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INPUTSFORVALUATION
CurrentInputs
Enterthecurrentrevenuesofthefirm= $12,406
Entercurrentcapitalinvestedinthefirm= $20,000 {Asanaveestimate,youcanuseBVofdebt+BVofEquity)
Enterthecurrentdepreciation= $233
Enterthecurrentcapitalexpendituresforthefirm= $298
EnterthechangeinWorkingCapitalinlastyear= $115
Enterthevalueofcurrentdebtoutstanding= $
Enterthenumberofsharesoutstanding= 1,500.00
HighGrowthPeriod YourInputs
Enterthegrowthrateinrevenuesforthenext5years= 25.00%
Whatwillalloperatingexpensesbeasa%ofrevenuesinthefifthyear? 70.00% (Operatingexpensesincludedepreciation:Thisisequalto(1PretaxOperatingMargin))
Howmuchdebtdoyouplantouseinfinancinginvestments? 0%
Enterthegrowthrateincapitalexpenditures&depreciation 25.00%
Enterworkingcapitalasapercentofrevenues 7.50%
Enterthetaxratethatyouhaveoncorporateincome 36.00%
Whatbetadoyouwanttousetocalculatecostofequity= 1.25
Enterthecurrentlongtermbondrate= 6.50%
Enterthemarketriskpremiumyouwanttouse= 5.50%
Enteryourcostofborrowingmoney= 8.50%
StablePeriod
Enterthegrowthrateinrevenues= 6.00%
Enteroperatingexpensesasa%ofrevenuesinstableperiod= 75.00%
Howmuchdebtdoyouplantouseinfinancinginvestments? 5.00%
Enterinterestrateofdebtinstableperiod= 7.50%
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Whatbetadoyouwanttouseinthestableperiod= 1.10
ESTIMATEDCASHFLOWS
Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
GrowthinRevenue 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 21.20% 17.40% 13.60% 9.80% 6.00%
GrowthinDeprec'n 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 21.20% 17.40% 13.60% 9.80% 6.00%
Revenues $12,406 $15,508 $19,384 $24,230 $30,288 $37,860 $45,886 $53,871 $61,197 $67,194 $71,226
OperatingExpenses
%ofRevenues 70.00% 70.00% 70.00% 70.00% 70.00% 70.00% 71.00% 72.00% 73.00% 74.00% 75.00%
$OperatingExpenses $8,684 $10,855 $13,569 $16,961 $21,202 $26,502 $32,579 $38,787 $44,674 $49,724 $53,420
EBIT $3,722 $4,652 $5,815 $7,269 $9,086 $11,358 $13,307 $15,084 $16,523 $17,471 $17,807
TaxRate 36.00% 36.00% 36.00% 36.00% 36.00% 36.00% 36.00% 36.00% 36.00% 36.00% 36.00%
EBIT(1t) $2,382 $2,977 $3,722 $4,652 $5,815 $7,269 $8,517 $9,654 $10,575 $11,181 $11,396
+Depreciation $233 $291 $364 $455 $569 $711 $862 $1,012 $1,149 $1,262 $1,338
CapitalExpenditures $298 $373 $466 $582 $728 $909 $1,263 $1,616 $1,969 $2,322 $2,675
ChangeinWC $115 $233 $291 $363 $454 $568 $602 $599 $549 $450 $302
=FCFF $2,202 $2,664 $3,329 $4,162 $5,202 $6,503 $7,514 $8,451 $9,206 $9,671 $9,756
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TerminalValue(in'05) $167,813
COSTSOFEQUITYANDCAPITAL
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
CostofEquity 13.38% 13.38% 13.38% 13.38% 13.38% 13.21% 13.05% 12.88% 12.72% 12.55%
ProportionofEquity 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 99.00% 98.00% 97.00% 96.00% 95.00%
AftertaxCostofDebt 5.44% 5.44% 5.44% 5.44% 5.44% 5.31% 5.18% 5.06% 4.93% 4.80%
ProportionofDebt 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00%
CostofCapital 13.38% 13.38% 13.38% 13.38% 13.38% 13.13% 12.89% 12.65% 12.40% 12.16%
CumulativeWACC 113.38% 128.54% 145.73% 165.22% 187.32% 211.92% 239.23% 269.48% 302.91% 339.75%
PresentValue $2,349 $2,590 $2,856 $3,149 $3,472 $3,546 $3,532 $3,416 $3,193 $52,265
FIRMVALUATION
ValueofFirm $80,367
ValueofDebt $
ValueofEquity $80,367
ValueofEquityperShare $53.58
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
ValueofFirmbyyear $80,367 $88,453 $96,954 $105,760 $114,703 $123,542 $132,250 $140,844 $149,448 $158,314
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EVA Valuation
Base 1 2 3 4
EBIT(1t) $2,382 $2,977 $3,722 $4,652 $5,815
WACC(CI) $2,675 $2,717 $2,769 $2,835
EVA $302 $1,005 $1,883 $2,980
TerminalEVA
PV $267 $782 $1,292 $1,804
PVofEVA $60,463
+CapitalInvested $20,000
+PVofChgCapitalinYr10 $(96) Thisreconcilestheassumptionsonstablegrowth,ROCandCapitalInvested
=FirmValue $80,367
CalculationofCapitalInvested
Initial $20,000 $20,000 $20,314 $20,706 $21,197
+NetCapEx $81 $102 $127 $159
+ChginWC $233 $291 $363 $454
Ending $20,000 $20,314 $20,706 $21,197 $21,810
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EVA Valuation
5 6 7 8 9 10
$7,269 $8,517 $9,654 $10,575 $11,181 $11,396
$2,917 $2,964 $3,039 $3,134 $3,244 $3,364
$4,352 $5,552 $6,615 $7,441 $7,938 $8,032
$138,838
$2,323 $2,620 $2,765 $2,761 $2,620 $43,229
andCapitalInvested
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EVA Valuation
TerminalYear
$12,080
$3,524
$8,556
12.16%
41.69%
$28,975 (AdjustedtoreflectterminalROC)
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