Professional Documents
Culture Documents
MASTER OF COMMERCE
(Banking & Finance)
SEMESTER 3
2016-17
SUBMITTED BY
PROJECT GUIDE
Ms. SHITAL MODY
SUBMITTED BY
KHUSHBOO ZAGADA
Roll No.: 10
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CERTIFICATE
This is to &certify
(Banking that Ms.
Finance) KHUSHBOO
Semester D. ZAGADA
3rd [2016-2017] of M.Com
has ACCOUNT
successfully
completed the Project on
CONVERTIBILITY under the guidance of CAPITAL
Ms. SHITAL MODY.
________________ ________________
________________ ________________
________________ ________________
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DECLARATION
Ifinance,
Mr. / Ms.
3rdonKHUSHBOO
semester D. ZAGADA
(2016-2017), hereby student that
declare of M.com-Banking &
I have completed
the project CAPITAL ACCOUNT CONVERTIBILITY
(Signature)
Student
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CONTENTS
1. INTRODUCTION 6-7
7. BIBLIOGRAPHY 38
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Chapter 1
INTRODUCTION
Economic growth and development of a nation is always
coupled with the progress of its tradable sector. In times of
today all economies is finding themselves integrated to each
other in some or the other way through forces of liberalization
and globalization? In context of these sweeping
advancements capital account convertibility has been widely
persuaded by developed and developing countries around the
world. India too is persistently poignant on the path of
liberalization, by opening up its markets & loosening its
controls over economic & financial matters.
CAC refers to the freedom of converting local financial assets
into foreign financial assets & vice versa at market
determined rates of exchange. It refers to the elimination of
restraints on international flows of a countrys capital
Accounts facilitating full currency convertibility & opening of
the financial system.
Practically there is a mix & match of experiencing with the
countries those who have liberalized their capital account. All
developed countries have adopted full convertibility, but the
2008 crisis of USA & current turmoil of European Union have
raised several questions while China has written its success
story without full capital account convertibility. India has found
itself fairly successful in the matter with its gradualist
approach. Indias conduct & experiences with the liberalization
of capital account are the subject matter of elaboration.
Methodology
This project is only concerned with the secondary data
collection such as book references, journals, articles, RBI
website, and other web links.
~6~
Significance of the Study
The findings of this study will redound to the benefit of the
society considering that capital account convertibility plays
an important role in an economy. It is fair to say that there is
widespread agreement that domestic financial as well as
capital account liberalizations are beneficial. Differences of
view typically arise about the scope, pace and sequence of
liberalization, not on its ultimate desirability.
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Chapter 2
CURRENCY CONVERTIBILITY
~8~
fixed exchange rate. This implies that from given exports,
exporters can get more rupees against foreign exchange (e.g.
US dollars) earned from exports. Currency convertibility
especially encourages those exports which have low import-
intensity.
2. Encouragement to import substitution:
Since free or market determined exchange rate is higher than
the previous officially fixed exchange rate, imports become
more expensive after convertibility of a currency. This
discourages imports and gives boost to import substitution.
3. Incentive to send remittances from abroad:
Thirdly, rupee convertibility provided greater incentives to
send remittances of foreign exchange by Indian workers living
abroad and by NRI. Further, it makes illegal remittance such
hawala money and smuggling of gold less attractive.
4. A self balancing mechanism:
Another important merit of currency convertibility lies in its
self-balancing mechanism. When balance of payments is in
deficit due to over-valued exchange rate, under currency
convertibility, the currency of the country depreciates which
gives boost to exports by lowering their prices on the one
hand and discourages imports by raising their prices on the
other.
In this way, deficit in balance of payments get automatically
corrected without intervention by the Government or its
Central bank. The opposite happens when balance of
payments is in surplus due to the under-valued exchange rate.
5. Specialisation in accordance with comparative
advantage:
Another merit of currency convertibility ensures production
pattern of different trading countries in accordance with their
comparative advantage and resource endowment. It is only
when there is currency convertibility that market exchange
rate truly reflects the purchasing powers of their currencies
which is based on the prices and costs of goods found in
different countries.
Since prices in competitive environment reflect that prices of
those goods are lower in which the country has a comparative
advantage, this will encourages exports. On the other hand, a
country will tend to import those goods in the production of
which it has a comparative disadvantage. Thus, currency
convertibility ensures specialisation and international trade on
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the basis of comparative advantage from which all countries
derive benefit.
6. Integration of World Economy:
Finally, currency convertibility gives boost to the integration of
the world economy. As under currency convertibility there is
easy access to foreign exchange, it greatly helps the growth of
trade and capital flows between the countries. The expansion
in trade and capital flows between countries will ensure rapid
economic growth in the economies of the world. In fact,
currency convertibility is said to be a prerequisite for the
success of globalisation.
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Almost all nations allow for some method of currency
conversion; Cuba and North Korea are the only exceptions.
They neither participate in the international forex markets nor
allow conversion of their currencies by individuals or
companies. As a result, these currencies are known as blocked
currencies; the North Korean won and the Cuban national peso
cannot be accurately valued against other currencies and are
only used for domestic purposes and debts. So obviously, such
nonconvertible currencies present an obstruction to
international trade for companies that reside in these
countries.
Thus, we have non- convertible currencies (Cuban Peso and
North Korean Won), partly convertible currencies (Indian
rupee) and fully convertible currencies (US dollar).
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restrictions hindering buying or selling foreign exchange
(although trade barriers exist). On the capital account, foreign
institutional investors have convertibility to bring money into
and out of the country and buy securities (subject to
quantitative restrictions). Local firms are able to take capital
out of the country in order to expand globally. However, local
households are restricted in their ability to diversify globally.
Because of the expansion of the current and capital accounts,
India is increasingly moving towards full de facto convertibility.
There is some confusion regarding the interchange of the
currency with gold, but the system that India follows is that
money cannot be exchanged for gold under any
circumstances due to gold's lack of liquidity;[citation
needed] therefore, money cannot be changed into gold by the
RBI. India follows the same principle as Great Britain and the
US.
Reserve Bank of India clarifies its position regarding the
promissory clause printed on each banknote:
"As per Section 26 of Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934, the
Bank is liable to pay the value of banknote. This is payable on
demand by RBI, being the issuer. The Bank's obligation to pay
the value of banknote does not arise out of a contract but out
of statutory provisions. The promissory clause printed on the
banknotes i.e., "I promise to pay the bearer an amount of X" is
a statement which means that the banknote is a legal tender
for X amount. The obligation on the part of the Bank is to
exchange a banknote for coins of an equivalent amount."
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Chapter 3
TRADE ACCOUNT CONVERTIBILITY
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abroad or in the compiling economy. The classification does
not cover auxiliary services (towing, maintenance, etc.), which
are covered under transportation.
Non-monetary gold covers exports and imports of all gold
not held as reserve assets (monetary gold) by the authorities.
Non-monetary gold is treated the same as any other
commodity and, when feasible, is subdivided into gold held as
a store of value and other (industrial) gold.
Services
Transportation covers most of the services that are
performed by residents for non residents (and vice versa) and
that were included in shipment and other transportation in the
fourth edition of the Manual. However, freight insurance is
now included with insurance services rather than with
transportation. Transportation includes freight and passenger
transportation by all modes of transportation and other
distributive and auxiliary services, including rentals of
transportation equipment with crew.
Travel covers goods and servicesincluding
those related to health and educationacquired from an
economy by non resident travellers (including excursionists)
for business and personal purposes during their visits (of less
than one year) in that economy. Travel excludes international
passenger services, which are included in transportation.
Students and medical patients are treated as travellers,
regardless of the length of stay. Certain othersmilitary and
embassy personnel and non resident workersare not
regarded as travellers. However, expenditures by non resident
workers are included in travel, while those of military and
embassy personnel are included in government services
Communications service covers communications
transactions between residents and non residents. Such
services comprise postal, courier, and telecommunications
services (transmission of sound, images, and other
information by various modes and associated maintenance
provided by/for residents for/by non residents).
Construction services covers construction and installation
project work that is, on a temporary basis, performed
abroad/in the compiling economy or in extra territorial
enclaves by resident/non resident enterprises and associated
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personnel. Such work does not include that undertaken by a
foreign affiliate of a resident enterprise or by an
unincorporated site office that, if it meets certain criteria, is
equivalent to a foreign affiliate.
Insurance service covers the provision of insurance
to non residents by resident insurance enterprises and vice
versa. This item comprises services provided for freight
insurance (on goods exported and imported), services
provided for other types of direct insurance (including life and
non-life), and services provided for reinsurance.
Financial services (other than those related to insurance
enterprises and pension funds) cover financial intermediation
services and auxiliary services conducted between residents
and non residents. Included are commissions and fees for
letters of credit, lines of credit, financial leasing services,
foreign exchange transactions, consumer and business credit
services, brokerage services, underwriting services,
arrangements for various forms of hedging instruments, etc.
Auxiliary services include financial market operational and
regulatory services, security custody services, etc.
Computer and information services covers resident/non
resident transactions related to hardware consultancy,
software implementation, information services (data
processing, data base, news agency), and maintenance and
repair of computers and related equipment.
Royalties and license fees covers receipts
(exports) and payments (imports) of residents and non-
residents for (i) the authorized use of intangible non produced,
nonfinancial assets and proprietary rightssuch as
trademarks, copyrights, patents, processes, techniques,
designs, manufacturing rights, franchises, etc. and (ii) the use,
through licensing agreements, of produced originals or
prototypessuch as manuscripts, films, etc.
Other business services provided by residents to
non residents and vice versa cover merchanting and other
trade-related services; operational leasing services; and
miscellaneous business, professional, and technical services.
Personal, cultural, and recreational
services covers (i) audio visual and related services and (ii)
other cultural services provided by residents to non-residents
and vice versa. Included under (i) are services associated with
the production of motion pictures on films or video tape, radio
and television programs, and musical recordings. (Examples of
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these services are rentals and fees received by actors,
producers, etc. for productions and for distribution rights sold
to the media.) Included under (ii) are other personal, cultural,
and recreational servicessuch as those associated with
libraries, museumsand other cultural and sporting activities.
Government services i.e. covers all services (such
as expenditures of embassies and consulates) associated with
government sectors or international and regional
organizations and not classified under other items.
2. Income
Compensation of employees covers wages,
salaries, and other benefits, in cash or in kind, and includes
those of border, seasonal, and other non-resident workers
(e.g., local staff of embassies).
Investment income covers receipts and payments of income
associated, respectively, with residents holdings of external
financial assets and with residents liabilities to non residents.
Investment income consists of direct investment income,
portfolio investment income, and other investment income.
The direct investment component is divided into income on
equity (dividends, branch profits, and reinvested earnings)
and income on debt (interest); portfolio investment income is
divided into income on equity (dividends) and income on debt
(interest); other investment income covers interest earned on
other capital (loans, etc.) and, in principle, imputed income to
households from net equity in life insurance reserves and in
pension funds.
3. Current transfers
Current transfers are distinguished from capital transfers,
which are included in the capital and financial account in
concordance with the SNA treatment of transfers. Transfers are
the offsets to changes, which take place between residents
and non residents, in ownership of real resources or financial
items and, whether the changes are voluntary or compulsory,
do not involve a quid pro quo in economic value.
Current transfers consist of all transfers that do not involve
(i) Transfers of ownership of fixed assets;
(ii) Transfers of funds linked to, or conditional
upon, acquisition or disposal of fixed assets; (iii)
forgiveness, without any counterparts being received
in return, of liabilities by creditors. All of these are
capital transfers.
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Current transfers include those of general government (e.g.,
current international cooperation between different
governments, payments of current taxes on income and
wealth, etc.), and other transfers (e.g., workers remittances,
premiumsless service charges, and claims on non-life
insurance).
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As such, the current account of the BOP comprises trade in
goods and services. In other words, the current account
balance takes into account exports, imports, and net foreign
income from unilateral transfers. The capital account of the
BOP, on the other hand, takes into account cross-border flow of
funds that are associated with financial or other assets in the
trading countries. For example, the direct and portfolio
investments made by foreign investors, in India, are captured
by the capital account balance of the BOP. The capital account
also encompasses foreign investments of Indian companies,
foreign aid and bank deposits of Non-resident Indians (NRI).
A currency is deemed convertible on the current account if it
can be freely converted into other convertible currencies for
purchase and sale of commodities and services. For example, if
the rupee is convertible on the current account an Indian firm
should be able to freely convert rupee into Yen (JPY) to
purchase mods from Japanese Company. Similarly, a German
company should be able to freely convert the mark (DM) into
rupee to pay an Indian software consultancy firm for its
services. It is evident that the ideal of free trade lies at the
heart of current account convertibility.
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system; however, the agreements to the IMF allowed more
flexibility with regard to the imposition of exchange controls on
capital account transactions. The flexibility was partly a result
of a prevailing feeling that short-run speculative capital flows
could be potentially destabilising and governments should
therefore have the freedom to resist them.
Owing to other reasons, developing countries have historically
not had convertible currencies. Typically, their currencies have
been partially convertible on the current account and the
capital of the BOP, the rationale for the choice being
embedded in the macroeconomic realities and the policy
perspectives of the countries concerned. In India, the rupee
was made convertible on the current account in August 1994.
However, the currency as yet has limited convertibility on the
capital account, and that indeed is the center of a countrywide
debate. What might be the rationale behind the
aforementioned choice: making rupee convertible on the
current account while maintaining exchange control for capital
account transactions? What, indeed, are the policy implications
of free capital mobility that is associated with capital account
and have full convertibility? Is India ready for full currency
convertibility?
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distribution of international capital in India. Such allocation of
foreign funds in the country helps in equalizing the capital
return rates not only across different borders, but also
escalates the production levels. Moreover, it brings about a fair
allocation of the income level in India as well.
Jumping into capital account convertibility game without
considering the downside of the step can harm the economy.
The Committee on Capital Account Convertibility (CAC)
or Tarapore Committee was constituted by the Reserve Bank
of India for suggesting a roadmap on full convertibility of
Rupee on Capital Account. The committee submitted its report
in May 1997. The committee observed that there is no clear
definition of CAC. The CAC as per the standards refers to the
freedom to convert the local financial assets into foreign
financial assets or vice versa at the market determined rates of
exchange.
The Tarapore committee observed that the Capital controls can
be useful in insulating the economy of the country from the
volatile capital flows during the transitional periods and also in
providing time to the authorities, so that they can pursue
discretionary domestic policies to strengthen the initial
conditions.
The CAC Committee recommended the implementation of
Capital Account Convertibility for a 3 year period viz. 1997-98,
1998-99 and 1999-2000. But this committee had laid down
some pre conditions as follows:
1. Gross fiscal deficit to GDP ratio has to come down from a
budgeted 4.5 per cent in 1997-98 to 3.5% in 1999-2000.
2. A consolidated sinking fund has to be set up to meet
governments debt repayment needs; to be financed by
increased in RBIs profit transfer to the govt. and
disinvestment proceeds.
3. Inflation rate should remain between an average 3-5 per cent
for the 3-year period 1997-2000.
4. Gross NPAs of the public sector banking system needs to be
brought down from the present 13.7% to 5% by 2000. At the
same time, average effective CRR needs to be brought down
from the current 9.3% to 3%
5. RBI should have a Monitoring Exchange Rate Band of plus
minus 5% around a neutral Real Effective Exchange Rate RBI
should be transparent about the changes in REER
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6. External sector policies should be designed to increase current
receipts to GDP ratio and bring down the debt servicing ratio
from 25% to 20%
7. Four indicators should be used for evaluating adequacy of
foreign exchange reserves to safeguard against any
contingency. Plus, a minimum net foreign asset to currency
ratio of 40 per cent should be prescribed by law in the RBI Act.
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The Second Tarapore Committee on Capital Account
Convertibility
Reserve Bank of India appointed the second Tarapore
committee to set out the framework for fuller Capital
Account Convertibility. The committee was established by
RBI in consultation with the Government to revisit the subject
of fuller capital account convertibility in the context of the
progress in economic reforms, the stability of the external
and financial sectors, accelerated growth and global
integration.
~ 24 ~
financial capital transfers to other countries within certain
limits, to take loans from non-relatives and others up to a
ceiling of $ 1 million, etc.
(c) Indian banks would be allowed to borrow from overseas
markets for short-term and long-term up to certain limits, to
invest in overseas money markets, to accept deposits and
extend loans denominated in foreign currency. Such facilities
would be available to financial institutions and financial
intermediaries also.
(d) All-India financial institutions which fulfil certain
regulatory and prudential requirements would be allowed to
participate in foreign exchange market along with
authorised dealers (ADs) who are, at present, banks. In a
later stage, certain select NBFCs would also be permitted to
act as ADs in foreign exchange market.
(e) Banks and financial institutions would be allowed to
operate in domestic and international markets and they
would also be allowed to buy and sell gold freely and offer
gold denominated deposits and loans.
~ 25 ~
on or by the remaining world. It enables relaxation of the
Capital Account, which is under tremendous pressure from
the commercial sectors of India. Along with the financial
capitalists, the reputed commercial firms in India jointly
derive and enjoy the benefits of the CAC policy, which
speculate the stock markets through investments. In fact,
the CAC policy in India is pursued primarily to gain the
speculator's and the punter's confidences in the stock
markets.
However, CAC does not serve the purposes of the real
sectors of Indian economy, like eradication of poverty,
escalation of the employment rates and other inequalities.
In spite of CAC being present in Indian economy, there will
be a co-existence of financial crises. Despite several
benefits, CAC has proved to be insufficient in solving the
Indian financial crises, the complete solution of which lies in
having a regulated inflow of capital into the economy.
Unlike current account convertibility, capital account
convertibility does not come without a downside. But before
we discuss the downside it will be in order to point out that
reservations have been expressed about the most important
contribution of capital account convertibility, that is, its role
in better allocation of global savings. It has been pointed out
that often capital movement is guided by considerations
such as tax savings which improve the returns to the
investor but does not contribute to increased productivity.
Secondly, neither open capital account constitute sufficient
conditions to ensure capital flows into a country nor do
capital flows, in absence of appropriate institutional
framework in the receiving country, contribute to growth
and welfare. On the other hand, it has been argued that free
capital accounts were not necessary for the phenomenal
growth recorded by countries in the diverse parts of the
world. As Jagdish Bhagwati observes in his celebrated 1998
paper, After all, China and Japan, different in politics and
sociology as well as historical experience, have registered
remarkable growth rates. Western Europes return to
prosperity was also achieved without capital account
convertibility. Elsewhere in the same paper he remarks, 7
Substantial gains (from capital account convertibility) have
been asserted, not demonstrated, and most of the payoff
can be obtained by direct equity investment.
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Views of Bretton woods institutions
It is also important to note the significant shift in the view of
Bretton Woodss institutions on capital account
liberalization. IMF, which was a strong votary of capital
account liberalization in the pre global financial crisis period,
adopted a new institutional view in December 2012 on
capital account liberalization and the management of capital
flows. The institutional view recognizes that 8 full capital
accounts liberalization may not be an appropriate goal for
all countries at all times, and that under certain
circumstances capital flow management measures can have
a place in the macroeconomic policy toolkit. It has done
much to change the public image of the Fund as a
doctrinaire proponent of free capital mobility. The Fund thus
now endorses, though in a limited way, the perspective of
many emerging and developing countries. The IMF now
recognizes that capital flows carry risks, and that the
liberalization of capital flows before nations reach a certain
threshold of financial and institutional development can
accentuate those risks. It also acknowledges that under
certain circumstances, cross-border capital flows should be
regulated to avoid the worst effects of capital flow surges
and sudden stops. It further says that nations that are the
source of excessive capital flows should pay more attention
to the potentially negative spillover effects of their
macroeconomic policies. Finally, the IMF notes that its new
view on capital flow management may be at odds with other
international commitments, such as in trade and investment
treaties that restrict the ability to regulate cross-border
finance. The World Bank has also advocated the use of
capital control measures as a last resort to help mitigate a
financial crisis and stabilize macroeconomic developments.
It may be contextual to recall that when the Asian crisis
broke out, some economists advocated imposition of
temporary capital controls as a policy tool to steer the
affected economies out of the crisis. In fact Malaysia did
precisely this to check deepening of the crisis with success.
However at that time it was considered an unorthodox and
anti-market policy prescription. But in September 2008,
when Iceland faced a similar crisis, capital controls
implemented through stringent exchange control regulations
were a key component of the policy package. As pointed
out, the use of capital controls in times of currency and
~ 27 ~
banking crisis is now part of the accepted wisdom. It may
also be noted that India has been using capital controls to
effectively manage the flows. While on the subject, let me
point out that imposition of capital controls by one country
can have significant negative externality; it can generate a 9
flight of capital from other similarly situated countries for
fear of capital controls there too.
Though the debate on capital account convertibility has
moderated and its advocacy qualified, it is generally
accepted that sooner or later all countries have to be there
and the question is when, how and at what pace. Are there
preconditions to be created so that the benefits of capital
account convertibility outweigh the costs, as Tarapore
Committee advocated or should we rush to it in anticipation
of the Promised Land and leave it to the financial markets to
discipline economic management into good behavior? Is the
slow progress to capital account convertibility a case of
undesirable procrastination or wisely heeding the
precautionary principle as Arvind Subramanian puts it? This
leads me to examine the Indian situation
~ 28 ~
Mankiw observes, Economists are famous for disagreeing
with one another, and indeed, seminars in economics
departments are known for their vociferous debate. But
economists reach near unanimity on some topics, including
international trade. Promoting free trade has been a stated
global policy priority during the post second world war
period. Article VIII; sub-section 2 of the Articles of
Agreement of the IMF states that ......no member shall,
without the approval of the Fund, impose restrictions on the
making of payments and transfers for current international
transaction. Similarly, the objectives of WTO include,
providing a forum for negotiating and monitoring further
trade liberalisation. Though, every now and then, we come
across modern mercantilism in objections to imports, these
are often driven by political considerations and not based on
economic logic. Be that as it may, India accepted the Article
VIII obligation as early as in 1994 and has been an active
member of the WTO. So the public policy view on free trade
in goods and services or current account convertibility is
settled.
What about capital account convertibility? Capital account of
the balance of payments comprises a summary of cross
border transactions in assets. Assets in the context of
international transactions mean investment assets: equity,
debt, immovable property or any combination or hybrid of
these. Thus capital account convertibility would mean that
there is no restriction on conversion of the domestic
currency into a foreign currency to enable a resident to
acquire any foreign asset or on conversion of a foreign
currency to the domestic currency to enable a non-resident
to acquire a domestic asset. Assets are diverse. If a foreign
company sets up an Indian subsidiary, say, to manufacture
automobiles or aircrafts that is also capital account
transaction and so is if a hedge fund buys treasury bills to
book a profit out of expected movement in interest rates.
Similarly capital flows may finance a metro project or fuel a
real estate boom. Therefore, capital flows cannot be viewed
as a homogeneous phenomenon with identical economic
consequences. Capital flows can be conceptually classified
into two broad categories. Those that imply long term
engagement without any incentive to exit at every
provocation and those that are motivated by disinterested
profit those that buy at every low and sell at every high, as
~ 29 ~
it were. Full capital account convertibility will open the door
to both without any discrimination. In this backdrop, is
capital account convertibility as much a public policy priority
as current account convertibility?
Chapter 4
CAPITAL ACCOUNT CONVERTIBILITY IN INDIA
JOURNEY SO FAR
~ 30 ~
proposition of Narasimham committee. Finally in year 2000
Foreign Exchange Regulation Act (FERA) was scrapped and a
new act Foreign Exchange Management Act (FEMA) came
into existence. Till now, all the rules pertaining to foreign
exchange are governed by FEMA. All the current account
transactions are permitted under FEMA and no prior
permission of RBI is required for any such transactions, while
there remain restrictions on capital account. Under FEMA
some capital account transactions are completely permitted,
some are totally prohibited while some are allowed within a
fixed ceiling. Sectoral rules have also been shaped and
enforced with FEMA rules. On the success of the measures
adopted, the issue of capital account liberalization was re-
examined by Tarapore committee II. Setup in year 2006 it
was an extension of the previous committee. It also did not
recommended unlimited openings of capital account but
preferred a phased liberalization of controls on outflows and
inflows with a comprehensive review of the actions taken.
Foreign Direct
FDI is restricted in the following sectors:
~ 31 ~
a) Multi brand retailing.
b) Lottery (public, private, online), gambling, betting and
casino.
c) Chit funds and Nidhi Company.
d) Trading in Transferable Development Rights in real estate
business or construction of farm houses.
e) Manufacturing of Cigars, cheroots, cigarillos and
cigarettes, of tobacco or of tobacco substitutes
f) Atomic energy and Railway transport In rest other sectors
such as agriculture, mining, manufacturing, broadcasting,
print media, aviation, courier services, construction,
telecom, banking, insurance etc.; the limits of FDI range
from 26% to 100%. All the foreign operators have to abide
by the sectoral restrictions of the statutory regulators in
addition to FDI rules.
~ 32 ~
years. c) Eligible borrowers under the automatic route can
raise Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds (FCCBs) up to USD
750 million or equivalent per financial year for permissible
end-uses.
d) Corporate in services like hotel, hospital and software,
can raise FCCBs up to USD 200 million or equivalent for
permissible end-uses during a financial but the proceeds of
the ECB should not be used for acquisition of land.
e) ECB / FCCB availed of for the purpose of refinancing the
existing outstanding FCCB should be viewed as part of the
limit of USD 750 million available under the automatic route.
Government Securities
NRIs and SEBI registered FIIs are permitted to purchase
Government Securities/ Treasury bills and corporate debt.
The details are as under:
1. On repatriation basis a Non-resident Indian can purchase
without limit,
a) Dated Government securities (other than bearer
securities) or treasury bills or units of domestic mutual
funds.
b) Bonds issued by a public sector undertaking (PSU) in
India. MANAGEMENT INSIGHT Vol. VIII, No. 2; December
2012 54
c) Shares in Public Sector Enterprises being disinvested by
GoI.
2. on non-repatriation basis
a) Dated Government securities (other than bearer
securities) or treasury bills or units of domestic mutual
funds.
b) Units of Money Market Mutual Funds in India.
c) National Plan/Savings Certificates. A SEBI registered FII
may purchase, on repatriation basis, dated Government
securities/ treasury bills, listed non-convertible debentures/
bonds issued by an Indian company and units of domestic
mutual funds either directly from the issuer of such
securities or through a registered stock broker on a
recognized stock exchange in India. The FII investment in
Government securities and corporate debt is subject to the
Investment limit. For the FIIs in Government securities
currently is USD 10 billion and limit in Corporate debt is USD
20 billion.
~ 33 ~
Rupee and Foreign currency denominated bonds issued by
the Infrastructure Denominated Bonds Debt Funds (IDFs) set
up as an Indian company and registered as Nonbanking
Financial Companies (NBFCs) with the Reserve Bank of India
have been allowed (circular number 49, dated 22.11.2011)
Eligible non- resident investors: Sovereign Wealth Funds,
Multilateral Agencies, Pension Funds, Insurance Funds,
Endowment Funds, FII, NRI, HNIs registered with SEBI are
allowed to invest in these bonds.
Maturity and lock-in period: The maturity period for
these bonds is five years. They are subject to a lock in
period of three years. However, all non-resident investors
can trade amongst themselves within this lock in period of
three years.
Quantitative limits: All non-resident investment in IDFs
would be within an overall cap of USD 10 billion. This limit
would be within the overall cap of USD 25 billion for FII
investment in bonds / non convertible debentures issued by
Indian companies in the infrastructure sector.
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require prior approval of the Reserve Bank for direct
investment abroad.
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BSE and NSE has significantly risen. Derivates, bonds,
commodities now constitute the major trading instruments
besides equity shares. Sensex (above 20,000) and Nifty
(above 6,000) touched new heights due to huge investment
in the listed stocks.
(5) Worldwide Presence and Friendly Relations with Trading
Counterparts: Flow of investment is a distinctive medium of
developing global relationships. Indian MNCs and service
organizations are conducting business operations in almost
140 countries across the globe. India is 19th largest
exporting country in the world according to 2011 estimates.
Indian IT services, handicrafts, cuisine and jewelry are world
famous and contribute to major chunk of revenue from
international operations. It all has become reality with the
financial liberalization. India is the founder member of WTO,
IMF and World Bank. It is a member of BRICS and G-20 at
WTO trade negotiations. Government has entered into
multilateral trade agreements and tax avoidance treaties
with the trading counterparts. Immigration norms have also
been untangled. All this has given a global presence to the
country and friendly relations too are in progress.
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concern on the conduct and policies of Reserve Bank and
Government of India. Global rating agencies Standard &
Poor (s & P) and Fitch have revised Indias rating from stable
to negative. S&P has released a report strongly criticizing
the Governments inability to move ahead with economic
reforms and referred to cracks in ruling coalition that they
were holding up progress. Fitch has censured and added the
general elections due in early 2014 could see politically
driven pressure to loosen fiscal policy, which could further
weaken Indias public finance related to peers. The ratings
and statement of S&P and Fitch raise the risk of Indian
bonds slipping into junk category, hurting the countrys
image as an investment destination. The cost of overseas
borrowing for Indian companies could also go up.
The story is not yet over. Equity market is plummeting week
after week because FII are on selling fling. Sensex is
currently trading lower than 17,000 and Nifty near 5,000.
Investor sentiments are down. Individual portfolios are
making losses. Volatility and panic are the latest buzz words
for the Dalal Street.
Food inflation is constantly maintaining its double digit
levels causing a decline in domestic savings with banks. IIP
has fallen to the level of 3.5% from 8.1% of the previous
year. GDP growth in 2012- 13 is estimated at the aching
level of 6.5% while fiscal deficit is at 5.9%. Reserve Banks
Governor D. Subbarao said fiscal deficit in 1991 was 7% and
it is ruling at 5.9% in 2012.Is it an alarming signal? Because,
India was going through its meager times in 1991 and latest
GDP estimates too are worrisome. There are additional
doubts about Governments ability to trim subsidy level to
cut fiscal deficit, which could further increase the prices of
essential commodities. A new retro tax GAAR (General Anti
Avoidance Rule) is also proposed to be enacted in budget for
fiscal 2013. GAAR aims to target tax evaders, partly by
stopping Indian companies and investors from routing
investments through Mauritius or other tax havens for the
sole purpose of avoiding taxes. It has sparked an outcry
among foreign investors.
Thus the recent global turmoil, volatile capital flows and
economic instability have considerably heightened the
uncertainty surrounding the outlook for India, complicating
the conduct of monetary policy and external management.
The intensified pressures have necessitated stepped up
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operations in terms of capital account management and
more active liquidity management with all instruments at
command of Reserve Bank. Therefore in this scenario, it is
suggested that India should adopt a go slow approach in
moves to liberalize capital account. Instead, it is important
for the country to be ready to deal with potentially large and
volatile outflows along with spillovers. In this context, there
is a need of maneuver for Reserve Bank to deal with present
serious matters by deployment of monetary policy
instruments, buying and selling operations of forex,
complemented by prudential restrictions and measures for
capital account management.
Disadvantages:
(1) Easier access to Hawala money:
As it allows converting any foreign receipt into Indian
rupees at market determined rates there may be chance
that domestic economy will be flooded with foreign
exchange which in long run may damage the financial
health of an economy.
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(2) High volatility of markets:
During the times when the financial markets of an
economy are doing well, a country may receive huge
foreign investment. But during the adverse times the
reverse scenario may happen. For example when the
federal reserve Bank of America gave a sign that they are
going increase the interest rates the foreign Institutional
investors who invested their dollars in Indian stock market
had withdrawn their investment from India which
adversely impacted the rupee value.
Chapter 5
Role of IMF in Capital Account Convertibility
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march towards CAC needs to be dealt with caution as the
risks involved in capital inflows into the country are huge.
IMF has predicted the Indian economy to grow at a rate of
8.9% which puts India on the path of growth along with
other emerging economies. India stands to gain by
implementing CAC provided all the measures are in place
to effect a successful implementation and the
macroeconomic factors of the country are strong enough
to support the surge in capital inflows. To start with the
interest rates in India are higher compared to US and
other developed economies. This results in inflow of
foreign currency into India to arbitrage the differential
interest rates. This inflow of money will reduce the cost of
capital for the Indian companies and this in turn could be
utilized for growing the economy further. It would also
enable Indian investors to diversify their portfolios and
reduce their risk. It should be noted that the capital
inflows will put immense pressure on the foreign exchange
market and the volatility of the dollar and rupee is bound
to increase. In Indias ace, our floating exchange rate
system will stand to benefit India unlike the fixed
exchange rate that was adopted by the South East Asian
countries.
Thus a decision of implementing CAC in India is a complex
one and has to take into account the multiplicity of
constraints and objectives at hand. It is necessary to focus
on the macroeconomic constraints as well as the
development objectives of CAC. The implication of CAC on
exchange rate policies in India has not been touched upon
yet. Hence factoring in the exchange rate and growth
consequences of CAC would be important before the final
implementation of CAC in India.
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CONCLUSION
As we say that every coin has its two sides, Fuller Capital
Account Convertibility is no exception it also has some pros and
cons. Having a closer look at the advantages and
disadvantages of CAC it can be inferred that it can be a boon to
our country if managed properly. India should not move into it
in hurry instead they should take their own time and first
consolidate their fiscal deficit and regulations. They should
learn from the mistakes that other Emerging Market Economies
did in 90's and what happened to them during the Asian Crisis.
In my view India can go ahead with Fuller Account Convertibility
but they should still keep some restriction or control over it i.e.
they should allow Capital Account Convertibility with
reasonable limits on some transactions. After saying this I
would also like to add that India and China survived the East
Asian Crisis only because they didn't had fuller capital account
convertibility and if we open up our economy by allowing CAC
we will increase the susceptibility to economic crisis. Thus any
decision taken by RBI and the government will be another
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wishful thinking that all would go right if some pre-conditions
are fulfilled and CAC will trigger the growth of the economy but
there still are some problems with CAC which will come roaring
if there is any global crisis and all the measures taken by
government will not be sufficient to avoid such crisis in India.
The topic Is Capital Account Convertibility - A Boon or a Bane is
a debatable one and has been debated in India for decades.
There are people who say that India should go for CAC and
other who are against it. So, Whatever happens in the next few
years as Tarapore Committee has already set a road map for
CAC let's hope that everything goes as per the plans of UPA
government and our economy gets that much needed boost
through CAC.
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Bibliography
A) Books Referred:
B) E Data
1. www.Investopedia.com
2. www.rbi.org.in
3. www.businessstandard.com
4. www.bse.com
5. www.sebi.com
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