TargetSmart/William & Mary Release Final 2016 Election Survey of Ohio Early and Likely Voters

CONTACT:
Coleman Bass
TargetSmart Communications, LLC
Press@TargetSmart.com
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: 11/6/16
Final TargetSmart/William & Mary Poll Shows Narrow Trump Advantage in Ohio
-Clinton Goes Into Election Day With Lead Among Early VotersNovember 6, 2016 Hillary Clinton narrowly trails Donald Trump in the contest for Ohios 18 electoral votes,
according to a new poll released today by TargetSmart and William & Mary. Overall Clinton sits at 40 percent and
Trump garners 43 percent of the vote.
The poll included a sample of Ohio voters who have already participated via either absentee voting or early in-person
voting, based on reporting from the Ohio Secretary of State that is tracked on TargetSmarts voter file. Among these
early voters, the survey finds Clinton with a 7-point lead over Trump, 48 to 41 percent.
Our poll suggests that Secretary Clinton has banked substantially more votes ahead of the election than Trump.
Moreover, as we saw in our recent research in Florida among early voters, a significant number of Republicans have
already crossed over to support Clinton, said TargetSmart pollster Ben Lazarus.
The survey shows Clinton captured the support of 10 percent of self-described Republicans who voted early, while
81 percent voted for Trump. In contrast, Trump received the support of 4 percent of self-described Democrats who
participated early, with 90 percent voting for Clinton.
Clinton is also bolstered by a favorable gender gap among early voters; she holds a 23-point advantage over Trump
among early voting women (55 to 32 percent) while Trumps edge among early voting men is just 14-points (53 to 39
percent). Notably, Clinton also banked substantial support in the early voting window among white women, topping
Trump 49 to 37 percent among them, and making the contest among early voting whites incredibly competitive; 43
percent for Clinton to 46 percent for Trump. This poll also shows Clinton carrying 81 percent of Ohios non-white
early vote, with 10 percent backing Trump.
Trumps overall lead in the poll is driven by a 6-point advantage, 44 to 38 percent, among voters who have not voted
early. Trump is bolstered by a lead among white men who have yet to participate, attracting 57 percent of the vote
among them to Clintons 27 percent.
This data shows the ground game is running on all cylinders in Ohio, but given the trend among early voters, the
poll suggests the Clinton campaign turnout efforts have been more impactful to date, Lazarus remarked.
Roughly 4-in-10 voters report having been contacted by someone in support of each candidate.
However, there is evidence in this survey that Clintons efforts have been more accurately targeted, said Ron
Rapoport, John Marshall Professor of Government at William & Mary. Rapoport continued, Among early voters who
report that they have been contacted by someone in support of Secretary Clinton, she leads by a healthy 62 to 25
percent margin. Interestingly, early voters who report having been contacted by Trump also favor him, but by a
comparatively smaller 54 to 37 percent margin.
###
About TargetSmart:
TargetSmart is the leading provider of political data that enables campaigns and organizations to successfully communicate with
large audiences, and personalize outreach. Our superior politically-focused, consultative approach combines consumer data,
databases, data integration and consulting solutions for personalized multichannel marketing strategies. TargetSmart leverages
over 25 years of experience in data management to deliver high-performance, reliable data products and solutions.
About William & Mary:
William & Mary is a public university located in Williamsburg, Virginia. Founded by Royal Charter in 1693, it is the second oldest
institution of higher education in the United States. U.S. News and World Report ranks William & Mary sixth among all public
universities in the country.
TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Ohio Statewide
Survey Methodology
The TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll was conducted using a blended web/phone data collection
approach. A total of 1194 interviews were conducted, including 794 online and 400 over the phone. Online
interviews were conducted from October 31-November 3, 2016 among panelists from six leading online
opt-in panel providers who were matched to the TargetSmart voter file. Telephone interviews were
conducted by professional callers from November 2-3, 2016 to supplement the online sample, with
telephone numbers for targeted populations being selected at random from the TargetSmart voter file.
Of the 1194 total interviews, 497 were conducted among respondents who voted early in the 2016
general election, either absentee or in-person, according to data from the Ohio Secretary of State that was
matched back to the TargetSmart voter file. These respondents were weighted down to an effective sample
size of 160 so that the early vote sub-sample represents 17 percent of the overall sample, which is the
percent of registered voters, as of the morning of November 4, 2016, who have voted early according to
data from the Ohio Secretary of State that was matched back to the TargetSmart voter file. The early vote
data were weighted to reflect population parameters on TargetSmart Partisanship Score, TargetSmart 2016
General Election Turnout Score, age, gender, race, and media market of the overall population of early
voters in Ohio who had participated as of the morning of November 4, 2016.
Of the 1194 total interviews, 697 were conducted among respondents who had NOT voted early in
the 2016 general election, either absentee or in-person, as of the morning of November 4, 2016, according
to data from the Ohio Secretary of State that was matched back to the TargetSmart voter file. The nonearly vote data were weighted using a two-step process to yield a likely voter model. First, the non-early
vote sample was weighted to reflect population parameters on TargetSmart Partisanship Score,
TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout Score, age, gender, race and media market of the overall
population of all registered voters in Ohio who had NOT participated as of the morning of November 4,
2016. Then, to derive a likely voter model, a second round of weighting was employed on the non-early
vote sample only, in which weights were assigned to each respondent in proportion to their TargetSmart
2016 General Election Turnout score, with higher weights being assigned to respondents with a higher
likelihood to vote, and lower weights assigned to respondents with a lower likelihood to vote.
The TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout model is an ensemble method classifier model that
was created to predict the likelihood that an individual will vote in the 2016 general election. In this second
round of weighting all early voter respondents were assigned a weight of 1, to reflect the fact that they
have already voted. No margins of sampling error are calculated for this survey, as this statistic is only
applicable to fully randomly sampled surveys, which this survey is not due to its partial reliance on online
interviews. As weighted, the sample size for non-early voters is 684.
The total effective sample size for early voters and non-early voters combined is 844. As weighted,
657 interviews come from online respondents and 197 interviews come from telephone respondents.
1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005
targetsmart.com
October 31- November 3, 2016

844 Respondents (1194 Unweighted)
160 Respondents who have voted early (497 Unweighted)
684 Respondents who have not voted early (697 Unweighted)

Ohio Statewide
Frequencies
First of all, are you registered to vote in Ohio?
.....................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Yes
.....................................................................................................................................................
100
.No
.....................................................................................................................................................
(TERMINATE)
.
Now I'm going to read you the names of several political figures, and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very
favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable. If you have no opinion or have never heard of that
person, please say so.
A. Hillary Clinton
B. Donald Trump
Very
Fav
18
18
Smwt
Fav
17
21
Smwt
Unfav
13
12
Very
Unfav
50
47
(No
Opin/Ntrl)
1
2
(Never
heard)
0
0
(Prefer not
to
Total
answer)
Fav
0
36
0
38
Total
Unfav
63
60
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

.....................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Strongly
approve
.....................................................................................................................................................
26
.Somewhat
approve
.....................................................................................................................................................
21
.Somewhat
disapprove
.....................................................................................................................................................
19
.Strongly
disapprove
.....................................................................................................................................................
33
.(Don't
know/prefer not to answer)
.....................................................................................................................................................
1
.
.....................................................................................................................................................
.Total
approve
.....................................................................................................................................................
47
.Total
.....................................................................................................................................................
disapprove
52
.
.....................................................................................................................................................
.Total
approve - Total disapprove
.....................................................................................................................................................
-5
.
Fav
Unfav
-27
-21
TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Ohio Statewide: Frequencies, October 31-November 3, 2016
In the election for President this November, if the election were held today and the candidates were: Democrat Hillary Clinton,
Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein -- for whom would you vote/for whom did
you vote?
....................................................................................................................................................................
Early Non
Total
.
Voter
EV
Total
Hillary Clinton
....................................................................................................................................................................
40
48
38
.Total
....................................................................................................................................................................
Donald Trump
43
41
44
.Total
Gary Johnson
....................................................................................................................................................................
8
4
9
.Total
....................................................................................................................................................................
Jill Stein
3
2
4
.Total
Other Candidate
....................................................................................................................................................................
4
1
5
.Total
Would not vote
....................................................................................................................................................................
1
2
1
.Total
....................................................................................................................................................................
Undecided
1
1
0
.....................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
Clinton - Total Trump
....................................................................................................................................................................
-3
7
-6
.
Has anyone in support of Hillary Clinton ______________ - yes or no?
Directly contacted you by phone or in person at your home?
Contacted you in any other way?
Yes
25
30
No (Not sure)
70
5
64
5
Yes
21
30
No (Not sure)
73
6
64
6
Has anyone in support of Donald Trump ______________ - yes or no?

Directly contacted you by phone or in person at your home?
Contacted you in any other way?
In the last several weeks have you seen any ______________ - yes or no?
Positive television advertisements about Hillary Clinton?
Positive television advertisements about Donald Trump?
Yes
80
73
No
18
24
(Not sure)
2
3
Negative television advertisements about Hillary Clinton?
89
Negative television advertisements about Donald Trump?
92
TargetSmart Communications LLC
targetsmart.com
Now, I'd like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat,
a Republican, an independent, or something else?
.....................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Strong
Democrat
.....................................................................................................................................................
20
.Weak
.....................................................................................................................................................
Democrat
14
.Independent-lean
Democrat
.....................................................................................................................................................
10
.Independent
.....................................................................................................................................................
14
.Independent-lean
.....................................................................................................................................................
Republican
11
.Weak
Republican
.....................................................................................................................................................
13
.Strong
Republican
.....................................................................................................................................................
19
.(Don't
.....................................................................................................................................................
know/Refused)
0
.
.....................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
.....................................................................................................................................................
34
.Independent
.....................................................................................................................................................
with Leaners
34
.Republican
.....................................................................................................................................................
32
.
.....................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
.....................................................................................................................................................
- Republican
2
.
.....................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
.....................................................................................................................................................
and Ind. Lean Dem
44
.Pure
Independent
.....................................................................................................................................................
14
.Republican
.....................................................................................................................................................
and Ind. Lean Repub
43
.
.....................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
.....................................................................................................................................................
and Ind. Lean Dem - Republican and Ind. Lean Repub
1
.
In what year were you born?
.....................................................................................................................................................
Total
.18
.....................................................................................................................................................
- 24
5
.25
- 29
.....................................................................................................................................................
11
.30
.....................................................................................................................................................
- 34
8
.35
.....................................................................................................................................................
- 39
7
.40
- 44
.....................................................................................................................................................
9
.45
.....................................................................................................................................................
- 49
7
.50
.....................................................................................................................................................
- 54
8
.55
- 59
.....................................................................................................................................................
11
.60
.....................................................................................................................................................
- 64
10
.Over
.....................................................................................................................................................
64
24
.(No
answer)
.....................................................................................................................................................
0
.
.....................................................................................................................................................
.18
- 49
.....................................................................................................................................................
47
.50
and over
.....................................................................................................................................................
52
.
targetsmart.com
Sex of Respondent
.....................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Male
.....................................................................................................................................................
48
.Female
.....................................................................................................................................................
52
.
What is your race?
.....................................................................................................................................................
Total
.White
.....................................................................................................................................................
82
.Black
.....................................................................................................................................................
13
.Hispanic
.....................................................................................................................................................1
.Asian/Pacific
Islander
.....................................................................................................................................................
1
.Other
.....................................................................................................................................................1
.Prefer
not to answer
.....................................................................................................................................................
0
.
Early vote from file

.....................................................................................................................................................
Total
......................................................................................................................................................
Early Voter
19
.Not
Early Voter
.....................................................................................................................................................
81
.
targetsmart.com
October 31-November 3, 2016

Voted Status
Ohio Statewide
Party ID
Total
Early Vote
Not EV
Dem
Ind
Rep
Total Answering
(844)
(160)
(684)
(285)
(287)
(270)
Total Answering (unweighted)
(1194)
(497)
(697)
(400)
(396)
(395)
Total Hillary Clinton

Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
Total Other Candidate
40
43
8
3
4
48
41
4
2
1
38
44
9
4
5
79
11
5
3
3
32
40
13
7
5
8
80
5
0
5
(Undecided)
Total Would not vote
Total Clinton - Total Trump
-3
-6
68
-8
-73
Total Answering
(844)
(160)
(684)
(285)
(287)
(270)
(1194)
(497)
(697)
(400)
(396)
(395)
18 - 34
24
13
27
23
28
21
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
23
29
24
13
31
42
26
28
19
24
28
25
24
27
20
22
32
26
18 - 49
50 and over
47
52
26
73
52
48
47
52
52
47
42
58
Total Answering
(844)
(160)
(684)
(285)
(287)
(270)
(1194)
(497)
(697)
(400)
(396)
(395)
48
52
43
57
50
50
38
62
56
44
52
48
Four Way Presidential Vote
Respondent age
Respondent gender
Male
Female
targetsmart.com

EV Party ID
Total
EV Dem
EV Ind
Ohio Statewide
Not EV Party ID
EV Rep
Not EV
Dem
Not EV Ind Not EV Rep

Total Answering
(844)
(61)
(45)
(53)
(224)
(242)
(218)
(1194)
(185)
(147)
(162)
(215)
(249)
(233)

Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
40
43
8
3
4
90
4
4
1
0
37
46
6
6
3
10
81
3
2
76
13
5
3
3
31
39
15
7
6
7
80
6
0
6
(Undecided)
-3
86
-8
-71
63
-8
-73
Respondent age
Total Answering
(844)
(61)
(45)
(53)
(224)
(242)
(218)
(1194)
(185)
(147)
(162)
(215)
(249)
(233)
18 - 34
24
15
14
26
31
23
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
23
29
24
13
30
40
12
32
39
13
29
49
27
27
20
26
26
17
24
32
21
18 - 49
50 and over
47
52
28
71
26
71
22
78
52
48
57
43
47
53
Respondent gender
Total Answering
(844)
(61)
(45)
(53)
(224)
(242)
(218)
(1194)
(185)
(147)
(162)
(215)
(249)
(233)
48
52
32
68
48
52
53
47
39
61
58
42
51
49
Male
Female
targetsmart.com

Gender
Early Vote/Gender
Ohio Statewide
Not EV/Gender
EV Women
Not EV
Men
Not EV
Women
(69)
(91)
(340)
(344)
(238)
(259)
(321)
(376)
39
53
1
3
2
55
32
6
1
1
34
49
7
2
6
42
38
10
5
4
-15
-14
23
-15
(844)
(409)
(435)
(69)
(91)
(340)
(344)
(1194)
(559)
(635)
(238)
(259)
(321)
(376)
24
23
25
12
13
25
28
23
29
24
12
30
35
34
27
13
10
25
52
15
35
35
12
31
32
39
26
7
47
52
35
65
59
40
22
78
28
70
37
63
67
33
Total Answering
(844)
(409)
(435)
(69)
(91)
(340)
(344)
(1194)
(559)
(635)
(238)
(259)
(321)
(376)
48
52
100
-
100
100
-
100
100
-
100
Total
Men
Women
Total Answering
(844)
(409)
(435)
(1194)
(559)
(635)

Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
40
43
8
3
4
35
50
6
2
5
45
37
9
5
4
(Undecided)
-3
Total Answering
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
18 - 49
50 and over
EV Men
Respondent age
Respondent gender
Male
Female
targetsmart.com

Race
Total
Ohio Statewide
Age
White
Black
Non White
18 - 49
50 and
over

Total Answering
(844)
(694)
(113)
(147)
(399)
(443)
(1194)
(1034)
(100)
(149)
(467)
(715)

Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
40
43
8
3
4
33
49
8
3
5
81
5
7
6
1
71
15
7
5
1
41
37
12
5
4
39
49
4
2
4
(Undecided)
-3
-16
76
56
-10
Respondent age
Total Answering
(844)
(694)
(113)
(147)
(399)
(443)
(1194)
(1034)
(100)
(149)
(467)
(715)
18 - 34
24
22
37
33
51
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
23
29
24
23
32
23
19
12
31
23
15
29
49
-
55
45
18 - 49
50 and over
47
52
46
54
57
43
56
44
100
-
100
Respondent gender
Total Answering
(844)
(694)
(113)
(147)
(399)
(443)
(1194)
(1034)
(100)
(149)
(467)
(715)
48
52
48
52
53
47
52
48
35
65
60
40
Male
Female
targetsmart.com

Education
Ohio Statewide
Gender/Education
Total
Total Coll
Grad
Total Non
Coll
Male Coll
Grad
Male Non
Coll
Female
Coll Grad
Female
Non Coll
Total Answering
(844)
(399)
(441)
(216)
(190)
(183)
(250)
(1194)
(583)
(599)
(308)
(245)
(275)
(354)

Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
40
43
8
3
4
44
38
9
3
4
36
48
7
3
4
35
48
9
1
5
34
53
4
3
5
54
27
9
6
3
38
44
10
3
4
(Undecided)
-3
-11
-13
-18
26
-6
Total Answering
(844)
(399)
(441)
(216)
(190)
(183)
(250)
(1194)
(583)
(599)
(308)
(245)
(275)
(354)
18 - 34
24
24
24
20
26
29
23
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
23
29
24
23
26
26
23
31
21
13
28
39
11
33
30
36
24
11
33
30
14
18 - 49
50 and over
47
52
47
52
48
52
33
67
37
63
65
35
55
44
Total Answering
(844)
(399)
(441)
(216)
(190)
(183)
(250)
(1194)
(583)
(599)
(308)
(245)
(275)
(354)
48
52
54
46
43
57
100
-
100
-
100
100
Respondent age
Respondent gender
Male
Female
targetsmart.com

Clinton Contact
Ohio Statewide
Trump Contact
Total
Total Cont
act
Total No
Total Cont
act
Total No
Total Answering
(844)
(342)
(462)
(327)
(465)
(1194)
(498)
(640)
(489)
(646)

Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
40
43
8
3
4
51
32
8
4
2
31
52
8
2
5
34
52
7
3
4
42
40
9
4
4
(Undecided)
-3
19
-22
-17
Total Answering
(844)
(342)
(462)
(327)
(465)
(1194)
(498)
(640)
(489)
(646)
18 - 34
24
21
27
20
28
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
23
29
24
23
30
26
23
27
22
19
32
29
26
26
20
18 - 49
50 and over
47
52
44
56
50
50
39
61
53
46
Total Answering
(844)
(342)
(462)
(327)
(465)
(1194)
(498)
(640)
(489)
(646)
48
52
48
52
50
50
53
47
47
53
Respondent age
Respondent gender
Male
Female
targetsmart.com

Voted Status
Ohio Statewide
Party ID
Total
Early Vote
Not EV
Dem
Ind
Rep
Total Answering
(844)
(160)
(684)
(285)
(287)
(270)
(1194)
(497)
(697)
(400)
(396)
(395)
Strong Dem
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
20
14
10
14
11
13
19
0
27
11
6
11
11
10
23
1
19
14
11
14
11
14
18
-
60
40
-
29
40
31
-
42
58
-
2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep
34
34
32
38
28
33
33
35
32
100
-
100
-
100
Party ID
Dem-Rep
100
-100
3-1-3 Dem
44
44
43
100
29
Ind
Rep
14
43
11
44
14
42
40
31
100
Dem-Rep
100
-2
-100
Total Answering
(844)
(160)
(684)
(285)
(287)
(270)
Ideology
(1194)
(497)
(697)
(400)
(396)
(395)
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhat conservative
Very conservative
(Prefer not to answer)
9
16
35
24
14
1
12
16
31
24
15
2
8
16
36
24
14
1
19
29
33
11
5
3
6
16
51
19
8
1
1
3
21
43
31
-
Total Liberal
Total Conservative
25
38
28
39
24
38
48
16
22
26
4
75
targetsmart.com

EV Party ID
Total
EV Dem
EV Ind
Ohio Statewide
Not EV Party ID
EV Rep
Not EV
Dem
Party ID
Total Answering
(844)
(61)
(45)
(53)
(224)
(242)
(218)
(1194)
(185)
(147)
(162)
(215)
(249)
(233)
Strong Dem
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
20
14
10
14
11
13
19
0
70
30
-
23
39
38
-
31
69
-
57
43
-
30
40
30
-
44
56
-
2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep
34
34
32
100
-
100
-
100
100
-
100
-
100
Dem-Rep
100
-100
100
-100
3-1-3 Dem
44
100
23
100
30
Ind
Rep
14
43
39
38
100
40
30
100
Dem-Rep
100
-15
-100
100
-100
Total Answering
(844)
(61)
(45)
(53)
(224)
(242)
(218)
Ideology
(1194)
(185)
(147)
(162)
(215)
(249)
(233)
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Very conservative
9
16
35
24
14
1
24
30
31
9
2
3
8
12
43
28
8
1
2
3
21
37
37
-
17
29
34
11
6
2
6
16
52
17
7
1
1
3
21
45
30
-
Total Liberal
Total Conservative
25
38
55
11
20
36
5
75
46
17
22
25
4
75
targetsmart.com

Gender
Early Vote/Gender
Ohio Statewide
Not EV/Gender
EV Women
Not EV
Men
Not EV
Women
(69)
(91)
(340)
(344)
(238)
(259)
(321)
(376)
20
8
7
8
16
11
29
-
31
14
6
13
7
9
18
1
16
10
13
16
13
13
19
-
21
19
9
13
9
15
16
-
41
29
30
28
31
40
45
26
27
26
41
33
39
30
31
Total
Men
Women
Total Answering
(844)
(409)
(435)
(1194)
(559)
(635)
Strong Dem
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
20
14
10
14
11
13
19
0
17
9
12
14
13
13
21
-
23
18
8
13
8
14
16
0
2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep
34
34
32
26
39
34
EV Men
Party ID
Dem-Rep
-8
11
-12
18
-7
3-1-3 Dem
44
38
49
36
51
39
48
Ind
Rep
14
43
14
47
13
38
8
56
13
34
16
46
13
39
Dem-Rep
-9
10
-20
16
-7
Total Answering
(844)
(409)
(435)
(69)
(91)
(340)
(344)
Ideology
(1194)
(559)
(635)
(238)
(259)
(321)
(376)
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Very conservative
9
16
35
24
14
1
8
13
33
29
15
1
9
19
38
19
13
1
12
16
28
26
17
2
12
16
33
22
14
3
8
13
34
29
15
1
8
20
39
19
13
1
Total Liberal
Total Conservative
25
38
22
44
28
33
28
42
28
36
20
45
28
32
targetsmart.com

Race
Total
Ohio Statewide
Age
White
Black
Non White
18 - 49
50 and
over
Party ID
Total Answering
(844)
(694)
(113)
(147)
(399)
(443)
(1194)
(1034)
(100)
(149)
(467)
(715)
Strong Dem
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
20
14
10
14
11
13
19
0
16
12
8
14
12
15
22
0
50
22
18
3
1
5
0
-
42
20
17
10
5
4
2
-
16
18
15
13
9
16
13
0
24
10
5
14
12
11
24
0
2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep
34
34
32
28
34
38
72
23
5
61
33
6
34
38
29
34
31
35
Dem-Rep
-10
68
55
-2
3-1-3 Dem
44
36
90
78
49
39
Ind
Rep
14
43
14
49
3
6
10
11
13
38
14
47
Dem-Rep
-13
84
67
11
-8
Total Answering
(844)
(694)
(113)
(147)
(399)
(443)
Ideology
(1194)
(1034)
(100)
(149)
(467)
(715)
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Very conservative
9
16
35
24
14
1
9
15
34
27
14
1
7
27
38
10
14
3
8
23
41
10
15
2
10
21
39
21
9
0
8
12
32
26
20
2
Total Liberal
Total Conservative
25
38
24
41
34
24
32
25
30
30
20
46
targetsmart.com

Education
Ohio Statewide
Gender/Education
Total
Total Coll
Grad
Total Non
Coll
Male Coll
Grad
Male Non
Coll
Female
Coll Grad
Female
Non Coll
Total Answering
(844)
(399)
(441)
(216)
(190)
(183)
(250)
(1194)
(583)
(599)
(308)
(245)
(275)
(354)
Strong Dem
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
20
14
10
14
11
13
19
0
19
11
12
17
10
13
19
-
22
16
8
10
12
14
19
-
16
5
10
20
11
14
23
-
18
14
13
9
16
12
18
-
21
18
14
14
8
12
13
-
24
17
4
12
9
15
19
-
2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep
34
34
32
30
38
32
38
30
32
22
41
37
32
37
31
40
35
25
42
24
34
Party ID
Dem-Rep
-2
-16
15
3-1-3 Dem
44
42
45
31
45
53
45
Ind
Rep
14
43
17
41
10
44
20
49
9
46
14
33
12
43
Dem-Rep
-17
-1
21
Total Answering
(844)
(399)
(441)
(216)
(190)
(183)
(250)
Ideology
(1194)
(583)
(599)
(308)
(245)
(275)
(354)
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Very conservative
9
16
35
24
14
1
9
19
34
25
12
1
8
14
37
23
17
2
10
12
33
30
14
1
7
14
33
27
17
1
8
27
35
19
10
1
9
14
39
20
16
2
Total Liberal
Total Conservative
25
38
28
37
22
40
21
44
22
44
36
28
23
36
targetsmart.com

Clinton Contact
Ohio Statewide
Trump Contact
Total
Total Cont
act
Total No
Total Cont
act
Total No
Total Answering
(844)
(342)
(462)
(327)
(465)
(1194)
(498)
(640)
(489)
(646)
Strong Dem
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
20
14
10
14
11
13
19
0
32
11
13
12
9
9
14
0
12
15
8
13
12
17
23
0
13
8
11
12
14
14
28
0
25
16
9
14
9
13
14
0
2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep
34
34
32
43
34
23
27
33
40
21
37
42
41
32
27
Dem-Rep
20
-13
-20
14
3-1-3 Dem
44
55
35
33
50
Ind
Rep
14
43
12
32
13
52
12
55
14
36
Dem-Rep
23
-17
-23
14
Total Answering
(844)
(342)
(462)
(327)
(465)
Party ID
Ideology
(1194)
(498)
(640)
(489)
(646)
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Very conservative
9
16
35
24
14
1
15
21
31
21
11
2
5
13
36
27
18
1
8
13
34
28
17
0
9
18
35
22
13
2
Total Liberal
Total Conservative
25
38
36
32
18
45
20
45
27
35
targetsmart.com

Voted Status
Ohio Statewide
Party ID
Total
Early Vote
Not EV
Dem
Ind
Rep
Total Answering
(844)
(160)
(684)
(285)
(287)
(270)
(1194)
(497)
(697)
(400)
(396)
(395)
1 - 11th grade
High school graduate
Trade/technical/vocational school
Some college/associates degree
Four-year college graduate/bachelor's
degree
Post-graduate school/masters/PhD
1
18
4
29
1
20
1
23
1
17
5
30
1
21
6
30
1
13
2
29
1
19
5
27
32
34
32
29
34
33
15
1
21
1
14
0
13
0
20
1
14
0
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
College Graduate
19
33
47
21
24
54
18
35
46
22
36
42
14
31
53
20
33
47
Not College
52
45
54
58
46
53
Total Answering
(844)
(160)
(684)
(285)
(287)
(270)
(1194)
(497)
(697)
(400)
(396)
(395)
82
13
1
1
1
0
86
9
1
1
1
1
81
14
2
1
1
0
68
29
2
0
1
0
82
9
2
3
3
1
97
2
1
1
0
Education
Race
White
Black
Hispanic
Asian/Pacific Islander
Other
Prefer not to answer
targetsmart.com

EV Party ID
Total
EV Dem
EV Ind
Ohio Statewide
Not EV Party ID
EV Rep
Not EV
Dem
Education
Total Answering
(844)
(61)
(45)
(53)
(224)
(242)
(218)
(1194)
(185)
(147)
(162)
(215)
(249)
(233)
1 - 11th grade
degree
1
18
4
29
19
2
28
0
14
1
17
3
26
1
22
2
21
7
31
1
13
2
31
1
17
6
29
32
31
41
31
29
33
34
15
1
19
0
27
-
17
0
11
-
18
1
13
0
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
College Graduate
19
33
47
19
30
51
14
18
68
29
23
48
23
38
39
15
34
51
18
35
46
Not College
52
49
32
52
61
48
53
Total Answering
(844)
(61)
(45)
(53)
(224)
(242)
(218)
(1194)
(185)
(147)
(162)
(215)
(249)
(233)
82
13
1
1
1
0
75
21
1
2
1
0
86
5
1
2
3
3
100
0
0
0
66
31
2
1
-
82
10
2
4
3
0
96
2
1
1
-
Race
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
targetsmart.com

Gender
Early Vote/Gender
Ohio Statewide
Not EV/Gender
EV Women
Not EV
Men
Not EV
Women
(69)
(91)
(340)
(344)
(238)
(259)
(321)
(376)
0
15
3
17
2
23
0
27
2
16
3
27
0
18
7
34
30
37
31
33
30
19
1
12
0
28
-
15
1
17
1
11
-
19
33
47
18
28
53
20
38
42
16
20
64
25
27
47
18
30
50
18
41
41
52
46
58
36
52
49
59
Total Answering
(844)
(409)
(435)
(69)
(91)
(340)
(344)
(1194)
(559)
(635)
(238)
(259)
(321)
(376)
82
13
1
1
1
0
81
14
2
1
2
0
83
12
1
1
1
1
93
6
0
0
0
0
81
12
1
2
2
2
79
16
2
1
2
-
84
12
1
1
1
0
Total
Men
Women
Total Answering
(844)
(409)
(435)
(1194)
(559)
(635)
1 - 11th grade
degree
1
18
4
29
2
16
3
25
1
19
6
32
32
34
15
1
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
College Graduate
Not College
EV Men
Education
Race
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
targetsmart.com

Race
Total
Ohio Statewide
Age
White
Black
Non White
18 - 49
50 and
over
Education
Total Answering
(844)
(694)
(113)
(147)
(399)
(443)
(1194)
(1034)
(100)
(149)
(467)
(715)
1 - 11th grade
degree
1
18
4
29
1
18
4
30
1
20
4
26
2
17
4
26
1
15
4
33
2
20
4
26
32
32
35
34
37
28
15
1
15
0
12
2
16
2
10
0
19
1
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
College Graduate
19
33
47
19
34
47
21
30
47
19
30
49
16
37
47
22
30
47
Not College
52
53
51
49
53
52
Total Answering
(844)
(694)
(113)
(147)
(399)
(443)
(1194)
(1034)
(100)
(149)
(467)
(715)
82
13
1
1
1
0
100
-
100
-
76
8
7
8
-
79
16
2
2
1
0
85
11
1
1
2
0
Race
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
targetsmart.com

Education
Ohio Statewide
Gender/Education
Total
Total Coll
Grad
Total Non
Coll
Male Coll
Grad
Male Non
Coll
Female
Coll Grad
Female
Non Coll
Total Answering
(844)
(399)
(441)
(216)
(190)
(183)
(250)
(1194)
(583)
(599)
(308)
(245)
(275)
(354)
1 - 11th grade
degree
1
18
4
29
2
34
8
55
4
35
7
55
1
33
10
56
32
68
64
72
15
1
32
-
36
-
28
-
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
College Graduate
19
33
47
100
36
64
-
100
39
61
-
100
34
66
-
Not College
52
100
100
100
Total Answering
(844)
(399)
(441)
(216)
(190)
(183)
(250)
(1194)
(583)
(599)
(308)
(245)
(275)
(354)
82
13
1
1
1
0
81
13
1
2
1
1
84
13
2
0
1
0
83
12
2
2
1
0
80
16
2
1
2
-
79
14
1
3
2
1
86
11
2
1
0
Education
Race
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
targetsmart.com

Clinton Contact
Ohio Statewide
Trump Contact
Total
Total Cont
act
Total No
Total Cont
act
Total No
Total Answering
(844)
(342)
(462)
(327)
(465)
(1194)
(498)
(640)
(489)
(646)
1 - 11th grade
degree
1
18
4
29
0
16
4
29
2
18
5
30
1
16
5
26
1
18
4
32
32
31
32
34
30
15
1
18
1
13
0
17
0
14
1
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
College Graduate
19
33
47
16
33
49
20
35
45
17
32
51
19
36
44
Not College
52
50
55
49
55
Total Answering
(844)
(342)
(462)
(327)
(465)
(1194)
(498)
(640)
(489)
(646)
82
13
1
1
1
0
78
17
1
2
2
0
85
10
2
1
1
0
90
6
2
1
1
0
77
18
1
2
2
0
Education
Race
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
targetsmart.com

Voted Status
Ohio Statewide
Party ID
Total
Early Vote
Not EV
Dem
Ind
Rep
Total Answering
(844)
(160)
(684)
(285)
(287)
(270)
(1194)
(497)
(697)
(400)
(396)
(395)
16
33
20
11
9
5
7
14
34
23
10
7
4
7
16
33
20
11
10
5
6
17
33
15
16
7
8
4
18
33
23
8
10
3
5
12
32
23
8
11
3
11
Total Answering
(844)
(160)
(684)
(285)
(287)
(270)
Media Market
Cincinnati OH
Cleveland-Akron Canton OH
Columbus OH
Dayton OH
Toledo OH
Youngstown OH
Other
TargetSmart Partisan Score

(1194)
(497)
(697)
(400)
(396)
(395)
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
24
6
27
5
23
6
1
3
19
6
54
8
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown
5
5
6
5
6
7
7
30
-
4
5
4
4
3
4
7
36
-
5
5
6
5
6
8
8
29
-
5
4
5
2
5
7
9
58
-
3
8
7
9
6
9
9
24
-
6
3
5
4
5
4
4
6
-
TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout Score

Total Answering
(844)
(160)
(684)
(285)
(287)
(270)
(1194)
(497)
(697)
(400)
(396)
(395)
0
1
3
4
7
7
6
14
59
-
2
1
4
5
7
10
70
-
0
1
3
4
7
7
6
15
56
-
1
4
6
7
7
4
17
55
-
0
1
3
2
9
8
9
13
55
-
0
3
3
5
5
5
10
68
-
Total Answering
(844)
(160)
(684)
(285)
(287)
(270)
(1194)
(497)
(697)
(400)
(396)
(395)
19
81
100
-
100
21
79
16
84
19
81
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown
Voted Status
Early Voter
Not an Early Voter
targetsmart.com

EV Party ID
Total
EV Dem
EV Ind
Ohio Statewide
Not EV Party ID
EV Rep
Not EV
Dem
Media Market
Total Answering
(844)
(61)
(45)
(53)
(224)
(242)
(218)
(1194)
(185)
(147)
(162)
(215)
(249)
(233)
16
33
20
11
9
5
7
17
37
15
9
9
10
4
20
33
24
9
7
3
4
7
33
32
10
5
0
13
17
32
16
18
7
7
4
17
33
23
8
10
4
5
14
32
20
7
12
4
10
Total Answering
(844)
(61)
(45)
(53)
(224)
(242)
(218)
Cincinnati OH
Columbus OH
Dayton OH
Toledo OH
Youngstown OH
Other

(1194)
(185)
(147)
(162)
(215)
(249)
(233)
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
24
6
1
2
27
5
60
10
1
4
18
6
53
7
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown
5
5
6
5
6
7
7
30
-
4
5
2
5
4
3
9
67
-
3
7
6
6
3
8
6
29
-
4
3
6
2
3
2
5
5
-
6
3
6
2
5
8
9
56
-
3
8
7
9
7
9
10
23
-
6
3
5
4
6
5
4
7
-

Total Answering
(844)
(61)
(45)
(53)
(224)
(242)
(218)
(1194)
(185)
(147)
(162)
(215)
(249)
(233)
0
1
3
4
7
7
6
14
59
-
4
3
4
3
5
11
70
-
5
5
13
13
64
-
1
0
5
6
5
6
77
-
1
4
6
8
8
4
19
50
-
0
2
3
3
10
8
9
13
53
-
1
3
4
5
5
6
11
65
-
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown
Voted Status
Total Answering
(844)
(61)
(45)
(53)
(224)
(242)
(218)
(1194)
(185)
(147)
(162)
(215)
(249)
(233)
19
81
100
-
100
-
100
-
100
100
100
Early Voter
Not an Early Voter
targetsmart.com

Gender
Early Vote/Gender
Ohio Statewide
Not EV/Gender
EV Women
Not EV
Men
Not EV
Women
(69)
(91)
(340)
(344)
(238)
(259)
(321)
(376)
13
36
34
7
6
1
3
15
33
15
12
7
7
10
15
33
18
10
12
4
8
17
32
21
12
7
6
5
(435)
(69)
(91)
(340)
(344)
Total
Men
Women
Total Answering
(844)
(409)
(435)
(1194)
(559)
(635)
16
33
20
11
9
5
7
15
34
21
9
11
3
7
16
32
20
12
7
6
6
Total Answering
(844)
(409)
EV Men
Media Market
Cincinnati OH
Columbus OH
Dayton OH
Toledo OH
Youngstown OH
Other

(1194)
(559)
(635)
(238)
(259)
(321)
(376)
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
24
6
32
6
17
5
43
6
16
5
30
7
17
5
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown
5
5
6
5
6
7
7
30
-
5
6
4
4
5
6
6
27
-
5
4
7
6
6
7
9
33
-
4
7
3
1
3
4
4
25
-
5
3
6
6
4
4
8
44
-
5
6
5
4
5
7
6
27
-
5
4
7
6
7
8
10
30
-

Total Answering
(844)
(409)
(435)
(69)
(91)
(340)
(344)
(1194)
(559)
(635)
(238)
(259)
(321)
(376)
0
1
3
4
7
7
6
14
59
-
1
3
3
7
4
4
13
65
-
0
1
3
4
6
10
8
15
53
-
2
2
5
3
2
8
79
-
2
1
4
6
12
11
64
-
1
4
3
8
4
5
14
62
-
0
1
3
5
7
10
8
15
50
-
Total Answering
(844)
(409)
(435)
(69)
(91)
(340)
(344)
(1194)
(559)
(635)
(238)
(259)
(321)
(376)
19
81
17
83
21
79
100
-
100
-
100
100
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown
Voted Status
Early Voter
Not an Early Voter
targetsmart.com

Race
Total
Ohio Statewide
Age
White
Black
Non White
18 - 49
50 and
over
Media Market
Total Answering
(844)
(694)
(113)
(147)
(399)
(443)
(1194)
(1034)
(100)
(149)
(467)
(715)
16
33
20
11
9
5
7
14
35
21
9
9
4
7
24
21
16
24
8
6
1
22
24
17
21
7
6
3
17
31
25
10
8
4
5
15
35
16
12
10
5
8
Total Answering
(844)
(694)
(113)
(147)
(399)
(443)
Cincinnati OH
Columbus OH
Dayton OH
Toledo OH
Youngstown OH
Other

(1194)
(1034)
(100)
(149)
(467)
(715)
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
24
6
29
6
2
2
11
7
36
4
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown
5
5
6
5
6
7
7
30
-
5
5
7
6
6
8
6
22
-
0
1
0
3
3
15
78
-
2
3
1
3
2
3
15
67
-
6
6
6
7
8
10
12
27
-
4
4
5
4
3
4
3
33
-

Total Answering
(844)
(694)
(113)
(147)
(399)
(443)
(1194)
(1034)
(100)
(149)
(467)
(715)
0
1
3
4
7
7
6
14
59
-
1
3
4
6
8
7
12
59
-
1
3
8
0
5
22
61
-
0
0
2
2
10
2
4
22
58
-
1
6
6
10
11
8
18
41
-
0
1
1
1
4
3
5
10
75
-
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown
Voted Status
Total Answering
(844)
(694)
(113)
(147)
(399)
(443)
(1194)
(1034)
(100)
(149)
(467)
(715)
19
81
20
80
13
87
14
86
10
90
26
74
Early Voter
Not an Early Voter
targetsmart.com

Education
Ohio Statewide
Gender/Education
Total
Total Coll
Grad
Total Non
Coll
Male Coll
Grad
Male Non
Coll
Female
Coll Grad
Female
Non Coll
Total Answering
(844)
(399)
(441)
(216)
(190)
(183)
(250)
(1194)
(583)
(599)
(308)
(245)
(275)
(354)
16
33
20
11
9
5
7
15
33
23
11
8
3
6
16
32
18
11
10
6
7
16
34
23
9
10
3
5
14
32
18
10
13
4
9
15
32
23
14
7
4
6
18
32
18
11
7
8
6
Total Answering
(844)
(399)
(441)
(216)
(190)
(183)
(250)
Media Market
Cincinnati OH
Columbus OH
Dayton OH
Toledo OH
Youngstown OH
Other

(1194)
(583)
(599)
(308)
(245)
(275)
(354)
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
24
6
29
6
20
5
38
5
25
9
18
7
16
3
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown
5
5
6
5
6
7
7
30
-
4
4
5
5
4
7
7
29
-
6
5
6
5
7
7
8
30
-
4
5
5
4
3
6
4
25
-
6
7
4
3
6
6
6
29
-
3
3
5
6
6
7
10
35
-
6
5
8
7
7
8
9
31
-

Total Answering
(844)
(399)
(441)
(216)
(190)
(183)
(250)
(1194)
(583)
(599)
(308)
(245)
(275)
(354)
0
1
3
4
7
7
6
14
59
-
1
2
2
4
5
6
12
68
-
0
1
5
5
9
8
7
15
51
-
1
1
1
4
4
3
9
75
-
1
5
5
10
3
5
17
53
-
0
2
4
5
7
9
16
58
-
0
1
4
5
8
11
8
14
49
-
Total Answering
(844)
(399)
(441)
(216)
(190)
(183)
(250)
(1194)
(583)
(599)
(308)
(245)
(275)
(354)
19
81
22
78
16
84
21
79
13
87
23
77
19
81
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown
Voted Status
Early Voter
Not an Early Voter
targetsmart.com

Clinton Contact
Ohio Statewide
Trump Contact
Total
Total Cont
act
Total No
Total Cont
act
Total No
Total Answering
(844)
(342)
(462)
(327)
(465)
(1194)
(498)
(640)
(489)
(646)
16
33
20
11
9
5
7
14
34
20
12
9
5
6
17
32
20
10
9
5
7
15
30
21
12
10
4
9
17
34
20
9
9
6
5
Total Answering
(844)
(342)
(462)
(327)
(465)
Media Market
Cincinnati OH
Columbus OH
Dayton OH
Toledo OH
Youngstown OH
Other

(1194)
(498)
(640)
(489)
(646)
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
24
6
17
5
29
6
35
6
17
5
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown
5
5
6
5
6
7
7
30
-
6
5
5
4
6
7
9
37
-
5
5
6
6
5
7
7
24
-
4
6
7
4
6
7
5
19
-
5
5
5
5
5
7
9
36
-

Total Answering
(844)
(342)
(462)
(327)
(465)
(1194)
(498)
(640)
(489)
(646)
0
1
3
4
7
7
6
14
59
-
1
2
2
8
5
5
14
62
-
0
1
4
5
6
8
7
13
56
-
1
2
4
6
5
6
10
66
-
0
1
4
4
8
8
7
15
53
-
Total Answering
(844)
(342)
(462)
(327)
(465)
(1194)
(498)
(640)
(489)
(646)
19
81
20
80
18
82
22
78
17
83
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown
Voted Status
Early Voter
Not an Early Voter
targetsmart.com

TargetSmart/William &amp; Mary Release Final 2016 Election Survey of Ohio Early and Likely Voters

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TargetSmart/William &amp; Mary Release Final 2016 Election Survey of Ohio Early and Likely Voters

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: 11/6/16

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

October 31- November 3, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

Has anyone in support of Donald Trump ______________ - yes or no?

Negative television advertisements about Hillary Clinton?

Negative television advertisements about Donald Trump?

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

Early vote from file

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

October 31-November 3, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Total Answering (unweighted)

Total Hillary Clinton

Total Would not vote

Total Clinton - Total Trump

Total Answering (unweighted)

Total Answering (unweighted)

Four Way Presidential Vote

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

October 31-November 3, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Not EV Ind Not EV Rep

Four Way Presidential Vote

Total Answering (unweighted)

Total Hillary Clinton

Total Would not vote

Total Clinton - Total Trump

Total Answering (unweighted)

Total Answering (unweighted)

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

October 31-November 3, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Total Answering (unweighted)

Total Answering (unweighted)

Total Hillary Clinton

Total Would not vote

Total Clinton - Total Trump

Four Way Presidential Vote

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

October 31-November 3, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Four Way Presidential Vote

Total Answering (unweighted)

Total Hillary Clinton

Total Would not vote

Total Clinton - Total Trump

Total Answering (unweighted)

Total Answering (unweighted)

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

October 31-November 3, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

TargetSmart/William & Mary Release Final 2016 Election Survey of Ohio Early and Likely Voters

TargetSmart/William & Mary Release Final 2016 Election Survey of Ohio Early and Likely Voters