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TO: Interested Parties

FROM: Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates


RE: 34th Congressional District Special Election Survey Results
DATE: February 15, 2017

A recently completed surveyi among 500 voters in the 34th Congressional District likely to vote in the
April 4th Special Election shows the race to fill the seat vacated by Xavier Becerra to be wide open
as nearly half of the respondents are undecided as to whom they will support. It should be noted that
the survey was conducted after the L.A. County Registrar released the candidates official ballot
designations. Thus, respondents heard descriptions of the candidates that reflect how their names will
appear on the ballot.

A ballot test that included nine of the declared candidates shows State Assembly member Jimmy Gomez
leading. However, at 20 percent his support is relatively modest considering that he has represented a
majority of the 34th Congressional District in the State Assembly for years.

Among the other candidates, former classroom teacher Sara Hernandez stands out from the field she is
in second place with 9 percent, and she receives the most 2 nd choice votes (10%).

Congressional District 34 April Special Election Vote


(Ranked by 1st Choice Vote)

Candidate 1st Choice 2nd Choice


Jimmy Gomez, Democrat, State Assembly member 20% 7%
Sara Hernandez, Democrat, Education Non-Profit Director 9% 10%
Wendy Carrillo, Democrat, Journalist/Entrepreneur/Organizer 5% 3%
William Rodriguez Morrison, Republican, Business Owner 5% 1%
Yolie Flores, Democrat, Education Non-Profit Director 4% 6%
Arturo Carmona Democrat, Presidential Campaign Advisor 4% 4%
Kenneth Mejia, Green Party, Certified Public Accountant 3% 2%
Alejandra Campoverdi, Democrat, Multicultural Community Advocate 2% 1%
Robert Lee Ahn, Democrat, Public Interest Attorney 1% 1%
Other/Undecided 47% 64%

This survey suggests Sara Hernandez enters the race for Congress with an edge over most of the other
candidates. Along with her strong fundraising and effective early communications, these survey results
provide additional momentum for Sara Hernandezs campaign and show her to be well-positioned for the
April 4th Special Election.

12100 Wilshire Blvd.Suite 3501999 Harrison St. Suite 2020


Los Angeles, CA 90025 Oakland, CA 94612
Phone: (310) 828-1183 Phone: (510) 451-9521
Fax: (310) 453-6562 Fax: (510) 451-0384
Congressional District 34 Special Election Survey Results
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i Survey Methodology: From February 11-14, 2017, FM3 conducted a survey of 500 randomly-selected voters in the 34th Congressional
District likely to vote in the April 4, 2017 election. Interviews were conducted via landline and cell phone, and in English and Spanish.
The margin of sampling error for is +/- 4.4 percentage points at the 95% confidence level; margins of error for population subgroups will
be higher. Due to rounding, some percentages may not sum to 100%.

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