Professional Documents
Culture Documents
LECTURE 1 OF 5
LEARNING
OUTCOMES :
understand the concept of experiments, outcomes,
sample spaces, events and random selections.
find the probability of an event.
vs
1
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
DEFINITION
2
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 1
Solution
Tree Diagram
Table
3
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Formula: P( A B) P( A) P( B) P( A B)
4
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Complementary Events
5
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Exhaustive Events
6
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
PROBABILITY
7
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 2:
8
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 3:
9
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 4:
10
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 5:
11
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 6:
12
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 7:
13
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 8:
14
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
LECTURE 2 OF 5
LEARNING OUTCOMES :
understand mutually exclusive event.
apply additional rule in probability.
P( A B) P( A) P( B) P( A B)
P( A B) P( A) P( B)
Example 1:
If P(X) = 0.4, P(Y) = 0.2 and P(X Y) = 0.1, find P(X Y).
Solution
15
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 2:
Solution
16
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 3:
Solution
17
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 4:
Solution
18
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
LECTURE 3 OF 5
LEARNING OUTCOMES :
apply the additional rule of probability
Example 1:
If C and D are two events where P(C) = 0.1, P(D) = 0.2 and
P(C D) = 0.3.
(a) Determine whether C and D are two mutually exclusive
events.
(b) Find P( C' ) and P( C' D' ).
Solution
19
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 2:
Solution
20
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 3:
Solution
21
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 4:
Employed Unemployed
Male 240 80
Female 250 30
22
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
S
A B
PA B C P( A) P( B) P(C ) P( A B) P( A C ) P( B C ) P( A B C)
S
A B
PA B C P( A) P( B) P(C )
23
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 5:
S
A B
24
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 6:
25
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
LECTURE 4 OF 5
LEARNING OUTCOMES :
understand conditional probability.
apply the multiplication rules in probability.
Conditional Probability
P(A B)
P AB
P(B) ; P(B) 0
And read as
the probability of A given B has already occurred
26
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 1:
1 1
The events A and B are such that P(A) = , P(B) = and
3 4
1
P(A B) =
2
Find :
(a) P( A B)
(b) P( A B' )
(c) P( A B' )
Solution
27
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 2:
1 1
If A and B are two events with P(A) = , P(B) = , P(A B)
4 3
5
= . Find
12
(a) P(A B)
(b) P( B A)
(c) P( A B' )
(d) the probability that exactly one of A and B will occur
Solution
28
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 3:
Solution
29
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 4:
(a) a female
(b) a male given the employee owned an Alza
(c) a female who owned a Myvi
(d) a male who owned an Axia or a female who owned an
Alza.
30
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
31
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
EXERCISES
32
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
LECTURE 5 OF 5
LEARNING OUTCOMES :
apply the multiplication rule in probability
Independent Events
P( A B) P( A B)
P( A | B) P( B | A)
P( B) P( A)
P( A B) P( A | B) P( B)
P ( B | A) P ( A)
P( A | B) P( A) and P( B | A) P( B)
P ( A and B ) P ( A) P ( B )
P( A B) P ( A) P ( B )
33
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 1:
Solution
34
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 2:
Solution
35
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 3:
Solution
36
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Example 4:
Solution
37
Mathematics QA 026
Topic 7: Probability Lesson Plan
Problem Solving
Example 5:
Solution
38