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cation may be copied, photocopied or
duplicated in any form or by any means notwithstanding). Its goal now is
without Airline Weekly Corps prior
written consent. Copying of this publica- to be best among the Big Three, Verbulence
tion is in violation of the Federal Copy- relying on new planes, partner-
right Law (17 USC 101 et seq.). Violators ships, products and pricing to get
may be subject to criminal penalties as
well as liability for substantial monetary there. Weve begun to change the conversation about United from the
damages, including statutory damages up
American was best among the question whats wrong to an optimistic whats next.
to $100,000 per infringement, costs and
attorneys fees. Copyright 2016 Airline Big Three in 2015, helped by a United Airlines CEO Oscar Munoz
Weekly Corp. All rights reserved. ISSN
1942-2059. no-hedge policy that left it pay-
ing much less for fuel than its
Lone Star Fading: These are not the best of times for airlines serving Texas
CONTINUED FROM p. 1
lines, including All Nippon from Tokyo, Air months of 2016, with domestic declines, at 4%, ations for Southwest. Traffic was up a solid 7%
New Zealand from Auckland, China Airlines slightly outpacing international ones. The fig- through October, although by October itself, the
from Taipei and some new flights from Mexican ures got worse, moreover, as the year pro- rise was less than 2%. Whatever increases there
and Canadian carriers. Spirit, too, launched a gressed. And looking at published schedules for were, furthermore, stemmed entirely from
number of new shorthaul international routes the early months of 2017, Houston Bush contin- Southwests higher load factors and larger
during the year. ues to see fewer flights and seats, so much so B737sthe number of flight departures at Hob-
More recently, however, the exodus from that among the worlds 50 busiest airports, it by is now shrinking, just as it is at Bush. Thats
Houston has accelerated. Uniteds Lagos flights ranks near dead last for growth alongside Istan- despite Southwests new international terminal
are gone. So are SAS flights to Stavanger. Spirit buls main airportflights between Houston at Hobby, which opened in late 2015. The fact
reversed course and pulled much of its Houston and Istanbul are, for that matter, down a lot too, is, although it does offer some new international
cross-border flying. And Singapore Airlines with Turkish Airlines gutting several of its service, Southwest is cutting capacity on many
suspended Houston-Moscow, although its now weekly frequencies. Emirates has cut its Hou- domestic routes. The airline did say during its
flying Houston-Manchester. Just as importantly, ston capacity too. All that first class oil sector Q1 earnings call (i.e., about nine months ago)
United began shifting capacity from Houston traffic, sadly for airlines, is now but a memory. that Houston looks fantastic, refuting analyst
Bush, still its busiest hub by some measures, to And oh yeah, Houston Bush also happens to be suspicions to the contrary. But based on the
perkier markets like Denver and, indeed, Cali- a gateway to Latin America, where develop- airports traffic trends, and the states economic
fornia. Its Houston domestic traffic, sure ments have been no more cheerful. trends, business likely worsened after the first
enough, is shrinking. Overall, the airports pas- The news was better but hardly great at quarterit didnt discuss the market in later
senger volumes shrank 3% y/y in the first 10 Houstons Hobby Airport, a major base of oper- CONTINUED ON p. 12
JetGreen open in Berlin as early as 2010? Its still sitting idle, unable
to handle air service because of faulty terminal construction
that doesnt comply with safety standards. Now, officials are
Environment, Conservation & Fuel hinting it wont open this year either, targeting 2018 instead.
Partnering with Boeing and Alaska Airlines, the Port of Seattle released a feasi- The new airport was built to replace Berlins two existing
bility study last week that considered sites for building the infrastructure that airports.
would enable biofuels to be received, blended and stored to be a part of the fuel
Finnavia, which runs Finlands airports, reported record
supply at Seattle-Tacoma International (Sea-Tac). The goal is to power every
nationwide traffic volumes for 2016, rising about 4% to al-
flight leaving the airport with biofuel in the not-too-distant future. More specif-
most 21m passengers. Domestic passengers, it said, account-
ically, the study considers infrastructure that could handle 50m gallons of bio-
ed for 26% of the total, although this includes those connect-
jet in the short term, and then rise to 100m gallons after 2025. Such scale would
ing to or from international flights. The busiest European
eclipse any bio-jet operation in existence today and would likely make Sea-Tac
destinations from Finland were Stockholm, London, Copen-
the worlds leading bio-fuel airport even eight years from now. Where the tens
hagen, Amsterdam, Frankfurt, Munich, Paris, Berlin, Oslo
of millions of gallons of bio-jet fuel will come from, however, remains to be
and Riga, with the top longhaul destinations being Tokyo,
seen.
Bangkok, Hong Kong, Seoul, New York, Shanghai, Osaka,
The FAA has accepted WheelTugs plan for certification for the electric green Beijing, Singapore and Nagoya. Helsinki itself captured 83%
taxiing system to be used with the B737-NG. This means WheelTug could of the entire countrys air traffic, growing more like 5% to
enter service as soon as late 2018. A WheelTug spokesman told A irline W eekly 17m. Naturally, Finlands airport trends are shaped most by
in October that the full certification process, once the plan was approved, its national airline Finnair. But other developments last year
would take 20 to 24 months. Air Transat, according to Canadian media reports included the launch of Qatar Airways flights to Helsinki and
last week, will test WheelTug and plans to be the first to deploy the system in a notable rise in Chinese visitors to Scandinavia.
2018. WheelTug, which is an electric-drive system installed at the nose gear,
promises to cut fuel burn during taxiing to just a fraction of the fuel needed to
move a plane with jet engines. It would also cut down on noise around termi-
Australasias Busiest Airports
nals and could reduce the risk of damage from foreign object debris. But the Ranked by seats scheduled for all of 2016 (source: Diio Mi)
company says the real value is the operational flexibility that WheelTug would Rank Airport 2016 seats vs. 2015
provide, which could reduce turn times and ground handling expenses. Once 1 Sydney SYD 27,188,876 4%
certified, WheelTug might see wide acceptance, as 22 airlines have signed 2 Melbourne MEL 21,950,755 3%
letters of intent to install it on nearly 1,000 aircraft. 3 Brisbane BNE 15,020,175 0%
4 Auckland AKL 11,659,821 14%
The U.K. commercial aviation industry seems to have gotten the memo about 5 Perth PER 8,833,903 -1%
climate change. Consider this: Jet fuel deliveries to U.K. airports in 2015 were 6 Adelaide ADL 5,318,863 3%
10% lower than in 2006 despite transporting 20m more passengers. That im- 7 Christchurch CHC 4,100,083 7%
pressive statistic comes from a report issued by Airlines U.K., the trade associ- 8 Gold Coast OOL 4,062,093 8%
ation that includes British Airways, easyJet, Virgin Atlantic, Flybe and other 9 Wellington WLG 3,830,313 5%
commercial and cargo carriers registered in the U.K. 10 Cairns CNS 3,385,228 10%
CONTINUED ON p. 9
United 75.25 1% 61% Still has $4.3b worth of income tax offsets from its historical net operating losses (NOLs)
Southwest 51.09 0% 31% Among its many upcoming new international routes is San Diego-Los Cabos; starts in April
Alaska 94.41 0% 30% United says, unsurprisingly, that it would like to have more gates at San Francisco
JetBlue 21.41 -2% 0% Offering triple TrueBlue points on flights to Cuba, a sign the market is not doing very well
Hawaiian 55.75 -3% 77% Japanese rival All Nippon to introduce premium econ. product on Honolulu flights in Sept.
Spirit 56.68 0% 31% Note that Easter falls in April this year (in other words Q2), compared to March last year (Q1)
Frontier (not publicly traded) ASK capacity up 21% y/y this quarter, according to Diio Mi, but departures up just 7%
Allegiant 177.50 0% 11% Plans to add fewer new cities as it moves to an all-Airbus fleet; 2017 ASMs to rise 8% to 12%
SkyWest 36.85 0% 148% Although it does fly for American and Alaska, its largest partners by far are United and Delta
Republic 0.46 119% -76% One of many airlines restructured with the help of Seabury, now being bought by Accenture
Air Canada 13.58 -2% 72% Stopped providing monthly traffic updates last year; thinks they distort its share price
WestJet 22.99 -1% 20% New network and alliances VP, hired last fall, previously ran Uniteds network
Aeromxico 38.26 -1% -1% American, United each carry about 13% of Mexicos intl traffic; AM/Delta 26% combined
Volaris 28.21 -5% -6% Mexico Citys congested airport managed to increase pax counts 9% y/y to 42m
LATAM 8.60 -1% 101% Brazils stock market rose 69% last year, best among all financial assets (MarketW atch)
Gol 17.88 2% 588% Codeshare partner Emirates to deploy A380s to So Paulo in March; upgrade from B777s
Copa 97.91 4% 98% Low-cost Wingo unit to launch Cartagena-Panama City, but exited San Jos-Guatemala City
Avianca 9.43 -4% 153% All of its routes to Europe now operate with its new B787s; configures them with 250 seats
Emirates (not publicly traded) Currently has 92 A380s; next largest A380 operator is Singapore Airlines with 19
Air Arabia 1.40 -1% 24% Sharjahs airport topped 11m passengers in 2016, up 10% y/y; aircraft movements up 6%
Turkish Airlines 5.19 4% -27% Rival Pegasus accelerating A320-NEO deliveries while phasing out B737s (Bloomberg)
Kenya Airways 5.15 -7% 11% Emirates starting a third daily frequency to Nairobi from Dubai; all run with B777-300ERs
South African Air. (not publicly traded) Airlink, an independent South African regional carrier, acquiring some E170s and E190s
Jet Airways 403 3% -35% One problem with Indian geography: no viable hub cities in the center of the country
IndiGo 928 6% -22% SpiceJets newest route is from Delhi to Surat, the so-called diamond capital of India
Crude oil futures
(WTI, for delivery next month; President Trumps new energy plan calls for fewer regulations on energy companies and
source New York Mercantile $52 0% 63%
exchange)
more drilling on federal land
Some stocks traded on multiple exchanges; not intended for trading purposes
IAG 493 1% -12% Airlines seeing rapid growth in traffic between Spain and Asia (ForwardKeys)
SAS 13.90 0% -44% Proposed airline tax in Sweden becoming a political issue; national elections coming next year
Alitalia (not publicly traded) Formally announces end of investment talks with Air Malta; the two will still codeshare
Finnair 4.23 1% -22% Adjusting flight times to Phuket and Krabi in Thailand to get more Scand./Baltic connections
Virgin Atlantic (not publicly traded) Appoints new chief for its important (and strongly profitable) Virgin Holidays division
easyJet 1044 1% -36% U.K. airports urging May govt to ensure new intl air bilaterals in place post-Brexit
Ryanair 14.87 0% 3% Loudly promotes rescue fares for pax affected by Air Berlins exit from some Berlin routes
Air Berlin 0.59 -2% -36% Adding more New York JFK and Miami frequencies from Berlin this summer
Norwegian 275.0 0% 5% Announces new route to Spain: Oslo Torp to Palma, twice weekly starting in March
Wizz Air 1824 1% -2% U.K.s anti-immigration mood unhelpful for Wizz Airs large London Luton presence
Aegean 6.58 2% -4% Chinas Hainan Airlines applies to serve Athens from Beijing this fall with A330s
Aeroflot 160.50 2% 208% Rival S7 to link Moscow DME with Urumqi and Tehran this spring using A320-family jets
Japan Airlines 3677 2% -15% Japan Air Commuter, one of its regional airlines, took delivery of its first ATR turboprop
All Nippon 326.3 1% -3% Introducing another Star Wars-themed aircraft livery, this one a B777 featuring C-3PO
Korean Air 28000 3% 17% Court to decide whether to uphold presidential impeachment; if so, new election will follow
Cathay Pacific 10.48 -1% -15% Hong Kongs top political leader, in policy speech, emphasizes importance of aviation
Air China 5.45 5% 9% Hainan Airlines, which already serves Tel Aviv from Beijing, now wants to do Shanghai
China Eastern 3.96 6% 6% Signs codeshare agreement with Spains Air Europa, a SkyTeam partner
China Southern 4.46 3% -1% Subsidiary Xiamen Airlines adding more leisure routes to the Philippines
Singapore Airlines 6.63 4% -8% Houston (to Singapore via Manchester) its second A350 route in U.S. after San Francisco
Malaysia Airlines (not publicly traded) Rival Malindo Air the fastest growing part of the Lion Air empire based in Indonesia
AirAsia 2.58 6% 93% CEO Fernandes tells Bloomberg: ASEAN, China and India will be its key growth markets
Thai Airways 23.20 3% 165% Giving more of its shorthaul routes, including intl, to wholly-owned Thai Smile affiliate
Cebu Pacific 94.95 -3% 25% Singapore Airlines considering growth to secondary cities in Philippines (Philippine Star)
Qantas 3.47 -2% -13% Sydney Airports top foreign pax nationalities: China, New Zealand, U.K., U.S.
Virgin Australia 0.22 -4% -54% Brisbane, its home airport, welcomed 23m passengers in 2016, up just 2% y/y
Air New Zealand 2.08 -3% -32% N.Z. government controls 52% of its shares but doesnt have any board seats
Some stocks traded on multiple exchanges; not intended for trading purposes.