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05/10/2016 Sharda Cropchem Limited: Business Moat strong entry barrier Detailed Report

4 OCT OBER 2016

INIT IAT ING COVARAGE I SECT OR: AGRO CHEMICALS

Sharda Cropchem Limited


B SE SENSEX
28,334
S&P CNX
8,769
CMP: INR390 TP: INR500 (+28%) Buy
(INR CRORES) Sharda Cropchem LTD ('SCC') is a generics agrochemical company,
Y/E MARCH FY16 FY17E FY18E follows a differentiated asset-light business model focusing on product
Net sales 1,219 1,449 1,711
registrations and outsourced manufacturing. It operates in formulations
EBITDA 267 343 391
and active ingredients solely based on generic (off?patent) molecules.
PAT 176 213 239
This differentiates it from an innovator company which expends capital,
BV/Share (Rs.) 89.9 109.5 131.4
time and resources primarily towards R&D.
Business Moat strong entry barrier: The business in which 'SCC'
AEPS (Rs.) 18.7 23.6 26.5
is requires huge capital deployment and long gestation period to get
AEPS growth (%) 24% 26% 12%
the registrations and dossiers done. Time delay and funds tied for a
P/E (x) 20.8 16.5 14.7
long period makes this an unattractive opportunity for new generic
P/BV (x) 4.3 3.6 3.0
agrochemical players. The capital investment required for registrations
EV/EBITDA (x) 12.6 9.7 8.3
is usually Euro 3-5 million while the time required to receive one
Div yld (%) 0.8% 0.9% 1.0%
approval ranges from 3-5 years depending on the type of registration
ROE (%) 24% 24% 22%
and the region in which it is applied for.
RoCE (%) 31% 33% 31%
Multiple levers to propel growth : SCC has clocked 29% revenue
CAGR over FY11-16 and we estimate it to achieve revenue CAGR
of 18% over FY16-18. We believe the following potent triggers will
KEY FINANCIALS
Shares Outstanding (cr) 9.0
continue its high growth trajectory:
Market Cap. (INR cr) 3510 i) Rising wallet share in existing products: SCC has a minuscule
Market Cap. (US$ m) 526 market share in individual products category. The company has been
Past 3 yrs Sales Growth (%) 16% aggressively filing registrations across geographies. In its top 10
Past 3 yrs NP Growth (%) 26%
products, SCC's market share is in the 0.5-7.0% range. According to
the company, these products have market potential of INR350bn
STOCK DATA (~10% of global agrochemical market).
52-W High/Low Range (INR) 417/203 ii) Geographic expansion: The Company has an established track
Major Shareholders (as of June 2016) of securing registrations in the 'toughest' markets such as Europe.
Promoter 75
The company has secured around 903 registrations in Europe out of
Institutions 20
Public & Others 5
1830 total registration so far across geographies.
Average Daily Turnover(6 months) iii) New product launches: Currently, SCC has a portfolio of 68
Volume 16944 products, of which 38 are present in all geographies while balance 30
Value (Rs cr) 0.57
products penetration to all geographies is expected going forward.
1/6/12 Month Rel. Performance (%) 7/50/29
1/6/12 Month Abs. Performance (%) 6/62/37
Further, it has a launch pipeline of 12-14 new products over the next
3?4 years. Based on management estimates, these products have
opportunity size of >USD1bn globally.
Valuations & View: Given SCC's unique, asset-light business model,
management's focus on increasing the number of registrations, we
believe management's guidance of 18% revenue growth over FY16-
18 with stable margins, is achievable. The company currently trades
at 14.7xFY18 EPS with healthy return ratios (RoE>20%; RoCE>30%).
We value the company with a PEG ratio of 1 implying 19xFY18 EPS
for a per share target price of INR 500 (upside 28%).
Dharmesh Kant (Dharmesh.Kant@motilaloswal.com); Tel: +91 22 30102470
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.

Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.

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05/10/2016 Sharda Cropchem Limited: Business Moat strong entry barrier Detailed Report

Sharda Cropchem Limited

CONCERNS
Weather: The crop protection industry has to contend with the vagaries of nature. Adverse weather can
trigger pest infestations as well as affect demand for crop-protection products, thereby negatively affecting
the company's sales.
Adverse currency movement: SCC deals in multiple currencies across geographies. Ergo, any sharp
movement could impact the company's earnings adversely. Further, its relatively long receivables cycle enhances
the currency volatility risk. Moreover, SCC's purchases are in USD while sales are in EUR/USD. Though, it
provides natural hedge to a significant extent, we see currency risk in terms of EUR-USD movement.

BACKGROUND
SCC generates about 85% of its topline from selling generic agrochemical products balance 15% from the
trading of conveyor belts and other non agrochemicals. It follows a differentiated asset-light business model
focusing on product registrations and outsourced manufacturing. It operates in formulations and active ingredients
solely based on generic (off-patent) molecules. This differentiates it from an innovator company which expends
capital, time and resources primarily towards R&D.
During the identification process, SCC weighs several factors including competition, margins, entry barriers,
market size, ability to leverage it across jurisdictions globally, marketing and the time involved to seek registrations.
It then procures formulations and generic active ingredients in the finished form from third party manufacturers
for onward sale. The company has formidable sourcing capabilities in China anchored by decade old quality
suppliers. It has ~50-60 consultants along with 18-20 employees across various geographies for product
registrations.
No. of registrations:
Geography Q3FY15 Q4FY15 Q1FY16 Q2FY16 Q3FY16 Q4FY16 Q1FY17
Europe 545 623 683 725 763 850 903
NAFTA 68 74 77 79 84 92 101
RoW 408 325 333 337 336 341 339
LATAM 313 387 395 402 443 482 487
Tota l 1334 1409 1488 1543 1626 1765 1830

Registration Pipeline:
Geography Q3FY15 Q4FY15 Q1FY16 Q2FY16 Q3FY16 Q4FY16 Q1FY17
Europe 309 342 335 353 431 436 460
NAFTA 92 92 104 111 116 132 127
RoW 64 131 123 133 50 41 56
LATAM 136 164 164 176 189 209 188
Tota l 601 729 726 773 786 818 831

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05/10/2016 Sharda Cropchem Limited: Business Moat strong entry barrier Detailed Report

Sharda Cropchem Limited

IVRCL: Financials and Valuation

Sharda Cropchem Limited Financials & Valuation

INCOME STATEMENT (INRCR) RATIOS

Y/E MARCH FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E Y/E MARCH FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E

Net sales 790 1,061 1,219 1,449 1,711 Adjusted EPS (INR) 10.8 15.1 18.7 23.6 26.5
Growth 2% 34% 15% 19% 18% Growth (%) 15% 40% 24% 26% 12%
Other Income 1 1 2 0 0
Cash EPS 15.5 16.3 23.3 28.3 32.3
Total Income 791 1,063 1,221 1,449 1,711
Book Value 61.6 72.5 89.9 109.5 131.4
Staff Costs 18 24 27 32 36
Raw material 514 710 792 930 1,113 DPS 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0
Other Expenses 104 137 134 145 171 Payout (Incl. Div. Tax) 19% 17% 16% 15% 15%
Total Expenditure 636 872 954 1,107 1,320
P/E 36.1 25.7 20.8 16.5 14.7
EBITDA 155 191 267 343 391
% of net Sales 19.6% 18.0% 21.9% 23.6% 22.8% Cash P/E 25.1 23.9 16.7 13.7 12.1

Forex gain + Non. Op. inc. 32 9 28 18 18 Price/Book Value 6.3 5.4 4.3 3.6 3.0
Depreciation/Amortization 29 23 35 42 52 EV/EBITDA 21.9 17.8 12.6 9.7 8.3
Finance Charges 1 1 1 0 0
EV/Sales 4.2 3.2 2.8 2.3 1.9
PBT 157 176 259 318 357
- TAX 44 52 83 105 118 Div. Yld 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0%

PAT 111 124 176 213 239 RoE 22% 20% 24% 24% 22%
APAT 97 136 169 213 239 RoCE 23% 26% 31% 33% 31%
Growth 32% 40% 24% 26% 12%
Debt/Equity (x) 0.1 0.1 0.0 - -
PAT MARGIN 14% 12% 14% 15% 14%

BALANCE SHEET (INRCR) CASH FLOW (INRCR)

Y/E MARCH FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E Y/E MARCH FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E

Equity Share Capital 90 90 90 90 90 PBT before EO items 155 176 259 318 357

Reserves 466 564 721 898 1,095 Add : Depreciation 29 23 35 42 52

S hareholders' Funds 556 655 811 988 1,185 Interest 1 1 1 0 0

Debt 40 38 2 0 0 (Inc)/Dec in WC 12 (28) (17) (73) (64)


Tax outgo (40) (61) (69) (105) (118)
Net deferred tax 10 22 39 39 39
S OURCES OF FUNDS 606 714 852 1,026 1,224 CF from Operations 157 91 181 182 227

Gross Block 250 297 373 473 573 (Inc)/Dec in Fixed assets (85) (80) (129) (100) (100)

Less: Depreciation 187 209 244 287 339 Others (65) 58 33 0 0


Net Block 63 88 128 186 234 CF from Investing act. (150) (22) (96) (100) (100)
CWIP 133 149 210 210 210 Inc/(Dec) in debt (10) (2) (36) (2) 0
Investments 34 46 41 41 41
Dividend paid (10) (21) (53) (36) (42)
Current Assets 680 763 937 1,129 1,382
Less: Interest paid (1) (1) (1) 0 0
Inventories 81 140 160 190 224
Sundry Debtors 400 454 620 737 871 Others 0 2 10 0 0

Cash and Bank Balances 22 70 65 109 194 CF from Financing act. (22) (22) (79) (38) (42)
Loans and Advances 169 86 82 82 82 Inc/(Dec) in cash (14) 48 5 44 86
Other Current Assets 9 12 11 11 11 Add: Beginning balance 36 22 70 65 109
Current Liabilities & Prov. 308 332 468 542 646
Closing Balance 22 70 65 109 194
Net Current Assets 372 431 469 587 736
Other Assets 3 1 4 3 4
APPLICATION OF FUNDS 606 714 852 1,026 1,224

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05/10/2016 Sharda Cropchem Limited: Business Moat strong entry barrier Detailed Report

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Disclosure of Interest Statement Sharda Cropchem Limited


1.Analyst ownership of the stocks mentioned above No
2.Served as an officer, director or employee No
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