Professional Documents
Culture Documents
-~ INTEGRATED
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SP~C-~AL HANDLI !i:J. REQUIRED
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Copy No. 051 ~ l
Case No. - - ' I
l T.S. No. 9'1-T.r- OY.J .
1Document No . _:.......z;l_ __
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This Briefing is
TOP SECRET NO-fORN
'J
.-J
0 '~
('. -
STRIKE
tud
'NTERDICTIO~
PLAN
LEGEND
BRIEFING ORDER
INTRODUCTION
TARGET GROUPINGS
ANALYSIS METHODOLOGY
ANALYSIS SUMMARY
AIR CAMPAIGN
CONCLUSIONS
RECOMMENDATIONS
.... -~
~. - .. ,
.... ...')
~
Ct.)
'
' ~
~LIDE. 2
TARGET GROUPINGS STUDIED
ELECTRICAL POWER
AIRFIELDS
INDUSTRIAL
TRANSPORTATION
MILITARY
COMMAND AND CONTROL
POL
LOCKS AND DAMS
EXTRACTIVE
PORTS
......
J.. .. ~
SLIDE 3
NVN ECONOMY AND
TARGET GROUPING INTERRELATIONSHIPS
~ ...;_
.. SLIDE 4
"- ~ ......
.)'
,
r__
. I
SOUR-CES OF DATA
FOR ECONOMETRIC STUDY
TECHNICAL DATA SOURCES INTELLIGENCE DATA SOURCES
ECONOMIC TEXTS & ARTICLES BY: STUDIES & REPORTS BY:
- LEONTIEF DIA
THEIL CIA
BATOR RAND CORP.
SAMUELSON DEPT. OF COMMERCE
SOLOW DEPT. OF INTERIOR
BAUMOL NPIC
NSA
INDUSTRIAL TEXTS & ARTICLES RELATING TO: OTHER DOD AGENCIES
MIN lNG & METALLURGY
CONSULTANTS:
INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
AGRICULTURE DIA
FORESTRY CIA
INDUSTRIALCHEMISTRY- RAND CORP.
-0
OTHER EMPIRICAL WORKS AIR STAFF AGENCIES
~
~-'- OTHER GOV'T. AGENCIES
i :.
~-:)
SLIDE '
THE ECONOMETRIC TECHNIQUE .
SYSTEMATICALLY:
U.)
SLIDE 6
I.,;
INPUT/OUTPUT MATRIX
ECONOMY
TO
ECONOMY
GOVERNME~IT
ENTER/SERVICES
SERVICES
ENERGY
FINAL
t~ON-METAL
FINAL
MEI'AL OUTPUT
NON-MEI'AL
PRODUCTION
~ MEI'AL
~ PRODUCTION
C ....-.
t--lo.
BASIC
c:.:-, NON-MEr AL
(A)
~ BASIC
METAL
~
r-
I
INPUT/OUTPUT MATRIX
ECONOMY
TO
TARGET GROUP
GOVERNMEHI'
ENTER/SERVICES
SERVICES
ENERGY
FINAL
NON-METAL
FINAL
MEl' AL OUTPUT
NON-METAL
PRODUCTION.
~
..P:.. METAL
t-~ .. PRODUCTION
)--"
C.:>
w BASIC
\ NON-ME1' AL
~ BASIC
ME1'AL
,...
INPUT/OUTPUT MATRIX.
TARGET GROUP
TO
TARGET GROUP
AIRFIELDS
INDUSTRIAL
TRANSPOOATION
MILITARY
COMMAND &
CONTROL
POL OUTPUT
LOCKS &
DAMS
EXTRACTIVE
C)TTT)F 7 - FTTP ?
.;
PETROLEUM
ENERGY
THERM ELEC PWR
COAL
* * * *
MILITARY SUPPORT FACILITIES
ANTI-ACFT FACILITIES
SURF ACE To AIR FACILITIES
GOVERNMENT
MACHINE TOOLS
ORDNANCE AND ACCESSORIES
AIRCRAFT AND PARTS
COMMAND AND CONTROL
AIRCRAFT FACILITIES
ENTERPRISES
SERVICES MOTOR VEHICLES AND PARTS
RR ENGINES, CARS, AND PARTS
PORT SERVICES
WATERCRAFT
FARM MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT
FINAL
METAL
AUTO/TRUCK REPAIR
RAILROAD REPAIR CONST AND MINING EQUIPMENT
COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT
WATERCRAFT REPAIR
RADIO BROADCASTING
MEDICAL 'EDUCATIONAL
SERVICES
ELECTRONIC EQUIPMENT
M0'31LE POWER EQUIPMENT
.. .-
COMMUNICATION RUBBER PRODUCTS
MAINT AND REPAIR CONST
CHEMICALS AND CHEMICAL PROD
PROOUCTION
PETROLEUM STRUCTURAL METAL PRODUCTS
THERM ELECTRIC PO~'ER FABRICATED METAL PRODUCTS
ENERGY
HYDRO ELECTRIC PO~'ER ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT METAL
COAL
TIN
AGRICULTURE/FOOD PRODUCTS
CHROMITE
-
FORESTRY FINAL
~
+::.-. CHEMICAL
TEXTILE
NON-METAL STONE AND CLAY
WOOD
RUBBER
BASIC
NON-METAL
t-."
*
YELWW
1- .'> GREEN CHROMITE ORE
Lf-':END
...... ) BLUE IRON ORE
........... ~
* BASIC METAL
(.~)
'
RED
* TIN ORE
ZINC ORE
~
~ SLIDE 8
:..
ECONOMY TO
TARGET GROUPS
>- PETROLEUM
~ THERMAL ELEC PWR
~ HYDRO ELEC PWR
COAL
*
w
e * AIRCRAFT
ft * AIRCRAFT SUPPORT
AIR- -*SAM
FIELDS
8*
e
AAA
COMMAND
&
e CHEMICAL
-*8
e
I RON AND STEEL
MACH I NE TOOL
CEMENT INDUSTRIAL
e
*RADAR
COMMAND POST
*POL
LOCKS & DAMS
CONTROL
POL
LOCKS
-
e TEXTILES CLAY
RUBBER LIMESTONE
* e *OTHER INDUSTRIES PHOSPHATES
*"C.**
8
RAIL
WATER TRANSPORTATION * COAL
SALT
EXTRACTIVE
&
REFINING
e
ROAD
MUNITIONS STORAGE *8 IRON
CHROMITE
e BARRACKS
MILITARY TIN
l- .. t
1-- ;. 8 SUPPLY e ZINC
TRAINING e *PORTS PORTS
* *
-
LEGEND
c~J *PORTABLE ELEC.
YELLOW GREEN BLUE HED
.FIXED POWER
SLIDE 9
RELATIONSH-IP OF
TARGET GROU-P
TO
TARGET GROUP
AIRFIELDS
INDUSTRIAL
TRANSPORTATION
MILITARY
COMMAND & CONTROL
POL
LOCKS & DAMS
***
w
t; APATITE
**
>~--------------~--~~~+-~--~~--~~~~~
COAL * * LEGEND
<(
~ CHROMITE YELLOW*
"-0
~
,
........:..
__ ...:
X ~--------------~--~~--+-~--~~--~~~~~
w OTHER RED
GREEN
*
PORTS
. ffi PORTABLE
u :5: 1----------a,....;::
~~ FIXED
-
IS lOOo/o IMPORTED.
i ....u. SLIDE 11
(_",)
i .I
'
SLIDE 12
...
SLIDE 13
t- . '.
!""
( . .':>
w
N '
...
w
SLIDE 14
...
t-- ,,,
~- '-
c.)
SLIDE 15
TARGET I ELEC,AIRI
PWR FLDS INDUSTRIAL TRANS MILITARY
'COMMAND
CONTROL EXTRACTIVE
ll
TO
TARGET
CAL
-- ;.1- ---
IRON & STEEL
MACH INE TOOL
CEMENT
TEXTILES
UBBER
OTHER INDUS TRY
V"
z
< WATER
ROAD - ------
1.-.
- -
i8
-
~
.... ~Ill..;:.
:"'ii ....-
!111 ~i.;
I"'IIDl
MUN. STORAGE
RARRACKS
SUPPL'
TRAINING I
SAM
'~
AAA I
t
...
1.-.l... '..-.:.-.
RADAR r-"1-i ...... -
COMMAND POST
__ ,_ ---
L..I.J
>
POL
LOCKS & DAMS
_CLAY
LIMESTONE
PHOSPHATES
.. ..
-
I
,._
~
- , ....
r---, -~-~
r-
-~-
1-
COAL
u
<: SALT
0:::
! A !;:< IRON ~~
~
L..I.J
(, .i CHROMITE
t ... ) TIN 1
SLIDE 16
.i C\
SLIDE 17
~ .....i
ECONOMY
AGRICULTURE
~- ~
**tr * **
:
*- -tr
FINAL FORESTRY
NON-METAL CHEMICAL
~
u * *
TEXTILE
MACHINE TOOLS
*tr * 1-tr R * R_ ~
ORDNANCE
ACFT ... ,..o PARTS ~- ~
-tr
*
MOTOR VEH ... ,..o PARTS
RAILROAD EQUIPMENT * r-~r--
* **
-r
FINAL METAL *
~ tr
~f-i ~ -* ~-~ _l fl ~-:.f~.- _':.1 ~-- - . -~ * "tr U -
1
METAL ""ELECT~ICAL EQUIP 'fl. f!_+_!r ~~L= ft_ ~
t-- - -. j r ! ~
~N ... ,..o STEEL f-.- i..__~. .... ___.__ r-+--f---1- +--+-~--+--+--l----'---+--i..__-+--+-+--+--~-+-----<1~-~--+-..__,. J::r ~
L.
TIN
CHROMITE ---------- ----+-. -+-- --~p
I I
H
I
--f---
I
-~-~-!.--+--+-1---+-~-+--+-1---+-,--~-+-~~
BASIC STONE ... No C~!..~------~-_1_--~-~ ~-f-~..r j e l ~+ i ~- t--~ '- e . 1-- _ -i- -+------lf---l-----f--1----+--ll---+----+-+-----~---+--~-l-----i
I I 'l"i ~ ' p- ~ --1---!--~1--+--l-..:::...+-~--+-~.....:=-+-4---=:......j...-+---+~f-=--t
NON-METAL WOOD
RUBBER ' : -ir -:--- - ~~~
BASI~ 'v1ETAL
~~No~~TEE--~RE I ; f-_:_ i -------t--+--1---+-
+----4----1--+-+- t-----t---1---t--t--+ - f-
-+---+-+--+-+---+---f-+--+-+---+---4.....::...+---4- -+-1---~
TIN ORE ------- _ 1 i 1 e
zINC ORE
_fETROLEUM
I --+--f-f----t
ENERGY
.g
~-"' ---MED_-_I_c_-_AL_;E-D=u-=c:....:.A=-T..:...IO_N_A_L--1--+-~~-J..-.: e e e
~OIS-.:-_R_:'N" MARKETING
f----
f - - _!__!._~
~ -- f--:- ,_7_ r--:.- r-=-t--:.--t-::-t--::-+--+~~-~--- ..-+--+-~~-t--+-t--+--lf-+--4---+--l-~-J---I
e e e e e e e e e e
.!:_9.MMl!_~ICATIONS SVS e e
MAINT ... No REPAIR e i" e e e e e e e e ~.
I t-- -- f-e ~~--- e e e e e e e
~I_L,IJ ARY
SUPPORT
,;OVER~Itv'ENT .~!_1-ACFT FACILITIES . +.. . .. ~~---.!~=~~~--=;-=:~=~;~:==:~-+---+---+--~--_.... f-.-__ -~~-: ;~ .~~ r- --~f---+--+-+--+~-----+--~~---1----1
SC::RVICES r--:SAM F~C!_L=-:I...:..T.:..:IE:..:S~----i~--+--l
ENTERPRISES rSOMMAND"'"o CONTROL
1
__ - - i. . :.l'~-.-..
_ 4----4-+---t---t--t---t--t-+--t-~1---f-~....;:....~;.+
'I.~ e l.l'. . f- -f--+--+--11--+- - .,____ - . -4--+----IJ--~
TGT to TGT
PORTS 3 EXTRACTIVE
~-+-----1---1
Q 1- 1-
Ill
1-
c
Ill
0
~
-
en
...1
z c
z 1-
0
"-Ill -
en
Ill
Q
a. ~
Czl
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H
~
<J)
Ill
u
a:
-Ill
~T
DESIGNATED TARGET Ll ST
COMMAND & CONTROL TARGET SYSTEM
TARGETS SORTIES DIRECT EFFECT COST COLLATERAL EFFECT
SLIDE 21
...
SLIDE22 ~
~
DESIGNATED TARGET LIST
PORT TARGET SYSTEM
C)T,TT)F, ~1
r~ 9
DESIGNATED TARGET Ll ST
ELECTRICAL TARGET SYSTEM
DESIGNATED TARGET ll ST
TRANSPORTATI.ON
(LOC's)
I
--::.:J
c.u
\.~ SLIDE 26
~
~
RECOMMENDED CAMPAIGN
SUMMARY
TARGETS 52
STRIKE SORTIES 1795
AIRCRAFT ATTRITION 29
CIVILIAN CASUALTIES 1031
.CJ
'- .
~-- .io-
;".')1 SLIDE Z1
co
~
~
~
RESTRIKE REQUIREMENTS
PORTS 3
BOMBING 20 DAYS 395
MIN lNG 10 DAYS 50
TRANSPORTATION 13
ROAD/RAIL BRIDGES (10) 7 DAYS 275.
-,() WATERWAYS (3) 10 DAYS 36
.f.:::-:.
tr .!.
TOTAL 52
30 DAY SORTIE REQUIREMENT
w
FIXED TARGETS 1200
LOCs 1450
SLIDE 27A
TOTAL 2650
-.. RECOMMENDED AIR CAMPAIGN (52 TARGETS)
*
* JCS MAP(2339/25-
CINCPAC 66/67
a AIRSTAFF LIST
0 JCS PROPOSED
e JCS EXECUTE
.A. STRUCK
*
*
ELECTRIC POWER
HIGHWAY BRIDGES - 8
RAILROAD BRIDGES - 2
WATERWAYS - 3
**
*
1 PORTS/NAVAL BASES
*
*
***
*
1 HANOI BAC MAl
HOA LAC
KEP
PHUC YEN
HAIPHONG CAT Bl
a HAIPHONG KIEN AN
* KEP HA
~.{)
INDUSTRIAL
..r.:~
.... tJ
I
VIET TRI CHEMICAL
. HAIPHONG PHOSPHATE
~
'
.;,
BAC GIANG CHEMICAL
PHU THO CHEMICAL
I
THAI NGUYEN STEEL
* _ HAIPHONG CEMENT PLANT
* a HANOI MACHINE TOOL
NAM DINH TEXTILE
HANOI RUBBER
,,..
OBJECTIVES
TO RAISE AND SUSTAIN THE MORALE OF THE
SOUTI-1 VIETNAMESE PEOPLE
' . SLIDE 29
CONCLUSIONS
1. THE ENEMY HAS DEMONSTRATED THE ABILITY TO ACCOMMODATE
TO THE GRADUAL I-NCREASE OF PRESSURES AND RESULTANT
PREDICTABLE PATTERNS WHICH FOLLOW THE PRESENT MErnOD OF
TARGET AUTHORIZATION
2. IMPORT OF MATERIALS INTO NVN TO SUPPORT MILITARY
REQUIREMENTS IN BOTH NVN AND SVN CONTINUES TO INCREASE
3. DENIAL OF IMPORTS TO NVN, AS RECOMMENDED BY THE JCS
AND INDIVIDUAL SERVICES AS A REQUIREMENT FOR SUCCESSFUL
CON-CLUSION OF TI-lE NVN CONFLICT, IS VALIDATED BY ECONO-
METRIC TARGETING
4. TO SIGNIFICANTLY ADVANCE U.S. NATIONAL OBJECTIVES, NVN
TARGET SYSTEMS MUST BE BROUGHT UNDER ATTACK IN AN
INTEGRATED AND SYSTEMIC AIR CAMPAIGN
5. AN INTEGRATED STRIKE AND INTERDICTION PtAN IS REQUIRED
~- . ;-. .
..
....___ _..,.
( ..
.v
~
~ SLIDE 30
... "" --
__ J";
~.;...
I
( ...
RECOMMENDATIONS
1. AUTHORIZE CINCPAC TO IMPLEMENT
SLIDE 31