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BENCHMARKING THE
SUSTAINABILITY OF
NATIONAL ENERGY
SYSTEMS
INTRODUCTION 5
About the annual Energy Trilemma Index 6
Overview of the 2016 Energy Trilemma Index ranking and balance score 8
Placing countries on the Index watch list 12
An energy sector in transition: the 2016 Energy Trilemma Index in context 17
REGIONAL PROFILES 20
Asia 23
Europe 27
Latin America and the Carribean 27
North Africa and Middle East 33
North America 36
Sub-Saharan Africa 40
COUNTRY PROFILES 44
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 138
WORLD ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX 2016: COUNTRY PERFORMANCE
REGIONAL OVERVIEWS Top 25% 25% 50% 50% 75% Lower 25% n/a
NORTH AMERICA EUROPE LATIN AMERICA ASIA MIDDLE EAST AND SUB-SAHARAN
STRUGGLES WITH AGEING MANAGING THE AND THE CARIBBEAN DECREASING IMPORT NORTH AFRICA AFRICA
INFRASTRUCTURE AND ENERGY TRANSITION BUILDING RESILIENCE DEPENDENCE INTHE FACE DIVERSIFYING AWAY UNLOCKING RESOURCES
EXTREME WEATHER AND ENERGY EQUITY OF GROWING DEMAND FROM OIL AND GAS AND RENEWABLES POTENTIAL
With 14% of total global greenhouse gas Although European countries lead the The Latin America and Caribbean region Asia faces the challenge of facilitating The main challenges for the Middle East Sub-Saharan Africa is challenged by the
emissions stemming from North America, 2016Index, the region still faces the must work on improving and maintaining sustainable growth of its highly energy- and North Africa (MENA) are high energy worlds lowest levels of energy access
the region must improve environmental challenge of managing the energy security its energy security by increasing the energy intensive, emerging economies while intensity, greenhouse gas emissions, and commercial energy use, despite a
sustainability and update ageing energy and affordability risks resulting from the systems resilience to extreme weather managing increasing energy demand and and useof finite fossil fuel reserves. rich endowment in resources and high
infrastructure to strengthen resilience to energy transition. events and improving energy equity. growing energy import dependence. Combined with water scarcity concerns, renewables potential.
emerging risks, including extreme weather To maintain a strong Trilemma performance, Diversifying the energy supply with low- Improvements on all three trilemma these challenges, if not addressed, could Stable and widely accessible energy
events and cyber attacks. policymakers must focus on energy carbon sources such as solar a nd wind and dimensions are possible by increasing the threaten the regions energy security and supply could act as a catalyst for regional
Environmental sustainability is expected market design, regional markets, demand increasing regional interconnection will be use of renewable energy sources, and by environmental sustainability. economic development. To unlock the
to improve significantly due to emission management, and designing an effective key to securing reliable supply. However, decreasing import dependence through Many MENA countries are focused on regions resource potential and meet future
reduction measures such as the carbon price to successfully manage the large-scale investments are required reliable trade relationships and improved improving energy efficiency and diversifying energy demand, the region must attract
development of carbon capture, usage challenging energy transition. to finance the development of resilient infrastructure. their economies and energy mixes through investment, build institutional capacity and
and storage technologies, and further energyinfrastructure. an increased use of solar and nuclear power. improve its grid and off-grid energy supply.
diversification of the energy mix. Significant changes to the regions trilemma
performance are likely to show towards the
WO R2020s
LD ENand 2040s.
ERGY CO U N CIL | PERS PEC TI V E S
2016 World Energy Council, Oliver Wyman. Access the data via www.worldenergy.org/data
WORLD ENERGY COUNCIL | ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The World Energy Councils definition of energy sustainability is based on three core
dimensions: energy security, energy equity, and environmental sustainability. The
Energy Trilemma Index ranks countries energy performance around the world and
provides a framework to benchmark progress.
The 2016 Energy Trilemma Index reveals signs of progress on all dimensions of the energy
trilemma. Thirteen of the 125 countries assessed achieve a triple-A score. Efforts to
increase resource productivity and manage energy demand growth will be key in ensuring a
balanced energy trilemma.
Among the countries included in the Index, access to electricity and clean cooking have
both increased by 5% to 85% and 74% since 2000. Meanwhile, cleaner forms of energy are
being used to support energy access and economic growth, with renewables making up
9.7% of total primary energy consumption in 2015. A more diversified and low-carbon
energy mix will help to improve energy security and environmental sustainability but its
positive effects may be stifled by rising energy consumption, which is predicted to increase
by up to 46% by 2060.
This year Denmark, Switzerland and Sweden top the Index, with Denmark also achieving
the highest score for energy security. While not in the top 10 overall, Luxembourg maintains
its position for most equitable (affordable and accessible) and the Philippines is leading the
way on the environmental sustainability dimension. In Latin America, Uruguay ranks the
highest, while in the Middle East, Israel outperforms its regional peers. In Sub-Saharan
Africa, Mauritius performs best, and in Asia, New Zealand remains at the top of the regional
leader board.
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B E N C H M AR
R K I N G T H E S U S T AI N A B I L I T Y O F N AT I O N AL
A ENERGY SYSTEMS
Inttrodu
ucttion
n
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WORLD ENERGY COUNCIL | ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX
The Energy Trilemma Index quantifies the energy trilemma and comparatively ranks 125
countries in terms of their ability to provide a secure, affordable, and environmentally
sustainable energy system. In addition, countries are awarded a balance score that
highlights how well the country manages the trade-offs between the three energy trilemma
dimensions and identifies top performing countries with a triple-A score.
The Index rankings are based on a range of data sets that capture both energy
performance and the context of that energy performance. Energy performance indicators
consider supply and demand, the affordability of and access to energy, and the
environmental impact of a countrys energy production and use. The contextual indicators
consider the broader circumstances of energy performance including a countrys ability to
provide coherent, predictable and stable policy and regulatory frameworks, initiate
research, development and demonstration (RD&D) and innovation, and attract investment.
Prepared annually by the World Energy Council in partnership with global consultancy
Oliver Wyman, along with the Global Risk Centre of its parent Marsh & McLennan
Companies since 2010, the Index methodology was updated and revised in 2016 to capture
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the changing energy landscape. The methodology maintains the focus on the three energy
trilemma dimensions but is enhanced by three main changes. Firstly, the revised
methodology broadens the scope of indicators covered to provide a more inclusive ranking
of the energy sector with a greater focus on the diversity of energy supply. Secondly, the
assessment of energy equity is enhanced by including measures for the quality of supply
and affordability of a wider number of energy resources, including household electricity,
natural gas and diesel costs. Finally, the revised Index includes a consideration of the
resilience of a countrys energy system with indicators for energy storage and the ability of
a country to prepare for and repair energy infrastructure following shocks.
As countries have unique resource endowments, policy goals and challenges, the absolute
rank of a country may be less meaningful than its relative performance versus its peers. To
support such analysis, the Index report provides data to generate regional or economic
peer group comparisons. For the deeper Index analysis, countries were organised in four
economic groups:
Trends, and the balance within the three dimensions, also provide valuable information in
helping countries address their energy trilemma. Decision makers in both the public and
private sectors are encouraged to look at trends in performance over the years, particularly
in each dimension, and to compare their countries against peer groups including regional
or GDP group peers.
To support decision makers, the World Energy Council and Oliver Wyman have developed
an interactive online tool that allows users to view Index results and compare countries
1
The World Energy Trilemma Index report only features country profiles for the World Energy
Councils member countries for which sufficient data is available.
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WORLD ENERGY COUNCIL | ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX
performance against other countries. The pathway calculator allows users to identify what it
takes to improve the energy trilemma performance. The tool can be accessed at:
www.worldenergy.org/data.
Taken as a whole, the World Energy Trilemma Index is a unique and unparalleled resource
and guide for policymakers seeking to develop solutions for sustainable energy systems
and business leaders to support investment decisions.
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However, the complex trade-offs that are inherent in energy policymaking, as well as
certain geographic limitations to achieving a trilemma balance, become evident when
analysing countries that excel in one dimension but struggle to achieve a balance.
Luxembourg, for example, which receives the top score in energy equity, ranks 122nd in
energy security and 103rd in environmental sustainability due to its small geographic area
and resulting limitations on the availability and diversity of energy resources and generation
capacity. Countries like Luxembourg will therefore have to redouble their efforts to find
solutions tailored to address their specific situation and weaknesses, such as regional
integration as a path to greater energy security, as typical solutions, which may apply to
larger, resource-endowed countries, are unlikely to succeed here.
Conversely, the top-10 in environmental sustainability is dominated by states that are able
to take advantage of their renewable energy potential such as the Philippines, Iceland and
Colombia, which all have high geothermal or hydropower capacities. A significant challenge
to these countries, however, is to avoid over-reliance on one single energy source, which
could potentially hamper the resilience of the energy system and with that energy security.
The top-10 in environmental sustainability moreover shows that resource availability is not
the only pre-requisite to achieve top scores for environmental sustainability. Successfully
harnessing the renewables potential also requires a sound institutional framework that
facilitates research and coherent policymaking and implementation.
An analysis of selected key metrics used in this index shows that globally, there are signals
that countries are building more sustainable energy systems by concurrently addressing
energy security, energy equity and environmental sustainability challenges.
Among the countries included in the Index, access to electricity and clean cooking have
both increased by 5% to 85% and 74% respectively since 2000. At the same time, global
CO2 intensity has been decreasing from 0.33 tCO2/US$ in 2000 to 0.27 tCO2/US$ in 2014.
Together these figures point towards a global upward trend with regards to energy equity
and environmental performance, where access to energy is improving at the same time as
cleaner forms of energy are being used to support economic growth.
In addition, the share of renewables in total primary energy consumption has increased
from 6.8% in 2005 to 9.7% in 2015. In this regard, the Index regional profiles signal a
positive trend towards greater diversification of energy sources, often through the
exploitation of renewable energy generation potential.
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Oil-producing states, for example, are increasingly exploring or actively enhancing solar
power generation to reduce their reliance on fossil fuels. Congruently, large developing
states in Asia are working on decreasing their import dependence through an increase in
renewable energy sources.
However, while a more diversified energy mix will help to improve energy security, its
positive effects may be stifled by the global increase in energy consumption. Total primary
energy consumption has been increasing from 2.2 quadrillion Btu in 2008 to 2.4 quadrillion
Btu in 2012. Globally, efforts to increase resource productivity and manage energy demand
growth will be key in ensuring a balanced energy trilemma going forward.
United Arab 43 BAD First nuclear power plant to come online in 2017
Emirates Green growth strategy
Phasing out of gas and electricity subsidies
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Even though the United Arab Emirates (rank 43, BAD) is well endowed with oil
and natural gas reserves, the country is making major investments in low-carbon
energy solutions. This includes the construction of the Barakah nuclear power plant,
the first part of which is to come online in 2017.2 The UAEs first green growth plan
sets further targets for demand reduction, energy efficiency, and renewable energy,
including the construction of a 1 GW solar park.3 The elimination of subsidies for
petrol and diesel from August 2015, as well as plans to further eliminate subsidies
on electricity and gas are expected to rationalise fuel consumption, protect natural
resources and the environment, and support state finances.4 These developments
have the potential to improve the UAEs performance in the energy security and
environmental sustainability dimensions but may reduce energy equity scores.
Mexico (rank 52, BBB) continues to pursue the liberalisation of its energy market,
most recently publishing a plan to develop a fully competitive natural gas market by
2018.5 New market rules further aim to promote energy efficiency and set a target of
achieving 35% clean energy by 2024.6 These two transitions, from a monopolistic
structure to a competitive market scheme and from a high-carbon to a low-carbon
economy, are proving to be challenging, especially as improvement and expansion
of the countrys infrastructure is still needed.7 However, the countrys overall energy
trilemma performance is expected to improve as the reforms continue to be
implemented.
The Philippines (rank 61, BCA) has recently introduced the Philippine Energy
Reform Plan (PEP) 20122030, which commits the country to strengthening all
three dimensions of the Energy Trilemma. Comprising over 30% of the energy mix,
most of the countrys renewable energy is currently generated through geothermal
and hydropower, and investment in wind and solar energy could help to further
increase the share of renewables in the energy mix and enhance energy security.8
In further pursuit of this end, the country has most recently started exploring the
option of generating nuclear power.9
2
Emirates Nuclear Energy Corporation (ENEC): About Our Nuclear Plants (www.enec.gov.ae/)
3
Beeantna: Building Inclusive Green Economies: The UAE approach, www.beeatna.ae
4
Carpenter C and Khan S, 2015: U.A.E. Removes Fuel Subsidy as Oil Drop Hurts Arab
Economies (Bloomberg, 22 July 2015); Kane F, 2016: UAE to Cut Remaining Energy Subsidies,
Minister Says (The National, 23 January 2016)
5
King and Spalding, 2016: Client Alert: Development of competitive natural gas market in
Mexico
6
Dezem V, 2016: Mexico Sets National target of 5% Renewable Energy by 2018 (Bloomberg,
31 March 2016)
7
Clemente J, 2016: Mexicos Ever Growing Natural Gas Market (Forbes, 02 July 2016)
8
Tan Hui Ann C, 2016: The Philippines Renewable Energy Sector is Booming (and It Could Get
Bigger) (CNBC, 09 August 2016)
9
Cruz E, 2016: Philippines May Open Mothballed Marcos-era Nuclear Power Plant (Reuters,
30 August 2016); Republic of the Philippines Department of Energy, 2016: Philippines to Host
Nuclear Energy Conference, www.doe.gov.ph
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WORLD ENERGY COUNCIL | ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX
The following countries have been added to the Councils positive watch list in 2016
(see Table 1):
Chile (rank 38, BBB) made headlines in June as its high supply of solar energy led
to a drop in consumer prices to zero in certain areas on several occasions this
year.10 While this exemplifies Chiles role as the largest producer of renewable
energy in South America, it also illustrates serious systemic difficulties, as continued
oversupply will be detrimental to investment. The main challenge faced by Chile is
thus to expand the capacity of its infrastructure and adapt to the intermittency of
solar and wind power to keep up with its rapid growth in renewable energy
production. In particular, the northern and southern electricity grids of the country
need to be connected for a more effective distribution. A project to do just that is
underway and expected to be completed by 2017. If successful, Chiles renewable
energy expansion could strengthen all three trilemma dimensions in the country.
Ecuador (rank 50, BBC) is undergoing a major shift towards renewable energy,
with eight new hydroelectric power plants to come online in the period 20152017.
A total of 93% of the countrys energy supply is currently coming from hydropower.
This development, if accompanied by a supportive fossil fuel infrastructure and
improvements to the supply network, has the potential to significantly strengthen
Ecuadors performance across all dimensions of the Trilemma.
Following the 2006 nationalisation of Bolivias (rank 100, CCD) oil and gas sector,
the country now plans to significantly increase its export capacity to become the
Energy Heart of South America.11 To achieve this, Bolivia plans to triple its energy
supply by 2020. This will entail the challenges of stepping up exploration efforts,
improving supply infrastructure, and attracting new investment. Considering
Bolivias vast gas resources, this project could add significantly to the equity of
access and energy security dimensions of the trilemma in Bolivia as well as the
entire region.
10
Dezem V and Quiroga J, 2016: Chile Has So much Solar Energy Its giving It Away For Free
(Bloomberg, 02 June 2016)
11
Wilson J, 2015: Bolivia Wants to Become the Energy Heart of South America (Financial
Times, 26 October 2015)
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While Germanys (rank 5, AAA) overall ranking has improved, it remains on the
Councils negative watch list as it continues to be affected by the impacts of the plan
to transition Germany's energy system, which includes goals of increasing power
generation from renewable sources, a reduction of primary energy usage and CO2
emissions, as well as the phase-out of nuclear power by 2022 (14% of the electricity
generation mix in 2014).12 However, a reform of the legislation for renewables
support, to come into force in 2017, shifting from feed-in tariffs (FITs) to market-
based support mechanisms, may impact the speed of this transition. Further,
Germanys energy equity performance has seen a decline over the past years as
energy services became more expensive due to renewable energy subsidies being
12
Appunn K, 2016: Germanys Energy Consumption and Power Mix in Charts (Clean Energy
Wire, 09 June 2016)
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WORLD ENERGY COUNCIL | ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX
The United Kingdom (rank 11, AAA) continues to face significant challenges in
securing energy supply. Plans to close the UKs remaining coal plants are being put
into question by the countrys decision to leave the EU, as a potential exit from the
single market could significantly increase the cost of its energy imports. The
government recently agreed to the planned construction of a nuclear reactor at
Hinkley Point after a prolonged debate on cost and energy security concerns.
However, investment uncertainty remains due to planned changes to the regulation
of foreign ownership of critical infrastructure. Moreover, the recent sharp decrease
in FITs for wind and solar power may hinder investments in these sectors, impacting
the country's goal to further diversify its energy supply and improve environmental
sustainability. The newly established Department for Business, Energy and
Industrial Strategy, which replaces the Department of Energy and Climate Change,
may however provide more clarity for future energy investments.
Despite an improvement in its overall ranking, the United States (rank 14, AAC)
faces a key challenge in addressing its ageing energy transmission, storage, and
distribution systems, as highlighted by the Department of Energy's Quadrennial
Energy Review.13 While there have been initiatives to diversify the countrys energy
supply and improve its emergency response measures in light of the increasing
frequency of extreme weather events, more investment is needed to tackle this
challenge.14 In addition, the majority of coal-fired and nuclear power plants are at
least 30 years old, and, with an average lifespan of just 40 years, will need to be
replaced over the coming years.15 This poses challenges to the country's energy
security over the coming years despite the expected increase in the countrys
energy exports. Moreover, the markedly different approaches to climate and energy
policy of the two leading parties in the upcoming 2016 presidential election further
add an element of political uncertainty to the sector.
The government of Japan (rank 30, CAB) is pursuing a strategy of diversifying its
energy supply, which, since the accident at Fukushima, has been comprised
overwhelmingly of fossil fuels. The new strategy will include increasing the share of
renewables to 1314% and the share of nuclear energy to 1011% of the national
primary energy supply by 2030.16 To this effect, three of the countrys nuclear
reactors are back online, while the resumption of energy production at other
reactors has so far been delayed due to time-consuming examinations by the
Nuclear Regulation Authority, political difficulties and legal challenges.17
13
Conca J, 2015: It Really Is Our Aging infrastructure (Forbes, 21 May 2015)
14
US Department of Energy, 2016: Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz Calls for Increased
Investment to Enhance US Energy Emergency Response
15
EIA, 2011: Age of Electric Power Generators Varies Widely, 16 June 2011
16
Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, 2015: Long-term Energy Supply and
Demand Outlook
17
Stapczynski S, 2016: Japan Reactor Restart Signals Latest Step in Nuclear Rebirth
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The capacity of South Africas (rank 84, CCD) energy system has improved over
the past year due to increasing investment in infrastructure maintenance and fossil
fuels, and the frequency of blackouts has decreased. However, the country still
struggles to diversify its energy sources, with the majority of its electricity still being
supplied by Eskom through fossil fuels.18 Plans to build new nuclear reactors are on
hold, and independent producers of renewable energy, while having made some
advances over the past two years, still need to develop strong inroads into the
countrys supply. Unless these residual issues are addressed, South Africas
sustainability score is unlikely to improve.
Brazil (Rank 57, CBB), which produces over 70% of its total energy through
hydroelectric power, has recently experienced a severe drought, lasting from 2014
until late 2015. This has negatively impacted many of the countrys hydroelectric
facilities.19 Another concern is the sharp rise in energy prices by 50% in 2015, with
further increases expected in the future. Policymakers have to find ways to render
the countrys energy sector more resilient to extreme weather events and pursue
policies to guarantee energy security and equity of access.
Energy industry and energy leaders have been implementing changes and making strides
to meet these challenges. To meet energy and climate goals, governments must enact and
continue to push the evolution of energy policies and financing solutions that support rapid
transitions and expansion of energy infrastructure.
The 2016 World Energy Trilemma: Defining measures to accelerate the energy transition,
the companion report to this Index, identified five focus areas to drive progress on the
(Bloomberg, 11 August 2016); Harding R, 2016: Japans Nuclear Restart Stymied by Courts
(Financial Times, 06 April 2016)
18
Cohen M and Burkhardt P, 2015: What is South Africa Doing to Tackle Its Electricity Crisis?
(Bloomberg, 08 September 2015)
19
Leahy J, 2015: So Paulo Drought Raises Fears of Brazil Energy Crisis (Financial Times,
11 February 2015)
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energy trilemma and offers guidance in the complex task of translating the trilemma goals
of energy security, energy equity and environmental sustainability into tangible actions.
The five focus areas are derived from a review of the findings of the past five trilemma
reports and Trilemma Index trends over the same time period as well as a wide
assessment of country energy strategies.
1. TRANSFORMING ENERGY SUPPLY. Policymakers and decision makers must set clear
and straightforward energy targets and build a broad consensus for the transition in energy
supply and demand. This process must include new entrants to the energy sector and early
engagement with affected communities. Taking an adaptive approach by launching pilot
projects and regularly analysing policy effectiveness is crucial for the successful delivery
and implementation of policies.
Solely expanding energy access infrastructure is not enough. Countries must look to a
range of innovative mechanisms that enable affordable access for people to utilise the
benefits of modern energy for income-generating activities. Innovative mechanisms include
pay-as-you-go business models and mobile banking solutions to promote the take-up of
renewable-powered energy services.
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Policymakers must align the interests of asset owners, users and regulators, and continue
to implement a combination of energy efficiency standards, performance ratings, labelling
programmes and incentives. They must also increase awareness across all industrial
sectors, and encourage consumers to continue to focus on greater energy efficiency.
Recommendations
There are lessons emerging from innovative and tried-and-tested policies to overcome
barriers and make progress on the energy trilemma:
Policy matters: Policy choices, and creating a regime to support a robust energy sector,
are critical to lasting energy trilemma performance regardless of a countrys resources or
geographic location.
Time matters: Policies and investments intended to change energy supply and demand at
a national level will take time and will likely be disruptive. Countries must act now to
progress on the trilemma with secure, equitable and environmentally sustainable energy to
support a thriving energy sector, a competitive economy and a healthy society.
Policymakers should provide clarity to the market with succinct and aligned signals
when devising policy strategies in order for investors to assess their commitments
against long-term trends.
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egion nal
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REGIONAL PROFILES
The variability in performance seen across the three dimensions of the Trilemma Index
shows the degree to which the energy challenges faced by each country are unique.
However, the transnational nature of both energy markets and environmental sustainability
issues necessitates a view that extends past the country level. A comparison of key metrics
across geographical regions and GDP groups (see Table 3) illustrates this point.
Rate of transmission
in urban areas (%)
Instustrial sector
to electricity (%)
CO2 intensity
(US$/kWh)
PPP US$
Geographical region
Europe 32,390 25.4 100 75 85 0.22 2,499 0.09 0.28 8.9 0.0
Lat. Am. & Caribbean 13,203 31.7 92 54 85 0.12 3,678 0.08 0.24 14.5 3.4
Middle East & N. Africa 37,417 46.2 97 94 95 0.12 2,325 0.08 0.35 12.1 4.7
North America 39,141 27.8 100 84 95 0.20 4,223 0.10 0.35 10.2 0.3
Sub-Saharan Africa 5,628 26.2 37 16 50 0.08 3,794 0.15 0.18 16.2 3.8
GDP group
Group III 10,999 31.1 89 47 83 0.11 3, 117 0.09 0.29 13.1 3.2
Global average 22.937 30.1 84 57 78 0.18 2,920 0.10 0.27 11.9 2.5
As shown in the World Energy Trilemma reports, energy leaders have emphasised the
need to examine opportunities to adopt regionally coordinated approaches to energy
resources, infrastructure and regulation. However, the disparities between and within
regions make this a difficult task.
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WORLD ENERGY COUNCIL | ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX
This section presents regional energy trilemma balances and performances. In addition,
with reference to the World Energy Councils Scenarios to 2060, it outlines the trilemma
challenges and opportunities each region will face going forward.
The World Energy Scenarios identify three possible routes through a Grand Transition to
2060: Modern Jazz, Hard Rock and Unfinished Symphony.
The Grand Transition refers to the worlds energy evolution through to 2060. While there
are many uncertainties in this transition, there are a number of known, strong trends that
will fundamentally change the worlds energy system. Regardless of the selected energy
scenario, the trends of the Grand Transition will lead to a world in 2060 with:
There are three possible paths for the energy sector during this transition:
Modern Jazz: The world of 2060 has a diverse set of resilient and lower carbon energy
systems. There is a complex, competitive and efficient market landscape that promotes the
open access to information, innovation and the rapid deployment of new technologies.
Unfinished Symphony: The world of 2060 has a global, integrated and resilient low
carbon energy system. Global institutions and national governments support enabling
technologies and there is unified action on security, environmental and economic issues.
Hard Rock: The world of 2060 has a set of diverse economic, energy and sustainability
outcomes. National interests result in a fractured world with little collaboration between
governments. Deployment of enabling technologies is limited based on availability of local
resources and little attention is paid to climate change.
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ASIA
Asia faces the challenge of facilitating sustainable growth of its highly energy-
intensive, emerging economies while managing increasing energy demand and
growing energy import dependence. Improvements on all three trilemma dimensions
are possible by increasing the use of renewable energy sources, and decreasing
import dependence through reliable trade relationships and improved infrastructure.
Asia is the worlds largest and most populous continent and energy demand is continuing to
grow. The region includes a diverse array of economies, with less developed countries
(Nepal and Pakistan), rapidly developing economies (China, India, Indonesia), and highly-
developed nations (Japan, the Republic of Korea, New Zealand).
Many countries in the region are in the lower half of the Index. Nonetheless, several
countries have exhibited positive trends in their trilemma performance. The Philippines, for
instance, has improved the diversity of its electricity generation, which now includes more
than 15% of electricity generated from non-hydropower renewable energy sources. This
achievement has allowed the country to decrease its dependence on fuel imports, improve
electricity access and quality of electricity supply, as well as reduce emission intensity.
However, possibly the most notable energy development of the region is occurring in
Australia. The country now has several Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) projects in operation
and three more under construction.20 With an expansion of LNG exports, the higher
adoption of natural gas could be an important means of improving the regions energy
trilemma profile.
Between 2040 and 2050, Asia is projected to surpass North America and Europe combined
in terms of GDP, population size, military, health, and education spending, and
technological investment.21 In line with these projections, fast-growing Asian economies are
20
Appea, 2016: Australian LNG projects
21
World Energy Council, 2016: World Energy Scenarios to 2060
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China and India in particular are expected to play significant roles in determining the future
of the regions energy mix and sustainability; these two countries will be the primary driver
behind demand growth to 2060 in the region (see Figure 5).
Final energy consumption per capita (GJ) - China Final energy consumption per capita (GJ) - India
25 10
9
20 8
7
15 6
5
10 4
3
5 2
1
0 0
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
Modern Jazz Unfinished Symphony Hard Rock Modern Jazz Unfinished Symphony Hard Rock
Energy security is a key focus for the region and, according to the World Energy Scenarios,
will remain so over the next 50 years. This focus has led to significant investments in and
national pledges to use renewable energy sources in some Asian countries, which is
expected to positively impact the diversity of energy supply in the region.
Due to low natural resource endowments, the East Asian region, including Korea, Japan,
and China largely depends on imports to meet its current energy consumption needs. This
significantly impacts East Asias ability to secure its energy supply independently. The
Republic of Korea, for example, relies almost entirely on crude oil imports and is the second
largest importer of LNG after Japan. Japan is also the second largest coal importer and
22
Automotive News, 2016: Skepticism Surrounds China EV Boom
23
Green Car Reports, 2016: Indias Ambitious Goal: All Electric Vehicles on Road by 2030
24
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third largest net importer of crude oil and petroleum products in the world.24 In 2013, China
became the worlds largest net importer of oil.25
Despite Asias current struggle to balance the energy trilemma, it has the potential to
improve on all three dimensions of the energy trilemma over the next 50 years. According
to the 2016 World Energy Scenarios, energy intensity is expected to decrase between
2576% by 2060 and CO2 intensity could decrease between 7393% by 2060 compared to
2014 levels (see Figure 6 and 7).26 Moreover, diversity of primary energy supply will
increase compared to 2014, providing a positive outlook on the energy security of the
region. However, the regions energy security may be negatively impacted by the
increasing dependence on energy imports. In order to minimise the vulnerability caused by
increasing import dependence, the region should focus on building reliable trading
relationships and developing its energy infrastructure.
12 1
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24
U.S. Energy Information Administration, 2013: Japan is the Second Largest Net Importer of
Fossil Fuels in the World
25
U.S. Energy Information Administration
26
World Energy Council, 2016: World Energy Scenarios to 2060
25
WORLD ENERGY COUNCIL | ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX
The regions future energy trilemma performance will depend on the path it takes. The
Modern Jazz Scenario serves as a transition to a highly productive world, in which Asia is
the economic and geopolitical centre. If Asia does not make concerted efforts to shift to
renewable energy sources and address poverty and inequity, a declining performance on
the environmental sustainability and energy equity dimensions of the energy trilemma may
be inevitable; this would impact the regions ability to drive a balanced improvement on the
energy trilemma.
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EUROPE
Although European countries lead the 2016 Index, the region still faces the challenge
of managing the energy security and affordability risks resulting from the energy
transition. To maintain a strong trilemma performance, policymakers must focus on
energy market design, regional markets, demand management, and designing an
effective carbon price to successfully manage the challenging energy transition.
European countries lead the 2016 Index, claiming nine of the top 10 spots. The European
Unions (EU) long-term climate and energy strategy, implemented through the 2020
Climate and Energy Package is a key driver contributing towards the regions continued
strong Index performance.27 Analysis shows that the EU is broadly on track to meet the
20-20-20 goals.28 Together with the regions strong Index performance this shows that the
EUs policy making is contributing towards the regions success in the Index.
However, temporary external factors, including the global financial crisis of 2008/09 may
have accelerated the progress on these energy sustainability goals in the short term due to
the associated dip in energy demand and reduction in industrial activity. In order to secure
the top ranks of the Index going forward, the region needs to continue working on the
20-20-20 goals. Additionally, the region should focus on energy security, while ensuring the
long-term affordability of the energy system (at both the household and industrial levels).
Government policies aimed at achieving the 20-20-20 targets threaten the financial viability
of the overall power sector, which will further financially impact both governments and
consumers. This highlights the challenges that Europe faces in developing policies that
promote balanced progress on the energy trilemma. Specifically, policies to achieve climate
27
World Energy Trilemma 2016: Defining measures to accelerate the energy transition
28
Eurostat, 2016: Europe 2020 indicators climate change and energy
27
WORLD ENERGY COUNCIL | ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX
targets and increase the share of renewables have distorted electricity markets, causing
decreased wholesale prices, and in turn have undermined investments in wholesale
capacity. These occurrences render modern gas plants non-viable, while older, more
polluting coal plants with lower marginal costs are able to operate profitably.
For example, Germany requires a total investment of US$58bn until 2033 to ensure the
security of supply for conventional power generation and storage.29 Under current
conditions, the utilities market share in power generation capacity is projected to decline by
one-third, to less than 50% by 2033 as households and businesses invest directly in their
own renewables-based power generation capacity. The German government will have to
redesign the structure of its electricity market to compensate backup providers, keep
conventional generation viable and encourage financing of larger-scale generation capacity
during a period of energy transition. Along with this, the German government will need to
focus on making gas power plants a more attractive investment option than CO2-intensive
coal power plants.
The UK also faces significant challenges in securing energy supply following the steady
decline of domestic production of fossil fuels, the phase-out of nuclear power plants, and
the introduction of European legislation that would force many coal plants to close. Ageing
infrastructure, reduced investments in the wind and solar sectors, and tightened reserve
capacity margins impose further strains on energy supply. The current uncertainty in future
energy policy presented by the Brexit referendum vote may stall necessary investments in
updated energy infrastructure.
Eastern European countries face a different set of obstacles in addressing their future
progress on the energy trilemma, particularly in energy security and environmental
sustainability, including developing financial markets and a secure investment environment
to encourage investment in the energy system to support economic growth.
Europe outperforms all regions with regards to energy access and the reliability of energy
supply. However, high energy prices are a concern to many European countries. At
governmental level, high expenditure is required to stimulate renewable energy growth.
From 2012 to 2020, for example, an estimated 40.5bn will be spent in France to support
the renewable power sector.30 A significant portion of this investment will be borne at the
consumer level.
To secure a high and balanced performance on the Energy Trilemma Index, meet the
20-20-20 targets, and the more ambitious energy targets set for 2030, European
policymakers must enhance their existing climate and energy efforts. Specifically, they must
place a greater focus on energy market design, regional energy markets, energy demand
management, and the proper price setting for carbon.
29
Oliver Wyman, 2014: Power Generation Disruption: Germanys Case for Change
30
Deloitte, 2015: Energy Market Reform in Europe
28
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Despite the policy challenges ahead, all three World Energy Scenarios show promising
trends to 2060 (see Figure 11): final energy intensity is predicted to decrease by 2159%
by 2060, while CO2 intensity is expected to decrease by 4183% by 2060, showing positive
trends for Europes performance on the environmental sustainability dimension of the
energy trilemma in the long term. The regions performance on the energy security
dimension is also predicted to fare well over the long term, with energy imports falling from
their current 12% to 59.6% by 2060. At the same time, the diversity of primary energy
supply is expected to increase (see Figure 12).
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LAC countries
Argentina Ecuador Panama
Bolivia El Salvador Paraguay
Brazil Guatemala Peru
Chile Honduras Trinidad & Tobago
Colombia Jamaica Uruguay
Costa Rica Nicaragua Venezuela
Dominican Republic
LAC is an energy-rich region with large oil and gas deposits and great natural endowments
of exploitable renewable energy. The region is comprised of both net energy importers and
exporters, including OPEC members Ecuador and Venezuela. The LAC region includes the
majority of the worlds hydro-powered countries such as Colombia, Uruguay, Costa Rica,
Ecuador, Brazil, Peru and Paraguay. Many LAC countries with higher performance on the
Index owe their success to leveraging strong hydropower capabilities. In Brazil and
Colombia in particular, the extensive use of hydropower has led to low emissions and
higher electrification rates.
However, the regions strong reliance on hydropower is also a risk factor for energy security
as it is highly susceptible to changing weather patterns. For example, in 2015 and early
2016, the regions hydropower output was significantly affected by El Nio related droughts.
31
World Energy Council, 2016: World Energy Scenarios to 2060
30
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The resulting power shortages led to spikes in energy prices and the need to use less
efficient and more polluting short-term back-up energy sources to manage the power
shortages. While El Nio effects are natural, recurring events, their frequency and severity
are expected to increase over time, making the region more vulnerable to decreased
hydroelectric power generation and energy shortages in the long term.32
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The regions success in adapting to changing weather patterns and the water-energy nexus
will impact its path to greater energy sustainability. For example, to address increased
droughts, LAC countries must develop and implement substantial soft and hard resilience
measures, including conventional, solar and wind power generation. Regional integration
(e.g., the Central American Integrated System Project, which will connect Guatemala,
El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica and Panama) is expected to play an
increasingly important role in the regions ability to increase resilience.
Looking to the future energy trilemma path, efforts to diversify the energy mix are promising
to be successful in the long term, with the diversity of energy supply increasing by 2060.
32
Yale environment 360, 2016: El Nio and Climate Change: Wild weather may get wilder;
World Energy Council, 2015: World Energy Perspective: The road to resilience Managing and
financing extreme weather risks
31
WORLD ENERGY COUNCIL | ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX
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While the share of net energy imports is expected to be near zero by 2060 for all scenarios,
final energy consumption per capita is expected to increase by 5385% by 2060. This
indicates that the region will largely be energy self-sufficient by 2060, further contributing
towards its energy security.
33
World Energy Council, 2016: World Energy Scenarios to 2060
32
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MENA countries
Algeria Israel Oman
Bahrain Jordan Qatar
Egypt Kuwait Saudi Arabia
Iran (Islamic Rep.) Lebanon Tunisia
Iraq Morocco United Arab Emirates
The MENA region is central to the worlds oil and gas agenda. The region has tremendous
fossil fuel resources, with 54.9% of global oil and 50.3% of global gas.34 As the Trilemma
Index emphasises diversity and resilience as well as demand management in measuring
energy security, MENA countries have a comparatively weaker energy security
performance. To improve their energy security, many countries in the region are
diversifying their energy mix and power generation, and are working on reducing final
energy consumption. In the long term, the region is expected to increase the diversity of
primary energy supply and reduce its final energy consumption per capita by 15%.
However, these changes will only become visible towards the 2020s and 2040s.
In the short term however, the complex political and security landscape in some MENA
countries is translating into reduced investments and supply disruptions, which are
exacerbated by low oil prices; supply disruptions amount to almost three million barrels per
day (Mb/d), with those disruptions concentrated in Libya (1.3 Mb/d) and Iran (860 Kb/d).35
34
BP, 2016: Statistical Review of World Energy
35
BP, 2015: BP Statistical Review of the World 2015 and Chatham House: Royal Institute of
International Affairs, 2016: Middle East and North Africa Energy; Carnegie Endowment for
33
WORLD ENERGY COUNCIL | ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX
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Many energy security concerns in less oil-rich countries relate to the Nile and the energy-
water-food nexus. Egypt, for example, is dependent on the Nile for 97% of its water needs
and experiences limited rainfalls, a trend that is set to continue. Coupled with population
growth and the potential redistribution of the Niles resources to other riparian nations,36
Egypts water overuse may lead to severe water scarcity in the future and impact plans
for increased hydropower in the region. In fact, Egypt could run out of water by 2025,
which highlights the energy-water-food nexus challenges the country and region are facing.37
Fossil-fuelled economies, such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE, are also facing energy
security threats due to their high rate of energy consumption growth. However, many of
these countries have recognised these risks and are making concerted efforts to mitigate
their effects, including energy diversification. The UAE, for example, has set the goal to
increase the low-carbon energy contribution of renewable energy and nuclear power to
International Peace, 2015: Middle East and North Africa Oil Producers are Facing a New
Price Reality
36
Upstream riparian nations are experiencing high population growth, leading to additional
strains on the Nile. Uganda and Ethiopia are undergoing especially high population growth
levels, at 3.1% and 2.9% per annum respectively, which will intensify water needs due to rising
consumption by industry, agriculture and households. Ethiopia is simultaneously experiencing
strong economic growth, at 7.5% over the past three years, which is stimulating the development
of infrastructure projects along the Nile. As other upstream nations experience economic growth,
additional water infrastructure projects are expected to follow, which could lead to reduced flows
for downstream riparian nations.
37
Future Directions International, 2013: Conflict on the Nile: The future of transboundary water
disputes over the worlds longest river
34
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24% of the overall energy mix by 2021.38 The UAE plans to meet these targets using
government-driven investment in large infrastructure projects, technical assistance and
cooperation agreements with international energy agencies and governments, as well as
economic support mechanisms including net metering and slab tariffs, to improve the
competitiveness of solar energy and overall improved energy efficiency.
Saudi Arabia is pursuing energy reforms to address its energy security concerns. In
December 2015, the country announced the first round of its energy reforms, which
includes raising the price of gasoline with the goal of promoting energy efficiency and
reducing the cost of subsidies. With fossil fuel subsidies amounting to over US$62bn, of
which 75% are for oil, subsidy reductions are expected to cut costs by 12% following the
energy reform. Prices will be increased by 60% for petrol, approximately 66% for gas and
around 130% for ethane. The subsidy reforms are expected to generate US$30bn in
savings per year by 2020.39
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In 2012, the MENA region was responsible for approximately 7% of total global GHG
emissions. This is relatively low, compared to other regions such as North America and
Asia, which produced approximately 12% and 50% of global GHG emissions the same
year. However, CO2 emissions are projected to increase by 19% in the Council's Hard Rock
scenario. Conversely, energy intensity and CO2 intensity will decrease in all three of the
World Energy Councils Scenarios to 2060 (Figure 18).
To prevent emission increases and secure development along a path similar to that of the
Unfinished Symphony scenario, the MENA region must place an increased focus on
improving both energy security and environmental sustainability levels. An expansion of
existing efforts to improve energy efficiency and diversify the energy mix would provide a
good foundation for such a shift. MENA countries could build on these developments by
increasing transparency in market value of energy to improve demand management and
energy-water-nexus issues.
38
World Energy Council, 2016: World Energy Trilemma 2016: Defining measures to accelerate
the energy transition
39
ibid.
35
WORLD ENERGY COUNCIL | ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX
NORTH AMERICA
With 14% of total global GHG emissions stemming from North America, the region
must improve environmental sustainability and update ageing energy infrastructure
to strengthen resilience to emerging risks, including extreme weather events and
cyber attacks. Environmental sustainability is expected to improve significantly due
to emission reduction measures such as the development of carbon capture, usage
and storage technologies, and further diversification of the energy mix.
North America, comprised of Canada, the United States (US) and Mexico, is the second
strongest geographic region on the Index after Europe. Despite its strong performance, the
region faces two main challenges: securing supply of energy over the long term and
improving environmental sustainability.
North America is well endowed with fossil fuel resources, including oil, natural gas, and
coal, and hydropower potential. Due to the regions natural resource endowment, energy
security concerns are of a different nature than those of regions with limited energy
resources. These include the need to diversify energy sources to increase energy security
and the urgency of managing demand and increasing energy efficiency.
Reducing the carbon footprint, and mitigating the impacts of increasing GHG emissions, is
especially important for North America due to emerging risks, including more extreme
weather events. In 2012, North America accounted for 14% of total global GHG
emissions,40 which are expected to peak by 2030 and then fall back down to 2010 levels or
even lower.
40
World Resources Institute (WRI), 2014: CAIT 2.0 WRIs Climate Data Explorer
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Some progress has already been made in diversifying energy sources and decarbonizing
electricity generation with greater shares of natural gas and renewables. The US has set
2020 emission targets as aggressive as those of several of the top 10 countries in the Index
and has already made progress towards meeting these goals, driven by a reduction in coal-
fired power generation and improvements in transport efficiency. In Canada, the Federal
government is expected to publish a GHG reduction plan in autumn 2016 that may feature
standardised and expanded emission disclosure requirements for the private sector. This
plan will set a national price on carbon emissions. In addition, the four provinces that
include 80% of the Canadian population have already established or are in the process of
introducing a carbon price, which is typically either a tax or a cap-and-trade programme.
Based on these experiences, Canadian officials believe that a carbon price is the most
effective way to reduce emissions while simultaneously fostering necessary innovation, and
this approach will be even more impactful if taken more uniformly.41 While this path may
work in Canada, certain national characteristics suggest that this will not be the case in the
US. Most significantly, resistance by the US Congress and general regulatory uncertainty
could stall, or permanently prevent the introduction of a national carbon price.
Looking forward, both the Modern Jazz and Unfinished Symphony scenarios project
substantial decreases in North American CO2 emissions by 2060, of approximately 55%
and 75% respectively. However, if North America underinvests in energy systems and fails
to collaborate with other countries, the Hard Rock scenario may unfold (31% decrease in
CO2 emissions by 2060).
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Along with these challenges come potential opportunities for the region; in particular, a
concerted effort to develop carbon capture, utilisation and storage (CCUS) technologies.
This technology would allow the mitigation of GHG emissions from large-scale fossil-fuel
usage in power generation, from fuel transformation, and also from industry. As all three
North American economies rely heavily on energy production for energy exports and
certain industries, the use of CCUS technologies, coupled with a focus on energy efficiency
improvements, will likely prove effective in reducing GHG emissions from the energy sector.
41
Bloomberg, 2016: Canada to Introduce National Carbon Price in 2016, Minister Says
37
WORLD ENERGY COUNCIL | ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX
A breakthrough in this area would enable the long-term utilisation of fossil fuels, thereby
significantly improving these countries trilemma performance.
Ageing infrastructure and resulting uncertainties with regards to the reliability of energy
supply is a major concern for the US particularly. In this country, 51% of electricity
generating capacity was built before 1980 and 74% of coal-fired plants are to come off-line
in approximately 10 years.42 Infrastructure is susceptible to damage caused by extreme
weather events such as hurricanes, droughts, blizzards, and flooding, resulting in longer-
lasting, more frequent failures and power interruptions, which makes investments in
existing infrastructure and renewables alike especially important. Rising temperatures put a
strain on the national water system, in turn threatening conventional power generation,
which requires large volumes of water to operate. In addition, the large number of coal-fired
power plants that are due to come off-line in the next decade further emphasises the
importance of investments in new generation capacity and energy demand management
requirements. The country's changing energy landscape as it moves from importer to
exporter intensifies the need to address threats to national energy security. To secure US
energy supply going forward, the US will have to invest to replace its energy infrastructure,
diversify its energy mix and reduce its energy consumption.
For its part, Mexico will likely experience both environmental sustainability and energy
security improvements over the next 5-10 years, stemming from 20132014 constitutional
reforms to increase energy sector electricity capacity. However, the country remains tasked
with simultaneously managing the transition from a monopolistic structure to a competitive
market scheme (following the 2014 allowance of full private sector participation in its energy
markets) and from a high-carbon to a low-carbon economy.
According to the 2016 World Energy Scenarios, the regions reliance on fossil fuels is
projected to continue through 2060 but to a lesser extent, with fossil fuels making up
51% of primary energy by 2060.43 As shown in Figure 21, this trend is also reflected in the
regions overall diversity of primary energy supply. The US, for example, is placing a strong
focus on renewables-based generation: by 2060, renewables produced in the US are
expected to account for 1736% of the countrys total primary energy supply.44 Mexico still
42
World Energy Council, 2016: World Energy Trilemma
43
World Energy Council, 2016: World Energy Scenarios
44
ibid. The 17% refers to the Hard Rock Scenario while the 36% refers to the Unfinished
Symphony Scenario.
38
B E N C H M AR K I N G T H E S U S T AI N A B I L I T Y O F N AT I O N AL E N E R G Y S Y S T E M S
obtains 82% of its electricity from burning fossil fuels, while Canada uses nuclear,
hydropower and other renewables to meet 80% of its needs.45
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45
EIA, 2013: International energy statistics
39
WORLD ENERGY COUNCIL | ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
Sub-Saharan Africa is challenged by the worlds lowest levels of energy access and
commercial energy use, despite a rich endowment in resources and high renewables
potential. Stable and widely accessible energy supply could act as a catalyst for
regional economic development. To unlock the regions resource potential and meet
future energy demand the region must attract investment, build institutional capacity
and improve its on-grid and off-grid energy supply.
Although the region is well endowed with natural resources, including fossil fuels,
hydropower and renewables, most Sub-Saharan African countries perform poorly on all
three dimensions of the energy trilemma. The region is home to 16% of the global
population,46 but at less than 700 kilograms of petrol equivalent per capita, compared to a
North American average of 7,844 kg, it uses the lowest amount of commercial energy in the
world.47 Globally, Sub-Saharan Africa is the most electricity poor region in terms of both the
total number of people served and the low percentage of its overall population with access
to modern energy services.48 Overall, the region performed poorly in the 2016 Trilemma
Index, with a C in energy security, a D in energy equity, and a C in environmental
sustainability.
Stable energy supply could act as a catalyst for regional economic development. Currently,
the region accounts for just 2.5% of the worlds total economic activity.49 However,
depending on its development path, Sub-Saharan Africa could contribute up to 11.9% of
the worlds total economic activity by 2060.50 However, most countries in the region depend
46
Discourse Media: Power Struggle, 2016: Sub-Saharan Africa access to energy research brief
47
ibid.
48
International Energy Agency, 2016: World Energy Outlook
49
ibid.
50
World Energy Council, 2016: World Energy Scenarios
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on imports for more than 65% of their energy needs and as a result, the region spends
more on oil imports (US$18bn) than it obtains in international aid ($15.6bn).51
Improving energy equity in the region (i.e., access to, quality and affordability of energy
supply) will be challenging. For example, 50% of the Sub-Saharan African population lives
in scattered rural and predominantly agrarian communities. Connecting these communities
to the main grid would require immense infrastructure investments. An estimated US$11bn
per annum must be invested to achieve 100% electricity access by 2030.52 However,
historically, annual investment levels have been about $2bn.53
Off-grid technologies represent the most feasible solution to electrify rural areas, and pay-
as-you-go models provide several advantages to customers with low or variable incomes.54
Several Sub-Saharan African countries have already experienced success with this
approach. M-KOPA Solar, which operates in Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania, and Off Grid
Electric, in Tanzania and Rwanda, offer packages of small appliances, such as LED lights,
a mobile phone charger and a radio, all of which are powered by a solar panel and a
battery. Rather than paying for the electricity itself or purchasing more expensive kerosene
to fuel older appliances, customers pay for the power equipment and new appliances in
small instalments using mobile phone payment processing.55
At the same time, a number of large-scale renewable projects are in progress. These
include Africas first privately funded and developed geothermal plant, which will be built in
Kenya; a 155 MW photovoltaic (PV) power plant, which is expected to increase Ghanas
power capacity by 6% when it comes online in late 2016; the Congos 40,000 MW Grand
Inga Dam; and Ethiopias 120 MW Ashegoda wind farm.56
Moreover, a number of untapped oil and gas reserves have been discovered in Cameroon,
Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, the Congo (DR), Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda, and could be
exploited in the future. However, the process of converting these resources into energy for
domestic populations may be challenging and effects will be limited to urban and peri-urban
areas. For instance, in Nigeria, only 56% of the population has gained access to secure
electricity despite the fact that the country holds the continents largest known natural gas
reserves.57 This fact suggests that financing, institutional capacity and infrastructure deficits
pose the greatest barriers to full access, rather than supply.
51
EIA, 2013: International energy statistics
52
Discourse Media: Power Struggle, 2016: Sub-Saharan Africa access to energy research brief
53
ibid.
54
World Energy Council, 2016: World Energy Trilemma 2016: Defining measures to accelerate
the energy transition
55
ibid.
56
Banks J: Key Sub-Saharan Energy Trends and their Importance for the US (Africa Growth
Initiative at Brookings)
57
ibid.
41
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Managing energy demand is also a challenge for countries as they develop economically.
South Africa, as one of the most developed countries in the region, still struggles with an
unreliable supply of electricity, low capacity margins and the challenge of meeting growing
energy demand. In response to insufficient electricity capacity during peak hours, South
Africas major power utility has devised various strategies to engage the public in voluntary
demand reduction. The principal approach has been rotational load shedding to avoid
national blackouts. Ghana has also implemented an efficiency programme to promote
energy savings and with that security of supply. The Ghanaian programme is focused on
household refrigerators, and involves minimum energy efficiency standards, consumer
education, as well as outreach and rebate efforts.
Regional energy security in the long term is currently hard to predict. Projections suggest
the region will manage the growth in energy demand, and the diversity of energy supply is
predicted to improve. The regions import dependence is also expected to increase to a
maximum of 12% by 2060.
Although the Sub-Saharan African region registers low emissions from the energy sector
and relatively strong environmental sustainability, this trend is projected to change. Current
environmental sustainability scores are a reflection of low energy consumption levels and
lower social and economic development. However, economic growth is projected to
increase significantly and energy demand in the region is predicted to more than double
by 2050.
42
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These developments are currently projected to increase CO2 levels. According to the 2016
World Energy Scenarios, CO2 emissions are expected to increase between 104% and
258% by 2060. At the same time, both CO2 intensity and energy intensity are expected to
decrease between 5992% and 6690% respectively by 2060 (see Figure 24).
Modern Jazz Unfinished Symphony Hard Rock Modern Jazz Unfinished Symphony Hard Rock
43
TITLE OF DOCUMENT
C
Cooun
ntrry
pro
ofiles
s
B E N C H M AR K I N G T H E S U S T AI N A B I L I T Y O F N AT I O N AL E N E R G Y S Y S T E M S
COUNTRY PROFILES
Country profiles provide the Index rankings overall and per dimension for each of the World
Energy Council's member countries represented in the 2016 Trilemma Index as well as
their balance score. The trilemma graph on each country profile illustrates the balance
score, which highlights the trade-offs between the three competing dimensions: energy
security, energy equity, and environmental sustainability. The table on the right hand side
shows the Index rankings from three consecutive years broken down by dimension and
trends in performance over the years. Furthermore, the country profile provides an
indication of trends and future developments, an overview of the countrys energy
endowment, contributions of energy sources to total primary energy supply and electricity
generation as well as relevant key metrics to provide more context.
Interactive country profiles and associated data can also be viewed on the Index web tool,
which has been developed by the World Energy Council, in partnership with global
management consultancy Oliver Wyman and the Global Risk Centre of its parent Marsh &
McLennan Companies.
45
CO
OUNTRY
Y PROF
FILE GU IDE
W O R L D E N E R G Y C O U N C I L | E N E R G Y T R I L E M M A I N D E X Index rankk for each
energy trile
emma
The cou untrys balance
e on energy dimension and
performance is displa ayed by the ora
ange contextual
triangle. The best posssible energy performance for
balance score is indiccated by the da
ark 2014, 2015 5, 2016
blue tria
angle border (m
most outer border)
Overall 2016
Index ra
ank
Trend informationn for
eac
ch energy trilem
mma Oveerall 2016
dimension and bala
ance score.
mance
contextual perform The first letter
over the three-year refers to energy
periiod secuurity, the
Overall 2016 secoond to
e score
balance energy equity
and third to
enviironmental
susttainability
O
Overview of current Index
ra
anking and commentary on
re
ecent trends and
a outlook
or a countrys energy
fo
peerformance
Industrial secto
or (% GDP) % of total GDP th
hat is in the indus
strial sector (CIA
A World Fact Book, 2014)
Diversity of intternational Indicates to whatt extent the counttry is dependent on energy tradin ng partners.
energy supplie ers D
Diversity of intern
national energy suppliers
s calculatted through the
H
HerfindahlHirsc hman Index ( HH HI), (UNCTAD, 20 014)
Rate of transm mission and The ratio between the quantity of energy lost durin
T ng transport and distribution and
distribution los
sses (%) e
electricity consum
mption. Indicates efficiency of infrrastructure (Enerrdata and
W
World Energy Co ouncil, 2014)
GHG emission
n growth rate Greenhouse gas emission growth
G h rate from the en
nergy sector betw
ween 2000 and
20002012 (%
%) 2
2012, (WRI/CAIT
T, 2012)
46
A
ALGERIA
A
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
8
58 58 66 CBC
balance scoore
66 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 88
8 88 88 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Policyymakers should
d continue to foccus on: 1) increa ortion of renewable energy in ellectricity genera
asing the propo ation;
2) the
e development of
o energy efficieency because th here is great pottential for impro
ovement; 3) the development off a
renewwable energy in
ndustry that is ec
conomically susstainable; and 4)
4 the developme ent and supportt of research an
nd
development (R&D) and training to increase the tra ansfer of knowle
edge and techno ology.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 45.7 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 14,687 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 99 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 18.4
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 5,397 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
AR
RGENTI NA
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
1
61 61 58 BBB
balance scoore
58 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 57
7 51 48 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
If the current energyy policy of low prrices for produccers and high su ubsidies to consumers continuees, there is little
chance to reverse th he decline in prooduction. Oil prooduction decline ed by 30% sincee 1998, while naatural gas produ uction
declinned by 8% since e 2006. As a coonsequence, Arg gentina, previou gy exporter in 20006 with a surplus of
usly a net energ
US$6 6bn, became a net
n energy impo orter in 2011 witth a deficit of USS$3bn.
The ooil company YPF, nationalised in 2012 (by exp propriation of Reepsol shares in Argentinas bigggest oil companny), is
struggling to attract new
n investors, which
w are necesssary to exploit the large reserv
ves of unconvenntional oil and natural
n
n Argentina and
gas in d government programmes to in ncentivise invesstment have so far not been su ccessful.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 28.8 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) N.A.
N (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 88 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 14.9
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 610 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
A
ARMENI A
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
7
57 60 69 CBC
balance scoore
69 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 58
8 63 84 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
The AArmenian Publicc Services Regu ulatory Committtee has introduc ced a new, more e sophisticated set of tariffs efffective
as off 1 August 2016, following an unsuccessful tariiff scheme that was w initiated in 2015. The new tariffs aim to he elp the
nerate the financ
national utility to gen ces needed to gguarantee the security of supply y. Going forward
rd, policy makerrs will
have to monitor the newn tariffs influ
uence on the afffordability of ene
ergy to avoid addverse impacts oon the energy equity
e
dimension of the ene ergy trilemma, which
w is currentlly the strongest of the three dim
mensions.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 28.6 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 8,394 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 51
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 14.6
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 15 Mtoe
M Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
A
AUSTRIA
A
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
8 11 10 AAA
balance scoore
10 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 20
0 26 20 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Policyy developmentss in Austria are in line with the E EUs climate annd energy goals for 2020 (the 200-20-20 targets s). The
counttrys Sustainability Strategy listts 20 goals to: in
ncrease quality of life overall; strengthen econoomic growth; su
upport
susta
ainable goods and services; and optimise the ttransport system m.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 28.0 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 47,824 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.26 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 5.0
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 15 Mtoe
M Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
B
BAHRAI N
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
9
39 53 59 CAD
balance scoore
59 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 48
8 86 80 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
The eestablishment of
o the Sustainab
ble Energy Unit is designed to make a significant contributionn to energy
conseervation and moore concrete commitment to thee utilisation of re
enewable energgy. This unit is ccurrently working to
develop Bahrains National
N Energy Efficiency Actio
on Plan (NEEAP P) and to develo
op a National Reenewable Energ gy
on Plan (NREAP
Actio P).
The uunit is tasked wiith the preparation of proposalss for energy efficiency levels, la abelling requirem ments for appliaances
and pproposals for the e feed-in tariff (FIT) and financiial support for re
enewable energ gy initiatives. Thhe Units tasks have
h
progrressed very well during the pas st 18 months (Ja anuary 2015tim me of writing, 20
016), and its rolee and responsib bility is
being
g elevated to the e highest authority in the decisiion making proc cess in the Gove ernment of Bah rain. It is hoped d that
the policy plans whicch are being fina alised at this mo
oment, are foste ered and implemmented by the G Government at alla
levelss. Part of the pllan is the so-called KEEP Kin ngdom of Bahra ain Energy Effic
ciency Plan whicch is being
developed in collabo oration with the World Bank to ttackle energy in nefficiencies (primarily electricaal energy).
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 50.7 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 46,946 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 94 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.01 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 5.2
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 170 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
B
BELGIUM
M
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
0
20 20 23 BAB
balance scoore
23 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 22
2 24 38 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Low a average wholessale prices in noorth-west Europ e, a pushback ofo thermal generation due to thee injection of low w
marg ginal cost renew
wables, a continu uing low level off demand, low global
g coal price
es and low pricees for CO2 certificates
in the
e EU Emissionss Trading System m (EU ETS), an nd the technical issues on two major
m nuclear poower plants, all
impact negatively onn the economic profitability of thhe Belgian electtricity market. Too tackle these isssues, the
government is alloca ating strategic re
eserves and posssibly capacity remuneration mechanisms.
m
VAT on energy bills of final consumers was raised back to 21% (after being lowerred by previous governments to o
14%,, partly to keep inflation
i low and h levies for renewable support). The very fast ggrowth of solar PV
d mask the high P
and w
wind in the Belggian system will have to be paid
d for by high-endd consumer electricity prices. T
These choices will
w
contin
nue to weigh onn Belgian electriicity prices.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 22.1 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 43,992 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.27 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 4.6
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
B
BOLIVIA
A
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
00
10 98 1100 CCD
balance scoore
100 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 69
9 65 73 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Bolivia exports naturral gas to Brazil and Argentina and it has the fiifth largest proven natural gas rreserves in Sou
uth
Amerrica. Proven oil reserves are relatively small, a
and the country has become a net n oil importer aas production fa
ails to
keep pace with conssumption. There e is good potenttial for renewable energy, especially from by-prroducts of suga ar cane
and wwood industries, and hydroelec ctric which has n
not yet been fully exploited.
Rece
ent developments focus on the oil and gas sect ctor, aiming to re
eplenish oil rese
erves and mainta
tain natural gas
exports to Brazil and
d Argentina, thro
ough an Investm ment Act, compllemented by a LawL of Incentivees for the oil sec
ctor, a
new h
hydrocarbons la aw and a law on n prior consultattion.
n of an attractiv
Key issues for policyymakers to focus on: 1) creation ve, enabling envvironment for invvestment to flow
w into
transport of hydrocarbons in both th
he internal netwoork and future export
e markets; 2) continuous aassessment of
oration and prod
explo duction potential of domestic naatural gas resouurces; 3) engage ement with the ggeneral public in
orderr to increase public acceptance
e, shorten the tim
me of pre-consu ultation with indigenous peopless and allow for a
speedier approval off contracts; and 4) further deve
elopment of rene ewables, including hydropower. r.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 36.8 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 6,881 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 80 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 94
9 | 27
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.09 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 9.6
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 22 Mtoe
M Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
BO
OTSWAN
NA
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
6
96 96 94 DCC
balance scoore
94 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 10
07 106 105 D
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Botsw wana improves 2 places, to ran nk 94. It receive s relatively low scores across the
t board, with eenergy security being
particcularly weak, resulting in a bala
ance score of DC CC.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 39.2 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 15,8
807 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 43 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 90
9 | 38
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.07 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 6.9
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
BRAZIL
L
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
4
54 55 57 CBB
balance scoore
57 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 85
5 73 68 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Braziil drops 2 placess, from rank 55 in 2015 to rankk 57 in 2016. The countrys energy policy is ballanced overall, with
w
gy security being the countrys weakest trilemm
energ ma dimension, resulting
r in a ba
alance score of CCBB.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 23.4 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 15,3
359 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 99 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 64
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.11 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 15.1
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 6,913 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
BU
ULGAR IA
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
6
56 49 48 CBB
balance scoore
48 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 59
9 52 67 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Bulga
aria improves byy 1 rank in this years
y Index, to 48. The countrrys energy polic
cy is balanced, w
with energy equ
uity
and e
environmental sustainability
s being Bulgarias sstrongest trilemm
ma dimensions, resulting in a ba
balance score off CBB.
In the
e spring of 2015 5 the Bulgarian Parliament ame ended the existing Energy Act to: t increase the political
indeppendence of the e national regula
atory commissioon; financially sttabilise the electtricity sector; im
mprove market
transparency; promo ote trans-borderr trade; and enh
hance end-user rights. The new w legal frameworrk was expected d to
improove the sustaina able use of rene
ewable energy ssources, markett liberalisation and social equityy during the period
prior to full liberalisation of the mark
ket. The amendm ments have not yet resulted in the expected im mprovements.
Key issues policyma akers need to focus on are: 1) im mproved energy y security through stimulation oof investments in
ble energy infrasstructure, furthe
reliab er diversifying so
ources and routtes of energy su upply, and optimmising the use of
indige
enous energy re esources; 2) inccreased energy efficiency; 3) prrompt actions fo ocused on finanncial stabilisation
n of
the energy sector; 4)) increased social protection; 5 5) pursuing the ambitious
a targetts of giving 30%
% of households
accesss to natural ga
as by 2020 as se et out in the natiional energy strrategy; and 6) reespect for the ruule of law.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 27.2 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 17,5
512 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) N.A.. | N.A.
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.12 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 12.0
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 1,657 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
CA
AMEROO
ON
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
03
10 105 1105 BDB
balance scoore
105 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 29
9 33 43 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Came eroon maintainss its position at rank 105. The ccountrys trilemm
ma performancee is imbalanced,, with the energ
gy
equityy dimension lag
gging behind the e other two, resu
ulting in a balan
nce score of BDB.
Came eroons Energy Sector Develop pment Plan aim s to achieve a 75%
7 electrification rate by 20300. These plans are
a
supported by the Caameroon Clean Development M Mechanism proje ect to convert biogas into electrricity. Cameroonn has
additionally impleme
ented policies su
uch as the enerrgy emergence initiative, which h is due to be coompleted in 203
35.
Movinng away from over-reliance
o on hydropower an nd diversifying th
he energy mix will
w assist in reduucing energy su upply
interm
mittency.
Howe ever, the govern nment will need to ensure signiificant investment takes place. It is planned thaat Cameroon wiill use
fossill fuels in the sho
ort term to creatte and speed ecconomic growth, and re-invest the
t financial gaiin from growth into
i
the development of clean
c energy suupplies and greaater mix. Camerroon has experienced a slow buut steady increaase in
GDP and economic growth in the la ast five years an
nd figures provid
de positive signs
s for the investm
ment needed to
eve energy eme
achie ergence.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 30.1 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 3,12
23 (IV)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 54 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 41 | 5
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 14.4
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 147 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
C
CANADA
A
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
5
15 18 22 AAC
balance scoore
22 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 4 4 5 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Manyy world-leading efforts in carbon policy have beeen implemente ed by Canadas provincial goveernments, which h have
the primary authorityy over energy an
nd environmenttal matters. Examples include the elimination oof coal-fired pow wer
from the generation mix of Canadas largest provin nce, regulations to eliminate coa
al-fired power by both the federal
and pprovincial goverrnments, and inv
vestments in addvanced technology such as the e worlds first fuully integrated project
to capture, use and permanently
p ore CO2 from a coal-fired powe
sto er plant. Further, transformationns towards green
electrricity generation
n are now underrway in several provinces. Theese developmen nts should suppo port the continuinng
improovement in Canadas future ran nkings.
Three e key issues of current focus are: 1) managing g the environmeental/climate imp
pacts of energy end-use applications
(58%% of total emissioons come from transport, buildiings, industry, and
a electricity) and
a also from oi l and gas
development (25% of o total emissionns); 2) a more innclusive and commprehensive review process foor energy
infrasstructure projectts to access new
w export marketts, taking accou unt of the many diverse interestts involved; and
d, 3)
ensuring wider enga agement and the e sharing of ben nefits from resou
urce developme ent projects, moost notably with
Cana adas aboriginal population on whose
w traditiona
al lands most major
m energy projects will be loccated.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 28.6 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 44,310 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.17 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 9.7
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 34,086 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
CHAD
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
20
12 119 1119 CDB
balance scoore
119 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 89
9 91 93 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
The ccountry is highlyy dependent on oil imports from m Nigeria, Came eroon and otherr neighbouring ccountries. STEE E, the
utilityy responsible forr electricity prod
duction and distrribution, does not have the cap pacity to meet thhe countrys eve
er-
growing electric energy demand. Th herefore, the co untry is in the process
p of implementing a natioonal energy policy,
with cconsiderations given
g to renewa able energy duee to its great solaar potential.
The S
Sustainable Ene ergy Fund for Africa (SEFA) haas approved in 2015
2 a US$780,,000 preparationn grant for the
development of a firsst phase 40 MW
W of Starsol solaar PV plant nearr NDjamena in Chad as the firsst Independent Power
Produ
ucer (IPP) scheeme to be conne ected to the natiional grid.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 15.1 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 2,17
71 (IV)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 4 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 27 | 6
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 12.2
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 216 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
CHILE
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
5
35 35 38 BBB
balance scoore
38 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 42
2 42 44 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Chile
e drops 3 placess, from rank 35 in
i 2015 to rank 38 in 2016. The
e country performs well across all trilemma
dimensions, with a balance
b score off BBB.
Chilee currently imporrts 60% of its tootal primary ene rgy, exposing itt to international commodity pricce volatility as well
w
politiccal and market related risks. Th he greatest cha llenges are perc ceived to be: seecuring fuel suppply; developing local
resou urces, in particuular renewables;; developing a rregulatory frameework for the ga as sector; promooting energy
efficieency; reducing biomass
b cookin
ng and heating; promoting regio onal integration through gas andd electricity
intercconnectors; advvancing e-mobiliity and smart citties; and accoun nting for additional capacity dellivered by upcoming
tende ers for electricityy production.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 35.1 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 22,3
316 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 53
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.09 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 7.0
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 54 Mtoe
M Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
CHINA
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
7
87 87 87 BBD
balance scoore
87 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 83
3 70 62 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
China
a maintains its position
p at rank 87. The countryy performs well in the energy security and eneergy equity
dimensions, with its environmental sustainability
s sccore remaining relatively
r esulting in a balaance score of BBD.
low, re B
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 42.7 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 14,239 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 70
7 | 19
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.08 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 6.2
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 85,36
63 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
CO
OLOMB IA
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
7
47 43 41 BBA
balance scoore
41 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 46
6 35 36 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Colommbia improves by
b 2 places in th
his years Indexx, to rank 41. Th
he country performs well acrosss all trilemma
dimensions, with envvironmental sus
stainability, whe re it ranks 10th globally, being a particular streength. This resu
ults in
a balance score of BBA.
B
Main areas policyma akers are focusing on are: 1) en nsuring the conttinued developm
ment of the miniing and energy sector
as onne of the main drivers
d of economic growth and d social development; 2) promoting energy efficciency on energ gy
dema and and supply side, and conso olidating a cultu
ure for sustainab
ble use of natura
al resources; 3)) strengthening the
t
particcipation of differrent stakeholderrs in the developpment phases ofo the industry; 4)
4 increasing exxploration of nattural
gas; 5) developing and a implementin ng efficient masss transport systeems; 6) ensuring the expansionn of electricity
generation capacity; and 7) strength hening guarante ees and investm ment opportunitie
es in the country
ry, and boostingg
invesstment in sciencce and technolog gy in the energyy sector.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 36.0 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 13,801 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 97 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 49
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.14 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 12.3
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 5,178 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
CONGO
O (DEM OCRAT IC REP UBLIC)
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
115 116 1117 DDC
balance scoore
117 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 95
5 94 98 D
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 33.2 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 78
83 (IV)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 15 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 14 | 5
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) N.A.
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 24 Mtoe
M Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
CT
TE DIVO
OIRE
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
05
10 104 1101 ADC
balance scoore
101 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 18
8 19 30 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Cte dIvoire improves by 3 places, from rank 104 iin 2015 to rank 101 in 2016. Th
he country has a strong perform mance
in energy security, but energy equity
y remains its we
eakest trilemmaa dimension, res
sulting in a balannce score of AD
DC.
Cte dIvoire has a laarge renewable e countrys ability to develop annd implement energy
e energy potenti al. However, the
policiies to develop th
hese energy sources has been n hampered by internal conflict. Combined withh a lack of inves
stment
w energy access and a poorly diversified
in energy and infrasttructure, this has resulted in low d energgy mix.
Altho
ough there is exttensive grid sup pply, the prohibittive cost of acce
essing the grid presents a barririer to access the
electrricity. As a result, there is a larg
ge disparity betw
ween the numb ber of people whho live in a grid-cconnected locality
and tthe households that are actually y connected.
The g government agrreed in 2012 on an energy secttor plan that prio oritises investment in fossil-fuellled power gene
eration
and ttransport infrastructure, and commits the counttry to achieving a 15% share of renewables in final energy
consu umption by 2020. While there area some effortss to increase the e use of renewa ables (such as re
reduced taxes fo
or the
use oof solar), policies to reduce the cost and furthe er promote the deployment
d of re
enewables are rrequired to achieve
arget, and with that an improve
this ta ement in its trilem
mma ranking an nd balance.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 21.1 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 3,49
96 (IV)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 59 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 35 | 5
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 20.7
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 14 Mtoe
M Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
C
CROATIA
A
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
1
31 29 29 BBA
balance scoore
29 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 47
7 43 41 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Croattia maintains itss position at rank 29. The counttrys trilemma performance is well
w balanced, w
with environmental
ainability receiving a particularly
susta y high score, ressulting in a lette
er grade of BBA.
In 2013 the governm ment adopted a National Action Plan (NAP), rev vising the 2020 target for renewwable energy soources
(RES S) in line with ma
arket changes and
a the decline in energy consu umption. Already in 2012 the shhare of RES in gross
final cconsumption am mounted to 16.88%. The countryy is seeking to in ntroduce more flexible
f and diveersified sources of
gas bby developing sttrategic gas infrrastructure to en
nsure stability off supply. Among
g the most notaable projects aree the
Ionian Adriatic Pipeliine (IAP) and th
he LNG terminall on Krk island.
Furth
hermore, attentio
on has increasin
ngly shifted tow oying highly efficcient central he
wards energy effficiency by deplo eating
syste
ems and therma al energy genera
ation in cogenerration plants.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 28.8 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 21,8
880 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 82
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.18 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 11.2
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 28 Mtoe
M Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
C
CYPRUS
S
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
6
76 64 60 DBB
balance scoore
60 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 115 116 112 D
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
The mmajor energy isssue in Cyprus is e natural gas offfshore field in the Cyprus Excluusive Economic Zone
s to develop the
(EEZ an preparations for the development and produuction stage, following
Z). The Aphrodite project, the firrst runner, bega
the announcement of o its commercia ality in 2015. Th e block is estim
mated to contain over 125 billionn cubic metres of
o gas.
Explooration of four other
o blocks is being conducted d by ENI/KOGAS S and Total.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 10.6 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 30,7
734 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) N.A.. | N.A.
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.31 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 4.5
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 121 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
CZEC
CH REPU
UBLIC
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
3
23 21 19 AAB
balance scoore
19 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 17
7 14 14 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
The C Czech Republicc improves by 2 places, to rank 19. The country ys trilemma performance is weell balanced, witth a
particcularly high score in energy equ nks 5th worldwide. This results
uity, where it ran s in a balance sccore of AAB.
In 2015 the Czech government issu ued several enerrgy policies: 1) the
t update of th he State Energyy Concept of the e
Czecch Republic (SEK); 2) the National Action Plan for Smart Grids s; 3) the Nationa
al Action Plan foor Energy Efficie
ency;
and 44) the National Plan
P on Nuclearr Energy Develo
opment.
The n national energy policy is based on: constructio on of new nuclea ar power genera ation units on thhe existing sites of
nucleear power plantss; gradual transition from mostlly extracted lignite deposits tow wards natural gaas and renewable
energ gy sources for electricity
e and heeat production, with domestic coal
c remaining a stable segmennt of the country ys
energ gy mix (decreassing from 45% to oday to less tha an 20% in the co
oming decades)); medium-term stabilising of
comb bined heat and power
p (CHP), provision of coal//fuels for centra
al heating; increa
asing efficiencyy in energy production
and m making considerable efficiencie es in use of all kkinds of energy; and reconstrucction and develoopment of netwo ork
infrasstructure (electrricity, gas) to ensure system inttegration of dece entralised produuction, operationnal reliability, as
s well
as anncillary and transit services.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 38.0 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 32,1
167 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.17 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 6.5
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 739 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
D ENMAR
RK
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
1 1 1 AAA
balance scoore
1 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 1 1 1 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
In Maarch 2012 a new w Energy Agree ement was reach hed in Denmark k. The Agreeme ent contains a wwide range of
ambittious initiatives. This should briing Denmark clooser to reaching
g the target of 100% renewablee energy in the energy
e
and ttransport sectorrs by 2050 by coommitting to largge investments up to 2020 in energy efficiencyy, renewable en nergy
and tthe overall energ gy system. Targgets to reach byy 2020 include approximately
a 50% of electricityy consumption
supplied by wind pow wer, and more than
t 35% of fina
al energy consuumption supplied d from renewabble energy sourc ces.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 22.5 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 46,635 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) N.A.. | N.A.
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.40 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 5.6
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 104 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
E CUADO
OR
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
1
51 50 50 BBC
balance scoore
50 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 51
1 49 50 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
For th
his purpose, the
e government iss currently develloping several projects,
p which include: 1) the cconstruction of eight
e
high--capacity hydroe
electric power plants; 2) projectts to promote th
he installation off renewable powwer plants; 3) the
change from gas-based cooking to efficient inductio on-based cooke er appliances; and 4) the constrruction of a largge oil
refine
ery.
The a
ambitious policie
es developed by the governmeent will ensure th
he sustainability
y of the Ecuadorrian energy sec
ctor by
prom
moting improvemment on each of the three energ
gy trilemma dime ensions.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 39.1 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 11,388 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 97 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 87
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 12.4
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 1,184
4 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
EGYPT
T
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
4
64 72 68 CBB
balance scoore
68 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 94
4 93 90 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
As th
he most populou us country in No
orth Africa, Egyp
pt is keen to imp
prove its energy y sustainability. TTherefore, enerrgy
has bbecome one of the t most importtant topics in reccent years. Due e to the political transition the coountry is going
throu
ugh, challenges related to energ gy security needd to be overcom me. These challe enges include aan insufficient
electrricity capacity to
o meet the demand and no rese erve capacities, low energy efficiency especiaally in the industrial
sectoor, and the slow progress of new w and renewab le energy projec cts due to the in
ncremental costt gap between fo ossil
fuel a
and renewable technologies.
t
Policyymakers are ad ddressing the following energy d developments: 1) expansion off new power cappacities at the le east
costlyy location; 2) divversification of power
p generatio
on by expanding g wind farms, annd introducing ssolar PV and so olar
thermmal generation to benefit from one o of the best ssolar belt locatio
ons in the world; 3) improvemeent of the energy y tariff
structture to encourage energy savin ng measures; 4)) encouragement of the private e sector to invesst in the develop
pment
of energy infrastructu ure including renewable energyy projects using g build, own, opeerate (BOO) schhemes; and
5) exxtension of the re egional intercon nnection power grid capacity beetween Egypt and Arab, Africa and Europe.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 39.9 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 10,891 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 13.1
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 2,040 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
E
ESTONIA
A
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
8
48 44 40 ABD
balance scoore
40 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 39
9 27 22 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Eston nia has successsfully improved its security of en nergy supply byy diversifying its energy importss through greate er
intercconnection with its Baltic neighbours and incre easing domestic c electricity production capacity to exceed dom mestic
dema and. However, the
t current low oil o prices put pre essure on Eston nian shale oil prroducers, and innvestments in new
produ uction capacity have been put on o hold, which m may result in a negative
n impactt on energy seccurity. Further seecurity
conce erns are presennted by the threa at of cyber-attaccks and the incrreasing number of extreme weaather events.
Mean nwhile, Estonia still struggles with
w environmenttal sustainability y. To remedy this, the governm ment is now
introdducing a markett premium mode el to support neww renewable en nergy projects, while
w existing prrojects will bene
efit
from the old feed-in tariffs until 20200.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 28.1 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 28,0
095 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 69
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.18 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 10.2
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
E
ETHIOPI A
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
21
12 120 1118 DDC
balance scoore
118 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 111 107 102 D
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Ethio
opia improves byy 2 places, fromm rank 120 in 20015 to rank 118 in 2016. While attaining
a low sccores on the who
ole,
envirronmental susta
ainability is the countrys
c stronge
est trilemma dim
mension, resulting in a balancee score of DDC.
Ethio
opias GDP grow wth of about 11%
% for the last eig e years and population growth aat an average ra
ght consecutive ate of
2.5%
% annually, both contributed to increased energ gy demand. Through the Growth and Transform mation Plan, Ethiopia
aims at becoming a middle-income country by 2025 5. The Climate--Resilient Green
n Economy (CR RGE) strategy focuses
nhancing develo
on en opment with min
nimum carbon e emission. The vision for the Eth
hiopian energy ssector is to ensu
ure
accesss to affordable dern energy for all citizens by 2025
e, clean and mod 2 come a renewabble energy hub in the
and to bec
Easteern Africa Regio
on.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 14.7 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 1,62
26 (IV)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 23 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 27 | 5
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.03 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 21.4
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 22 Mtoe
M Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
F
FINLAND
D
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
5 3 8 AAB
balance scoore
8 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 2 2 3 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Whilee a majority of th
he countrys connventional therm mal power gene eration is made up of highly efficcient combined heat
and ppower productio on, Finlands env
vironmental susstainability score e still needs to be
b improved. Too this effect, thee
government has rece ently stepped up its efforts in th
he renewables sector,
s making 80m
available to support biofu uel
and nnew energy tech hnology projectss. This is part off a long-term pla
an to completely y phase out eneergy production from
coal aand to halve oil imports by 2030. Imports of ha ard coal have already decrease ed in 2015, whicch could have a
positiive effect on the
e trilemmas eneergy security dim mension. Furtheer, the country has
h already mett its 38% 2020
renewwables target un nder the EUs Renewable
R Enerrgy Directive, with the countrys s domestic strattegy calling for a
furthe
er increase of thhe renewables share
s to 50% byy 2030.
Finnish policymakerss must now ens sure that these ppromising reform
ms are impleme
ented in an effecctive way.
If succcessful, the cou
untrys ranking is expected to im
mprove in future
e reports.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 26.5 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 40,601 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.20 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 3.0
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
F
FRANCE
E
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
0
10 9 6 AAA
balance scoore
6 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 24
4 21 16 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Receent energy policies include meaasures and targe ets to improve energy
e y, boost renewaable power and tackle
efficiency
clima
ate change. Thee government re ecently passed a new energy transition law with the aim to cutt Frances relian nce on
nucle
ear energy in favvour of renewab
bles. The legislaation includes th
he commitment to increase the target price of
carbo
on to 56 per to
on in 2020 and 100
per ton in 2
2030.The goverrnment has also o revised social tariffs for electrricity
and g
gas to counteracct the increase in energy pricess.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 19.4 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 39,678 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.23 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 7.6
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 19 Mtoe
M Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
G ERMAN
NY
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
4 5 5 AAA
balance scoore
5 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 6 6 7 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
The m
most recent poliicy developmen nt in Germany, in nitiated before 2010,
2 is the Gerrman Energy Trransition, targeting
susta
ainability and foccusing on a stro
ong increase in power generatio on from renewaable sources, a rreduction of primmary
energ
gy usage and CO C 2 emissions. The
T 2011 decisiion to phase out nuclear by 202 22 constitutes a challenge to
Germmanys energy mix.
m Eight out off 17 facilities we ere closed imme ediately, one was closed in 201 5, and the rema aining
eight nuclear power plants will be phased out gradu ually over the next seven yearss. Due to low whholesale prices and
regulatory uncertaintty, investors are
e reluctant to invvest in new conventional power plants, which w will still be need
ded to
securre energy dema and.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 30.3 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 47,268 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.40 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 3.7
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 28,355 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
GHANA
A
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
5
95 97 99 BDC
balance scoore
99 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 32
2 36 35 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
In ord
der to improve energy
e security, energy equity aand environmen ntal sustainabilitty Ghana needss to address a
numb ber of related ch
hallenges, such as: 1) the lack of a credible, su
ustained and foc cused energy po
policy; 2) the inability
to exe
ecute policies; 3)
3 governmenta al interference; a
and 4) ineffectivve regulatory authorities.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 27.7 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 4,20
01 (IV)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 61 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 28 | 5
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 23.6
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 109 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
G
GREECE
E
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
7
37 37 33 BBA
balance scoore
33 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 84
4 77 56 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
A new w remuneration policy framewo ork for renewablles allows feed--in tariffs (FITs) only for small P
PV systems, while
large installations paarticipate via com
mpetitive schemmes. This requirres healthy competition among electricity gene erators
and eencourages renewable energy investors to ste ep in without gen
nerous FITs. On nly 7 MW of new w PV was installed in
the first half of 2015.. To revive the stalled
s domesticc PV market, thee country has im mplemented a nnet-metering sch heme,
appliccable only to so
olar PV installations for self-con
nsumption (both rooftop and gro ound-mounted ssystems).
The G
Government is obstructing
o g control of the national electric
the liberalisation off the energy marrket, maintaining city
comppany the Public Power Corpooration (PPC), ow wner of the natiional transmission system operrator.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 15.8 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 26,6
680 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.24 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 6.9
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 2,109 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
HO
ONG KO NG
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
8
38 40 37 DAA
balance scoore
37 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 12
20 121 117 D
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
The eeconomy has sccarce indigenou us energy sourcces and about 25 5% of electricity
y is imported. Too secure clean and
a
reliab
ble electricity su
upply, Hong Konng signed a Mem morandum of Understanding (M MOU) on energyy cooperation with
w
mainland China in August
A 2008, guaaranteeing suppply of nuclear en
nergy and enha anced supply of natural gas. Th he
succeessful completio on and commisssioning of the H ong Kong Branch Line of the Second
S WestE East Natural Gas s
Pipeline has helped ensure a stable e and secure suupply of natural gas
g from the ma ainland for poweer generation. The
T
government has put in place a contingency plan forr oil in the event of disruption. A code of practiice has also bee en put
ace that requiress major oil comp
in pla ain a minimum of 30 days supply of gas oil annd naphtha.
panies to mainta
In the
e 1990s, natural gas for electric was introduced for diversity of supply.
city generation w s Moreoveer, with the
introd
duction of LPG vehicles
v aroundd the year 2000,, LPG has beenn used as a fuel for more than 220,000 taxis and
d
light b
buses.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 7.3 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 56,719 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) N.A.. | N.A.
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 11.6
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
IC
CELAND
D
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
3
13 12 15 BAA
balance scoore
15 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 54
4 54 57 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Acco
ording to the Nattional Renewable Energy Actio on Plan for 2020
0 (NREAP), elec ctricity generatioon from geotherrmal
poweer plants is expe
ected to increase by 12% from 5.24 TWh in 20 014 to 5.8 TWh in 2020, which ccorresponds to about
80 MW installed elecctrical capacity. Recently, the p
possibility emerg
ged of exporting
g electricity viaa HVDC subma arine
es to mainland
cable d Europe.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 23.6 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 46,547 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 2.1
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
INDIA
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
0
90 92 91 BCC
balance scoore
91 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 50
0 60 51 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
India improves by 1 place in the 20116 Index to rankk 91. The country receives a ba
alance score of B for energy seecurity
and rreceives lower scores
s in the energy equity andd environmental sustainability dimensions, resuulting in an overrall
balannce score of BC
CC.
India's Intended Nationally Determinned Contributionns (INDCs) include; reduction of o emission inteensity of GDP by y
33335 % by 2030 froom 2005 levels; about 40% cum mulative electricc power installedd capacity from non-fossil fuel based
energgy resources byy 2030, with the help of technol ogy transfer andd low-cost international financee from the Green
Climaate Fund (GCF)); creation of additional carbon sink of 2.5-3 billlion tonnes of CO
C 2e through addditional forest cover
c
by 20030.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 30.1 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 6,089 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 75 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 77
7 | 14
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.08 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 19.7
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 44,26
62 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
IRA
AN (ISL AMIC REPUBL
R IC)
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
9
79 80 78 BBD
balance scoore
78 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 75
5 81 58 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Furth
her, Iran has ma
anaged to attracct significant fore
eign investmentt and more efficient technologiees for energy
generation and transsformation are now
n being empl oyed. This inclu
udes a contract with Turkey to bbuild 5,000 MW W of
advanced combined-cycle power plants with aboutt 60% efficiency y, to be complete ed within the neext three years.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 38.2 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 17,3
366 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 98 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 13.7
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 21,433 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
IRAQ
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
8
68 69 74 BBD
balance scoore
74 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 68
8 59 64 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
The lraqi energy secctor is still completely owned byy the public secttor. The energy sector is nearlyy totally dependent on
oil an
nd gas revenuess for electricity generation,
g tran sportation and distribution.
d Thee sector is still faacing the challe
enge
of the
e highly expensive and destruc ctive war againstt lSlS terrorists, and also the ve
ery low oil priceses, and hence ve ery
limite
ed government revenues.
r Moreover, the contin w the Kurdistan Regional Govvernment (KRG)
nued disputes with
rendeer oil/gas production and exporrt and hence an nual federal rev venues are not clearly
c defined.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 63.8 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 14,8
895 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 98 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 91
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 26.7
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 22,014 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
I RELAND
D
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
7
17 19 20 CAA
balance scoore
20 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 70
0 75 77 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Irelan
nd ranks 20th in n this years Inde
ex. The countryy performs well regarding
r energgy equity and ennvironmental
sustaainability, placing 7th globally in
n the latter. Thiss results in a ballance score of CAA.
C
In 2014, Ireland impo orted 85% of itss energy needs. At the same tim me, total primary
y energy use in Ireland fell by 0.5%
0
in 2014. Fossil fuels accounted for 90% 9 of all energ
gy used in Irelan
nd with oil rema
aining as the dom minant fuel source
(47%%), followed by gas
g (28%), coal (9%), renewablle energy (8%) and a peat (6%), with the balance ce (2%) comprising
electrricity imports an
nd energy from waste.
w Ireland h
has set one of th
he worlds mostt ambitious reneewable energy
targe
ets: to produce 40%
4 of its electrricity from renew wable energy by y 2020, with the majority of thiss expected to co
ome
from wind-powered generation.
g
A full review of Irish national energyy policy was und dertaken and the outcome is se et out in the Deccember 2015 White
W
Papeer; Irelands Traansition to a Low
w Carbon Energ gy Future. It env
visages a reduction of 8095% % in energy-related
emisssions by 2050. TheT White Pape er identifies the non-traded sec ctor as the prima
ary focus of govvernment policy,
whichh would involve decarbonising the heat and tra ansport sectors..
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 25.6 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 54,654 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.34 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 7.6
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 8 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
ISRAEL
L
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
0
30 34 34 CAA
balance scoore
34 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 79
9 85 85 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 31.4 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 35,432 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 4.6
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 165 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
ITALY
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
4
24 23 17 AAA
balance scoore
17 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 25
5 23 19 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Italy h
has one of the most
m efficient th
hermoelectric ge
eneration system
ms in Europe an nd the energy mmix for power
generation is domina ated by natural gas and renewa able energy (gaas 48%, renewable 28%, coal 1 5%, oil 3%, other
7%). Energy efficiency improved in the residential, commercial and d transport sectors, with impresssive achievements
e reduction of GHG
in the G emissions anda water polluttion between 20005 and 2013.
Increased interconne ection of the Italian natural gass market with EUU markets is exp
pected to increaase Italian energ
gy
securrity, also lowerin
ng natural gas prices
p in the who olesale market. The government has also resttored the minimum
limit o
of 12 miles from
m the coast for off-shore
o oil and gas drilling acttivities.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 23.5 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 35,896 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.31 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 6.7
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 124 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
JAPAN
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
8
28 30 30 CAB
balance scoore
30 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 61
1 83 78 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
The N
Nuclear Regulation Authority (N
NRA) approved the safety measures of Sendai, Takahama annd Ikata nuclearr
powe
er plants based on new safety standards.
s While 0 MW) started itts operation in
e Ikata nuclear plant unit 3 (890
Augu
ust 2016, Takahama nuclear pla ants (2 units, 87
70 MW each) we ere operational in early 2016, bbut have been
temporarily shut dow
wn.
Altho
ough some challlenges might be e encountered in n restarting the remaining nucleear plants, manyy of these plantts are
expected to restart in
n the long run and
a Japans ene ergy security sco
ore will improve. Additionally, thhe plant owners
s are
expecting a lifetime extension
e of nuclear plants from
m 40 years to at most 60 years s.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 26.2 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 37,322 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.11 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 4.8
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 264 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
J
JORDAN
N
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
2
62 67 75 DBC
balance scoore
75 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 93
3 100 106 D
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Jorda
an drops 8 place
es, from rank 677 in 2015 to rannk 75 in 2016. Energy equity is the countrys sttrongest trilemm
ma
ergy security is its weakest, ressulting in a balance score of DB
dimension, while ene BC.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 29.8 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 10,880 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 99 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 14.5
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 6 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
KAZ
ZAKHST
TAN
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
5
75 84 82 CBD
balance scoore
82 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 37
7 72 65 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Policyymakers will co
ontinue existing successful pracctices to maintaiin a favourable investment clim
mate, which allow ws
improovements to thee countrys trilem
mma balance, a nd attracts inve estment into the exploration andd production of
energgy resources forr export to worldd markets. Therre is a need to further develop power
p generatinng facilities by
introd
ducing cutting-e
edge technologie es that will not o mestic supply, but also enable tthe country to offer
only ensure dom
signifficant amounts of
o electricity to markets
m in neighhbouring countrries.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 36.0 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 25,8
877 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 77
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 8.0
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 28,66
63 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
KENYA
A
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
07
10 107 1107 BDB
balance scoore
107 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 31
1 37 47 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Kenyyas energy secttor faces a number of challenge es: growing dem mand, inadequate power supplyy capacity, a low w
connectivity rate, a weak
w nd lack of investtments from thee private sector. The
transmissiion and distributtion network, an
counttrys high depenndence on hydroopower also exp poses the energgy sector to eme erging risks, succh as extreme
weathher events.
Receent developments to boost electricity generatioon include the co ommissioning of: 1) the Olkariaa IV power plantt, the
world
ds largest single
e-turbine geothe
ermal power pla ant, which will add 140 MW to the grid; 2) the laargest wind ene
ergy
project in the region to deliver 15% of supply; and 3
3) 1 GW of world-class solar prrojects to be buiilt by SkyPowerr over
the next five years.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 19.4 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 3,08
83 (IV)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 19 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 61 | 5
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.11 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 15.6
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
KOREA
A (REPU
UBLIC)
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
3
43 46 44 CAC
balance scoore
44 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 72
2 76 72 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
In this years Index, Korea (Rep.) raanks 44th. Energ gy equity is the countrys strong
gest trilemma d imension, while e it
receivves a letter grad
de of C in both energy
e securityy and environme ental sustainability, for a balancce score of CAC
C.
Receent policy measu ures to enhance e energy securitty include: expaanding cooperation with resourcce-rich countriess;
strengthening the coompetitiveness of o energy develooping companie es; and establishing the Overseeas Resource
Deveelopment Fund to t fund energy development
d pro
ojects in additio
on to giving gove
ernment loans aand guarantees.
Envirronmental sustaainability policy measures
m includ
de: the expansion of renewable e energy with taargets until 2030
0 and
the sttrong support off RD&D. Nuclea ar energy plays an essential role in the country
ys energy systeem in terms of energy
e
securrity, economics,, climate change e and load demmand.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 38.2 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 34,549 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 93 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.24 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 3.5
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 88 Mtoe
M Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
K
KUWAIT
T
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
9
59 56 53 CAD
balance scoore
53 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 81
1 74 75 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
In ligh
ht of the rapidlyy increasing powwer demand ove er the past deca ade, the governm ment unveiled aan extensive
development plan fo or the electric grid. Since 2007, 5 GW of capac city have been commissioned,
c tthrough combined-
cyclee gas-fired plants and several smaller expansio ons to oil-fired fa
acilities. By 2020 the installed ccapacity is planned to
increase to 25 GW, with w a reserve margin
m of more tthan 10%. By in ncreasing the shhare of natural ggas in its primarry
energ gy consumption n from 34% in 20009 to 42% in 2 2012, the countrry has moreoverr been looking fo for solutions to meet
m
its ele
ectricity demand d at peak times.
Altho
ough most of thiss planned capacity will be fuelleed by natural ga
as or oil, 5% of the electricity iss planned to com
me
from renewables by 2020 and to inc crease to 15% b by 2030, mainly deploying solarr and wind technnology. Howeve er, the
regulated oil sector has
h delayed furtther exploration n and productionn. Project Kuwait attempts to inncentivise foreign
invesstment to bring production
p capa
acity to 4 millionn barrels per day
y by 2020, as well as to diversiffy its oil-heavy
economy through na atural gas produ
uction.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 64.3 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 71,312 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 94 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 13.3
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 15,510 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
LATVIA
A
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
6
26 24 25 ABB
balance scoore
25 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 16
6 15 18 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
A pla
anned connectio on from Latvia too Estonia, to be completed by 2020,
2 is further expected to impprove the security
and eequity dimensions of the trilemm ma. A diversificaation of gas imp
ports, mainly due to a new LNG G terminal in
Lithuania, is likely to
o further add to this.
t The country
ry has also made progress in th he renewables ssector, with the
ongooing renovation of o its hydroelecttric power plantss, as well as building capacity in wind energy.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 23.4 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 24,2
286 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 78
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.17 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 8.2
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
L EBANO
ON
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
4
84 86 86 DBB
balance scoore
86 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 10
08 112 113 D
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
The n
national target iss for 12% of tota
al electricity pro
oduction to come from renewab ble energy by 20020. A recent move
m
towarrds developing larger solar pow wer plants, such h as the Beirut River
R Solar Snak
ke project, is a ppromising sign of
o the
counttrys progress on
o its renewable es targets.
With regards to enerrgy efficiency targets, progress is slowing down. The National Energy Efficienncy Action Plan,
adopted in 2011, exppired in 2015 annd no successo r plan has beenn formulated to ensure
e continuinng energy
ency gains.
efficie
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 24.8 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 13,938 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 9.6
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
LI THUAN IA
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
9
29 28 28 BAB
balance scoore
28 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 40
0 25 46 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Lithuania remains am mong the few European countrries where electricity consumption grows steaddily every year anda
this trrend will continuue in the next 10
0 years accordi ng to Litgrid. One
O of the countrys energy chaallenges is to red
duce
its en
nergy dependen nce on a single supplier
s to secu ced energy. Its kkey actions are to
ure reliable and reasonably pric
develop a regional electricity
e interco
onnection and to
o construct an LNG
L terminal an
nd LNG Hub.
In ligh
ht of historic dissruption of gas supply
s from Russsia to the isolatted energy counntries, not only LLithuania but also
Latviaa and Estonia, thet next importa ant policy challe
enge will be to strengthen
s regional energy integgration.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 30.5 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 27,7
730 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) N.A.. | N.A.
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.18 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 7.5
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 1 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
LUX
XEMBOU
URG
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
0
60 57 55 DAD
balance scoore
55 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 118 120 122 D
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Luxembourg places 55th in this yea ars Index. Whilee it achieves the
e best score globally regarding energy equity, the
t
limita
ations of its geoggraphical size have
h negative co
onsequences fo or its scores in energy
e security aand environmen
ntal
sustaainability, resulting in a balance
e score of DAD.
A ma ajor challenge th
hat Luxembourg g faces is its dep
pendence on en nergy imports (9 96.8% in 2010). Due to the countrys
limite
ed resource end dowment, there is little potentiall for Luxembourrg to develop doomestic energy ssources. Instea
ad, the
counttry needs to foccus on promoting regional intercconnection, dive ersifying its energy sources andd suppliers and
improoving its energyy efficiency and intensity to prom
mote its energy security.
Energgy and carbon intensity in Luxe embourgs econ nomy is the lowe est among EU-15 countries. Hoowever, for the
indusstry and transpoortation sectors energy intensityy is the highest among all EU-15 countries withh low diesel pric
ce one
of the
e contributing fa
actors.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 11.9 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 101,926 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.23 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 1.9
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
M ALAYS IA
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
1
41 38 35 BBC
balance scoore
35 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 64
4 55 37 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Malayysia improves by
b 3 places, to rank 35. Its trilem
mma performan nce is overall balanced, scoringg slightly lower in
n the
envirronmental susta
ainability dimens
sion, for an overrall letter grade of BBC.
Acco
ording to the elevventh Malaysia Plan (2016202 20), rural electrrification and ren
newable energyy development willw be
key a
aims for the Malaysian energy sector.
s The sha re of household ds with access to o electricity hass increased to
appro
oximately 98% in i 2015. In ordeer to complete th he electrification ountry by 2020, construction off new
n of the entire co
generation plants with 7.6 GW of total capacity and d a number of grid interconnecttion projects willl be implemente ed.
New power plants will
w contribute to not only the imp provement of en nergy equity butt also enhance eenergy security y and
susta
ainability through
h replacing olde
er, inefficient pla
ants.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 40.0 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 26,8
891 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 99 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 4.2
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 1,395 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
M
MEXICO
O
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
2
52 59 52 BBB
balance scoore
52 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 66
6 62 59 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 34.4 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 17,2
277 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 99 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 61
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 14.8
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 2,638 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
MO
ONGOL
LIA
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
111 111 1114 DCD
balance scoore
114 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 116 115 114 D
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
An im
mportant challen nge for the Mong golian energy s ector is to deve
elop a national in
ntegrated energgy system. Curre
ently
four sseparate electriccity grids are in operation. Therrefore, the coun
ntry is planning to
t connect these
se grids and exp
pand
the distribution syste
em under the Prrogramme on M Mongolian Integrrated Power Sys stem (200720440).
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 37.2 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 12,189 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 86 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 43 | 5
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 12.8
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 1,793 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
M OROCC
CO
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
8
78 78 80 DBC
balance scoore
80 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 113 118 111 D
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Acco
ording to the Clim
mate Investmen nt Funds, the firsst phase of the NOOR project, a group of 5 soolar plans which was
opened in 2016, can e to improve en ergy security an
n play a vital role nd sustainability
y by producing eenough energy to
poweer over one million homes by 20 018 and reducin ng emissions by y an estimated 760,000
7 tons of CO2 per year. At
A the
samee time, the coun
ntry is focusing on
o promoting en nergy efficiency. The goal for energy efficiencyy is to achieve a 20%
impro
ovement by 203 30.
Rene
ewable energy and
a energy effic ciency will keep its position as the
t heart of the national energyy strategy in the
n is projected to be invested in ssolar and wind over the next fiv
counttry as US$11bn ve years in Moroocco.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 29.3 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 7,821 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 99 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 87
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.12 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 13.7
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 2 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
N
NAMIBIA
A
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
02
10 100 96 DDB
balance scoore
965 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 114 113 103 D
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Namiibia improves byy 4 places in thiis years index, from rank 100 in 2015 to rank 969 in 2016. Thee countrys stron
ngest
trilem
mma dimension is environmenta al sustainability while both enerrgy security and
d energy equity receive a letter grade
of D. this results in a balance score of DDB.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 31.8 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 10,414 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 44 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 83
8 | 14
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.11 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 12.6
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 53 Mtoe
M Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
NEPAL
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
23
12 123 1123 DDC
balance scoore
123 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 12
25 125 125 D
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
The kkey energy challlenges for Nepa al are to improvve access to moodern energy in rural communitiies and to increase
electrricity supply to provide
p reliable energy servicess to the populattion.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 15.6 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 2,45
58 (IV)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 76 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 67
6 | 10
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 24.4
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
NET
THERLA NDS
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
7 8 4 AAB
balance scoore
4 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 15
5 20 9 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 21.2 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 48,459 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.23 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 3.9
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 715 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
NEW
W ZEALA
AND
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
1
11 7 9 AAB
balance scoore
9 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 19
9 16 13 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
New Zealand placess 9th in this yearrs Index. In thiss years index, New
N Zealand ranks 9th. With itss stable market--
based framework an nd strong economic growth the country balance es the trade-offs
s between energrgy security, ene
ergy
equityy and environm
mental sustainab
bility well, resultiing in a balancee score of AAB.
The NNew Zealand En nergy Strategy (NZES) and En nergy Efficiency and Conservation Strategy setts out the
governments overarrching energy policy frameworkk. Its four priorities (diverse resource developm
ment, environme
ental
onsibility, efficie
respo ent use of energy, and secure a
and affordable energy)
e help sha
ape New Zealannds trilemma
perfo
ormance.
Retire
ements of therm
mal generation hash seen New Z Zealands alread
dy high proportioon of renewablee electricity increase
to 81% in 2015. Reccent policy initiattives have focusssed on leverag
ging this advantage, with goverrnment consultin ng on
energgy sector wide targets
t for increasing the propo ortion of renewa
able energy in th
he economy andd implementing
ets and support measures for electric and low e
targe emissions vehiccles to 2021.
Trendds to watch are: 1) the speed of o electric vehicl e uptake in light of governmentt and business aaction; 2) the
impliccations of the en
nergy-sector wide targets on in nvestment and energy
e intensity trends; 3) grow
wing demand-sid
de
involvvement in the electricity markett, and the impliccations of the more rapid adoption of new techhnologies on dem mand,
future
e competition, network
n regulatio
on, and prices.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 24.6 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 36,982 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.13 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 6.6
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 440 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
NIGER
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
24
12 124 1124 DDD
balance scoore
124 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 119 117 119 D
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Natioonal law and the e liberalisation of arket result in Niger being an atttractive investm
o the energy ma ment opportunity
y, but
infrasstructure for delivering energy remains
r a key b
barrier.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 19.5 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 95
54 (IV)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 9 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 6|5
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 15.0
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 20 Mtoe
M Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
N
NIGERIA
A
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
8
98 101 1104 ADD
balance scoore
104 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 5 5 8 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Howe ever, the gas suupply is frequently disrupted byy militants. This situation drives the country to ffind other energ
gy
sourcces, i.e. renewable energy. In July
J 2016, the fe
ederal governme ent signed the power
p purchasee agreement witth 12
firms for the construcction of solar po
ower plants. Theese are expecte ed to give the coountry 975 MW of electricity capacity
and bbring the benefitts of enhancement of energy se ecurity.
The ssecond challeng ge refers to the energy equity aaspect of the Trilemma. Nigeria has one of the lowest shares of o
electrrification. Only 48%
4 of the popuulation currentlyy has access to electricity. Therrefore, developi ng a new
transmission and disstribution network and improvin ng existing lines will come into the
t priority list oof the countrys
energgy agenda.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 24.2 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 5,99
92 (IV)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 48 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 54
5 | 10
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 15.8
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 9,384
4 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
PA
AKISTA
AN
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
04
10 102 1102 CDC
balance scoore
102 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 74
4 69 76 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 20.9 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 5,04
42 (IV)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 91 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 71
7 | 11
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 16.6
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 1,990 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
PA
ARAGUA
AY
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
1
91 89 89 CCB
balance scoore
89 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 99
9 97 96 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Parag
guay maintains its place at rank 89. The counttrys strongest trilemma dimens sion is environm
mental sustainab bility,
wheree it receives a le
etter grade of B,
B but it scores lo
ower regarding energy security
y and energy eqquity, for a balan
nce
score
e of CCB.
Nearly 99% of Parag guay's energy demand is met bby hydropower. Therefore, there
e is little to no inncentive for Parraguay
to develop a policy frramework prom
moting the use off renewables.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 28.8 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 9,184 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 97 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 68
6 | 20
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 27.1
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
PERU
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
3
63 63 64 BCB
balance scoore
64 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 65
5 61 54 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Sche emes to support these goals are e already in placce and include: a law, passed in April 2012, too promote energ gy
securrity in hydrocarb
bons; a scheme e to promote thee modernisation of oil refineries; a universal ennergy access pla an for
the 20132022 perio od, implemented d in May 2013, w with clearly defiined targets for different sub-coomponents; and d
auctioons and calls fo
or tenders to seccure the implemmentation of hydro projects. Add ditional fiscal inccentives are in place
p
for sm
mall-scale hydroo, solar, wind, biomass, and ge eothermal.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 36.8 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 12,402 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 85 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 92
9 | 25
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.16 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 11.2
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 536 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
PH ILIPPIN
NES
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
7
67 62 61 BCA
balance scoore
61 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 60
0 56 52 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
The P
Philippines drop
ps 1 place to ran
nk 61. The coun
ntry performs ex
xcellently in the environmental ssustainability
dimension, placing 1st
1 worldwide, butb lags behind rregarding energ
gy equity, resulting in a balancee score of BCA.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 31.4 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 7,359 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 83 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 76
7 | 34
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 10.3
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 99 Mtoe
M Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
P
POLAND
D
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
3
33 32 36 BAB
balance scoore
36 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 53
3 47 60 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Expeected future trennds affecting Polands energy s ustainability and d issues for poliicymakers to foccus on are:
1) de
evelopment of th he countrys ene ergy network inffrastructure; 2) further
f diversific
cation of energyy sources; 3)
mode ernisation of the
e electricity gene
eration sector; 4
4) increase secu urity of primary fuel
f supply throough investmentts in
moree efficient coal mining
m exploitatio
on and explorattion for conventional and uncon nventional gas; 5) increase trannsport
biofuels production and
a use; 6) conttinued efforts to o improve energy efficiency and d energy savingss; 7) transition to
t a
low-ccarbon economyy, while enabling g an improveme ent of lifestyles over the next 20 0 years, by depploying low-emis ssion
technnologies to achieeve lower emiss sions growth.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 32.6 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 26,1
135 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.19 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 7.0
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 3,912
2 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
PO
ORTUGA
AL
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
6
16 17 18 AAA
balance scoore
18 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 27
7 39 31 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Portu
ugal ranks 18th in this years Index. The countrry balances the trilemma very well,
w with enviroonmental
ainability being its strongest dim
susta mension. This re
esults in a balan
nce score of AAA
A.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 21.5 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 29,2
214 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.30 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 10.4
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
QATAR
R
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
4
34 39 39 AAD
balance scoore
39 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 35
5 40 25 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 67.9 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 143,788 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 94 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 6.7
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 23,72
21 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
R
ROMANI A
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
0
40 31 32 ABA
balance scoore
32 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 23
3 17 24 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Altho
ough plans to co
onstruct a submarine cable con nnection with Turkey have been n abandoned, thhe integration off the
poweer markets of thee Czech Republic, Slovakia, Huungary and Rom mania, along witth the already hhigh share of
renewwable energy, iss expected to maintain
m Romaniias strong enerrgy security scorre.
Going g forward, Romanian policymakers will have too find ways to design more effe
ective and coherrent systems to o
support the further development
d of renewable enerrgy, as well as focus on the maintenance and iimprovement off the
existiing energy supp
ply and transmis
ssion structure, which will need
d large investme
ents to raise thee countrys energ
gy
equityy score.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 27.3 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 21,4
403 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 63
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.17 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 13.4
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 377 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
RUSSIA
R N FEDE
ERATION
N
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
0
50 48 45 ABD
balance scoore
45 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 11
1 8 6 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Energ gy efficiency is a key issue for Russia. To this end, the govern nment, in 2014, published an uupdated version of the
Statee Program on En nergy Efficiency
y and Energy De evelopment, wh hich envisages a 40% decreasee in energy intennsity
of the
e economy by 2020.
2 Another ke ey part of this sttrategy is the further development of renewablles, which, by 2020,
are to
o account for 2.5% of electricityy generation, exxcluding large hydroelectric pow wer plants.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 35.8 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 24,4
451 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 92
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 11.0
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 62,602 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
SAU
UDI ARA
ABIA
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
4
44 47 47 BAD
balance scoore
47 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 33
3 41 39 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
The SSaudi energy se ector is fully dep and gas for electtricity generation and transporta
pendent on oil a tation. In order to
t
diverrsify its energy supply,
s the gove ernment in April 2016 launched its long-term de evelopment roaadmap, Saudi
Arabiias Vision 2030 0, which sets a goal of building
g 9.5 GW of reneewable energy generation
g capaacity by 2030.
Sauddi Arabian policyymakers must now focus on rea alising these ammbitious goals and attracting thee necessary
invesstment, while alsso continuing to
o improve energgy efficiency in th
he country. Although fossil fuells will continue to
t
make e up the vast maajority of Saudi Arabias
A energyy supply, succes ssful implementation could impprove the countrrys
envirronmental sustaainability as well as energy secuurity scores in fu
uture rankings.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 56.9 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 53,430 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 94 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 9.7
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 43,894 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
S
SENEGA
AL
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
09
10 109 1109 CDC
balance scoore
109 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 86
6 82 92 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Seneegals energy se
ector is currently
y faced with a nu
umber of challeenges, including ageing infrastruucture that is no
ot
being
g properly mainttained nor plannned to be replacced. Water issuees are also at th
he top of the ageenda, as droughts
have a strong impacct on households s, especially tho
ose located in ru
ural areas.
The 22012 Energy Strategy for Seneegal sets out a ssustainable deve elopment plan fo
or the countryss energy sector,
Targeets include achieving a 50% rural electrificationn rate by 2017 and
a a 20% rene ewables share oof the electricity
generation mix by 20017. To supportt the deploymen nt of renewabless, Senegal has joined
j the Scal ing Solar initiattive in
early 2016 to develoop up to 200 MW
W of solar powerr.
The S
Senegalese govvernment has also signed up to o the World Ban nks Electricity Sector
S Support PProject, running from
2012 to 2020. The aim
a of the Seneg gal Electricity Se ector Support Project
P uce the national utility company
is to redu ys
nical and commercial losses an
techn nd to improve th he reliability of electricity supplyy in certain areass of the country
y,
mainly in Greater Daakar. While imprroving the reliab bility of electricitty supply will help to improve thhe countrys eneergy
equityy, improving access to electriciity in rural areass will be required to achieve sig gnificant energyy equity gains.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 23.5 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 2,43
31 (IV)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 57 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 86
8 | 17
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 15.6
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
S
SERBIA
A
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
3
73 68 73 BBC
balance scoore
73 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 52
2 46 61 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
The n new Energy Secctor Developme ent Strategy to 2 2030 (ESDS) ha as been adopted d in line with thee EU policy, enfforced
by the e Energy Comm munity Treaty an nd action plans to implement energy efficiency y and renewablees. The existing feed-
in tarriff (FIT) schemee has been mod dified for solar ppower plants. Th
hese developme ents will have a positive impact on
the energy security and a environmen ntal sustainabilitty dimension. Att the same time, construction oof a new coal fire ed
powe er generation un nit has started. Existing
E units arre being refurbis
shed, with the in
ntention that theey will remain in
opera ation until after the
t year 2023, which
w is likely to
o improve the co
ountrys energy security.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 29.8 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 13,482 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 89
8 | 41
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.08 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 15.9
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 9,404
4 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
SIN
NGAPO RE
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
5
25 25 24 CBA
balance scoore
24 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 73
3 80 70 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
The ccountry has bee ensively in R&D projects, in parrticular gas and smart grid areaas. The R&D
en investing inte
innovvation in gas ind
dustry is one of the important isssues for Singap pore. Natural gaas is a major souurce of electricity
generation, accountiing for nearly 955%, thus securin ng reliable supp g is a high pri ority for the
plies of natural gas
government, as is im mproving the ressilience and efficciency of gas infrastructure (such as the distribbution network and
a
LNG terminals). To facilitate
f gas tec
chnology innova ation, S$27m grrants have been n awarded to 133 R&D projects in
thesee areas in May 2016.
2
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 24.9 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 85,209 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 73 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 0.5
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
SL
LOVAK IA
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
8
18 14 16 AAA
balance scoore
16 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 12
2 9 15 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Slova
akia ranks 16th in this years Index. The countrry balances the trilemma very well,
w receiving aan overall balance
score
e of AAA.
Policyymakers need tot focus on dealing with the cha allenge for the distribution
d syste
em as a result oof decentralised
d
produuction and e-mo obility. Increasin
ng energy efficieency in all secto
ors of the economy remains a cchallenge and
requires structural ch
hanges in the economy to movve from heavy in ndustry to sophis
sticated product
ction, but also
meassures to reduce energy consum mption of buildinngs. The role of nuclear energy needs to be disscussed becaus se the
technnology allows ann increase of ele ectricity generattion without incrreasing carbon emissions. Furtthermore,
policyymakers need to focus on decrreasing the depe endence on nattural gas and oil imports.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 33.6 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 28,8
877 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.20 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 3.4
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 13 Mtoe
M Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
S LOVEN IA
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
2
12 13 12 AAB
balance scoore
12 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 3 3 2 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Sloveenia improves by
b 1 place, to rank 12 in this yea
ars Index. Enerrgy security is thhe countrys stroongest trilemma
a
dimension (rank 2) while
w environme ental sustainabillity is the countrrys weakest trile
emma dimensioon (rank 44), ressulting
in an overall balance
e score of AAB.
To im
mprove Slovenia as environmental performance additional finan ncial investmentts are needed foor energy efficie
ency
meassures, particularrly in the energy
y consumption oof buildings (the
ermal insulation, window replaceement and
replacement of obso olete heating sysstems) and in su
upporting schem mes for the use of renewable eenergy sources for f
energgy supply of buildings. National environmental legislation and permit granting g are crucial obsstacles for
invesstments in the energy sector an nd in renewable energy sources s.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 33.1 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 31,1
122 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.22 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 6.3
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
SOU
UTH AFR
RICA
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
1
81 81 84 CCD
balance scoore
84 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 76
6 68 66 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
In this years Index, South Africa rannks 84th, down from rank 81 in
n 2015. Over the e past three yeaars, energy secu
urity
has bbeen the countryys strongest trilemma dimensioon (rank 66 acrooss all countries
s). The country receives an oveerall
balannce score of CCCD.
Energ gy security mayy be improved due to the recentt initiative that has
h allowed inde
ependent powerr producers (IPP Ps)
into the electricity se
ector using renewable technolo gies. Of the 6,3376 MW plannedd, 2,220 MW is aalready operatio
onal,
with tthe balance com ming online over 2017 and 20188.
Envirronmental susta ues to be South Africas weakest trilemma dimension as a ressult of coal-base
ainability continu ed
n. Although the contribution from
electrricity generation m renewable en
nergy sources is
s increasing, it iss still small (<14
4%).
Coal--based generatiion of electricity y will continue to
o dominate even
n as renewable energy program mmes are completed.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 29.5 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 13,165 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 83 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 94
9 | 63
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.09 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 9.2
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 21,039 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
SPAIN
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
4
14 16 13 AAA
balance scoore
13 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 21
1 22 26 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Spainn has set a target of 20% of ren newable energyy in gross final energy
e consump ption in 2020. Inn 2015 the share e of
renewwables in final energy
e consump ption reached 177.43%, on trackk to achieve the proposed objecctive by 2020.
Howe ever, regional in nterconnection maym pose an ob bstacle towards the further grow wth of renewablees. While the cu urrent
level of electricity intterconnections with
w Europe hass progressed sig gnificantly in 2015, with a new iinterconnection
betweeen Spain and France (the firstt since 1982), in ncreasing the installed capacity y by up to 5%, thhis value is still well
below
w the EU target of 10%. Gas interconnection h has also increassed (2 billion cubbic metres floweed from Spain to o
Francce), but the tota al level still need
ds to be improve
ed.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 22.4 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 34,527 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.31 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 9.9
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 391 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional the
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
SR
RI LANK
KA
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
5
85 83 81 CCA
balance scoore
81 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 82
2 84 74 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Sri La
anka improves by b 2 places, to rank
r 81. Environnmental sustain
nability is the countrys strongesst trilemma
dimension, but it recceives a letter grrade of C in both
h energy security and energy equity,
e resulting in a balance sc
core of
CCA.
Desppite this situationn, the project for 100% electrificcation will gain momentum
m in th
he near future. IIn July 2016, the
e
Asian n Development Bank (ADB) has approved a lo oan of US$115m m and US$3.8m in grants to hellp some areas,
particcularly small isla
ands, to enjoy re ty supply and allow the country to improve acce
eliable electricity cess to energy. The
T
project includes the construction of hybrid renewab ble energy mini-grids, upgradess to the mediumm-voltage networrk,
and 2 2,300 km of low w-voltage line exxpansions, and iis expected to be b complete by 2021.
2
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 30.1 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 11,739 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 85 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 66
6 | 15
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 10.2
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
SW
WAZILA ND
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
2
92 95 95 BDB
balance scoore
95 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 41
1 48 45 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 44.1 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 8,427 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 35 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 87
8 | 25
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 13.0
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
S
SWEDEN
N
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
3 4 3 AAA
balance scoore
3 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 10
0 13 10 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Curre
ently, the transp
port sector (exceept trains, metro
o and trams) relies on fossil fue
els. Special policcies and financial
e the purchase of electric cars are in place, bu
support to incentivise ot yet meeting exxpectations. The EU
ut results are no
et to increase the
targe e share of biofuuels used in tran
nsport to 10% byy 2020 will be exceeded, as thee share has alre eady
reach
hed 24% accord ding to a Swedis sh Energy Agen o a rapid increasse in the blending of
ncy report. This is mostly due to
HVO--biodiesel and other
o biofuels in
n gasoline and ddiesel, and an in
ncreased numbe er of cars runninng on biogas.
Policyymakers need tot focus on findiing a solution to o replace the ex xisting 10 nuclea will be taken ou
ar reactors that w ut of
operaation to meet future electricity demand.
d The firrst reactors are expected to closse between 20117 and 2020.
Vatteenfall has taken a policy decisioon to close the tw two smallest reaactors in Ringhaals, and Uniper ((formerly E.ON)) is
expected to close the two smallest reactors
r in Oska arshamn before e 2018. While the application too build new reacctors
has nnot been formally withdrawn, Va attenfall has currrently stopped any further worrk on the applicaation. In additionn to
findin
ng measures to meet the EU CO O2 reduction an nd RES targets, energy efficiency needs to be a top priority.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 26.0 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 46,420 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.25 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 7.2
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
SWIITZERLA
AND
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
2 2 2 AAA
balance scoore
2 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 9 12 12 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Switzzerlands leading
g position in the
e index reflects tthe countrys pa
ast energy and energy-related
e ppolicy decisions
s.
Receent policy decisio
ons however arre likely to have a strong impac ct on the country
ys energy sustaainability balanc
ce.
Receent energy policyy developments s include the de cision to refrain from building new
n nuclear pow wer plants, whic
ch will
be included in the neew energy strateegy that is unde er development and expected to o be implementted fully by 2050 0. The
meassures and next steps
s o nuclear are not yet known and
to phase out a will be a ma atter of political discussions in the
t
next ffew months (a public
p referendu
um is probable).. To achieve the e transition to a low-carbon eneergy system in the
long tterm, in the mid
d-term Switzerla
and is likely to be
ecome more de ependent on gas s-fired electricityy generation.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 26.3 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 60,535 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.17 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 7.4
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
TA
ANZAN IA
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
119 121 1122 CDD
balance scoore
122 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 67
7 64 83 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 25.0 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 2,66
67 (IV)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 15 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 16 | 5
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 20.2
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 101 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
TH
HAILAN
ND
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
0
80 76 76 CBC
balance scoore
76 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 10
03 96 94 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Increasing energy prroduction to enh hance energy se ecurity and reduuce reliance on energy importss is a key challennge
for Th
hailand. To address this challenge, the govern nment aims to advance the exploration and prooduction of enerrgy
resouurces at domesttic and internatioonal levels; exp
plore the joint de
evelopment of energy resources es with neighbou
uring
economies; develop a more diversiffied energy mix;; and encourage e electricity prod
duction from rennewable and othher
altern
native energy so ources. In addition, the governmment aims to inccrease competittion and investm ment in the enerrgy
indusstry by creating a business-frienndly, transparen
nt environment through
t the Inveestor Relation O
Office, which will be
respoonsible for invesstment procedures and processses in the energ gy industry.
The ggovernment hass developed policies to encoura age the producttion and use of alternative
a energ
rgy, in particularr
biofuels, biomass, soolid waste and animal
a manure. These measure es are expectedd to enhance ennergy security, reduce
r
polluttion and supporrt farmers by encouraging the p
production and use
u of renewable energy at thee community lev vel.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 36.8 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 16,3
305 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 90
9 | 57
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 6.1
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 1,118 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
TRINIDA
AD & TO
OBAGO
O
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
9
89 90 90 DBD
balance scoore
90 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 10
01 102 99 D
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Trinid
dad and Tobago o maintains its place
p at rank 90 0. Energy equityy is the countrys
s strongest trilem
mma dimension n (rank
48 accross all countries), while enviro
onmental susta inability is the countrys
c weakest trilemma dim mension (rank 12
23
acrosss all countries) and energy sec curity is also low
w, resulting in a balance score of DBD.
Trinid
dad and Tobago os electricity rattes are among tthe lowest in the
e Caribbean reg gion at approxim mately US$0.04 to
US$0 0.06 per kWh, well
w below the re egional average
e of US$0.33 pe er kWh, contributing towards thee countrys energy
equityy performance. Trinidad and To obago has sign ificant oil and natural gas reserrves and is a neet exporter of theese
fuels. The country iss the worlds 6th largest exporte
er of LNG. Liquid fuels subsidie es are removed on a step-by-step
basiss. There have be een two price inncreases since 22015 in order too bring prices in--line with the intternational mark
ket, in
an efffort to decrease
e the fiscal burden on the goverrnment.
The ggovernment hass set a renewab ble energy goal oof 135 MW (10% % of 2016 peak capacity) by 20021. There is a strong
recoggnition for the ne
eed to increase energy securityy through promo otion of energy efficiency and eenergy conserva ation
in the
e production and d utilisation of energy
e sources. Key issues the government will continue to adddress include: 1)
increasing current prroduction levels s while reducing
g the rate of deppletion of energyy sources; 2) divversifying energ
gy
sourcces to include reenewable energ gy and contributting to global effforts to address climate changee and global warming;
and 33) maximising th he benefits that accrue to the ccitizens from thee exploitation of energy resourceces.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 56.5 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 32,5
597 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 99 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US cents
0.06 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 2.6
$/kWh)
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 410 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
T
TUNISIA
A
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
9
49 54 54 DBB
balance scoore
54 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 96
6 101 101 D
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 29.3 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 11,397 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 15.4
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 111 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
T
TURKEY
Y
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
6
46 45 46 CBB
balance scoore
46 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 71
1 67 69 C
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Turke
ey has to accom mmodate a fast-growing deman nd for energy, an
nd enormous investment volum mes are required
d to
meett this growth. Fu
urthermore, only
y 25% of energyy consumption is
s met by domes
stic resources, tthus energy
dependence is of gre eat concern.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 27.1 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 19,6
618 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.13 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 15.2
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 6,123 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
U
UKRAIN E
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
5
65 65 63 ABD
balance scoore
63 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 26
6 28 28 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Ukraiines energy secctor faces greatt challenges, froom a high depen ndence on expe ensive fossil fueel imports such as
a oil
and ggas, to inefficien
nt infrastructure and markets. RRecent energy policy
p developments to addresss those challeng ges
de the decision to replace Russ
includ sian gas with Ukkrainian coal, in
ncrease oil and gas
g production (for example, frrom
the B
Black Sea shelf) and develop nu uclear power caapacity.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 25.4 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 7,916 (III)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 89
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 12.3
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 24,231 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
UN
NITED A
ARAB E MIRATE
ES
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
5
45 42 43 BAD
balance scoore
43 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 45
5 34 42 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
The U
United Arab Emmirates ranks 43rd in this years Index. While thhe country perfo
orms well in bothh the energy security
and e
energy equity diimensions, it rec
ceives a letter g stainability. Thiss results in a balance
grade of D in environmental sus
score
e of BAD.
The U
UAE relies signiificantly on conv
ventional hydroccarbon resource
es for electricity
y and transport. However, there e are
oppo s. For example, the UAE has laaunched initiativ
ortunities for renewable energy and energy efficciency solutions ves
such as Vision 2021, Dubai Plan 20 021, or Abu Dhaabi Vision 2030, which include the
t establishmeent of renewable e
gy (7% and 5% generation capacity in Abu Dh
energ habi and Dubai respectively
r by 2030)
2 and energ
rgy efficiency targets
% demand reducction target by 2030 in Dubai). T
(30% The UAE is alsoo working on a comprehensive
c energy policy plan
p to
coord
dinate all federa
al initiatives.
Diverrsification of the
e energy mix, en
nergy efficiency and conservation as well as a deep understannding of the watter-
energgy nexus in a water-scarce env vironment, are a makers need to focus on in thee coming years. The
all issues policym
leadin
ng oil producer in the UAE has scrapped subssidies on petrol and a diesel from August 2015 too support state
finances, rationalise fuel consumptio on and protect n
natural resource es and the envirronment.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 56.1 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 70,238 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 94 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 7.7
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 18,197 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
UNITE
ED KING
GDOM
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
9 10 11 AAA
balance scoore
11 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 34
4 38 32 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Challlenges in securiing energy supp ply, however, reemain. Overall domestic produc ction of fossil fueels continues too
declin
ne, and the plan ns to expand pro oduction of uncconventional oil and gas still havve to overcomee technical challe enges
and ggain public supp port. In the poweer sector, an ag
geing nuclear pla ant is being dec
commissioned, w while planned new
n
nucle
ear was approve ed by the new government
g in m
mid-2016. In add dition, the planned closure of alll coal plants under
UK le
egislation by 202 25 (as well as existing
e EU reguulation driving cllosure at presennt) is resulting inn a decline in
electrricity generation
n from coal and was at a record d low in the first quarter of 2016
6. Electricity genneration from
renewwables is showing steady incre ease year on yea ar, but does nott match the decline in generatioon from conventional
sourcces.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 21.0 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 41,325 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.27 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 8.2
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 740 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
UNIT
TED STA
ATES
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
9
19 22 14 AAC
balance scoore
14 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 14
4 11 4 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
The U
United States immproves by 8 plaaces to rank 144. The countrys strongest trilem
mma dimensionss are energy security,
where
e it ranks 4th globally, and ene
ergy equity. Thiss results in a balance score of AAC.
A
Due tto advances in horizontal drillin ng and hydraulicc fracturing, shaale gas productio
on has becomee economically viable
v
in reccent years. The Energy Informa ation Administra ation (EIA) estim
mates that the co
ountry has moree than 1,744 trnn cubic
feet ((tcf) of technicallly recoverable natural
n gas, inclluding 211 tcf of proved reservees (the discoverred, economicaally
recovverable fraction of the original gas-in-place).
g P roduction of shaale gas is expec
cted to increasee from a 2007 US total
of 1.44 tcf to 4.8 tcf in
n 2020. The signnificant increasees in domestic oil
o and gas production will greattly reduce oil im
mports
over the next 10 yea ars, and lead to increased expo orts of refined prroducts and posssibly natural gaas.
Impoortant energy poolicy developments in the United d States that will impact on the countrys balannce in the three
dimensions of energ gy sustainability include: 1) the Environmental Protection Agen ncy (EPA) regullations on coal
leadin
ng to the projeccted closure of more
m than 200 ccoal plants in the
e next few yearss, accounting foor more than 10% of
the U
USs current ene ergy production; 2) possible reggulations on unc conventional gas production; annd 3) the extens sion
(or no
ot) of the wind production
p tax credit,
c which cann cut the cost off developing a wind
w project by nnearly a third.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 20.5 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 55,837 (I)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 100 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 95
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) 0.22 Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 6.2
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 180,6
609 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nu
uclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hyydro
Otther renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
U RUGUA
AY
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
7
27 27 27 BBA
balance scoore
27 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 38
8 29 40 B
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Uruguay maintains itts place at rank 27 in this year s Index. The coountry balances the trilemma weell, with
envirronmental susta
ainability being a particular stren
ngth, for a balan
nce score of BB
BA.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 27.9 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 21,2
201 (II)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 99 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 95
9 | 87
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 11.0
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 0 Mto
oe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
ZI MBABW
WE
TRILEMM
MA INDEX RA
ANKINGS AND BALANCE SCORE
RANK 201
14 2015 22016 Trend Score
Overall rank
k and
116 118 1113 ADD
balance scoore
113 Energy perfo
ormance
Energy security
s 49
9 50 27 A
TRENDS
S AND OUTLO
OOK
Over the past few ye ears Zimbabwe has made contiinued efforts to improve its ene ergy security, ennergy access an nd
envirronmental footprrint. The installa
ation of a 100 MMW project and increased
i energ
gy imports havee resulted in imp proved
energgy security and reliability, with tangible
t impactss for consumers s. Since December 2015 there has not been any
load shedding in Zimmbabwe. Energy y equity is addre
essed through the rural energy master plan, w which is being
impleemented. Moreo over, after signinng the Paris Agrreement, the go overnment has committed
c to redducing the counntry's
carboon footprint by 33%
3 by 2020. This has already seen a marked d shift of power projects
p to hydroro and solar, wh
hich is
expected to improve e the country's environmental
e suustainability in the
t future. In addition, the use oof biofuels is furrther
prom
moted, with an in ncrease in the blending ratio froom 15% today to o 20% by 2018.
Addittional policy devvelopments incluude: establishm ment of an indep pendent energy regulator; amenndment of the
Electtricity Act to prom public utility; promotion of public
mote energy effficiency in the p c-private partnerrships to spur
development in the petroleum
p and power
p sector annd the adoption of a long-term, government-driiven renewable
energgy technologiess programme.
KEY MET
TRICS
Industrial ssector (% of GD
DP) 29.4 GDP per capita
a, PPP US$ (GD
DP Group) 1,79
94 (IV)
Population
n with access to
o electricity (%) 37 Access to clean cooking in urb
ban | rural areass (%) 84 | 6
Household
d electricity price
es (US$/kWh) N.A. Rate of transm
mission and distribution losses (%
%) 24.4
ENERGY
Y PROFILE
Co
oal
Fossil fuell reserves: 350 Mtoe Oil
Naatural gas
Total primary energy supp
ply composition Co
onventional thermal
Nuclear
Diversity o
of electricity gen
neration Hy
ydro
Other renewables
0% 20% 40% 60%
% 80% 100%
WORLD ENERGY COUNCIL | ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX
The Index ranking, displayed as a number, summarises a countrys overall energy trilemma
performance and shows its comparative positioning among 93 Council member countries
and an additional 32 countries.58 The balance score, displayed as three letters (e.g., AAD),
demonstrates how well a country is meeting the energy trilemma challenge balancing the
three dimensions with A being the best and D the worst grade.
Together, the Index ranking, balance scores and trend information provide insights into the
key areas that countries can address to further develop a balanced energy profile and
minimise the risks of an unsustainable imbalance.
In response to the changing energy landscape, the World Energy Council, in partnership
with global management consultancy Oliver Wyman, conducted a review of the Energy
Trilemma Index methodology in 2016. The revised index methodology reflects global
energy sector insights captured through six years of trilemma research, leverages improved
data sets and addresses pressing issues that impact energy sector dynamics.
The 2016 methodology has a broader scope to provide a more inclusive representation of
the energy sector; enables a forward-looking view of energy performance by capturing the
resilience of a countrys energy system and aims to reduce a potential bias to wealthier
countries.
The comprehensive index methodology including the full list of data references is available
from the World Energy Council London Secretariat upon request (info@worldenergy.org).
58
The World Energy Trilemma Index report only features country profiles for World Energy
Councils member countries for which sufficient data is available. Results for all 125 countries
can be viewed at www.worldenergy.org/data.
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INDEX STRUCTURE
To measure a countrys overall performance, the Index looks at indicators in four areas:
energy security, energy equity, environmental sustainability and country context. For each
area multiple, granular indicator categories capture key aspects of performance. For
example, energy security is evaluated by looking at security of supply and energy delivery
and energy infrastructure resilience. Indicator categories are composed of a set of
indicators. In total there are 35 indicators, which are made up from 71 data points (see
Table 4).
Dimensions, indicator categories and indicators are assigned respective weights in the
Energy Trilemma Index to signify their relative importance, while balancing scientific
robustness and simplicity (for ease of understanding).
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WORLD ENERGY COUNCIL | ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX
On the basis of this weighting methodology, there are a similar number of indicators across
the core trilemma dimensions, such that indicators receive a comparable weight as a
reflection of their presumed importance. Slight differences among indicator weightings are
due to the lack of additional data sets or their failure in meeting the indicator selection
criteria.
Robustness: Indicators are to be taken from reputable sources with the most
current information available. If data for an individual country is missing for the most
recent year, available data from previous years (maximum two years back) can be
considered instead. Where appropriate the average indicator value of a group of
countries sharing similar characteristics with the country with missing data is used
to substitute for the missing information. Such characteristics may include GDP
group, region, and/or other profiles.
Coverage: Individual indicators are required to provide data for 50% of countries
included in the Index. Only countries with data available for at least 75% of all
indicators and 50% per indicator group are included in the Index calculation.59
59
Indicators for electricity and gas prices currently experience <50% coverage. In the first year
of implementation, a couple of theoretically critical indicators may fall short of the coverage
criterion due to the lack of robust data covering a broad set of in-scope countries. As these
indicators are theoretically important for a relevant and meaningful Trilemma Index, the World
Energy Council is reluctant to exclude these indicators solely on the grounds of low data
coverage. As such, the World Energy Council will strive to collect additional data from member
countries to complement existing sources and ensure that we can meet the coverage criterion in
future years.
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B E N C H M AR K I N G T H E S U S T AI N A B I L I T Y O F N AT I O N AL E N E R G Y S Y S T E M S
Balance: Indicators within each dimension (and dimensions across the Index)
exhibit coverage of different issues.
The balance score grade (A to D) for each dimension score is assigned based on the mean
and standard deviation of each dimension. This approach ensures that the distribution of
grades stay true to that of the underlying scores.
Grade A: Countries with a dimension score >0.75 standard deviation above the
mean dimension score across all in-scope countries
Grade B: Countries with a dimension score of the mean value to 0.75 standard
deviation above the mean across countries
Grade C: Countries with a dimension score of -0.75 standard deviation below the
mean to the mean dimension score across countries
Grade D: Countries with a dimension score -0.75 standard deviation below the
mean dimension score across countries.
CALCULATION OF TRENDS
Trends have been calculated taking into account rank changes between years and the
mean standard deviation of a countrys result across all years which is evaluated against
the mean standard deviation of all countries per trilemma dimension.
Upward trend: Countries that improve by 3 or more ranks from 2014 to 2015 and
by 3 or more ranks from 2015 to 2016, if their standard deviation is larger than the
mean standard deviation across all countries.
Downward trend: Countries that fall by 3 or more ranks from 2014 to 2015 and by
3 or more ranks from 2015 to 2016, if the standard deviation of their score is larger
than the mean standard deviation across all countries.
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WORLD ENERGY COUNCIL | ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The project team would like to thank the individuals who informed the projects approach,
supplied information, provided ideas and reviewed drafts. Their support and insight has provided
an invaluable contribution to the development and quality of the Index and this report.
William Dhaeseleer, Belgium; Boris Gorenstin, Brazil; Lauro Valdir de Souza, Brazil;
Steve Dorey, Canada; Jean-Paul Bouttes, France; Francois Dassa, France; Jean-Michel
Trochet, France; Hans-Wilhelm Schiffer, Germany; Stefan Ulreich, Germany; Daniela Di Rosa,
Italy; Giuseppe Montesano, Italy; Carlo Papa, Italy; Ryuji Matsuhashi, Japan; Nick Wilson, New
Zealand; Anne-Sophie Corbeau, Saudi Arabia; Vincent Micali, South Africa; Matthias Finger,
Switzerland; Aylin idem Kne, Turkey; Ivano Iannelli, United Arab Emirates; Ghasaq Yousif
Shaheen, United Arab Emirates; Gerald Davis, United Kingdom; Filippo Gaddo, United
Kingdom; Barry Worthington, United States
Einari Kisel (Regional Manager, Europe and Senior Fellow, European Policies, World Energy
Council); Florence Mazzone (Associate Director, Head of Communications, World Energy
Council); Max Muenchmeyer (World Energy Council); Stuart Neil (Senior Director, External
Affairs and Communications, World Energy Council); Karl Rose (Senior Director, Scenarios and
Resources, World Energy Council); Alessandra DeZottis (World Energy Council);
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B E N C H M AR K I N G T H E S U S T AI N A B I L I T Y O F N AT I O N AL E N E R G Y S Y S T E M S
Oliver Wyman Labs); Michael Wagner (Partner, Oliver Wyman); Kate Wildman (Manager, Oliver
Wyman); Alex Wittenberg (Executive Director, Global Risk Center, Marsh & McLennan
Companies)
PROJECT TEAM
Christoph Frei (Secretary General, World Energy Council); Joan MacNaughton (Executive Chair,
World Energy Council); Brian Statham (Chair, Studies Committee, World Energy Council);
Sandra Winkler (Director Policies, World Energy Council); Upinder Aujla (Principal, Oliver
Wyman)
PROJECT MANAGEMENT
Sarojini Davis (Project Manager, Oliver Wyman Labs); Wing Yi Kan (Associate, Oliver Wyman);
Lucy Nottingham (Director, Global Risk Center, Marsh & McLennan Companies); Zoe Valette
(Consultant, Oliver Wyman); Andrea Buser (Manager Trilemma & Issues Monitor, World
Energy Council)
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WORLD ENERGY COUNCIL | ENERGY TRILEMMA INDEX
MATAR AL NEYADI
Vice Chair Special Responsibility
Gulf States/Middle East
NUER BAIKELI
Vice Chair Asia
KLAUS-DIETER BARBKNECHT
Vice Chair Finance
LEONHARD BIRNBAUM
Vice Chair Europe
OLEG BUDARGIN
Vice Chair Responsibility for
Regional Development
JEAN-MARIE DAUGER
Chair Communications & Strategy Committee
BONANG MOHALE
Vice Chair Africa
SHIGERU MURAKI
Vice Chair Asia Pacific/South Asia
BRIAN A. STATHAM
Chair Studies Committee
---------------------------------------
CHRISTOPH FREI
Secretary General
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World Energy Trilemma Index | 2016 published by the World Energy Council (2016) in
partnership with OLIVER WYMAN.
Copyright 2016 World Energy Council. All rights reserved. All or part of this publication
may be used or reproduced as long as the following citation is included on each copy or
transmission: Used by permission of the World Energy Council.www.worldenergy.org
145
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