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05/10/2016 Sharda Cropchem Limited: Business Moat strong entry barrier Detailed Report
CONCERNS
Weather: The crop protection industry has to contend with the vagaries of nature. Adverse weather can
trigger pest infestations as well as affect demand for crop-protection products, thereby negatively affecting
the company's sales.
Adverse currency movement: SCC deals in multiple currencies across geographies. Ergo, any sharp
movement could impact the company's earnings adversely. Further, its relatively long receivables cycle enhances
the currency volatility risk. Moreover, SCC's purchases are in USD while sales are in EUR/USD. Though, it
provides natural hedge to a significant extent, we see currency risk in terms of EUR-USD movement.
BACKGROUND
SCC generates about 85% of its topline from selling generic agrochemical products balance 15% from the
trading of conveyor belts and other non agrochemicals. It follows a differentiated asset-light business model
focusing on product registrations and outsourced manufacturing. It operates in formulations and active ingredients
solely based on generic (off-patent) molecules. This differentiates it from an innovator company which expends
capital, time and resources primarily towards R&D.
During the identification process, SCC weighs several factors including competition, margins, entry barriers,
market size, ability to leverage it across jurisdictions globally, marketing and the time involved to seek registrations.
It then procures formulations and generic active ingredients in the finished form from third party manufacturers
for onward sale. The company has formidable sourcing capabilities in China anchored by decade old quality
suppliers. It has ~50-60 consultants along with 18-20 employees across various geographies for product
registrations.
No. of registrations:
Geography Q3FY15 Q4FY15 Q1FY16 Q2FY16 Q3FY16 Q4FY16 Q1FY17
Europe 545 623 683 725 763 850 903
NAFTA 68 74 77 79 84 92 101
RoW 408 325 333 337 336 341 339
LATAM 313 387 395 402 443 482 487
Tota l 1334 1409 1488 1543 1626 1765 1830
Registration Pipeline:
Geography Q3FY15 Q4FY15 Q1FY16 Q2FY16 Q3FY16 Q4FY16 Q1FY17
Europe 309 342 335 353 431 436 460
NAFTA 92 92 104 111 116 132 127
RoW 64 131 123 133 50 41 56
LATAM 136 164 164 176 189 209 188
Tota l 601 729 726 773 786 818 831
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05/10/2016 Sharda Cropchem Limited: Business Moat strong entry barrier Detailed Report
Y/E MARCH FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E Y/E MARCH FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E
Net sales 790 1,061 1,219 1,449 1,711 Adjusted EPS (INR) 10.8 15.1 18.7 23.6 26.5
Growth 2% 34% 15% 19% 18% Growth (%) 15% 40% 24% 26% 12%
Other Income 1 1 2 0 0
Cash EPS 15.5 16.3 23.3 28.3 32.3
Total Income 791 1,063 1,221 1,449 1,711
Book Value 61.6 72.5 89.9 109.5 131.4
Staff Costs 18 24 27 32 36
Raw material 514 710 792 930 1,113 DPS 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0
Other Expenses 104 137 134 145 171 Payout (Incl. Div. Tax) 19% 17% 16% 15% 15%
Total Expenditure 636 872 954 1,107 1,320
P/E 36.1 25.7 20.8 16.5 14.7
EBITDA 155 191 267 343 391
% of net Sales 19.6% 18.0% 21.9% 23.6% 22.8% Cash P/E 25.1 23.9 16.7 13.7 12.1
Forex gain + Non. Op. inc. 32 9 28 18 18 Price/Book Value 6.3 5.4 4.3 3.6 3.0
Depreciation/Amortization 29 23 35 42 52 EV/EBITDA 21.9 17.8 12.6 9.7 8.3
Finance Charges 1 1 1 0 0
EV/Sales 4.2 3.2 2.8 2.3 1.9
PBT 157 176 259 318 357
- TAX 44 52 83 105 118 Div. Yld 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0%
PAT 111 124 176 213 239 RoE 22% 20% 24% 24% 22%
APAT 97 136 169 213 239 RoCE 23% 26% 31% 33% 31%
Growth 32% 40% 24% 26% 12%
Debt/Equity (x) 0.1 0.1 0.0 - -
PAT MARGIN 14% 12% 14% 15% 14%
Y/E MARCH FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E Y/E MARCH FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
Equity Share Capital 90 90 90 90 90 PBT before EO items 155 176 259 318 357
Gross Block 250 297 373 473 573 (Inc)/Dec in Fixed assets (85) (80) (129) (100) (100)
Cash and Bank Balances 22 70 65 109 194 CF from Financing act. (22) (22) (79) (38) (42)
Loans and Advances 169 86 82 82 82 Inc/(Dec) in cash (14) 48 5 44 86
Other Current Assets 9 12 11 11 11 Add: Beginning balance 36 22 70 65 109
Current Liabilities & Prov. 308 332 468 542 646
Closing Balance 22 70 65 109 194
Net Current Assets 372 431 469 587 736
Other Assets 3 1 4 3 4
APPLICATION OF FUNDS 606 714 852 1,026 1,224
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05/10/2016 Sharda Cropchem Limited: Business Moat strong entry barrier Detailed Report
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