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Paper 0824
M. E. honarmand A. Sharifi
Gilan Electric Power Gilan Electric power
Distribution co.- Iran Distribution co.- Iran
honarmand@gilanpdc.ir adhamsharifi@gilanpdc.ir
Paper 0824
expectation and experiences about outages. Therefore, a and duration of outage that customers can tolerate. It is two
survey was done and threshold values of customers' fold and two hours in summer for majority.
satisfaction have been gotten. Of course threshold values are different considering time of
one day and seasons.
Case study Duration of outage is more important than numbers for
There are different methods to find customers threshold customers. Results show suitable time of programmed
values of satisfaction. A qualitative research about problem outages for maintenance was 5 to 9 and the worst time was
has done like holding conversations to managers and staff 13 to 24. There is a significant point the most dissatisfaction
of Gilan electricity distribution company, outages analyzing time was announced between 13 to18. So programmed
to use events record software, to analyze complaints and outages for maintenance should be happened in the
suggestions. Then questionnaire as tool, field style as data morning. According to answer, three and less than three
collection method, non possibility availability as sampling transient faults have no complain but more than four
method and description-analytical style and Chi square as transient fault make dissatisfaction.
decomposition and analysis have chosen. Chi square test shows when age increase, threshold values
As case study these questionnaires have been filled by decrease. There is no correlation between age and threshold
domestic customers in Rasht, a big and costal city in north values for transient fault. Education has no effect on
of Iran with 267477 customers numbers and duration of threshold values. There is no
The questionnaire has divided to two parts: personal consideration correlation between economic category and
information and main questions. Personal information folds and duration of outage that customers dont complain.
follow three question including age range, education and But middle class threshold values are little more than poor
address to find the effect of these factors on answers of and rich category. Result shows age, education and
main question, the second part of questionnaire has thirteen economic category have no effect on the time of
questions concern customers exceptions and experiments programmed outage that is suitable for customers.
of outages. The questions are user-friendly, multiple choice
and easy to answer for customers. For example survey asks CALCULATION FORMULA FOR SACDI
if you have to have an eight hours outage in a month due to BASED ON SURVEY RESULTS
maintenance, which method is suitable for you or if you
have to have an outage in one day, how many hours make According to the survey result, customer will be satisfaction
serious problem or how many interruptions make problem if outages repeat two times and less than it and each one
for you in a day, month or summer. There were some take two hours and less. CDI is defined as probability of
questions about transient faults. The multiple choice poor reliability for appreciate customer. In this case study,
answers design by special pattern which can show poor reliability is an outage longer than two hour or
questionnaire goals. interruptions that happen more than two times. 5 minutes
Rasht city has been divided to three geographical regions and less are not covered.
from economical level of customers as poor, average and CDI = 1 P {suitable} (1)
r
affluent. For statistical analysis SPSS software is used and Suitable state can define as without interruption, an
error of samples has been detected with cocaran method. interruption less than two hours or two interruptions that
Fault rate in gathered data was 2.5 percent. both are less than two hours. It is supposed that duration of
Questionnaire goals interruptions are equal and there are not any correlation
between them. Reliability theory said time between
The questioner result was the folds and duration of outages interruption is exponentially distributed. Consequently CDI
that customers could tolerate in studied location. Another formula is following:
questions that survey answer are following: 1
- Does customers' threshold value despond on time that CDI = 1 e F Fe F P2 F 2 e F P22 (2)
outage happen or not? 2
(3)
- How much is customers sensitive to transient outage? P2 = Pr {T < 2}
- Is there a significant relation between age and Where P2 is the probability of interruption that lasts less
customers threshold values? than two hours. The duration of an interruption follows a
- Is there a significant relation between education and Weibull distribution [1]. Consequently P2 can be obtained
customers threshold values? as follow:
- Is there a significant relation between economic 2 1 (4)
category and customers threshold values? P2 = 1 exp( ( (1 + )) )
D
All answers of these questions have been used to identify
In weibull function is characteristic value and is shape
customers dissatisfaction index.
factor. When is equal to one, an exponential distribution
Questionnaire results with expected duration is obtain. is not equal to
The result of survey over 1400 customers shows numbers expected value. They are related each other by gamma
function of shape factor as follow:
Paper 0824