Professional Documents
Culture Documents
REPORT
R1
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY AN NUAL GENER AL MEETING 2004:
Dear Subscriber,
expense) to fly halfway
Some may say that it’s an odd bunch of blokes who take the time (and
I wouldn’t argue with that.
around the world just to hear a few hours of discussion on investing.
s, which is why three of
But our research team isn’t just a motley collection of ordinary analyst
happily bypassing all the
us trekked first to Omaha, Nebraska and then to Pasadena, California,
traditional tourist traps along the way.
company you may have
Omaha happens to house the head office of Berkshire Hathaway, a
ny meeting, after reading
heard of. If you’re perplexed as to why we travelled so far for a compa
, you may even find yourself
this report I suspect your puzzlement will have eased. Indeed
contemplating joining us next year.
Munger, who also
Warren Buffett—known as the Sage of Omaha—and his partner Charlie
Hathaw Had you invested
ay.
heads Wesco, located in Pasadena, run a company called Berkshire
40 years, Berkshire has
$10,000 in 1965, it would now be worth around $50m. Over the past
so you can understand
delivered shareholders an average annual return of more than 22%,
prominently. The
why, in our Analysts’ Profiles, the names of Buffett and Munger feature
g of Wesco Financial
Saturday Berkshire meeting is followed on the Wednesday by the meetin
Omaha to Los Angeles (except
(80.1% owned by Berkshire) so we trod the well-worn path from
patch instead).
for Tom Elder, our resources analyst, who headed for the Texas oil
with Berkshire Hathaway
This is a report on that trip, and a little more. If you’re not familiar
ction to them. You’ll then
and the characters who run it, what ensues will be a great introdu
two meetings. And finally, it
learn what we consider to be the pearls of wisdom disclosed at the
on the subject (for the
will be an ideal jumping-off point for those interested in further reading
sad cases who, like us, just can’t get enough of Buffett and Munger).
Berkshire one, which
Personally, I found the Wesco meeting even more enjoyable than the
nce was most enlightening,
may come through in our report on page 6. But the overall experie
follow. It’s a cliché, I know,
something I hope we’ve managed to communicate in the pages that
enjoyed
but I dearly hope you enjoy reading this report half as much as we’ve
putting it together.
C ON TE N TS
Yours sincerely
PAGE
Special CReport
A museum for great businesses
Berkshire Hathaway was once a textile company that News, the fractional jet ownership business Net Jets, the
struggled to pay its staff wages. Now it could buy our world’s largest carpet manufacturer, Shaw Carpets and
two biggest banks and still have $10bn in the kitty. utility business MidAmerican Energy.
Less understood has been Berkshire’s investments and
When Warren Buffett first started purchasing shares natural growth in the insurance and reinsurance
in Berkshire Hathaway in 1962, it was a struggling New businesses. GEICO, one of America’s largest auto insurers,
England textile mill. At the time its shares were trading had been a major stock holding of Berkshire until the mid-
around US$8 each. Now it’s a diversified business owner 1990s, when it acquired the whole company. General Re,
and financial powerhouse, one of the world’s only AAA one of the world’s largest reinsurance companies, was
rated non-government institutions. More importantly, those acquired a few years later. The beauty of these businesses
US$8 shares are now trading at nearly US$90,000 each. is that the customer effectively pays in advance for an
Berkshire became Warren Buffett’s investment vehicle of event that may or may not occur in the future. That means
choice, which means that the success of the company is there’s a lot of cash available to invest in other businesses
inextricably linked with the capabilities of the man. (in insurance industry jargon it’s called the float). It’s in the
Buffett refers to Berkshire as a ‘museum’ for great effective deployment of this cash that Buffett has made
businesses. That aptly describes his preference for some of his most astute purchases.
acquiring shares of great businesses, or whole businesses, But Buffett does not succumb to the temptation to
and keeping them for the long-term. In fact, Buffett’s invest if it is not wise to do so. Currently, Berkshire is
preferred investment holding period is ‘forever’—a great holding a breathtaking US$70bn in cash and bonds. To put
way to keep brokerage costs down. This ‘museum’ that it in perspective, Berkshire could happily purchase
currently includes very large investments in stocks like Australia’s two largest banks, National Australia Bank and
Coca-Cola, Gillette, American Express, the Washington Commonwealth Bank, without the use of debt, and still
Post and many other great businesses. Starting with the have about AUD$10bn left over (if that’s not enough to
Omaha insurer National Indemnity in the late 1960s, over convince punters that Buffett is having a hard time finding
the last 30 years Buffett has expressed a preference for value these days, then nothing will). In less than 40 years,
purchasing entire companies, or at least obtaining majority Buffett has taken a troubled New England company that
ownership. The purchase of See’s Candy—an upmarket struggled to pay its staff to an industrial behemoth
chocolate retailer—in 1972, was followed by other currently valued at around US$135bn. Let’s now look at the
purchases including Nebraska Furniture Mart, Buffalo mind-set of the man responsible for this remarkable story.
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R1/BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY AGM
Special CReport
Woodstock for capitalists
First time for some, old hat for others, the Berkshire or even our own STW Communications can sometimes
Hathaway AGM was the reason for our visit—us and be a good guide to management’s liveliness, integrity and
19,500 others. humanity, all characteristics that should inspire investors’
confidence. The fact that we so rarely see these traits on
After arriving in Omaha on Friday 30 April, your display is, in our view, a reflection of the unease and
analysts decided to live it up. Immediately after checking disdain with which managers so often treat minor
into our rooms at the Econo-lodge—84 blocks from the shareholders. So, with that point off our chests, let’s get
city centre and with sweeping views of an eight-lane into it. What follows is a selection of the gems we picked
highway, a railway line and a McDonald’s outlet—we up and the odd comment on how they relate to our
called up Gorat’s. This establishment bills itself as having situation here in the Antipodes.
the finest steaks in the world and is Buffett’s restaurant of
choice. Surprisingly, Gorat’s were able to accommodate On successful investing
us and, after enjoying Buffett’s favourite dish—a On the topic of successful investing, the pair made the
medium-rare T-bone with a double side order of hash following remarks:
browns—we were all in agreement that Buffett’s Munger: ‘It’s a life-long game and if you don’t keep
stockpicking is matched only by his steakpicking. learning, other people will pass you by.’
Despite an early start on Saturday morning for the Buffett: ‘Temperament is most important.’
meeting, we were unable to look around the huge Munger: ‘Yeah, but temperament alone won’t do it. Most
exhibition hall where Berkshire subsidiaries were plying of it is rather tuning out folly than recognising wisdom.’
their wares. We wanted good seats for the day’s events. Earlier in the meeting Munger observed: ‘Most people
First came the company movie, ordinarily something we’d who read a lot don’t have the right temperament. They
dread—but despite running for an hour it exceeded our get confused by the mass of material or don’t get out the
expectations (set by Gareth Brown, who was attending his right ideas.’
second meeting). It contained hilarious skits with Buffett Adding a little more detail to the idea of temperament,
and Munger combining with the likes of Judge Judy, Bill Buffett observed: ‘Wall Street is awash with money and
Gates and Arnold Schwarzenegger. There was even a talent, yet we still get these astounding swings. You want
cartoon where Buffett and Munger travelled back in time to position yourself so this insanity doesn’t wipe you out.
from the future to save the world from the three-way Better yet, position yourself to take advantage of it.’ In a
merger between Microsoft, Wal-Mart and Starbucks practical example of this, in 2002 Berkshire bought a
(MicroWalBucks), which would flood the world with significant quantity of junk bonds when everyone else was
technologically-advanced caffeinated beverages at low, panicking. In a characteristic warning, Munger stated: ‘It
low prices. was absolute chaos at the bottom tick of the junk bond
Buffett and Munger took the stage at 9:30am, dealt market. And that isn’t as much chaos as you can have,
swiftly with the official business of the meeting and then especially (when it comes to) common stocks.’
opened the floor to questions from the 19,500-strong
crowd. One of the meeting’s hallmarks, and one of its On corporate governance
most enjoyable aspects, is the repartee between Buffett and In describing the current situation where some people
Munger, which perhaps this exchange will demonstrate. are trying to distil good corporate governance into a
Early in the meeting a shareholder asked about inflation checklist which boards should be compared against,
and its effects on investors. Buffett said ‘Checklists are no substitute for thinking’.
Munger: Most investors will get a low real investment Later in the meeting, on a similar note, he said ‘the best
return. You will have a good defence from inflation by not way to minimise risk is to think’.
drowning in artificial needs. Mark Carnegie, chairman of STW Communications,
Buffett: Charlie, we’re selling consumer goods in the had this to say on the same issue in his 2002 report to
other room … you may talk that way at home (but not here). shareholders: ‘The calls for a more American style of
Munger: It doesn’t do any good there. regulation from out-of-work accountants and lawyers, if
Buffett: I know the feeling. implemented here, will really hurt the economy because
Of course, there’s no reason why AGMs have to be the type of people it will breed in the boardroom of
corporate events but that’s how they tend to be. The Australian companies are divisive pedants who haven’t got
contrast of an AMP or Fairfax AGM with that of Berkshire a useful thing to say about building a successful company
in a harshly competitive world.’ We suspect Buffett and
Carnegie, if not sharing a carriage, are certainly on the
‘Most people who read a lot same train of thought.
don’t have the right temperament.
They get confused by the On auditors
mass of material or don’t get out Lamenting the sad state of affairs in the auditing
profession, Buffett displayed the four questions he believes
the right ideas.’
all auditors should have to respond to in a company’s
annual report:
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R1/BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY AGM
Special CReport
Woodstock for capitalists [ CONTINUED FROM PAGE 5 ]
On hedge funds after the South Sea bubble. If you believe liquidity is a
Buffett and Munger are both bemused by the rise and prerequisite then you must think all of America’s real
rise of hedge funds, the latest investment fad. Many estate hasn’t been developed properly.’
subscribers would have read marketing material from the We couldn’t agree more. We hear a lot of rubbish about
OM-IP series of funds and others promoting hedge funds. the importance of liquidity. Often it comes from companies
Buffett urged people to maintain healthy scepticism in the where a major shareholder is selling down in order to
face of heavy marketing pressure, saying ‘You don’t get provide more liquidity. The implication is they’re doing
smarter just because you run something called a hedge this out of the goodness of their heart. We note that an
fund, or a private equity fund or LBO firm. What you do illiquid but successful company like Reece Australia has
get, periodically, is the ability to merchandise it.’ performed very well over the years without the need for
millions of shares to change hands each day.
On low probability events
On numbers and the nature of thought
The following statement from Buffett gave some insight
into why Berkshire has been so successful in the insurance A shareholder asked Munger to elaborate on a previous
game: ‘The tendency is to underestimate low probability year’s comment relating to mathematics revealing the true
events when they haven’t happened recently and nature of thought. The question was, effectively, ‘Why is it
overestimate them when they have. That’s just the nature so?’ To which Munger deadpanned: ‘That’s just the way it
of the human animal. Our nature (at Berkshire) is to think is. If you’re innumerate in business you’ll be a klutz. But
about low probability events a lot.’ higher maths can get you in a lot of trouble.’
That kind of mentality also has implications for the On the herd mentality
wider investment world. The banks are sometimes referred
to as ‘safe, defensive’ stocks by the media (and even some Buffett made the following observation: ‘Too often
analysts). But noises like that weren’t being made 10 years shareholders have acted like sheep in this country and
ago. The fact that it’s been more than a dozen years since often been shorn.’ That applies to both their voting on
the last property crunch means that many people are resolutions at meetings and also their behaviour in buying
underestimating this ‘low probability’ event (which isn’t so and selling.
low in our view). We don’t wish to cause alarm but we do
want subscribers to be mindful of the potential for large
price falls in bank shares if there is a property bust. While
we’re digressing somewhat, another point we’d like to
‘That’s just the way it is.
make is that no stock is defensive by nature. A business
may be defensive but priced at such a high level that the If you’re innumerate in business
overall investment package becomes anything but. you’ll be a klutz.
But higher maths can get you
On liquidity
in a lot of trouble.’
When asked about whether a stock split might help
Berkshire’s liquidity and ‘price discovery’, Munger replied,
‘The stuff that’s spoken about in academia about liquidity
is mostly twaddle. England banned liquid common stocks
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R1/BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY AGM
Special CReport
Further reading and research
If this report has whetted your appetite for Buffett and Munger, try these other sources.
This page is dedicated to those people who, like us, can’t get enough of this sort of thing. It contains a list of
recommended reading on Buffett, Munger and Berkshire-related material. We have also included a list of books
recommended by Buffett and Munger at both this year’s and previous years’ meetings. Finally, we have a list of relevant
websites which may be of interest to those with internet access. Forget an MBA, this page contains almost all you need
to know to become a successful investor.
Buffett: The Making of an American The Essays of Warren Buffett: Lessons for Investors
Capitalist by Roger Lowenstein. and Managers by Lawrence Cunningham. This is a
While not as comprehensive as the collection of Buffett’s annual letters to shareholders,
next book on our list, we find this sorted by topic.
one to be the best introduction to Damn Right! Behind the scenes with Berkshire Hathaway
the man and the company, it being Billionaire Charlie Munger by Janet Lowe. Some Munger
a well-written, well-structured fans were a little disappointed by Lowe’s biography but
biography. it provides some valuable insights nonetheless and
Of Permanent Value: The Story of contains a couple of excellent Munger speeches.
Warren Buffett by Andrew Kilpatrick. The Warren Buffett CEO: Secrets from the Berkshire
This one grows in size, and weight, on a regular basis Hathaway Managers by Robert Miles. This book contains
as the author adds to it in new editions. But it’s only for profiles on many of Berkshire’s key managers. We found
the fanatics. the insights from portfolio manager Lou Simpson of
particular interest.
BUFFETT AND MUNGER’S RECOMMENDATIONS
Security Analysis by Benjamin Graham and David Dodd. In an Uncertain World: Tough Choices from Wall Street
We understand that Buffett’s preferred edition is the to Washington by Robert Rubin. Here are Buffett’s own
second one (1940) which, thankfully, has recently been words on this interesting autobiography: ‘As Secretary of
re-printed. the Treasury, Bob Rubin ranked with the best. This
Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits by Phil Fisher. drama-packed account of his years on the job should be
This comprehensive work was important in shaping read by all who are interested in what happens when
Buffett’s investment approach. politics and economics intersect.’
Influence by Robert Cialdini. This excellent book deals Deep Simplicity: Chaos, Complexity and the Emergence
with seven ‘weapons of influence’ and is one that Munger of Life by John Gribbin. This was Munger’s
has strongly recommended for many years. recommendation at this year’s meeting. Available online
from the UK Amazon website (www.amazon.co.uk),
Guns, Germs and Steel by Jared Diamond is another we’ve been impressed with other Gribbin books so it’s
Munger recommendation. It’s a fascinating exploration definitely worth a look.
of human history since the last ice age.
A Short History of Nearly Everything by Bill Bryson.
The Selfish Gene by Richard Dawkins. Another Munger At the meeting Buffett said he was enjoying this book.
favourite, this groundbreaking work reformulated the It’s another one we haven’t tackled yet but is on the list.
theory of natural selection and, best of all, is quite
readable for non-scientists. The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham.
Our namesake and Buffett’s favourite book on investing.
ON LINE REFERENCES
8 The Intelligent Investor PO Box 1158, Bondi Junction NSW 1355 Phone: (02) 9388 0042 Fax: (02) 9388 0043 info@intelligentinvestor.com.au www.intelligentinvestor.com.au