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Classifying projects
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and Environmental
Projects
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Payback Period
The payback method is the amount of time required for a firm to recover its initial investment in
a project, as calculated from cash inflows.
Decision criteria:
The length of the maximum acceptable payback period is determined by management.
If the payback period is less than the maximum acceptable payback period, accept the project.
If the payback period is greater than the maximum acceptable payback period, reject the project.
In year 1, the firm will recover $28,000 of its $45,000 initial investment.
By the end of year 2, $40,000 ($28,000 from year 1 + $12,000 from year 2) will have been recovered.
At the end of year 3, $50,000 will have been recovered.
Only 50% of the year-3 cash inflow of $10,000 is needed to complete the payback of the initial
$45,000.
The payback period for project B is therefore 2.5 years (2 years + 50% of year 3).
A second weakness is that this approach fails to take fully into account
the time factor in the value of money.
A third weakness of payback is its failure to recognize cash flows that
occur after the payback period.
Consider the example of Projects X and Y. Both projects have a discounted payback period close to three
years. Project X actually adds more value but is not distinguished from Project Y using this approach.
Year
0
20.00
20.00
19.05
19.05
80.95
80.95
50.00
50.00
45.35
45.35
35.60
35.60
45.00
45.00
38.87
38.87
3.27
3.27
60.00
0.00
49.36
0.00
52.63
3.27
where
CFt = After-tax cash flow at time t
r
If the NPV is greater than 0, the firm will earn a return greater than its cost of capital. Such action
should increase the market value of the firm, and therefore the wealth of its owners by an amount
equal to the NPV.
Problem
Consider the Hoofdstad Project, which requires an investment of $1 billion initially, with subsequent
cash flows of $200 million, $300 million, $400 million, and $500 million. We can characterize the
project with the following end-of-year cash flows:
What is the net present value of the Hoofdstad Project if the required rate of return of this project is
5%?
NPV = $219.47 million
If the IRR is less than the cost of capital, reject the project.
Capital project destroys value
These criteria guarantee that the firm will earn at least its required return. Such an outcome should
increase the market value of the firm and, therefore, the wealth of its owners.
Comparing the two projects IRRs, we would prefer project B over project A
because IRRB = 21.7% > IRRA = 19.9%.
Despite its theoretical superiority, however, financial managers prefer to use the IRR
approach just as often as the NPV method because of the preference for rates of
return.
Discount all the negative cash flows at firms financing cost and add them.
2.
Compounds all the positive cash flows at the firms cost of capital and add them.
3. Now, we have one initial cash outlay on year 0 and one future cash inflow at the end the
last year. Assume all the cash flows in between as 0.
4.
Example
Year
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Cash Flows
(CF)
-2,000.00
1,000.00
1,000.00
-4,000.00
3,000.00
3,000.00
3,000.00
PV of
Negative CFs
-2,000.00
FV of
Positive CFs
1,762.34
1,573.52
-2,630.06
-4,630.06
3,763.20
3,360.00
3,000.00
13,459.06
MIRR
-4,630.06
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
13,459.06
19.46%
Chapter Summary
Capital budgeting techniques are the tools used to assess project acceptability and ranking. Applied
to each projects relevant cash flows, they indicate which capital expenditures are consistent with
the firms goal of maximizing owners wealth.
The payback period is the amount of time required for the firm to recover its initial investment, as
calculated from cash inflows. Shorter payback periods are preferred. Its weaknesses include lack of
linkage to the wealth maximization goal, failure to consider time value explicitly, and the fact that it
ignores cash flows that occur after the payback period.
NPV measures the amount of value created by a given project; only positive NPV projects are
acceptable. The rate at which cash flows are discounted in calculating NPV is called the discount
rate, required return, cost of capital, or opportunity cost.
Like NPV, IRR is a sophisticated capital budgeting technique. IRR is the compound annual rate of
return that the firm will earn by investing in a project and receiving the given cash inflows. We
accept only projects with IRRs in excess of the firms cost of capital to enhance its market value
and the wealth of its owners.