Wind Energy Potential in Pakistan

Dr. Muhammad Ajmal

Lecturer, Agri. Engg. UET Peshawar

HISTORIC SUPPLY AND DEMAND

20000

15000

10000

5000

2010-11

2009-10

2008-09

2007-08

2006-07

2005-06

-5000

2004-05

-10000
Computed Peak Demand

Corresponding Supply

Surplus/ Shortfall

ENERGY SITUATION IN PAKISTAN

(FROM A DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE)
Pakistan is facing increasing power shortage from the last two decades.
The Government of Pakistan (GoP) has taken various remedial measures and
is offering incentives for private investment to generate electricity at cheap
rates.
New hydropower dams were proposed in the past, such as Kalabagh Dam,
Diamer-Bhasha Dam etc. but could not be commissioned to date.

Fossil fuels are depleting and oil has to be imported for oil-red power
plants, which is highly expensive and a burden for the country's economy.

ENERGY SITUATION IN PAKISTAN

(FROM A DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE)
This scenario has raised serious concerns among citizens.
In this frustrating situation, there is dire need for exploration and installation of
alternate renewable energy resources, in particular, wind energy and solar
energy to augment the existing power generation and distribution apparatus.
Pakistan has enormous wind energy potential, especially in three of its four
provinces namely, Khyber Pakhtun Khwa (KP), Sindh, and Balochistan. The
fourth province, Punjab, has very limited wind energy potential.
The country's multifarious terrain includes coastal and hilly areas suitable for
installation of large wind turbines.

ENERGY SITUATION IN PAKISTAN

(FROM A DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE)
Total Population:

> 180 Million

Total installed power generation capacity: 22,800 MW (mainly hydel,

thermal and nuclear sources).
Demand: 16,500 MW (summer) and 10,000 MW (winter).
Electricity Available to:

61%

(70 Million without power)

Natural Gas Available to:

21%

(140 Million without piped gas)

Diesel Imports:

4.5 Million Tones (50%)

Yet there is shortages of Gas and Electricity for the faster growing
population and urbanization leading to load shedding.

Increase in prices of modern commercial fuel, its lack of availability is

forcing the consumer to step down on the energy ladder to biomass.

Needed Power Capacity

20072030 (Countrywide)
120000

Annual Growth Percentage = 8%

113695

100000

80000

80566

MW

60000
54359
40000
36217
20000

24474
18883

0
2007

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

Years

Source of Growth Rate : PEPCO , P&D Div

Why Alternative Energy For

Pakistan?
Reduced dependence on Imported Oil:
2011 Oil Import Bill:

$11+ Billion

60% of the total Export Earnings

2015 Oil Import Bill US $ 38 Billion (ADB
Estimate)
200% of the National Export Earnings
Renewable Energy Potential:
Wind*:

346,000 MW

Solar*:

2.9 Million MW

Hydro :

58,000 MW

Bagasse

Energy
Source
Waste-toEnergy

5 -8 Cents

Small Hydro

6 9 Cents

Wind

14 Cents

Solar

20+ Cents
Expensive*

2,000 MW

Waste to Energy:

2,000 MW

RFO

Geothermal

2500 MW

(Thermal)

Off-Grid Application: 10,000 MW

Alternate Fuels

Cost/Unit

Large TBD

*dependant on fuel oil prices

Alternative Energy Development Board (AEDB)

(Act 2010)
Implement policies, programs and projects through private sector
in the field of Alternative Energy
Assist and facilitate development and generation of Alternative
Energy to achieve sustainable economic growth
Encourage transfer of technology and develop indigenous
manufacturing base for AE Technology
Promote provision of energy services that are based on
Alternative energy resources

Undertake RE projects on commercial scale

Wind Resource in Pakistan

350,000 MW National
Potential

50,000 MW in Sindh
Sites in Baluchistan, Punjab and Northern
Areas being identified.
A 60 km wide 170 km deep wind corridor
has been mapped at Gharo ~ Keti Bandar
having the potential to produce more than
60,000 megawatts (MW)

WIND MEASURING SITES IN SINDH

Wind Measuring Masts Gharo

Wind Corridor

BHAMBORE

KHUTTIKUN

JHAMPIR

Wind Power Class and Density in Pakistan

Pakistan's Wind Resource Assessment

18

19

FEASIBILITY STUDY
20

Feasibility studies for 50 MW wind power projects submitted by thirteen (13) IPPs
namely:

Green Power Pvt Ltd

Beacon Energy
New Park Energy
Tenaga Generasi Ltd
Zephyr Power Pvt Ltd.
Dawood Power Ltd
Zorlu Enerji Pakistan Ltd
Fauji Fertilizer Company Ltd.
Arabian Sea Wind Energy Pvt. Ltd.
Makwind Pvt. Ltd.
Master Wind Energy (Pvt.) Ltd.
Lucky Energy Pvt. Ltd.
Sapphire Wind Power Company (Pvt.) Ltd

Some Wind Energy Projects in Pakistan

49.5 MW Wind Power Project of Fauji Fertilizer Company

(FFC) Energy Limited Under Construction, Karachi

56.4 MW Wind Power Project of Zorlu Enerji under

construction

Construction / civil works at 49.5 MW wind project

of M/s Three Gorges Pakistan, Sindh

Progress Status of First 550 MW WPPs

Name of Project

Capacity
(MW)

Project Cost
(Million USD)

Expected
Financial
Close

Expected
Completion

Cumulative

Fauji Fertilizer

50

133.56

Under
Construction

11-Jun

12-Sep

50 MW

Zorlu Enerji Pak

56

143.60

Under
Construction

12-Mar

12-Nov

106 MW

12-Jun

12-Nov

156 MW

Three Gorges

50

134.75

Under
Construction

Foundation 1

50

128.69

-Awaiting Tariff

12-Mar

13-Mar

206 MW

Foundation 2

50

128.70

-Awaiting Tariff

12-Mar

13-Mar

256 MW

Lucky Energy

50

132.53

-Tariff Received-

12-Apr

13-Apr

306 MW

Sapphire Power

50

128.87

-Awaiting Tariff-

12-Jun

13-Jun

356 MW

Tenaga Generasi

50

129.67

-do-

12-Jun

13-Jun

406 MW

Metro Power

50

132.56

-do-

12-May

13-May

456 MW

10

Master Energy

50

133.68

-do-

12-Aug

13-Aug

506 MW

11

Gul Ahmed

50

132.87

-do-

12-Jun

13-Jun

556 MW

List of Fast Track Wind Power Projects

Sr. No.

Company Name

Project Capacity

1.

NBT Wind Power (Norway)

500 MW

2.

Titan Energy Pakistan (Pvt.) Ltd.

10 MW

3.

Tapal Wind Energy (Pvt.) Ltd.

10 MW

4.
5.

Ismail Power Limited

Fina Energy (Turkey)

10 MW
250 MW

6.

FFC Energy

100 MW

7.

Japan Green Power (Japan)

50 MW

8.

Associate Technologies

100 MW

9.

Anadulo Wind Pakistan

50 MW

10.

China Sunnec Energy (Pvt.) Ltd

11
12.

System Wind Energy (Turkey)

Hydro China

50 MW
50 MW
300 MW

13.

HZ Wind Power (CHINA)

100 MW
1582.4 MW

Pakistan: Investors Choice Destination

Norway, Turkey, Iran, Germany

USA, China and Japan

2012:

500 MW

2013:

800 MW

2014

+:

Next Focus:

1000 ++
Indigenous Manufacturing

Renewable Target 2020:

9700 MW

Wind Sector is attracting the largest

investment of any sectors in Pakistan

Come invest in the Pakistan Wind Sector

Wind Risk

Project Site Availability

Feed in Tariff

Standard Agreements
ADB Counter Guarantee
Free Repatriation
Extraordinary Returns
Special Incentives for local Manufacturer

References
1. http://www.aedb.org
2.

Sajjad Haider Shami, Jameel Ahmad, Raheel Zafar, Muhammad

Haris, Sajid Bashir (2016). Evaluating wind energy potential in
Pakistan's three provinces, with proposal for integration into
national
power
grid.
Renewable
and
Sustainable Energy Reviews, 53, 408-421.

Thank You