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RESUMEN
El objetivo del presente trabajo es el tratamiento estadstico de la informacin hidrolgica
de los registros histricos de precipitaciones obtenidas en la micro cuenca del rio chonta. Para
ello se desarrolla mediante anlisis de saltos, anlisis de tendencias. Los resultados obtenidos al
aplicar esta metodologa son las precipitaciones corregidas por saltos, tendencias. Una vez
realizado el tratamiento estadstico la muestra queda libre de saltos y corregidas por tendencias.
PALABRAS CLAVE: anlisis estadstico, anlisis de tendencias, anlisis de saltos.
1. INTRODUCCION
Los registros de precipitaciones mensuales anuales de la micro cuenca del rio chonta, se
someten a un proceso de anlisis de saltos y anlisis de tendencias.
2. OBJETIVOS
2.1. OBJETIVO GENERAL
1
HIDROLOGIA ESTADISTICA-UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
3. MARCO TEORICO
3.1.ANALISIS DE SALTOS
1
2 = 1 =1 ; 2 () = [ 1 =1(
2 )2 ]2 (2)
1 1 2
Donde:
(
1 2 )(1 2 )
= (3)
Donde:
1 2 = 0 (por hiptesis, la hiptesis es que las medias son iguales)
Quedando;
(
1 2)
=
(4)
Siendo:
= Desviacin de las diferencias de los promedios
2
HIDROLOGIA ESTADISTICA-UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
1 =
Si |Tc| Tt (95%) 2 (estadsticamente) HP; no se corrige la
informacion.
1
Si |Tc|> Tt (95%) 2 (estadsticamente) HA; se corrige la
informacion.
2 ()
= 12 () Si 12 () > 22 () (5)
2
2 ()
= 22 () Si 12 () > 22 () (6)
1
3.3.ANALISIS DE TENDENCIAS
a. Tendencia en la media
= + + 2 + (7)
Ecuacin de regresin lineal simple
Donde:
3
HIDROLOGIA ESTADISTICA-UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
Tm = tendencia en la media
, , = coeficiente de los polinomios de regresin, que deben
ser estimulados con los datos.
Los parmetros de regresin de estas ecuaciones, pueden ser estimados por el
mtodo de mnimos cuadrados o por el mtodo de regresin lineal mltiple.
b. Evaluacin de la tendencia Tm
Donde:
= Valor del estadstico t calculado
n = nmero total de datos
R = coeficiente de correlacin
Calculo de t:
GL = n1 1
GL = n2 1
4. MATERIAL Y METODOS
4.1.MATERIAL
- Precipitaciones mensuales anuales de las estaciones (Augusto WeberBauer,
Granja Porcon, Yanacocha, Maqui Maqui, Huacataz, Encaada, Jess,
Carachugo, Namora, chamis).
- Excel
4.2.METODOS
- El tratamiento estadstico de la informacion hidrolgica de las estaciones en
estudio se realiz mediante un anlisis de consistencia, anlisis de doble masa
(identificacin de saltos y cuantificacin de saltos), anlisis de tendencias
(tendencia en la media, tendencia en la varianza).
4
HIDROLOGIA ESTADISTICA-UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
5. RESULTADOS Y DISCUSIN
5.1.RESULTADOS
ANEXO 1. Registros histricos de precipitacin mensual anual acumulada (mm) y anlisis visual
de saltos.
Estacin: Weberbauer Latitud: 709 S Departamento: Cajamarca
Longitud: 78 29 W Provincia: Cajamarca
Altitud: 2660 msnm Distrito Cajamarca
N AO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC TOTAL
1 1,965 78.2 100.7 91.0 78.1 10.4 0.0 6.2 0.0 49.2 83.6 66.0 67.9 631.3
2 1,966 62.7 45.9 54.5 47.9 40.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 13.1 76.8 62.7 18.7 423.0
3 1,967 120.9 139.5 109.1 32.3 44.1 10.3 28.4 5.8 24.9 101.0 17.8 36.7 670.8
4 1,968 58.0 81.0 67.7 26.6 14.9 1.6 1.6 16.2 50.0 66.4 54.6 70.8 509.4
5 1,969 42.0 73.7 83.5 85.7 1.5 19.6 0.3 8.5 18.4 67.3 106.4 162.0 668.9
6 1,970 71.0 41.8 79.9 54.5 33.8 19.9 3.2 2.5 18.2 103.0 51.4 54.1 533.3
7 1,971 58.4 97.8 275.7 54.7 8.0 12.2 17.6 17.2 28.1 89.8 45.8 66.5 771.8
8 1,972 55.5 67.6 113.8 76.2 18.1 4.4 3.4 20.6 30.1 31.4 66.5 50.2 537.8
9 1,973 95.3 70.7 92.5 101.6 23.7 28.7 8.4 19.3 91.0 67.0 65.5 75.0 738.7
10 1,974 61.6 140.0 89.1 59.0 4.6 17.3 6.5 27.6 38.7 70.7 55.1 76.8 647.0
11 1,975 95.6 156.5 202.0 68.8 66.8 10.0 7.2 19.3 45.1 80.2 65.1 0.9 817.5
12 1,976 130.4 62.9 81.3 34.5 43.0 23.0 0.1 4.4 12.3 32.2 71.6 44.4 540.1
13 1,977 129.9 146.4 141.9 42.6 25.5 8.0 7.5 0.1 16.1 53.4 54.8 68.2 694.4
14 1,978 12.7 34.4 48.8 37.0 65.6 3.9 4.4 3.8 25.0 24.4 54.0 44.8 358.8
15 1,979 84.1 81.6 159.7 37.1 16.3 1.8 7.5 15.7 33.6 24.4 26.3 46.6 534.7
16 1,980 34.9 42.4 65.0 29.3 6.9 15.1 3.2 6.7 2.3 130.4 111.0 106.7 553.9
17 1,981 78.2 186.5 105.7 33.7 14.7 6.6 7.2 12.1 22.0 111.9 45.6 111.3 735.5
18 1,982 71.7 102.9 75.7 88.7 38.2 7.8 2.1 6.6 43.9 124.8 67.3 87.4 717.1
19 1,983 116.6 75.7 152.8 105.7 31.1 10.1 9.6 2.7 19.2 86.9 28.1 118.4 756.9
20 1,984 24.7 233.6 123.8 80.0 69.5 25.1 23.4 18.7 36.7 68.6 97.6 104.1 905.8
21 1,985 24.6 42.4 37.2 41.9 53.0 0.4 4.8 18.3 37.3 50.0 23.9 40.3 374.1
22 1,986 84.4 47.7 96.8 120.2 16.2 0.6 1.2 14.6 1.3 43.6 66.2 51.8 544.6
23 1,987 98.2 95.2 39.2 52.2 9.1 4.0 10.8 12.3 39.5 37.2 74.3 61.5 533.5
24 1,988 109.7 105.5 44.8 95.6 10.6 5.4 0.0 0.4 32.9 69.2 65.2 63.4 602.7
25 1,989 87.0 158.8 113.6 85.4 18.8 16.7 3.2 5.9 53.5 106.6 47.1 2.7 699.3
26 1,990 101.0 68.5 58.3 27.4 29.5 24.6 0.8 7.1 20.1 87.6 99.1 72.3 596.3
27 1,991 43.8 90.0 133.7 55.2 19.7 0.7 0.4 0.3 10.2 28.2 55.1 71.9 509.2
28 1,992 52.6 31.8 66.6 46.5 18.9 21.2 4.6 10.0 40.8 64.0 32.0 31.4 420.4
29 1,993 61.0 112.2 245.0 102.9 30.2 1.9 3.3 2.9 51.4 106.3 71.4 84.1 872.6
30 1,994 116.9 103.1 170.2 144.9 35.3 3.3 0.0 0.2 11.9 27.2 89.8 122.6 825.4
31 1,995 44.7 108.3 75.7 49.7 20.6 1.7 13.2 10.8 11.5 51.8 50.5 76.4 514.9
32 1,996 65.2 124.0 120.1 50.4 13.7 0.8 0.5 15.8 13.9 76.2 68.6 34.1 583.3
33 1,997 63.8 152.9 26.5 40.4 17.0 15.4 0.2 0.0 27.4 50.8 111.9 129.4 635.7
34 1,998 103.0 116.5 257.0 83.9 19.6 4.8 1.3 4.7 17.8 79.6 29.1 47.9 765.2
35 1,999 94.8 242.7 69.5 65.0 53.7 22.8 22.1 1.2 81.4 21.7 77.0 68.8 820.7
36 2,000 46.0 162.3 126.3 77.3 40.5 15.6 2.1 13.4 56.6 9.9 44.5 122.3 716.8
37 2,001 191.2 100.8 230.2 57.2 48.1 2.3 13.9 0.0 34.4 46.2 93.4 90.9 908.6
38 2,002 27.0 60.8 133.1 77.2 23.0 8.8 10.7 3.4 14.6 90.3 99.9 86.1 634.9
39 2,003 51.1 61.4 103.6 42.1 30.7 22.3 1.8 10.6 14.8 46.0 63.8 80.7 528.9
40 2,004 36.1 102.0 56.9 44.5 42.4 2.1 13.8 19.0 63.4 92.6 123.7 102.0 698.5
41 2,005 84.9 119.3 136.0 54.0 7.2 4.5 0.6 3.5 31.2 92.3 30.0 87.8 651.3
42 2,006 83.2 101.6 199.3 77.6 7.7 23.9 1.8 6.1 33.6 12.7 60.4 81.7 689.6
43 2,007 95.4 17.5 182.4 111.5 24.0 1.4 10.7 6.4 11.6 118.9 97.6 68.8 746.2
FUENTE: Elaboracin propia.
5
HIDROLOGIA ESTADISTICA-UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
HISTOGRAMA WEBERBAUER
300.0
PRECIPITACION (mm)
250.0
200.0
150.0
100.0
50.0
0.0
ene-65 jun-70 dic-75 jun-81 nov-86 may-92 nov-97 may-03
Tiempo (meses)
1 1,995 20.6 145 154.6 84.5 72.5 14.2 3.9 3.6 22.2 70.4 156.2 168.9 916.6
2 1,996 79 155.2 184.9 97.8 55.1 22.9 2.8 10.4 29.1 146.3 55.4 83.3 922.2
3 1,997 94.2 125.2 74.9 63.5 25.1 9.4 6.1 2.3 25.9 89.7 136.4 118.6 771.3
4 1,998 57.4 192.5 161 119.4 93.4 5.8 0.4 1.6 18 155.4 160.8 47.4 1013.1
1,999 162.4 315.2 137.4 69.6 101.4 93.2 17 7.2 123.6 58 110.2 238
5 1433.2
2,000 86.4 226.2 196.2 97.6 68.4 26.4 5 35.8 136.4 9.6 55.2 147.8
6 1091.0
7 2,001 243.2 148.8 257.4 99.6 65.4 6.8 12.8 3.4 72 124.6 170.4 193.6 1398.0
8 2,002 53 106.6 193 168.6 35.2 15.8 18.4 3.3 40.8 195.6 134 207.2 1171.5
2,003 92.4 101.6 113.8 25.6 9.4 13.2 4.4 4.4 13.4 18 22.4 118.7
9 537.3
2,004 95.7 67.1 110 71.5 21.6 7.4 22.1 8.7 55.6 115.6 187 203
10 965.3
2,005 116.3 140.2 325.7 122.9 30.5 17.5 11.4 17.8 36.8 292.4 73.9 229.4
11 1414.8
2,006 91.4 257.3 270.8 122.4 21.6 58.7 9.7 22.6 33 140 168.9 276.6
12 1473.0
2,007 120.13 72.39 236.23 137.41 67.29 6.33 51.03 37.06 33.24 233.95 194.82 108.21
13 1298.1
FUENTE: Elaboracin propia.
HISTOGRAMA-MAQUI MAQUI
350.0
PRECIPITACION (mm)
300.0
250.0
200.0
150.0
100.0
50.0
0.0
ene-95 may-96 sep-97 feb-99 jun-00 nov-01 mar-03 ago-04 dic-05 abr-07
Tiempo (meses)
6
HIDROLOGIA ESTADISTICA-UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
1 1,998 135.8 216.4 120.2 77.2 84.6 13.2 0.3 1.3 35.8 187.2 143.5 45.2 1060.7
2 1,999 150.5 373.4 167.1 65.5 74.4 109 17 17.3 218.2 58.4 178.6 175.3 1604.7
3 2,000 61.6 269.2 239.5 122.9 53.8 31.2 8.6 21.3 189 38.1 41.9 169.1 1246.2
4 2,001 259.3 93 218 64 13.7 3.6 5.2 0 39.1 125.4 147.8 177.8 1146.9
5 2,002 120.4 130.6 305 167.7 29.2 4.6 14.7 0.8 50.5 181.9 144.3 98.8 1248.5
2,003 104.4 103.6 149.3 109.7 41.9 21.3 0 0 61.3 57.8 103.2 133.8
6 886.3
2,004 108.8 96 179.3 120.9 59.4 10.7 21.8 9.1 65 134.1 206.3 222.3
7 1233.7
8 2,005 151.4 134.9 354.3 83.3 59.7 8.9 10.2 27.7 35.8 260.8 112 195.6 1434.6
9 2,006 91.4 205 287.8 137.2 18 60.4 13 13.2 44.5 130.6 179.6 247.4 1428.1
2,007 173.99 63.23 237.47 205.46 58.89 3.3 25.89 23.86 49.53 234.67 384.32 178.57
10 1639.2
FUENTE: Elaboracin propia.
HISTOGRAMA-YANACOCHA
500.0
PRECIPITACION (mm)
400.0
300.0
200.0
100.0
0.0
ene-98 may-99 sep-00 feb-02 jun-03 nov-04 mar-06 ago-07
Tiempo (meses)
1 1,994 92.8 137.7 225.6 169.2 26.2 5.7 0.3 0.0 13.2 11.3 54.8 129.1 865.9
2 1,995 37.3 114.0 70.9 57.4 20.4 3.5 5.2 8.8 7.7 74.1 56.9 89.5 545.7
3 1,996 76.8 112.0 142.0 97.2 18.2 7.0 0.5 15.8 18.2 78.8 45.5 17.2 629.2
4 1,997 75.6 125.1 30.9 71.2 16.0 8.2 0.6 1.2 31.3 72.4 102.2 153.9 688.6
5 1,998 137.4 144.2 165.2 91.0 18.2 2.8 0.0 2.2 20.0 64.7 37.1 72.7 755.5
6 1,999 97.3 252.4 93.7 57.6 47.7 25.4 2.0 7.6 75.6 23.3 65.3 77.4 825.3
7 2,000 50.1 145.3 137.9 53.4 50.8 19.2 3.7 21.6 36.9 6.3 41.0 137.9 704.1
8 2,001 231.5 115.0 236.8 27.5 40.3 5.4 3.7 0.3 29.9 99.0 81.9 106.8 978.1
9 2,002 36.7 59.6 182.5 68.1 17.7 3.8 7.6 0.0 25.0 135.2 82.3 97.8 716.3
FUENTE: Elaboracin propia.
7
HIDROLOGIA ESTADISTICA-UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
HISTOGRAMA-JESS
300.0
PRECIPITACION (mm)
250.0
200.0
150.0
100.0
50.0
0.0
ene-94 may-95 sep-96 feb-98 jun-99 nov-00 mar-02
Tiempo (meses)
1 1,993 143.2 190.8 236.3 173.7 37.0 49.0 1.3 3.4 60.3 133.0 155.0 274.4 1457.4
2 1,994 240.7 252.3 230.7 226.4 62.9 15.0 22.1 4.6 50.0 108.0 126.0 169.4 1508.1
3 1,995 60.5 193.0 199.1 165.4 89.2 2.8 45.5 6.1 32.0 72.6 193.5 261.1 1320.8
4 1,996 158.5 198.6 214.6 96.3 49.0 58.2 1.8 26.2 38.4 176.9 35.6 49.0 1103.1
1,997 116.3 136.9 62.5 83.0 43.4 18.8 6.9 0.8 64.0 148.2 179.7 134.3
5 994.8
1,998 101.0 216.6 201.4 158.8 97.4 11.0 1.0 1.2 23.0 186.8 138.8 44.2
6 1181.2
1,999 177.0 352.4 169.6 79.6 94.6 134.6 23.9 11.7 200.9 110.7 188.5 281.4
7 1824.9
2,000 87.3 257.6 206.2 92.2 83.0 27.6 4.2 26.4 189.6 14.8 39.4 172.0
8 1200.3
2,001 326.8 179.0 309.6 104.4 61.8 8.1 18.4 2.8 73.8 121.2 245.8 213.9
9 1665.6
2,002 63.2 150.0 306.4 214.2 38.4 13.8 16.4 0.8 43.2 195.2 150.0 246.2
10 1437.8
2,003 135.2 102.4 209.6 87.8 135.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 59.6 109.2 240.4 186.3
11 1265.9
2,004 99.3 94.2 232.9 119.6 60.9 5.8 0.3 8.6 93.2 156.1 333.2 336.3
12 1540.4
2,005 186.7 201.7 394.7 199.1 66.8 19.3 13.7 10.9 48.0 279.4 77.5 233.4
13 1731.2
2,006 105.2 258.3 327.1 157.2 13.0 58.4 11.7 3.5 34.3 130.8 190.3 339.9
14 1629.7
2,007 147.1 78.0 244.3 195.6 71.1 3.3 23.6 32.8 27.4 274.3 252.7 147.3
15 1497.5
FUENTE: Elaboracin propia.
HISTOGRAMA-CARACHUGO
500.0
PRECIPITACION (mm)
400.0
300.0
200.0
100.0
0.0
ene-93 sep-95 jun-98 mar-01 dic-03 sep-06
Tiempo (meses)
8
HIDROLOGIA ESTADISTICA-UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
1 1,965 45.4 67.2 130.2 70.5 27.6 0.8 4.7 7.9 45.7 103.8 51.1 85.4 640.3
2 1,966 39.0 35.2 24.7 29.2 42.7 3.8 14.2 0.5 41.7 101.8 43.3 14.5 390.6
3 1,967 137.1 149.0 111.5 39.1 30.0 4.7 8.2 6.3 15.5 132.5 52.3 49.1 735.3
4 1,968 67.8 68.7 33.9 26.5 34.2 0.3 1.7 17.2 39.8 81.0 12.2 65.9 449.2
5 1,969 21.0 137.0 90.4 83.4 13.5 16.7 3.6 17.1 28.0 69.5 57.5 80.0 617.7
6 1,970 56.2 23.3 53.7 52.2 34.1 23.3 8.0 0.0 21.3 208.2 52.6 94.0 626.9
7 1,971 31.0 35.8 132.6 7.4 12.5 11.1 19.4 13.3 31.6 84.9 24.5 73.1 477.2
8 1,972 9.1 27.5 105.0 117.0 25.3 4.8 2.6 6.1 38.8 55.4 54.6 71.5 517.7
9 1,973 120.1 82.3 54.3 161.1 5.1 45.2 2.1 2.4 76.4 50.8 99.2 84.7 783.7
10 1,974 102.1 103.1 72.0 24.3 5.1 16.5 0.0 39.4 102.9 74.1 33.8 39.7 613.0
11 1,975 80.4 99.1 225.5 59.1 67.8 0.0 23.7 17.6 38.7 44.3 53.4 7.2 716.8
12 1,976 90.1 170.6 56.5 59.1 43.9 8.0 1.1 6.3 5.0 53.9 22.3 106.1 622.9
13 1,977 133.0 168.0 114.1 30.1 18.1 15.5 2.9 0.0 28.2 57.4 79.5 103.7 750.5
14 1,978 23.6 73.9 40.3 79.5 134.2 4.1 24.3 4.0 24.7 46.3 47.0 101.9 603.8
15 1,979 69.3 167.3 115.8 45.0 20.4 1.3 18.0 23.1 35.4 10.7 37.1 54.1 597.5
16 1,980 38.8 17.2 124.7 30.7 30.0 3.1 0.0 8.1 4.5 238.4 149.6 22.8 667.9
17 1,981 107.4 156.0 29.0 19.9 41.0 19.4 0.0 23.6 14.1 122.6 19.8 94.7 647.5
18 1,982 78.2 23.7 77.0 60.1 45.6 0.0 9.9 0.0 70.8 143.0 154.9 157.3 820.5
19 1,983 176.9 41.1 138.0 196.9 65.0 32.7 7.5 15.0 0.0 101.1 28.6 37.1 839.9
20 1,984 9.8 225.5 75.6 93.9 38.6 9.7 14.9 16.6 0.0 155.1 82.9 43.9 766.5
21 1,985 24.9 46.9 48.5 192.3 38.1 8.2 51.1 19.6 30.0 23.2 40.7 86.0 609.5
22 1,986 124.3 63.4 85.8 141.4 36.8 0.0 2.5 7.1 3.9 51.9 78.5 88.9 684.5
23 1,987 267.0 124.9 86.6 91.5 16.3 4.6 10.7 12.7 52.4 43.5 101.1 91.2 902.5
24 1,988 150.5 106.2 52.5 160.3 11.4 6.3 0.0 0.0 26.9 63.9 86.6 41.3 705.9
25 1,989 62.3 144.2 115.1 135.3 31.3 21.4 4.1 10.2 36.5 97.6 1.3 5.4 664.7
26 1,990 84.9 99.7 49.1 47.7 25.9 24.1 1.5 6.3 16.7 194.6 195.2 60.0 805.7
27 1,991 38.5 99.9 160.5 48.2 43.6 2.3 0.0 0.0 38.7 65.2 61.9 96.6 655.4
28 1,992 28.1 35.0 54.8 48.9 22.4 21.1 2.9 11.3 30.8 137.6 33.6 44.0 470.5
29 1,993 94.9 176.5 225.2 148.6 55.0 5.8 0.0 11.2 72.9 92.0 74.0 136.0 1092.1
30 1,994 137.9 162.8 262.6 137.4 23.7 14.7 0.0 1.7 20.6 50.8 62.0 110.5 984.7
31 1,995 50.0 131.9 112.7 47.6 22.7 12.1 7.7 1.8 19.1 68.6 72.3 121.9 668.4
32 1,996 99.2 181.3 251.7 81.4 20.0 0.3 0.5 6.5 26.1 91.0 54.6 18.8 831.4
33 1,997 68.5 141.5 51.7 78.4 16.5 13.1 0.0 0.9 22.6 105.5 106.4 256.4 861.5
34 1,998 160.6 202.0 204.0 153.0 34.4 1.1 0.0 2.6 21.6 110.2 66.1 72.9 1028.5
35 1,999 115.9 308.7 114.5 56.8 77.8 44.7 6.6 1.0 88.2 32.0 71.2 95.9 1013.3
36 2,000 50.4 173.9 194.8 97.2 139.3 12.4 1.8 23.7 73.5 24.7 65.8 157.9 1015.4
37 2,001 258.3 109.3 238.5 52.9 61.7 0.4 2.9 0.0 24.6 91.8 106.5 125.0 1071.9
38 2,002 59.0 118.1 235.4 102.9 23.3 5.8 13.9 7.0 55.1 116.2 87.9 153.7 978.3
39 2,003 46.2 110.5 119.8 87.3 23.5 19.1 3.1 10.1 16.3 67.9 111.4 93.6 708.8
40 2,004 68.3 102.0 75.7 37.8 40.4 5.1 14.1 6.2 18.8 91.5 83.9 134.2 678.0
41 2,005 126.9 73.1 205.8 81.3 22.1 1.0 1.4 5.6 9.2 126.3 13.9 153.5 820.1
42 2,006 91.6 92.1 253.6 93.1 8.0 40.7 2.9 11.5 47.9 53.4 80.4 124.2 899.4
43 2,007 188.1 34.2 246.5 127.0 50.4 0.0 6.4 6.9 22.2 142.4 153.3 101.8 1079.2
FUENTE: Elaboracin propia.
9
HIDROLOGIA ESTADISTICA-UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
HISTOGRAMA-NAMORA
350.0
PRECIPITACION (mm)
300.0
250.0
200.0
150.0
100.0
50.0
0.0
ene-65 jun-70 dic-75 jun-81 nov-86 may-92 nov-97 may-03
Tiempo (meses)
1 1,977 226.2 184.9 179.3 55.3 96.4 12.0 11.4 2.2 22.2 68.8 70.5 81.5 1010.7
2 1,978 28.1 68.8 93.5 81.7 75.1 8.4 15.2 3.1 27.2 59.9 89.4 62.3 612.7
3 1,979 88.0 102.8 209.2 60.9 25.6 0.1 17.1 31.9 48.8 14.2 33.2 54.6 686.4
4 1,980 53.0 48.8 97.1 48.2 10.2 9.0 1.3 8.5 15.3 147.6 201.4 81.5 721.9
5 1,981 72.3 222.6 86.8 46.3 25.6 27.3 15.4 9.6 10.0 95.3 101.4 113.7 826.3
6 1,982 77.0 101.9 113.2 69.1 32.0 11.4 1.4 0.2 74.6 162.8 91.1 170.5 905.2
7 1,983 131.3 51.0 196.0 159.3 33.4 9.2 5.9 3.2 28.6 84.3 76.8 143.1 922.1
8 1,984 72.2 332.8 168.6 115.2 85.4 21.1 15.8 29.8 39.9 124.6 92.8 90.8 1189.0
9 1,985 80.9 48.9 59.4 60.3 43.9 0.7 3.0 23.5 60.9 76.4 58.0 113.1 629.0
10 1,986 108.9 89.6 87.6 91.2 28.1 0.2 2.5 30.8 9.9 124.6 92.8 90.8 757.0
11 1,987 144.4 95.5 74.5 97.3 32.3 4.7 14.1 26.7 62.3 77.0 86.8 72.1 787.7
FUENTE: Elaboracin propia.
HISTOGRAMA-HUACATAZ
350.0
PRECIPITACION (mm)
300.0
250.0
200.0
150.0
100.0
50.0
0.0
ene-77 may-78 sep-79 feb-81 jun-82 nov-83 mar-85 ago-86
Tiempo (meses)
10
HIDROLOGIA ESTADISTICA-UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
1 1,998 102.1 196.0 223.3 181.7 71.5 6.2 0.5 8.4 36.3 132.7 40.4 86.6 1085.7
2 1,999 115.3 294.8 108.7 99.7 102.8 62.9 11.0 9.3 132.8 30.3 125.3 143.4 1236.3
3 2,000 46.9 155.9 184.7 106.7 89.7 18.2 0.9 20.0 88.1 4.7 50.4 117.4 883.6
4 2,001 238.9 72.4 203.8 105.1 60.7 0.5 2.7 0.8 30.9 129.3 101.8 86.4 1033.3
5 2,002 42.9 89.4 241.1 117.7 12.6 14.1 4.4 1.1 28.8 159.2 91.5 113.3 916.1
6 2,003 33.1 80.6 145.5 93.0 37.8 38.3 0.0 9.9 41.9 93.8 124.4 85.0 783.3
7 2,004 95.4 72.5 54.6 91.1 39.8 5.8 21.7 0.5 44.2 173.2 108.5 171.2 878.5
8 2,005 119.6 107.1 260.8 51.2 42.0 12.4 1.2 7.0 13.4 205.5 38.2 145.4 1003.8
9 2,006 74.6 134.7 292.1 124.5 14.8 41.8 11.4 4.9 65.4 61.2 106.9 91.7 1024.0
10 2,007 93.1 44.8 259.4 140.5 70.9 0.0 9.4 5.3 26.4 133.1 127.5 92.9 1003.3
FUENTE: Elaboracin propia.
HISTOGRAMA-ENCAADA
350.0
PRECIPITACION (mm)
300.0
250.0
200.0
150.0
100.0
50.0
0.0
ene-98 may-99 sep-00 feb-02 jun-03 nov-04 mar-06 ago-07
Tiempo (meses)
1 1,967 269.0 290.0 216.0 85.0 62.0 7.0 30.5 33.0 28.0 188.5 23.0 105.5 1337.5
2 1,968 102.0 154.5 168.5 82.5 22.0 3.0 11.5 37.5 117.5 158.5 123.0 173.5 1154.0
3 1,969 79.5 176.5 183.0 167.5 18.5 64.0 5.5 15.0 42.0 105.0 208.0 182.5 1247.0
4 1,970 107.0 123.5 140.5 127.0 91.0 33.5 22.5 25.0 74.0 122.5 207.0 117.5 1191.0
5 1,971 140.0 130.5 476.5 153.5 117.5 65.0 72.0 37.5 76.0 220.5 163.0 166.0 1818.0
6 1,972 104.0 150.0 257.0 149.5 55.2 14.5 0.0 47.0 73.5 29.5 174.2 119.7 1174.1
7 1,973 186.3 103.0 203.0 198.3 62.0 70.6 33.9 124.4 139.4 22.0 173.9 121.3 1438.1
8 1,974 146.8 112.7 159.7 204.4 51.0 60.0 18.0 59.0 45.0 81.6 62.5 104.0 1104.7
9 1,975 108.1 23.3 175.2 224.7 61.9 32.5 3.0 53.5 16.0 117.0 91.0 20.0 926.2
10 1,976 189.0 135.0 185.0 61.0 58.0 30.0 0.0 12.0 27.0 62.0 26.0 79.0 864.0
11 1,977 197.0 236.0 175.0 100.5 29.5 13.5 6.5 2.0 62.5 96.5 149.5 85.0 1153.5
12 1,978 40.0 105.5 51.5 88.5 88.2 0.0 25.8 0.0 66.9 70.4 191.0 189.5 917.3
13 1,979 108.7 144.8 370.2 61.7 54.0 10.8 34.0 40.4 117.3 48.2 27.3 108.1 1125.5
14 1,980 70.0 37.3 166.9 69.6 73.6 11.8 0.0 5.7 2.2 247.2 221.1 161.0 1066.4
11
HIDROLOGIA ESTADISTICA-UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
15 1,981 94.1 257.3 190.0 153.1 65.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5 160.6 60.3 90.8 1078.3
16 1,982 160.7 189.6 232.7 149.5 84.8 27.2 15.3 21.9 73.5 130.5 139.8 152.7 1378.2
17 1,983 160.7 189.6 232.7 149.5 84.8 27.2 15.3 21.9 73.5 130.5 139.8 152.7 1378.2
18 1,984 160.7 189.6 232.7 149.5 84.8 27.2 15.3 21.9 73.5 130.5 139.8 152.7 1378.2
19 1,985 160.7 189.6 232.7 149.5 84.8 27.2 15.3 21.9 73.5 130.5 139.8 152.7 1378.2
20 1,986 155.0 41.0 6.0 74.2 106.6 27.2 15.3 50.0 10.9 33.0 51.8 133.2 704.2
21 1,987 315.7 118.5 126.5 85.3 68.6 0.0 19.5 0.0 60.5 122.7 161.6 82.0 1160.9
22 1,988 307.5 176.9 63.6 167.3 18.6 15.6 6.4 5.3 30.6 133.7 112.6 127.6 1165.7
23 1,989 188.7 216.8 85.0 89.9 18.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 46.5 77.0 51.5 0.0 773.9
24 1,990 29.7 85.4 88.6 127.2 33.1 35.6 0.9 0.6 139.7 262.0 250.2 103.6 1156.6
25 1,991 94.7 355.5 509.6 248.6 287.0 6.3 0.0 0.0 78.7 157.6 221.5 250.1 2209.6
26 1,992 170.1 74.1 137.1 119.1 107.7 62.4 0.0 24.0 135.5 119.2 75.7 174.1 1199.0
27 1,993 147.6 190.6 374.3 437.8 102.7 19.8 0.0 18.4 82.6 137.5 206.2 452.6 2170.1
28 1,994 475.4 373.5 531.9 268.5 329.1 18.6 0.0 22.2 104.8 252.8 210.7 142.5 2730.0
29 1,995 139.7 228.8 217.7 127.8 112.7 12.6 51.8 48.9 54.9 96.5 125.9 243.9 1461.2
30 1,996 198.8 407.5 312.7 141.3 59.7 49.7 0.0 20.3 48.5 232.9 80.6 58.6 1610.6
31 1,997 186.9 190.3 123.2 260.0 81.0 18.5 39.0 9.9 80.5 169.2 301.6 305.1 1765.2
32 1,998 168.5 380.5 298.7 243.2 85.4 0.0 0.0 14.8 67.6 234.7 158.8 99.0 1751.2
33 1,999 210.3 494.2 253.7 126.0 166.7 53.9 20.3 6.4 228.3 65.3 138.6 166.4 1930.1
34 2,000 74.8 237.0 221.1 168.6 160.7 40.7 1.6 16.3 123.2 19.3 62.8 236.5 1362.6
35 2,001 341.1 227.7 419.2 92.6 88.7 17.6 15.2 0.4 145.2 169.5 156.1 171.8 1845.1
36 2,002 76.2 188.8 390.1 159.0 38.1 27.8 15.2 2.6 53.2 202.1 226.5 243.0 1622.6
37 2,003 103.8 134.9 124.3 81.2 76.0 54.4 28.9 15.6 47.2 101.8 112.6 100.0 980.7
38 2,004 70.3 230.4 168.2 82.4 75.4 11.7 41.0 19.1 84.8 147.0 168.0 240.9 1339.2
39 2,005 157.8 231.2 343.3 93.1 91.6 53.7 0.0 7.1 54.4 152.8 28.6 164.8 1378.4
40 2,006 145.5 188.1 345.7 184.7 62.8 62.0 5.1 15.7 116.2 39.8 158.5 183.6 1507.7
41 2,007 245.4 64.5 352.3 226.3 57.7 1.1 42.6 20.1 32.8 171.8 211.1 146.4 1572.1
FUENTE: Elaboracin propia.
HISTOGRAMA-ENCAADA
350.0
PRECIPITACION (mm)
300.0
250.0
200.0
150.0
100.0
50.0
0.0
ene-98 may-99 sep-00 feb-02 jun-03 nov-04 mar-06 ago-07
Tiempo (meses)
12
HIDROLOGIA ESTADISTICA-UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
1 1968 132.5 98.9 99.8 44.0 25.6 3.0 1.5 19.0 58.2 115.0 79.2 94.7 771.4
2 1969 95.9 90.0 123.1 141.6 2.6 37.0 0.3 15.5 21.4 95.9 154.4 216.7 994.5
3 1970 162.2 51.1 117.8 90.1 58.0 37.6 3.0 2.9 21.2 178.3 74.6 72.4 869.1
4 1971 133.4 119.5 406.4 90.4 13.7 23.1 16.4 20.2 32.7 155.5 66.5 89.0 1166.6
5 1972 126.8 82.6 167.7 125.9 31.1 8.3 3.2 24.2 33.8 54.4 96.5 67.2 821.5
6 1973 217.7 86.4 135.0 162.6 47.0 55.4 7.8 21.5 101.5 113.4 99.0 96.7 1144.0
7 1974 146.4 156.6 140.3 96.7 7.9 32.7 6.1 27.7 45.1 122.1 78.2 102.2 961.9
8 1975 209.3 193.1 293.9 116.8 114.6 18.9 6.7 22.7 52.5 138.9 94.5 1.2 1263.0
9 1976 297.9 76.8 119.8 91.2 73.8 43.5 0.1 5.2 14.3 55.7 103.9 59.4 941.7
10 1977 296.8 178.8 209.2 70.4 43.8 15.1 7.0 0.1 18.7 92.5 79.5 91.2 1103.1
11 1978 29.0 42.0 71.5 61.1 112.6 7.4 4.1 4.5 27.7 42.2 78.4 59.9 540.4
12 1979 192.1 99.7 235.4 61.3 28.0 3.4 7.0 18.4 39.1 42.2 38.2 62.3 827.2
13 1980 79.7 51.8 95.8 48.4 11.8 28.5 3.0 6.6 2.7 225.8 161.1 142.8 857.9
14 1981 178.6 227.8 155.8 55.7 25.2 12.5 6.7 14.9 25.6 193.7 66.2 148.9 1111.7
15 1982 163.8 125.7 111.6 146.6 65.5 14.7 2.0 7.8 51.1 216.1 97.7 116.9 1119.4
16 1983 266.4 92.1 223.5 174.7 53.4 19.1 8.9 3.2 22.4 150.5 40.8 158.4 1213.2
17 1984 56.4 285.3 182.5 132.2 119.3 47.4 21.8 22.0 42.7 118.8 141.6 139.3 1309.3
18 1985 56.2 51.8 54.8 69.2 90.9 0.8 4.5 21.5 43.4 86.6 34.7 53.9 568.3
19 1986 192.8 58.3 142.7 198.6 27.8 1.1 1.1 17.1 1.4 75.5 96.1 69.3 881.8
20 1987 224.3 116.3 57.8 86.3 19.0 7.6 10.1 14.4 46.0 64.4 107.8 80.9 834.9
21 1988 250.6 128.9 66.0 158.0 18.2 10.2 0.0 38.6 80.8 112.9 92.0 98.5 1054.7
22 1989 198.8 194.0 64.1 141.1 32.3 31.6 3.0 6.9 62.3 184.6 68.3 3.6 990.5
23 1990 232.6 83.7 85.9 45.3 68.3 46.5 0.7 8.3 23.4 151.7 143.8 96.7 986.9
24 1991 100.1 109.9 197.1 91.2 30.7 1.3 0.4 0.4 11.9 48.8 80.0 96.2 767.9
25 1992 120.2 38.8 98.2 76.8 32.4 40.1 4.3 11.7 47.5 110.8 46.4 45.6 672.9
26 1993 139.4 137.0 361.1 170.1 50.8 3.6 3.1 3.4 59.8 184.0 103.6 112.5 1328.4
27 1994 267.1 125.9 250.9 239.5 51.1 21.0 5.1 11.4 37.0 120.8 88.2 88.2 1306.2
28 1995 102.1 132.3 111.6 82.1 35.3 3.2 12.3 12.7 13.4 89.7 73.3 102.2 770.2
29 1996 148.9 151.5 178.3 83.3 23.5 1.5 0.5 18.6 16.2 131.9 99.8 45.6 899.7
30 1997 145.8 186.8 39.1 66.8 29.2 29.1 0.2 0.0 31.9 88.0 162.4 173.1 952.1
31 1998 239.9 142.3 378.8 138.7 33.6 9.1 1.2 5.5 20.7 137.8 42.2 64.1 1213.9
32 1999 216.6 296.4 102.4 106.4 92.1 43.1 20.6 1.4 94.8 37.6 111.7 91.6 1214.8
33 2000 105.1 196.8 186.2 127.7 69.5 29.5 2.0 15.7 65.9 17.1 64.6 163.6 1043.7
34 2001 436.8 123.1 339.3 94.5 82.5 4.3 12.9 0.0 40.1 80.0 135.5 121.6 1470.8
35 2002 61.7 74.3 196.2 127.6 39.5 16.6 10.0 4.0 17.0 156.3 145.0 115.2 963.3
36 2003 116.7 75.0 152.7 69.6 52.7 42.1 1.7 12.4 17.2 79.6 92.6 108.0 820.4
37 2004 82.5 69.5 65.6 70.1 3.6 35.5 27.4 22.3 73.8 160.3 179.5 136.5 926.6
38 2005 194.0 145.7 200.5 89.2 12.4 8.5 0.6 4.1 36.3 159.8 43.5 117.5 1012.0
39 2006 190.1 124.1 293.8 128.2 13.2 45.2 1.7 7.2 39.1 22.0 87.6 109.3 1061.5
40 2007 217.9 21.4 268.8 184.3 41.2 2.6 10.0 7.5 13.5 205.9 141.6 92.0 1206.8
41 2008 183.2 162.8 174.5 163.8 39.0 29.1 2.1 27.4 58.6 158.0 86.2 34.4 1119.1
FUENTE: Elaboracin propia.
13
HIDROLOGIA ESTADISTICA-UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
HISTOGRAMA-CHAMIS
500
PRECIPITACION (mm)
400
300
200
100
0
TIEMPO (meses)
14
HIDROLOGIA ESTADISTICA-UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000
15
HIDROLOGIA ESTADISTICA-UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
Tendencia en la varianza
JESUS ENCAADA YANACOCHA MAQUI MAQUI CARACHUGO G. PORCON
TENDENCIA EN LA VARIANZA CHAMIS HUACATAZ
t 5 5.5 5.5 7 8 21
21 6
St 11.98 3.32
2.7 3 3 3.9 4.5 11.98
n: 41 11
9 10 10 13 15 41
GDL: 39 9
7 8 8 11 13 39
6. CONCLUSIONES
16
HIDROLOGIA ESTADISTICA-UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
REFERENCIAS BIBLIOGRAFIA
17