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MIT finance professor Andrew Lo discusses his efforts to bridge the ideological divide between efficient-markets theorists and behavioral
economists. A global bond strategy can allow investors to participate in these expanding opportunities. Please choose a role. From an investment
perspective, our base case view is broadly supportive for risk assets. Select one or more perspective s. The focus for stimulus is shifting toward
fiscal spending, as central banks are stretching toward the limits of their easing ability. Your Name Your Email Address. October 27, Fixed
Income Macro Views US Treasury yields have risen meaningfully since September, and in particular this past week, due to renewed expectations
for US tax reform, potential for hawkish leadership at the US Federal Reserve Fed and ongoing strength in both US and global activity data.
Investors should follow suit. Greg Johnson is an equity portfolio manager and principal investment officer of American Balanced Fund. Many of the
events depicted on this chart have been costly. By Capital Ideas Editorial Team. Your Name Your Email Address. While it is true that rising
interest rates can hurt bond prices in the near term, bonds should continue to play an important role in a diversified portfolio. He discusses his
outlook for U. For investors willing to look beyond U. From cars that can drive themselves to breakthrough drugs that could lead to victory in the
war against cancer, we may be on the cusp of a dramatically different and better future. We favor equities and emerging market assets over
corporate credit and government bonds. Please contact your relationship manager to register. We think de-risking would be premature, at least
from a purely return-generating standpoint. Bonds can mitigate volatility, preserve capital and supply the investor with either current income or a
relatively certain amount at some point in the future. Investors are likely to be faced with situations in that might tempt them to deviate from their
long-term strategy. They want their dividends. Populism is challenging globalism and creating new tail risks. Investors should consider having
exposure to stock and bonds from around the world. Although emerging market bonds have rallied over the past 18 months, large yield
advantages remain versus developed countries, as seen in our Chart of the Week. You already have a GSAM account. The key difference for
revolves around four emerging transitions. In some respects, our outlook represents an extension of the same long cycle we envisioned heading into
The Capital Group, home of American Funds, conducted a proprietary survey of investors in and found that those who work with a financial
advisor are more likely to stay on track toward their long-term goals while also feeling better and more confident about achieving them. As a base
case, we think growth is poised to broaden out to more countries, with the global economy drawing on more sources of strength than at any point
since You already have a GSAM account. Viewpoints Asset Classes U. Take a deep breath. Time-series and cross-sectional analysis support our
expectation for US wage growth to pick up in the near future. For investors confronted with confusion and uncertainty, the natural temptation is to
retreat. Please login for full access to GSAM content. For more than a century, the U. Select date range s. Transition will be an evolving theme in ,
and we will be re-visiting it in our publications throughout the year. As of January Through it all, the market has demonstrated remarkable strength
and resiliency in the face of challenges. The market, however, has not only survived, but thrived. Enter your GSAM login credentials: Why do I
need to enter my corporate email address? Is it time to de-risk? Data from Morningstar shows that, on average, investor returns lag fund returns.
When it comes to finances, women are more likely to experience negative stereotypes about their investment knowledge than men, according to a
new survey, commissioned by Capital Group. Date Range Filter articles by date range. Perspectives Filter articles by publication type. I think we
know a lot more about the world. Here are four facts investors need to know about the asset class. Historically, dividends have always played a
significant role in driving equity returns and helping investors meet their financial goals. Our Month Cross-Asset Views Compared to We favor
equities and emerging market assets over corporate credit and government bonds. We expect the prolonged expansion phase of the growth cycle
to continue in
Market Insights
But in the downturn, diversification worked. Select one or more topic s. We think de-risking would be premature, at least from a purely return-
generating standpoint. Please login for full access to GSAM content. Indeed, the global standard of living is rising at a remarkable rate, with
millions of people moving into the middle class. And each time it has come back. There are nearly 50 million people over 65 in the United States,
and many of them have one thing in common: Please log in to gain access to this feature. As bonds are sold or reach maturity, the proceeds can be
reinvested in bonds with a higher coupon, which can help offset the impact of price declines. When the market drops, for example, an advisor can
put things in perspective and keep people from jumping out of investments that are aligned with their goals. We expect the macro environment to
remain supportive of risk assets during amid a slow-but-steady expansion in developed markets and an acceleration of growth in some emerging
markets. Here are four facts investors need to know about the asset class. We believe this is a slow-growth recovery best explained by cyclical
economic drivers. Please login for full access to GSAM content. Viewpoints Asset Classes U. Historically, dividends have always played a
significant role in driving equity returns and helping investors meet their financial goals. To be sure, strong demand for dividend income has driven
valuations for many traditional dividend payers in the U. Millions of retiring baby boomers need income, but they may have to search far and wide
for yield. MIT finance professor Andrew Lo discusses his efforts to bridge the ideological divide between efficient-markets theorists and
behavioral economists. Here are five ways to stay on track despite unforeseen turbulence. The Capital Group, home of American Funds,
conducted a proprietary survey of investors in and found that those who work with a financial advisor are more likely to stay on track toward their
long-term goals while also feeling better and more confident about achieving them. While it is true that rising interest rates can hurt bond prices in
the near term, bonds should continue to play an important role in a diversified portfolio. Select one or more perspective s. Please enter a name to
save your selection. I think we know a lot more about the world. Linkedin Twitter Facebook Mail-Inverted. Investors should follow suit. Portfolio
manager John Queen weighs in and also discusses the role that short-term bond funds can play in a diversified portfolio. Many of them are
reaching for a better life, a powerful force that could have significant ramifications for the global economy and companies around the world. US
Treasury yields have risen meaningfully since September, and in particular this past week, due to renewed expectations for US tax reform,
potential for hawkish leadership at the US Federal Reserve Fed and ongoing strength in both US and global activity data. It has known security
flaws and may not display all features of this and other websites. Municipal bonds are a viable option for core fixed income portfolios. Swift and
dramatic change can inspire powerful emotions and lead to very human, but ultimately destructive, investment decisions. Learn what Capital Group
economists and portfolio managers think in our Midyear Outlook. Please contact your relationship manager to register. Your browser is out of
date. We prefer equities over credit and credit over rates, but we expect low returns from these traditional exposures given 1 elevated valuations,
2 limited upside for corporate earnings from current levels and 3 limits to economic growth potential. The Great Recession took a toll on nearly
every asset class and portfolio. We believe the concerns about the developed world being mired in a pattern of underinvestment and stalled
growth so-called secular stagnationare overdone. By Capital Ideas Editorial Team. They are also more likely to invest a larger percentage
of their income, and invest regularly. The implications of his work extend well beyond academia, to everyday investors and society as a whole.
Although emerging market bonds have rallied over the past 18 months, large yield advantages remain versus developed countries, as seen in our
Chart of the Week. Follow trends in the global economy, including policy issues and analysis of economic development from Goldman Sachs
Global Investment Research. Bonds can mitigate volatility, preserve capital and supply the investor with either current income or a relatively certain
amount at some point in the future. He discusses his outlook for U. That might make some investors question the value of investing abroad. Your
browser is out of date. Sign up for Email. In fact, since , dividends have accounted for more than half of average annual total returns in developed
international markets. The focus for stimulus is shifting toward fiscal spending, as central banks are stretching toward the limits of their easing
ability. Greg Johnson is an equity portfolio manager and principal investment officer of American Balanced Fund. The market, however, has not
only survived, but thrived. An extraordinary expansion in global capital flows has dramatically increased the selection of fixed income opportunities.
We are underweight US rates on a directional and relative value basis. Many of the events depicted on this chart have been costly. We expect the
long post-crisis economic recovery to continue in In some respects, our outlook represents an extension of the same long cycle we envisioned
heading into The key difference for revolves around four emerging transitions. Take a deep breath.