3,600,000

$ 2,050,000 $ 2,050,000 $ 2,050,000 $ 2,050,000 $ 2,050,000 $ 2,050,000 $ 2,050,000

$ 1,856,748 $ 1,820,341 $ 1,784,648 $ 1,749,655 $ 1,715,348 $ 1,681,714 $ 1,648,739
$ 1,563,635 $ 3,383,977 $ 5,168,625 $ 6,918,280 $ 8,633,629 $10,315,343 $11,964,082
 YEAR 4
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

YEAR 4
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
12 13 14 15

$ (50,000) $ (50,000) $ (50,000) $ (50,000)

15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000
$ (100) $ (100) $ (100) $ (100)
$ (1,500,000) $ (1,500,000) $ (1,500,000) $ (1,500,000)
15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000
$ 240 $ 240 $ 240 $ 240
$ 3,600,000 $ 3,600,000 $ 3,600,000 $ 3,600,000

$ 2,050,000 $ 2,050,000 $ 2,050,000 $ 2,050,000

$ 1,616,411 $ 1,584,717 $ 1,553,644 $ 1,523,180
$13,580,493 $ 15,165,210 $ 16,718,853 $ 18,242,034
Sales & Production Volume : 70000 unit /year
Unit Production Cost :$ 100
Unit Price :$ 240
Interest Rate : 8%

Project Schedule YEAR 1 YEAR 2

KIDDY DOZER Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
Development
Pilot Testing
Ramp - Up
Marketing and Support
Production & Sales

Project Schedule YEAR 1 YEAR 2

KIDDY DOZER Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
t 0 1 2 3 4
Development $ (533,333) $ (533,333) $ (533,333)
Pilot Testing $ (100,000) $ (100,000)
Ramp - Up $ (200,000) $ (200,000)
Marketing and Support $ (450,000) $ (450,000)
Production Volume 70,000
Unit Production Cost $ (100)
Production Cost $ (7,000,000)
Sales Volume 70,000
Unit Price $ 240
Sales Revenue $16,800,000

Cash Flow $ (533,333) $ (533,333) $ (833,333) $ (750,000) $ 9,350,000

NPV $ 53,598,285
 YEAR 2 YEAR 3
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

YEAR 2 YEAR 3
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
5 6 7 8 9 10 11

$ (450,000) $ (450,000) $ (450,000) $ (450,000) $ (450,000) $ (450,000) $ (450,000)

70,000 70,000 70,000 70,000 70,000 70,000 70,000
$ (100) $ (100) $ (100) $ (100) $ (100) $ (100) $ (100)
$ (7,000,000) $ (7,000,000) $ (7,000,000) $ (7,000,000) $ (7,000,000) $ (7,000,000) $ (7,000,000)
70,000 70,000 70,000 70,000 70,000 70,000 70,000
$ 240 $ 240 $ 240 $ 240 $ 240 $ 240 $ 240
$16,800,000 $16,800,000 $16,800,000 $16,800,000 $16,800,000 $16,800,000 $16,800,000

$ 9,350,000 $ 9,350,000 $ 9,350,000 $ 9,350,000 $ 9,350,000 $ 9,350,000 $ 9,350,000

 YEAR 4
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

YEAR 4
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
12 13 14 15

$ (450,000) $ (450,000) $ (450,000) $ (450,000)

70,000 70,000 70,000 70,000
$ (100) $ (100) $ (100) $ (100)
$ (7,000,000) $ (7,000,000) $ (7,000,000) $ (7,000,000)
70,000 70,000 70,000 70,000
$ 240 $ 240 $ 240 $ 240
$16,800,000 $16,800,000 $16,800,000 $16,800,000

$ 9,350,000 $ 9,350,000 $ 9,350,000 $ 9,350,000

Project Schedule YEAR 1 YEAR 2
KIDDY DOZER Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
t 0 1 2 3 4
CF -1250 -1250 -1250 -2250 -1250
pv -1250 -1219.5121951 -1189.7679952 -2089.3486746 -1132.438306
Cum PV -1250 -2469.5121951 -3659.2801904 -5748.6288649 -6881.0671709

NPV Rp8,202.89
 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 YEAR 4
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1750 1750 1750 1750 1750 1750 1750 1750 1750
1546.745 1509.01952 1472.21416 1436.3065 1401.27463 1367.0972 1333.75337 1301.2228 1269.48566
-5334.3222 -3825.3027 -2353.0885 -916.78199 484.492641 1851.58984 3185.34321 4486.56601 5756.05167
payback period, investasi balik modal
YEAR 4
Q3 Q4
14 15
1750 1750
1238.52259 1208.31472
6994.57426 8202.88899
 YEAR 1 YEAR 2
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
t 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
CF -1000 -1000 -1000 -2000 -1250 1750 1750 1750
pv -1000 -975.60976 -951.8144 -1857.1988 -1132.4383 1546.745 1509.01952 1472.21416
Cum PV -1000 -1975.6098 -2927.4242 -4784.623 -5917.0613 -4370.3163 -2861.2968 -1389.0826

% NPV Change compared to skenario 1

NPV Rp9,166.89 11.75%
 YEAR 3 YEAR 4
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
1750 1750 1750 1750 1750 1750 1750 1750
1436.3065 1401.27463 1367.0972 1333.75337 1301.2228 1269.48566 1238.52259 1208.31472
47.2238989 1448.49853 2815.59574 4149.3491 5450.5719 6720.05756 7958.58015 9166.89488
payback period, investasi balik modal
 YEAR 1 YEAR 2
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
t 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
CF -1375 -1375 -1375 -2375 -1250 1750 1750
pv -1375 -1341.4634 -1308.7448 -2205.4236 -1132.4383 1546.745 1509.01952
Cum PV -1375 -2716.4634 -4025.2082 -6230.6318 -7363.0701 -5816.3251 -4307.3056

% NPV Change compared to skenario 1

NPV Rp7,720.89 -0.058759
R2 YEAR 3 YEAR 4
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
1750 1750 1750 1750 1750 1750 1750 1750 1750
1472.21416 1436.3065 1401.27463 1367.0972 1333.75337 1301.2228 1269.48566 1238.52259 1208.31472
-2835.0914 -1398.7849 2.48969583 1369.5869 2703.34027 4004.56307 5274.04872 6512.57132 7720.88604
payback period, investasi balik modal