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Cuadro N 3: Precipitaciones mximas en 24 horas (mm).

Ao

Lambayeque

37 msnm
AO

P(mm)

2000

63.0

2001

40.8

2002

36.1

2003

45.0

2004

40.8

2005

41.8

2006

36.7

2007

46.1

2008

58.9

2009

58.1

Fig.N1: Histograma de Precipitaciones Max.24 h. a


Estacin Lambayeque
70
60
50
40

P(mm)30
20
10
0
2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

Aos

2005

2006

2007

2008

20

recipitaciones Max.24 h. anuales


n Lambayeque

os

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Precipitacin mxima corregida por intervalo fijo de observacin


Pmax. sin correccin Pmax. con correccin
Perodo de
Retorno
500
200
100
50
25
10
5
3
2

GUMBEL
109.52
99.56
92.02
84.44
76.81
74.34
66.53
58.39
46.09

GUMBEL
120.47
109.52
101.22
92.89
84.49
81.77
73.18
64.22
50.70

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones

0.9403540755
0.8842657873
0.8797271907
0.0813240659
54

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Regresin
Residuos
Total

Intercepcin
Variable X 1
Variable X 2

Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F
Valor crtico de F
2 2.5770889241 1.288544462 194.83242722 1.31303E-024
51 0.3372937888 0.0066136037
53 2.9143827129
Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t
2.0467719071 0.0458696133 44.621520836
0.181941177 0.0139559456 13.036821868
-0.478905788 0.0323094078 -14.82248731

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%


1.53990E-042 1.9546848158 2.1388589984 1.9546848158 2.1388589984
7.30615E-018 0.1539234471 0.209958907 0.1539234471 0.209958907
4.01615E-020 -0.54376963 -0.414041945 -0.54376963 -0.414041945

Lluvias mximas (mm).- LAURELES


T
P.Max
Duracin en minutos
aos
24 horas
5
10
15
20
500
120.5
12.2
18.3
22.4
25.5
200
109.5
10.9
16.4
20.0
22.8
100
101.2
10.0
14.9
18.2
20.8
50
92.9
9.0
13.5
16.5
18.8
25
84.5
8.0
12.0
14.7
16.7
10
81.8
6.7
10.1
12.3
14.0
5
73.2
5.8
8.6
10.5
12.0
3
64.2
5.0
7.5
9.2
10.5
2
50.7
4.5
6.7
8.2
9.3
Fuente: Elaboracin del autor aplicando el Modelo de Bell
Intensidades mximas (mm/hora).- LAURELES
T
P.Max
Duracin en minutos
aos
24 horas
5
10
15
20
500
120.5
146.8
109.9
89.5
76.6
200
109.5
131.3
98.3
80.1
68.5
100
101.2
119.6
89.5
73.0
62.4
50
92.9
107.9
80.7
65.8
56.3
25
84.5
96.2
72.0
58.7
50.2
10
81.8
80.7
60.4
49.2
42.1
5
73.2
69.0
51.6
42.1
36.0
3
64.2
60.4
45.2
36.8
31.5
2
50.7
53.5
40.1
32.7
27.9
Fuente: Elaboracin del autor

Constante
Err. estndar de est.Y
R cuadrada
Nm. de observaciones

30

K= 111.37
m= 0.182
n= 0.479

0.0813240659
0.8797271907

Grado de libertad
51
Donde:
Coeficiente(s) X
0.181941177 -0.47890579
Error estndar de coef. 0.0139559456 0.03230941
Fuente: Elaboracin del autor

60.8
54.4
49.5
44.7
39.8
33.4
28.6
25.0
22.2

60
39.9
35.7
32.5
29.3
26.1
21.8
18.8
16.4
14.5

30

Resultado del Anlisis de Regresin:


Log K= 2.0468
2.0467719071

54

30.4
27.2
24.8
22.3
19.9
16.7
14.3
12.5
11.1

60
39.9
35.7
32.5
29.3
26.1
21.8
18.8
16.4
14.5

I= 88.14 T0.198
t0.473
T= aos
t= minutos

Y
log I
2.166726056
2.040997692
1.951823035
1.88422877
1.783903579
1.600972896
2.118264726
1.992553518
1.903632516
1.835690571
1.7355989
1.552668216
2.07773118
1.951823035
1.86332286
1.79518459
1.694605199
1.511883361
2.0330214
1.9068735
1.8182259
1.7505084
1.6503075
1.4668676
1.9831751
1.8573325
1.7686381
1.7007037
1.5998831
1.9831751
1.9068735
1.7810369
1.6919651
1.6242821
1.5237465
1.3384565
1.8388491
1.7126497
1.6242821
1.5563025

X1
LogT
2.6989700
2.6989700
2.6989700
2.6989700
2.6989700
2.6989700
2.3010300
2.3010300
2.3010300
2.3010300
2.3010300
2.3010300
2.0000000
2.0000000
2.0000000
2.0000000
2.0000000
2.0000000
1.6989700
1.6989700
1.6989700
1.6989700
1.6989700
1.6989700
1.3979400
1.3979400
1.3979400
1.3979400
1.3979400
1.3979400
1.0000000
1.0000000
1.0000000
1.0000000
1.0000000
1.0000000
0.6989700
0.6989700
0.6989700
0.6989700

X2
Logt
0.6989700
1.0000000
1.1760913
1.3010300
1.4771213
1.7781513
0.6989700
1.0000000
1.1760913
1.3010300
1.4771213
1.7781513
0.6989700
1.0000000
1.1760913
1.3010300
1.4771213
1.7781513
0.6989700
1.0000000
1.1760913
1.3010300
1.4771213
1.7781513
0.6989700
1.0000000
1.1760913
1.3010300
1.4771213
1.7781513
0.6989700
1.0000000
1.1760913
1.3010300
1.4771213
1.7781513
0.6989700
1.0000000
1.1760913
1.3010300

1.4563660
1.2741578
1.781036939
1.655138435
1.565847819
1.498310554
1.397940009
1.214843848
1.728353782
1.603144373
1.514547753
1.445604203
1.346352974
1.161368002

0.6989700
0.6989700
0.4771213
0.4771213
0.4771213
0.4771213
0.4771213
0.4771213
0.3010300
0.3010300
0.3010300
0.3010300
0.3010300
0.3010300

1.4771213
1.7781513
0.6989700
1.0000000
1.1760913
1.3010300
1.4771213
1.7781513
0.6989700
1.0000000
1.1760913
1.3010300
1.4771213
1.7781513

Intensidades mximas (mm/h).- LAURELES


I=
K=
m=
n=
Duracin (t)
(minutos)
5
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120

10
78.34
56.21
40.33
33.21
28.94
26.01
23.83
22.14
20.76
19.63
18.66
17.83
17.10

Perodo de Retorno (T) en aos


30
95.67
68.65
49.25
40.56
35.34
31.76
29.10
27.03
25.36
23.97
22.79
21.77
20.88

Curva Intensidad-Duracin-Frecuencia
CUENCA LAURELES

170
160
150
140
130
120

110
Intensidad (mm/hora)
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90 100 110 120

Duracin en minutos
10

30

50

100

200.00

Caudales mximos Mtodo Racional


K=
m=
n=

Area

111.37
0.18
0.48

T=
T=
T=
T=

Tiempo de
concentracin Tc

CUENCA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7

(km2)
0.022
0.455
0.041
0.232
0.135
0.057
0.759

horas
1.92
8.94
3.14
5.83
5.83
4.09
7.74

minutos
115.08
536.65
188.38
349.64
349.53
245.16
464.28

T=10
17.45
8.35
13.78
10.25
10.25
12.14
8.94

TIEMPO DE CONCENTRACIN
CUENCA
L
S
TC
1
120
0.0956 1.91805
2
1047
0.1334 8.94417
3
236
0.1028 3.13972
4
581
0.125 5.82735
5
549
0.1117 5.82554
6
330
0.1014 4.08599
7
900
0.1436 7.73799

10
25
50
100

KT m
I n
t

Intensidad
mm/hora
T=25
T=50
20.61
23.38
9.86
11.18
16.28
18.47
12.10
13.73
12.11
13.73
14.35
16.28
10.57
11.99

CIA
3 .6

T=100
26.52
12.69
20.95
15.58
15.58
18.46
13.60

T=10
0.03
0.02
0.04
0.01
0.07
0.04
0.02

Caudal Mximo
(m3/s)
T=25
T=50
0.03
0.04
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.06
0.01
0.01
0.09
0.10
0.04
0.05
0.02
0.02

Se utilizo la frmula de KIRPICH


_=(0.01947^0.77)/^0.
385

L: Logitud del cauce aguas arriba (m)


S: pendiente promedio de la cuenca (m/m)

T=100
0.04
0.03
0.06
0.01
0.11
0.06
0.02

CUENCA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7

DETERMINACIN DEL COEFICIENTE DE ESCORRENTA


TIPO DE SUELO
PENDIENTE (%)
COBERTURA VEGETAL
Pastos vegetacin ligera
Permeable
Media
9.56
Hierba, grama
semi permeable
Media
13.34
Cultivos
semi permeable
Media
10.28
Bosques denasa vegetacin
Permeable
Media
12.5
Bosques denasa vegetacin
Permeable
Media
11.17
Cultivos
semi permeable
Media
10.14
Cultivos
Permeable
Media
14.36

COEFICIENTE
ECORRENTIA
0.25
0.40
0.50
0.15
1.15
0.50
0.30