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E1 E2 E3 E4 E5 MAXIMIN MINIMAX

D1 50 50 50 50 1.9 1.9 0.1


D2 2 2 2 2 2 2 40

GECOR: Ganancia esoerada en condiciones de riesgo


PROB 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2
0 1 2 3 GECOR
0 0 0 0 0 0
1 -10 15 15 15 12.5
2 -20 5 30 30 17.5
3 -30 -5 20 45 12.5

GECIP: Ganancia esperada en condiciones de infromacion perfecta


25.5
SAVAGE
PROB 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2
0 1 2 3 PERJUICIO ESPERADO
0 0 15 30 45 25.5
1 10 0 15 30 13
2 20 10 0 15 8
3 30 20 10 0 13
0.25 0.5 0.25
13 14 15 GECOR GECIP
13 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4
14 -7.5 1.4 1.4 -0.825
15 -16.3 -7.4 1.5 -7.4

PAG 662 EJERCICIO 15,2-7


0.2 0.3 0.5
SECO HUMEDO MODERADO GECOR
1 $ 90,000 $ 180,000 $ 150,000
2 $ 112,500 $ 180,000 $ 135,000
3 $ 120,000 $ 105,000 $ 105,000
4 $ 90,000 $ 90,000 $ 90,000

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