Name:_______________________________ June4,2012

Math311Exam2

Directions:Showallwork.

1. Youaretopay$1toplayagamethatconsistsofdrawingoneticketatrandomfromaboxof
numberedticketsasshownbelow.Youwintheamount(indollars)ofthenumberontheticket
thatyoudraw.Calculatetheexpectedvalueandvarianceofyournetgain.

0,1,2

















2. Let bearandomvariablewith 1and 5.Compute:
a) 3
b) 3 4

Page1of8

 3. Thesuiciderateinacertainstateis1suicideper100,000inhabitants(permonth).Aparticular
cityinthestatehas400,000inhabitants.
a) Findtheprobabilitythattherewillbeatleast3suicidesinthecityinagivenmonth.
b) Whatistheprobabilitythattherewillbeatleasttwomonthsduringtheyearinwhichthe
citywillhaveatleast3suicides?

Page2of8

 4. Afirmsellsfouritemsrandomlyfromalargelotofwhichitisknownthat12%isdefective.Let
denotethenumberofdefectivesamongthefoursold.Thepurchaserwillreturnany
defectiveitemsforrepairandthecostassociatedwithrepairis 2 3.Findthe
expectedcost.

Page3of8

 5. Peoplewith bloodarecalleduniversaldonorsbecausetheymaygivebloodtoanyone
withoutriskingincompatibilityduetobloodtypefactors(AorB).Ofthepersonsdonatingblood
ataclinic,9%have blood.
a) Findtheprobabilitythatthefirst donorisfoundafterbloodtypingfivepeoplewhoare
not .
b) Whatistheexpectednumberofbloodtestsneededtoobtainthefirst donor?

Page4of8

 6. Computethemomentgeneratingfunctionforacontinuousrandomvariable whichis
uniformlydistributedon , .

7. Youarriveatabusstopat10oclock,knowingthatthebuswillarrivesometimeuniformly
distributedbetween10:00and10:30.Whatistheprobabilitythatyouwillhavetowaitlonger
than10minutes?

Page5of8

 8. Extensiveexperiencewithfansofacertaintypeusedindieselengineshassuggestedthatthe
exponentialdistributionprovidesagoodmodelforthetimeuntilfailure.Supposethemean
timeuntilfailureis25,000hours.Calculatetheprobabilitythatarandomlyselectedfanwilllast
atbetween20,000and30,000hours.

9. Let beanormalrandomvariablewithameanof12andavarianceof4.Findthevalueof
suchthat 0.1.

Page6of8

 10. Anexaminationisoftenregardedasgood(i.e.,hasavalidgradespread)ifthetestscoresof
thosetakingitcanbeapproximatedbyanormaldistribution.Theinstructorusesthetestscores
toestimateparameters and .Thensheassignsgradesaccordingtothefollowingchart:

Grade ScoreRange
A Studentswhoscoregreaterthan
B Studentswhoscorebetween and
C Studentswhoscorebetween and
D Studentswhoscorebetween 2 and
F Studentswhoscorebelow 2

Thisissometimescalledgradingonthecurve.
a) WhatistheprobabilitythatagivenstudentwillearnanA?
b) WhatistheprobabilitythatagivenstudentwillearnaB?
c) WhatistheprobabilitythatagivenstudentwillearnaD?

Page7of8

 ExtraCredit

TheRayleighDistributionisacontinuousdistributionwiththefollowingpdf:

0
0 otherwise

where 0.

a) Showthatthisisavalidpdf.
b) Compute and .
(Youranswerswillinvolve )

Page8of8