Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Submitted to:
Honorable Mam Samavia Muneer
Submitted by:
Asia Ayaz
2347
BBA (Hons) 8th Evening
Section (A)
The availability of electricity or electric energy in Pakistan is limited because of the scared
resources while it is very important for any industrial activity or for any sector. The percentage of
electricity consumed by textile sector is around 38 percent in chemical processing, 23 percent in
weaving, 34 percent in spinning, and 5 percent for miscellaneous purposes. Ahmed Aliya, 2012
(Senior R&D Officer)
Afzal .Y aseen (2012) shares that the fast urbanization and industrialization is the major
reason behind the escalating demand of electricity.
Because of shortage of electricity and high interest rates the cost of production of textile
industry is also increased. This shortage had also decreased the production of the textile
industry because the operations of factories have adversely effected due to load shedding. High
fixed cost per unit is also caused by less production. Not only this but also the huge amount of
money is required to generating electricity privately. (Afzal.Yaseen, 2012)
The energy crisis arose in Pakistan in FY 2007 widely affected the energy intensive industry,
textile sector. All the manufacturing sectors of the country were also affected but the impact on
textile industry was worse than on the other sectors. The cost of production and expenses were
increased for which the profitability of the textile sector was ruined. Instant rise in electricity
tariff, shift to alternative source of energy like generators, unavailability of adequate energy
resources, load-shedding, and rising fuel prices leads to increase in the cost of production. The
competitiveness of textile industry in international market is affected badly by these worsened
situations. (Siddique et al, 2012)
The impact of financial crisis on textile sector of Pakistan was studied by Alam (2011). He
opines that many firms were less probable to survive in international markets as the debt equity
ratio increased due to financial and energy crisis.
New challenges faced by the textile sector of Pakistan was also mentioned by Khan & Khan
(2010). The decline, also known as great decline, which has been occurred in growth rate of
industry which can be identified from below table:
Jatinder and Caesa (2008) opines that political instability clogged had badly affected the
economy of Pakistan which is cause by political instability in Pakistan. The energy crisis which got
severe from the FY 2007 were greater than this hindrance. Increased unemployment and
shutdown of factories were its outcomes. Additionally, market division/termination was cause by
the biggest problem of unfair quota system thrown by developed nations.
Khan and Khan (2010) opines that although Pakistans history shows that textile sector
was expanding since 1947 but since 2007 it is contracting. The reasons that contributed to the
contraction of this sector were mentioned by them and are enlisted below:
The impact of financial crisis, electricity crisis, and interest rate on textile industry of
Pakistan, and the growth trend of Pakistan Textile Industry are emphasized by this literature. It
also identified the variables of energy crisis. But the impact of energy crisis on the performance
of textile sector of Pakistan is measured by no one. This research will be able to fill this gap by
takin into consideration the whole industry. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the
performance of textile sector of Pakistan for a Six-year period (2005-2010) which was effected by
the energy crisis. This study is divided into two sub periods: pre-crisis period (2005-2006) and
post-crisis period (2007-2010) for the purpose of comparison.
3. Research Methodology, Data Collection, and Data Analysis
Data collection: Data collection is the crucial phase for any research. Mostly, true and reliable
results depend upon the real-world data. To make the study more effective I have collected
secondary data from two variable sources. The first is the annual reports of textile sector and
the second is the financial statement analysis report of State Bank of Pakistan (SBP). Both of the
data is from Fiscal Year 2010 to 2016.
Data sample: Seven textile spinning mills, two textile weaving mills and five textile composite
mills are selected as a sample for this research. The secondary data including the balance sheet,
profit and loss account, financial highlights and ratio analysis is collected from the annual
reports. Most of the data is available from 2011 to 2016. It shows that the six year data is
considered for the research purpose. Total 14 mills are focused in this research.
Spinning Units/Mills:
1. Reliance Weaving Mills Limited
Number of Spindles Installed Number 61,920 61,920 48,720 35,520 35,520 35,520
Installed Capacity (@ 20 S) Kgs '000' 19,722 18,639 15,930 11,963 11,963 11,963
Actual Yarn Production (@20 S) Kgs '000' 16,295 15,122 11,258 8,504 9,268 9,819
SALES BREAKUP
Profit before tax Rs.000 59,490 90,206 361,435 422,423 200,010 421,921
Profit after tax Rs.000 71,165 54,299 297,571 350,335 146,404 352,101
Cash & Cash Equivalents 68,237 69,625 27,296 59,014 45,217 60,290
- Year End
PROFITABILITY RATIOS
Gross Profit % 7.85 9.56 9.96 16.18 14.14 15.22
EBITDA To Sales % 5.09 6.22 8.64 11.35 10.24 10.66
Pre Tax Profit % 1.05 2.00 3.60 7.29 5.06 5.68
After Tax Profit % 0.91 1.27 3.01 6.72 3.91 4.01
Return On Equity % 2.65 4.03 10.73 24.97 15.97 25.32
Return On Capital % 2.36 4.03 10.69 24.10 14.38 24.22
Employed
Dividend Rate (Cash) % 5.00 10.00 - 50.00 25.00 20.00
Leverage Ratio 0.71 0.45 0.60 0.72 0.94 1.13
LIQUIDITY RATIOS
Current Ratio T 1.37 1.46 1.62 1.49 1.43 1.28
Quick Ratio iT 0.51 0.59 0.65 0.56 0.55 0.53
Cash To Current iT 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04
Liabilities
Cash Flows From iT (0.01) 0.08 0.03 0.04 0.05 (0.08)
Operation To Sales i
m
Reserves 16
LIABILITIES 418,322
84,390
NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES 2,896,001
Long term financing 17 291,667
1,633,333 2,175,000 675,000
Deferred Liabilities 3,690,380 3,038,175 2,739,741
Staff retirement benefits 18 82,083 60,460 39,898
Deferred taxation 19 77,476
159,559 18,505
78,965 26,707
66,605
CURRENT LIABILITIES
Trade and other payables 20
Accrued markup
(7,128) (10,288)
Total comprehensive income for the year 111,174 425,341
Profit and Loss account for the period ended June 30, 2016.
2016 2015
Note Rupees Rupees
Sales - net 27 20,615,979,078 25,568,443,177
Cost of sales 28 (18,861,646,409) (23,009,982,011)
Gross profit 1,754,332,669 2,558,461,166
Selling and distribution expenses 29 (376,454,106) (449,589,354)
Administrative expenses 30 (246,929,069) (250,817,369)
Other expenses 31 (84,346,750) (74,142,655)
Other income 32 (707,729,925) (774,549,378)
326,753,654
165,550,315
Profit from operations 1,373,356,398 1,949,462,103
Finance cost 33 (917,294,238) (1,274,737,143)
Profit before taxation 456,062,160 674,724,960
Taxation 34 (306,497,950) (164,212,109)
Profit after taxation 149,564,210 5510,512,851
Earning per share basic and diluted 4.99
7. Sartaj Textile
2014 2013
887,721,875 932,194,602
PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT FOR THE YEAR ENDED JUNE 30, 2014
2015 2014
Note Rupees Rupees
Sales net 27 1,708,643,518 2,748,395,375
Cost of sales 28 (1,887,215,333) (2,490,521,604)
Gross (loss) / Profit (178,571,815) 257,873,771
Distribution cost 29 (41,563,253) (60,183,837)
Administrative expenses 30 (61,149,063) (75,117,173)
(102,712,316) (135,301,010)
Operating (loss) / Profit (281,284,131) 122,572,761
Other operating charges 31 (13,369,965) (19,655,002)
Finance cost 32 (70,244,038) (74,186,010)
Other operating income 33 20,037,592 14,507,022
(Loss) / profit before Taxation (344,860,542) 43,238,771
Taxation 34 (2,679,187) (32,935,271)
(Loss) / profit for the Year (347,539,729) 10,303,500
Discontinued operations:
Loss for the year from discontinued operations 25.1 21,276,590 9,352,283
Particulars Dec 31, Dec 31, Dec 31, Dec 31, Dec 31, Dec 31,
Income Statement 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Restated
Turnover Rs.
Cost of Goods Sold Rs. 16,706 18,248 16,701 8,136 7,428 14,248
Gross Profit Rs. (9,796) (9,051) (7,188) (6,221) (7,143) (12,264)
Admin Cost Rs. 6,910 9,197 9,513 1,915 286 1,984
Distribution Cost Rs. (610) (780) (969) (1,165) (888) (731)
Financial Cost Rs. (898) (994) (829) (299) (495) (686)
Other Expenses Rs. (3,159) (3,589) (3,472) (2,610) (1,579) (1,626)
Interest Income Rs. (244) (386) (510) (218) (382) (1)
Other Income Rs. 146 543 736 685 63
Re measurement gain / (loss) Rs. 196 866 1,119 843 198 1,036
Share gain/(loss) of associated company Rs. 2,866 (121) 741 (47)
Profit before Tax Rs. (25) (39) (18)
Profit after Tax Rs. 5,183 4,697 6,311 (896) (2,798) (25)
EBITDA Rs, 4,738 3,232 4,590 (240) (1,825) (45)
8,342 8,943 10,665 2,929 (745) 2,041
Balance Sheet
Paid up Capital Rs.
Shareholder's Equity including revaluation reserve Rs. 4,500 4,500 4,500 4,500 4,500 4,500
Long term borrowings Rs. 12,823 10,224 17,856 15,396 13,584 16,273
Capital employed Rs. 16,191 13,372 8,484 4,559 1,466 1,891
Deferred liabilities Rs. 39,426 33,989 43,754 37,077 31,518 32,303
Property, plant & equipment Rs. 5,021 5,631 11,058 11,038 10,059 10,303
Long term assets Rs. 21,285 21,916 37,937 37,290 37,114 39,909
Net current assets / Working capital Rs. 35,039 33,178 46,336 41,188 40,945 43,735
Total Assets Rs. 4,387 811 (2,456) (4,111) (10,188 (9,620)
52,126 50,637 65,341 54,636 48,148 52,727
Cash Flows
Operating activities Rs.
Investing activities Rs. 6,712 4,109 4,023 (1,179) (682) 2,797
Financing activities Rs. (10,353) (2,989) (710) 5,870 2,790 345
Changes in cash & cash equivalents Rs. 3,467 (316) (2,643) (5,665) (1,864) (1,789)
Cash & cash equivalents -Year end Rs. (174) 804 669 (973) 244 1,352
(5,321) (4,517) (3,847) (4,820) (4,576) (3,224)
Key Indicators:
Operating:
Gross Profit Margin %
Pre tax margin % 41.36 50.40 56.96 23.54 3.84 13.92
Net profit margin % 31.03 25.74 37.79 (11.01) (37.67) (0.17)
EBITDA % age to sales % 28.36 17.71 27.48 (2.95) (24.57) (0.31)
Earning per share (Rs.) Basic Rs. 49.93 49.01 63.86 36.00 (10.03) 14.33
10.53 7.18 10.20 (0.53) (4.06) (0.10)
Performance:
Book Value per share (Excluding revaluation surplus) Rs.
Book Value per share (Including revaluation surplus) Rs. 32.99 27.22 23.14 17.63 13.78 13.96
Return on assets % 38.50 32.72 49.68 44.21 40.19 46.16
Total Assets Turnover Time 9.09 6.38 7.02 (0.44) (3.79) (0.08)
Fixed Assets Turnover Time 0.32 0.36 0.26 0.15 0.15 0.27
Debtors turnover Time 0.77 0.82 0.44 0.22 0.20 0.36
Debtors turnover Days 11.80 11.13 12.19 11.14 20.52 83.57
Inventory turnover Time 31 33 29.95 33 18 4
Inventory turnover Days 1.80 1.82 1.45 1.32 1.40 3.07
Return on Share Capital % 203 200 251 276 261 119
Return on Equity (excluding revaluation surplus) % 105.29 71.82 102.00 (5.33) (40.56) (0.99)
31.91 26.39 44.08 (3.03) (29.44) (0.71)
Leverage:
Debt : Equity
Interest cover 54:46 59:41 59:41 54:46 43:57 36:64
1.64 1.31 1.82 (0.66) (0.77) (0.02)
Liquidity:
Current Ratio
Quick ratio 1.35 1.05 0.89 0.77 0.41 0.48
0.98 0.73 0.67 0.49 0.20 0.30
Valuation
Earning per share (before tax) Rs.
Earning per share (after tax) Rs. 11.52 10.44 14.02 (1.99) (6.22) (0.05)
Earnings Growth % 10.53 7.18 10.20 (0.53) (4.06) (0.10)
Cash dividend % (55.45) (31.79) 42.02 (105.23) 660.45 97.55
Bonus dividend %
Specie dividend %
100.00 130 148 49
3. Gul Ahmad
Financial Highlights
Profit and Loss 20I5 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
Rupees in Millions
millions
Sales 33,355 33,013 30,243 24,918 25,435 19,689
Gross profit 6,094 5,976 4,751 3,486 4,627 3,173
Operating profit 2,118 2,659 2,120 1,374 2,635 1,653
Profit/(Loss) before tax 783 1,496 852 (1) 1,537 708
Profit/(loss) after tax 605 1,235 711 (240) 1,196 478
Cash dividend 343 81 - - - 79
Bonus shares - 457 305 - 635 -
Balance Sheet
Property, plant and equipment 9,039 8,210 7,132 6,829 6,654 6,140
Intangible II 20 23 27 39 16
Long-term investment, loans,
advances and deposits 165 151 112 109 96 93
Net current assets 756 890 666 (98) 422 (224)
Total assets employed 9,971 9,271 7,933 6,867 7,211 6,025
Represented by:
Share capital 2,285 1,828 1,523 1,270 635 635
Reserves 4,884 4,832 3,905 3,203 4,078 2,961
Shareholders' equity 7,169 6,660 5,428 4,473 4,713 3,596
Long-term loans 2,408 2,239 2,155 2,096 2,199 2,223
Deferred liabilities 394 372 350 298 299 207
Total capital employed 9,971 9,271 7,933 6,867 7,211 6,025
Cash Flow Statement
Operating activities 670 2,090 (161) 3,497 (2,617) 454
Investing activities (1,783) (1,833) (1,068) (920) (1,250) (711)
Financing activities 108 217 210 (70) (148) (170)
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of
the year (8,721) (7,715) (8,188) (7,169) (9,676) (5,660)
Profitability ratios and Horizontal analysis
Fixed assets turnover ratio 3.69 4.02 4.24 3.65 3.82 3.21
Total assets turnover ratio 1.34 1.36 1.43 1.41 1.25 1.35
Investment/Market ratios
Earning per share Rupees 2.65 *5.40 *3.21 *(1.12) *5.57 *2.22
Price earnings ratio 18.51 11.85 7.39 (18.87) 9.29 8.34
Price to book ratio 0.45 0.48 0.17 0.15 0.16 0.08
Dividend yield ratio 0.03 **0.02 - - - 0.07
Cash dividend per share Rupees 1.50 **1.50 - - - 1.25
Bonus shares issued % - 25 20 - 100 -
Dividend payout ratio % 56.60 **2221 - - - 16.60
Dividend cover ratio Times 1.77 *4.50 - - - 6.02
Breakup value per share Rupees 31.37 *29.14 *27.41 *25.90 *27.29 *20.82
Market value per share
at the end of the year Rupees 49.05 64.01 23.74 21.11 51.73 18.53
high during the year Rupees 73.25 72.35 27.64 64.29 53.65 38.84
low during the year Rupees 44.65 20.50 19.16 16.05 18.53 17.40
EBITDA Rs. 3,094 3,519 2,900 2,129 3,359 2,347
Million
Summarized
Balance Sheet
Non-Current
Assets
Ratios
Profitability
Gross profit % 13.05 11.81 14.44 17.25 15.11 16.16
EBITDA to sales % 18.62 16.13 16.76 17.81 15.81 16.86
Pre-tax profit % 11.93 8.58 10.98 12.13 9.09 11.14
After tax profit % 10.26 7.64 10.13 11.15 7.85 9.97
Return on equity % 6.22 5.41 8.65 12.10 9.65 14.51
Return on capital % 8.01 7.79 10.99 15.33 14.56 18.86
employed
Operating (1.66) 3.21 (1.27) 2.19 2.23 1.09
leverage ratio
Horizontal analysis
Balance Sheet Total Equity 232% 215% 194% 166% 107% 100%
Non-current liabilities Current liabilities 145% 173% 205% 108% 111% 100%
128% 125% 141% 118% 99% 100%
PERFORMANCE
VALUATION
Earning per share (pre-tax) Rs. 3.98 4.70 1.06 21.36 13.53 (23.87)
Earning per share (after Rs. 2.33 2.42 2.09 19.81 12.36 (27.42)
tax)
Breakup value Rs. 17.04 17.30 15.23 10.24 (11.21) (24.69)
Price earning ratio Rs. 8.65 7.16 5.96 0.82 0.19 (0.04)
Market price to breakup Rs. 1.19 1.00 0.82 1.58 (0.21) (0.04)
value
Market value per share Rs. 20.20 17.30 12.49 16.20 2.36 1.06
Spinning.
Weaving.
Processing.
Printing.
Garment manufacturing.
Years Agriculture Sector Loss Industrial Sector Loss Services Sector Loss
PKR in Billions PKR in Billions PKR in Billions
1991 11.96 39.25 41.39
1992 11.87 41.19 43.32
1993 12.61 42.78 45.16
1994 14.57 44.59 47.34
1995 14.96 46.71 49.71
1996 17.84 46.57 51.52
1997 15.77 49.42 52.37
1998 18.54 51.85 54.99
1999 13.89 52.51 57.27
2000 14.39 53.81 59.82
2001 15.36 56.69 62.41
2002 14.72 59.78 65.74
2003 15.07 62.59 65.74
2004 18.81 70.09 69.68
2005 16.10 88.50 80.42
2006 15.20 96.37 86.09
2007 16.71 97.81 91.27
2008 16.51 96.02 92.76
2009 16.27 100.77 97.02
2010 24.27 100.52 100.28
2011 20.80 101.57 103.63
2012 25.11 102.61 106.95
2013 27.11 104.49 110.62
Electricity Shortage and Future Loss
2015 29.82 106.38 117.33
2020 38.52 112.17 134.33
2025 47.23 117.96 151.35
2030 55.93 123.75 168.37
2035 64.64 129.53 185.39
2040 73.34 135.32 202.42
2045 82.05 141.11 219.44
2050 90.75 146.90 236.46
References
1. Abbas, F., Rehman, M. & Perviz, A., 2012. Impact of Finanacial Crisis on Textile Sector of
Pakistan. Information Management and Business Review, 4(7), pp. 409-410.
2. Afzal, H., 2012. Impact of Electricity Crisis and Interest Rate on Textile Sector of Pakistan.
Academy of Contemporary Research Journal, 1(1), pp. 32-33.
3. Alam, I., 2011. Impact of Energy Crisis on Txtile Sector of Pakistan: Evidence from
Faisalabad, s.l.: South Asia Network of Economic Research Institute Working Paper.
4. Jatinder, S. &. C. B., 2008. Cotton Textile Apparel Sector of India: Situation & Challenges
Faced,, s.l.: International Food Policy Research Institute.
5. Khan, A. A. &. K. M., 2010. Pakistan Textile Industry Facing New Challenges. Research
Journal of International Studies, May, Volume 14, pp. 2-6.
6. Malik, A., n.d. Power Crisis in Pakistan: A crisis in Governance. Pakistan Institute of
Development Economics Islamabad, pp. 1-34.
7. Naqvi, F., Yousuf, U. & M., A., 2011. Textile Sector Performance of Pakistan. Journal of
Middle Eastern Finance & Economies, Volume 13, pp. 1-9.
8. Siddique, Rizwan, D. & Iffat, S. 2012. Syndicate Report-VI, s.l.: Federal Board of Revenue
(FBR) Pakistan.
9. SMEDA, 2011. SME Observer Quarterly. Small and Medium Enterprise Development
Authority Journal, Pakistan, 1(3), pp. 6-8.
10. Yaseen, A., 2011. Textile Industry of Pakistan, s.l.: Horizon Securities (SMC- Pvt) Ltd.
11. Akarca, A. T., and T.V. Long (1980), On the Relationship between Energy and GNP: A
Reexamination, Journal of Energy Development, Vol. 5, pp. 326-331.
12. Altinay, G. and E. Karagol (2004), Structural Break, Unit Root, and the Causality between
Energy Consumption and GNP in Turkey, Energy Economics, Vol. 26, pp. 985-994.
13. Altinay, G., Karagol, E., 2005. Electricity consumption and economic growth: evidence
from Turkey. Energy Economics 27, pp.849-856.
14. An IEA Fact Sheet, International Energy Agency Statistics; 2006.
15. Aqeel, A and M.S. Butt (2001), The Relationship between Energy Consumption and
Economic Growth in Pakistan, Asia-Pacific Development Journal, Vol. 8, No. 2, pp. 101-
109
16. Asafu-Adjaye, J. (2000), The Relationship between Energy Consumption, Energy Prices
and Economic Growth: Time Series Evidence from Asian Developing Countries, Energy
Economics, Vol. 22, pp. 615-625.
17. Asafu-Adjaye, J., 2000. The relationship between energy consumption, energy prices and
economic growth: time series evidence from Asian developing countries. Energy
Economics 22, pp.615-625.
18. Economic Survey of Pakistan 2005-2006, Finance Division, Government of
Pakistan, Islamabad.
19. Economic Survey of Pakistan 2006-2007, Finance Division, Government of
Pakistan, Islamabad.
20. Economic Survey of Pakistan 2007-2008, Finance Division, Government of
Pakistan, Islamabad.
21. Economic Survey of Pakistan 2008-2009, Finance Division, Government of
Pakistan, Islamabad.
22. Erbaykal, E. (2008), Disaggregate Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: Evidence
from Turkey, International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, Issue, 20, pp.
172-179.
23. In the year of 2006-07 gas and electricity, which are the main sources of energy for
industries in Pakistan, reported a negative growth of 15.2% [17] January-February 2008,
pp. 4-15.
24. Lee, C. C. (2005), Energy Consumption and GDP in Developing Countries: A Cointegrated
Panel Analysis, Energy Economics, Vol. 27, pp. 415-427.
25. Lee, C. C. (2006), The Causality Relationship between Energy Consumption and GDP in
G-11 Countries Revisited, Energy Policy, Vol. 34, pp. 1086-1093.
26. Lee, C., 2005. Energy consumption and GDP in developing countries: a co-integrated
panel analysis. Energy Economics 27, pp.415-427.
27. National Bank of Pakistan (2008), Pakistans Energy Sector, Economic Bulletin,
28. Pakistan WAPDA, http://www.wapda.gov.pk/
29. Sahir, M. H. and A. H. Qureshi (2007), Specific Concerns of Pakistan in the Context of
Energy Security Issues and Geopolitics of the Region, Energy Policy, Vol. 35, pp. 2031-
2037.
30. Sari, R., B. T. Ewing, and U. Soytas (2008), The Relationship Between Disaggregate
Energy Consumption and Industrial Production in the United States: An ARDL Approach,
Energy Economics, Vol. 30, pp. 23022313.
31. Shiu, A., Lam, P., 2004. Electricity consumption and economic growth in China. Energy
Policy 32, pp.4754.
32. Soytas, U. and R. Sari (2003), Energy Consumption and GDP: Causality Relationship in G-
7 Countries and Emerging Markets, Energy Economics, Vol. 25, pp. 33-37.
33. Stern, D. I., and J. C. Cleveland (2004), Energy and Economic Growth, Rensselaer
Working Papers in Economics, ss. 1-42
34. Stern, D.I., 2000. Multivariate cointegration analysis of the role of energy in the US
Macroeconomy. Energy Economics 22, pp.267-283.
35. Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2004), Disaggregate Energy Consumption and GDP, the Experience of
Shanghai 19521999, Energy Economics, Vol. 26, pp. 69-75.
36. Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2005), Energy Demand and Economic Growth: The African Experience
of 19 Countries, Journal of Policy Modeling, Vol. 27, pp. 891-903.
37. Zaleski, P. (2001), Energy and Geopolitical Issues, In Rao, D. B., D. Harshyita (eds.),
Energy Security, Discovery Publishing House, New Delhi.
38. Khan, A. A. and Khan, M. (2010). Pakistan Textile Industry Facing New Challenges.
39. Research Journal of International Studies - Issue 14 (May 2010) 21-29
40. APTMA (2010). All Pakistan Textile Mills Association, Annual Report (Various Issues).
41. Pakistan, Government of (2009-10) Pakistan Economic Survey. Islamabad: Ministry of
Finance.
42. Shibata, H. (1983). The energy crises and Japanese response, Copyright 1983
Published by Elsevier Science B. V. All rights reserved: Resources and Energy, Volume 5,
Issue 2, June 1983, Pages 129-154
43. Hathaway, R.M., Muchhala, B., and Kugelman, M. (2007). Fueling the Future: Meeting
Pakistans Energy Needs In The 21st Century.
44. Abbas, F. and Choudhary, N. (2013). Electricity Consumption-Economic Growth Nexus:
An Aggregated and Disaggregated Causality Analysis in India and Pakistan. Journal of
Policy Modelling, 35, 538-553.
45. Abbasi, Z. (2011). Energy Crisis Costs 2 Percent of GDP Annually. Business Recorder, July
07.
46. Abdullah, M. I., Wei, L., Anwar, W. and Bhutta, U. S. (2013). Energy crisis and
performance of industry of Pakistan: an empirical study. Bulletin of Energy Economics,
1(3), 21-27.
47. Adenikinju, A. F. (1998). Productivity growth and energy consumption in the Nigerian
Manufacturing sector: a panel data analysis. Energy Policy, 26, 199-205.
48. Afzal. H. M. Y. (2012). Impact of Electricity Crisis and Interest Rate on Textile Industry of
Pakistan. Academy of Contemporary Research Journal, 1, 32-35.
49. Ansar, A., Flyvbjerg, B., Budzier, A. and Lunn, D. (2014). Should we build more large
dams? The actual costs of hydropower mega project development. Energy Policy, 69, 43-
56.
50. Aqeel, A. and Butt, M. S. (2001). The Relationship between Energy Consumption and
Economic Growth in Pakistan. Asia-Pacific Development Journal, 8, 01-110.
51. Aziz, S., Burki, S. J., Ghaus-Pasha, A., Hamid, S., Hasan, P., Hussain, A., Pasha, H. A. and
Sherdil, A. Z. K. (2010). Third Annual ReportState of the Economy: Pulling back from
the abyss (p. 66). Lahore, Pakistan: Beacon house National University, Institute of Public
Policy.
52. Boyd, G. A., Pang, J. X. (2000). Estimating the linkages between energy efficiency and
productivity. Energy Policy, 28, 289-296.
53. Chen, Y. S., Wong, W. K. and Woo, C. K. (2013). How much have Electricity Shortages
Hampered Chinas GDP Growth? Energy Policy, 55, 369-373.
54. Filiz, O., Omer, O. and Serdar, K. H. (2012). Energy Production and Economic Growth:
Empirical Evidence from Turkey. Applied Econometrics and International Development,
12, 79-88.
55. Ghaus-Pasha, A. (2013). Economic cost of power outages. ippbnu.org.
56. Hatemi-J, A. and Uddin, G. S. (2012). Is the Causal Nexus of Energy Utilization and
Economic Growth Asymmetric in the US? Economic Systems, 36, 461-469.
57. Kessides, I. N. (2013). Chaos in power: Pakistans electricity crisis. Energy Policy, 55, 271-
285.
58. Khan, A. N., Begum, T. and Sher, M. (2012). Energy Crisis in Pakistan: Causes and
Consequences. Abasyn Journal of Social Sciences, 4 (2), 341-363.
59. Khurshid, M. and Anwar, W. (2013). Energy Crisis and Performance of Industry of
Pakistan: An Empirical Study of KSE Listed Companies. International Journal of African
and Asian Studies, 2, 50-55.
60. Kugelman, M. (2013). Pakistans energy crisis. http://www.nbr.org.
61. Kumar, S. and Shahbaz, M. (2012). Coal consumption and economic growth revisited:
structural breaks, cointegration and causality tests for Pakistan. Energy Exploration &
Exploitation, 30, 499-522.
62. Levine, R. (1997). Financial development and economic growth: views and agenda.
Journal of Economic Literature, 35(2), 688-726.
63. Liew, K-S., Nathan, T. M. and Wong, W-K. (2012). Are Sectoral Outputs in Pakistan Led by
Energy Consumption? Economics Bulletin, 32, 2326-2331.
64. Morimoto, R. and Hope, C. (2004). The Impact of Electricity Supply on Economic Growth
in Nepal. Energy Economics, 26, 77-85.
65. Mozumder, P. and Marathe, A. (2007). Causality Relationship between Electricity
Consumption and GDP in Bangladesh. Energy Policy, 35, 395-402.
66. Naz, L. and Ahmad M. (2013). What Inspires Energy Crisis at the Micro Level: Empirical
Evidence from Energy Consumption Pattern of Urban Households from Sindh. A paper
presented in 29th AGM Conference, held in Islamabad, 19-21 December 2007.
67. Ozturk, I. (2010). A literature survey on energy-growth nexus. Energy Policy, 38(1), 340-
349.
68. Paul, B. P., and Uddin, G.S. (2011). Energy and Output Dynamics in Bangladesh. Energy
Economics, 33, 480-487.
69. Payne, J. E. (2009). On the dynamics of energy consumption and employment in Illinois.
Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, 39, 126-130.
70. Poveda, A. C. and Martinez, C. I. P. (2011). Trends in economic growth, poverty, and
energy in Columbia: long-run and short run effects. Energy Systems, 2, 281-298.
71. Qasim, M. andKotani, K. (2014). An empirical analysis of energy shortage in Pakistan.
Asia- Pacific Development Journal, 21, 137-166.
72. Qazi, A. Q., Ahmed, K. and Mudassar, M. (2012). Disaggregated Energy Consumption and
Industrial Output in Pakistan: An Empirical Analysis. Discussion paper, no. 2012-29.
73. Reza, S. A., Shahbaz, M. and Nguyen, D. C. (2015). Energy conservation policies, growth,
and trade performance: Evidence of feedback hypothesis in Pakistan. Energy Policy, 80,
110.
74. Salman, K. and Munir, K. (2011). Is circular debt the real issue? The DAWN, October 10,
2011.
75. Shahbaz, M. (2015). Electricity Consumption, Financial Development, and Economic
Growth Nexus in Pakistan: A Visit. Bulletin of Energy Economics, 3, 48-65.
76. Shahbaz, M. and Feridun, M. (2012). Electricity consumption and economic growth
empirical evidence from Pakistan. Quality and Quantity, 46, 1583-1599.
77. Shahbaz, M. and Lean, H. H. (2012). The Dynamics of Electricity Consumption and
Economic Growth: A Revisit of Study of their Causality in Pakistan
78. Shahbaz, M., Zeshan, M. and Afza, T. (2012). Is energy consumption effective to spur
economic growth in Pakistan? New evidence from bounds test to level relationships and
Granger causality tests. Economic Modelling, 29(6), 2310-2319.
79. Siddiqui, R. (2004). Energy and Economic Growth in Pakistan. Pakistan Development
Review, 43, 175-200.
80. Siddiqui, R., et al. (2011). The Cost of Un-served Energy: Evidence from Selected
Industrial Cities of Pakistan. Working Papers, 2011: 75, Pakistan Institute of Development
Economics, Islamabad.
81. Siyal, G., Afzal, M. I., Jamil, R. A., Mahmood, Q. S., Shahzad, K. and Zaman, K. (2014). The
impact of electricity crisis on the consumption behavior of small and medium
enterprises: Evidence from Pakistan. Energy and the Developing Society, 1, 1-19.
82. Stern, D. I. and Cleveland, J. C. (2004). Energy and economic growth. Rensselaer Working
Papers in Economics, 1-42.
83. The government of Pakistan (GoP), (2014). The economic survey of Pakistan, Ministry of
Finance, Islamabad, Pakistan.
84. Udah, E. B. (2010). Industrial Development, Electricity Crisis and Economic Performance
in Nigeria. European Journal of Economics, Finance, and Administrative Sciences, 18,
105-121.
85. Woo, C. K., Ho, T., Shiu, A., Chen, Y. S., Horowitz, I. and Wang, J. (2014). Residential
Outage Cost of Estimation: Hong Kong. Energy Policy, 72, 204-210.
86. Yildirm, E., Sukruoglu, D. and Aslan, A. (2014). Energy Consumption and Economic
Growth in the Next 11 Countries: The Bootstrapping Autoregressive Metric Causality
Approach. Energy Economics, 44, 14-21.
87. Zeshan, M. (2013). Finding the Cointegration and Causal Linkages between the Electricity
88. Production and Economic Growth in Pakistan. Economic Modelling, 31, 344-350.
89. Alahdad, Z. (2012), Pakistans Energy Sector: From Crisis to Crisis- Breaking the Chain
PIDE Monograph Series
90. Alam, Imran (2011) Impact of Financial Crisis on Textile Industry of Pakistan: Evidence
from Faisalabad, SANEI Working Paper Series, No. 11 - 02
91. Aqeel, A., Butt, M.S. (2011), The Relationship between energy consumption and
economic growth in Pakistan, Asia Pacific Development Journal, No.8, pp. 101-110
92. Bose, R. K., M. Shukla, L. Srivastava and G. Yaron (2005), Cost of Unserved Power in
Karnataka, India Energy Policy, 34; 1434-47
93. The Faisalabad Chamber of Commerce & Industry (2013-14) www.fcci.org.pk
94. Malik, Afia (2012) Power Crisis in Pakistan: A Crisis in Governance? PIDE Monograph
Series
95. McConnell, K.E. and Bockstael, N.B. (2005), Valuing the Environment as a Factor of
Production. In Handbook on Environmental Economics, Vol. 2, Edited by Maler, K.G.,
Vincent, J.R. North-Holland, Amsterdam.
96. McConnell, K.E. (1990), Models for Referendum Data: The Structure of Discrete Choice
Models for Contingent Valuation Journal of Environmental Economics and
Management, No. 18, pp.19-34.
97. NTDC Report (2001), Electricity Demand Forecast based on Multiple Regression Analysis,
Period 2011 to 2035
98. Pakistan Economic Survey, Ministry of Finance, Pakistan (various issues).
99. Pakistan Textile Journal (various issues) URL: http://www.pti.com.pk/2008/Journal-
Archive.htm
100. Siddiqui, R. (2004), Energy and Economic Growth in Pakistan, The Pakistan
Development Review, Vol. 43, No. 2, pp. 175-200
101. Siddiqui, R., H. H. Jalil, M. Nasir, W. S. Malik, M. Khalid (2011), The Cost of
Unserved Energy: Evidence from Selected Industrial Cities of Pakistan, PIDE Working
Papers 75.
102. Stern, D. I., and J. C. Cleveland (2004), Energy and Economic Growth,
Rensselaer Working Papers in Economics, ss. 1-42
103. Wijayatunga, P. D. C. and M. S. Jayalath (2008), Economic Impact of Electricity
Supply Interruptions on the Industrial Sector of Bangladesh, Energy for Sustainable
Development 7:3, 5-12
104. Zapata, S, D. and Carpio, C, E. (2012), The Theoretical Structure of Producer
Willingness to Pay Estimates, ^Presented at the Agricultural & Applied Economics
Associations 2012(AAEA) Annual Meeting, Seattle, Washington.