RD-Brescia 2016

ZINC DIE CASTING IN EUROPE

HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF
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ZINC ALLOY HISTORY

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ZINC ALLOY CONSUMPTION

THE BEGINNING
450000
400000
350000
300000
250000
200000
150000
100000
50000
Source: ZDA/SGM/EZI/IZA/SD

0
1945

1955

1965

1975

1985

1995

2005

2015

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ZINC ALLOY CONSUMPTION IN EUROPE

DECLINE DUE TO PLASTIC
450000
400000
350000
300000

tons

250000
200000
150000
100000
50000
Source: ZDA/SGM/EZI/IZA/SD

0
1945

1955

1965

1975

1985

1995

2005

2015

year

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ZINC ALLOY CONSUMPTION IN EUROPE

FIRST OIL CRISIS
450000
400000
350000
300000

tons

250000
200000
150000
100000
50000
Source: ZDA/SGM/EZI/IZA/SD

0
1945

1955

1965

1975

1985

1995

2005

2015

year

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ZINC ALLOY CONSUMPTION IN EUROPE

THE RECOVERY
450000

400000

350000

300000

250000

200000

150000

100000

50000
Source: ZDA/SGM/EZI/IZA/SD

0
1945

1955

1965

1975

1985

1995

2005

2015

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ZINC ALLOY CONSUMPTION IN EUROPE

SECOND OIL CRISIS
450000

400000

350000

tons

300000
250000

200000

150000

100000

50000
Source: ZDA/SGM/EZI/IZA/SD

0
1945

1955

1965

1975

1985

1995

2005

2015

year

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ZINC ALLOY CONSUMPTION IN EUROPE

NATURAL GROWTH OF EUROPE
450000
400000
350000
300000

tons

250000
200000
150000

100000
50000
Source: ZDA/SGM/EZI/IZA/SD

0
1945

1955

1965

1975

1985

1995

2005

2015

year

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ZINC ALLOY CONSUMPTION IN EUROPE

FALL OF THE BERLIN WALL
450000

400000

350000

300000

tons

250000
200000

150000

100000

50000
Source: ZDA/SGM/EZI/IZA/SD

0
1945

1955

1965

1975

1985

1995

2005

2015

year

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ZINC ALLOY CONSUMPTION IN EUROPE

TWO DECADES OF NATURAL GROWTH
450000
400000

3.5%pa
350000
300000

tons

250000
200000
150000
100000
50000
0
1945

1955

1965

1975

1985

1995

2005

2015

year
Source: ZDA/SGM/EZI/IZA/SD

10

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ZINC ALLOY CONSUMPTION IN EUROPE

9-11 EFFECT
500000
450000
400000
350000

tons

300000
250000
200000
150000
100000
50000
0
1940

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

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ZINC ALLOY CONSUMPTION IN EUROPE

FIRST FINANCIAL HICK UP
450000
400000
350000
300000

tons

250000
200000
150000
100000
50000
Source: ZDA/SGM/EZI/IZA/SD

0
1945

1955

1965

1975

1985

1995

2005

2015

year

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ZINC ALLOY CONSUMPTION IN EUROPE

THE FINANCIAL CRISIS
500000
450000
400000
350000

250000
200000
150000
100000
50000

2015

2010

2005

2000

1995

1990

year

1985

1980

1975

1970

1965

1960

1955

1950

0
1945

Tons

300000

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ZINC ALLOY CONSUMPTION

EUROPEAN RECOVERY AND SECOND CRISIS

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GDP EUROPE

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BUSINESS CLIMAT

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BUILDING ACTIVITY

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AUTOMOTIVE PRODUCTION

Source : www.ACEA.be

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REGISTRATIONS 90MILJ IN THE WORLD

19,3milj

2,6milj

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PROGNOSES IN EUROPEAN AUTOMOTIV INDUSTRY

Today still a production capacity of more then 20 milj cars annually

Already overcapacities will be cut out in the next decade

Demographic figures show that 11 milj cars is sufficient for Europe
in 2050

Conclusion still 10 big or 20 small assembly lines need to be

closed
List is long : Ford (Genk) Opel (Bochum) Volvo (?) Fiat group (4)
PSA (3) Renault (2) Mercedes (?) VW group (?) BMW (?)

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NEW SECTOR FOR ZINC DIECASTING

Medical applications
Growing

market with a figure of over 5,5 % in

Europe
Needs a lot of convincing effort from the zinc
industry to achieve succes
Selfcare will be growing in the next decades

New technologies take their share

Runnerless

production techniques

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PROGNOSED ZAMAK MARKET BREAKDOWNS

European segmantation 2004 376kt

toys&sports
4%

decoration
3%

others
8%

automotive
27%

clothing
5%

European segmentation 2050 ~350kt

electro/electric
10%
building
43%

toys&sport
3%

decoration others
6%
3%

automotiv
21%

clothing
4%

Growth without
extra effort of
Development/Marketing

electro/electric
12%
building
51%

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