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Background: Treatment of latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) is rifampicin-only regimens (OR, 0.41 [CrI, 0.19 to 0.85]), rifampicin-
an important component of tuberculosis (TB) control, and this isoniazid regimens of 3 to 4 months (OR, 0.53 [CrI, 0.36 to 0.78]),
study updates a previous network meta-analysis of the best LTBI rifampicin-isoniazid-pyrazinamide regimens (OR, 0.35 [CrI, 0.19
treatment options to inform public health action and program- to 0.61]), and rifampicin-pyrazinamide regimens (OR, 0.53 [CrI,
matic management of LTBI. 0.33 to 0.84]) were efcacious compared with placebo. Evidence
existed for efcacy of weekly rifapentine-isoniazid regimens
Purpose: To evaluate the comparative efcacy and harms of compared with no treatment (OR, 0.36 [CrI, 0.18 to 0.73]). No
LTBI treatment regimens aimed at preventing active TB among conclusive evidence showed that HIV status altered treatment
adults and children. efcacy.
Data Sources: PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science from in- Limitation: Evidence was sparse for many comparisons and
dexing to 8 May 2017; clinical trial registries; and conference hepatotoxicity outcomes, and risk of bias was high or unknown
abstracts. No language restrictions were applied. for many studies.
Study Selection: Randomized controlled trials that evaluated Conclusion: Evidence exists for the efcacy and safety of
human LTBI treatments and recorded at least 1 of 2 prespecied 6-month isoniazid monotherapy, rifampicin monotherapy, and
end points (hepatotoxicity and prevention of active TB). combination therapies with 3 to 4 months of isoniazid and
Data Extraction: 2 investigators independently extracted data rifampicin.
from eligible studies and assessed study quality according to a Primary Funding Source: U.K. National Institute for Health Re-
standard protocol. search. (PROSPERO: CRD42016037871)
Data Synthesis: The network meta-analysis of 8 new and 53 Ann Intern Med. doi:10.7326/M17-0609 Annals.org
previously included studies showed that isoniazid regimens of 6 For author afliations, see end of text.
months (odds ratio [OR], 0.65 [95% credible interval {CrI}, 0.50 This article was published at Annals.org on 1 August 2017.
to 0.83]) or 12 to 72 months (OR, 0.50 [CrI, 0.41 to 0.62]), * Drs. Stagg and van der Werf share joint last authorship.
studies and those that had insufcient information on ow charts, for which we used PowerPoint for Mac
one or both of our main end points (hepatotoxicity and (Microsoft).
development of active TB). As in our previous study, 2
Role of the Funding Source
of 5 potential reviewers (D.Z., N.B., H.R.S., M.C.L., and
The U.K. National Institute for Health Research had
M.v.d.W.) independently screened titles, abstracts, and
no inuence or role in this review.
full-text articles and resolved discrepancies by consen-
sus or, if needed, by consultation with a third reviewer.
Data Extraction and Quality Assessment RESULTS
Two reviewers (D.Z. and N.B.) independently ex- We identied 1576 articles in the database search,
tracted data to a standardized template, which in- and of these, 1434 were left after deduplication (Sup-
cluded details of the study, population, follow-up, treat- plement Figure 1; all supplement tables and gures are
ment regimens, and outcomes of interest. Study quality available at Annals.org). Eight articles were selected
was assessed by the same 2 reviewers using Higgins and used to update or add to the 53 studies included in
and colleagues' quality assessment tool (10). Disagree- the original review (Supplement Table 1). Two of the
ments were resolved in consultation with a third re- added reports provided data from studies that had
viewer (M.v.d.W.). been included in the original review (12, 13). Saman-
dari and colleagues' 2015 article (12) overlapped with
Data Synthesis and Analysis
their 2011 article (14); the former was used to provide
We compared both of the main outcomes, active
an update for the outcome of development to active TB
TB prevention and hepatotoxicity, using conventional
but did not report any additional hepatotoxicity results.
random-effects meta-analysis and an NMA approach.
Sterling and associates' 2016 article (13) provided an
Analyses included grouping and stratifying treatment
update solely for the persons living with HIV included in
regimens and estimating differences in treatment ef-
their original 2011 article (15). In the interest of analytic
fects between groups using ratios of odds ratios (RORs)
power, we thus retained the earlier study for the overall
according to study-level variables, as described by
analysis but used the later study for the HIV-stratied
Stagg and colleagues (Supplement) (7). Predened
analysis. Danel and colleagues (16) included 4 groups,
stratied analyses required study populations to be
2 comparing patients with deferred antiretroviral ther-
grouped by HIV status (HIV-positive, nonHIV-positive
apy (ART) and 2 comparing patients with early ART ini-
[including low-proportion HIV-positive, dened as
tiation. We extracted and analyzed data separately for
5%], or not stated), age (adults vs. children), immuno-
both groups. Two additional trials were initially consid-
suppression status (as a result of HIV infection or other
ered but then excluded from our analysis. Hosseinipour
conditions), and TB incidence when and where the RCT
and associates (17) compared preventive with active TB
was done (high vs. low). The robustness of the HIV strat-
treatments in an HIV-positive population (not compara-
ication was also tested by sensitivity analysis using a
ble to our eligible studies), and Torre-Cisneros and col-
stricter denition of nonHIV-positive status (only stud-
leagues (18) compared levooxacin with an isoniazid
ies where being HIV-positive was an exclusion criterion
(INH) preventive treatment regimen in transplant recip-
and those from before 1990, when endemic levels
ients. The trial was stopped early for toxicity events and
were low) (11).
did not yield interpretable efcacy or toxicity data due
Study and review quality were also analyzed as pre-
to heterogeneity among the groups, among other
viously. We assessed the effect of study quality do-
reasons.
mains (such as blinding, allocation concealment, ran-
Four of the new articles contained extractable data
domization, and outcome assessment) on estimated
on hepatotoxicity (12, 16, 19, 20), and all 8 on develop-
treatment efcacy by estimating RORs between studies
ment of active TB (12, 13, 16, 19 23). Of the 8 reports,
with adequate domains and those with inadequate or
6 were done in countries with high incidence of TB (12,
unclear domains. Publication bias was similarly as-
16, 19, 2123) and 6 were done solely in persons living
sessed to determine whether average SEs of log odds
with HIV (12, 13, 16, 19 21). All new studies included
ratios for each study were associated with a difference
INH monotherapy in at least 1 group; in addition, 1
in estimated treatment efcacy. We examined network
included INH-rifapentine (RPT) (13), 1 included INH-
consistency by informally comparing estimated treat-
ethambutol (EMB) (23), and 1 included both INH-
ment effects from NMA with those from standard pair-
rifampicin (RMP) and INH-pyrazinamide (PZA) (20)
wise meta-analysis and by comparing deviance infor-
(Supplement Table 2). Sixteen regimens were thus in-
mation criterion statistics for the NMA using an
cluded in the evidence network, 1 more (INH-EMB for
inconsistency model. In this model, the difference be-
12 months) than in the previous review (Table 1 and
tween comparisons is unconstrained, rather than the
Figures 1 and 2).
usual NMA assumption of consistent treatment effects
for different comparisons. Study Quality
We used STATA, version 13 (StataCorp), for data Many newly included studies had high or unknown
processing and classical analysis and WinBUGS, version risk of bias (Supplement Table 3). However, as previ-
1.4.3 (Medical Research Council Biostatistics Unit of ously, all indicators for high risk of bias were associated
the University of Cambridge), for the Bayesian NMA. with only weak evidence for modication of treatment
Most gures were also produced with STATA, except efcacy; for instance, inadequate or unclear allocation
2 Annals of Internal Medicine Annals.org
Table 1. ORs and Treatment Rankings for the Prevention of Active TB, Derived From the Network Meta-analysis
Regimen OR vs. Placebo (95% CrI) OR vs. No Treatment (95% CrI) Rank (95% CrI)
No treatment 1.62 (1.062.47) 1.00 (reference) 16 (1416)
Placebo 1.00 (reference) 0.62 (0.410.94) 13 (1115)
INH 34 mo 0.93 (0.551.50) 0.57 (0.311.02) 13 (815)
INH 6 mo 0.65 (0.500.83) 0.40 (0.260.60) 10 (712)
INH 9 mo 0.75 (0.351.62) 0.46 (0.220.95) 11 (415)
INH 1272 mo 0.50 (0.410.62) 0.31 (0.210.47) 6 (410)
RFB-INH 0.30 (0.051.50) 0.18 (0.030.95) 3 (115)
RFB-INH (high) 0.30 (0.051.52) 0.19 (0.030.98) 3 (115)
RPT-INH 0.58 (0.301.12) 0.36 (0.180.73) 8 (314)
RMP 0.41 (0.190.85) 0.25 (0.110.57) 5 (112)
RMP-INH 1 mo 1.05 (0.372.77) 0.65 (0.231.71) 14 (416)
RMP-INH 34 mo 0.53 (0.360.78) 0.33 (0.200.54) 7 (411)
RMP-INH-PZA 0.35 (0.190.61) 0.21 (0.110.41) 3 (18)
RMP-PZA 0.53 (0.330.84) 0.33 (0.180.58) 7 (312)
INH-EMB 0.87 (0.322.36) 0.54 (0.191.56) 12 (416)
INH-EMB 12 mo 0.20 (0.040.82) 0.12 (0.020.54) 2 (111)
CrI = credible interval; EMB = ethambutol; INH = isoniazid; OR = odds ratio; PZA = pyrazinamide; RFB = rifabutin; RMP = rifampicin; RPT =
rifapentine; TB = tuberculosis.
2
standard meta-analysis suggest that the RMP-only and
9
7
RMP
34 mo
RPT-INH regimens had lower rates of hepatotoxicity
3
17
than an INH-only regimen of 6, 9, or 12 to 72 months
No 8
treatment RMP-
(Supplement Table 7 and Supplement Figure 3). RMP-
INH INH regimens also had lower hepatotoxicity than the
2 1 mo
Placebo
INH-only regimen, although evidence for this was good
2
2
RMP- only when compared with INH regimens of 12 to 72
2 4m
RMP- RMP- 2
INH months. We found good evidence that regimens con-
PZA INH- 34 mo
PZA taining PZA had higher hepatotoxicity compared with 6
months of INH or 12 weeks of RPT-INH. No data were
INH- available on the hepatotoxicity of the RFB-INH and INH-
INH-
3 EMB 6
EMB 12 RFB-INH EMB regimens. Stratifying the results on the basis of
INH mo
1272 mo immunosuppression, HIV status, and TB incidence did
INH 9 mo
mo not affect our conclusions.
RFB-INH
INH 6 (high)
mo 2 Inconsistency
2
INH 34
5 Comparing inconsistency models with consistency
mo
RPT-INH models found no evidence that the additional complex-
3
2 ity of the former was required (Supplement Figure 4).
However, because this study used a full random-effects
2 RMP
34 mo
model and the data exhibited a moderate level of
9 7
2 between-study heterogeneity, the power to detect in-
17 5
No consistency was low and this result cannot be inter-
treatment RMP-
INH preted as conclusive evidence of network consistency.
2 2
1 mo Results from 4 studies, including that of Ma and col-
Placebo
2
leagues (23), were extreme in comparison with other
RMP-
RMP- RMP-
2 INH studies, but these data points tted poorly in both the
2
PZA INH- 34 mo NMA and the inconsistency model, indicating extreme
PZA
heterogeneity rather than nontransitivity.
Publication Bias
2 INH- INH- RFB-INH
INH EMB 6 EMB 12 RFB-INH (high) In a pairwise meta-analysis, no evidence suggested
1272 mo mo
INH 9 mo
that treatment effects had been exaggerated in smaller
mo
studies (a proxy for publication bias) in any of the com-
INH 6 2
mo parisons (Harbord test P 0.300). In NMA, the covari-
INH 34 RPT-INH ate effect for study SE indicated that estimated treat-
mo
ment effects tended to show a greater benet in
3
3 smaller, less precise studies, although this result was
RMP
2 2
34 mo
not statistically signicant (ROR per 0.2-change in SE,
6 0.83 [CrI, 0.66 to 1.04]) (Supplement Figure 5).
2
4 RMP-
No 5
treatment INH
1 mo
Placebo RMP-
2 INH Unlabeled connections indicate 1 study reporting that treatment pair;
34 mo for 2 or more studies, lines are proportionally thicker and labeled with
RMP- RMP- the number of studies. Color coding indicates classes of treatment.
PZA INH-
PZA
Dotted boxes indicate a lack of data. RFB-INH: RFB, 300 mg, plus INH,
750 mg, twice weekly for 3 mo; RFB-INH high: RFB, 600 mg, plus INH,
750 mg, twice weekly for 3 mo. EMB = ethambutol; INH = isoniazid;
PZA = pyrazinamide; RFB = rifabutin; RMP = rifampicin; RPT = rifapen-
tine. Top. For all studies. Middle. For those with active tuberculosis
data. Bottom. For those with hepatotoxicity data.
Figure 2. Comparison of odds ratios for active tuberculosis obtained from random-effects pairwise meta-analysis with
corresponding estimates from NMA.
INH 12 mo
vs. INH-EMB
vs. RMP-INH 3 mo
vs. RMP-PZA
vs. RPT-INH
INH 4 mo
vs. INH 12 mo
vs. INH 6 mo
vs. RMP-INH 1 mo
vs. RMP-INH 3 mo
vs. RMP-INH-PZA
INH 6 mo
vs. INH 12 mo
vs. RFB-INH
vs. RFB-INH (high)
vs. RMP
vs. RMP-INH 3 mo
vs. RMP-INH-PZA
vs. RMP-PZA
vs. RPT-INH
INH 9 mo
vs. RMP-INH 3 mo
vs. RPT-INH
No treatment
vs. INH 12 mo
vs. INH 4 mo
vs. INH 6 mo
vs. INH 9 mo
vs. RMP-INH 1 mo
vs. RMP-INH 3 mo
vs. RMP-INH-PZA
vs. RMP-PZA
Placebo
vs. INH 12 mo
vs. INH 4 mo
vs. INH 6 mo
vs. INH-EMB 12 mo
vs. RMP
vs. RMP-INH 3 mo
vs. RMP-INH-PZA
vs. RMP-PZA
RMP
vs. RMP-INH 3 mo
vs. RMP-PZA
RMP-INH 1 mo
vs. RMP-INH 3 mo
vs. RMP-INH-PZA
RMP-INH 3 mo
vs. RMP-INH-PZA
vs. RMP-PZA
RPT-INH
vs. RMP-INH 3 mo
vs. RMP-PZA
Direct NMA
Where data on direct comparisons of treatment pairs are available for active tuberculosis, these may be pooled by means of standard meta-analysis
for each pair of treatments in turn. The resulting estimates are then compared with those obtained from the NMA analysis, which incorporates
indirect evidence and the overall network structure in addition to the direct evidence. EMB = ethambutol; INH = isoniazid; NMA = network
meta-analysis; PZA = pyrazinamide; RFB = rifabutin; RMP = rifampicin; RPT = rifapentine.
Table 2. ORs and Treatment Rankings for Hepatotoxicity, Derived From the Network Meta-analysis
Regimen OR vs. Placebo (95% CrI) OR vs. No Treatment (95% CrI) Rank (95% CrI)
No treatment 0.24 (0.060.75) 1.00 (reference) 4 (27)
Placebo 1.00 (reference) 4.12 (1.3315.88) 9 (710)
INH 6 mo 0.27 (0.100.60) 1.10 (0.403.17) 5 (37)
INH 9 mo 0.41 (0.081.62) 1.70 (0.358.05) 6 (310)
INH 1272 mo 0.66 (0.261.32) 2.72 (0.967.44) 8 (610)
RPT-INH 0.13 (0.030.42) 0.52 (0.132.15) 2 (15)
RMP 0.03 (<0.020.16) 0.14 (0.020.81) 1 (12)
RMP-INH 34 mo 0.17 (0.050.46) 0.72 (0.212.37) 3 (26)
RMP-INH-PZA 0.58 (0.073.72) 2.41 (0.2520.02) 7 (210)
RMP-PZA 0.80 (0.252.17) 3.32 (0.9911.23) 9 (610)
CrI = credible interval; INH = isoniazid; OR = odds ratio; PZA = pyrazinamide; RMP = rifampicin; RPT = rifapentine.
highly correlated with year of publication; more recent fects reported in our pairwise results could be slightly
studies were also associated with a modest decrease in overestimated.
treatment efcacy, so some confounding may exist. The main limitation of our work is the underlying
In addition to a regimen's efcacy, toxicity, and risk studies, many of which have a high risk of bias, are
for adverse events, 3 other key factors should be con- small, or use nonstandard end point denitions. Many
sidered when making recommendations in clinical publications reported on overlapping RCT populations;
practice: cost, length of treatment, and pill burden. A we carefully avoided double counting by applying stan-
recent systematic review showed that shorter regimens dard inclusion rules to these studies. In general, this
were associated with higher treatment completion meant including the study with the largest cohort and
rates (25). The relatively brief 3-month RPT-based regi- longest follow-up, which was often the most recent
men, with only 12 doses, has obvious advantages in work. Because LTBI reactivation risk is usually highest
shortened treatment length. Publications focusing on a shortly after infection, prolonging cohort follow-up time
general population (15), HIV-infected persons (13), and may lead to decreased effect estimates, particularly for
children and adolescents (26) have demonstrated long-term regimens. Our replacement of efcacy esti-
good efcacy and safety. Unfortunately, because these mates from Samandari and colleagues' 2011 article
publications derive from the same core study, they add (14) with those from their 2015 article (12) demon-
limited evidence to our network. strated this; the efcacy of 36 months' INH treatment
Few other systematic reviews on this topic have waned over time. It is possible, therefore, that our anal-
been published recently. Our search revealed 2 articles ysis provides conservative efcacy estimates in some
in which LTBI treatment efcacy and toxicity were part
instances, particularly for longer regimens and in set-
of a wider review (27, 28) and 3 that focused on specic
tings with a high TB burden where the potential for
populations, 2 on children (29, 30) and 1 on HIV-
reinfection is greater. We tested for publication bias;
infected adults (31). The study collection in these re-
however, our ability to do so was limited for some com-
views was more restricted than ours, but the results of
parisons owing to sparse data. Lastly, although we pro-
all studies are compatible with ours.
vide stratied analyses for many covariates, including
Our search also revealed 2 ongoing registered tri-
HIV co-infection, little evidence exists on how concom-
als. One of these (NCT02651259), which aims to evalu-
ate the pharmacokinetics, acceptability, and safety of itantly administered treatments, such as HIV ART, may
the RPT-INH regimen in pregnant and postpartum affect LTBI treatment efcacy. Although some recent
women, is expected to complete recruitment in De- insights (34) have shown that beginning ART early
cember 2018 (32). The other (NCT02980016) is a prag- affects TB incidenceindependent of LTBI treatment
matic trial that investigates incidence and treatment (16) data points were too limited to include ART as a
completion rates in an HIV-positive population, com- cofactor in our analysis.
paring a single RPT-INH course with a 6-month INH reg- In conclusion, despite limitations that include qual-
imen and with a periodic RPT-INH regimen (33). This ity and reporting standards of the underlying studies,
trial is scheduled to complete recruitment in June the evidence for safety and efcacy of most standard
2019. Both trials look at important aspects of RPT- treatment regimens is robust (although evidence re-
based regimens and support the much-needed devel- mains sparse for the 9-month INH regimen). The evi-
opment of shorter LTBI treatment regimens with less dence for rifamycin-containing regimens, including
frequent doses. RPT, is improving. More evidence is needed, particu-
Our study presents 2 parallel forms of meta- larly for RPT-based regimens; for the INH-RMP combi-
analysis. Effect estimates can sometimes show greater nation; for alternative treatments with a shorter dura-
benet in pairwise comparisons than in NMA, with the tion and lower pill burden; and to assess the effect of
latter constraining treatment effects to be consistent covariates, such as ART. It is reassuring nonetheless to
across comparisons. Although the difference was not reafrm the strengthening evidence for shorter rifamy-
statistically signicant, it is possible that treatment ef- cin regimens.
6 Annals of Internal Medicine Annals.org
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