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The West Philippine Sea/South China Sea Dispute: The Arbitration Decision
and its Challenges
Geography
The South China Sea covers more than 3 million square kilometers (1.16
million square miles), ringed by southern China, Taiwan, the Philippines,
Borneo island, and mainland Southeast Asia.
Most of its hundreds of small islands, islets and rocks were originally
uninhabited. The Paracel and Spratly chains contain the biggest islands.
Scarborough Shoal (Bajo de Masinloc or Panatag Shoal) is a small outcrop in
the east.
Significance
The sea is the main maritime link between the Pacific and Indian oceans,
giving it enormous trade and military value. Its shipping lanes connect East
Asia with Europe and the Middle East. Over $5 trillion in ship-borne trade
passes through the sea annually.
Major unexploited oil and gas deposits are believed to lie under the seabed.
The sea is home to some of the world's biggest coral reefs and, with marine
life being depleted close to coasts, it is important as a source of fish to feed
growing populations.
Claimants
China and Taiwan both claim nearly all of the sea, while Vietnam, the
Philippines, Malaysia and Brunei each have overlapping claims to parts of it.
Name
Beijing and most other countries know it as the South China Sea. Hanoi calls
it the East Sea and Manila officially refers to it as the West Philippine Sea.
Occupation
China has held all of the Paracel islands since a conflict with South Vietnam
in 1974. It has controlled Scarborough Shoal, a rich fishing ground 230
kilometers (140 miles) off the Philippine island of Luzon, since 2012 and
occupies at least seven of the Spratly islands. Vietnam is believed to occupy
or control 21 of the Spratlys and the rest are divided between Brunei,
Malaysia, the Philippines and Taiwan.
Conflicts
There have been two armed conflicts between China and Vietnam in the sea.
In 1974, a clash erupted between the South Vietnamese navy and Chinese
forces that left about 50 Vietnamese troops dead.
The other major conflict occurred when Vietnam and China fought a naval
battle on Johnson Reef in the Spratlys in 1988 that killed about 70
Vietnamese military personnel.
Chinese naval vessels have fired at other times on Vietnamese fishing boats
in the area.
Chinese expansion
China has in recent years sought to dramatically expand its presence in the
sea, raising tensions with its neighbors and beyond.
Failed diplomacy
But China has since refused to turn it into a legally binding "code of
conduct".
The dispute has caused deep divisions within ASEAN, which normally seeks
to operate on a basis of consensus among its members. The Philippines has
in particular pushed for a tough ASEAN stance against China. But Chinese
allies Laos and Cambodia have been widely seen as blockers of such moves.
Legal challenges
The Philippines filed its case at the Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) in
2013, becoming the first and only country to legally challenge China's
claims.
But Vietnamese and Indonesian officials have said they are considering legal
action.
While not a party to the case, Vietnam also submitted a statement to the
PCA's tribunal in 2014 affirming the court's jurisdiction and rejecting China's
nine-dashed line.
China denies the tribunal has jurisdiction on the issue and insists that it will
not abide by its decision.
He added that the decision "upholds international law," particularly the 1982
United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea.
The so-called "9-dash line" is invalid: "The Tribunal concluded that there was
no legal basis for China to claim historic rights to resources within the sea
areas falling within the '9-dash line.'"
China has behaved unlawfully: "China had violated the Philippines' sovereign
rights in its exclusive economic zone. The Tribunal further held that Chinese
law-enforcement vessels had unlawfully created a serious risk of collision
when they physically obstructed Philippine vessels."
Island building should have stopped during the dispute process: The panel
said it had no jurisdiction over the military standoff at Second Thomas
Shoal, where Chinese and Philippine military and law enforcement vessels
are locked in confrontation.
However, "China's recent large-scale reclamation and construction of
artificial islands was incompatible with the obligations on a state during
dispute resolution proceedings, insofar as China has... destroyed evidence of
the natural condition of features of the South China Sea that formed part of
the Parties' dispute."
Three-year process
The Philippines made the following moves in pursuing the case for the past 3
years:
Appearing before the arbitral tribunal in The Hague from July 7-13,
2015, to argue that the tribunal has the right to hear the Philippines
case
Returning to The Hague to discuss the merits of its case against China
from November 24-30, 2015
"The Tribunal found that China had violated the Philippine's sovereign rights
in its exclusive economic zone, by interfering with Philippine fishing and
petroleum exploration, constructing artificial islands and failing to prevent
Chinese fishermen from fishing in the zone," the ruling said.
The tribunal declared that Mischief Reef, Second Thomas Shoal, and Reed
Bank form part of the Philippines' "200 nautical exclusive economic zone and
continental shelf."
There are no overlaps with "any possible entitlement of China" because the
tribunal ruled that all maritime features in the Spratly Islands including the
7 reclaimed reefs are "rocks" that do not generate exclusive economic
zones.
The tribunal also held that the Spratly Islands "cannot generate maritime
zones collectively as a unit."
China has reclaimed Mischief Reef, has repeatedly blocked Philippine Navy
operations in Second Thomas Shoal (Ayungin), and harassed Philippine
exploration vessels in Reed Bank.
Scarborough Shoal
The tribunal also upheld the "traditional fishing rights" of Filipino fishermen
in Scarborough Shoal, a Filipino fishing ground off the coast of Zambales
province that has been practically occupied by the Chinese coast guard since
the 2012 standoff between the two countries.
The tribunal did not decide on the sovereignty of Scarborough Shoal, but
merely recognized it as a traditional fishing ground for many nationalities,
including Filipinos and Chinese.
"[The Tribunal] would reach the same conclusion with respect to the
traditional fishing rights of Chinese fishermen if the Philippines were to
prevent fishing by Chinese nationals at Scarborough Shoal," the ruling said.
Environmental obligations
"The Tribunal concluded that there was no legal basis for China to
claim historic rights to resources within the sea areas falling within the
nine-dash line'. "
"Having found that Mischief Reef, Second Thomas Shoal and Reed
Bank are submerged at high tide, form part of the exclusive economic
zone and continental shelf of the Philippines, and are not overlapped
by any possible entitlement of China, the Tribunal concluded that the
Convention is clear in allocating sovereign rights to the Philippines with
respect to sea areas in its exclusive economic zone."
"The Tribunal found that China had violated the Philippine's sovereign
rights in its exclusive economic zone, by (a) interfering with Philippine
fishing and petroleum exploration, (b) constructing artificial islands
and (c) failing to prevent Chinese fishermen from fishing in the zone."
"Because Scarborough Shoal is above water at high tide, it generates
an entitlement to a territorial sea, its surrounding waters do not form
part of the exclusive economic zone, and traditional fishing rights were
not extinguished by the Convention. Although the Tribunal emphasized
that it was not deciding sovereignty over Scarborough Shoal, it found
that China had violated its duty to respect the traditional fishing rights
of Philippine fishermen by halting access to the Shoal after May 2012."
"The tribunal noted that the reefs have been heavily modified by land
reclamation and construction, recalled that the Convention classifies
features on their natural condition, and relied on historical materials in
evaluating the features....Having found that none of the features
claimed by China was capable of generating an exclusive economic
zone, the Tribunal found that it could without delimiting a boundary
declare that certain sea areas are within the exclusive economic zone
of the Philippines, because those areas are not overlapped by any
possible entitlement of China."
"The Tribunal further held that Chinese law enforcement vessels had
unlawfully created a serious risk of collision when they physically
obstructed Philippine vessels."
Upholding UNCLOS
China's "nine-dash-line" claim covers almost the entire South China Sea, a
cow tongue drawn from China's Hainan island in the north to the waters of
Vietnam in the west and the Philippines in the east.
The tribunal said China's claims to historic rights over the seas are
"extinguished" in cases that they are incompatible with the United Nations
Convention on the Law of the Seas (UNCLOS).
Now that the Philippines won its historic case against China over the West
Philippine Sea (South China Sea), the question is how to enforce this ruling
given that there is no international police to do this.
The Philippines lead counsel against China, Paul Reichler, said that
enforcement "will depend on the conduct of other affected states and the
international community in general."
The 9-dash line is China's demarcation to claim the West Philippine Sea.
Reichler said: "If these other states stand up for their rights in the way that
the Philippines has done, you'll get the situation where all of the neighboring
states are insisting that China withdraw its illegal claims and respect their
legal rights which have been defined and recognized and acknowledged
today, because those states have the same rights as the Philippines."
Reichler pointed out that the ruling "is also a great victory for the other
coastal states along the South China Sea, in particular Vietnam, Indonesia,
and Malaysia."
He explained that "although the award is legally binding only on the two
parties, China and the Philippines, it has very strong implications for other
coastal states in the South China Sea."
The judges ruled that the specific portion of the South China Sea claimed by
both China and the Philippines belongs to the Philippines alone. None of the
small land features claimed by China is sufficiently large to justify maritime
"exclusive economic zones" for any nation, the tribunal said.
The court concluded that Chinese efforts to create man-made islands on top
of atolls and reefs, as well as its large-scale fishing in the disputed areas, are
illegal. China's interference with the Philippines' fishing and oil exploration of
the region is also unlawful, the tribunal said.
"The award is breathtaking in its scope and the degree to which it gives
long-needed clarity to the law of the sea," Peter Dutton, professor and
director of the China Maritime Studies Institute at the U.S. Naval War
College, told CNBC. The so-called law of the sea is a set of global standards
that affect every ocean-going country.
"China's goal has always been, and remains, to avoid any clarification of its
claims," said Greg Poling, director of the Asia Maritime Transparency
Initiative at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. "It doesn't
want other claimants or the international community to know what it's
claiming so it can change it at any point."
The nine-dash line has allowed China to claim a right to do things ranging
from drilling for oil to actually creating man-made islands without
providing anything specific that other nations could argue against. Tuesday's
arbitration ruling could make it increasingly difficult for Beijing to play that
game.
According to one theory, China's South China Sea island-building and its
deployment of naval and air power in the area could signal that it is hoping
to turn the entire zone into a Beijing-controlled "strategic strait."
An international tribunal ruling against the nine-dash line goes a long way
toward offering a framework for a unified front against China, and that is
something that worries Beijing, experts said. Such a decision could "give
more hope to the Philippines and other Asian countries that claim territory in
the South China Sea," according to Andrew Scobell, a political scientist at
the Rand Corp.
The tribunal at The Hague has no enforcement mechanism, but Beijing may
fear a blow to its global reputation if it is seen as flouting international law.
On the other hand, the Chinese Communist Party would have a hard time
explaining any acquiescence to a Chinese population that's been drummed
into a nationalistic fervor over the issue.
Many Chinese, politicians and regular citizens alike, see opposition to their
South China Sea claims as opposition to their ascendance on the world
stage.