Precipitacin, clculo de curva IDF.

Weibull LogNormal

Exceedance probability (%) - scale: Normal distribution

99.95%

99.8%
99.5%

.05%
99%
98%

95%

90%

80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%

10%

.5%
.2%
5%

2%
1%
850
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500
mm

450
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50
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

Probability Density Functions (PDF) - Histogram

LogNormal

-100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for:All
data a=5% a=10% a=1% Attained a DMax
Normal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 88.19% 0.14208
Normal (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 92.41% 0.13167
LogNormal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 86.59% 0.14555

Exponential ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 62.01% 0.18865

Exponential (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 60.61% 0.19097
Gamma ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 87.89% 0.14274
Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 88.19% 0.14208
Log Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 88.05% 0.1424
EV1-Max (Gumbel) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 71.82% 0.17246
EV2-Max ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 51.32% 0.20669
EV1-Min (Gumbel) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 71.83% 0.17245
EV3-Min (Weibull) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 80.74% 0.15697
GEV-Max ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 90.86% 0.13577
GEV-Min ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 90.88% 0.13571
Pareto ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.73% 0.09002
GEV-Max (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 94.22% 0.12622
GEV-Min (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 94.79% 0.12432
EV1-Max (Gumbel, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 88.05% 0.14239
EV2-Max (L-Momments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 79.09% 0.15996
EV1-Min (Gumbel, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 80.31% 0.15775
EV3-Min (Weibull, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 87.84% 0.14285
Pareto (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.88% 0.08446
GEV-Max (kappa specified) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 38.57% 0.23051
GEV-Min (kappa specified) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 84.69% 0.14943
GEV-Max (kappa specified, L-
Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 74.26% 0.16835
GEV-Min (kappa specified, L-
Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 89.27% 0.13963

Cuadro N16: Precipitacin mxima corregida por intervalo fijo de observacin

Perodo de
Pmax. sin correccin Pmax. con correccin (*)
Retorno
estacin pavas estacin pavas
500 819.95 926.5
300 801.634 905.8
100 760.322 859.2
75 748.965 846.3
50 732.485 827.7
10 659.042 744.7
5 620.543 701.2
 CuadroN2: Lluvias mximas (mm).- Estacin Pavas
Duracin en
T P.Max minutos
aos 24 horas 5 10 15 20 30 60

500 820.0 76.1 113.9 139.3 158.9 189.0 248.2

300 801.6 71.6 107.2 131.1 149.5 177.9 233.6
100 760.3 62.0 92.8 113.5 129.5 154.0 202.2
75 748.9 59.5 89.0 108.9 124.2 147.8 194.0
50 732.4 55.9 83.7 102.4 116.8 139.0 182.5
10 659.0 41.8 62.6 76.6 87.4 103.9 135.6
5 620.5 35.8 53.6 65.5 74.7 88.9 116.7
Fuente: Elaboracin del autor aplicando el Modelo de
Bell

Cuadro N3: Intensidades mximas (mm/hora).- Estacin Pavas

T P.Max Duracin en minutos
aos 24 horas 5 10 15 20 30 60

500 820.0 913.2 683.5 557.1 476.6 378.1 248.2

300 801.6 859.6 643.3 524.3 448.6 355.8 233.6
100 760.3 744.1 556.9 453.9 388.4 308.1 202.2
75 748.9 713.9 534.3 435.5 372.6 295.5 194.0
50 732.4 671.3 502.4 409.5 350.4 277.9 182.5
10 659.0 502.2 375.8 306.3 262.1 207.9 135.6
5 620.5 429.3 321.3 261.9 224.1 177.7 116.7
Fuente: Elaboracin del autor

Y X1 X2
log I LogT Logt
2.960565903 2.69897 0.69897
2.960565903 2.69897 0.69897
2.834738519 2.69897 1
2.745933158 2.69897 1.1760913
2.678154038 2.69897 1.30103
2.577606677 2.69897 1.4771213
2.394801777 2.69897 1.7781513
2.934296407 2.4771213 0.69897
2.808413551 2.4771213 1
2.719579858 2.4771213 1.1760913
2.651859269 2.4771213 1.30103
2.551205944 2.4771213 1.4771213
2.368472838 2.4771213 1.7781513
2.871631305 2 0.69897
2.745777218 2 1
2.656960183 2 1.1760913
2.589279221 2 1.30103
2.488691698 2 1.4771213
2.305781151 2 1.7781513
2.853637382 1.8750613 0.69897
2.727785174 1.8750613 1
2.638988159 1.8750613 1.1760913
2.571242851 1.8750613 1.30103
2.470557485 1.8750613 1.4771213
2.287801730 1.8750613 1.7781513
2.826916647 1.69897 0.69897
2.701049631 1.69897 1
2.612253906 1.69897 1.1760913
2.544564097 1.69897 1.30103
2.443888547 1.69897 1.4771213
2.261262869 1.69897 1.7781513
2.700876708 1 0.69897
2.574956776 1 1
2.486146997 1 1.1760913
2.418467021 1 1.30103
2.317854489 1 1.4771213
2.13225969 1 1.7781513
2.632760888 0.69897 0.69897
2.506910726 0.69897 1
2.418135498 0.69897 1.1760913
2.350441857 0.69897 1.30103
2.249687428 0.69897 1.4771213
2.067070856 0.69897 1.7781513

Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin
mltiple 0.9958506
Coeficiente de determinacin
R^2 0.99171843
R^2 ajustado 0.99129373
Error tpico 0.02005341
Observaciones 42

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de Suma de Promedio de los Val
libertad cuadrados cuadrados F
Regresin 2 1.87809168 0.93904584 2335.12489
Residuos 39 0.01568344 0.00040214
Total 41 1.89377512

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad In

Intercepcin 2.92589387 0.01419884 206.065678 7.5089E-61
Variable X 1 0.16351562 0.00459707 35.5695653 2.4349E-31

Variable X 2 -0.52714805 0.0090338 -58.3528559 1.4417E-39 -

Cuadro N4: Resultado del Anlisis de Regresin:

Log
Constante 2.9258939 K= 2.9259 K= 843.13
Err. estndar de est.Y 0.0200534 m= 0.164
R cuadrada 0.9912937 n= 0.527
91085
Nm. de observaciones 42 I= T0.198
Grado de libertad 39 Donde: t.0.527
Coeficiente(s) X 0.1635156 -0.527148 T= aos
t=
Error estndar de coef. 0.0045971 0.0090338 minutos
Fuente: Elaboracin del autor
 Cuadro N 16: Intensidades mximas.- Tingo Maria
I= K Tm
tn
K= 843.13
m= 0.164
n= 0.527
Duracin (t) Perodo de Retorno (T) en aos
(minutos) 30 50 100
5 629.46 684.29 766.42
11 415.39 451.58 505.78
19 311.41 338.54 379.17
30 244.77 266.10 298.03
40 210.33 228.65 256.10
50 186.99 203.28 227.68
60 169.85 184.65 206.81
70 156.60 170.24 190.67
80 145.95 158.67 177.71
90 137.17 149.12 167.01
100 129.76 141.06 157.99
110 123.40 134.15 150.25
120 117.87 128.13 143.51
 Grafico 11: Curva Intensidad-Duracin-Frecuencia
Estacin Tingo Mara

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Intensidad (mm/hora)

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Duracin en minutos

30 50 100

Parmetros morfometricos de la cuenca

PARAMETROS MORFOMETRICOS DE LA CUENCA

ITEM Principales Parametros Valor
1 Area de la cuenca (Km) 39.64
2 Perimetro de cuenca (Km) 38.80
3 Longitud de cuenca (Km) 27.95
4 Longitud de cauce principal (Km) 13.20
5 Longitud del Valle 26.47
6 Longitud del maximo recorrido del cauce 35.26
7 Cota superior cuenca (m.s.n.m) 2,350.00
 8 Cota inferior cuenca (m.s.n.m) 725.00
9 Cota superior cauce (m.s.n.m) 1,825.00
10 Cota inferior cauce (m.s.n.m) 727.00
11 Altura Promedio de la Cuenca (m.s.n.m) 1,537.50
12 Diferencia de desnivel de la cuenca(m) 1,625.00
13 Diferencia de desnivel del cauce (m) 1,098.00
14 Pendiente media cuenca (%) 5.81
15 Pendiente media del cauce principal (%) 8.32
16 Diametro del Circulo Equivalente 7.10
17 Longitud de circunferencia equivalente 22.32
18 Relacion de circularidad 0.33
19 Relacin de Elongacin (Re) 0.25
20 Indice de compacidad (K) 1.74
21 Factor de forma (F) 0.05
22 Ancho medio (m) 1,418.13
23 Densidad Drenaje Km/Km 2.74
24 Densidad de Corrientes 0.18
25 Sinuosidad 2.0052
26 Rectngulo Lado Mayor (Km) 17.24
27 Rectngulo Lado Menor (Km) 2.30
28 Tiempo de concentracin (Tc) horas 3.64

Curva hipsomtrica

Datos obtenidos del Arcgis

curva hipsometrica de velo de
ninfas
Rowid VALUE COUNT AREA MIN MAX RANGE MEAN STD SUM
1 400 3992 1596800 725 800 75 763.830635 24.591991 3049211.9
2 900 16816 6726400 800 1000 199.972778 908.257084 56.249004 15273251.1
3 1100 25458 10183200 1000 1200 199.983459 1099.76701 55.022082 27997868.6
4 1300 20750 8300000 1200 1400 199.995117 1299.12891 58.448672 26956925
5 1500 13859 5543600 1400 1600 199.994385 1482.72654 52.751365 20549107.1
6 1700 5537 2214800 1600 1800 199.945679 1703.27509 58.233131 9431034.19
7 1900 4275 1710000 1800 2000 199.978394 1892.88736 59.332394 8092093.47
8 2100 4551 1820400 2000 2200 199.973999 2088.98458 63.556269 9506968.81
9 2300 3854 1541600 2200 2350 149.93457 2261.73672 34.559761 8716733.33
 rowid MIN MAX promedio area acumulada %acumulado %intersecc
1 725 800 763 160 3964 100 4.03
2 800 1000 900 673 3804 95.97 16.97
3 1000 1200 1100 1018 3131 79.00 25.69
4 1200 1400 1300 830 2113 53.31 20.94
5 1400 1600 1500 554 1283 32.37 13.99
6 1600 1800 1700 221 729 18.38 5.59
7 1800 2000 1900 171 507 12.80 4.31
8 2000 2200 2100 182 336 8.48 4.59
9 2200 2350 2275 154 154 3.89 3.89
Fuente : elaboracin propia.

Curva hipsomtrica
120

100
% acumulado

80

60

40 %acumulado

20

0
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
promedio

Calculo del caudal

h2 h1 area1 rea 2
0.19 0.13 0.064 0.088
0.25 0.19 0.078 0.09
0.2 0.2 0.076 0.088
0.24 0.18 0.062 0.09
0.21 0.13 0.042 0.074
0.16 0.08 0.04 0.064
0.16 0.12 0.064 0.068
 0.18 0.2 0.076 0.072
0.18 0.18 0.06 0.074
0.19 0.12 0.04 0.058
0.1 0.08 0.032 0.032
0.06 0.08 0.018 0.022
0.05 0.01 0.004 0.016
0.03 0.01 0.002 0.006
0.658 0.842

t v
26 124.8
24 115.2
17 81.6
21 100.8
23 110.4
21 100.8
20 96
26 124.8
18 86.4
26 124.8
106.56
factor de correcion para nuestra cuenca 0.09
Q=V*A 79.92 m3/s
caudal 7.1928 m3/s