From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling

To: Interested Parties

Subject: Northam Clear Favorite In Democratic Primary For Governor

Date: 4-14-17

A new Public Policy Polling survey of likely Democratic primary voters finds Ralph
Northam with a double digit advantage over Tom Perriello in the race for Governor.
Northam has 42% support, with Perriello at 28%, and 30% of voters are undecided.

Key findings from the survey include:

-Northam has decided advantages with the key Democratic constituencies of both women
and African Americans. Among women, Northam has a 20 point advantage at 37/17.
With African Americans, he has an even wider 28 point lead at 37/9. Northam is also up
45/21 with seniors, often the most reliable voting group to turn out in a primary election.
Northam is ahead with men and white voters as well.

-Voters (77%) say they are much more concerned with having a candidate who
emphasizes the need to get things done in Richmond than they are with having a
candidate (11%) who emphasizes the need to shake things up in Richmond. This finding
is an outgrowth of the near universal high esteem Governor McAuliffe is held in by
Democratic primary voters- 77% see him positively to just 5% with a negative view.

-93% of Democratic primary voters want to see Virginia raise teacher salaries to the
national average, to only 3% who would be opposed to such a move. Teachers are about
as popular a group as you could ever find with the Democratic base- 83% of primary
voters see them favorably to only 3% who have an unfavorable opinion of them.

Public Policy Polling interviewed 586 likely primary voters on April 13th and 14th. The
survey’s margin of error is +/-4.1%. This research was conducted on behalf of the
Virginia Education Association.

Phone: 888 621-6988
Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com
Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com
Virginia Survey Results
Q1 In June there will be a primary election for Q6 The candidates in the Democratic primary
Governor and other important offices: how election for Governor are Ralph Northam and
likely would you say you are to vote in this Tom Perriello. If the election was today, who
year’s primary election: will you definitely vote, would you vote for?
probably vote, are the chances 50/50, or will
Ralph Northam................................................ 38%
you probably not vote?
Tom Perriello................................................... 25%
Will definitely vote ........................................... 94%
Undecided....................................................... 38%
Will probably vote ........................................... 6%
Q7 (Among undecideds) If you had to choose
Chances are 50/50 ......................................... 0% today, would you lean more toward voting for
Will probably not vote...................................... 0% Ralph Northam or Tom Perriello?
Q2 Will you vote in the Democratic or the Ralph Northam................................................ 4%
Republican primary election, or are you not
Tom Perriello................................................... 3%
sure?
Completely undecided .................................... 30%
Democratic primary.........................................100%
N/A.................................................................. 62%
Republican primary ......................................... 0%
Q8 Which type of candidate would you be more
Not sure .......................................................... 0% likely to support between someone who
Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion emphasizes the need to shake things up in
of Terry McAuliffe? Richmond, and someone who emphasizes the
need to get things done in Richmond?
Favorable........................................................ 77%
More likely to support someone who
Unfavorable .................................................... 5% emphasizes the need to shake things up in
Richmond........................................................ 11%
Not sure .......................................................... 18%
More likely to support someone who
Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion emphasizes the need to get things done in
of Ralph Northam? Richmond........................................................ 77%
Favorable........................................................ 47% Not sure .......................................................... 12%
Unfavorable .................................................... 11% Q9 Which type of candidate would you be more
likely to support between someone who will
Not sure .......................................................... 42% lead Virginia in a similar direction as Governor
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion McAuliffe, and someone who will lead Virginia
of Tom Perriello? in a new direction and have a different
approach from Governor McAuliffe?
Favorable........................................................ 44%
More likely to support someone who will lead
Unfavorable .................................................... 12% Virginia in a similar direction as Governor
McAuliffe ......................................................... 69%
Not sure .......................................................... 44%
More likely to support someone who will lead
Virginia in a different direction from Governor
McAuliffe ......................................................... 15%
Not sure .......................................................... 16%

April 13-14, 2017 3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Survey of 586 likely Democratic primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Q10 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q14 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.
of Virginia Teachers? If African American, press 3. If Asian, press 4. If
another race, press 5.
Favorable........................................................ 83%
Hispanic .......................................................... 2%
Unfavorable .................................................... 3%
White .............................................................. 72%
Not sure .......................................................... 13%
Q11 Virginia teachers are currently paid $7,200 less African American............................................. 22%
per year than the national average. Do you Asian............................................................... 2%
support or oppose raising teachers' salaries in
Virginia to the national average to retain and Other............................................................... 2%
recruit the best teachers for our children? Q15 If you are 18 to 39 years old, press 1. If 40 to
Support raising teacher’s salaries in Virginia 59, press 2. If 60 or older, press 3.
to the national average ................................... 93%
18 to 39........................................................... 17%
Oppose raising teacher’s salaries in Virginia
to the national average ................................... 3% 40 to 59........................................................... 37%
Not sure .......................................................... 4% 60 or older....................................................... 46%
Q12 Who did you vote in the 2016 Democratic Q16 Media Market
primary for President: Hillary Clinton or Bernie
Charlottesville ................................................. 4%
Sanders?
Norfolk ............................................................ 22%
Hillary Clinton.................................................. 65%
Richmond........................................................ 20%
Bernie Sanders ............................................... 33%
Roanoke ......................................................... 11%
Someone else / Don't remember .................... 2%
Q13 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Washington..................................................... 38%

Woman ........................................................... 58% Other............................................................... 6%

Man................................................................. 42%

April 13-14, 2017 3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Survey of 586 likely Democratic primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
2016 Primary Vote 2016 Primary Vote
Hillary Bernie Someone else / Hillary Bernie Someone else /
Base Clint... Sande... Don't remem... Base Clint... Sande... Don't remem...
McAuliffe Favorability Northam Favorability
Favorable 77% 86% 61% 75% Favorable 47% 48% 43% 78%
Unfavorable 5% 2% 9% 14% Unfavorable 11% 10% 14% 5%
Not sure 18% 12% 30% 11% Not sure 42% 42% 43% 17%

2016 Primary Vote 2016 Primary Vote
Hillary Bernie Someone else / Hillary Bernie Someone else /
Base Clint... Sande... Don't remem... Base Clint... Sande... Don't remem...
Perriello Favorability Northam / Perriello
Favorable 44% 39% 52% 74% Ralph Northam 38% 42% 27% 60%
Unfavorable 12% 13% 9% 13% Tom Perriello 25% 17% 41% 8%
Not sure 44% 48% 39% 13% Undecided 38% 41% 32% 32%

2016 Primary Vote 2016 Primary Vote
Hillary Bernie Someone else / Hillary Bernie Someone else /
Base Clint... Sande... Don't remem... Base Clint... Sande... Don't remem...
Northam / Perriello Shake Things Up or
Lean Get Things Done
Ralph Northam 4% 5% 2% - More likely to support 11% 8% 13% 50%
someone who
Tom Perriello 3% 2% 6% -
emphasizes the need
Completely undecided 30% 34% 24% 32% to shake things up in
Richmond
N/A 62% 59% 68% 68%
More likely to support 77% 80% 74% 45%
someone who
emphasizes the need
to get things done in
Richmond
Not sure 12% 12% 12% 5%

April 13-14, 2017 3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 586 likely Democratic primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
2016 Primary Vote 2016 Primary Vote
Hillary Bernie Someone else / Hillary Bernie Someone else /
Base Clint... Sande... Don't remem... Base Clint... Sande... Don't remem...
Similar Direction As Teachers Favorability
McAuliffe or Different
Favorable 83% 84% 82% 88%
More likely to support 69% 78% 51% 62%
someone who will Unfavorable 3% 3% 5% 4%
lead Virginia in a Not sure 13% 14% 13% 8%
similar direction as
Governor McAuliffe
More likely to support 15% 6% 34% 12%
someone who will
lead Virginia in a
different direction
from Governor
McAuliffe
Not sure 16% 16% 15% 26%

2016 Primary Vote Gender
Hillary Bernie Someone else / Base Wom... Man
Base Clint... Sande... Don't remem...
McAuliffe Favorability
Raise Teacher
Salaries Favorable 77% 80% 74%
Support/Oppose
Unfavorable 5% 4% 7%
Support raising 93% 94% 91% 84%
teacher’s salaries in Not sure 18% 17% 20%
Virginia to the national
average
Oppose raising 3% 2% 4% -
teacher’s salaries in
Virginia to the national
average
Not sure 4% 4% 4% 16%

Gender Gender
Base Wom... Man Base Wom... Man
Northam Favorability Perriello Favorability
Favorable 47% 44% 51% Favorable 44% 34% 57%
Unfavorable 11% 12% 10% Unfavorable 12% 11% 13%
Not sure 42% 44% 39% Not sure 44% 54% 30%

April 13-14, 2017 3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 586 likely Democratic primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Gender Gender
Base Wom... Man Base Wom... Man
Northam / Perriello Northam / Perriello
Lean
Ralph Northam 38% 37% 38%
Ralph Northam 4% 6% 2%
Tom Perriello 25% 17% 36%
Tom Perriello 3% 3% 4%
Undecided 38% 46% 26%
Completely undecided 30% 38% 20%
N/A 62% 54% 74%

Gender Gender
Base Wom... Man Base Wom... Man
Shake Things Up or Similar Direction As
Get Things Done McAuliffe or Different
More likely to support 11% 11% 11% More likely to support 69% 69% 68%
someone who someone who will
emphasizes the need lead Virginia in a
to shake things up in similar direction as
Richmond Governor McAuliffe
More likely to support 77% 78% 76% More likely to support 15% 9% 24%
someone who someone who will
emphasizes the need lead Virginia in a
to get things done in different direction
Richmond from Governor
McAuliffe
Not sure 12% 12% 12%
Not sure 16% 23% 7%

Gender
Base Wom... Man
Teachers Favorability
Favorable 83% 85% 81%
Unfavorable 3% 3% 5%
Not sure 13% 12% 14%

April 13-14, 2017 3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 586 likely Democratic primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Gender Race
Hispani- African
Base Wom... Man Base c White Americ... Asian Other
Raise Teacher McAuliffe Favorability
Salaries
Favorable 77% 84% 77% 81% 100% 37%
Support/Oppose
Unfavorable 5% 13% 4% 1% - 56%
Support raising 93% 94% 91%
teacher’s salaries in Not sure 18% 3% 19% 18% 0% 8%
Virginia to the national
average
Oppose raising 3% 2% 4%
teacher’s salaries in
Virginia to the national
average
Not sure 4% 4% 5%

Race Race
Hispani- African Hispani- African
Base c White Americ... Asian Other Base c White Americ... Asian Other
Northam Favorability Perriello Favorability
Favorable 47% 60% 52% 32% 76% 8% Favorable 44% 42% 53% 15% 76% 8%
Unfavorable 11% 5% 9% 14% - 50% Unfavorable 12% 15% 10% 15% - 51%
Not sure 42% 35% 39% 54% 24% 42% Not sure 44% 43% 37% 69% 24% 41%

Race Race
Hispani- African Hispani- African
Base c White Americ... Asian Other Base c White Americ... Asian Other
Northam / Perriello Northam / Perriello
Lean
Ralph Northam 38% 49% 38% 37% 31% 31%
Ralph Northam 4% - 4% 5% - 1%
Tom Perriello 25% 4% 30% 9% 46% 4%
Tom Perriello 3% 1% 3% - - 48%
Undecided 38% 47% 32% 55% 23% 66%
Completely undecided 30% 47% 25% 49% 23% 17%
N/A 62% 52% 68% 45% 77% 34%

April 13-14, 2017 3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 586 likely Democratic primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Race Race
Hispani- African Hispani- African
Base c White Americ... Asian Other Base c White Americ... Asian Other
Shake Things Up or Similar Direction As
Get Things Done McAuliffe or Different
More likely to support 11% 14% 10% 16% - 1% More likely to support 69% 55% 65% 84% 79% 38%
someone who someone who will
emphasizes the need lead Virginia in a
to shake things up in similar direction as
Richmond Governor McAuliffe
More likely to support 77% 81% 79% 66% 100% 88% More likely to support 15% 13% 19% 2% 0% 51%
someone who someone who will
emphasizes the need lead Virginia in a
to get things done in different direction
Richmond from Governor
Not sure 12% 5% 11% 18% 0% 11% McAuliffe
Not sure 16% 32% 16% 14% 20% 11%

Race Race
Hispani- African Hispani- African
Base c White Americ... Asian Other Base c White Americ... Asian Other
Teachers Favorability Raise Teacher
Salaries
Favorable 83% 96% 86% 75% 100% 40%
Support/Oppose
Unfavorable 3% - 3% 1% - 50% Support raising 93% 84% 92% 96% 100% 91%
Not sure 13% 4% 11% 25% - 10% teacher’s salaries in
Virginia to the national
average
Oppose raising 3% - 4% - - 7%
teacher’s salaries in
Virginia to the national
average
Not sure 4% 16% 4% 4% - 2%

Age Age
18 to 40 to 60 or 18 to 40 to 60 or
Base 39 59 older Base 39 59 older
McAuliffe Favorability Northam Favorability
Favorable 77% 63% 76% 84% Favorable 47% 37% 45% 52%
Unfavorable 5% 7% 4% 5% Unfavorable 11% 12% 13% 9%
Not sure 18% 30% 20% 12% Not sure 42% 51% 42% 39%

April 13-14, 2017 3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 586 likely Democratic primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Age Age
18 to 40 to 60 or 18 to 40 to 60 or
Base 39 59 older Base 39 59 older
Perriello Favorability Northam / Perriello
Favorable 44% 73% 36% 40% Ralph Northam 38% 33% 30% 45%
Unfavorable 12% 7% 12% 14% Tom Perriello 25% 41% 21% 21%
Not sure 44% 21% 52% 46% Undecided 38% 26% 49% 33%

Age Age
18 to 40 to 60 or 18 to 40 to 60 or
Base 39 59 older Base 39 59 older
Northam / Perriello Shake Things Up or
Lean Get Things Done
Ralph Northam 4% - 6% 4% More likely to support 11% 5% 11% 13%
someone who
Tom Perriello 3% 7% 2% 2%
emphasizes the need
Completely undecided 30% 19% 40% 27% to shake things up in
Richmond
N/A 62% 74% 51% 67%
More likely to support 77% 83% 77% 75%
someone who
emphasizes the need
to get things done in
Richmond
Not sure 12% 12% 11% 12%

April 13-14, 2017 3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 586 likely Democratic primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Age Age
18 to 40 to 60 or 18 to 40 to 60 or
Base 39 59 older Base 39 59 older
Similar Direction As Teachers Favorability
McAuliffe or Different
Favorable 83% 81% 86% 82%
More likely to support 69% 59% 65% 75%
someone who will Unfavorable 3% 7% 1% 4%
lead Virginia in a Not sure 13% 12% 12% 14%
similar direction as
Governor McAuliffe
More likely to support 15% 37% 12% 10%
someone who will
lead Virginia in a
different direction
from Governor
McAuliffe
Not sure 16% 4% 23% 15%

Media Market
Age
Base Charlottesvi... Norf... Richmo... Roano... Washingt... Other
18 to 40 to 60 or McAuliffe Favorability
Base 39 59 older Favorable 77% 96% 85% 86% 71% 71% 57%
Unfavorable 5% - 3% 8% 7% 3% 12%
Raise Teacher
Not sure 18% 4% 12% 6% 21% 26% 30%
Salaries
Support/Oppose
Support raising 93% 98% 93% 91%
teacher’s salaries in
Virginia to the national
average
Oppose raising 3% - 3% 4%
teacher’s salaries in
Virginia to the national
average
Not sure 4% 2% 4% 5%

Media Market Media Market
Base Charlottesvi... Norf... Richmo... Roano... Washingt... Other Base Charlottesvi... Norf... Richmo... Roano... Washingt... Other
Northam Favorability Perriello Favorability
Favorable 47% 42% 48% 56% 29% 46% 57% Favorable 44% 97% 10% 47% 59% 52% 38%
Unfavorable 11% 31% 11% 12% 15% 8% 4% Unfavorable 12% 1% 19% 14% 3% 8% 31%
Not sure 42% 27% 41% 32% 56% 46% 39% Not sure 44% 2% 71% 39% 38% 39% 31%

April 13-14, 2017 3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 586 likely Democratic primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Media Market Media Market
Base Charlottesvi... Norf... Richmo... Roano... Washingt... Other Base Charlottesvi... Norf... Richmo... Roano... Washingt... Other
Northam / Perriello Northam / Perriello
Lean
Ralph Northam 38% 24% 58% 48% 10% 28% 52%
Ralph Northam 4% 2% 3% 5% 5% 5% -
Tom Perriello 25% 69% 4% 15% 48% 31% 18%
Tom Perriello 3% 4% 1% 7% 1% 4% -
Undecided 38% 7% 38% 37% 42% 41% 30%
Completely undecided 30% 2% 34% 25% 36% 32% 30%
N/A 62% 93% 62% 63% 58% 59% 70%

Media Market Media Market
Base Charlottesvi... Norf... Richmo... Roano... Washingt... Other Base Charlottesvi... Norf... Richmo... Roano... Washingt... Other
Shake Things Up or Similar Direction As
Get Things Done McAuliffe or Different
More likely to support 11% 35% 9% 9% 15% 9% 12% More likely to support 69% 75% 90% 71% 64% 59% 52%
someone who someone who will
emphasizes the need lead Virginia in a
to shake things up in similar direction as
Richmond Governor McAuliffe
More likely to support 77% 55% 77% 85% 62% 79% 83% More likely to support 15% 20% 2% 15% 17% 22% 17%
someone who someone who will
emphasizes the need lead Virginia in a
to get things done in different direction
Richmond from Governor
McAuliffe
Not sure 12% 9% 14% 6% 24% 12% 5%
Not sure 16% 5% 9% 15% 19% 19% 31%

Media Market Media Market
Base Charlottesvi... Norf... Richmo... Roano... Washingt... Other Base Charlottesvi... Norf... Richmo... Roano... Washingt... Other
Teachers Favorability Raise Teacher
Salaries
Favorable 83% 94% 80% 78% 69% 89% 91%
Support/Oppose
Unfavorable 3% 5% 2% 11% 4% 0% 4% Support raising 93% 95% 91% 98% 90% 93% 84%
Not sure 13% 2% 18% 11% 27% 10% 4% teacher’s salaries in
Virginia to the national
average
Oppose raising 3% 5% 1% 1% 9% 2% 11%
teacher’s salaries in
Virginia to the national
average
Not sure 4% 1% 7% 2% 2% 5% 5%

April 13-14, 2017 3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 586 likely Democratic primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

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