ASSUMPTION

PT PLN (Persero) DISTRIBUSI JAWA TENGAH DAN D.I. YOGYAKARTA

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Calendar Year 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
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Economic Growth (%) 0.0 6.5 1.7 7.3 3.0 -11.7 3.4 4.0 3.3 4.0 3.3 4.0
Losses (%) 11.94939 -20.2 8.5 8.3 8.8 8.4 6.4 8.7 15.9 11.9 13.5 11.3
Load Factor 54.09314 39.4 55.4 58.0 56.6 58.2 53.8 58.6 61.5 66.2 62.0 63.4
Elasticity
E-Residential 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
E-Commercial 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
E-Public 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2
E-Industry PLN 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
E-Industry Total 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
CF-Residensial 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
CF-Commercial 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
CF-Public 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
CF-Industry 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
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4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2
9.0 8.5 7.8 7.0 6.6 6.4 6.1 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5
64.2 63.8 64.6 67.7 67.5 67.3 63.9 63.7 63.6 63.5 63.3 63.2 63.1 62.9

1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2
1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0
0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

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Tahun awal Forecast >>> 2011
ENERGY AND LOAD DEMAND FORECAST
PT PLN (Persero) DISTRIBUSI JAWA TENGAH DAN D.I. YOGYAKARTA Skenario RKAP 2008
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Calendar Year 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
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Total Population (10^3) 36,074.5 36,536.6 37,004.6 37,160.0 37,316.1 37,461.6 37,611.4 37,735.6 37,863.9 37,988.8 38,099.0 38,213.3 38,312.6 38,404.6 38,485.2 38,554.5 38,604.6 38,650.9 38,685.7 38,708.9
- Growth Rate (%) 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Growth of Total GDP (%) 5.3 5.2 4.0 6.0 4.5 5.6 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.1 5.1 5.1
Electrification Ratio (%) 58.9 62.8 66.6 68.4 70.4 72.4 74.7 77.1 79.5 82.1 84.7 87.3 90.0 92.8 95.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

Energy Sales (GWh) 11,914.2 12,415.8 13,505.1 14,232.5 15,084.2 16,253.4 17,586.2 19,033.4 20,605.2 22,312.4 24,167.2 26,080.0 28,150.6 30,392.4 32,819.7 35,501.6 38,384.9 41,413.9 44,683.8 48,216.1
- Growth Rate (%) 9.9 4.2 8.8 5.4 6.0 7.8 8.2 8.2 8.3 8.3 8.3 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.0 8.2 8.1 8 8 7.9
-- Residential 5,842.42 6,121.6 6,556.6 6,815.6 7,356.9 7,947.5 8,622.1 9,356.0 10,154.7 11,023.6 11,968.9 12,945.8 14,004.5 15,151.5 16,394.3 17,793.7 19,120.1 20,552.9 22,089.3 23,741.9
-- Commercial 1,353.29 1,276.1 1,434.5 1,636.1 1,874.1 2,024.4 2,194.9 2,379.7 2,580.0 2,797.2 3,032.7 3,276.0 3,538.7 3,822.5 4,129.1 4,460.3 4,818.0 5,329.7 5,895.8 6,522.0
-- Public 938.36 977.4 1,083.3 1,121.1 1,137.0 1,268.6 1,423.4 1,597.0 1,791.7 2,010.1 2,255.1 2,515.9 2,806.7 3,131.1 3,492.9 3,896.4 4,197.0 4,506.9 4,839.7 5,197.0
-- Industrial 3,780.14 4,040.7 4,430.7 4,659.7 4,716.2 5,012.8 5,345.9 5,700.7 6,078.8 6,481.5 6,910.4 7,342.3 7,800.7 8,287.2 8,803.4 9,351.2 10,249.8 11,024.4 11,858.9 12,755.1
(5.7)
Power Contracted (MVA) 5,894.3 6,219.9 6,642.8 7,044.9 7,391.4 7,711.7 8,071.0 8,459.4 8,879.7 9,335.0 9,829.0 10,348.7 10,914.4 11,531.7 12,206.6 13,027.1 13,642.1 14,234.0 14,902.3 15,659.9
-- Residential 3,632.75 3,801.6 4,060.0 4,254.2 4,480.3 4,623.9 4,781.4 4,945.9 5,117.4 5,296.3 5,482.6 5,667.3 5,859.3 6,058.7 6,265.8 6,561.6 6,587.0 6,610.9 6,632.6 6,653.4
-- Commercial 720.0 759.3 847.6 930.8 999.8 1,047.6 1,101.2 1,158.5 1,219.6 1,284.7 1,353.9 1,424.1 1,498.6 1,577.5 1,661.1 1,749.6 1,843.3 1,927.0 2,014.8 2,106.9
-- Public 436.5 466.8 501.8 541.2 577.8 653.9 742.9 846.9 968.1 1,109.2 1,273.3 1,464.0 1,685.3 1,942.3 2,240.4 2,586.2 2,987.2 3,452.1 3,991.1 4,615.8
-- Industrial 1,105.1 1,192.3 1,233.5 1,318.7 1,333.5 1,386.3 1,445.4 1,508.1 1,574.6 1,644.9 1,719.1 1,793.3 1,871.2 1,953.2 2,039.3 2,129.7 2,224.6 2,244.1 2,263.8 2,283.8
239,996.00 252,114.00 291,137.33 319,577.61 336,874.45 355,618.83 375,989.42 398,191.22 406,234.33 431,601.69 459,545.30 490,419.47 656,069.50 241,665.46 264,061.44 293,934.17 330,995.36
Number of Customer 6,087,596 6,316,073 6,700,945 6,940,941 7,193,055 7,484,192 7,803,770 8,140,644 8,496,263 8,872,253 9,270,444 9,676,678 10,108,280 10,567,825 11,058,245 11,714,314 11,955,980 12,220,041 12,513,975 12,844,971
-- Residential 5,724,255 5,937,321 6,292,684 6,509,014 6,740,884 6,984,061 7,248,722 7,523,413 7,808,512 8,104,416 8,411,533 8,714,979 9,029,372 9,355,106 9,692,592 10,173,689 10,214,973 10,253,626 10,288,759 10,322,385
-- Commercial 178,699 184,484 202,041 216,896 227,336 240,178 254,418 269,503 285,481 302,407 320,336 338,429 357,545 377,740 399,075 421,614 445,427 466,642 488,872 512,157
-- Public 179,996 189,606 201,462 210,176 219,879 254,757 295,168 341,989 396,236 459,089 531,912 616,286 714,044 827,309 958,541 1,110,589 1,286,755 1,490,866 1,727,354 2,001,354
-- Industrial 4,646 4,662 4,758 4,855 4,956 5,196 5,461 5,740 6,033 6,340 6,663 6,984 7,319 7,670 8,038 8,422 8,825 8,907 8,991 9,075

Total Production (GWh) 13,098.2 13,562.3 14,646.2 15,310.9 16,155.3 17,359.0 18,730.3 20,215.5 21,873.2 23,673.0 25,627.3 27,640.9 29,819.7 32,177.4 34,728.8 37,546.8 40,574.9 43,753.5 47,183.2 50,886.2
Energy Requirement (GWh) 13,098.2 13,562.3 14,646.2 15,310.9 16,155.3 17,359.0 18,730.3 20,215.5 21,873.2 23,673.0 25,627.3 27,640.9 29,819.7 32,177.4 34,728.8 37,546.8 40,574.9 43,753.5 47,183.2 50,886.2
Station Use (%) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
T & D Losses (%) +) 9.04 8.45 7.79 7.04 6.63 6.37 6.11 5.85 5.80 5.75 5.70 5.65 5.60 5.55 5.50 5.45 5.40 5.35 5.30 5.25
Load Factor (%) 64.2 63.8 64.6 67.7 67.5 67.3 63.9 63.7 63.6 63.5 63.3 63.2 63.1 62.9 62.8 62.7 62.5 62.4 62.2 62.1
Peak Load (MW) 2,329 2,427 2,590 2,580 2,733 2,943 3,348 3,621 3,926 4,258 4,619 4,992 5,397 5,836 6,311 6,839 7,408 8,008 8,656 9,357
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Defor353762377.xls, 05/03/2017
ENERGY AND LOAD DEMAND FORECAST
PT PLN (Persero) DISTRIBUSI JAWA TENGAH DAN D.I. YOGYAKARTA
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Calendar Year 2025
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Total Population (10^3) 38,747.7

- Growth Rate (%) 0.1
Growth of Total GDP (%) 5.1
Electrification Ratio (%) 100.0

Energy Sales (GWh) 52,020.0

- Growth Rate (%) 8
-- Residential 25,505.6
-- Commercial 7,214.7
-- Public 5,580.7
-- Industrial 13,719.0

Power Contracted (MVA) 16,507.1

-- Residential 6,659.8
-- Commercial 2,203.5
-- Public 5,340.0
-- Industrial 2,303.9

Number of Customer 13,197,235

-- Residential 10,332,707
-- Commercial 536,550
-- Public 2,318,818
-- Industrial 9,159

Total Production (GWh) 54,871.8

Energy Requirement (GWh) 54,871.8
Station Use (%) -
T & D Losses (%) +) 5.20
Load Factor (%) 61.9
Peak Load (MW) 10,114
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Defor353762377.xls, 05/03/2017