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Poverty is one of the stark realities in the present era of globalisation. Poor people need access
to sources of finance for starting small income generating enterprises. However, due to paucity
of quality assets (as security) their request for loans is generally put aside by the commercial
banks and Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs). Microcredit refers to loans of very
small amounts (microloans) provided to the poor peopleforincome-generating activities and thus
improve their living standards. Such poor borrowers, who usually cannot offer collateral security
as demanded by the banks and formal financial institutions, suffer from financial exclusion.
Microfinance covers broad range of services such as microcredit, savings products,
micro-insurance and remittance services provided to the people of low-income groups. It can be
said that the practice of providing microcredit facility was extended to include variety of
financial products and services specially designed for the poor people, giving rise to the
microfinance movement all over the world.
The Task Force on Supportive Policy and Regulatory Framework for Microfinance set up by
National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development (NABARD) in 1998 has defined
microfinance as Provision of thrift, credit and other financial services and products of very
small amounts to the poor in rural, semi-urban or urban areas for enabling them to raise their
income levels and improve living standards. The typical borrowers of microfinance are those
people who do not have access to formal financial markets (Von Pischke, 2002).
Microfinance Institution (MFI) refers to an organisation whose aim is the economic betterment
of poor people by providing them appropriate financial services and products. They have come
into picture in order to support the poor people by offering small loan amount (without any
collateral security) and other financial services, for starting income generating activities and help
them become economically self-reliant. MFIs mobilise financial resources from donors, banks
and philanthropists. Along with microcredit, MFIs also provide vocational training and skill
development to the poor clients so as to create self-employment opportunities thereby promoting
entrepreneurship among the poor people.
2. Operational Self-Sufficiency
Financial costs include interest, fee and commission payable on commercial and concessional
borrowings, mortgages and other liabilities. Loan loss provision expense is the portion of the
Gross Loan Portfolio (GLP) that is at risk of default.
3. Literature Review
In the microfinance literature, there are certain factors that are considered to have an influence on
the OSS of MFIs. The description of these factors based on the literature review is given below.
Crombrugghe et al., (2008) performed regression analysis on a data set of 42 Indian MFIs
covering the year 2003. The results of their study suggest that the financial results of the MFIs
can be improved by increasing the number of borrowers per field officer, particularly in
collective delivery models.
A major problem which is faced by the MFIs is to achieve suitable balance between their social
and commercial missions. The social mission of the MFI is to administer financial products and
services to large number of poor clients. On the other hand the commercial mission of the MFI
demands good rate of return for the investors and equity holders. Thus, MFIs have to become
financially and operationally sustainable without burdening their poor clients with high interest
rates or fees. Indian MFIs are progressively transforming from Not-for-profit to For-profit
commercial entities (which are NBFC-MFIs) in order to increase their scale and scope of their
operations.This requires them to progressively reduce their dependence on the funds from the
donors and the governmentand attract funds from the investors and financial institutions. Thus,
they need to demonstrate operationalsustainability.
NBFC-MFIs have a lions share of Indian microfinance sector and the following points highlight
this fact (Sa-Dhan, 2014).
NBFC-MFIs account for 82% of both clients outreach and outstanding portfolio.
The share of NBFC-MFIs is 85% and NGO-MFIs is 15% of the total borrowing from the
lenders.
Since NBFC-MFIs are regulated by the RBI, lenders prefer to lend money to this
category of MFIs.
Most of the studies regarding operational and financial sustainability of the MFIs have been
conducted in foreign countries. However, there are only a few studies in this area in the Indian
context particularly with regard to NBFC-MFIs. Therefore, this study regarding operational
sustainability of the NBFC-MFIs has been taken up.
To present the reasons with regard to the impact of the variables on the OSS of the six
select NBFC-MFIs.
In the present study, the required sample selection is done by selecting six MFIs which are
NBFCs and having their headquarters in AP. Credit Rating Information Services India Ltd.
(CRISIL) brought out a report in 2009 titled India Top 50 Microfinance Institutions. In this
report, it listed Indias top 50 leading MFIs based on certain parameters. Out of these top 50
MFIs,
7. Empirical Analysis
This study is based on quantitative research approach and the data analysis technique used is the
multiple regression analysis. In multiple regression analysis, OSS is taken as the dependent
variable. As discussed in the literature review, a total of eight independent variables were
considered to have an influence on the dependent variable (i.e. OSS). These eight independent
variables are Yield on Gross Loan Portfolio, Total Assets, Cost per Borrower, Gross Loan
Portfolio, Number of Active Borrowers, Age of the MFI, Debt to Equity Ratio and Average Loan
Balance per Borrower.
The next step was to determine which of theseeightindependent variables are important (i.e.,
significant) from statistical point of view, to be included in the multiple regression analysis. This
can be done through an automated procedure known as Backward Stepwise Regression,
available in the SPSS software. This automated procedure initially considers all the eight
independent variables (selected by the researcher). Then at each step (stage), some independent
variables are discarded based on their relative importance. Thus, by applying this automated
procedure, five independent variables that are finally selected are Yield on Gross Loan Portfolio
(YGLP), Total Asset (TAN), Cost per Borrower (CPB), Gross Loan Portfolio (GLP), and
Number of Active Borrowers (NAB).
Hypotheses
Thedescription of these five independent variables and their likely/hypothesised impact on the
OSS (based on the literature review) is shown in Table 2.
The data needed for the analysis is taken from the annual reports of the six select NBFC-MFIs
and also from the Microfinance Information Exchange (MIX) market database. Some
independent variables are in the form of ratios while others which are not in the form of ratios,
have been transformed into their natural logarithm. EViews version 8 and SPSS version 22
software has been used for analysis in themultiple regression technique. The numerical values of
these five independent variables and that of OSS used in the regression analysis technique is
given in Annexure A.
In the present study, the model of the multiple regression technique is expressed as:
OSSit=i + 1YGLPit + 2lnTANit + 3lnCPBit + 4lnGLPit + 5lnNABit + it
Where,
OSSit is the operational self-sufficiency ratio (a dependent variable) of microfinance i at
time t (where t = 1 to 9 are the nine years);
i is a constant term;
s measures the partial effect of independent or explanatory variables in period t for the
unit i(MFI);
it is the error term.
YGLPit, TANit, CPBit, GLPit and NABit are the explanatory/independent variables used in
the regression model.
Here, the natural logarithms of TAN, CPB, GLP and NAB have been taken in
theregressionmodel. The variables, both dependent and independent, are for cross-section unit iat
time t, where i= MFIs (1 to 6), and t = 1 to 9 expressed in years.
Initially the descriptive statistics of both the dependent and independent variables are described
in Table 3. Table 3 shows that the mean of OSS is 1.03478 (103.47%) indicating that on an
average the OSS of the MFIs is about 103%. Thus, these six select NBFC-MFIs have satisfied
the threshold operational sustainability standard of 100%(Sa-Dhan, 2003). The result of multiple
regression analysis based on Classical Linear Regression Model (CLRM) using the method of
Least Squares isshown in Table 4. The various assumptions of the CLRM with respect to the
regression results obtained in Table 4 are examined below.
i. Test of Autocorrelation: CLRM assumes that the disturbance term relating to any observation
is not influenced by the disturbance term relating to any other observation
(Gujarati, 1995). Symbolically, this can be expressed as:
E(ei, ej) = 0; ij
In other words, it is assumed that the errors are uncorrelated with one another. If the errors are
correlated with one another, it is known as autocorrelation. The most common test for
autocorrelation is the Durbin-Watson (DW) statistic. This statistic is a test for first order
autocorrelation (wherein relationship between an error and its immediately previous value is
tested).
ei2
i=1
Thus, to conduct the DW test, the Null and the Alternate hypothesis are stated as follows:
Ho: No Autocorrelation ( = 0)
Ha: Autocorrelation ( 0)
From Table 4, the value of D is found to be 1.307093. This value of D is greater than 0 but very
much less than 2. Hence, it cannot be definitely concluded about the existence or non-existence
of autocorrelation. Hence the Null hypothesis cannot be accepted and thus the CLRM has been
discarded.
Now, in order to overcome the problem of autocorrelation, the Generalized Least Squares (GLS)
method using the first-order autoregressive or AR(1) model has been used. The steps are:
DW statistic.
Y t =Y t . Y t 1
X 1 t =X 1 t . X 1( t1)
X 2 t =X 2 t . X 2(t1)
Y t = + 1 . X 1 t + 2 . X 2 t + t
Based on this, the following regression results based on Generalized Least Squares (GLS)
method using the first-order autoregressive or AR(1) model are obtained using EViews
(Table 5). From Table 5, the value of D is 1.93 which approaches 2. Hence, now there is no
autocorrelation.
ii. Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: The regression result for Breusch-Godfrey
Serial Correlation LM Test is presented in Table 6. It is found that the observed R-square value is
1.658083 and the corresponding p-value is 0.4365(43.65%). This probability (p) value is higher
than 0.05(5%) and hence the Null hypothesis cannot be rejected. Thus it can be concluded that
there is no autocorrelation.
iii. Normality Test: Following the assumption of normality, it is necessary that the disturbance
be normally distributed around the mean. The Null and Alternate hypothesis for the normality
test are stated as follows:
Ho: Normally Distributed Errors
Ha: Non-Normally Distributed Errors
The test of normality has been conducted using the Jarque-Bera test. The probability (p) value of
the Jarque-Bera normality test should be greater than 0.05 so as not to reject the null hypothesis
of normality at 5% level of significance. The p-value of the Jarque-Bera test is 0.713473
(71.35%) which is above the value of 0.05 (5%) indicating that the errors are normally
distributed. On the basis of this statistical result, the null hypothesis or normality at 5% level of
significance cannot be rejected. The output results of the Jarque-Bera test as obtained from
Eviews is shown in Figure 1.
iv. Multicollinearity Test: One of the assumptions of the CLRM is that there is no multi-
collinearity among the regressors included in the regression model (Gujarati, 1995).
The Null and Alternate hypothesis for multi-collinearity test as stated as follows:
Ho: No Multicollinearity
Ha: Multicollinearity
Table 7 presents the correlation matrix related to the dependent variable and the independent
variables. It is found that there is significant positive correlation between TAN and NAB, TAN
and GLP and between GLP and NAB. By considering Table 5, multicollinearity is not a serious
problem, when R2 is high and the regression coefficients are individually significant as revealed
by their higher t values (Gujarati, 1995).
4. Hetroscedasticity Test: One of the assumptions of the CLRM is that the variance of each
disturbance term ui, conditional on the chosen values of the explanatory variables is some
constant number equal to 2(Gujarati, 1995). This is the assumption of homoscedasticity, or
equal (homo) spread (scedasticity), that is, equal variance. Symbolically, it is expressed as:
Following are the Null and Alternate hypothesis to test for Heteroscedasticity.
Ho: No Heteroscedasticity (Homoscedastic)
Ha: Hetroscedastic
The Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey test for testing heteroscedasticity is used in this analysis. The results
of the Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey test for heteroscedasticity (as obtained from EViews) are shown
in Table 8. From Table 8, it is found that the observed R2 (R-Squared) value is 2.728274 and the
corresponding p-value is 0.7418 (74.18%) which is higher than 0.05 (5%). Hence the Null
hypothesis cannot be rejected. Thus, it can be concluded that there is no heteroscedasticity in this
GLS model.
8. Findings
ii. The p-value of the variables YGLP, TAN, CPB and NAB are less than 0.05(5%).
Hence, these variables are quite significant. Thus, four out of five independent
variables are quite significant in this regression model.
iii. The coefficient of YGLP is positive. This indicates that as YGLP increases, the OSS
of the MFI also increases and if the YGLP decreases, then the OSS also decreases (as
mentioned in the hypotheses section of Table 2).
iv. The coefficient of TAN is positive. This indicates that as the total assets of the MFI
increases, the OSS also increases (as mentioned in the hypotheses section of Table 2).
v. The coefficient of CPB is negative. This indicates that as the CPB increases, the OSS
decreases (as mentioned in the hypotheses section of Table 2).
vi. The coefficient of NAB is negative. This result is opposite to the initial hypothesis
given in Table 2. This indicates that as the number of active borrowers increases, the
OSS decreases.
i. The positive relationship between OSS and YGLP shows that revenue for the MFI in the form
of interest, fees, penalties and commission are important in runningthe day-to-day operations of
the MFI, thereby ensuring operational sustainability.
NBFC-MFIs have to take steps for increasing the YGLP by lending loans to clients after proper
screening process so as to reduce incidences of default. MFIs also need to provide training and
skill development programmes to the clients. This is necessary because most of the poor clients
may not have the requisite technical and managerial skills to run their income generating
enterprises. Only when the small enterprises of the clients become productive, the clients can
repay interest and installments of the principal in a timely manner, thereby ensuring steady
stream of revenue for the MFIs.
ii.The possible reason for the positive relationship between total assets and the OSS of the MFI is
that as the total assets (or the size of the MFIs) increases, it is able to borrow at a lower rate of
interest from the banks and financial institutions. 70% of the funding for the assets of the MFIs is
through the institutional or outside debt and 78% of the total outside debt is cornered by the
MFIs with portfolio > Rs. 500 crore (Sa-Dhan, 2011). Thus, it is found that MFIs whose assets
are large can easily obtain institutional debt (mainly from the banks) at a reduced rate of interest.
Thus, such MFIs can conveniently keep their lending rates higher than their borrowing rates and
thus increase their revenue. This will in turn help them increase the OSS percentage and become
self-sufficient. Moreover, with a large asset base, MFIs can also withstand patches of downward
trends in their businesses as witnessed during the AP microfinance crisis, 2010.
iii. The negative relationship between OSS and CPB demonstrates that the MFIs have to control
their operating costs, particularly the cost incurred in serving a borrower. The profits will
increase only when the costs are reduced. MFIs can neither charge high interest rates to their
poor clients nor demand collateral for the loans extended to them. Thus, the only option left for
them is to control their operating costs from spiraling above their revenue. The operations of the
MFIs are labour intensive. Hence, to control administrative and operating costs, MFIs have to
give proper training and incentives to their field officers so as to increase their productivity.
In addition, MFIs should take measures to prevent frauds and ensure safety of the cash collected
from the clients. This is because frauds and improper handling of cash has the potential of
increasing the cost per borrower, thereby reducing the OSS. For instance, during the financial
year 2013, there were financial frauds to the tune of Rs. 2.1 crore in SKS Microfinance Ltd.,
committed by the employees and this was mentioned in the companys annual report (Frauds to
the, 2013).
iv.The possible reason for the negative relationship between OSS and NAB is as follows. As the
gross loan portfolio of the MFIs under study increased over a number of years, the number of
active borrowers also increased. Before the advent of RBI Directions, there was no cap on the
maximum loan amount given to the clients. Also due to competition from MFIs, the clients could
easily borrow loans from more than one MFI. There were also no active credit bureaus for the
microfinance sector to authenticate the credit history of the clients. These three factors may have
contributed towards the indebtedness of large number of clients. Large number of over indebted
clientsdefaulted (culminating in the AP Microfinance crisis, 2010), thereby decreasing the OSS
of the MFIs. Thus, it is suggested that NBFC-MFIs should follow Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
guidelines with regard to the cap on the maximum loan disbursement and become members of
Credit Information Companies (CIC) to ensure that the loans are given only to genuine clients.
ii. The data used in this study has been sourced from Mix Market database and also from the
Annual reports of the companies. The data from these sources has been cross verified. However,
there may be some discrepancies in the data sources.
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S. Headquarter
Name of MFI Legal Status
No. s
1. SKS Microfinance Ltd. (SKS) Public Ltd. Company(NBFC) Secunderabad
Table 2
Variable Variable
S.No Variable Name in Description used
Description Hypotheses
. Name Regressio in the Regression
n Model Model
1. Yield on Financial Revenue YGLP Financial Hypothesis1:
Gross from Loan Revenue from Change in yield on
loan Portfolio/Average Loan gross loan
portfolio Gross Loan Portfolio/Averag
portfolio is
(Nominal Portfolio e Gross Loan directly related to
) Portfolio change in OSS.
Higher the yield
(return) from the
gross loan
portfolio, better is
the OSS of the
MFI. Hence,
expected effect is
positive (+)
2. Total Total assets of the TAN Natural logarithm Hypothesis 2:
Assets MFI of the Total Asset Change in total
assets is directly
related to change
in OSS. Higher
the total assets,
better is the OSS
of the MFI.
Hence, expected
effect is positive
(+)
3. Cost Per Operating CPB Natural logarithm Hypothesis 3:
Borrower expenses/Average of Cost Per Change in cost per
number of active Borrower borrower is
borrowers
inversely related
to the change in
OSS. Lower the
cost per borrower,
higher is the cost
efficiency and
better is the OSS
of the MFI.
Hence, expected
effect is negative
().
Table 3
Descriptive Statistics
Observations 54 54 54 54 54 54
Source:Researchers own extraction from the Eviews result
Table 4
Table 5
Regression Results GLS [AR(1) Method]
Table 6
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test
F-Statistic 0.710488
Prob. F(2,44) 0.4970
Obs*R-squared 1.658083
Prob. Chi-Square(2) 0.4365
Source: Researchers own extraction from the Eviews result
Table 7
Correlation Matrix
Table 8
F-Statistic 0.510143
Prob. F(5,47) 0.7671
Obs*R-squared 2.728274
Prob. Chi-Square(5) 0.7418
Scaled explained SS 1.702302
Prob. Chi-Square(5) 0.8886
Jarque-Bera test
10
Series: Residuals
Sample 2 54
8 Observations 53
Mean 5.23e-13
6 Median 0.012194
Maximum 0.388035
Minimum -0.460469
Std. Dev. 0.208794
4
Skewness -0.216697
Kurtosis 2.656589
2
Jarque-Bera 0.675222
Probability 0.713473
0
-0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4