Chapter 4 Project

DATA SET
934

11

895

11

890

27

888

885

879

869

16

863

859

825

815

11

790

773

744

731

722

721

716

714

708

708

707

706

705

698

13

695

689

683

682

677

677

673

666

660

658

656

654

648

645

643

639

638

630

628

628

609

608

606

604

603

Our scatter plot shows moderate, positive correlation. This shows that with
more wins, you usually see the team has more championships. You can see
that the correlation is increasing on a positive slant upwards and to the right.
r= .612
r^2= .375
This means that 37% of the graph is explained and 63% is unexplained. Our
correlation is .612 which is moderate.

Summary
For our chapter 4 project, we wanted to know if the number
of total wins and the number of national titles won had any
correlation. To find this out, we went to ESPN to collect our data.
We looked at 50 different teams and recorded how many total
wins and how many national championships won. We typed all the
data into the calculator. Our graph showed the explanatory
variable on the x axis, which was the number of wins, and the
response variable, on the y axis, which showed the number of
national titles. This gave us a positive moderate correlation. Our
correlation coefficient r was .612. If our coefficient r was .8 or .9 it
would have had stronger correlation. The r^2 was .37 which
means 37% of this data set is explained, which also means 63%
of this data set is not. The main influential point in our data set
was 27 national championships won by Yale. This moved the line
up vertically. The line would look different if you took this point
out of the data set. The xbar (avg of x values) was 718.88 and the
ybar (avg of y values) was 3.88. This point (718.88, 3.88) was in

our graph on our linear regression line. The formula we were able
to put together from this data was y=0.33x-20.106. (y=mx+b) An
example of interpolation could be found in the data set by noting
that if you had 800 wins, you would put 800 into the equation.
AFter plugging that in we found out Roughly 6 championships
would be won for that team if they had won a total of 800 games.
To find our extrapolation (prediction) we plugged 1100 into the
equation. We used this number that was outside of our data
because it was an extrapolation. We found out if a team won
roughly 1100 games, they would have about 16 championships.
Our marginal change (.33) was considered rather low which is
because we had more unexplained data than explained. In a
strong positive correlation the amount of data unexplained will be
less than the amount explained. This will raise the marginal
change. Overall, we learned that the number of total games won
and the number of national titles won has a positive moderate
correlation. The more games a team had won, it seemed the more
national titles they had. However, there could be lurking variables
in the data set. For example, teams that have been around longer
(yale) had more national titles because the other teams were not
around yet. This puts other teams at a disadvantage when you
look at the total national championships won because they have
not been around as long as other teams.