11/26/2016

CEO 2016 Himpunan Mahasiswa Teknik Sipil Binus University Team for Updating of Seismic Hazard Maps of Indonesia 2016
Jakarta, 26 November2016

KONDISI KEGEMPAAN, PETA GEMPA DAN PERENCANAAN

GEDUNG/INFRASTRUKTUR TAHAN GEMPA INDONESIA
M. Irsyam*, D.H. Natawijaya, S. Widiyantoro, I. Meilano, W. Triyoso , Acknowledgement:
A. Rudiyanto, S. Hidayati, M. Asrurifak, A. Sabaruddin, L. Faisal dkk.
*Chair - Team for Updating of Sesimic Hazard Maps of Indonesia 2010 and 2016
*President - Indonesian Society for Geotechnical Engineering
*Head - Research Center for Disaster Mitigation ITB
*Chair - Geotechnical Engineering Division ITB
*Member - Indonesian Academy of Sciences

CEO 2016 Himpunan Mahasiswa Teknik Sipil Binus University

Jakarta, 26 November2016

Ir. E. K.Kertapati
DIMANA GEMPABUMI DAPAT DITEMUI

Content:

Strategy for Earthquake Mitigation

Tectonic Setting and Seismic Sources
Seismic Hazard Maps 2010 and Their Applications
Updating Seismic Hazard in Maps 2016

1
 11/26/2016

Earthquake events since the release of SNI-2002

All shocks
Aceh Earthquake Mw=9.2
(December, 2004)

Simeuleu Earthquake Mw=8.5

(11 April, 2012)
Nias Earthquake Mw=8.6
(March, 2005)
Simeuleu Earthquake Mw=8.1
(11 April, 2012)

Padang Earthquake Mw=7.6 Jambiimprovements

Earthquake Mw=6.6
Why does the(Sept,
current code require
2009)
?
(Oct, 2009)

1. Mentawai
To considers recent
Earthquake great earthquakes in Indonesia
Mw=7.2
(Oct, 2010)

Tasik Earthquake Mw=7.4 Yogya Earthquake Mw=6.3

(Sept, 2009) (May, 2006)

USGS

Contoh Likuifaksi
Damage Due to Earthquake:
- Tsunami Washout
- Uplifting and Subsidence
- Building Damage
- Landslide
- Liquefaction
- Ground Cracking

2
 11/26/2016

Liquefaction followed by foundation settlement Strategy for

Earthquake Mitigation Human has to be protected

(FEMA 451b, 2007)

Earthquake Earthquake Strategy
Effect
Very potential in resulting huge Fault rupture Avoid
disaster
Tsunami Avoid
Cannot be predicted accurately:
when, where, and the size
Landside (big) Avoid

Cannot be avoided Liquefaction Avoid/ Resist

Ground shaking Resist

Kocaeli, 1999 Earthquake Resistance Buildings+Infrastructures have to be

Buildings + Infrastructures designed to resist earthquake loads

Contoh kesiapan menghadapi gempa: 1. Response Spectra Analysis:

Newtons 2nd Law:
Perbandingan Efek Gempa Chile dan Gempa Haiti amax
H=mxa
Chile Haiti
Februari 2010 Januari 2010 H
Kekuatan Gempa 8.8 7
m
Energi yang dilepaskan 500 kali-nya
Jumlah Getaran 512 kali-nya
Korban Meninggal Ratusan jiwa Ratusan Ribu jiwa
Kehilangan Rumah Sedikit Banyak
Pemulihan Jaringan Komunikasi Cepat Lama

Gempa Chile 1960 M=9.5 yg menghancurkan menjadi pengalaman berharga

Chile relatif sangat siap dalam menghadapi gempa.

Undang-undang di Chile mengharuskan setiap bangunan untuk memiliki

konstruksi tahan gempa.

3
 11/26/2016

1. Response Spectra Analysis: 2.Time History Analysis

Newtons 2nd Law:
a
H=mxa

Response Spectra Analysis Time History Analysis

The 1st Seismic Hazard Map
in Indonesian Standard for Earthquake Resistance Building Design 1983

Perencanaan Struktur Atas 5

6 4

5 2
Perencanaan Struktur Bawah Motion at Foundation 3
1
4 6
3 5
3 6
4 5 2
4
Soil Type 5
6
3

Seismic Hazard Maps

Motion at Bedrock
Earthquake source Earthquake Zone - 1 Earthquake Zone - 3 Earthquake Zone - 5
Earthquake Zone - 2 Earthquake Zone - 4 Earthquake Zone - 6
Wave propagation from epicenter to bedrock surface

4
 11/26/2016

The 2nd Seismic Hazard Map Other Reasons for Updating:

Indonesian Standard for Earthquake Resistance Building Design (SNI-03-1726-2002) To account for New Data and Technology Development
Horizontal Peak Ground Acceleration at bedrock SB
for 10% in 50 years (+500 years)

1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2010

Eartquake
Data up
to1999 SNI-03-1726-2002

Team for Revision of Seismic Hazard Map of Indonesia 2010

(Established by The Ministry of Public Works in December 2009) Procedure for Developing Seismic Hazard Map
Masyhur Irsyam (Earthquake Geotechnical Engineering ITB Chair)) Probability Density Function
Wayan Sengara (Earthquake Geotechnical Engineering ITB Vice Chair)
Fahmi Almadiar (Seismic Hazard - Dept. Public Work - Secretary)
M Asrurifak (Seismic Hazard - ITB)
Danny Hilman (Geology - Indonesia Research Institute) Development of Maps of
PGA & Response Spectra
Engkon Kertapati (Geology - Geological Research Center)
Expert
Expertjudgement
judgement 4. Perhitungan
4. hazard gempa
Seismic hazard Calculation
M. Ridwan (Geology - Dept. Public Work) Seismicdesign
Seismic design criteria
criteria Menghitung
Calculating seismichazard dengan
hazard input on
based
1. Identification
1. Identifikasi of Earthquake Sources
sumber gempa dari Tahap (1) + (2) + (3) dengan
Lokasi Location
: koord. sumber : gempa
coord of sources input inmemperhitungkan
the Step (1) +ketidakpastian
(2) + (3) by
Irwan Meilano (Geodesy, Crustal Deformation ITB) Geometri considering epistemic uncertainties
Geometry
: arah strike, sudut dip,
: direction 0f strike, dip angle, epistemic.
kedalaman maksimum
Sri Widiantoro (Geophysics - ITB) maximum depth
Mekanisme : subduksi, patahan
Mechanism : subduction, normal fault,
normal, reverse
Wahyu Trioso (Geophysics - ITB) reverse 3.
3. Selection
Pemilihan of Data strong Available
motion strong motion
fungsi atenuasi accelerogram
accelerogram yang ada data
Suhardjono (Geophysics - Burau of Geophysics-Climatology-Meteorology) Atenuation Function
Indra Djati Sidi ITB Informasi Geologi,Information on geologi,
Hazard Maps: 2.2.Karakterisasi
Characterization of Sources
sumber gempa seimology
Risk Maps: Nicholas Luco - USGS
seimologi
Phil Cummins - Geo Science Australia Frequency
Frekuensi kejadian
distribution Katalog data gempa
Earthquake cataloque
Widiadnyana Merati ITB Slip rate
Slip rate
Mark Petersen - USGS Magnitude maksimum
Daniel Hutabarat ITB Maximum Magnitude

5
 11/26/2016

EURASIA PLATE

Content: PHILIPINE PLATE

PASIFIC PLATE

Strategy for Earthquake Mitigation 12 cm/year

Tectonic Setting and Seismic Sources

Seismic Hazard Maps 2010 and Their Applications
Updating Seismic Hazard in Maps 2016 6 cm/year

INDO AUSTRALIA PLATE

Major Tectonics around Indonesia (Bock et al., 2003)

There are 4 major tectonic plates in this region: Eurasia, Indoaustralia, Pacific and Philipine.
Indoaustralia and Philipine/pacific plates subduct beneath the Eursia plate with the rate of 6cm/year
and 12 cm/year

40 32

Robert Hall Robert Hall

6
 11/26/2016

25 18

Robert Hall Robert Hall

Tectonic Setting for Indonesia

0 Source Type I: Subduction Megathrust
Philipine Plate Megarthrust Philipine
Mw=8.2 , a=4.64 b=0.87
Sulu Thrust West Molucca Sea
Megarthrust Andaman-Sumatera Mw=8.5
Mw=9.2 , a=4.70, b=0.83 Mw=7.9
Eurasian Plate
East Molucca Sea
Megarthrust North Sulawesi Mw=8.1
Megarthrust Middle1 Sumatera Mw=8.2 , a=4.28 b=0.91 Pasific Plate
Mw=8.6 , a=4.71, b=0.88 North Papua Thrust
Mw=8.2
Megarthrust Middle 2 Sumatera
Mw=8.5 , a=5.35, b=0.97

Megarthrust S Sumatera
Mw=8.2 , a=5.76, b=1.05 Megarthrust North Banda Sea
Mw=7.9 , a=6.86 b=1.20

Megarthrust South Banda Sea

Megarthrust Jawa Mw=7.4 , a=7.56 b=1.34
Robert Hall Mw=8.1 , a=6.14, b=1.10
Megarthrust Sumba Megarthrust Timor
Indian-Australian Plate Mw=7.8 , a=6.81, b=1.20 Mw=7.9 , a=9.09 b=1.60

7
 11/26/2016

Compilation of historical earthquake events due to megathrust Seismic tomography to obtain the
1941 (7.9)
geometry for subduction zones
2004 (M9.15) (Widiyantoro, 2009 and
1881 (7.9) Sumatran fault Zone EURASIAN PLATE Tim Revisi Peta Gempa Indonesia, 2010)

2002
2005 (M 8.7)
1907 (~M7.8)
1861 (M~8.5)

1935 (M7.7) Currently locked,

end of typical cycle
1797 (M8.4)
2007 (M 8.4)
1833 (8.9) Jakarta
2000 (M7.8)
Unknown section, no large
eartquakes in historical records

INDIAN-AUSTRALIANPLATE
Natawidjaja, 2010

Historical Earthquakes along The Sumatran Fault Zone (Natawijaya, 2010)

1822
Tectonic Setting for Indonesia 1964
1967 1892 (7.7)
1893
Source Type II: Active faults have been well identified Seismic Gap? 1990
1900
1997
for 2010 Hazard Maps 1936 1908
1921 1909 (7.6)
1916
2. Aceh 1984 1916
3. Tripa 1987 1921 ( >7)
4. Renun 8. Sumpur 1892
1926 (~7)
77. Manokwari trench 1822
1.Seulimeum 5. Toru 9. Sianok 1926 1933 (7.5)
57. Gorontalo 74. Sorong 75. Ransiki 6 March 2007 (M6.3 & 6.1) 1943
12. Siulak 54. Batui thrust 1936 (7.2)
72. Sula-Sorong 70. Yapen 1909
6. 13. Dikit 50. Palu-Koro 1995 1942 (7.3)
Angkola
7. Barumun 14. Ketaun 1 Oct 2009 (M 6.7) 1952
53. Poso 1942 1943 (7.3)
10. Sumani 18.Semangko 1900
11. Suliti 15. Musi 51. Matano 1952 (6.8)
31. Baribis 73. Sorong-Maluku 1893
58. Lawanopo
34. Wetar back arc 78. Lowland 1933 1964 (6.5)
33. Semarang 52. Walanae
55. Tolo thrust 1994 1967 (6.8)
16. Manna 1908
71. Tarera-Aidun 1979 (6.6)
17. Kumering
30. Bumiayu 76. Membrano thrust tbelt
2000 1984 (6.4)
19.Sunda 34. Jogja 36. Flores back arc
32. Cimandiri 79 Highland thrust belt 1987 (6.6)
1990 (6.5)
1994 (6.9)
23 destructive events in the past 200 years or 1995 (7.0)
1-2 large earthquakes occur every decade 1997 (6.5)

8
 11/26/2016

Tracing Coordinates of
Faults, Subduction, and Relocated Epicenters on SRTM

Seismic Sources: All shocks

Source Type III: Shallow and Deep Background
It is very suitable for unmapped faults, but have historical earthquake records
It is used o account for epicenters that do not belong to well identified active faults

Spatially smoothed-gridded seismicity

9
 11/26/2016

Analisis Perambatan Gelombang Gempa 2016 Maps:

NGA West-2 2014:
2010 Maps: Abrahamson et al.
Boore et al.
Classification of Main Shocks Campbell and Bozorgnia
Chiou and Youngs
Based on Type of Source Idriss
Stable Continent:
Pezeshk et al. 2011

+ BC Hydro (Addo et al. 2012)

Fault Epicenters with unmapped faults

+ BC Hydro (Addo et al. 2012)
+ Zhao et al. 2006
Megatrust

Fault/ Shallow Crustal

Background
Subduction Megathrust

Benioff Zone Subduction Benioff

Analisis Perambatan Gelombang Gempa 2016 Maps:

NGA West-2 2014:
2010 Maps: Abrahamson et al.
Boore et al.
Campbell and Bozorgnia
Content:
Chiou and Youngs
Idriss
Stable Continent:
Pezeshk et al. 2011

+ BC Hydro (Addo et al. 2012)

Strategy for Earthquake Mitigation
Tectonic Setting and Seismic Sources
+ BC Hydro (Addo et al. 2012)
+ Zhao et al. 2006
Seismic Hazard Maps 2010 and Their Applications
Fault/ Shallow Crustal
Background Updating Seismic Hazard in Maps 2016
Subduction Megathrust

Subduction Benioff

10
 11/26/2016

SEAOC Vision 2000 Committee dan FEMA 273

Newtons 2nd Law:
Design Probability of Earthquake Level
H=mxa Live Exceedance
H 20% Immediate Occupancy 225 years SNI 1983
50 tahun 10% Live Safety
ccccccc
(Rare Earthquake)

Motion at Bedrock

SEAOC Vision 2000 Committee dan FEMA 273

Design Probability of Earthquake Level SEAOC Vision 2000 Committee dan FEMA 273
Live Exceedance Design Probability of Earthquake Level
20% Immediate Occupancy 225 years SNI 1983 Live Exceedance
50 tahun 10% Live Safety 500 years SNI 2002 20% Immediate Occupancy
ccccccc 225 years SNI 1983
(Rare Earthquake)
50 tahun
Live Safety
ccccccc 500 years
10% (Rare Earthquake) SNI 2002

Probabilistic maps:
Probabilistic maps: 50
100
50 years 200
100 500
200 Deterministic maps 84%: 1,000 years
500 2,500
1,000 Subductions 5,000
2,500 years Faults 10,000
10,000

11
 11/26/2016

Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB
(for 50 years Earthquake) (for 100 years Earthquake)

Didukung oleh: Didukung oleh:

Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB
(for 200 years Earthquake) Probability of exceedence 10% in 50 years (500 years EQ)

Didukung oleh: Didukung oleh:

12
 11/26/2016

Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB
Probability of exceedence 10% in 100 years (1,000 years EQ) Probability of exceedence 2% in 50 years (2500 years EQ)

Didukung oleh:

Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB Deterministic Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) for Faults at Bedrock SB
Probability of exceedence 0.5% in 50 years (10,000 years EQ) with 84% percentile (150% Median)

13
 11/26/2016

Deterministic Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) for Subduction at Bedrock S B Updating of Bridge Design Standard in Indonesia
with 84% percentile (150% Median) Development in Indonesia:
Indonesia standard and technical guideline are revised to keep up with the International advancement
Revision has been
completed
500 years return of period according to
AASHTO 2012

Refered to Departement of
transportation, California, 1976
(Report 579)
?
1000 years return of period (7% in 75 years)
PGA and spectral response at 0.2 and 1.0 sec.

1992 2008 2013

Development in USA:
USA standard updated regularly to accommodate the reliability of the bridge, especially in term of seismic hazard analysis

1998 2005 2007 2010 2012-2013

Seismic Design Guidelines for Dams MRT Jakarta

Development in ICOLD: Return Period of Earthquake = 1000 years

1983 1989 2001 2010 and 2013

Development in Indonesia:

Refer to
ICOLD

2004

14
 11/26/2016

Updating of Indonesian Building Code SEAOC Vision 2000 Committee dan FEMA 273
Design Probability of Earthquake Level
Live Exceedance
20% Immediate Occupancy 225 years SNI 1983
Live Safety
ccccccc 500 years
10% (Rare Earthquake) SNI 2002

Near Collapse MCE*:

50 tahun 2% (Very Rare Earthquake) - Prb 2,500 years + IBC 2009
- Deterministic
1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2010 MCEG + MCER**:
Risk of Colapse: Near Collapse - Probabilistic + SNI 2013
ASCE 2010 1% (Very Rare Earthquake) - Deterministic + ASCE 2010
- Fragility
*MCE: Maximum Considered Eq. (Gempa Maksimum Dipertimbangkan Rata-rata Geometric)
It was decided in national consensus 2010 (government, **MCER: Risk-Adjusted Maximum Considered Eq. (Gempa Maksimum Dipertimbangkan Resiko-Tersesuaikan)
professional societies, private consultants, and universities) Probabilistic maps:
SNI-03-1726-2002 Risk of Collapse 1% in 50 yrs 50 years
MCER(Risk-Adjusted Maximum Considered Eq.) : 100
Seismic Hazard: 200
500 Building MCER
Seismic Hazard: - Probabilistic: 2% PE in 50 yrs (2,500 yrs eq.) -
Deterministic MCEG 1,000 maps
- Deterministic Approach 2,500 years Fragility
- Probablistic: 10% PE in 50 yrs
Fragility of Buildings
maps map 10,000
(500 yrs eq.)

Ss Risk-Adjusted Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCER) Ground Motion Parameter for Indonesia S1 Risk-Adjusted Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCER) Ground Motion Parameter for Indonesia
for 0.2 s Spectral Response Acceleration (5% of Critical Damping), Site Class B for 1.0 s Spectral Response Acceleration (5% of Critical Damping), Site Class B

(Prepared by Team on Indonesian Risk-Targeted Ground Motions) (Prepared by Team on Indonesian Risk-Targeted Ground Motions)

15
 11/26/2016

Team for Updating of Seismic Hazard Maps of Indonesia 2016

Content: Deliverable:
- Maps of Earthquake Sources of Indonesia 2016
- Maps of Updated SeismicSTEERING
hazard of Indonesia 2016
Strategy for Earthquake Mitigation - An international book containing
COMMITTEE data and documentation

ADVISORY
BOARD
Tectonic Setting and Seismic Sources TECHNICAL
COMMITTEES
Prof. Masyhur Irsyam
Seismic Hazard Maps 2010 and Their Applications
SEISMIC HAZARD
Updating Seismic Hazard Maps 2016
GEOLOGY GEODESY SEISMILOGY GMPE CATALOG
WORKING GROUP WORKING GROUP WORKING GROUP WORKING GROUP WORKING GROUP WORKING GROUP
Dr. D.H. Natawijaya Dr. Irwan Meilano Prof. S Widiyantoro Ariska R., MSc Dr. Wahyu Triyoso Dr. Sri Hidayati
Dr. Benyamin Sapiie Dr. Endra Gunawan Dr. Andri Dian N. Sigit Pramono, M.Si Dr. Wayan Sengara Dr. M Asrurifak
Dr. Supartoyo Susilo, MT Dr. Wandono Dr. Jaya Murjaya Dr. M. Asrurifak Fahmi Aldiamar, MT
Dr. Mudrik Daryono Dr. Daryono Dr. Muzli Chiko B.M.W., MDM Fahmi Aldimar, MT Amalfi Omang, M. Phil
Subandriyo, M.Si Arkadia R., MT Dr. M. Ridwan Prof. Wijoyo Prakoso Pepen Supendi, MSi Artadi Pria Sakti, M.Si
Dr. A. Solihin Dr. Rahma Hanifa Prof. N.T. Puspito Fajri Syukur R, MT Dr. Andri D Nugraha Desyanti, MT
Dr. Gayatri I Marliyani Dr. Dina Sarsito Dr. Nurliah Sadikin Fajar Budi Utomo, ST Rahayu Robiana, S.Si
Astyka Mumpuni, M.Si Awaluddin, MT H. Ash Shidiqqi, M.Si Oriza Sativa, S.Si
Dr. Maruf Mukti DR. A. Solihin Rexha Verdhora, MT Dr. Endra Gunawan
Cecep S., M.Si Shindy Rosalia, ST Dr. Hendriyawan
Pandu A.M., ST Ridwan Kusnandar Dr. Windu Partono
Jajat Jatmika
Nova Heryandoko

Enhancement of National Seismic Hazard Maps Workshop

Enhancement is conducted by updating earthquake sources data including geology, seismology,

geodesy, and earthquake catalog.

Updating data is based upon the latest studies such as recent active-fault studies utilizing trenching,
carbon dating, epicenter relocation, strain analysis (GPS) as well as availability of basic data
including the SRTM-30, IFSAR, LiDAr, and earthquake catalog up to 2016.

Improvement of tomography using 3D velocity model.

Adding several active faults that were not quantified before.

Considering the latest GMPE published after Tohoku earthquake and latest NGA.

Adding OpenQuake software for comparison and verification to USGS and EZFRisk software.

16
 11/26/2016

Konsinyering International Collaborations

Science Advisory Panel for the Australia National

Seismic Hazard Assessment 2018

Software: USGS, EZFRisk , and OpenQuake softwares for comparison and verification

International Discussion Forms and Conferences

BMKG Relocation Events by Seismology Team
BMKG Data Before Relocation (Shiddiqi et al., 2015)

Beppu, 2016

With experts in geotechnical earthquake engineering

17
 11/26/2016

BMKG Relocation Events by Seismology Team Epicentral Shift (Shiddiqi et al., 2015)
Epicentral Shift

BMKG Relocation Events by Seismology Team Cross Section PP

BMKG Data After Relocation (Shiddiqi et al., 2015)

18
 11/26/2016

Tomography of Subduction Based on Relocation Using 3D Velocity Model Relocation Using 3D Velocity Model (Widiyantoro et al, 2016)
(Widiyantoro et al, 2016)
Cross-Section below Mentawai and Padang

Backthrust
Cross-Section below West Java Cross-Section below East Java
(2) (5) (12)

(3) (6) (13)

PuSGeNs Catalogue
Latest Investigation of Active Faults by Geology Team

2. Aceh
3. Tripa
4. Renun 8. Sumpur

1.Seulimeum 5. Toru 9. Sianok 77. Manokwari trench

57. Gorontalo 74. Sorong 75. Ransiki
12. Siulak 54. Batui thrust
72. Sula-Sorong 70. Yapen
6. 13. Dikit 50. Palu-Koro
Angkola
7. Barumun 14. Ketaun
53. Poso
10. Sumani 18.Semangko
11. Suliti 15. Musi 51. Matano
31. Baribis 73. Sorong-Maluku
58. Lawanopo
34. Wetar back arc 78. Lowland
33. Semarang 52. Walanae
16. Manna 55. Tolo thrust
71. Tarera-Aidun
17. Kumering
30. Bumiayu 76. Membrano thrust tbelt
19.Sunda 34. Jogja 36. Flores back arc
32. Cimandiri 79 Highland thrust belt

EHB (1960-2008)
All Shocks (1907-2016): USGS (1973-2016)
ISC-GEM (1907-2004)
Relocated BMKG data (2009-2015)

19
 11/26/2016

Detail Investigation for Lembang Fault Investigation of Lembang Fault (near Bandung)
Natawijaya et al., 2016 Natawijaya et al. 2016
Geo electric survey

Trenching and Dating

Saluki Segment, Palukoro Fault DETAIL SURVEY LAWANOPO FAULT

Site-7 GPR Survey

SRTM30
Mudrik Daryono, 2016

20
 11/26/2016

Updated velocity of Indonesia by Geodesy Team

Strain Map Indonesia by Geodesy Team

Ph

Pacific

Sunda Maluku
Bird-head

Banda

Timur
Australian

Meilano.,82
2016

Fault in East Java : Kendeng Fault Zone

Slip-rate for Sumatra Fault (Lampung)

Slip rate : 0.5 cm/yr

(Ito et al, 2012)

Surabaya

Kaolali et al., 2016

21
 11/26/2016

Earthquake Sources Influencing Indonesia

Classification of Main Shocks
Based on Type of Source

Philiphine Plate
Eurasian Plate

Subduction Megathrust:
Fault Epicenters with unmapped faults
GR and Char for M>6.5 Pasific Plate
Megatrust Fault: GR and Char Shallow Background:
Gridded Seismicity M<6.5

Active Faults

Benioff Zone Indo-Australian Plate

Deep Background: Subduction

Gridded Seismicity

Map of Earthquake Sources for Indonesia 2016

Segmentation and Mmax for Interface Subduction Segmentasi Subduksi
Alternative Segmentation for Interface Subduction Based on Geodesy Team

Aceh Andaman Subduction Mw 9.2 Sulu Thrust Philiphine Plate

Eurasian Plate Philiphine Sibduction Mw 8.2

Nias Subduction Mw 8.7 Sulawesi Subduction Mw 8.2

East Molucca Thrust

Pasific Plate

North Papua Thrust

West Molucca Thrust

North Banda Sea Subduction Mw 7.4

South Seram Thrust

Wetar Back Arc

Flores Back Arc
Timor Back Arc
Mentawai Subduction Mw 8.9

Enggano Subduction Mw 8.4

South Banda Sea Subduction Mw 7.4
Indo-Australian Plate
West Java Subduction Mw 8.7

Sumba Subduction Mw 7.8 Timor Subduction Mw 7.9

East Java Subduction Mw 8.4

26/11/2016 Tim Pokja Geodesi 88

22
 11/26/2016

Map of Earthquake Sources for Indonesia 2016 Map of Earthquake Sources for Indonesia 2016
Active Faults in Sumatera Active Faults in Sumatera

Seulimeum Utara Seulimeum Selatan Sumani

Lot Tawar
Mmax 7.7 ; 18mm/yr Mmax 6.9 ; 6mm/yr Mmax 7.2 ; 14mm/yr
Mmax 6.6 ; 0.5 mm/yr
Lhok Seumawe
Aceh (Utara) Mmax 6.9 ; 1mm/yr Suliti
Mmax 7.2 ; 2mm/yr Mmax 7.4 ; 14mm/yr
Aceh (Central) Peusangan
Mmax 7.7 ; 14mm/yr Mmax 6.8 ; 0.5 mm/yr
Siulak
Batee Tripa Mmax 7.3 ; 14mm/yr
Mmax 7 ; 6mm/yr Mmax 7.1 ; 8mm/yr

Dikit
Simeulue Selatan Oreng Mmax 7.2 ; 13mm/yr
Mmax 7.9 ; 10mm/yr Mmax 6.9 ; 1mm/yr
Ketaun
Batee Tripa Mentawai Mmax 7.4 ; 14mm/yr
Mmax 6.5 ; 0.5mm/yr Mmax 6.6 ; 8mm/yr Mmax 8.5 ; 5mm/yr
Musi
Renun Mmax 7.3 ; 14mm/yr
Batee Tripa
Mmax 6.9 ; 0.1mm/yr Mmax 7.3 ; 16mm/yr Mmax 7.8 ; 14mm/yr
Manna
Tripa Mmax 7.4 ; 12mm/yr
Toru
Mmax 7.5 ; 8mm/yr Mmax 7.4 ; 14mm/yr Kumering Utara
Enggano
Mmax 7.5 ; 11mm/yr
Barumun Mmax 7.7 ; 5mm/yr
Renun
Mmax 7.6 ; 4mm/yr
Mmax 6.7 ; 14mm/yr Kumering Selatan
Mmax 7.2 ; 11mm/yr
Renun Sumpur
Mmax 6.7 ; 14mm/yr Semangko Timur Semangko Barat
Mmax 6.9 ; 14mm/yr
Mmax 6.3 ; 3mm/yr Mmax 7.4 ; 8mm/yr

Semangko Timur
Mmax 6.9 ; 3mm/yr Semangko Graben
Angkola
Mmax 7.1 ; 3mm/yr
Mmax 7.7 ; 10mm/yr Sianok
Mmax 7.4 ; 14mm/yr Ujung Kulon
Mmax 7.4 ; 10mm/yr

Map of Earthquake Sources for Indonesia 2016 Map of Earthquake Sources for Indonesia 2016
Active Faults in Java Active Faults in Kalimantan-Sulawesi

Cimandiri Lembang Tegal Pekalongan Tomini Gorontalo Selatan

Mmax 6.7 ; 2mm/yr
Nyaldung Vibeber
Mmax 6.9 ; 0.5mm/yr
Mmax 7 ; 4.5mm/yr Pati Mmax 7.12 ; 0.1mm/yr Mmax 7.22 ; 1mm/yr
Mmax 6.5 ; 0.5mm/yr Mmax 6.6 ; 0.5mm/yr Tarakan
Mmax 6.5 ; 0.1mm/yr
Subang Mmax 7 ; 0.3mm/yr Gorontalo Utara
Mmax 6.9 ; 0.5mm/yr Muria Mmax 7.24 ; 1mm/yr Tondano
Pemalang Mmax 6.2 ; 0.1mm/yr Purwodadi Mmax 6.27 ; 0.1mm/yr
Palukoro Tarakan
Cirebon Mmax 6.3 ; 0.5mm/yr Mmax 7 ; 0.5mm/yr
Weleri
Mmax 6.5 ; 0.5mm/yr
Mmax 6.6 ; 0.5mm/yr
Cepu
Cirebon Mangkalihat
Mmax 7.5 ; 0.5mm/yr
Mmax 6.6 ; 0.5mm/yr Mmax 7 ; 0.5mm/yr Batui
Semarang Mmax 7.37 ; 5mm/yr
Mmax 6.9 ; 0.5mm/yr Blumbang
Palukoro Makassar
Mmax 6.9 ; 0.1mm/yr
Mmax 7.5 ; 35mm/yr
Balantak
Surabaya Mmax 7.6 ; 5mm/yr
Mmax 6.8 ; 0.1mm/yr Makassar Utara

Ambelang
Wonorejo Meratus
Rajamandala Mmax 7.04 ; 1mm/yr
Mmax 5.7 ; 0.3mm/yr Mmax 7 ; 0.2mm/yr
Mmax 7 ; 0.1mm/yr

Makassar Tengah Peleng

Tampomas Mmax 6.98 ; 1mm/yr
Mmax 5.6 ; 0.5mm/yr Unggaran
Mmax 6.; 0.1mm/yr
Cirebon Mamuju Lawanopo
Mmax 6.6 ; 0.5mm/yr Mmax 7.02 ; 5mm/yr Mmax 7; 0.1mm/yr Balawai
Ujung Kulon Mmax 6.72; 35mm/yr
Mmax 7.7 ; 10mm/yr Ajibarang
Demak
Mmax 6.6 ; 0.5mm/yr Probolinggo
Mmax 6.5 ; 0.5mm/yr Somba
Opak Mmax 6.5 ; 0.2mm/yr
Ciremai Mmax 7.35 ; 5mm/yr Geressa
Mmax 7 ; 2.4mm/yr Buton Pamsoa
Mmax 6.6 ; 0.5mm/yr Brebes Mmax 4.83; 35mm/yr
Mmax 6.25 ; 0.1mm/yr Kendari Mmax 6.98; 35mm/yr
Mmax 6.7 ; 0.5mm/yr Rawapening Mmax 7; 0.1mm/yr
Pasuruan Walanae
Mmax 6.6 ; 0.5mm/yr Mmax 7 ; 0.1mm/yr
Mmax 6.5 ; 0.2mm/yr

Merapi-Merbabu Waru Selayar Buton Tolo

Mmax 6.8 ; 1mm/yr Mmax 7.2 ; 0.5mm/yr Mmax 7.14; 0.1mm/yr Mmax 7; 3mm/yr

23
 11/26/2016

Map of Earthquake Sources for Indonesia 2016 Map of Earthquake Sources for Indonesia 2016
Active Faults in Central Sulawesi Active Faults in Maluku and Papua

Sula Utara Obi Kofiau Salawati Sagewin Dampier Tarera Aiduna Randawaya Jobi Mamberamo Makai
Palolo
Tokakaru Mmax 8 Halmahera Selatan Mmax 7.5 Mmax 7.0 Mmax 7.5 Mmax 7.2 Wandamen Mmax 7.4 Mmax 7.3 Mmax 7.3 Mmax 7.3 Mmax 7.3
Mmax 6.38 ; 0.1mm/yr
Mmax 7.26 ; 2mm/yr Mmax 7.8 Mmax 7.4 Tuira
Palolo
Kofiau Utara Mmax 7.3
Mmax 6.44 ; 0.1mm/yr Koor
Palu Mmax 7.5
Sausu Mmax 7.4
Mmax 6.81 ; 35mm/yr Sorendidori
Mmax 6.81 ; 1mm/yr
Obi Mmax 6.8 Toarim
Mmax 7.5 Mmax 7.4

Poso Mawe
Mmax 7.38 ; 0.1mm/yr Mmax 7.5
Saluki Loa Mega Omnowi
Mmax 6.97 ; 35mm/yr Mmax 7.32 ; 0.1mm/yr Mmax 6.6 Djanggur
Mmax 7.4
Cenderawasih
Napu Mmax 7.5
Mangole
Kano Talibu Wapoga
Weluki Mmax 7.6 Waruta
Mmax 6.8 Mmax 7.1 Mmax 7.9
Mmax 7.30 ; 0.1mm/yr Mmax 7.3
Besoa
Mmax 5.48 ; 0.1mm/yr Matano Seram-Wahai Utara Klararea
Mmax 6.86 ; 35mm/yr Mmax 7.4 Mmax 7.3
Pawasi
Waghete Mmax 7.5
Soroako Seram-HoteUtara Mmax 7.4 Habema
Mmax 6.59 ; 0.1zmm/yr Mmax 7.3 Seram-Gorom Barat Aru - Barat Mmax 7.0
Mmax 6.8 Mmax 7.8
Wamena
Seram-Bula Timur Timika Mmax 6.7
Mmax 7.1 Seram-Gorom Timur Mmax 7.4
Tuare Soroako
Kuleana Mmax 6.8 Aru Tengah Selatan
Mmax 5.93 ; 0.1mm/yr Mmax 6.68 ; 0.1zmm/yr
Mmax 6.64 ; 35mm/yr Mmax 7.6
Kenyam
Mmax 7.5 Anabranch
Mmax 7.7
Moa Pewusai Aru Tengah
Mmax 7.17 ; 35mm/yr Mmax 6.64 ; 35mm/yr Mmax 7.2
Bulili
Reiger
Aru - Tenggara Aru - Timur Aru Timur Laut Mmax 7.3 Digul
Maleei Soroako Mmax 8.0
Mmax 7.4 Mmax 7.8 Mmax 7.2
Mmax 6.49 ; 0.1zmm/yr

Shallow Background 2016 using USGS Software Deep Background 2016 using USGS Software
PETA HAZARD DARI SUMBER GEMPA SHALLOW BACKGROUND

Shallow Bakground 2016 using OpenQuake Deep Bakground 2016 using OpenQuake

24
 11/26/2016

Hazard Map PGA 10% in 50 years Hazard Map PGA 2% in 50years

Hazard Map 2010

Hazard Map 2010

New Hazard Map 2016

New Hazard Map 2016

Conclusions

Updating of seismic hazard maps for Indonesia 2016 is currently being conducted
considering the latest studies and information from catalogue, geology, geodesy,
and seismilogy.

Enhancement includes recent active-fault studies utilizing trenching, carbon dating,

epicenter relocation, strain analysis (GPS), tomography using 3D velocity model,
and additional software.

Maps of seismic sources have been resulted.

Preliminary results for Sumatera and Java indicated similar results to 2010 Maps,
except near new faults.

It is targeted that maps of earthquake sources and maps of earthquake hazard of

Indonesia are finalized in this year.

25