Coastal Storm

Weather Briefing 6
Prepared 6:00 am EST Monday, January 23, 2017

VALID UNTIL 6 pm Monday, January 23

NOAAs National Weather Service

New York, NY Weather Forecast Office

Weather Maps
Today
7 AM

1/23/2017

7 PM

Whats Changed
Since our Last Update?

No changes

1/23/2017

Coastal Flooding
Threshold Definitions

1/23/2017

Forecast Hazards and Impacts

http://www.weather.gov/okx/ehwo
High Winds (Coast)
Strongest late this afternoon into this evening
Impacts include damage to trees and power lines with outages
Heavy Rain
- around 2 Inches Likely; 3+ Inches Possible
- Heaviest late this afternoon into this evening; Minor to Moderate Urban
and Small Stream Flooding Likely
- More Serious Urban and Small Stream Flooding Possible
Coastal Flooding
- Moderate for this evening High Tides and Localized Tuesday Morning
- Dune erosion and wash overs at Atlantic Ocean Beaches
Winter Weather (Orange, Putnam, and Western Passaic Counties)
- Snow, Sleet, and Ice; 2-4 Inches Snow and Sleet Likely; 3-6 Inches
Possible Above 750 Feet; Trace of Ice
1/23/2017

Current Hazards
High Wind Warning and Wind Advisory
See Map

Hurricane Force Wind Warning (Ocean) and

Storm Warning (Remaining Coastal Waters)
- See Map

Coastal Flood Warning and Advisories

See Map
1/23/2017

High Wind Warning (Coast)

Wind Advisory (Inland)
Through 1 AM Tuesday

1/23/2017

High Wind Warning

Over Land
Winds: 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph
Timing: Through 1 AM Tuesday
- Strongest winds this Afternoon thru
this evening
Impacts: Downed Trees and Power Lines with
Numerous Power Outages. Difficult Driving,
Especially High Profile Vehicles
1/23/2017

Hurricane Force Wind Warning (Pink)

Storm Warning (Purple)
1 PM 1 AM Tue
Hurricane Wind
Warning for Gusts
64 Knots Plus
Storm Warning for
Gusts 48-63 Knots

1/23/2017

Hurricane Wind Warning (Ocean)

Storm Warning Elsewhere
Winds: 35 to 45 KT with gusts 50 to 60 KT
(Up to 65 KT over the Ocean).
Timing: through the early tonight, Strongest
Winds this afternoon into the evening.
Impacts: Seas 16 to 22 Feet on the Ocean; 6
to 12 Feet on Long Island Sound.
1/23/2017

10

Flood Watch (Green)

1 PM Today thru 5 AM Tuesday from Rainfall
around 2 Inches with Urban Flooding Likely

1/23/2017

11

Coastal Flood Forecast

Focus: Evening High Tides
Warning for Moderate Coastal Flooding
Timing: This evening High Tide Cycle
Tidal Departures of 3 to 4 Feet Above Normal
Heavy Rain and High Winds with the Approach of High Tides
will Exacerbate Coastal Flooding

Impacts: Widespread Flooding of Vulnerable Shore Roads

and/or Adjacent Properties. Numerous Road Closures Possible.

1/23/2017

12

Coastal Flood Warning (Dark Green)

Coastal Flood Advisory (Light Green)

1/23/2017

13

Water Level Forecasts

SOUTH SHORE BAY WATER LEVELS FOR MONDAY MORNING
Location

Time of High Tide

Forecast Total Water Level

MLLW (ft.)

NGVD/MHHW (ft.)

Flood Category

Freeport NY

451 am

5.3-5.8

4.5-5.0

Minor

Point Lookout NY

354 am

5.7-6.2

4.6-5.1

Minor

East Rockaway NY

407 am

5.8-6.3

4.3-4.8

Minor

Lindenhurst NY

634 am

3.2-3.7

1.8-2.3

Minor

SOUTH SHORE BAY WATER LEVELS FOR THIS EVENING

Location

Time of High Tide

Forecast Total Water Level

MLLW (ft.)

NGVD/MHHW (ft.)

Flood Category

Freeport NY

514 pm

6.3-6.7

5.5-5.9

Moderate-MAJOR

Point Lookout NY

417 pm

6.6-7.1

5.6-6.1

Moderate

East Rockaway NY

430 pm

7.0-7.5

5.5-6.0

Moderate

Lindenhurst NY

657 pm

4.3-4.8

2.6-3.2

Moderate-MAJOR

Water Level Forecasts

EASTERN LONG ISLAND WATER LEVELS FOR THIS EVENING
Location

Time of High
Tide

Forecast Total Water Level

Flood Category

MLLW (ft.)

MHHW (ft.)

New London CT

632 pm

4.5-5.0

1.4-1.9

Minor

Montauk NY

558 pm

3.9-4.4

1.5-2.0

Minor

Orient Point NY

709 pm

4.5-5.0

1.6-2.1

Minor

Riverhead NY

906 pm

5.6-6.1

2.3-2.8

Minor-Moderate

EASTERN LONG ISLAND WATER LEVELS MAY BE PROVIDED FOR TUESDAY MORNING

Location

Time of High
Tide

Forecast Total Water Level

MLLW (ft.)

MHHW (ft.)

Flood Category

New London CT

653 am

4.3-4.6

1.2-1.5

None

Montauk NY

628 am

4.3-4.6

1.8-2.1

Minor

Orient Point NY

730 am

4.5-5.0

1.5-2.0

None

Riverhead NY

927 am

5.5-6.0

2.2-2.7

Minor

Water Level Forecasts

NY HARBOR WATER LEVELS FOR THIS EVENING
Location

Time of High
Tide

Forecast Total Water Level

Flood Category

MLLW (ft.)

MHHW (ft.)

The Battery NY

520 pm

7.4-7.9

2.3-2.8

Minor

Bergen Point NY

511 pm

8.0-8.4

2.5-2.9

Minor

NY HARBOR WATER LEVELS MAY BE PROVIDED FOR TUESDAY MRONING

Location

Time of High
Tide

Forecast Total Water Level

Flood Category

MLLW (ft)

MHHW (ft)

The Battery NY

543 am

6.6-7.1

1.5-2.0

None

Bergen Point NY

541 am

7.0-7.5

1.5-2.0

Minor

Water Level Forecasts

WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND WATER LEVELS FOR THIS EVENING
Location

Time of High Tide

Forecast Total Water Level

MLLW (ft.)

MHHW (ft.)

Flood Category

Kings Point NY

859 pm

10.6-11.1

2.8-3.3

Minor-Moderate

Stamford CT

821 pm

10.0-10.5

2.2-2.7

Minor

Bridgeport CT

818 pm

9.5-10.0

2.2-2.7

Minor

New Haven CT

817 pm

8.9-9.6

2.2-2.7

Minor

Old Field NY

820 pm

9.3-9.8

2.0-2.5

Minor-Moderate

Glen Cove NY

900 pm

10.2-10.7

2.3-2.8

Minor-Moderate

WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND WATER LEVELS MAY BE PROVIDED FOR TUE AM
Location

Time of High Tide

Forecast Total Water Level

MLLW (ft.)

MHHW (ft.)

Flood Category

Kings Point NY

911 am

9.0-9.5

1.2-1.7

None

Stamford CT

838 am

8.2-8.7

0.4-0.9

None

Bridgeport CT

835 am

8.0-8.5

1.3-1.8

None

New Haven CT

834 am

7.5-8.0

0.8-1.3

None

Old Field NY

837 am

8.0-8.5

0.7-1.2

None

Glen Cove NY

849 am

8.5-9.0

0.6-1.1

None

Winter Weather Advisory

1 PM Monday thru 6 AM Tuesday
Most Likely Snowfall

1/23/2017

10% Chance of this

Much Snowfall

18

Winter Weather Advisory

1 PM Today thru 7 AM Tuesday
Less than 1/10-Inch Ice

1/23/2017

19

Contact Information
Next Briefing Expected by 6 PM
National Weather Service New York, NY
http://www.weather.gov/okx/
Facebook
https://www.facebook.com/NWSNewYorkNY

Twitter
https://twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY
1/23/2017

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