Professional Documents
Culture Documents
FrontierMarkets(nosovereignratings)
Country PRS Composite Risk Score ERP
Algeria 60.3 13.72%
Brunei 72.8 9.75%
Gambia 61.5 13.72%
Guinea 48.5 20.00%
Guinea-Bissau 64.5 12.48%
Guyana 64.5 12.48%
Haiti 58.0 16.61%
Iran 72.0 11.22%
Korea, D.P.R. 56.0 17.24%
Liberia 52.8 17.24%
Libya 50.0 20.00%
Madagascar 64.5 12.48%
Malawi 54.8 17.24%
Mali 63.5 13.90%
Myanmar 61.8 13.72%
Niger 53.8 17.24%
Sierra Leone 57.3 16.61%
Somalia 41.0 20.00%
Sudan 48.3 20.00%
Syria 45.8 20.00%
Tanzania 64.0 13.90%
Togo 61.0 13.72%
Yemen, Republic 50.5 17.24%
Zimbabwe 56.0 17.24%
vereignratings)
CRP Default Spread
7.47% 5.34%
3.50% 2.50%
7.47% 5.34%
13.75% 9.82%
6.23% 4.45%
6.23% 4.45%
10.36% 7.40%
4.97% 3.55%
10.99% 7.85%
10.99% 7.85%
13.75% 9.82%
6.23% 4.45%
10.99% 7.85%
7.65% 5.46%
7.47% 5.34%
10.99% 7.85%
10.36% 7.40%
13.75% 9.82%
13.75% 9.82%
13.75% 9.82%
7.65% 5.46%
7.47% 5.34%
10.99% 7.85%
10.99% 7.85%
SovereignCDS,netofUS TotalEquityRiskPremium2 CountryRiskPremium3
0.59% 6.42% 0.73%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
4.76% 11.55% 5.86%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
0.11% 5.83% 0.14%
0.14% 5.86% 0.17%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
2.79% 9.12% 3.43%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
0.22% 5.96% 0.27%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
3.21% 9.64% 3.95%
1.49% 7.52% 1.83%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
0.91% 6.81% 1.12%
1.27% 7.25% 1.56%
2.04% 8.20% 2.51%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
3.02% 9.41% 3.72%
NA NA NA
2.22% 8.42% 2.73%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
2.29% 8.51% 2.82%
0.36% 6.13% 0.44%
0.03% 5.73% 0.04%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
4.38% 11.08% 5.39%
NA NA NA
0.43% 6.22% 0.53%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
0.07% 5.78% 0.09%
0.32% 6.08% 0.39%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
0.06% 5.76% 0.07%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
0.20% 5.94% 0.25%
1.29% 7.28% 1.59%
0.72% 6.58% 0.89%
1.38% 7.39% 1.70%
1.87% 7.99% 2.30%
NA NA NA
0.64% 6.48% 0.79%
NA NA NA
0.74% 6.60% 0.91%
1.84% 7.95% 2.26%
NA NA NA
0.24% 5.99% 0.30%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
1.75% 7.84% 2.15%
NA NA NA
0.29% 6.05% 0.36%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
0.64% 6.48% 0.79%
5.19% 12.08% 6.39%
NA NA NA
0.56% 6.38% 0.69%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
1.56% 7.61% 1.92%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
1.82% 7.93% 2.24%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
1.73% 7.82% 2.13%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
0.13% 5.85% 0.16%
0.12% 5.84% 0.15%
NA NA NA
5.38% 12.31% 6.62%
0.00% 5.69% 0.00%
NA NA NA
3.80% 10.37% 4.68%
1.56% 7.61% 1.92%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
1.35% 7.35% 1.66%
1.23% 7.20% 1.51%
0.79% 6.66% 0.97%
3.04% 9.43% 3.74%
0.79% 6.66% 0.97%
NA NA NA
1.13% 7.08% 1.39%
2.08% 8.25% 2.56%
NA NA NA
1.07% 7.01% 1.32%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
0.47% 6.27% 0.58%
1.14% 7.09% 1.40%
2.49% 8.75% 3.06%
0.87% 6.76% 1.07%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
0.02% 5.71% 0.02%
0.12% 5.84% 0.15%
NA NA NA
0.90% 6.80% 1.11%
NA NA NA
4.62% 11.37% 5.68%
3.06% 9.46% 3.77%
NA NA NA
NA NA NA
7.26% 14.62% 8.93%
NA NA NA
0.23% 5.97% 0.28%
0.00% 5.69% 0.00%
NA NA NA
30.44% 43.15% 37.46%
2.23% 8.43% 2.74%
NA NA NA
Has to be sorted in ascending order
Rating Default spread in basis points
A1 81
A2 98
A3 139
Aa1 46
Aa2 57
Aa3 70
Aaa 0
B1 520
B2 636
B3 751
Ba1 289
Ba2 347
Ba3 416
Baa1 184
Baa2 220
Baa3 254
Ca 1386
Caa1 866
Caa2 1040
Caa3 1155
NR NA
Returns by year
Valueofstocksinstartingyear:
ValueofT.Billsinstartingyear:
ValueofT.bondsinstartingyear:
Estimateofriskpremiumbasedonyourinputs:
AnnualReturnsonInvestmentsin
Page 29
Returns by year
Page 30
Returns by year
GeometricAverage
19282016 9.52% 3.42% 4.91%
19672016 10.09% 4.83% 6.66%
20072016 6.88% 0.73% 4.58%
Page 31
Returns by year
premiums US companies
data.html
me.xls
datafile/variable.htm
Estimatesofriskpremiumsfrom1928,overthelast50yearsandoverthelast10years
areprovidedatthebottomofthistable.
100
100
100
4.54%
CompoundedValueof$100
Page 32
Returns by year
Page 33
Returns by year
RiskPremium StandardError
StocksT.Bills StocksT.Bonds StocksT.Bills
8.03% 6.32% 2.12%
6.57% 4.37% 2.39%
7.90% 3.62% 6.06%
RiskPremium
StocksT.Bills StocksT.Bonds
6.11% 4.62%
5.25% 3.42%
6.15% 2.30%
Page 34
Returns by year
50yearsandoverthelast10years
Historical risk
Stocks - Bonds premium
42.98%
-12.50%
-29.66%
-41.28%
-17.43%
48.13%
-9.15%
42.27%
26.93%
-36.72%
25.07%
-5.51%
-16.08%
-10.75%
16.88%
22.57%
16.45%
32.02%
-11.56%
4.28%
3.75%
Page 35
Returns by year
13.64%
30.38%
23.97%
15.88%
-5.35%
49.27%
33.93%
9.70%
-17.25%
45.82%
14.70%
-11.30% 6.11%
24.58% 6.62%
-14.51% 5.97%
20.93% 6.36%
12.69% 6.53%
11.68% 6.66%
-12.88% 6.11%
25.38% 6.57%
7.54% 6.60%
-3.23% 6.33%
-13.19% 5.90%
4.43% 5.87%
15.94% 6.08%
-17.97% 5.50%
-27.89% 4.64%
33.39% 5.17%
7.85% 5.22%
-8.27% 4.93%
7.29% 4.97%
17.85% 5.21%
34.72% 5.73%
-12.90% 5.37%
-12.40% 5.10%
19.14% 5.34%
-7.59% 5.12%
5.52% 5.13%
-5.79% 4.97%
10.77% 5.07%
8.31% 5.12%
Page 36
Returns by year
13.78% 5.24%
-9.30% 5.00%
15.23% 5.14%
-1.87% 5.03%
-4.24% 4.90%
9.36% 4.97%
13.71% 5.08%
21.25% 5.30%
23.16% 5.53%
13.42% 5.63%
29.14% 5.96%
-25.69% 5.51%
-17.42% 5.17%
-37.08% 4.53%
27.98% 4.82%
6.25% 4.84%
1.97% 4.80%
13.65% 4.91%
-4.73% 4.79%
-56.65% 3.88%
37.05% 4.29%
6.36% 4.31%
-13.94% 4.10%
12.92% 4.20%
41.25% 4.62%
2.78% 4.60%
0.08% 4.54%
11.05% 4.62%
StandardError
StocksT.Bonds
2.26%
2.72%
8.63%
Page 37
Global Companies Betas by Sector January 2016
US companies
html
s
le/variable.htm
Unlevered beta Cash/Firm value Unlevered beta corrected for cash HiLo Risk
0.85 6.27% 0.91 0.6671
0.89 5.21% 0.94 0.5241
0.73 4.23% 0.76 0.4760
0.67 4.30% 0.71 0.4968
0.35 6.46% 0.38 0.6222
0.85 8.90% 0.94 0.5478
0.37 9.89% 0.41 0.2658
0.33 10.76% 0.36 0.2325
0.63 11.30% 0.71 0.5805
0.74 4.84% 0.78 0.5856
0.68 2.17% 0.70 0.4266
0.36 14.97% 0.42 0.4577
0.83 4.05% 0.87 0.3818
0.82 3.52% 0.85 0.5200
0.80 2.32% 0.82 0.3395
0.65 4.00% 0.68 0.5526
1.14 6.50% 1.22 0.5298
0.94 3.97% 0.98 0.4924
0.57 5.34% 0.61 0.6001
Global Companies Betas by Sector January 2016
Unlevered beta Cash/Firm value Unlevered beta corrected for cash HiLo Risk
0.79 5.24% 0.83 0.5390
0.89 5.61% 0.94 0.4866
0.98 4.68% 1.02 0.4424
0.58 7.84% 0.63 0.3951
1.18 5.54% 1.25 0.5805
0.89 3.98% 0.93 0.6179
0.94 10.16% 1.05 0.5865
0.97 6.42% 1.04 0.6252
0.91 5.99% 0.97 0.6086
0.74 10.02% 0.83 0.4951
0.93 8.26% 1.01 0.5056
0.93 3.59% 0.97 0.6605
0.62 0.95% 0.63 0.5837
0.59 3.88% 0.62 0.5482
0.07 2.29% 0.07 0.2947
0.61 2.57% 0.63 0.4214
0.91 1.76% 0.93 0.3878
0.67 3.39% 0.69 0.4789
0.43 8.85% 0.47 0.6770
0.89 3.91% 0.92 0.5348
0.74 10.07% 0.82 0.5096
0.80 4.22% 0.83 0.5458
0.73 5.33% 0.77 0.3321
0.44 1.43% 0.45 0.4817
0.64 3.43% 0.67 0.4598
0.67 2.97% 0.69 0.5926
Global Companies Betas by Sector January 2016
Unlevered beta Cash/Firm value Unlevered beta corrected for cash HiLo Risk
0.84 3.71% 0.87 0.3452
0.69 3.92% 0.71 0.2761
0.67 16.83% 0.80 0.2818
0.67 4.61% 0.70 0.2524
0.57 15.46% 0.68 0.3809
0.89 4.28% 0.93 0.4467
0.86 2.98% 0.89 0.7440
1.03 6.31% 1.09 0.4362
0.93 2.05% 0.95 0.5161
0.94 5.44% 0.99 0.6405
0.68 0.76% 0.69 0.4215
1.04 6.27% 1.11 0.5450
0.59 2.55% 0.60 0.3546
0.79 4.87% 0.83 0.5042
0.32 2.46% 0.33 0.2648
1.01 8.33% 1.10 0.7586
0.89 7.77% 0.96 0.4132
0.41 1.61% 0.41 0.2392
0.43 8.47% 0.47 0.6038
1.05 3.71% 1.09 0.4391
0.58 5.21% 0.62 0.5913
0.73 4.54% 0.76 0.5233
0.59 8.30% 0.65 0.2514
0.59 2.36% 0.61 0.4123
0.62 1.12% 0.63 0.4333
1.11 1.66% 1.12 0.2621
Global Companies Betas by Sector January 2016
Unlevered beta Cash/Firm value Unlevered beta corrected for cash HiLo Risk
0.75 2.19% 0.77 0.5018
0.80 2.73% 0.82 0.2805
0.46 1.25% 0.46 0.3599
1.13 3.79% 1.17 0.5212
0.73 4.29% 0.76 0.4108
0.82 8.09% 0.89 0.4555
1.06 4.78% 1.11 0.4717
0.96 12.69% 1.10 0.4324
0.83 2.83% 0.85 0.5953
0.78 5.59% 0.83 0.3007
0.86 11.29% 0.96 0.6124
1.09 2.64% 1.12 0.6293
0.94 5.33% 0.99 0.5614
1.11 7.04% 1.19 0.5972
0.55 5.92% 0.58 0.6530
0.80 6.86% 0.86 0.4893
0.66 1.78% 0.68 0.4531
1.11 2.38% 1.13 0.6350
0.80 3.51% 0.83 0.3969
0.65 1.82% 0.66 0.2829
0.72 4.25% 0.76 0.4577
0.25 0.65% 0.25 0.1515
0.47 0.43% 0.47 0.4530
0.62 4.92% 0.65 0.4822
0.81 4.08% 0.85 0.5249
Global Companies Betas by Sector January 2016
Standard deviation in
operating income (last 10
Standard deviation of equity years)
72.80% 17.05%
40.75% 14.67%
38.61% 99.37%
47.15% 24.77%
29.21% 366.54%
50.64% 54.10%
25.85% Err:512
22.84% Err:512
44.18% 27.49%
52.80% 16.55%
41.01% 18.50%
44.96% 40.20%
33.77% 48.36%
44.71% 20.37%
30.78% 40.08%
59.91% 54.64%
45.48% 26.46%
45.44% 27.95%
73.31% 84.87%
Global Companies Betas by Sector January 2016
Standard deviation in
operating income (last 10
Standard deviation of equity years)
45.57% 16.36%
60.29% 57.15%
38.87% 28.00%
23.28% 21.92%
75.23% 68.61%
67.61% 12.05%
51.51% 43.36%
54.63% 17.78%
66.94% 57.44%
48.91% 30.66%
44.23% 20.48%
44.71% 18.90%
57.94% 14.25%
41.14% 26.67%
29.20% 45.33%
30.98% 22.15%
52.66% 15.60%
42.94% 28.13%
47.60% 97.34%
56.59% 11.19%
50.06% 22.08%
52.46% 37.38%
33.76% 137.06%
44.67% 32.38%
39.32% 26.38%
50.91% 6.48%
Global Companies Betas by Sector January 2016
Standard deviation in
operating income (last 10
Standard deviation of equity years)
36.65% 34.87%
30.38% 76.49%
27.80% 34.97%
25.41% 59.96%
34.30% 32.59%
38.59% 22.89%
77.36% 32.69%
33.85% 14.76%
46.30% 44.08%
75.08% 70.00%
45.13% 45.25%
60.50% 33.60%
29.58% 20.50%
38.67% 38.75%
24.11% 7.62%
78.31% 72.93%
48.08% 13.57%
24.67% 27.75%
39.45% 336.02%
24.99% 170.32%
50.15% 41.20%
46.01% 28.71%
21.23% 79.92%
39.10% 21.59%
28.30% 36.36%
39.62% 23.30%
Global Companies Betas by Sector January 2016
Standard deviation in
operating income (last 10
Standard deviation of equity years)
40.48% 38.55%
40.00% 6.58%
35.13% 17.61%
48.86% 51.38%
42.19% 21.86%
63.88% 46.21%
42.08% 33.61%
38.24% 50.41%
73.54% 24.62%
37.21% 26.27%
48.14% 119.34%
55.85% 46.53%
47.40% 17.04%
54.19% 65.41%
37.67% 42.23%
49.24% 17.73%
47.21% 37.74%
61.73% 16.67%
32.72% 24.08%
27.05% 28.20%
42.01% 33.32%
19.32% 6.86%
45.04% 25.14%
45.04% 17.28%
48.81% 16.91%
CAPITAL TOTAL $ 900,000,000
CAPITAL $ 360,000,000
DEUDA $ 540,000,000
TASA 15% EA 5 AOS
CALIDAD $ 2,000,000
ASISTENCIAL $ 900,000
ENERGIA $ 10,000,000
IMPUESTO 33%
INFLACION 6%
CUOTAS FIJAS ANUALES
POR FRASCO
10 ASISTENTES
AO
0 1
Crecimiento ventas 0% 10%
Inflacin 0% 6%
Ventas 0 54000
Capacidad instalada 0 54000
Precio venta $0 $ 25,000
Ingresos $0 $ 1,350,000,000
$0 $ 4,500
Materia prima
$0 $ 243,000,000
$0 $ 2,500
Mercadeo
$0 $ 135,000,000
Energia $0 $ 120,000,000
0
Cuota
Intereses
Amortizacion Capital
Saldo $ 540,000,000
1 2 3 4 5
-$161,090,398 -$161,090,398 -$161,090,398 -$161,090,398 -$161,090,398
$ 81,000,000 $ 68,986,440 $ 55,170,847 $ 39,282,914 $ 21,011,791
-$ 80,090,398 -$ 92,103,958 -$ 105,919,552 -$ 121,807,485 -$ 140,078,607
$ 459,909,602 $ 367,805,644 $ 261,886,092 $ 140,078,607 $0
1 2 3
Construcciones $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000
Maquinaria y Equipos $ 25,000,000 $ 25,000,000 $ 25,000,000
4 5 6 7 8 9
$ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000
$ 25,000,000 $ 25,000,000 $ 25,000,000 $ 25,000,000 $ 25,000,000 $ 25,000,000
10
$ 50,000,000
$ 25,000,000
0 1 2
DIVIDENDOS ACCIONISTAS $0
TASA 20%
TIR 20%
AO
1 2 3 4
-$ 250,000,000
$ 1,704,343,896
-$ 687,039,962
-$ 474,943,832
-$ 151,497,235
-$ 60,598,894
-$ 477,216,291
-$ 170,434,390
-$ 306,781,901
-$ 75,000,000
-$ 50,000,000
-$ 25,000,000
-$ 21,011,791
$ 444,075,852
$ 146,545,031
$ 297,530,821
$ 119,012,328
$ 178,518,493
Proporcin Recursos propios 40%
Proporcin Deuda 60%