Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Travel
& Tourism
Economic Impact 2015
Vietnam
For more information, please contact:
Rochelle Turner
Head of Research
rochelle.turner@wttc.org
For 25 years, WTTC has been quantifying the economic impact of Travel & Tourism. This year, the 2015
Annual Economic Reports cover 184 countries and 25 regions of the world, including, for the first time,
the Pacific Alliance.
Travel & Tourism generated US$7.6 trillion (10% of global GDP) and 277 million jobs (1 in 11 jobs) for the
global economy in 2014. Recent years have seen Travel & Tourism growing at a faster rate than both the
wider economy and other significant sectors such as automotive, financial services and health care. Last year
was no exception. International tourist arrivals also surged, reaching nearly 1.14billion and visitor spending
more than matched that growth. Visitors from emerging economies now represent a 46% share of these
international arrivals (up from 38% in 2000), proving the growth and increased opportunities for travel from
those in these new markets.
The sector faces challenges every year and this year is likely to be no different. The weakness and potential
volatility of many currencies against the US dollar and a deep recession in Russia, a key outbound market,
will slow outbound spending in line with slower world trade overall in 2015. However, falling oil prices will
bring significant improvements for net oil importers in 2015, easing upward pressure on living costs, increasing
disposable household incomes and domestic consumer spending, and lowering air fares. As a result, Travel &
Tourism expansion is forecast to continue at a stronger rate than last year, with the total contribution to GDP
expected to increase by 3.7%. New destinations and investment opportunities will also continue to emerge
as tourism becomes increasingly affordable across the developing world. This growth will require countries
to adopt a concerted and coordinated approach to talent planning and development between their industry,
governments and educational institutions to ensure they fulfil their potential in the years ahead.
WTTC is proud to continue to provide this clear and empirical data in order to help both public and private
bodies make the right decisions for the future growth of a sustainable Travel & Tourism sector.
David Scowsill
President & CEO
WTTC
Foreword
Glossary......................................................................................15
Methodological Note...................................................................16
VISITOR EXPORTS
Visitor exports generated VND165,080.0bn (4.8% of total exports) in 2014. This is forecast to
grow by 7.4% in 2015, and grow by 6.8% pa, from 2015-2025, to VND343,201.0bn in 2025
(4.5% of total).
INVESTMENT
Travel & Tourism investment in 2014 was VND96,452.7bn, or 10.0% of total investment. It
should rise by 7.1% in 2015, and rise by 6.2% pa over the next ten years to VND188,653.0bn in
2025 (9.0% of total).
1All values are in constant 2014 prices & exchange rates
51 95 4 19
ABSOLUTE RELATIVE SIZE GROWTH LONG-TERM GROWTH
Size in 2014 Contribution to GDP in 2014 2015 forecast Forecast 2015-2025
800,000
56,225
700,000
600,000
128,948
500,000
Employment
400,000
182,066
('000)
300,000
1,964
200,000
1,369
100,000 757
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2025
2025
Travel & Tourism is an important economic activity in most countries around the world. As well as its direct economic
impact, the sector has significant indirect and induced impacts. The UN Statistics Division-approved Tourism Satellite
Accounting methodology (TSA:RMF 2008) quantifies only the direct contribution of Travel & Tourism. WTTC recognises
that Travel & Tourism's total contribution is much greater however, and aims to capture its indirect and induced
impacts through its annual research.
DIRECT CONTRIBUTION
The direct contribution of Travel & Tourism to GDP reflects the internal spending on Travel & Tourism (total spending
within a particular country on Travel & Tourism by residents and non-residents for business and leisure purposes) as
well as government 'individual' spending - spending by government on Travel & Tourism services directly linked to
visitors, such as cultural (eg museums) or recreational (eg national parks).
The direct contribution of Travel & Tourism to GDP is calculated to be consistent with the output, as expressed in
National Accounting, of tourism-characteristic sectors such as hotels, airlines, airports, travel agents and leisure
and recreation services that deal directly with tourists.The direct contribution of Travel & Tourism to GDP is calculated
from total internal spending by netting out the purchases made by the different tourism industries. This measure is
consistent with the definition of Tourism GDP, specified in the 2008 Tourism Satellite Account: Recommended
Methodological Framework (TSA: RMF 2008).
TOTAL CONTRIBUTION
The total contribution of Travel & Tourism includes its wider impacts (ie the indirect and induced impacts) on the economy.
The indirect contribution includes the GDP and jobs supported by:
Travel & Tourism investment spending an important aspect of both current and future activity that includes
investment activity such as the purchase of new aircraft and construction of new hotels;
Government 'collective' spending, which helps Travel & Tourism activity in many different ways as it is made on
behalf of the community at large eg tourism marketing and promotion, aviation,
administration, security services, resort area security services, resort area sanitation services, etc;
Domestic purchases of goods and services by the sectors dealing directly with tourists - including, for example,
purchases of food and cleaning services by hotels, of fuel and catering services by airlines, and IT services by
travel agents.
The induced contribution measures the GDP and jobs supported by the spending of those who are directly or indirectly
employed by the Travel & Tourism sector.
The direct contribution of Travel & Tourism to GDP is expected to grow by 6.6% pa to VND370,902.0bn (4.8% of
GDP) by 2025.
350,000
5.0
300,000
4.0
250,000
200,000 3.0
150,000
2.0
100,000
1.0
50,000
0 0.0
2025
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2025
2025
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2025
The total contribution of Travel & Tourism to GDP (including wider effects from investment, the supply chain and
induced income impacts, see page 2) was VND367,238.0bn in 2014 (9.3% of GDP) and is expected to grow by
8.0% to VND396,642.0bn (9.5% of GDP) in 2015.
It is forecast to rise by 6.2% pa to VND721,805.0bn by 2025 (9.4% of GDP).
800,000 10.0
700,000 9.0
8.0
600,000
7.0
500,000
6.0
400,000 5.0
300,000 4.0
3.0
200,000
2.0
100,000
1.0
0 0.0
2014 2015 2025
2025
2025 2014 2015 2025
2025
1
All values are in constant 2014 prices & exchange rates
By 2025, Travel & Tourism will account for 2,433,000 jobs directly, an increase of 1.8% pa over the next ten
years.
3,000.0 5.0
4.5
2,500.0
4.0
3.5
2,000.0
3.0
1,500.0 2.5
2.0
1,000.0
1.5
1.0
500.0
0.5
0.0 0.0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2025
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2025
2025
2025
The total contribution of Travel & Tourism to employment (including wider effects from investment, the supply
chain and induced income impacts, see page 2) was 4,088,500 jobs in 2014 (7.7% of total employment). This is
forecast to rise by 3.6% in 2015 to 4,236,000 jobs (7.9% of total employment).
By 2025, Travel & Tourism is forecast to support 4,842,000 jobs (7.9% of total employment), an increase of 1.3%
pa over the period.
VIETNAM: TOTAL CONTRIBUTION OF TRAVEL & TOURISM TO EMPLOYMENT
6,000.0 9.0
8.0
5,000.0
7.0
4,000.0 6.0
5.0
3,000.0
4.0
2,000.0 3.0
2.0
1,000.0
1.0
0.0 0.0
2014 2015 2025
2025 2014 2015 2025
2025
Direct Indirect Induced Direct Indirect Induced
By 2025, international tourist arrivals are forecast to total 10,739,000, generating expenditure of
VND343,201.0bn, an increase of 6.8% pa.
350,000 7.0
10
300,000 6.0
8
250,000
5.0
200,000 6
4.0
150,000
4
3.0
100,000
2 2.0
50,000
0 0 1.0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2025
2025
0.0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2025
2025
Foreign visitor exports (LHS)
Foreign tourist arrivals (RHS)
INVESTMENT
Travel & Tourism is expected to have attracted capital investment of VND96,452.7bn in 2014. This is expected
to rise by 7.1% in 2015, and rise by 6.2% pa over the next ten years to VND188,653.0bn in 2025.
Travel & Tourisms share of total national investment will fall from 9.6% in 2015 to 9.0% in 2025.
200,000 16.0
180,000 14.0
160,000
12.0
140,000
10.0
120,000
100,000 8.0
80,000 6.0
60,000
4.0
40,000
2.0
20,000
0 0.0
2025
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2025
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2025
2025
1
All values are in constant 2014 prices & exchange rates
89.7%
Leisure travel spending is expected to grow by
7.9% in 2015 to VND308,715.0bn, and rise by
Business spending 6.7% pa to VND589,085.0bn in 2025.
10.3%
Business travel spending is expected to grow by
7.6% in 2015 to VND35,376.8bn, and rise by 6.2%
pa to VND64,563.7bn in 2025.
Vietnam
Travel & Tourism's Contribution to GDP:
Domestic vs Foreign, 2014
Domestic travel spending generated 48.2% of
direct Travel & Tourism GDP in 2014 compared
with 51.8% for visitor exports (ie foreign visitor
Foreign visitor spending
spending or international tourism receipts).
51.8%
Domestic travel spending is expected to grow by
Domestic spending
8.4% in 2015 to VND166,827.0bn, and rise by
48.2% 6.4% pa to VND310,448.0bn in 2025.
Vietnam
Breakdown of Travel & Tourism's Total Contribution to GDP, 2014
The Travel & Tourism industry contributes to GDP
Direct
and employment in many ways as detailed on
page 2.
49.6%
Induced
Indirect
35.1%
Indirect is the sum of:
(a) Supply chain
32.4%
(b) Investment
1.9% c b
(c) Government collective
a
.8%
1
All values are in constant 2014 prices & exchange rates
Travel & Tourism's Direct 2014 Travel & Tourism's Total 2014
Contribution to GDP (US$bn) Contribution to GDP (US$bn)
Travel & Tourism's Direct 2014 Travel & Tourism's Total 2014
Contribution to Employment '000 jobs Contribution to Employment '000 jobs
The tables on pages 7-10 provide provide brief extracts from the full WTTC Country League Table Rankings, highlighting comparisons with
competing destinations as well as with the world and regional average. Averages in above tables are simple cross-country averages.
The competing destinations selected are those that offer a similar tourism product and compete for tourists from the same set of origin markets.
These tend to be, but are not exclusively, geographical neighbours.
Travel & Tourism's Direct 2014 Travel & Tourism's Total 2014
Contribution to GDP % share Contribution to GDP % share
Travel & Tourism's Direct 2014 Travel & Tourism's Total 2014
Contribution to Employment % share Contribution to Employment % share
Travel & Tourism's Direct 2015 Travel & Tourism's Total 2015
Contribution to GDP % growth Contribution to GDP % growth
Travel & Tourism's Direct 2015 Travel & Tourism's Total 2015
Contribution to Employment % growth Contribution to Employment % growth
Travel & Tourism's Direct 2015 - 2025 Travel & Tourism's Total 2015 - 2025
Contribution to GDP % growth pa Contribution to GDP % growth pa
Travel & Tourism's Direct 2015 - 2025 Travel & Tourism's Total 2015 - 2025
Contribution to Employment % growth pa Contribution to Employment % growth pa
Travel & Tourism Investment 2015 - 2025 Visitor Exports 2015 - 2025
Contribution to Capital Investment % growth pa Contribution to Exports % growth pa
% of total refers to each indicator's share of the relevant whole economy indicator such as GDP and employment. Visitor exports is shown relative to total exports of goods and
Domestic spending is expressed relative to whole economy GDP. For leisure and business spending, their direct contribution to Travel & Tourism GDP is calculated as a share of
whole economy GDP (the sum of these shares equals the direct contribution). Investment is relative to whole economy investment.
Vietnam
(VNDbn, real 2014 prices) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E 2025F
1. Visitor exports 97,694 100,645 127,742 141,704 153,561 165,080 177,264 343,201
Domestic expenditure
2. 105,426 117,905 116,646 130,086 140,440 153,882 166,827 310,448
(includes government individual spending)
including imported goods -86,629 -93,497 -104,409 -115,176 -125,675 -136,896 -147,663 -282,747
(supply chain)
5. Direct contribution of
Travel & Tourism to GDP 116,491 125,053 139,979 156,614 168,326 182,066 196,428 370,902
(= 3 + 4)
(indirect & induced) 78,377 84,140 94,183 105,376 113,256 122,500 132,164 249,557
7. Capital investment 86,653 90,202 86,270 81,646 89,275 96,453 103,302 188,653
8. Government collective spending 2,135.6 2,365.5 2,487.7 2,634.7 2,895.0 3,080.9 3,252.4 5,502.3
9. Imported goods from indirect spending -47,450 -54,314 -61,054 -60,207 -88,614 -93,086 -98,515 -195,867
10. Induced 45,394 46,032 47,711 53,841 52,469 56,225 60,010 103,058
12. Direct contribution of Travel & Tourism to 1,653.4 1,738.4 1,654.5 1,813.6 1,884.2 1,963.5 2,034.1 2,432.7
employment
Other indicators
77,248 71,124 62,468 64,814 74,697 80,652 86,602 157,316
14. Expenditure on outbound travel
Vietnam
(VNDbn, nominal prices) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E 2025F
1. Visitor exports 59,364 68,542 105,491 129,807 147,365 165,079 184,367 554,326
Domestic expenditure
2. 64,063 80,296 96,328 119,164 134,773 153,882 173,512 501,425
(includes government individual spending)
including imported goods -52,640 -63,674 -86,222 -105,506 -120,603 -136,896 -153,581 -456,682
(supply chain)
5. Direct contribution of
Travel & Tourism to GDP 70,786 85,164 115,597 143,465 161,535 182,065 204,298 599,069
(= 3 + 4)
(indirect & induced) 47,626 57,302 77,778 96,529 108,686 122,500 137,459 403,076
7. Capital investment 52,655 61,430 71,243 74,791 85,673 96,453 107,441 304,706
8. Government collective spending 1,297.7 1,611.0 2,054.4 2,413.5 2,778.2 3,080.9 3,382.7 8,887.1
9. Imported goods from indirect spending -28,833 -36,989 -50,419 -55,153 -85,038 -93,085 -102,462 -316,359
10. Induced 27,584 31,349 39,400 49,321 50,352 56,225 62,415 166,456
12. Direct contribution of Travel & Tourism to 1,653.4 1,738.4 1,654.5 1,813.6 1,884.2 1,963.5 2,034.1 2,432.7
employment
Other indicators
46,940 48,437 51,587 59,373 71,683 80,651 90,072 254,091
14. Expenditure on outbound travel
*Concepts shown in this table align with the standard table totals as described in the 2008 Tourism Satellite Account: Recommended
Methodological Framework (TSA: RMF 2008) developed by the United Nations Statistical Division (UNSD), the Statistical Office
of the European Communities (EUROSTAT), the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the World Tourism
Organization (UNWTO).
Historical data for concepts has been benchmarked to match reported TSA data where available.
Vietnam
2
Growth1 (%) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E 2025F
1. Visitor exports -10.6 3.0 26.9 10.9 8.4 7.5 7.4 6.8
Domestic expenditure
2. -2.8 11.8 -1.1 11.5 8.0 9.6 8.4 6.4
(includes government individual spending)
including imported goods -6.1 7.9 11.7 10.3 9.1 8.9 7.9 6.7
(supply chain)
5. Direct contribution of
Travel & Tourism to GDP -7.2 7.4 11.9 11.9 7.5 8.2 7.9 6.6
(= 3 + 4)
(indirect & induced) -7.2 7.4 11.9 11.9 7.5 8.2 7.9 6.6
7. Capital investment -31.2 4.1 -4.4 -5.4 9.3 8.0 7.1 6.2
8. Government collective spending 8.7 10.8 5.2 5.9 9.9 6.4 5.6 5.4
9. Imported goods from indirect spending -10.5 10.2 12.0 6.4 22.6 6.7 6.9 6.8
10. Induced -9.7 1.4 3.6 12.8 -2.5 7.2 6.7 5.6
12. Direct contribution of Travel & Tourism to -12.3 5.1 -4.8 9.6 3.9 4.2 3.6 1.8
employment
Other indicators
-18.1 -7.9 -12.2 3.8 15.2 8.0 7.4 6.2
14. Expenditure on outbound travel
1 2
2009-2014 real annual growth adjusted for inflation (%); 2015-2025 annualised real growth adjusted for inflation (%)
Domestic Travel & Tourism spending spending within a Foreign visitor arrivals the number of arrivals of foreign visitors,
country by that countrys residents for both business and leisure including same-day and overnight visitors (tourists) to the country.
trips. Multi-use consumer durables are not included since they
are not purchased solely for tourism purposes. This is consistent
with total domestic tourism expenditure in table 2 of the TSA: RMF
2008. Outbound spending by residents abroad is not included
here, but is separately identified according to the TSA: RMF 2008
(see below).
NORTHEAST Asia
Egypt Luxembourg
Africa
North
Barbuda
Libya Hong Kong Malta
Aruba
Morocco South Korea
Bahamas Netherlands
European Union
Tunisia Macau
Barbados Poland
Angola Taiwan
Bermuda Portugal
Benin Mongolia
Cayman Islands Romania
Botswana Australia
Cuba Slovakia
Burkina Faso New Zealand
Former
Netherlands Slovenia
Burundi Fiji
Antilles Spain
Cameroon Kiribati
Oceania
Dominica
Cape Verde Other Oceania Sweden
Caribbean
Dominican
Central African Republic Papua UK
Republic New Guinea
Grenada Albania
Chad Solomon Islands
Guadeloupe
Armenia
Asia-PACIFIC
Comoros Tonga
Haiti
Democratic Vanuatu Azerbaijan
Republic of Congo Jamaica
Europe
Bangladesh Belarus
Ethiopia Martinique
India Bosnia
South Asia
Other Europe
Kazakhstan
Ivory Coast
Trinidad &
Brunei Kyrgyzstan
Americas
Kenya Tobago
Africa
Cambodia Macedonia
Lesotho UK Virgin Islands
Indonesia Moldova
US Virgin Islands
SUB-SAHARAN
Madagascar
SouthEast Asia
Laos Montenegro
Malawi Argentina
Malaysia Norway
Mali Belize
Myanmar
Mauritius Bolivia Russian
Philippines Federation
Mozambique Brazil
Singapore Serbia
Namibia Chile
Thailand Switzerland
Niger Colombia
Nigeria Vietnam Turkey
Costa Rica
Republic of Congo Austria Ukraine
El Salvador
Latin America
Seychelles Nicaragua
Denmark
Sierra Leone Jordan
Panama
Europe
Estonia
Middle East
Together with its research partner, Oxford Economics, WTTC produces annual research that
shows Travel & Tourism to be one of the worlds largest sectors, supporting over 276 million
jobs and generating 9.8% of global GDP in 2014. Comprehensive reports quantify, compare and
forecast the economic impact of Travel & Tourism on 184 economies around the world. In addition
to the individual country reports, WTTC produces a world report highlighting global trends and 24
further reports that focus on regions, sub-regions and economic and geographic groups.
For more information, please take advantage of a free trial on our website,
www.oxfordeconomics.com or contact Frances Nicholls, Director of Business Development,
Oxford Economics Ltd, Broadwall House, 21 Broadwall, London SE1 9PL.
Email: fnicholls@oxfordeconomics.com
Travellers
$ Pays
directly
into:
Train Air
RV
Motorcoach Restaurants
General services
Entertainment Gas
Shopping Which
Travel Agents
subsequently
pays for:
Recreation Communication
Theatre
Banks
Schools
General services
Pets
Real Estate Shopping
Hospitals
Farms
Raw materials
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