Professional Documents
Culture Documents
on
Submitted by
MD Amir
Admission No.
14GSOB101191
SUBMITTED TO
DR. M C RASHID
Acknowledgement
This project work, which is my first step in professionalism, has been
successfully accomplished only because of timely support of my wellwishers. I would like to pay my sincere regards to those, who directed
me at every step in my project work. First of all . I would like to express
my thanks to GALGOTIAS UNIVERSITY for giving me such a
wonderful opportunity to widen the horizons of my knowledge. I extend
my thanks to my project guide Prof. M.C. Rashid for his scholarly
guidance, constant supervision and encouragement. It is due to his
personal interest and initiative that the project work is published in the
present form. last but not the least, I would also like thank all the staff
members of GALGOTIAS UNIVERSITY, friends and parents who have
directly or indirectly contributed in this project a success, it is a tribute
for their valuation. Despite all efforts I have no doubt that error and
obscurities remain that seen to afflict a working project for which I am
capable.
MD. Amir
ADMSN. NO. : - 14GSOB101191
Certificate of Approval
The following Summer Internship Project Report titled "ANALYSIS OF
STOCK MARKET FOR INVESTORS At Birla Sun Life Insurance Pvt.
Ltd. is hereby approved as a certified study in management carried out
and presented in at manner satisfactory to warrant its acceptance as a
prerequisite lbr the award of Bachelor of Management Studies for which
it has been submitted. It is understood that by this approval the
undersigned do not necessarily endorse or approve any statement made,
opinion expressed or conclusion drawn therein but approve the Summer
Internship Project Report only for the purpose it is submitted to the
Summer Internship Project Report Examination Committee for
evaluation of Summer Internship Project Report
1. Faculty Mentor: Dr. M.C. Rashid
2. Industry Mentor: - Mr. lqbal Singh Bansal
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Why should I put my hard earned money into shares when I am not sure of a
return?
If there is a science to investing then why do we call investing a risk? And if its not a risk, then
why do people end up losing money from their investment in shares?
In this project report I have tried to answer the questions, you might have about investing in
shares. When is investing in shares a risk and when does it become a science? How can you be
assured that your investment in shares is safe?
And most importantly, I have tried to explain some basic concepts that most investors take for
granted but thats a crucial knowledge for a person just entering into the financial jungle.
I hope that the project report shall succeed in satisfying desire for knowledge of the share market
as well as in lending investor a helping hand as they take their FIRST STEP into the world of
investing.
Main purpose of investment is return and liquidity, share market is less preferred by investors
due to lack of awareness. The major findings of this study are that people are interested to invest
in stock market but they lack knowledge
INDEX
1. Company Profile
1.3 Values
10
1.4 Awards
11
1.5 Future
12
13
2. Internship Profile
14
14
15
15
16
3. Key Observation
17
18
5.Research Methodology
19
19
28
35
CONCLUSION
50
RECOMMENDATIONS
52
BIBLIOGRAPHY
54
QUESTIONAIRE
55
Chapter-1
1.2 VISION
To be a leader and role model in a broad based and integrated financial services business.
MISSION
To help people mitigate risks of life, accident, health, and money at all stages and under all
circumstances.
Enhance the financial future of our customers including enterprises.
1.3 VALUES
Integrity
Commitment
Passion
Seamlessness
Speed
A US $28 billion corporation, the Aditya Birla Group is in the league of Fortune 500
1.4 AWARDS
At Birla Sun Life Insurance, winning is a way of life. Our innovative solutions and customerfriendly services have been admired, appreciated and rewarded by customers and the industry at
large.
Outlook Money Awards 2004 BSLI - Best Life Insurer (Runner Up) 2004 TROPHY
The 8th Asia Insurance Industry Awards 2004 - Birla Sun Life Insurance was among the top
five nominees in the category.
The Indo-Canadian Business Chamber- BSLI awarded for its 'Successful Performance' for 4
years April 2005.
Birla Sun Life Insurance was presented 'The Hewitt Best Employers In India Awards 2004'
Trophy.
Birla Sun Life Insurance was awarded 'The Great Place to Work Seminar Series 2007
Presented by Anil Sachdev (Chairman & MD of Grow Talent Company Ltd) Robert
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Levering (Co-founder Great Place to Work Institute) and Jehangir Pocha (Business World
Magazine).
1.5 FUTURE
BUSINESS CONTINUITY PLAN
Birla Sun Life Insurance is one of the few Indian companies to have a fully operational
Business Continuity Plan (BCP) to ensure minimal impact to the tabilizatio, its people, and most
importantly, its customers. Our Business Continuity Planning (BCP) Program is a response plan
which would ensure that in the event of a disaster we would be able to restore and recover
operations for critical processes within a predetermined time after the disaster.
11
To have a planned response in the event of any contingency ensuring recovery of critical
activities at agreed levels within agreed timeframe thereby complying with various regulatory
requirements and minimizing the potential business impact to BSLI. Additionally to create a
system that fosters continuous improvement of business continuity management
Ensuring that we adhere to our clients, contractual, legal & regulatory requirements.
PROGRAMME OVERVIEW
As part of our Business Continuity Plan, we have a documented crisis response and recovery
procedure for quick response and tabilization of the situation, and a business continuity
procedure to ensure recovery.
Assurance to customers that they will continue to receive optimum customer services at all
times
1.6
OUR COMMITMENT
The activities set forth above may evolve as business and regulatory needs
require.
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Chapter-2
Internship Profile
2.1 PROJECT DETAILS
This study suggests that people are reluctant while investing in stock market
due to lack of knowledge
This is the project on the analyzing of equities to invest the money to future for get higher return
on investment. This project report to all investor who want to invest their money in equities. But
they should analysis the securities before to invest because the money has very much value in
our life...
I choose this project to do because I want to analysis the equities for investor point of view so
they can get good return in future, by using fundamental and technical analysis of securities and
try to understand the movement and performance of stocks and also try to know the factors that
affect the movement of stock prices in the Indian stock market.
14
Through this project we were also able to understand, what are the companies positive and strong
points, on the basis of which we come to know what, can be the basis of pitching to a potential
client.
15
2.3 Objective:
The main objective of this project to understand that proper analysis of a company minimizes the
risk of losing money in stock market of any investor.
The other objective is to make people aware that other than cash market there is future and
option which is well known as derivative market to invest. In this they can earn profit even if
they are in loss in cash market.
Scope:
The scope of project is limited to Understanding the basics of Fundamental analysis and
Technical analysis and apply it to take a decision of investing in Cement and Steel Stocks and
F&O strategies for the same.
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2.4 Assumptions:
This project is prepared on the assumption that most of the investment in stock market is done by
the brokers and not by the common man and on the other hand there are many people who want
to invest in stock market but fears as they think that it is luck game which is not totally true and
this might change their way of thinking.
Limitations:
The project has been limited to investment analysis of cement and steel only.
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CHAPTER- 3
Key Observation
90 people saying that investment in insurance sector is good option and 10 are
saying no.
40 people have BSLI policies and 60 have of LIC.
10 people of BSLI have Whole life plan, 4 have retirement plan, 22 have
children plan, 4 have health plan.
56 people are saying that investment in LIC is better than BSLI, 44 are
sayinginvestment in BSLI is better.
Most of the people of both LIC and BSLI are getting rate of interest 8-12%
Most of the people invest due to high interest of the policy in BSLI
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CHAPTER-4
LEARNING & VALUE ADDITION
Our training was a very enriching experience for me, I have learnt so many things, I got sight
into the insurance world. Insurance role in everyone's life lot more than ever before,
currently there is a comprehensive range of products covering each type of policy available in
the market.
We have studied various insurance plans covered under BSLI, and their features. BSLI also
gives various Riders, which provides extra benefits to the customers. And we came to know
about the pioneering features of BSLI, like sales procedure, etc.
While most insurance plans block money for certain period of time, a BSLI plan gives the
double benefit of life insurance along with easy liquidity through lump sum cash. Birla Sun
Life Insurance (BSLI), one of the largest private life insurers, is gearing itself to take advantage
of the vast moral opportunity that has opened up as a result of the revised definition of rural
areas by the IRDA.
Over the last four years, BSLI has painstakingly built its rural infrastructure to create a costeffective distribution network across the country. Our training gave us corporate exposure,
and helped in improving our communication skills. We learnt to deal with customers, we
made them aware about various plans, and their respective features, even helped them to
select the best plan as per their requirements.
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CHAPTER-5
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
While making a study we very often look for what type of research methodology
is to be used in this type of study. For implementation of a proper research
methodology we have to first understand the meaning of research. Research is a
process with the help of which new concepts arises. It is the increase in the actual
knowledge stock. It can be called as movement from known to unknown and viceversa. It is also a continuous process. It is a scientific as well as systematic process,
which includes defining and redefining the problem to develop hypothesis, to
collect and define the information/data, to analysis the information and bring out
the
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1.Primary data: This is those, which are collected afresh and for the first Time, and thus happen to
be original in character. There are many ways of data collection of primary data
like observation method, interview method, through schedules, pantry Reports,
distributors audit, consumer panel etc. The Team Managers and employees of
both the Department were consulted to get information about procedure of both
the online and off line share trading. But the method used by us for the primary
data collection was through questionnaires.
Questionnaire method
For the collection of primary data I used questionnaire method. A formal list of
questions, which are to be asked, is prepared in a questionnaire and questions are
asked on those bases. There are some merits and demerits of this method. These
as under: -Merits: -1. Low cost even when universe is large.2. It is free from bias
of interviewer.3. Respondents have proper
time to answer.4. Respondents who are not easily approachable can also be
reachable.5. Large samples can be made.
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2. Secondary data: These are those data, which are not collected afresh and are used earlier also and
thus they cannot be considered as original in character. There are many ways of
data collection of secondary data like publications of the state and central govt.,
reports prepared by researchers, reports of various associations connected with
business, Industries, banks etc. And the method, which was used by us, was with
the help of reports of the company.
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CEMENT
INTRODUCTION:
The Indian cement industry with a total capacity of about 200 m tones (MT) in FY15 is the
second largest market after China. Although consolidation has taken place in the Indian cement
industry with the top five players controlling almost 60% of the capacity, the balance capacity
still remains pretty fragmented.
Despite the fact that the Indian cement industry has clocked production of more than 100 MT for
the last five years, registering a growth of nearly 9% to 10%, the per capita consumption of
around 134 kgs compares poorly with the world average of over 263 kgs, and more than 950 kgs
in China. This, more than anything, underlines the tremendous scope for growth in the Indian
cement industry in the long term.
Cement, being a bulk commodity, is a freight intensive industry and transporting cement over
long distances can prove to be uneconomical. This has resulted in cement being largely a
regional play with the industry divided into five main regions viz. north, south, west, east and the
central region. While the southern region always had excess capacity in the past owing to
abundant availability of limestone, the western and northern regions are the most lucrative
markets on account of higher income levels. However, with capacity addition taking place at a
slower rate as compared to growth in demand, recently the demand supply parity had also been
restored to some extent in the Southern region. Considering the pace at which infrastructural
activity is taking place in different regions, the players have lined up expansion plans
accordingly.
Given the high potential for growth, quite a few foreign transnationals have been eyeing the
Indian markets and are planning to acquire domestic companies. Already, while companies like
Lafarge, Heidelberg and Italicementi have made a couple of acquisitions, Holcim has acquired
stake in domestic companies Ambuja Cements and ACC and has increased its stake gradually to
23
gain full control. After acquiring stake in big companies, transnationals eyed median capacity
producers. Italcementi acquired 100% stake in Zuari Cement and 95% stake in Shree Vishnu.
Cimpor, the Portuguese cement manufacturer, acquired Grasims stake (53.63%) in Shree Dig
Vijay. However, it must be noted that the transnationals will find the going tough since cement
is a game of volumes and with the median capacity of fragmented players, the transnationals
will have to acquire capacities piecemeal and this route is fraught with a lot of uncertainties. The
global players put together account of quarter share of the domestic market. Further, turning
around few of the companies at a time when the cycle is at its peak would be a difficult task.
Considering the long term growth story, fair valuations, fragmented structure of the industry and
low gearing, an another wave of consolidation would not come as a surprise.
KEY POINTS :
Supply: - The demand-supply situation is tightly balanced with the latter being marginally
higher than the former
Demand: - Housing sector acts as the principal growth driver for cement. However, in recent
times, industrial and infrastructure sector have also emerged as demand drivers for cement.
Barriers to entry: - High capital costs and long gestation periods. Access to limestone reserves
(principal raw material for the manufacture of cement) also acts as a significant entry barrier.
Bargaining power of suppliers: - Licensing of coal and limestone reserves, supply of power
from the state grid and availability of railways for transport are all controlled by a single entity,
which is the government. However, nowadays producers are relying more on captive power, but
the shortage of coal and volatile fuel prices remain a concern.
Bargaining power of customers: - Cement is a commodity business and sales volumes mostly
depend upon the distribution reach of the company. However, things are changing and few
brands have started commanding a premium on account of better quality perception.
24
Competition: - Due to large number of players in the industry and very little brand
differentiation to speak of, the competition is intense with players resorting to expanding reach
and achieving pan India presence.
PROSPECTS:
The industry is likely to maintain its growth momentum and continue growing at around 8% to
9% in the medium to long term. Government initiatives in the infrastructure sector and the
housing sector are likely to be the main drivers of growth for the industry.
In the recent past, demand has surpassed supply, resulting in healthy cement prices across the
country. However, this scenario is likely to reverse as the industry has lined up huge capacity
expansion plans. With the growth in the sector and waning demand supply gap, cement
producers have lined up capacity expansion plans either by brown field or green filed expansion
route. The fresh capacities announced till date will add up 60 MT to the existing capacity (200
MT), and are expected to go on stream by FY16. As the capacities become operational, which
has started taking place, supply may once again outstrip demand putting downward pressure on
margins, having said that, temporary relief may be provided if there are delays in any of the
proposed expansion plans.
While infrastructure spending has been a boon, there was also a strong cushion from the steady
growth of the construction sector (read housing). However, recently the demand has slowed
down as real estate and construction activities in the urban areas have taken a back seat with
economic slowdown. The importance of the housing sector in cement demand can be gauged
from the fact that it consumes almost 60%-70% of the countrys cement. If this support wanes, it
would impact the growth in consumption of cement, leading to demand supply mismatch. Also,
the hike in prices of coal and petroleum products could impact cement companies margins.
In the budget, while the government refrained from cutting lowering the burden of taxes and
duties on cement, it imposed customs duty of 7.5% on RMC cement. Imposition of 7.5%
customs duty on concrete batching plants is likely to negatively impact the ready mix concrete
manufacturers. However, it wont have a severe impact as RMC constitutes not more than 5% of
total cement consumption. The government has increased budgetary allocation for roads under
NHDP. Further, with more incentives being spelled out for the infrastructure and housing sector,
cement manufacturers will continue to benefit. The budget measures such as increasing excise
duties have proved to be futile and in the future too, we believe that it is the market dynamics
that will determine these variables.
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Good agricultural income has supported demand for the commodity despite slowdown in real
estate sector. Going forward, we believe the governments initiatives in the infrastructure and
housing sectors are likely to be the main drivers of growth for the industry in the long run.
STEEL
INTRODUCTION
India is currently the fifth largest steel-producing nation in the world with production of over 54
million tons (MT). However, it has a very low per capita consumption of steel of around 46 kgs
as against an average of 198 kgs of the world. This wide gap in relative steel consumption
indicates that the potential ahead for India to raise its steel consumption is high.
Being a core sector, steel industry tracks the overall economic growth in the long term. Also,
steel demand, being derived from other sectors like automobiles, consumer durables and
infrastructure, its fortune is dependent on the growth of these user industries.
The Indian steel sector enjoys advantages of domestic availability of raw materials and cheap
labour. Iron ore is also available in abundant quantities. This provides major cost advantage to
the domestic steel industry, with companies like Tata Steel being one of the lowest cost
producers in the world.
However, Indian steel companies have to bear additional costs pertaining to capital equipment,
power and inefficiencies (low per employee productivity). This has resulted in the erosion of the
edge they would have otherwise enjoyed due to availability of cheap labour and raw materials.
The government reinstated basic customs duty on steel imports in order to protect India from
dumping of cheap steel products. It has also provided series of benefits to auto, housing and real
estate sector in order to counter the slowdown in the economy.
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KEY POINTS
Supply: - With trade barriers having been lowered over the years, imports play an important role
in the domestic markets.
Demand: - The demand is derived from sectors that include infrastructure, consumer durables
and automobiles.
Barriers to entry: - High capital costs, technology.
Bargaining power of suppliers: - The governments move on railway freight costs and grid
power costs would determine the final price of the metal.
Bargaining power of customers: - High, presence of a large number of suppliers and access to
global markets.
Competition: - High, presence of a large number of players in the unorganized sector.
FINANCIAL YEAR 15
The steel sector witnessed a mixed performance in FY15 wherein during the first half it
experienced an extraordinary spurt in demand backed by expansion of key consumer sectors.
However, the second half experienced a significant demand contraction on account of the global
financial crisis. Thus overall, Indias crude steel production grew by 1.2%YoY to 54.5 MT. The
global steel industry continued to reel under the recessionary trends in the developed economies;
domestic steel demand remained less affected, mainly steered by growth in semi urban and rural
areas. Also, the various monetary and fiscal packages announced by the government helped the
domestic steel industry to counter the slowdown and thus the demand started reviving upwards
from the fourth quarter onwards.
Domestic steel prices and international steel prices experienced a divergent trend in FY15. While
during the first half, international prices touched an all time high levels backed by robust
demand, the second half witnessed more than 50% fall in the prices on account of significant
contraction in demand due to the global credit crisis. Raw material prices like iron ore and
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coking coal also experienced a similar trend. It may be noted that most of the domestic steel
players entered into an annual contract for coking coal in June-July 2015 when prices were at
their peak. Hence the industry experienced a severe pressure on the margins.
PROSPECTS
As per the World Steel Associations forecasts, global steel consumption is projected to decline
by around 14.9% in 2015 led by US (-36.6%), Europe (-28.8%), CIS (-23.7%) and Japan (20.4%). Also, the worlds largest steel producer China is projected to experience a decline of 5%
in steel usage. However, India is the only country that is projected to witness a growth of around
2% in 2015. The global steel industry is expected to recover in 2016 on the back of government
stimulation packages, the continued stabilisation of financial systems and a return of consumer
confidence.
Also, the domestic steel sector may face threat from cheap imports, now that the import duties on
steel in India being amongst the lowest in the world. Import pressures could consequently lead to
pressure on margins of the domestic companies on account of lower steel realisations. However,
if the Indian government increases the import duty on steel products, domestic steel industry
could get protection to an extent. But since India has already agreed to the WTO norms, it might
become difficult for the government to increase duties substantially.
Going forward, we remain apprehensive about the continuation of the strong performance by
steel companies. We believe that volume growth would be visible in the years to come, largely
due to the continuation of infrastructure spending (including housing), strong demand from the
auto sector, which could help in driving demand for value added steel products like CR (cold
roll) steel and exports. We expect realisations to remain under pressure on account of excessive
supplies. However, a recovery in steel prices could be sooner if steel producers across the globe
take continuous efforts at curtailing production.
The government over the last couple of years has continued to lay emphasis on continuation of
infrastructure activities in the country. Increased spending on infrastructure will be a key positive
for the steel sector as the demand for steel will get a boost. The continuance of tax sops to the
housing sector is another positive for steel demand.
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30
To conduct a company stock valuation and predict its probable price evolution.
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PROCEDURES
The analysis of a business' health starts with financial statement analysis that includes ratios. It
looks at dividends paid, operating cash flow, new equity issues and capital financing. The
earnings estimates and growth rate projections published widely by Thomson Reuters and others
can be considered either 'fundamental' (they are facts) or 'technical' (they are investor sentiment)
based on your perception of their validity.
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The determined growth rates (of income and cash) and risk levels (to determine the discount
rate) are used in various valuation models. The foremost is the discounted cash flow model,
which calculates the present value of the future
Dividends received by the investor, along with the eventual sale price.
The amount of debt is also a major consideration in determining a company's health. It can be
quickly assessed using the debt to equity ratio and the current ratio (current assets/current
liabilities).
The simple model commonly used is the Price/Earnings ratio. Implicit in this model of a
perpetual annuity (Time value of money) is that the 'flip' of the P/E is the discount rate
appropriate to the risk of the business. The multiple accepted is adjusted for expected growth
(that is not built into the model).
Growth estimates are incorporated into the PEG ratio but the math does not hold up to
analysis.[neutrality is disputed] Its validity depends on the length of time you think the growth
will continue.
Computer modeling of stock prices has now replaced much of the subjective interpretation of
fundamental data (along with technical data) in the industry. Since year 2000, with the power of
computers to crunch vast quantities of data, a new career has been invented. At some funds
(called Quant Funds) the manager's decisions have been replaced by proprietary mathematical
models.
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AMBUJA UltraTech
Comment
(861.40)
(117.25)
(933.20)
Attribute
Value
Value
Value
PE ratio
10.07
14.78
11.04
EPS (Rs)
85.49
87.82
Stock turnover
ratio
25.22
36.80
22.89
7.57
8.84
6.04
31.43
7.45
26.7
18.83
27.13
Dividend Payout
ratio (in crore)
Return on
average equity
Conclusion
In cement sector it is very hard to say which is a good stock because there is very close
difference between UltraTech and ACC so just by looking at the PE ratio I will suggest to go for
ACC rather Ultra Tech.
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TATA
JINDAL
(195.80)
(490.05 )
(643.05)
Attribute
Value
Value
Value
PE ratio
12.15
8.87
43.17
EPS (Rs)
16.35
56.87
15.89
Comment
Stock turnover
ratio
5.86
9.36
9.08
Price to sale
ratio
Dividend Payout
ratio (in crores)
Return on
average equity
6.08
5.92
6.04
20.32
27.15
5.5
22.06
21.1
28.38
CONCLUSION
Fundamental analysis clearly suggest that if we are thinking of investing in steel sector then
TATA Steel is the best stock to buy at this point.
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FORMULAS
1.
Trailing EPS last years numbers and the only actual EPS
2.
The P/E gives you an idea of what the market is willing to pay for the companys earnings. The
higher the P/E the more the market is willing to pay for the companys earnings. Some
investors read a high P/E as an overpriced stock and that may be the case, however it can also
indicate the market has high hopes for this stocks future and has bid up the price.
Conversely, a low P/E may indicate a vote of no confidence by the market or it could mean
this is a sleeper that the market has overlooked. Known as value stocks, many investors made
their fortunes spotting these diamonds in the rough before the rest of the market discovered
their true worth.
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3.
Much like P/E, the P/S number reflects the value placed on sales by the market. The lower the
P/S, the better the value, at least thats the conventional wisdom.
4.
Companies that pay higher dividends may be in mature industries where there is little room for
growth and paying higher dividends is the best use of profits (utilities used to fall into this
group, although in recent years many of them have been diversifying).
The payout ratio and the retained earning ratio are the indicators of the amount of earnings that
have been ploughed back in the business. The lower the payout ratio, the higher will be the
amount of earnings ploughed back in the business and vice versa. A lower payout ratio or
higher retained earnings ratio means a stronger financial position of the company.
5.
It is one measure of how efficiently a company uses its assets to produce earnings. You
calculate ROE by dividing Net Income by Book Value. A healthy company may produce an
ROE in the 13% to 15% range. Like all metrics, compare companies in the same industry to
get a better picture.
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Technical analysts also extensively use indicators, which are typically mathematical
transformations of price or volume. These indicators are used to help determine whether an asset
is trending, and if it is, its price direction. Technicians also look for relationships between prices,
volume and, in the case of futures, open interest. Examples include the relative strength index,
and MACD. Other avenues of study include correlations between changes in options (implied
volatility) and put/call ratios with price. Other technicians include sentiment indicators, such as
Put/Call ratios and Implied Volatility in their analysis.
Technicians seek to forecast price movements such that large gains from successful trades
exceed more numerous but smaller losing trades, producing positive returns in the long run
through proper risk control and money management.
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CHARACTERISTICS
Technical analysis employs models and trading rules based on price and volume transformations,
such as the relative strength index, moving averages, regressions, inter-market and intra-market
price correlations, cycles or, classically, through recognition of chart patterns.
Technical analysis stands in contrast to the fundamental analysis approach to security and stock
analysis. Technical analysis "ignores" the actual nature of the company, market, currency or
commodity and is based solely on "the charts," that is to say price and volume information,
whereas fundamental analysis does look at the actual facts of the company, market, currency or
commodity. For example, any large brokerage, trading group, or financial institution will
typically have both a technical analysis and fundamental analysis team.
PRINCIPLES
Technicians say that a market's price reflects all relevant information, so their analysis looks at
the history of a security's trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic,
fundamental and news events. Price action also tends to repeat itself because investors
collectively tend toward patterned behavior hence technicians' focus on identifiable trends and
conditions.
The field of technical analysis is based on three assumptions:
need to actually consider these factors separately. This only leaves the analysis of price
movement, which technical theory views as a product of the supply and demand for a particular
stock in the market.
1. Types of charts
OHLC "Bar Charts" Open-High-Low-Close charts, also known as bar charts, plot the
span between the high and low prices of a trading period as a vertical line segment at the
trading time, and the open and close prices with horizontal tick marks on the range line,
usually a tick to the left for the open price and a tick to the right for the closing price.
Candlestick chart Of Japanese origin and similar to OHLC, candlesticks widen and fill
the interval between the open and close prices to emphasize the open/close relationship. In the
West, often black or red candle bodies represent a close lower than the open, while white,
green or blue candles represent a close higher than the open price.
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Line chart Connects the closing price values with line segments.
Point and figure chart a chart type employing numerical filters with only passing
references to time, and which ignores time entirely in its construction.
2. Concepts
Resistance a price level which acts as a ceiling above prices
Support a price level which acts as a floor below prices
Breakout the concept whereby prices forcefully penetrate an area of prior support or
resistance, usually, but not always, accompanied by an increase in volume.
Trending the phenomenon by which price movement tends to persist in one direction for
an extended period of time
Average true range averaged daily trading range, adjusted for price gaps
Chart pattern distinctive pattern created by the movement of security prices on a chart
Momentum the rate of price change
Point and figure analysis a priced-based analytical approach employing numerical filters
which may incorporate time references, though ignores time entirely in its construction.
3. Overlays
Overlays are generally superimposed over the main price chart.
Resistance an area that brings on increased selling
Support an area that brings on increased buying
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5. Volume-based indicators
Accumulation/distribution index based on the close within the day's range
Money Flow the amount of stock traded on days the price went up
On-balance volume the momentum of buying and selling stocks
PAC charts two-dimensional method for charting volume by price level
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In this chart we can observe that there is a resistance and support at approx 111 and 95 resp. this
means mainly the stock moves between this if it crosses either resistance or support there is
profit or loss resp.
The other indicators used are trend line and moving average of 200days. When this both are
combined together gives a clear picture when to sell or buy the stock. Once the senses cuts the
trend line it gives us the indication that its time to sell the stock and the confirmation of it is
given by the moving average indicator.
At present the Ambuja stock have just completed the round bottom shape which indicates that
there is an up going trend coming and it also crossed the resistance line.
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2. ACC
ACC stock shows almost same pattern as Ambuja it is just that it is valued more than Ambuja. It
has resistance level around 850 and support level at 770. And we can see that it has also just
completed a round bottom shape but it is not clear whether the stock will have an up trend or
down trend so we should wait for some more time before investing.
We can see that there is an upward trend between 09 and 10 and once it cutted the trend line we
would have sell the stock and buyed it back while it cuts the moving average line while its way
back up.
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3. ULTRATECH
As compared to other cement stocks UltraTech has same resistance and support ie at around 32.
In this chart we can see a new pattern that is head and shoulder ie a high peak with to small peak
on either side of it.
This is one of the most popular and reliable chart patterns in technical analysis. Head and
shoulders is a reversal chart pattern that when formed, signals that the security is likely to move
against the previous trend.
In the above fig we can see we can see after the head and shoulder pattern there is a steep fall in
stock.
CONCLUSION
Technical analysis suggest that both ACC and Ambuja are good stock to buy as it as just
completed a round shape pattern which indicates that there is trnd change in upward direction.
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Sail is one of the top steel company in India. As we can see it has a similar resistance and
support level at around 195. In this chart we can also find the double top pattern
This chart pattern is another well-known pattern that signals a trend reversal - it is considered to
be one of the most reliable and is commonly used. These patterns are formed after a sustained
trend and signal to chartists that the trend is about to reverse. The pattern is created when a price
movement tests support or resistance levels twice and is unable to break through. This pattern is
often used to signal intermediate and long-term trend reversals.
At present we can see from chart that it is not clear whether the stock will rise or fall so it will be
hard to predict.
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2. TATA STEEL
Tata Steel technical chart is a very volatile chart as we can see. There are many patterns in it.
The resistance and support of this chart is at around 580 and 460 respectively. It has a double top
after which there is a trend change which is just before the February month of 2010. The new
pattern seen here is cup and handle pattern just before the 2009.
A cup and handle chart is a bullish continuation pattern in which the upward trend has paused
but will continue in an upward direction once the pattern is confirmed.
Present scenario of Tata Steel stock is similar to Sail where it is not clear whether the stock will
rise or fall so it will be hard to predict.
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3. JINDAL STEEL
JINDAL STEEL
Unlike other steel company Jindal shows a uniform pattern it is moving between the support and
resistance which is at 610 and 710 respectively.
At present it has just shown a round shape curve and now the trend is changing slowly.
CONCLUSION
Technical Analysis suggests that Tata steel is good stock among the three companies as it has
just completed a reverse head and shoulder pattern which indicates there is trend change soon.
RECOMMENDATION
From the above done analysis, it can be concluded that both Fundamental and Technical
Analysis suggests that amongst the Cement Sector, ACC should be bought and from Steel sector,
it is wise to buy Tata Steel stock at this point of time.
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the stock's market price rises to its "correct" value. This type of investing is called value
investing and assumes that the short-term market is wrong, but that the price of a particular stock
will correct itself over the long run. This "long run" can represent a timeframe of as long as
several years, in some cases.
Furthermore, the numbers that a fundamentalist analyzes are only released over long periods of
time. Financial statements are filed quarterly and changes in earnings per share don't emerge on a
daily basis like price and volume information. Also remember that fundamentals are the actual
characteristics of a business. New management can't implement sweeping changes overnight and
it takes time to create new products, marketing campaigns, supply chains, etc. Part of the reason
that fundamental analysts use a long-term timeframe, therefore, is because the data they use to
analyze a stock is generated much more slowly than the price and volume data used by technical
analysts.
Alternatively, some technical traders might look at fundamentals to add strength to a technical
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signal. For example, if a sell signal is given through technical patterns and indicators, a technical
trader might look to reaffirm his or her decision by looking at some key fundamental data.
Oftentimes, having both the fundamentals and technicals on your side can provide the best-case
scenario for a trade.
While mixing some of the components of technical and fundamental analysis is not well received
by the most devoted groups in each school, there are certainly benefits to at least understanding
both schools of thought.
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CHAPTER- 6
CONCLUSION
52
After reading this report, one can learn the basics of FUNDAMENTAL and TECHNICAL
ANALYSIS, and he will get complete knowledge of the factors he should consider before
investing in STOCK MARKET.
In conclusion, neither fundamental analysis nor technical analysis is more superior than each
other. Both have their merits and should be used at the right times.
If you are investing for the long-term, the fundamentals analysis plays a more important role in
determining the type of industry and company you choose. The technical side analysis plays a
more important role when deciding the entry and exit points of your investments.
If you are a speculator, then all you are concerned with is the short-term, hence the technical
charts.
From this report we can conclude that by doing proper analysis of the stock and then investing
in it would minimize the risk involved in losing money in stocks.
After all this analysis an investor can lose money because at last the market behavior i.e. whether
it is bullish or bearish depends on the buying and selling of the stocks.
At the end I want to conclude this project again by saying this that by doing this analysis we
would reduce risk in stock market it does not guarantee us that we will not lose money.
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CHAPTER- 7
RECOMMENDATION
54
As per my recommendation I will suggest peoples should invest in stock market after studing the
market, as it will be a secondary source of income along with their primary income. While
investing every investor must have a diversified portfolio so that he get good returns.
Stock market is place where we can earn lots of money if we invest smartly. We should always
invest after doing self research rather than investing blindly as someone else has invested in that
particular stock.
The last and the one of the most important suggestion while playing with stocks is keep emotions
aside and be realistic and invest it in for LONG TERM rather than short term. So one should
have a high level of patience while dealing with stock.
We should look after the stocks as our child which will give us the return in future and not as
soon as we bought it.
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QUESTIONAIRE
56
Questionnaire:
Name:...............................Age:..Occupation:..Ques.1
Birla Sun Life Scheme does you have?(a) Life
Which
(b) Retirement
(c) Health
Ques.2 Are you satisfied with the Insurance plan you have?
(a) Yes
(b) No
Ques.3 What attract you towards Birla Sun Life Plans?
(a)
(b)
(d)
Ques.4 Are you satisfied with the services provided by the company regarding
new plans and schemes?
(a) Yes
(b) No
Ques.5 Are you interested to make more investments in Birla Sun Life ?
(a) Yes
57
(b) No
Ques.6 Have you any other Insurance Plan apart from Birla Sun Life?
(a) Yes
(b) No
Ques.7 If yes, then of which Life Insurance Company?
(a) LIC
(b) Bajaj Allianz
(c) Birla Sun life
(d) Reliance
(e) Others
Ques.8 If you get any attractive plan than are you ready to switch over?
(a) Yes
(b) No
58
59
Part A: General Intern Performance Instructions: Please rate the student intern
on each of the following job dimensions. For each dimension, sample behaviors of
excellent and satisfactory performance are listed as guidelines:
Please
mention
the
interns
duties
and
responsibilities?
1. Attitude/Effort: His/her attitude and efforts towards the work & duties
assigned during internship.
61
Needs constant
supervision/help
Response to feedback
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Acceptance
to
criticism
and
modifications
in
behavior/task
accordingly.
Ability to accommodate to new
directions/tasks
4. Interpersonal Skills: Degree to which intern gets along with others (co-workers,
supervisor,clients.)
Professional
behaviour
with
co-
63
workers
Effective
and
cooperative
relationships with co-workers
Absence planned/non-disruptive
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Continually improvement
performance
in
job
Additional Feedback/Comments
(1) What were the strengths of this intern?
(3) Are you willing to take interns in next year? (Indicate one) Yes No
If no, why not?
(5) If an opening became available in your firm, would you consider this student
for a full- time position? Yes
No
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CHAPTER- 8
BIBLIOGRAPHY
67
www.indiainfoline.com
www.money.rediff.com
www.en.wikipedia.org
www.in.finance.yahoo.com
www.wikihow.com
www.moneycontrol.com
Birla Sun Life Financial Services - Mutual Funds, Life Insurance & Wealth
Management Services. <http://www.birlasunlife.com/>.
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