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HOW WELL IS

SOUTH CAROLINA
PREPARING ALL
STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,
CAREERS AND LIFE
Why College- and Career-Ready
Expectations for All?

A high school diploma is no longer enough; now, nearly every good


job requires some education beyond high school – such as an
associates or bachelors degree, certificate, license, or completion of
an apprenticeship or significant on-the-job training.

Currently, far too many students drop out or graduate from high
school without the knowledge and skills required for success,
closing doors and limiting their post-high school options and
opportunities.

The best way to prepare students for life after high school is to align
K-12 and postsecondary expectations. All students deserve a world-
class education that prepares them for college, careers and life.

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A HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA IS NO
LONGER ENOUGH FOR SUCCESS
The changing economy is accelerating the
expectations gap, as careers increasingly require
some education/training beyond high school,
and more developed knowledge and skills.
Jobs in Today’s Workforce Require More
Education & Training

Source: Carnevale, Anthony P. and Donna M. Desrochers, Standards for What? The Economic
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Roots of K–16 Reform, Educational Testing Service, 2003.
The Rise of the Middle-Skill Jobs

High-skill jobs
Occupations in the professional/ technical and managerial categories.
Often require four-year degrees and above

Middle-skill jobs
Occupations that include clerical, sales, construction, installation/repair,
production, and transportation/material moving.

Low-skill jobs
Occupations in the service and agricultural categories.

Often require some education and training beyond high school (but
typically less than a bachelor’s degree), including associate’s degrees,
vocational certificates, significant on-the-job training.

Source: The Future of Middle-Skill Jobs” by Harry J. Holzer and Robert I. Lerman, Brookings
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Institution, February 2009.
Employment Shares by Occupational Skill Level

Source: The Future of Middle-Skill Jobs” by Harry J. Holzer and Robert I. Lerman, Brookings
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Institution, February 2009.
Demand for Middle-Skill Workers Outpaces
South Carolina’s Supply

 In 1950, 60% of jobs were classified as unskilled, attainable by young


people with high school diplomas or less. Today, less than 20% of jobs
are considered to be unskilled.

 One result: In South Carolina, the demand for middle- and high-skilled
workers is outpacing the state’s supply of workers educated and
experienced at that level.

80% of South Carolina’s jobs are middle- or high-skill (jobs that require
some postsecondary education or training).
Yet only 34% of South Carolina adults have some postsecondary
degree (associate’s or higher).

Sources: Carnevale, Anthony P. and Donna Desrochers (2003). “Standards for What? The Economic Roots of K-12 Reform,” Education Testing
Services. http://www.learndoearn.org/For-Educators/Standards-for-What.pdf; Skills to Compete. http://www.skills2compete.org; Measuring Up 7
(2008), “The National Report Card on Higher Education. “ http://measuringup2008.highereducation.org/index.php
The Rise of the Middle-Skill Jobs

South Carolina should be preparing students for the jobs of tomorrow,


not the jobs of yesterday – or even today.
A quarter of American workers are now in jobs not even listed in the
Census Bureau’s occupation codes in 1967.
Given the growth of new job sectors – most notably “green jobs” – it is
common sense to provide all students with a strong foundation that keeps
all doors open and all opportunities available in the future.

Source: Milano, Jessica, Bruce Reed & Paul Weinstein Jr. (Sept 2009). A Matter of Degrees:
Tomorrow’s Fastest Growing Jobs and Why Community College Graduates Will Get Them. The 8
New Democratic Leadership Council
South Carolina’s Middle-Skill Jobs

% By Education Level Number of Total Jobs


Median
(ages 25-44), 2007 (in thousands)
Occupation Income
(2007)
High School Some College 2006 2016 % Change

Computer Support
$38,300 13% 44% 4.7 5.5 17%
Specialists

Electrical & Electronic


Engineering $53,000 27% 54% 3.8 4.2 11%
Technicians

Radiologic
Technicians & $46,800 7% 68% 2.7 3.2 19%
Technologists

First-line Supervisors
/ Managers of $48,700 60% 30% 14.3 16.2 13%
Construction Trades

Registered Nurses $56,200 1% 43% 33.3 40.0 20%

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Career One Stop. http://www.careerinfonet.org 9


America’s International Edge is Slipping

0 10 20 30 40 50 60
% Young Adults (25-34) with College Degree % Adults (25-64) with College Degree

Source: OECD, “Education at a Glance,” 2007 (All rates are self-reported) 10


America’s International Edge is Slipping

% of Citizens with Postsecondary Degrees Among OECD Countries, by Age Group (2006)
55-64 45-54 35-44 25-34 ALL (25-64)
1 U.S. (38%) Canada (43%) Canada (51%) Canada (55%) Canada (47%)
2 Canada (37%) U.S. (40%) Japan (46%) Japan (54%) Japan (40%)
3 N.Z. (30%) Japan (39%) Finland (41%) Korea (53%) U.S. (39%)
4 Denmark (28%) N.Z. (38%) U.S. (41%) N.Z. (44%) N.Z. (38%)
5 Finland (27%) Finland (34%) N.Z. (39%) Ireland (42%) Finland (35%)
6 Australia (26%) Denmark (33%) Korea (37%) Belgium (42%) Denmark (35%)
7 Sweden (25%) Australia (32%) Denmark (36%) Norway (42%) Australia (33%)
8 Norway (25%) Norway (30%) Belgium (35%) France (41%) Korea (33%)
9 Neth. (25%) Neth. (30%) Norway (35%) Denmark (41%) Norway (33%)
10 U.K. (24%) Switz. (29%) Iceland (34%) U.S. (39%) Belgium (32%)
11 Switz. (24%) Iceland (29%) Australia (33%) Spain (39%) Ireland (31%)
12 Japan (23%) U.K. (29%) Switz. (33%) Sweden (39%) Sweden (31%)
13 Germany (23%) Sweden (29%) Ireland (33%) Australia (39%) U.K. (30%)

14 Belgium (22%) Belgium (27%) Spain (31%) Finland (38%) Neth. (30%)
15 Iceland (21%) Germany (25%) U.K. (31%) U.K. (37%) Switz. (30%)
South Carolina (32%) SC (35%) SC (34%) SC (34%)

Source: OECD Education at a Glance, 2007; National Center for Higher Education Management
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Systems analysis of 2007 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org
FAR TOO MANY STUDENTS DROP
OUT OR GRADUATE FROM HIGH
SCHOOL UNPREPARED FOR REAL
WORLD CHALLENGES
Of Every 100 9th Graders in South Carolina…

100
100
90
80
70 57
60
50 36
40 23
30 15
20
10
0
9th Graders Graduate Enroll in Still Enrolled Earn a
High School College In Sophomore College
in 4 Years the Fall Year Degree

Source: NCHEMS Information Center for Higher Education Policymaking and Analysis. Student Pipeline - Transition and
Completion Rates from 9th Grade to College. 13
www.higheredinfo.org/dbrowser/index.php?submeasure=119&year=2006&level=nation&mode=data&state=0
Achievement Remains Low: 8th Grade
Achievement Over Time

% at or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

8th Grade Math 1992 2009


South Carolina 15% 30%

U.S. 21% 32%

8th Grade Reading 1998 2009


South Carolina 22% 24%

U.S. 33% 30%

8th Grade Science 1996 2005


South Carolina 17% 23%

U.S. 29% 29%

Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded from


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www.nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/
And Gaps Persist: South Carolina’s 8th Grade
Achievement Gap

% at or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

8th Grade Math 8th Grade 8th Grade Science


Subgroup
(2009) Reading (2009) (2005)
All Students 30% 24% 23%

White 43% 34% 35%

Black 12% 10% 6%

Hispanic 16% 30% 16%

Asian n/a n/a n/a

Native American n/a n/a n/a

Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded from


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www.nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/
Graduation Rates Remain Inequitable

79%
76% 80%
72%
69% 70% 50%
66% 55%
51% 60%
46%
40%

20%
N/A
N/A
0%

Asian American
Black Hispanic Indian
White
All

Source: Education Week, Education Counts. Developed through the Custom Table Builder,
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http://www.edweek.org/rc/2007/06/07/edcounts.html
America’s International Edge is Slipping

South Carolina
U.S.
Korea
Norway
Japan
Canada
Israel
Denmark
Germany
Netherlands
Ireland
U.K.
Iceland

0 20 40 60 80 100
% Young Adults (25-34) with HS Diploma+ % Adults (25-64) with HS Diploma+

Source: OECD, “Education at a Glance,” 2007 (All rates are self-reported) 17


Enrollment in College Does NOT Equal
College Readiness

Percentage of U.S. first-year students in two-year and four-year


institutions requiring remediation

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Remedial Education at Degree-Granting


18
Postsecondary Institutions in Fall 2000, 2003.
Freshmen at Two-Year Colleges are More
Likely to Require Remediation

42%
45%
34% 40%
35%
23% 24% 30%
19%
25%
20%
15%
13% 8% 6% 10%
5%
0%
Reading, Writing
Reading
Writing or Math
Math

2-Year Colleges 4-Year Colleges

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Remedial Education at Degree-Granting


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Postsecondary Institutions in Fall 2000, 2003.
Most U.S. College Students Who Take
Remedial Courses Fail to Earn Degrees

Percentage earning degree by type of remedial coursework

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, The Condition of Education, 2004:
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% of 1992 12th graders who entered postsecondary education.
How Many College Students Return Their
Sophomore Year – and Go On To Earn
Degrees?

76%
75%
56% 80%
53% 56% 70%
60%
48% 50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%

Completion (4-Year)
Persistence (4-Year)
Persistence (2-Year)

Source: Measuring Up (2008). The National Report Card on Higher Education.


http://measuringup2008.highereducation.org/index.php; National Center for Education Statistics 21
(2003), Remedial Education at Degree-Granting Postsecondary Institutions in Fall 2000.
Many College Students in South Carolina
Fail to Earn a Degree

Percent of students earning a bachelors’


degree within six years, 2006

Source: NCES, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey, analyzed by National Center for Management of
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Higher Education Systems.
The Majority of Graduates Would Have Taken
Harder Courses, Particularly in Mathematics

Knowing what you know today about the expectations of college/work …

Would have taken


more challenging
courses in at least
one area

Math

Science

English

Source: Peter D. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies. (2005) Rising to the
Challenge: Are High School Graduates Prepared for College and Work? Washington, DC: 23
Achieve.
A MORE RIGOROUS & RELEVANT
HIGH SCHOOL EDUCATION WILL
OPEN DOORS FOR STUDENTS –
AND KEEP THEM OPEN
Personal Benefits of Education in South
Carolina

While there may be jobs available to high school drop outs and
graduates, they often pay less and offer less security than jobs
held by those with at least some postsecondary experience.

The link between educational attainment and gainful employment


is clear:

More education is associated with higher


earnings and higher rates of employment.

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Personal Benefits of Education in South
Carolina

UNEMPLOYMENT LEVEL OF MEAN


RATE EDUCATION INCOME
4% TOTAL $28,604

5% HS Dropout $9,576

5% HS Graduate $26,017

2% Some College $29,882

2% Bachelor’s & Above $49,367

Source: U.S. Census Bureau (2008). “Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic
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Supplement.” Figures are based on total person within the civilian labor force
The Importance of Rigorous Course-Taking
in Closing Gaps

Students who take challenging courses and meet high standards are
much more likely to enter college ready to succeed.

87% of first-generation college-going students – who took a highly rigorous


course of study in high school – persisted in college or earned a degree after
18 months.
Only 55% of first-generation students who took just a general curriculum
persisted that long.

High school students who take advanced math double their chances of
earning a postsecondary degree:

59% of low-income students who took advanced math in high school earned
a bachelor’s degree.
36% of low-income students who did not complete the rigorous high school
course of study earned a bachelor’s degree.

Source: Horn, L. and A.M. Nuñez (2000). Mapping the Road to College: First-generation Students' Math Track, Planning
Strategies, and Context of Support. U.S. Department of Education. http://nces.ed.gov/pubs2001/2001153.pdf; Adelman, C. 27
(2006). The Toolbox Revisited: Paths to Degree Completion from High School through College. U.S. Department of Education.
8th Graders Taking Algebra I

Source: Measuring Up, 2008:NCES, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP)


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2003, 2005 Mathematics Assessments.
Students Participating in Advanced
Placement

Percent of all 11th/12th Graders Participating in


Advanced Placement (2008)

Source: College Board, “National Summary Reports, 2008.”


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http://www.collegeboard.com/student/testing/ap/exgrd_sum/2008.html
South Carolina’s Students Taking College
Admissions Exams

2009 South Carolina U.S.

Participation in ACT 50% 45%

Average ACT Score 19.8 21.1

Participation in SAT 67% 46%

Average SAT Score 1542 1509

Source: ACT (2009), ACT 2009 Results. http://www.act.org/news/data/09/states.html; College Board, Mean SAT
Critical Reading, Mathematics and Writing Scores by State. http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/cbs- 30
2009-Table-3_Mean-SAT-CR-MATH-and-Writing-Scores-by-State.pdf
THE SOLUTION:
STATE-LED EFFORTS TO CLOSE THE
EXPECTATIONS GAP
All students deserve a world-class education that
prepares them for college, careers and life.
The College- and Career-Ready Agenda

Align high school standards with the demands of college


and careers.

Require students to take a college- and career-ready


curriculum to earn a high school diploma.

Build college-and career-ready measures into statewide


high school assessment systems.

Develop reporting and accountability systems that


promote college and career readiness.

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South Carolina’s Commitment to Closing
the Expectations Gap

In 2009 South Carolina aligned its high school academic


standards with the expectations of college and careers

In 2009 South Carolina’s longitudinal data system


satisfied eight of the Data Quality Campaign’s ten
essential elements

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HOW WELL IS
SOUTH CAROLINA
PREPARING ALL
STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,
CAREERS AND LIFE

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