NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll

October 2016
New Hampshire Questionnaire
Residents: n=1,138 MOE +/- 2.9%
Registered Voters: n=1,020 MOE +/- 3.1%
Likely Voters: n=768 MOE +/- 3.5%
Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
Screener
<Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older?
Do you consider your permanent home address to be in New Hampshire?
HH SELECTION LANDLINE FRAME ONLY
GENDER GUESS
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as
president?
LIKELY VOTERS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total

October 2016
52
45
3
100

September 2016
47
49
4
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016
52
45
4
100

September 2016
47
48
5
100

RESIDENTS

October 2016
53
43
5
100

September 2016
47
46
7
100

October 2016
47

September 2016
42

Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans

Neither
Other
Undecided
Total

39
9
3
2
100

41
11
2
3
100

REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats

October 2016
47

September 2016
40

Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans

Neither
Other
Undecided
Total

38
10
2
2
100

40
14
2
4
100

Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total

Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total
If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a
candidate or already voted]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats

NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll October 2016; Page 1

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support them, or
do you think you might vote differently on Election Day [including those who
are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or already voted]?
LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total
If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a
candidate or already voted]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
Donald Trump, the Republican
Gary Johnson, the Libertarian
Jill Stein, of the Green Party
Other
Undecided
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
Donald Trump, the Republican
Gary Johnson, the Libertarian
Jill Stein, of the Green Party
Other
Undecided
Total

October 2016
68

September 2016
65

28
3
1
100

27
7
1
100

October 2016
65

September 2016
62

30
4
1
100

29
7
1
100

October 2016
45

September 2016
39

36
10
4
2
3
100

37
15
3
1
5
100

October 2016
44

September 2016
37

35
11
4
3
4
100

36
17
3
1
6
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll October 2016; Page 2

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Hillary

Clinton?
LIKELY VOTERS
Favorable

October 2016
42

September 2016
38

55
3
100

59
3
100

October 2016
40

September 2016
37

56
4
100

59
4
100

October 2016
40
56
4
100

September 2016
35
60
5
100

October 2016
29

September 2016
36

68
3
100

61
4
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016
28
69
3
100

September 2016
34
62
4
100

RESIDENTS

October 2016
27
69
4
100

September 2016
33
63
5
100

Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total
RESIDENTS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Donald
Trump?
LIKELY VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll October 2016; Page 3

If November's election for U.S. Senate in New Hampshire were held today,
whom would you support if the candidates are [including those who are
undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or already voted]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Maggie Hassan, the Democrat
Kelly Ayotte, the Republican
Other
Undecided
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Maggie Hassan, the Democrat
Kelly Ayotte, the Republican
Other
Undecided
Total

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support

<candidate>, or do you think you might vote differently on Election Day?
LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total

October 2016
47
48
2
2
100

September 2016
44
52
<1
4
100

October 2016
47
48
2
3
100

September 2016
44
51
<1
5
100

October 2016
65

September 2016
64

29
5
1
100

29
7
<1
100

October 2016
63

September 2016
62

31
6
1
100

30
7
1
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll October 2016; Page 4

If November's election for governor in New Hampshire were held today, whom
would you support if the candidates are [including those who are undecided
yet leaning toward a candidate or already voted]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Colin Van Ostern, The Democrat
Chris Sununu, The Republican
Other
Undecided
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Colin Van Ostern, The Democrat
Chris Sununu, The Republican
Other
Undecided
Total

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support

<candidate>, or do you think you might vote differently on Election Day?
LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total

October 2016
47
46
2
5
100

October 2016
50
43
7
1
100

REGISTERED VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE

Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total

October 2016
47
46
2
4
100

October 2016
49
44
7
1
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll October 2016; Page 5

Are you male or female?

LIKELY VOTERS

October 2016
48
52
100

September 2016
49
51
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016
49
51
100

September 2016
48
52
100

RESIDENTS

October 2016
49
51
100

September 2016
49
51
100

Male
Female
Total

Male
Female
Total

Male
Female
Total

Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll of 1,138 Adults
This survey of 1,138 adults was conducted October 20th through October 24th, 2016 by The Marist Poll sponsored and funded
in partnership with NBC News and The Wall Street Journal . Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of New
Hampshire were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed in English or Spanish by telephone using live
interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout
the state of New Hampshire from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was
represented in proportion to its population. Respondents in the household were randomly selected by first asking for the
youngest male. This landline sample was combined with respondents reached through random dialing of mobile phone
numbers from Survey Sampling International. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection. After the
interviews were completed, the two samples were combined and balanced to reflect the 2013 American Community Survey 5year estimates for age, gender, income, race, and region. Results are statistically significant within 2.9 percentage points.
There are 1,020 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within 3.1 percentage points. There
are 768 likely voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the likelihood respondents will participate in the
2016 Presidential Election based upon their chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results
for this subset are statistically significant within 3.5 percentage points. The error margin was not adjusted for sample weights
and increases for cross-tabulations.

For nature of the sample and additional tables, please visit The Marist Poll

NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll October 2016; Page 6