Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Masanori NAMABA
Self introduction
1964:Kobe University (Business)
1974:University of Southern California,
USA (MBA)
2002: Finished Doctor course at Tokyo
University( Major: Management of
Technology)
Working experiences
Worked in industry for 36 years.
APU (Ritsumeikan Asia Pacific
University)
2002 to 2011 as professor
2006-2008 Dean of AMP & BMA
Course,
2012-now: Professor Emeritus,
Visiting professor
Table of Contents
Innovation theories Innovation is difficult, why?
Innovation Stages of Innovation and
contributes to Appropriability of
National Economic Innovation
Growth at three major
places Where has Google come
Two walls of from?
Innovation What is conception ability?
What is innovation Two Types of Innovation
Product Innovation I3 Innovation
Matrix
Trickle Up method
Innovation Process
by Schumpeter Dream Fiber
S-Shape Curve Mori Ironworks
Major Established
Companies (Primary
Economy)
National
Micro, Small, & Economic
Medium Companies Growth
(Secondary Economy)
New Companies
Innovation
Major Established
Companies (Primary
Economy)
National
Micro, Small, & Economic
Medium Companies Growth
(Secondary Economy)
New Companies
Mori
Innovation Ironworks
Table of Contents
Innovation theories Innovation is difficult, why?
Innovation Stages of Innovation and
contributes to Appropriability of
National Economic Innovation
Growth at three major
places Where has Google come
Two walls of from?
Innovation What is conception ability?
What is innovation Two Types of Innovation
Product Innovation I3 Innovation
Matrix
Trickle Up method
Innovation Process
by Schumpeter Dream Fiber
S-Shape Curve Mori Ironworks
Two Walls in Innovation
Value Capture
Value Creation
New Market
Knowledge Needs
Science / Technology Visible needs/
Invisible needs
Commercialization
Profitability
Sustainability
Continuous Innovation
Innovation based on new knowledge
Three barriers in Innovation
ATP?
B a s ic R e s e a r c h , S B IR ?
I n v e n tio n
I n n o v a t io n
V a lle y o f D e a tth
h
Lewis M. Branscomb
Harvard University
June 14, 2001 Testimony before Hearing of the Technology Subcommittee of the House Science
Committee on the Advanced Technology Program at NIST/DOC.
LMB 7/3/01
The Darwinian Sea
The Struggle of Inventions to
Become Innovations
Research &
Research & Innovation &
Innovation: new
Invention
Invention new business
business
What is Innovation?
Acts that bring new value to society
It creates new significance social
value from new ideas through
organizational activities and
leadership and brings about socially
significant changes.
You should understand the features of innovation
and organization for attaining innovation.
Field of the innovation
Everybody'sbusiness
Management of Technology
New companies
New businesses
New industries
New employment
Affluent life
Table of Contents
Innovation theories Innovation is difficult, why?
Innovation Stages of Innovation and
contributes to Appropriability of
National Economic Innovation
Growth at three major
places Where has Google come
Two walls of from?
Innovation What is conception ability?
What is innovation Two Types of Innovation
Product Innovation I3 Innovation
Matrix
Trickle Up method
Innovation Process
by Schumpeter Dream Fiber
S-Shape Curve Mori Ironworks
Classification of innovation
Low
Product Innovation Matrix
Incremental Technical
Innovation
Value added
Innovation
Application Radical
Innovation Innovation
High
Low High
V
a (1)Incremental 3)Technical
L Innovation
l Innovation
u Lens cleaner
e
a (2)Application 4Radical
H
d Innovation Innovation
d
Film with lens TV, VCR, DSC, iPhone
Example of Application Innovation
Film with lens
1987 today
Example of Technical Innovation
Structure artificial fiber
Fiber in fiber
Fiber
Toray Co.
Micro-fiber
Developed in 1970
Micro-fiber
Original target: artificial fiber for shoes:
low value
C
New Product
B
D
Existing
technology
M
Innovation ProcessExample
Telephone Technology
Computer
A iPhone
Mobile
B
Wireless Technology)
Mobile
C with DSC
Photo Technology Digital
Camera
D
Semiconductor Technology)
How Radical Innovation is created?
Steve Jobs
Visionary: Concept creator
Practitioner
Napster
Walkman 1998,
Download
from Internet
Napster
Walkman 1998,
Download
from Internet
Revenue
Net
profit
iPod
Schumpeter, J.A.
Joseph Alois Schumpeter, (1883 1950)
Key Technology
Area II
Pacing Technology
IT Key Technology
Area II
Bio Pacing Technology
Nano
Area I : Emerging Technology
Discontinuous Innovation
Digital Camera
Creative
Destruction)
Film Camera
Time
Creative Destruction)
World wide demand for film camera YR 2000=100
Peak time
Less than
/
Source: Casio
Revenue comparison between Kodak and Fuji Film
(100
million
Yen)
Fuji Film Upward
Current
Share in USA :
90%,
Employees:
Sigetaka Komori
Revenue
145,000
Bankruptcy
in 2012, Employees:
15,000
Kodak
Source: Takashi Yunokami, Kodak and Fuji Film, Electronic Journal, June 201s.
Revenue comparison between Kodak and Fuji Film
(100
million
Yen)
Fuji Film
Share in USA :
90%,
Employees:
Revenue
145,000
Bankruptcy
in 2012, Employees:
15,000
Kodak
Source: Takashi Yunokami, Kodak and Fuji Film, Electronic Journal, June 201s.
Fuji Film Leadership of Sigetaka Komori, Chairman
Change of Breakdown of Sales
2000
2007
Digital
Camera
Digital
Camera
Other Industrial
Other Industrial
Machinery and Machinery and
Materials Materials
Film related : 55% Film related : 35%
Around 1990s everybody felt that
digital camera would replace
chemical film.
However, we did not understand the
speed and timing.
The decrease of demand for
chemical film suddenly came after
2000.
In addition to building a new growth
Mr. Sigetaka strategy, we were forced to reduce
KOMORI, Chairman,
the number of staff at 5,000 people
Fuji Film
each time in 2005 and 2009.
Future curve
Growth
Stabilizing
Replication and
improving
Dying
Starting
Time
Shifting and developing
of the S-curve
Performance
Creative
Destruction iPhone
Digital Camera
Film Camera
Time
Table of Contents
Innovation theories Innovation is difficult, why?
Innovation Stages of Innovation and
contributes to Appropriability of
National Economic Innovation
Growth at three major
places Where has Google come
Two walls of from?
Innovation What is conception ability?
What is innovation Two Types of Innovation
Product Innovation I3 Innovation
Matrix
Trickle Up method
Innovation Process
by Schumpeter Dream Fiber
S-Shape Curve Mori Ironworks
Innovation is very difficult, why?
Self-denial (Kodak)
Complexity (iPhone)
Uncertainty
Uncertainty
Technology
Market
Organization
Resources
Competition
Uncertainty of Technology
No guarantee for solving
unknown factors
Success rate of new pharmacy :
1/1000
Acceleration of technology
change (product obsolescence)
Uncertainty
Technology
Market
Organization
Resources
Competition
Market
Should be accepted by
customers & society
Diversification of customer
value
Fierce competition.
Acceptance by society
RogersInnovation Diffusion Theory
# Newly Early
adopt Majority
Late majority
Early
Adopter Laggard
Innovator
Time
Revised Technology Adoption Life cycle
Chasm Theory
Early Adaptors
Early Majority Late Majority
Innovators
Laggards
Resources Executed by
Rensselaer
Polytechnic Institute,
Competition USA.
Four Uncertainties of Radical Innovation
After survey of 12 radical innovations in USA.
(1)Technology
(2)Market
(3)OrganizationStrategy, Policy, Alternation of CEO)
(4)Resource (Total resources, Allocation to a project)
Immobilization by
Controllable the internal system
SourceLeifer et al., Radical Innovation, 2001
Technology
Market Needs
Organization comprehensive way
Resources
Project
Funnel process
Generation
Front End Invasion Core Process
Project &
Business
Commercial Development
Plan
(Concurrent Engineering Core
(Stage Gate)
Process) Satisfied Customers
Product/
Process
development
Commercial
Scale up
Horizon 2
Horizon 1
Phase1 2 Phase3
Source
The Closed paradigm for Managing Industrial R&D
Source:Chesbrough,2002
Research
Project
Current Market
Goto, Nagata
Changes share (shipments) by countries in the liquid crystal display panel production
%
100
90 JP
80 Korea
70 Taiwan
60
50
40
30
20
10
1995 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
Source: M. Namba depend on Shintaku et al. Hitostubashi Review Fall , 2008.
Measures to capture Appropriability of
Innovation by Tidd, J. et al., 2001
Trade secret
Accumulated tacit knowledge
Lead time and after-sales service
Learning curve
Complementary assets
The complexity of the product
Standards
Pioneering and innovative new product
The strength of patent protection
*The independent enforcement of these means is not necessarily
effective, and those combinations are required.
Index of Strategic Profit Zone
Capability of Index Strategic Control Points Examples
Profit
Protection
Standardization(10) Microsoft
High Control of the value chain(9) Intel, Apple
A series of prominent
Coca Cola
High position (8)
Customer relation ship (7)
Vannevar Bush
1945 Vannevar Bush
proposed the concept of hypermedia
He proposed the automatic search and
editing system for data.
This system can search, edit and accumulate
the contents of a lot of description of a text
document based on "association" on the
basis of a microfiche.
The machine was named "MEMEX" (1945).
There was no computer and network which
still realizes it those days.
Source: Touru Nishigaki, Multimedia,1994
1945
http://www.mii.kurume-u.ac.jp/~smoto/edu/ala/history/f1.html
Analog way
Where has Google come from?
(MEMEX theory)
1945: Vannevar Bush; MEMEX Vision
1965: Theodor Holm Nelson: Conceptualization of
Hypertext
1968: Douglas Carl Engelbart; Demonstrated
Hypertext on computer
1989: Sir Timothy John Berners-Lee; Developed
WWW
1998: Google; Commercialization of Information
retrieval (What is not yet realized what is proposed
by Bush?)
Hypertext means " transcending the document" and linking the documents which have related contents.
http://www.tufs.ac.jp/ts/personal/yamaguci/inet_lec/lec12/98med12.html
Table of Contents
Innovation theories Innovation is difficult, why?
Innovation Stages of Innovation and
contributes to Appropriability of
National Economic Innovation
Growth at three major
places Where has Google come
Two walls of from?
Innovation What is conception ability?
What is innovation Two Types of Innovation
Product Innovation I3 Innovation
Matrix
Trickle Up method
Innovation Process
by Schumpeter Dream Fiber
S-Shape Curve Mori Ironworks
What is conception ability?
Immanuel Kant
Conception ability is the specific
ability that a genius has.
He considered conception ability
of the artists.
Conception ability is composed by
Pathos and Logos.
(1724-1804)
Immanuel Kant
Mozart,
Conception ability is the
Beethoven)
specific ability that a genius has.
He considered conception ability of
the artists.
Conception ability is composed by
Pathos and Logos. staff
correc
voice from heaven,
enlightenment notation tion
(1897~1945)
Kiyoshi Miki
Expanded Kants concept to
technology area.
Kiyoshi Miki
Expanded Kants concept to
technology area.
Copernicus
Technologist realizes his idea / concept
subject toconversion
natural law.
Concept ability is a genius ability that a
common person has. (1939)
Conception Ability
Concept ability is a
Ability of Genius genius ability that a
common person has.
Conception Ability
1. Pathos Imagination
Vision
Conceiving
2.Logos Concept
1. Pathos Imagination
Vision
Conceiving
2.Logos Concept
(Source: M. Namba
(Logos; Logic, Natural Law)
Logical, Concrete,
Practical, Substantial
(Source: Prepared by M. Namba depend on K. Miki, The logic of
Conception, 1939.
Brain Science
Recent brain science also asserts a
similar facts.
EKant
Zen
Kritik der reinen
Vernunft(Critique of Pure Nishida Kitaro
Reason) (1781) An Inquiry Into
the Good, 1911
Kiyoshi Miki
The logic of Conception , 1939
Source: M. Namba
Ration of Pathos and Logos
Logos
Pathos
Conception Development Commercialization
Table of Contents
Innovation theories Innovation is difficult, why?
Innovation Stages of Innovation and
contributes to Appropriability of
National Economic Innovation
Growth at three major
places Where has Google come
Two walls of from?
Innovation What is conception ability?
What is innovation Two Types of Innovation
Product Innovation I3 Innovation
Matrix
Trickle Up method
Innovation Process
by Schumpeter Dream Fiber
S-Shape Curve Mori Ironworks
Two types of innovation
Develop- Commer -
Concept ment cialization
Develop- Commer -
Concept ment cialization
Imitation
Improvement
Innovation
Source: K. Seno
Other style of innovation
3
I innovation
Imitation
Improvement
Innovation
This method is very common.
Source: K. Seno
17~19
Century
Karakuri
wind-up doll
Automata
Karakuri doll
Origin of Karakuri
658
China: Mechanism
1620
Compass
vehicle Japan
Karakuri
Europe: Power spring
For entertainment
Watch
Precision gear
17 century
Zhou
770221) Japan
Compass Mechanism,
vehicle Gear
Technology
Point to the
658
south all the
time
A.D.
Guest Host
Present Day Application
The Karakuri tradition
continues to influence the
Japanese view of robots.
Various Karakuri
Archery shooting boy
arrows
1820s
2M
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9bvyOgeJcjk
Made by Tanaka Hisasige,
Karakuri Craftsman, at the end of EDO era.
Imitation
1853, The first model steam engine in Japan
1855, Demonstration
Imitation
1902: The first homemade
Steam Engine.
Dead copy of A8 made in UK.
Improvement
1919: Original homemade Steam Engine; C51
1964: Shinkansen
Innovation
1981: TVG
1867-1930
The founder of the Toyota, was a
Karakuri Master.
1890 Wooden Manpowered loom
Imitation
Made by
Sakichi
Toyoda
1896 Steam-powed loom
Improvement
1924 Non stop automatic loom WW #1
Innovation
1929 Toyota Industries Corp.
Toyota Kiichiro
1929: Toyota Industries Corp. sold patent of
Non stop automatic loom to Plat corp. UK
by 1,000 million yen (present value:10
million US$).
Given to 5100 employees as bonus.
1933: Set up Auto Mobile Co.
1933 Imitation
1935 Improvement
1995 Hybrid Car
Innovation
Carbon fiber
Epoxy resin
History of Carbon-fiber
Others Toray(Japan)
Teijin (Japan)
SGL Group (Germany) Mitsubishi Rayon (Japan)
Source: Nikkei Shinbun, Production Basis
Passion
President to president:
long race
Logos
Advanced
artificial blood
vessel
Mr. Sekiyama
Expected Applications
Parts for automobile
The car which does not hurt a person even if
it hits a person
Medical uses
Thread of the operation to be able to sew the
minute blood vessel and nerve
Demand 1981
in Japan
Tire
Production