JAPAN 6-20 Chelsea Team 2010

1/4 Chelsea
JAPAN LECTURE
Speaker: Bill Batterman

I. Where topic knowledge comes from

a. Wikipedia
i. Self defense forces, constitution, article 9, relations, treaty of mutual coop
ii. cites
b. scholarly papers
i. jo international security, jo Japanese studies, Washington quarterly
ii. Journal of Current History
iii. Foreign Affairs (Council on Foreign Relations)c. investigate policy proposals
c. scholarly papers
i. think-tank:
1. Heritage foundation
2. CATO
3. American enterprise institute
4. Brookings institute
5. center for Strategic International Studies
ii. Japan specific:
1. Japan foundation
2. Japan Policy Research Institute
iii. synthesis:
1. identify areas of controversy
2. trace back to history
3. learn major perspectives
II. Historical Background
a. WWII
i. Japan surrenders
ii. Constitution establishes democratic gov.
1. Article 9 limited Japans ability to wage war
a. ARTICLE 9. Aspiring sincerely to an international peace based on justice and order,
the Japanese people forever renounce war as a sovereign right of the nation and the
threat or use of force as means of settling international disputes. (2) To accomplish the
aim of the preceding paragraph, land, sea, and air forces, as well as other war potential,
will never be maintained. The right of belligerency of the state will not be recognized.
b. Japanese Self Defense Force can only act on Japanese islands
i. Started working with UN peacekeeping operations
ii. Members are civil servants
iii. No military secrets, laws, special protections
c. Treaty of Mutual Cooperation & Security
i. US & Japan
ii. US helps defend Japan
iii. Takes away Japans right to establish a military
III. Current Issues
a. The US-Jap Alliance
i. 50th anniversary of TMCS
ii. US - http://tokyo.usembassy.gov/e/p/tp-20100119-72.html
Japan -
1. US presence disliked by Japanese gov.
a. Not necessary
b. Abide by ILAW
c. Share multiparty politics
d. Ensure real democracy
JAPAN 6-20 Chelsea Team 2010
2/4 Chelsea
iii. US Military presence in Japan
1. USFJ
2. 35K troops
3. 5K under DoD
4. 3rd marine based in Yokisawa
5. Air force in Masawa and Kodina
iv. Japanese Politics
1. Democratic party of japan (has control)
a. Leftist, progressive
b. modernize
2. Liberal Democratic Party
a. Held power for 54 years until 09
b. Center, right conservative party
3. People
a. Ichiro Hubasaki ambassador to US
b. John V. Russe US ambassador to Japan
c. Yukiro Hatiama former PM (Dem party)
i. Pledged to get US out of Okinawa
ii. Resigned (6-2-10) due to pressure/ failure over Okinawa
d. Nayoto Kahn new PM
4. Okinawa & Futenma
a. Guam Agreement (06)
i. Relocate troops to Guam, move base to less-populated area
ii. Need too cool tensions and ensure success
1. More realistic
2. Agree what will be built
a. Gov. power to block construction of base
b. Make election not about Okinawa
iii. 06 agreement to move to Futenma part of broader realignment in Japan
1. Marine corp expansions
2. USS GW fighters will relocate
3. Tankers will vacate
4. Reduce chances of catastrophes
5. DoD said unless 06 agreement is completed, no pieces will be
done
a. Okinawa protests
b. Futenma protests
c. Mayor not host GW in wing
d. Move nukes
6. Effects:
a. Isolate Japan
i. Paralysis of Japanese natl security
b. Alienate US military presence
i. Damage credibility
ii. Undermine US intervention in western pacific
-OR-
c. Futenma decision will reduce DPJ decisions
d. Broader unease over DPJ
e. Alliance in question
f. Minimize fallout over bilateral security
g. Coalition partners and factions will feel betrayed
h. Alliance key to democracy
i. Current admin needs to ^ public diplomacy
IV. Adv. & DA
JAPAN 6-20 Chelsea Team 2010
3/4 Chelsea
a. US Jap relations & the alliance
i. Withdrawal:
1. Improve relations
2. Resolve trouble spot in the alliance
-OR-
3. Hurt relations
4. Distance countries
b. CP
i. relocate withdrawn troops to x spot
ii. delay withdrawal
iii. condition plan on Japan reciprocating
iv. consult Japan
1. dont be an ignorant asshole
c. US- Jap relations, relation with other countries
i. Relations with other countries
1. China & Taiwan
a. Okinawa on South China Sea
b. Japan afraid of Chinese aggression
c. US presence necessary to deter China/ reassure Taiwan
-OR-
d. May spur Chinese nationalism, Chinese military buildup
2. Options
a. Adv. CPs intl CPs
b. CP have another country fill in (ie. Indian Aid)
i. Legitimacy of other country fiat
3. US presence stays
a. North Korean aggression
b. Chinese aggression
c. Major conflict
d. CP Other countries prevent x.
i. Australia, India, etc.
4. Japanese Power
a. Soft power gives credibility
b. US alliance boosts Jap sopo
c. Japan leader on nuclear disarming
i. Rid world of nukes good or bad
d. Rearmament post US alliance
i. Will they rearm? =
1. Arms race
2. Chinese conflict
ii. Or wont they? =
1. Susceptibility to Chinese attack
e. CP for Japan to do it themselves = stupid
i. Object fiat bad
ii. Call shenanigans
5. Jap Politics
a. Increase spending for military
i. Tradeoff pltx
ii. Hatiamas Futenma decision gutted other decisions, gutted approval
b. Determine which political party gains power
i. Good or bad?
c. Alliance issues
i. Gut democracy?
6. US hegemony
JAPAN 6-20 Chelsea Team 2010
4/4 Chelsea
a. Is Japanese presence sustainable?
b. Peaceful transition of power?
c. Will withdrawal show weakness?
i. Global rivals
d. Soldier relocation?
e. Adv. CP to bolster heg
i. Remove x from y
ii. Add x to y
f. Find/predict Obama/gov. response to such resolutions
7. Human Rights
a. Girl raped at Okinawa before agreement
i. Military leader responded with prostitution CP
ii. Japs horrified
iii. = protests, etc.
b. = human rights ground
8. Okinawa Occupation
a. Proposed base goes against democracy, hurts ecosystems, etc.
b. DoD violated laws when new base constructed on sacred lands
c. K lit:
i. Cuomo lit
ii. Du gong case
iii. Orientalism Pan K
1. Napf.org
iv. Imperialism
v. Discourse in US-Jap relations