4.3.4 The same survey database cited in exercise 4.3.1 (A-5) shows that 32 percent of U.S.

adults
indicated
that they have been tested for HIV at some point in their life. Consider a simple random sample of 15
adults selected at that time. Find the probability that the number of adults who have been tested for
HIV in the sample would be:
(a) Three: P(X=3)= 15C3 (.32)3(1-.32)15-3= .1457
(b) Less than five P(X<5) = .4477
(c) Between five and nine, inclusive = P(5<=X<=9) = P(X<=9)-P(X<=4) = .9938-.4477 = .5461
(d) More than five, but less than 10 P(5<x<10) = P(X<10)-P(X<=5) = .9938-.6607 = .3331
(e) Six or more P(X>=6) = 1-P(X<6) = 1-.6607 = .3393

4.3.6 Refer to Exercise 4.3.4. Suppose we were to take a simple random sample of 25 adults today
and find
that two have been tested for HIV at some point in their life. Would these results be surprising? Why
or why not?

Yes, these results would be surprising in the fact that ONLY 2 have been tested when the average
number of tested would be 25(.32) = 8 People. The probability that 2 or less people were tested in a
sample of 25 people is as low as P(X<=2) = .0051.

4.4.2 Tubert-Bitter et al. (A-9) found that the number of serious gastrointestinal reactions reported to
the British Committee on Safety of Medicine was 538 for 9,160,000 prescriptions of the
antiinflammatory
drug piroxicam. This corresponds to a rate of .058 gastrointestinal reactions per 1000
prescriptions written. Using a Poisson model for probability, with Lambda=.06, find the probability of
(a) Exactly one gastrointestinal reaction in 1000 prescriptions P(X=1) = e -.06.061/(1!) = .0565
(b) Exactly two gastrointestinal reactions in 1000 prescriptions P(X=2) = .0017
(c) No gastrointestinal reactions in 1000 prescriptions P(X=0) = .9418
(d) At least one gastrointestinal reaction in 1000 prescriptions P(X>=1) = 1-P(X=0) = .0582

4.4.4 In a study of the effectiveness of an insecticide against a certain insect, a large area of land was
sprayed. Later the area was examined for live insects by randomly selecting squares and counting the
number of live insects per square. Past experience has shown the average number of live insects per
square after spraying to be .5. If the number of live insects per square follows a Poisson distribution,
find the probability that a selected square will contain:
(a) Exactly one live insect P(X=1) = e-.5.51 = .3032
(b) No live insects P(X=0) = .6065
(c) Exactly four live insects P(X=4) = .0016

(d) One or more live insects P(X>=1) = 1 P(X=0) = .3935

4.6.2 The probability that a z picked at random will have a value between z=2.87 and z=2.64

P(-2.87<X<2.64) = P(X<2.64)-P(X<-2.87) = .9959-.0021 = .9938

4.6.8 P(2.58<= z<=2.58) = .9901

4.6.12 P(-2.67<=z<=z1)=.9718 = P(X<=Z1)-P(X<=-2.67)=.9718+P(X<=-2.67)[.00379] = 2.006

4.7.2. In the study of fingerprints, an important quantitative characteristic is the total ridge count for
the
10 fingers of an individual. Suppose that the total ridge counts of individuals in a certain population
are approximately normally distributed with a mean of 140 and a standard deviation of 50. Find the
probability that an individual picked at random from this population will have a ridge count of:
(a) 200 or more P(X>=200) u=140, stdv=50, z=(200-140)/50= 1.2 = .11507
(b) Less than 100 P(X<100), z=-.8, = .2119

(c) Between 100 and 200 P(100<X<200) u=140, stdv=50; = .6731

(d) Between 200 and 250 = .1012
(e) In a population of 10,000 people how many would you expect to have a ridge count of 200 or
more? 10000*P(X>200)= 10000*.11507 = 1151 People

4.7.4 Suppose the average length of stay in a chronic disease hospital of a certain type of patient is
60 days with
a standard deviation of 15. If it is reasonable to assume an approximately normal distribution of
lengths of
stay, find the probability that a randomly selected patient from this group will have a length of stay:
(a) Greater than 50 days, z=-10/15 = P(x>-.667) = .7475
(b) Less than 30 days = .0228
(c) Between 30 and 60 days = .4773

(d) Greater than 90 days = .0228; Same as Less than 30 :D

4.7.6 Given a normally distributed population with a mean of 75 and a variance of 625, find: stdv =
sqrt(625) = 25
(a) P(50<=x<=100) = .6827
(b) P(x>90) = .2743
(c) P(x<60) = .2743
(d) P(x>=85) = .3446
(e) P(30<=x<=110) = .8833

Chapter 4 Review

24. Given a binomial variable with a mean of 20 and a variance of 16, find n and p.

20=np; 16=np(1-p), 20/p=n, 16=(20/p)p*(1-p)=20-20p=16, -4=-20p, p=.2, n=100

25. Suppose a variable X is normally distributed with a standard deviation of 10. Given that .0985 of
the
values of X are greater than 70, what is the mean value of X? P(X<=70)=.9015 z =1.29=(70-u)/10,
Mean=57.1

26. P(u-Y<X<u+Y)=.754, P(u-Y>X)=.123, z=1.16, Y=1.16

27. (a) z=-2.349, k=64.765

(b) z=1.23, k=118.45
(c) z=2.01, k=130.15
(d) z=-2.12, k=68.2, k=131.8

28. z=-2.409, u= 64.09

32. z=1.999, 1.999*stdv=(50-30), 20=1.999stdv, stdv~10

33. Explain why each of the following measurements is or is not the result of a Bernoulli trial:
(a) The gender of a newborn child, Binomial Probability, It is boy or girl, heads or tails
(b) The classification of a hospital patients condition as stable, critical, fair, good, or poor; These are
qualitative and 4 different outcomes exceed binomial probability.
(c) The weight in grams of a newborn child, This would follow normal distribution, not binomial.

34. a) Not a binomial distribution as more than 2 outcomes, b) Not a binomial distribution as theres
more than 2 outcomes, c) Yes, it follows a binomial distribution with a constant p

35. a) No, p is not constant, b) Yes, p is constant, c) No, P cant be negative, d) Yes, p is constant

5.3.2 The study cited in Exercise 5.3.1 reported an estimated mean serum cholesterol level of 183 for
women aged 2029 years. The estimated standard deviation was approximately 37. Use these
estimates as the mean m and standard deviation s for the U.S. population. If a simple random sample
of size 60 is drawn from this population, find the probability that the sample mean serum cholesterol
level will be: (Normal Distribution, based on mean and stdv) (u=183)(stdv for 60 trials = sqrt
(372/60))=4.7767
(a) Between 170 and 195 = .9908
(b) Below 175 = .04699
(c) Greater than 190 = .07140

5.3.6 Given a normally distributed population with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 20, find
the
following probabilities based on a sample of size 16: u=100, stdv=5, Standard Normal Distribution
based on usage of means and stdv
(a) P(x>=100) = .5
(b) P(x<=110) = .97725
(c) P(96<=x<=108) = .73334

5.4.4 u-u=0, x1-x2=12, sqrt(240/40+350/35)=4, .00135, Normal Distribution for both curves,
only one variant possibility and mean and stdv

5.5.4 .5-.64/sqrt(.64(1-.64)/45)=-1.95656= P(X<=-1.95656)=.0252, Normal Distribution on

Percentiles, mean and stdv

5.6.2 Based on my calculator, the denominator is .043797 based on a normal standard distribution
based off of the percentiles. Z=.06-.073/(.043797), p=.3833