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Group 28
ECON 330 (S2)
Syed Afraz Akhtar (18020243)
Anusheh Khan (18020099)
Abdul Basit Javed (18020018)

Assignment 6

Question
The willingness to fight for own country in a hypothetical case in which war breaks out with
another country. This stems from the local population which is a decent measure of relative
patriotism, nationalism as well as loyalty to the country of belonging. Our group intends to find
out the possible variables that could explain the differences in this particular attitudes displayed
by the inhabitants of a particular country.
Data
Under the hypothetical situation where your country went to war with another country, would
you be willing to risk your life to fight for your own country? This question was asked in an
international survey by Gallup. The data has the list of nations indicating their respective
percentage of people that answered the survey who are willing to fight for their country.
Our group wanted to find out how the following variables affect the willingness to fight (denoted
by the variable Pf) of the local population:
1) Human Development Index of the country: hdi (from LMS dataset)
2) Gross Domestic Product of the country: gdp (from LMS dataset)
3) Active Conflict on the domestic soil: active_conflict (dummy variable)
Note: The variable Active Conflict has been collected from the website
http://www.warsintheworld.com/?page=static1258254223.
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Results
All the models are linear-linear.
Regression equation 1

Pf= 125.2389 - 78.00278 hdi - .0004565 gdp

From this regression, we can conclude that if hdi and gdp are unchanged, the willingness to fight
is 125.2389. The coefficient of hdi is 78.00278 and is negatively correlated with Pf, which means
that the willingness to fight decreases by this much if there is a unit change in human
development index. For gdp, the coefficient is 0.0004565 and this too is negatively correlated
with Pf. Even though a unit change in gdp will decrease Pf, the change caused is not quite
plausible.
In this case, 54.29% variation in the dependent variable is explained by all independent
variables.
Regression equation 2
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Pf= 110.1011 + 7.702782 active_conflict - 64.86638 hdi - .0004306 gdp

From this regression, we can conclude that if active_conflict, hdi and gdp remain unchanged,
then the willingness to fight is 110.1011. The coefficient of active_conflict is 7.702782 and is
positively correlated with Pf. This means that a unit change in active_conflict will increase the
willingness to fight by 7.702782. The coefficient for hdi is 64.86638 and is negatively correlated
with Pf. This shows that a unit change in hdi will decrease Pf by 64.86638. Lastly, the coefficient
for gdp is 0.0004306 and is negatively correlated with Pf. This tells us that a unit change in gdp
will decrease Pf by 0.0004306, but that again is not a plausible figure.
In this case, as we have added another variable active_conflict, 56.41% variation in the
dependent variable is explained by all independent variables.