HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

NOVEMBER 2016

Study #161256 -- page 1
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Interviews: 1282 Likely Voters, including 563 respondents with a cell phone only and
50 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline.

Date: November 3-5, 2016

47 Male
53 Female

Study #161256
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.

The margin of error for 1,282 interviews among Likely Voters is ±2.73%
Likely Voters defined as voted in either 2012 or 2014 or 18-24 year olds with
self-reported interest in the election of 5 to 10 on a 1-10 scale.

Unless otherwise noted by a “+”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.
Q2a

For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are?
(IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) +
Likely
Voters
18-24 ................................................................ 9
25-29 ................................................................ 7
30-34 ................................................................ 7
35-39 ................................................................ 7
40-44 ................................................................ 9
45-49 ................................................................ 9
50-54 ................................................................ 9
55-59 ................................................................12
60-64 ................................................................10
65-69 ................................................................ 7
70-74 ................................................................ 6
75 and over ...........................................................
8
Not sure/refused .................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

Q2b/c

To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic
or Spanish-speaking background? And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black,
Asian, or something else? +
Likely
Voters
White, Non-Hispanic ....................................... 73
Hispanic ...........................................................10
Black ............................................................... 12
Asian ............................................................... 1
Other ............................................................... 3
Not sure/refused ........................................... 1
+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

Q3

Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (STATE)]? +

Registered ........................................
Not registered ...................................
Not sure ..........................................

Likely
Voters
100
-

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
NOVEMBER 2016

Study #161256 -- page 2
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q4-7

Held for later release.

Q8

If the next election for president were held today, with (ROTATE TOP TWO:) Donald Trump as the
Republican candidate, Hillary Clinton as the Democratic candidate, Gary Johnson the Libertarian candidate,
and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate for whom would you vote?

Donald Trump .......................................
Hillary Clinton ........................................
Gary Johnson........................................
Jill Stein.................................................
Depends (VOL) ..................................
None (VOL) ........................................
Other/Write-in (VOL) ..........................
Would not vote for President (VOL) ....
Not sure .............................................

Likely Voters
11/310/105/16+ 13/16+
40
37
44
48
6
7
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
1
4
2

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

Q9

And, if the next election for president were held today, with only (ROTATE) … Donald Trump and Mike Pence
as the Republican candidates, and Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic candidates, for whom
would you vote?

Donald Trump and Mike Pence .............
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine ................
Gary Johnson (VOL) ...........................
Jill Stein (VOL) ....................................
Depends (VOL) ..................................
None (VOL) ........................................
Other/Third Party/Write-in (VOL) ........
Would not vote for President (VOL) ....
Not sure .............................................

Likely Voters
11/310/105/16+ 13/16+
43
41
48
51
2
2
1
1
2
3
4
2

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

Q10-18 Held for later release.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
NOVEMBER 2016

Study #161256 -- page 3
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Moving on…
Q19
How would you feel if (READ NAME) wins the presidential election--would you say that you feel comfortable
with (him/her) and prepared to support (him/her) as our new president, or not? (ROTATE)
Comfortable
And Prepared
To Support

Not
Comfortable
And Prepared
To Support

Not
Sure

43

54

3

46

2

Donald Trump
November 3-5, 2016+ .............................
Hillary Clinton

November 3-5, 2016+ .............................
52
+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

2000 Post-Election Trend
How would you feel if (READ NAME) were declared the winner of the presidential election-would you say that you feel comfortable with (him/her) and prepared to support (him/her) as
our new president, or not?
Comfortable
And Prepared
To Support

Not
Comfortable
And Prepared
To Support

Not
Sure

December 2000 .......................................
November 27, 2000 .................................
November 13, 2000 .................................
George W. Bush

60
62
66

37
34
31

3
4
3

December 2000 .......................................
November 27, 2000 .................................
November 13, 2000 .................................

66
65
69

31
31
28

3
4
3

Al Gore

Q20-22 Held for later release.
Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.
QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November
2012 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) For whom did you vote––Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, or
someone else? +

Voted for Barack Obama ...............................
Voted for Mitt Romney ...................................
Voted for someone else .................................
Not sure .........................................................
No, Did Not Vote ............................................
Not sure .......................................................

Likely
Voters
50
35
6
2
7
-

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

QF1d

Will this year be the first time you have ever voted in a presidential election? +

Yes, first time...........................................................
No, not first time ......................................................
Not sure ................................................................
Voted in 2012 (QF1b/c) ...........................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

Likely
Voters
5
3
92

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
NOVEMBER 2016

QF1e

Study #161256 -- page 4
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

And did you happen to vote in the 2014 election for U.S. Congress? +
Likely
Voters
Yes, voted ...............................................................
70
No, did not vote .......................................................
25
Not sure ................................................................
5
+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

QF2

Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do?
(RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? +
Likely
Voters
Currently Employed
Professional, manager .............................
White-collar worker ..................................
Blue-collar worker ....................................
Farmer, rancher .......................................
Not Currently Employed
Student ....................................................
Stay at home mom/dad............................
Retired .....................................................
Unemployed, looking for work..................
Other........................................................
Not sure .................................................

25
19
16
1
3
5
28
3
-

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

QF3

What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) +

Grade school ...........................................................
Some high school ....................................................
High school graduate...............................................
Some college, no degree .........................................
Vocational training/School ......................................
2-year college degree ..............................................
4-year college/bachelor's degree .............................
Some postgraduate work, no degree.......................
2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree .........
Doctoral/law degree.................................................
Not sure/refused ....................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

Likely
Voters
1
3
22
19
3
12
24
2
10
3
1

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
NOVEMBER 2016
QF4

Study #161256 -- page 5
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something
else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican)
or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG
DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the
Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF
"NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") +
Likely
Voters
Strong Democrat ............................... 25
Not very strong Democrat ................. 9
Independent/lean Democrat .............. 9
Strictly Independent........................... 12
Independent/lean Republican ............ 10
Not very strong Republican ............... 6
Strong Republican ............................. 22
Other (VOL)..................................... 5
Not sure........................................... 2
+ Results shown reflect responses among likely
voters.

QF5

Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or
conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very
(liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? +
Likely
Voters
11
15
34
18
18
4

Very liberal .........................................................
Somewhat liberal................................................
Moderate ............................................................
Somewhat conservative .....................................
Very conservative...............................................
Not sure............................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR
"NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? +

Labor union member ........................................
Union household ..............................................
Non-union household .......................................
Not sure ..........................................................

Likely
Voters
14
8
77
1

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
NOVEMBER 2016
QF7a

Study #161256 -- page 6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

What is your religion? +
Likely
Voters
Protestant (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Methodist, Episcopal,
Presbyterian, and other Christians) ..........................................
Catholic......................................................................................
Jewish........................................................................................
Muslim .......................................................................................
Mormon/LDS/Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints ........
Other .........................................................................................
None ..........................................................................................
Not sure/refused ......................................................................

45
23
1
1
2
12
15
1

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

(ASKED OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY PROTESTANT, OTHER, OR NOT SURE IN QF7a.)
QF7b
Would you describe yourself as either a fundamentalist or an evangelical Christian, or would you not
describe yourself that way? +
Likely
Voters
Fundamentalist/evangelical ................................
19
Neither fundamentalist nor evangelical ...........................
37
Not sure ................................................................ 3
Catholic/Jewish/Muslim/Mormon (QF7a) .........................
41
+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

QF8

Are you married, widowed, separated, divorced, single and never been married, or are you unmarried and
living with a partner? +

Married .............................................................
Widowed ...........................................................
Separated ........................................................
Divorced ...........................................................
Single/never been married ................................
Unmarried and living with a partner ..................
Refused...........................................................

Likely
Voters
59
6
2
9
16
7
1

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

QF9

If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year,
would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand
dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and
forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand
dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand
dollars, or would the total be more than that? +
Likely
Voters
Less than $10,000 ............................................... 2
Between $10,000 and $20,000 ........................... 6
Between $20,000 and $30,000 ........................... 8
Between $30,000 and $40,000 ........................... 8
Between $40,000 and $50,000 ........................... 8
Between $50,000 and $75,000 ........................... 17
Between $75,000 and $100,000 ......................... 15
More than $100,000 ............................................ 28
Not sure/refused ................................................. 8
+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

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