Professional Documents
Culture Documents
ARTICLE IN PRESS
Preventive Veterinary Medicine xxx (2016) xxxxxx
Institute for Veterinary Public Health, University of Veterinary Medicine, Veterinaerplatz 1, 1210 Vienna, Austria
Previously: Institute for Veterinary Public Health, University of Veterinary Medicine, Veterinaerplatz 1, 1210 Vienna, Austria
c
Institute of Milk Hygiene, Milk Technology and Food Science, University of Veterinary Medicine, 1210 Vienna, Austria
d
University Clinic for Ruminants, University of Veterinary Medicine, 1210 Vienna, Austria
e
University of Veterinary Medicine, 1210 Vienna, Austria
f
Department for Biological Safety, Federal Institute for Risk Assessment (BfR), Berlin, Germany
b
a r t i c l e
i n f o
Article history:
Received 28 May 2016
Received in revised form 19 October 2016
Accepted 20 December 2016
Keywords:
Economic analysis
Eradication
Control
Vaccination
Surveillance
Biosecurity
a b s t r a c t
Infection with bovine viral diarrhea virus (BVDV) results in major economic losses either directly through
decreased productive performance in cattle herds or indirectly, such as through expenses for control programs. The aim of this systematic review was to review nancial and/or economic assessment studies of
prevention and/or mitigation activities of BVDV at national, regional and farm level worldwide. Once all
predened criteria had been met, 35 articles were included for this systematic review. Studies were analyzed with particular focus on the type of nancially and/or economically-assessed prevention and/or
mitigation activities. Due to the wide range of possible prevention and/or mitigation activities, these
activities were grouped into ve categories: i) control and/or eradication programs, ii) monitoring or
surveillance, iii) prevention, iv) vaccination and v) individual culling, control and testing strategies. Additionally, the studies were analyzed according to economically-related variables such as efciency, costs
or benets of prevention and/or mitigation activities, the applied nancial and/or economic and statistical methods, the payers of prevention and/or mitigation activities, the assessed production systems, and
the countries for which such evaluations are available.
Financial and/or economic assessments performed in Europe were dominated by those from the United
Kingdom, which assessed mostly vaccination strategies, and Norway which primarily carried out assessments in the area of control and eradication programs; whereas among non-European countries the
United States carried out the majority of nancial and/or economic assessments in the area of individual
culling, control and testing. More than half of all studies provided an efciency calculation of prevention
and/or mitigation activities and demonstrated whether the inherent costs of implemented activities were
or were not justied. The dairy sector was three times more likely to be assessed by the countries than
beef production systems. In addition, the dairy sector was approximately eight times more likely to be
assessed economically with respect to prevention and/or mitigation activities than calf and youngstock
production systems. Furthermore, the private sector was identied as the primary payer of prevention
and/or mitigation activities.
This systematic review demonstrated a lack of studies relating to efciency calculations, in particular
at national and regional level, and the specic production systems. Thus, we conrmed the need for more
well-designed studies in animal health economics in order to demonstrate that the implementation and
inherent costs of BVDV prevention and/or mitigation activities are justied.
2016 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC
BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Corresponding author.
E-mail address: Beate.Pinior@vetmeduni.ac.at (B. Pinior).
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2016.12.014
0167-5877/ 2016 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/
4.0/).
Please cite this article in press as: Pinior, B., et al., A systematic review of nancial and economic assessments of bovine viral diarrhea
virus (BVDV) prevention and mitigation activities worldwide. PREVET (2016), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2016.12.014
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1. Introduction
Bovine viral diarrhea virus (BVDV) is a Pestivirus related to
both the causative agent of classical swine fever (CSF) and border disease virus (BDV), which was rst described in New York in
1946 by Olafson and Rickard (1947). BVDV exists in most cattleproducing countries worldwide (Truyers et al., 2010). Infection
leads to substantial costs to the private-public sector through
decreased reproductive performance as direct losses, and increased
control efforts as indirect losses (Otte and Chilonda, 2000). The
direct losses of bovine viral diarrhea infection, such as reduced milk
yield, respiratory disorders, congenital defects, growth retardation,
extended calving intervals, reduced rst service conception, and
increased mortality of animals due to immunosuppression (Houe,
1999), can all justify the implementation of programs to prevent
or mitigate the disease (Moennig et al., 2005). Prevention activities
may comprise biosecurity measures aiming to prevent transmission of infection between infected and uninfected herds, i.e. by
avoiding contact with PI animals (movement restrictions) and/or
vaccination and/or testing of cattle before movement (Houe et al.,
2006). Mitigation activities may include surveillance and intervention measures (Howe et al., 2012). Surveillance measures intend
to detect the presence or demonstrate the absence of the disease
(Howe et al., 2012). Intervention measures such as control or eradication programs aim at reducing disease prevalence, but differ in
the degree of disease reduction (Houe et al., 2006). Control measures aim to reduce disease prevalence to a relatively low level,
while the purpose of eradication is to provide a continued absence
of the disease (Andrews and Langmuir, 1963; Houe et al., 2006) by
testing and removal of infected cattle. The relationship between
prevention, surveillance and interventions measures and avoided
production losses should be considered simultaneously from an
economic point of view (Howe et al., 2012). High investments
in prevention activities at the farm level can lead to minor costs
incurred for mitigation of the disease at the national level or vice
versa. With respect to BVDV, the eradication of persistently infected
(PI) animals is the primary goal of mitigation programs (Lanyon and
Reichel, 2013). PI animals were infected in utero prior to 120 days
gestation and subsequently their immune systems fail to recognize
the BVD virus as a non-self antigen (Tizard, 2009). As such, they
excrete large amounts of virus, but are unable to develop specic
antibodies to BVDV. PI animals are, therefore, essential in transmitting infection (Houe, 1999) and are often considered to be the
primary source of BVDV introduction to a cattle herd (Niskanen
et al., 2002; Smith et al., 2014; Burgstaller et al., 2016). In contrast, transiently infected (TI) cattle show mild clinical signs and
shed small amounts of virus particles for a period of approximately
14 days (Brownlie et al., 1987).
It is clear that mitigation activities for nonregulated animal diseases, such as BVDV in the European Union, can vary substantially
between countries (Heffernan et al., 2009) and even within a single country, if no national form of coordination exists (Geraghty
et al., 2014). The degree of variation in mitigation activities depends
on the perceived importance of the disease by policy makers
(Heffernan et al., 2009), the geographical level at which mitigation
activities are implemented (Lindberg et al., 2006; such as national,
regional or farm level) and/or whether compulsory or voluntary
regulations exist; all of which have an inuence on the costs and
benets of the implemented measures.
The lack of economic data relating to the prevention and/or mitigation activities of animal diseases has been discussed in many
veterinary studies (Drewe et al., 2012; Pinior et al., 2015a,b). As yet,
no global review exists that provides information on the availability
of nancial and/or economic assessments with regard to BVDV prevention and/or mitigation. Thus, the aim of this systematic review
was to review nancial and/or economic assessment studies of pre-
Table 1
Terms used for the systematic search of scientic studies.
Section
Search terms
BVDV AND
Prevention and/or
mitigation activities
Financial and/or
economic
Due to the high number of studies available, the search terms control program/me,
diseases losses and production losses were set in quotation marks to ensure that
the search engine returned only items where these combinations of terms were
adjacent to each other.
a
The term Scandinavian strategy refers to the assessment of the BVDV status
of herds by monitoring BVDV herd health using serological diagnostic methods, on
clearance of the virus from the herd (Lindberg and Alenius, 1999) and livestock
movement controls.
Please cite this article in press as: Pinior, B., et al., A systematic review of nancial and economic assessments of bovine viral diarrhea
virus (BVDV) prevention and mitigation activities worldwide. PREVET (2016), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2016.12.014
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to assess efciency include e.g. cost-benet analysis, costeffectiveness analysis, least-cost analysis (Hoinville et al., 2013),
cost-utility analysis, budget impact analysis (Simoens, 2009), or
partial-budget analysis. The latter assesses the costs and benets
associated with a specic business change e.g. on a farm due to different production practices (Dijkhuizen et al., 1997; Rushton et al.,
1999). The results of these methods can be expressed in different
forms. For instance, the outcome of a cost-benets analysis can be
presented as net costs/benets, net present value, benet-cost ratio
or in form of internal rate of return (Rushton et al., 1999; Cellini
and Kee, 2010). Overviews of the different applied nancial and
economic methods as a function of different assessments levels
(farm, regional or national) have been published by Dijkhuizen et al.
(1995), Rushton et al. (1999), and Otte and Chilonda (2000). However, in our systematic review the term nancial and/or economic
assessments not only covers studies that calculated the efciency
of prevention and/or mitigation activities using general nancial
or economic methods, but also studies that assessed the costs or
benets (e.g. prevented losses) regarding economic impacts of prevention and/or mitigation activities by describing the monetary
costs or benets of eradication programs e.g. in Tabular overviews.
Thus, the systematic review presented here provides as much detail
as possible on the economics of BVDV prevention and/or mitigation.
In order to identify relevant studies for the purpose of this
review a two-step process was applied. First, all articles identied via the search terms in the databases (primary articles) were
reviewed in full by one reviewer (BP) and were reviewed again for
validation by three independent reviewers (VR, JB, KL) with different educational backgrounds (economics, veterinary medicine
and statistics). Two of these reviewers read all articles in full and
one reviewer received notes from the rst reviewer (BP). In a second step, the references lists of the relevant primary articles were
screened by title and abstract according to the search terms dened
in Table 1 (secondary articles). Of these, studies that contained
nancial and/or economic assessments of the considered prevention and/or mitigation activities were also reviewed and validated
in full. Any disagreements regarding the inclusion of studies were
resolved by consensus through discussion between all reviewers.
Primary and secondary articles were excluded if they were not
available in full or were published as a specic document type such
as a book chapter (primary exclusion criteria). Additionally, studies
were excluded which had no own inherent nancial and/or economic assessments such as review studies or studies that did not
provide monetary outcomes or studies not related to the topic, such
as those that did not assess prevention and/or mitigation activities
economically (e.g. studies which focused only on prevention and/or
mitigation or production losses) or those which focused on BVDV in
species other than cattle (secondary exclusion criteria). The number of identied articles (primary and secondary articles) and the
exclusion process (primary and secondary exclusion criteria) are
illustrated in Fig. 1.
Each relevant article and conference proceeding was evaluated
in terms of the nancial and economic assessment criteria initially
described by Evers et al. (2005) and modied for the purpose of
this review. The evaluation scale is shown in Table 2 and ranged
from completely fullled (class 1) to scarcely fullled (class 3) the
criteria. Additionally, studies from all classes have been analyzed
according to the criteria provided in Table 3. To perform a descriptive statistical analysis, we grouped the analyzed criteria of the
studies into different categories (Table 3).
3. Results
Overall, 7% (n = 35) of the identied articles (N = 487) published
nancial and/or economic assessments (Fig. 1) of prevention and/or
Table 2
Classication criteria for the assignment of the studies in class 1 (all criteria are
completely fullled) to class 3 (criteria are scarcely fullled).
Classes
Classication criteria
(1) baseline
(2)
(3)
Class 1 was used as baseline. N.B Conducting a sensitivity analysis was only used
as evaluation criteria in studies with a modeling approach.
mitigation activities with regard to BVDV and were considered relevant for this systematic review. The majority of the studies were
published after 2000 (74%; n = 26), in particular in 2005 (13%; n = 5).
Approximately, half of the studies (n = 18) were identied as modeling studies. According to the predened criteria listed in Table 2,
23% (n = 8) of these nancial and/or economic assessments could be
assigned to class 1, 34% (n = 12) to class 2 and 43% (n = 15) to class
3. The studies aimed mainly to assess prevention and/or mitigation
activities in economic terms (n = 29) or to describe them (n = 6).
Fig. 2 shows that the majority of nancial and/or economic
assessments are based primarily in the area of control and/or
eradication programs (34%; n = 12), followed by individual culling,
control and/or diagnostic testing strategies (17%; n = 6). The
remaining studies cover more than one area, with most of the
intersections being found between the areas of prevention (e.g.
biosecurity) and vaccination strategies. Most frequently, nancial
and/or economic assessments related to BVDV prevention and/or
mitigation activities were performed in Europe (77%; n = 27), dominated by the United Kingdom (Scotland), Norway, Germany, and
Switzerland; non-European countries, such as the United States
of America, New Zealand and Canada, made up 23% of the studies (n = 8). Fig. 2 shows that Norway carried out most economic
assessments in the control and eradication area, whereas the United
Kingdom, in contrast to the other countries, often assessed the costs
and/or the benets of vaccination strategies and the United States
assessed mostly individual culling, control and diagnostic testing
strategies at the farm level. Fig. 2 also reveals that only a small
number of studies (n = 3) economically assessed surveillance and
monitoring programs.
The 35 studies of prevention and/or mitigation activities
included in this systematic review were classied according to the
analyzed nancial and/or economic variables and payers of prevention and/or mitigation activities (Fig. 3a and b), applied nancial
and/or economic and statistical methods (Fig. 3c and d), assessed
production systems and the geographical level of the nancial
and/or economic assessments (see Table 3). Fig. 3a shows that the
majority of the studies calculated the efciency (relation between
costs and benets or comparison of various activities in terms of
Please cite this article in press as: Pinior, B., et al., A systematic review of nancial and economic assessments of bovine viral diarrhea
virus (BVDV) prevention and mitigation activities worldwide. PREVET (2016), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2016.12.014
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B. Pinior et al. / Preventive Veterinary Medicine xxx (2016) xxxxxx
Fig. 1. Flow chart describing the number of identied articles and the exclusion process for the systematic review.
Please cite this article in press as: Pinior, B., et al., A systematic review of nancial and economic assessments of bovine viral diarrhea
virus (BVDV) prevention and mitigation activities worldwide. PREVET (2016), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2016.12.014
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Table 3
Analyzed criteria of the studies assigned to classes 13.
Analysis criteria
Categories
Study type
Descriptive
Modeling
Type of nancial
and/or
economically
assessed
prevention and/or
mitigation
activities
Control
Eradication
Prevention
Monitoring/Surveillance
Vaccination
Individual culling/control/diagnostic
testing
Combination of these areas
Geographical level
National level
Regional level
Farm level
Financial/
Economic variables
Efciency
Cost
Benet
Payers
Private sector
Public sector
Methodology
Financial/Economic
Statistical
Production system
Cattle
Dairy
Beef
Dairy and Beef
Calves and youngstock
The study type descriptive does not use statistical models in combination with nancial
and/or economic methods in order to assess current data.
Modeling studies used statistical (simulation) models in combination with nancial
and/or economic methods to analyze current or prospective scenarios under a variety of
conditions.
The area control summarized assessments to reduce the disease prevalence.
The area eradication summarized assessments to provide a continued absence of disease.
The area prevention summarized assessments of biosecurity measures such as avoiding
contact with PI animals, no further purchase, testing of cattle before movement etc.
The area monitoring covered all assessments to monitor the disease without a
pre-dened action plan (Hoinville et al., 2013).
The area surveillance covered all assessments to detect the presence or demonstrate the
absence of the disease with a pre-dened action plan.
The area of vaccination covered all assessments were vaccination strategies were
mentioned.
The area individual culling/control/diagnostic testing summarized assessments of single
mitigation activities at farm level.
The area combination of these areas covered more than one area, e.g. the use of vaccine
to prevent BVDV infection covers both the prevention and vaccination areas.
A regional level covers one or more than one geographical units (e.g. regions, provinces
or states) of a country, but did not cover the entire country (representative proportion of
the entire country = national level).
Financial assessments at herd level or per animal or per farm were assigned to the
geographical category farm level.
Studies that determine the relationship (e.g. net present value or benet-cost ratio)
between monetary assessments of prevention and/or mitigation activities (Input) and
avoided production losses (Output) were assigned to the category efciency. In this
context, two categories can be distinguished: Optimization (maximization of the net
benet) and Acceptability (prevented production losses averted through mitigation
activities should at least cover its costs).
Studies that determine the minimum costs can be distinguished in least costs or
cost-effectiveness (without quantication of the monetary benet) with reference to
ensuring the target of prevention and/or mitigation activities were included in the
category efciency (Hoinville et al., 2013).
The term cost covered xed (costs vary in the long-term) and/or variable costs (costs
vary in the short-term) and/or expenses and/or in-kind contribution/opportunity costs
(vary in the long and/or short term) (Pinior et al., 2015a,b).
The term benet included the economic value of international trade, the mitigation of
production losses, testing strategies, losses saved, new revenue.
Payers in the private sector covers farmers, farmer organizations, and the farming
industry in general.
Payers in the public sector covers governments and political authorities in general.
The methodologies in the category nancial and/or economic range from the
descriptions of costs/benets to general methods such as cost-benet analysis, partial
budget analysis.
Statistical methodologies range from basic statistics such as calculation of condence
intervals, odds ratio (assigned to category N.S.) to stochastic (simulation) models.
The term cattle summarized all studies, for which more than one production system
(ranged from dairy to calves and youngstock systems) could be determined.
return on investment calculation, linear programing or contingency claim analysis. Beside the usage of nancial or economic
methods, statistical methods were also applied. The most commonly applied statistical methods were stochastic (simulation)
models. Sensitivity analysis and PERT distributions were mainly
performed in connection with a stochastic model in order to
evaluate the uncertain variables. Stochastic (simulation) models
included the methodology of Markov Chain/state-transition models and/or Monte Carlo-methods, Reed-Frost (SIR) models and
Bayesian approaches.
With regard to the different production systems, we have identied that dairy production systems were approximately eight
times more likely to be assessed economically with regard to
BVD prevention and/or mitigation activities than calf and youngstock production systems. Beef production systems were primarily
assessed by the United States and the United Kingdom. The results
indicate that three times more countries take the dairy sector into
Please cite this article in press as: Pinior, B., et al., A systematic review of nancial and economic assessments of bovine viral diarrhea
virus (BVDV) prevention and mitigation activities worldwide. PREVET (2016), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2016.12.014
Financial/Economic
methods
Statistic methods
Conclusion
Norway
Valle et al., 2000
(Va00)
Testing
Culling
Production losses
Treatment
Test equipment
Field Work
Cost-Benet Analysis
Stochastic
(Simulation)
model
Sampling
(Re-)Testing
Culling
Production losses
Treatment
Mailing expenses
Field Work
Salary of the project
manager; Test-Kits
Value of animals
culled
Cost-Benet Analysis
Stochastic (Simulation)
model
Sampling
Testing
Culling
Movement restrictions
Production losses
Economic description
N.S.
Program
in general
N.S.
Economic description
N.S.
Ireland
Stott et al., 2012
(St12)
Sampling
(Re-)Testing
Culling
Surveillance
(Vaccination)
Production losses
Partial-Budget
Treatment
Analysis/
(Veterinary
Cost-Benet Analysis/
visit/service/medicine/vet
and other fees)
Replacement
Opportunity costs
Value of cull cow/
Material
Disposal
Stochastic
(Simulation)
model
(Markov-Chain;
Compartment
Methodology)
Switzerland Hsler
et al., 2012
(H12)
(Re-)Sampling
(Re-)Testing
Culling
Surveillance
Movement bans
Production losses
Treatment
Postage; Vet
service/visits/fees
Material
Rendering
Slaughter animal
IT database
Labour
Stochastic
(Simulation)
model
(Compartment,
State-transition
/Markov-Chain
Methodology)
Cost: 6/year
cow-calf (suckler) herds
Cost: 4/year
dairy herds
Benet: 27/year
Cow-calf herds
Benet: 55/year
dairy herds
Benet cost ratio (6 years):
5 for cow-calf herds
14 for dairy herds
Cost: 62
Benet: 120
+58 available for
surveillance
(20082017;
over 10 years)
Break-even point:
5 years (2012)
Cost-Benet
Analysis/Least-CostAnalysis
ARTICLE IN PRESS
Others
G Model
Prevention/Mitigation
activities
Country References
(Abbreviations of
Fig. 2)
Please cite this article in press as: Pinior, B., et al., A systematic review of nancial and economic assessments of bovine viral diarrhea
virus (BVDV) prevention and mitigation activities worldwide. PREVET (2016), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2016.12.014
Table 4
Overview of assessed prevention and/or mitigation activities, applied methods and study outcomes at national level.
Others
Financial/Economic
methods
Statistic methods
Conclusion
Buchwalder, 2006
(Bu06)
Program
in general
Production losses
Economic description
N.S.
Cost: 55 (3 years)
Losses: 7.39.2/year
N.S.
Program
in general
N.S.
Economic description
N.S.
France
Dufour et al.,
1999 (Du99)
Sampling
Testing
Culling
Production losses
Compensation
Veterinary services
Cost-Benet Analysis
N.S.
Denmark
Bitsch and
Rnsholt, 1995
(Bi95)
Testing
Control of favorable
status
Eradication
BVD certicates
(trade) after
testing
Economic description
N.S.
235,000 cattle
(sample);
Total: 20 million cattle
(National)
6000 dairy herds
(50 cows/herd;
sample, 1995)
750 beef herds
(10 cows/herd;
sample)
(Total: 15,000 dairy
herds and 15,000 beef
herds, 1995; National)
United Kingdom
Bennett and
Done, 1986
(Be86)
Testing
Elimination
Vaccination
Production losses
Cost-Benet-Analysisa
N.S.
NPV: 10.4
N.S.
(Total: 12.6 million
cattle, 1986; National)2
Bennett and
IJpelaar, 2005
(Be05b)
Monitoring
Control in general
Production losses
Treatment
Animal Welfare
Economic description
N.S.
Cost: 3.5-4.4
163,000-579,000 cattle
(sample)
(19962001)
(Total: 10.3 million
cattle, 2001; National)2
N.S. = not specied; a presumed; N.B. Monetary values have been converted into euros (without adjusting for ination). Prevention and/or mitigation activities in brackets were passively included in the calculation. Costs are
expenses of prevention and/or mitigation activities, unless stated otherwise; Benets are e.g. losses prevented, new revenue, economic value of testing; NPV = Net present value is dened as the sum of total discounted benets
minus the sum of total discounted costs; Net benets/costs = Total costs are subtracted from the total benets.
1
Exchange rates throughout the document are taken from the following website: http://www.xe.com/ (accessed 22 April 2016) EUR1 = approx. USD1.12, GBP0.78, CHF1.09, NZD1.64, CAD1.42, SEK9.13, NOK9.23, DKK7.44 as
at 22 April 2016.
2
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/structure-of-the-livestock-industry-in-england-at-december (accessed 12 August 2016).
ARTICLE IN PRESS
Prevention/Mitigation
activities
G Model
Country References
(Abbreviations of
Fig. 2)
Please cite this article in press as: Pinior, B., et al., A systematic review of nancial and economic assessments of bovine viral diarrhea
virus (BVDV) prevention and mitigation activities worldwide. PREVET (2016), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2016.12.014
Table 4 (Continued)
Financial/Economic
methods
Statistic methods
Outcome (million
EUR)1
Conclusion
United Kingdom
Weldegebriel
et al., 2009
(We09)
(Vaccination)
(Biosecurity)
Removal
Production losses
Veterinary service
and medicine
Replacement
Feed
Value of culled cows
/Saleable livestock
Economic welfare
methodology/
Economic
surplus
Stochastic
(Simulation)
model
(Markov-Chain/
Monte Carlo;
Reed-Frost;
Compartment)
171,768 dairy
cows (sample,
2006)
(Total: 10.3
million cattle,
2006; National)2
Germany
Pauels, 2002
(Pa02)
Testing
Vaccination
Culling
Subsidization
Economic description
N.S.
Timm, 1997
(Ti97)
Culling
Subsidization
Production losses
Economic description
Decision-Tree
analysis
Schnrch and
Gerisch, 2003
(Sc03)
Testing
Subsidization
Economic description
N.S.
Austria
Rossmanith et al.,
2005 (Ro05)
Program
in general
N.S.
Economic description
N.S.
Austria
Obritzhauser,
2000 (Ob00)
Testing
Production losses
Economic description
N.S.
United States
Ridpath, 2012
(Ri12)
Testing
Subsidization
Economic
description
N.S.
Costs6 : 1.1
Scandinavian model
(rst year); 2.2 Antigen
model Costs: 0.4
Scandinavian model
(6 year); 1.4 Antigen
model
Costs: 1.95/animala
146 cattle in 27
holdings (sample,
1997)
(Total: 2.56 million
cattle, 1997;
Lower Saxony)
185 holdings and
149,842 cattle
(sample); (Total: 0.36
million, 2003; Lower
Saxony)4
Total: 0.46 million
cattle, 2005;
Lower Austria)5
Total: 0.36 million
cattle; 0.15 million
dairy cows, 1999;
Styria)7
N.S. = not specied; a not presented in million EUR; N.B. Monetary values have been converted into euros (without adjusting for ination). Prevention and/or mitigation activities in brackets were passively included in the
calculation. Costs are expenses of prevention and/or mitigation activities, unless stated otherwise; Benets are e.g. losses prevented, new revenue, economic value of testing; NPV = Net present value is dened as the sum of total
discounted benets minus the sum of total discounted costs; Net benets/costs = Total costs are subtracted from the total benets.
1
Exchange rates throughout the document are taken from the following website: http://www.xe.com/ (accessed 22 April 2016). EUR1 = approx. USD1.12, GBP0.78, CHF1.09, NZD1.64, CAD1.42, SEK9.13, NOK9.23, DKK7.44 as
at 22 April 2016.
2
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/structure-of-the-livestock-industry-in-england-at-december (accessed 02 August 2016).
3
The German mark (DM) no longer exists. Thus, an ofcial exchange rate to euros was used: http://frankfurt-interaktiv.de/specials/euro/eurorechner.html (accessed 23 April 2016).
4
http://www.statistik.thueringen.de/presse/2004/pr 204 04.htm (accessed 24 July 2016).
5
http://www.noe.gv.at/Land-Forstwirtschaft/Landwirtschaft/Gruener-Bericht.html#47051 (accessed 24 July 2016).
6
The Austrian schilling (ATS) no longer exists. Thus, an ofcial exchange rate to euros was used: http://de.coinmill.com/ATS EUR.html#ATS=19791058 (accessed 03 August 2016).
7
http://www.verwaltung.steiermark.at/cms/beitrag/11680323/74835962/ (accessed 24 July 2016).
ARTICLE IN PRESS
Others
G Model
Prevention/Mitigation
activities
Country References
(Abbreviations of
Fig. 2)
Please cite this article in press as: Pinior, B., et al., A systematic review of nancial and economic assessments of bovine viral diarrhea
virus (BVDV) prevention and mitigation activities worldwide. PREVET (2016), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2016.12.014
Table 5
Overview of assessed prevention and/or mitigation activities, applied methods and study outcomes at regional level.
Others
Financial/Economic
methods
Statistic methods
Outcome (EUR)a
Conclusion
Canada
Chi et al., 2002 (Ch02)
Vaccination
Movement
Introduction and
vaccination check;
Culling
Purchase source
Production losses
Treatment
Replacement
Slaughter value
Partial-Budget Analysis
Regression
model (Tobit)
90 dairy herds
(50 cow herd)
(Total: 13.8 million
cattle, 2002; National)1
Minimizing BVD
production losses will not
generally also minimize
the total costs. Vaccination
was determined as an
important factor to reduce
the total costs.
Testing
Vaccination
Production losses
Treatment
Labour
Sale price
Weaning weight
Partial-Budget Analysis
Stochastic
(Simulation)
model (MonteCarlo; ReedFrost; Compartment)
Testing
Production losses
Weaning weight
Stochastic
(Simulation)
model
Testing
N.S.
Partial-Budget Analysis
Basic statistics
United States
Nickell et al., 2011
(Ni11)
Testing
Production losses
Health costs
Market value
Weaning weight
Revenue
analysis
Stochastic
(Simulation)
model
(Monte Carlo)
Testing
Pooling samples
N.S.
N.S.
Benet (without PI
animal): 17.27/cow
(1991)
10.05/cow (1995)
Break-even costs: 2472
for two test strategy
and 6908 for single test
strategy
Benet: 299/50
animals; 530/100
animals;
1826/500 animals
27,932 cattle
ARTICLE IN PRESS
Prevention/Mitigation
activities
G Model
Country References
(Abbreviations of
Fig. 2)
Please cite this article in press as: Pinior, B., et al., A systematic review of nancial and economic assessments of bovine viral diarrhea
virus (BVDV) prevention and mitigation activities worldwide. PREVET (2016), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2016.12.014
Table 6
Overview of assessed prevention and/or mitigation activities, applied methods and study outcomes at farm level.
Financial/Economic
methods
Statistic methods
Outcome (EUR)a
Conclusion
Production losses
Veterinary service
Replacement
Opportunity costs
Linear
Programing/
Production function/
Stochastic
(Simulation)
model
(Compartment,
Markov-Chain/
Monte Carlo;
Reed Frost)
By consideration of the
whole-farm nancial risk,
the least-cost BVDV control
option might not be the
optimal strategy in all
cases.
Vaccination Biosecurity
Production losses
Contingency
claim analysis
(Utility
Function)
The effectiveness of
prevention and mitigation
activities has an inuence
on the risk-free nancial
returns to the farmer.
United Kingdom
Stott et al., 2010 (St10)
Biosecurity
Production losses
Veterinary service
Replacement
Opportunity costs
Reduced sale weight
and/or price per kg
Economic
description
Stochastic
(Simulation)
model
(Monte Carlo/
Markov-Chain
Methodology)
Stochastic
(Simulation)
model
(Markov-Chain;
Reed Frost;
Compartment
Methodology)
Vaccination Biosecurity
Production losses
Opportunity costs
Production/
Benet function
Stochastic
(Simulation)
model
(Markov-Chain/
Monte Carlo;
Reed-Frost;
Compartment
Methodology)
Wright, 2013
(Wr13)
Testing
Vaccination
Production losses
Production costs
(e.g. marketing,
transport,
vet fees)
Sale value
N.S.
Minimum expected
direct costs and
prevention costs:
28/cow/year (unknown
herd status)
26/cow/year
(susceptible
herd status)
(10 years)
NPV: approx. 9000 (10
years) (80% efciency
of vaccination)
NPV: approx. 7300
(80% efciency of
biosecurity)
Direct losses:
4555/cow/year (60%
efciency of
biosecurity);
Direct losses:
654/cow/
year (90% efciency of
biosecurity)
Mean net benet:
33/cow/year (free 50
cow herd; 80% efcient
of vaccination)
Mean net benet:
18/cow/year (unknown
status: 50 cow herd;
80% efcient of
vaccination)
New revenue/income:
130/cow
(20062011)
Sampling
Testing
Vaccination
(Culling)
N.S.
Economic description
N.S.
Costs: 786789/herd
(2 years)
Cow-calf
(suckler) herd
(50 or 120 cows)
(Total: 8.8
million cattle, 2008;
National)4
Beef herd
(120 cows)
(Total: 9.6 million
cattle, 2013; National)5
Cattle herd
(140 cattle)
(Total: 12.2 million
cattle, 1987; National)2
ARTICLE IN PRESS
Others
G Model
Prevention/Mitigation
activities
Country References
(Abbreviations of
Fig. 2)
10
Please cite this article in press as: Pinior, B., et al., A systematic review of nancial and economic assessments of bovine viral diarrhea
virus (BVDV) prevention and mitigation activities worldwide. PREVET (2016), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2016.12.014
Table 6 (Continued)
Others
Financial/Economic
methods
Statistic methods
Outcome (EUR)a
Conclusion
Testing
Culling
Vaccination
Electried outrigger
Production losses
Return on investment
Decision-Tree Analysis
Dairy herd
(332 cows)
(Total: 4.2
million cattle, 2008;
National)6
Netherlands
Pasman et al., 1994
(Pa94)
(Re-)Testing
Culling
Production losses
Rearing
Market value
Partial-Budget Analysis
No more purchase
Double fencing;
Protective
boots/clothing
Dis-infecting basinc
Production losses
Veterinary visits
Value of sold heifers
Replacement
Rearing
Partial-Budget
Analysis
Dairy herd
(100 cow) (Total: 4.5
million cattle, 1994;
National)8
Dairy herd
(55 cow)
(Total: 3.8 million
cattle, 2001; National)8
Deterministic
model
(State-transition;
Compartment)
Deterministic
model
Denmark
Houe et al., 1994
(Ho94)
Sampling
Testing
Production losses
Slaughtering
Least costs:
13,20016,148
(8595% efcient of
biosecurity; Direct
losses and costs of
biosecurity)
Return on investment:
123%
(10 year)
Net costs: 1578 (rst
year)7
Net benet: 406
(second year)
Benet: approx. 940
(5 years)
Net Benet: 1152
(for BVDV, BHV-1;
L. hardjo, S. dublin; 5
years)
Average direct losses:
18/animal (testing risk
group); Benet:
5/animal
(compared with direct
losses 23/animal (no
testing); Average direct
losses: 22/animal
(testing all
animals): Benet:
1/animal
(compared with direct
losses 23/animal (no
testing)
Decision-Tree
analysis
N.S.=not specied; a not presented in million EUR; b presumed, c It was assumed that vaccination was only considered in BHV-1 introduction; N.B. Monetary values have been converted into euros (without adjusting for ination).
Prevention and/or mitigation activities in brackets were passively included in the calculation. Costs are expenses of prevention and/or mitigation activities, unless stated otherwise; Benets are e.g. losses prevented, new revenue,
economic value of testing; NPV = Net present value is dened as the sum of total discounted benets minus the sum of total discounted costs; Net benets/costs = Total costs are subtracted from the total benets.
1
http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/animal-products/cattle-beef/statistics-information.aspx (accessed 12 August 2016).
2
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/structure-of-the-livestock-industry-in-england-at-december (accessed 02 August 2016).
3
https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:IWLU5CR2wvcJ:https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment data/le/414334/structure-dec2014-uk-19mar15.
pdf+&cd=1&hl=de&ct=clnk&gl=at&client=refox-b (accessed 12 August 2016).
4
https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment data/le/69220/pb13572-cattlebook-2008-090804.pdf (accessed 12 August 2016).
5
https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:IWLU5CR2wvcJ:https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment data/le/414334/structure-dec2014-uk- 19mar15.
pdf+&cd=1&hl=de&ct=clnk&gl=at&client=refox-b (accessed 12 August 2016).
6
http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:oWcegphO9voJ:www.lic.co.nz/user/le/DAIRY%2520STATISTICS%25202012-13-WEB.pdf+&cd=2&hl=de&ct=clnk&gl=at&client=refox-b (accessed 12 August 2016).
7
The Netherland Guilder (NLG) no longer exists. However, the Dutch authorities have published an ofcial exchange rate to euros: http://www.dnb.nl/en/payments/exchanging-guilders/rules-for- exchanging-guilder-notes/
(accessed 12 August 2016).
8
http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:x055cHHl4hsJ:www.uni-mannheim.de/edz/pdf/statinf/04/KS-NN-04-008-EN-N-EN.pdf+&cd=1&hl=de&ct=clnk&gl=at&client=refox-b (accessed 12 August 2016).
ARTICLE IN PRESS
Prevention/Mitigation
activities
G Model
Country References
(Abbreviations of
Fig. 2)
Please cite this article in press as: Pinior, B., et al., A systematic review of nancial and economic assessments of bovine viral diarrhea
virus (BVDV) prevention and mitigation activities worldwide. PREVET (2016), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2016.12.014
Table 6 (Continued)
G Model
PREVET-4168; No. of Pages 16
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Fig. 2. Connection between the nancial and/or economic assessments of each country (gray blocks around the circumference refer to the country abbreviation) and the
corresponding areas in which the nancial and/or economic assessment was conducted: Control and eradication program (red), surveillance (yellow), prevention (biosecurity)
(green), vaccination (blue) and individual culling, control and diagnostic testing strategies (orange) are shown. The different colored lines in the circle represent the different
studies assigned to specic countries. One color is associated with each individual study. Each study of a particular country is labeled with an abbreviation consisting of the
rst two letters of the main author of the study and the associated year of the publication (the corresponding full name of the author and the study name can be found in
Table 46). The thickness of the line represents the different assignments of the studies to the three different classes (see Table 2). Studies in class 1 are represented with the
thickest line. (For interpretation of the references to color in this gure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.)
Please cite this article in press as: Pinior, B., et al., A systematic review of nancial and economic assessments of bovine viral diarrhea
virus (BVDV) prevention and mitigation activities worldwide. PREVET (2016), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2016.12.014
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13
Fig. 3. Study distribution was stratied by the analyzed nancial and economic factors (a), considered payers (b), applied nancial and economic (c) and statistical methods
(d). The studies were distinguished according to geographical level: national (green), regional (azure) and farm (brown) with respect to their nancial and/or economical
outcome. N.B. Fig. 2a, 2c and 2d contain duplicates. One study comprises both the costs and benets. Two studies include more than one nancial and/or economic methods
such as partial budget analysis and cost-benet analysis; Production function and linear programing. Fig. 2d covers a study, which applied a simulation model with a regression
analysis. (For interpretation of the references to color in this gure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.)
activities at the national level are justied economically after a specic time period. Additionally, some studies (Bitsch and Rnsholt,
1995; Houe, 1999, 2003) concluded that eradication in Denmark
would be also efcient if the direct (Houe et al., 1993) and indirect costs, calculated in different studies, would be compared. Only
one study from the United Kingdom showed that control measures
at the national level would not be economically justied (Bennett
and Done, 1986). No comparison of the costs and benets of control and/or eradication programs at the regional level were found.
It is perhaps surprising that no more studies concerning efciency
at the national or regional levels are available, in particular for
countries that conducted mitigation activities as part of compulsory or voluntary regulations,1 such as Austria, Belgium, Germany,
Sweden, Finland or regions in Canada, Italy, the Netherlands, the
United States, and Spain. Howe et al. (2012) emphasized the need
for a closer integration of economic frameworks in the planning of
animal disease mitigation activities. Reasons for the lack of assessments of the efciency of mitigation activities could be the difculty
in accessing or identifying economic data (Drewe et al., 2013) on a
large-scale and/or voluntary control and eradication activities, such
as in the Netherlands and United States, where a lack of national
coordination exists. A further reason could be that animal health
economics is a relatively young discipline (Houe, 2003) and these
methods have the potential to be improved (Howe et al., 2012). In
contrast to studies focusing on other animal diseases (Pinior et al.,
2015a), we did not nd nancial and/or economic assessments of
prevention and/or mitigation activities with regard to BVDV, which
revealed heterogeneous temporal and spatial distributions of the
costs and/or benets between different regions of a country.
However, the economic optimum depends on the monetary
benets of avoided production losses, monetary expenditure of
mitigation activities and technical efciency. Therefore, optimal
economic efciency (maximum net benet) of mitigation activities is dened when the marginal benets (prevented production
1
Legislation in some countries, such as Denmark, Austria, Germany, UK (Scotland), Ireland, Belgium and regions of Italy have been adjusted regarding voluntary
and compulsory control activities during the period covered by this systematic
review.
Please cite this article in press as: Pinior, B., et al., A systematic review of nancial and economic assessments of bovine viral diarrhea
virus (BVDV) prevention and mitigation activities worldwide. PREVET (2016), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2016.12.014
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5. Conclusion
Our analyses highlight a distinct lack of accurate economic studies regarding the efciency of BVDV prevention and/or mitigation
activities, in particular at national and regional levels, and with
respect to the individual production systems. Additionally, issues
were found in the methodology of some studies at all geographical
levels, such as neglecting price changes, discount rate or differences in cattle population size over time. Statistical analyses of
the reviewed studies could not be carried out due to the great
variability in study designs and outcomes. Consequently, no recommendations on economic prevention and/or mitigation strategies
can be made because this clearly depends on study, herd and
country-specic conditions. We can conrm the need for more
well-designed studies (e.g. strict implementation of economic efciency analyses) in animal health economics in order to support the
private and public sector in the decision-making process on prevention and/or mitigation activities and to demonstrate the long-term
economic efciency of these activities. To fulll this obligation,
however, researchers must gain access to reliable information on
costs and benets of prevention and/or mitigation activities, which
currently represent a limiting factor in the eld of animal health
economics.
Funding
This work was supported by the Project VET-Austria (B. Pinior
and V. Richter), a cooperation between the Austrian Federal Ministry of Health, the Austrian Agency for Health and Food Safety and
the University of Veterinary Medicine Vienna, Austria.
Please cite this article in press as: Pinior, B., et al., A systematic review of nancial and economic assessments of bovine viral diarrhea
virus (BVDV) prevention and mitigation activities worldwide. PREVET (2016), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2016.12.014
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Authors contributions
Conceived and designed the study: BP; Collected and analyzed
the data: BP, VR, CF, KL, JB. Translation of non-English studies: BP,
CF, VR, MT, MD, SH; Supervised the data analysis: BP, WO, PW,
AK; Wrote the paper: BP, CF; Incorporated all changes during the
revision process: BP.
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